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Trump's SPAC, peak venture liquidity, tech as an economic ladder, Dems overplaying their hand

第52期2021-10-23English会员内容
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精读 · 按主题梳理核心观点、论证与案例。

§01A cold open about clothes

The episode opens with the hosts teasing one of them, who has lost weight, about his baggy clothes. They urge him to buy slim-fit shirts, joke that he looks like he is wearing a parachute or a circus tent, and then dare him to stand up and show his shorts. It is comic banter with no argument.

§02Introductions and a 25-pound weight loss

After the usual introductions, the host introduced as David Sachs says the teasing motivated him to lose weight. By his own account he went from the high 190s to about 172 pounds, roughly 25 pounds, since about April or May. The others congratulate him. Asked about his method, he says his exercise regimen, mostly occasional running, is unchanged and that the change is entirely diet, which he calls severe calorie restriction. These are his self-reported figures.

He credits a product that the transcript renders as "Munich" and thanks another host for the plug. The hosts then joke about whether mentioning it breaks their rules of the road. The host who brought it up says he is a shareholder, has no deal under negotiation, and has not discussed funding it. Another host offers to put it in the syndicate, and a third says he lost some weight on it. The product's name is unclear in the transcript.

§03The calorie-balance explanation

Asked about his basal calorie burn, the host says he looked it up using an online calculator and puts it at about 2,000 calories a day. His view is that weight loss is simple: consume fewer calories than you burn, and anything else is a game. He adds that the burn rate declines with age, so someone eating the same amount each year gains weight, and that building muscle mass raises the baseline because muscle burns more calories.

Another host asks whether people lose half a pound to a pound a year after 40, and the others say that sounds about right, directionally. The weight-loss host says that eating about 500 calories below baseline counts as rapid weight loss and that visible results are motivating, which puts him near 1,500 calories a day, although he has not measured it precisely. These are personal recollections and a lay summary, not medical advice.

§04What he eats, and what he thinks of keto-style diets

He describes his routine: skipping breakfast or eating very lightly, a plant-based lunch such as vegetable soup, and a more normal dinner with no carbs or desserts. The hosts joke about wine. He says he orders food by calorie density, vegetables first, then fish, poultry and red meat, rather than going fully vegan or cutting out anything.

In his view, protein-heavy diets such as South Beach or paleo, which try to put the body into ketosis, backfire because steak is calorie-dense, and staying in ketosis indefinitely is not sustainable, so eating less calorie-dense food is better. These are his opinions, not tested claims.

§05Steak night and tracking body composition

Another host says he rarely eats beef and is looking forward to a steak dinner that night, while a regular dinner guest always asks for fish. He adds that he eats meat no more than once a week, lately closer to once every two or three weeks, and does quarterly body scans that show water, muscle, fat and metabolic rate. He says he can no longer eat red meat comfortably, even though it tastes great.

One more tip from a host: avoid consuming calories in liquid form and stick with water, tea and coffee, noting that people drink their calories at Starbucks in the morning.

§06Liquid calories, and a poker night recap

The calorie tip continues: a morning Starbucks order with a pastry can run 1,200 calories by the host's estimate, so people gain weight from coffee-shop visits alone. An Americano with a splash of almond milk is fine, he says, and wine at the previous night's poker game was the exception. The figures are casual estimates.

One host then complains that the poker game was a disaster. His list: he came all the way up to San Francisco; nobody arrived on time; the host appeared around 9:30 and spent his time on the phone trading; stale fish sat in the room; and the wine, a 2013 vintage, was not good. He says he played heads-up for an hour against another early arrival, and then left. Another host calls it a rage quit and says he lost all his money playing PLO. These accounts are the hosts' own jokes and complaints.

§07In defense of the host

The accused host says he was not away for three hours, that guests were well attended to, and that he stepped out for a couple of trades because, in his words, crypto never sleeps. He adds that he received an $800,000 wire. The others tease him about it, and the details are unclear in the transcript and unverified.

He also defends the evening: the food was amazing, with a large sushi spread, late-night pizzas from two places, homemade caramel sauce and a 2013 wine. Another host points out that the weight-loss host ate none of it, and he replies that he is on a diet but did eat the sushi. A host jokes that they just lost 42% of the audience with this talk.

§08Why attendance dropped

A host says another was quiet and sullen all night and suggests he was upset that the game moved from his place to the other's, which he denies. The denied host says he told others the game normally runs at his house on Thursdays and that traveling is harder for him. The group wonders whether the real issue is the commute, as two of the hosts have missed several recent games. They say it is the commute or travel, and a host suggests two of them take a walk to clear the air.

Two hosts say they are about to have kids and cannot attend for a couple of weeks, with the others joking they will go back to an iPad poker app where players collude. Everyone is described as angry, and then the host says it is time to start the show.

§09Trump's SPAC: Truth Social and DWAC

The first news item is that Donald Trump's Trump media and technology group is going public via a SPAC to launch an app called Truth Social, which the host notes can be pre-ordered in the app store. The SPAC is Digital World Acquisition Corporation, ticker DWAC, led by someone the host names as Patrick Orlando and describes as a Florida-based investment manager who founded a sugar trading business and, allegedly, two energy distribution businesses. The host says he cannot verify the name or background.

好对话,值得读完整。

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