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Joe Manchin on the Fight for America's Future: Term Limits, Bipartisanship & the 2028 Election

第2025-10-23期2025-10-23English会员内容

嘉宾:Joe Manchin

Joe Manchin on the Fight for America's Future: Term Limits, Bipartisanship & the 2028 Election
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§01A book, a car and a 20-hour audiobook session

The episode is framed as an All-In interview with Senator Joe Manchin about his new book, Dead Center in Defense of Common Sense. Before the policy discussion, the hosts follow their tradition of a personalized gift: a photo of a 1964 car like the first car described in the book, with a white interior. The car is jokingly said to be waiting in the driveway "by your yacht", which sets off banter about what is described as a "$200,000 trawler" and a jab that one host had only looked at the pictures in the middle of the book.

That host replies that he listened to the audiobook, which the author narrated himself. The account of the recording is a light look at how books get made. A daughter, Heather, says the narration is "in the contract", and the work was first estimated at "six or seven hours of reading". In the end it took 20 hours over three or four days. The narrator calls it one of the best things he has done, because it made him relive everything in the book. One host says he prefers physical pages he can mark up.

The conversation also covers why audiobook sessions are so exacting. Every word must match the text so it can sync on Amazon, so producers stop the reader over a single missed word. On the first day the engineers even caught the sound of crossed legs: "They said, we heard you cross your legs." One host compares the booth to a Faraday cage and urges listeners to buy the book.

§02Scouting and the 1959 coal automation

The book opens with a fight between an Irish Catholic Boy Scout and an Italian Boy Scout, and the hosts ask about scouting. An internet claim that he was an Eagle Scout is corrected. He reached the Life rank, one step short, and he explains why he stopped there.

1959, never forget it. The coal mines got automated in West Virginia.

In this account, the community had about 400 people and three very large coal mines, and nearly everyone worked in them. When automation came, laid-off miners sat on the curb near his father's furniture store and his grandfather's grocery store. His scout leader, Pat Keener, described as "the best of the best of the best", had to move to Lordstown, Ohio, for an auto factory job, and the troop's leadership was lost with him. The speaker presents this as the moment his scouting ended, and the episode returns to coal country's economic losses later.

§03Why the Senate was designed to be slow

Asked about the Build Back Better fight with Joe Biden, the speaker starts with the structure of the Senate. He warns against serving in a 50-50 Senate and calls the body "supposed to be the most deliberate body in the world." He contrasts it with the House, where a simple majority of 218 out of 435 can pass bills without consulting the other side. He cites the George Washington image of the Senate cooling a hot cup of tea so it can be drunk.

The 60-vote cloture threshold is presented as the core of that design, and the speaker calls the filibuster "the holy growl to democracy as we know it" (the transcript's rendering). He says the Senate forces members to sit down, calm things down and moderate legislation. He credits Senator Robert C. Byrd, who served West Virginia for more than 50 years, with explaining why the rules were written as they were.

He then explains the exception, reconciliation. It exists so the government can meet its financial responsibilities, and it needs only a simple majority, which makes it the Senate's only route to a 51-vote threshold without a 60-vote cloture vote. A host restates the distinction for the audience: laws pass either through bipartisan compromise to reach 60 votes or through the budget process of reconciliation. There has long been talk of one party eliminating the filibuster so a simple majority could pass any law.

§04The 2013 rule change and its consequences

To explain his resistance to ending the filibuster, the speaker goes back to 2013, when Harry Reid moved to change the rules because Barack Obama's cabinet appointments and some judges were stalled. He says he told Reid that he and Mitch McConnell did not even sit down to talk: "You don't have a cup of coffee, let alone discuss what should be important for both sides."

He describes the compromise he proposed, built on the idea of "will and pleasure". A re-elected president assembling a team should be able to confirm appointees who serve only during that administration with a 51-vote threshold, after an FBI background check, with no holdovers. The lower threshold would not apply to judges with lifetime appointments or to agencies with six-year or nine-year terms. He says Reid refused because Democrats wanted the judges.

In his telling, the consequence came quickly. Democrats lowered the threshold for district and circuit judges but not the Supreme Court. When Republicans took control, McConnell extended it to the Supreme Court, and "Now we have a 6-3 court." He argues the move backfired on the party that started it. He also says Chuck Schumer later openly wanted to end the filibuster to run the Biden agenda, even though Biden had always defended it.

He says he and Kyrsten Sinema voted to keep the filibuster, which stopped the effort. He says he supported the goals of voting rights legislation but insisted on finding a path that 10 Republicans would join.

§05Georgia and "anything you want"

The speaker recalls that on election night Schumer called him every hour, saying the Georgia races could flip the Senate. He says he did not expect Democrats to win Georgia and credits Donald Trump with putting the state in play by going there and getting into disputes. After Raphael Warnock and then Jon Ossoff (rendered "Alsop's" in the transcript) were declared winners, Schumer asked if he understood what it meant.

It means that you can probably have anything you want. And I said, I just want my country to do well. If my country does well, my state will do well.

Asked what Schumer meant, the speaker interprets it as an offer to bring federal spending home to his state. He compares it to Robert Byrd, who was often criticized for bringing home what critics called pork. He says Schumer assumed he would want to outdo Byrd from a "catbird seat", and he says he never thought of tipping the scales that way.

好对话,值得读完整。

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