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Trump verdict, COVID Cover-up, Crypto Corner, Salesforce drops 20%, AI correction?

第2024-05-31期2024-05-31English会员内容
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精读 · 按主题梳理核心观点、论证与案例。

§01A comedic cold open and a verdict held for the end

The hosts frame the episode around timing: a major verdict in Trump's New York trial landed immediately after taping, so they defer their reactions to a segment recorded at the end, and also flag an after-hours selloff in tech stocks. The opening itself is a comedic bit: Jason announces a new production company, seeded by a call from Howard Stern's agent Don Buchwald, and debuts a mock courtroom show in which each bestie is 'charged' with a joke offense—Chamath with 'first degree unbuttoning,' Friedberg with 'plastic perjury'—and David Sacks plays the judge while Jason casts himself as a Ryan Seacrest-style host.

§02Why Sacks and Chamath are hosting a Trump fundraiser

The substantive discussion is a fundraiser Sacks and Chamath are hosting for Trump, which Jason stresses is their personal event, not an All-In event, and that he and Friedberg are neither donating nor attending. The hosts argue the move extends a pattern of giving candidates an unfiltered platform: they note prior fundraisers or appearances for RFK Jr., Vivek Ramaswamy, and Dean Phillips, that Chris Christie appeared, and that they invited President Biden but got no reply.

Chamath casts himself as apolitical, describing a goal of making All-In a neutral venue where candidates of all sides tell their own version of the truth and listeners decide. He credits Trump with policies he views as helpful in hindsight, citing '100-year bonds' that defer debt costs, while also crediting things Biden has done, and says he has donated to Democrats, to RFK Jr., and would donate to Trump and to Biden.

I am an apolitical person who has to make a difficult decision every four years.

Both Sacks and Chamath reject social pressure to drop the friendship over politics, arguing that only engaging with people who already agree with you is what produced the current polarization. Sacks interprets the backlash as a cancellation tactic and claims it reflects 'preference falsification' in Silicon Valley, predicting the fundraiser could trigger a 'preference cascade' as figures like Steve Schwarzman, and possibly Bill Ackman, come out for Trump.

The hosts cite betting markets and the claim that polling historically underestimates Trump, then debate policy divergence—Chamath flags Trump turning sharply pro-crypto amid worries about dollar debasement as an issue worth defining. Jason counters that he would interview Trump and press hard questions, such as his opposition to EVs, and rejects the 'Trump derangement syndrome' label as childish.

好对话,值得读完整。

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