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Chris Mason: Space Travel, Colonization, and Long-Term Survival in Space

第283期2022-05-08English

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§01Transcript · 00:00–07:59

00:00- Would that make you sad to die on Mars?

00:02Looking back at the planet you were born on?

00:05- No, I think it would be actually,

00:07in some ways, maybe the best way to die,

00:09knowing that you're in the first wave of people

00:11expanding the reach into the stars.

00:14It'd be an honor.

00:15- The following is a conversation with Chris Mason,

00:20professor of genomics, physiology,

00:22and biophysics at Cornell.

00:24He and colleagues do some of their research out in space,

00:27experiments on space missions

00:29that seek to discern the molecular basis of changes

00:32in the human body during long-term human space travel.

00:36On this topic, he also wrote an epic book

00:39titled "The Next 500 Years,

00:42Engineering Life to Reach New Worlds"

00:44that boldly looks at what it takes to colonize space

00:47far beyond our planet,

00:48and even journey out towards livable worlds

00:52beyond our solar system.

00:54This is the Lex Friedman Podcast.

00:56To support it, please check out our sponsors

00:58in the description.

00:59And now, dear friends, here's Chris Mason.

01:04You wrote a book called

01:05"The Next 500 Years, Engineering Life to Reach New Worlds,"

01:09and you dedicated to, quote,

01:11"To all humans and any extinction-aware sentience."

01:16How fundamental is awareness of death and extinction

01:18to the human condition?

01:20- I think this is actually one of the most

01:22human-specific traits and features that we have.

01:26It's actually maybe one of the few things

01:28that only we have and no one else has.

01:30So it sounds scary.

01:32Sounds like what people often don't like

01:33to think about their death,

01:34except now and again, or at funerals,

01:36or to recognize their mortality.

01:38But if you do it at a species-wide level,

01:41it's something that is actually an exemplary,

01:43human-specific trait that you're exhibiting.

01:45You think about something that is the loss

01:47of not just your life or your family or everyone you see,

01:49but everyone like you.

01:51And that is, I dedicated it because I think

01:54we might not be the last sentience to have this awareness.

01:56I'm actually hoping we'll just be the first.

01:59But as far as we know, we're the only.

02:01And I think this is the, part of the moral thrust

02:03for the book is that we're the only ones

02:05that have this awareness.

02:05That gives us a duty that only we can exercise so far.

02:09- So we definitely contemplate our own mortality

02:11at the individual level.

02:13It is true.

02:16When you wrote it, it was really powerful to realize for me

02:21that we do contemplate our extinction.

02:24And that is a creative force.

02:27So at the individual level,

02:29contemplating your own death is a creative force.

02:32Like I have a deadline.

02:34But contemplating the extinction of the whole species,

02:38I suppose that stretches through human history.

02:42That's many of the sort of subtext of religious ideas

02:47is that like, if we screw this up, it's gonna be over.

02:53And Revelation and every religious text

02:55has some view of either the birth or the death

02:57of the world as they know it.

02:59But it was very abstract.

03:00It was fiction almost, or in some cases,

03:03complete fiction of what you hope or think might happen.

03:06But it's become much more quantified and much more real,

03:09I think, in the past several hundred years.

03:11And especially in the past few decades,

03:12where we can see a sense of responsibility

03:15at a planetary scale.

03:16So when we think about, like say, terraforming Mars,

03:19that would just be the second planet we've engineered

03:21at a planetary scale.

03:22We're already doing it for this one, just not that well.

03:25- Well, yeah, that's right.

03:26So we're like a bunch of ants,

03:28extinction-aware sentience ants

03:36that are busy trying to terraform this planet

03:39to make it habitable so it can flourish.

03:42And then you say that it's our duty

03:46to expand beyond Earth, to expand to other planets.

03:53To find a good backup, off-site backup solution.

03:58Why the word duty?

04:00It's an interesting word.

04:02- Duty is something that usually puts people to sleep,

04:04I'll say this.

04:05So duty, duty is a bit like death.

04:08People don't often like to really think,

04:09wake up in the morning and think,

04:10what is my duty today?

04:12Most people, there are some people

04:13that think about it every day.

04:14People in active military service wake up,

04:16it's a very concrete sense of duty to country.

04:19Sometimes you can think about it though in terms of family.

04:20You feel a duty towards your spouse, your kids,

04:23your parents.

04:24You feel a real duty to them

04:25because you want them to flourish and to be safe.

04:29So we do have this sense of duty,

04:30but you don't, very much like death,

04:32you don't think about it actively.

04:34Usually, it's something that just becomes embedded

04:36in your day-to-day existence.

04:38But I think about duty because this is,

04:41people think about duties for themselves,

04:42but there has never been a real overarching duty

04:45that we all feel as a species for each other

04:48and for generations that haven't yet been born.

04:50And I think I want people to have a sense

04:53of the same love and compassion

04:55and fighting even to the tooth and nail,

04:58whether the way you protect your family,

04:59the way you'd fight for a country, for example,

05:01to feel the same way towards the rarity

05:03and preciousness of life

05:04and feel that sense of duty towards,

05:06particularly extinction-aware life,

05:08which is just us so far.

05:09This ability that we have this awareness

05:12of not only our own frailty,

05:13which of course is often talked about,

05:16and climate change and people think about pandemics,

05:18but other species that we sometimes cause extinction,

05:21but very soon will be even de-extinctifying species

05:24like the woolly mammoth, colossals,

05:26a recent startup that's doing that,

05:27I'm on their advisory board,

05:28and it might happen in three or four years.

05:30So it's an interesting point in history

05:33where we can actually think about preventing death

05:36at a species-wide level and even resurrecting things

05:38that we have killed or that have gone away,

05:40which brings its own series of questions

05:42of just as when you delete something from an ecosystem,

05:45adding something can be completely catastrophic.

05:47And so there are no real guidelines yet on how to do that,

05:50but the technology now exists,

05:52which is pretty extraordinary.

05:53- Yeah, I've just been working on backup

05:55and restoring databases quite a bit recently,

05:58and you can do quite a lot of damage

06:00when you restore improperly.

06:03When we bring back the mammoths,

06:05it might be, you have to be careful bringing that back.

06:09The best of science, the best of engineering,

06:12is both dangerous and exciting,

06:14and that's why you have to have the best people,

06:17but also the most morally grounded people

06:20pushing us forward.

06:21But on the point of duty, there's a kind of sense

06:27that there's something special to humanity,

06:30to human beings that we want to preserve.

06:33And if that little flame, whatever that is, dies,

06:38that will be a real shame for the universe.

06:43What is that?

06:43What is special about human beings?

06:45What is special about the human condition

06:47that we want to preserve?

06:48Why do we matter?

06:50- There are some people who think we don't.

06:52There are some people who say,

06:53"Well, humans, take it or leave it.

06:55"They think they're misanthropes."

06:57So the book is, in the one sense, a call to misanthropes

07:01to hopefully shake them out of their slumber.

07:04But there's some people--

07:05- What does the word misanthrope mean?

07:06- Just people that dislike humanity.

07:08They're just, again, they're all just--

07:10- They're called nihilists, Donny.

07:12That's a shout out for Bigelow fans.

07:14(both laughing)

07:16- Nothing matters.

07:17And why does any,

07:18and they just apply it more particularly to humans.

07:20But there are endless reasons, I think,

07:24to cherish and celebrate what humans have done.

07:27At the same time, many things we've done awfully,

07:29and genocide, and nuclear weapons testing

07:34on unsuspecting citizens of remote islands.

07:36There are definitely things we've done bad.

07:37But the poetry, the music, the engineering feats,

07:41the getting to the moon and eventually,

07:44and already rovers on Mars,

07:45these extraordinary feats

07:47that humans have already accomplished,

07:49interest to really a sense of beauty,

07:51I think is something that is,

07:52you can't ask ants or cockroaches

07:57about their favorite paintings.

07:59Or maybe if you could,

§02Transcript · 08:01–15:48

08:01it would be very different from ours.

08:02But in either case,

08:03there's a unique perspective that we carry.

08:06And I think, so that's something,

08:07even just the age old question in biology,

08:09I'm a geneticist,

08:10so this comes up a lot of what makes humans unique?

08:12And so, is it bipedalism?

08:14Is it our intelligence?

08:15Is it tool making?

08:16Is it language?

08:17All those things I just listed,

08:18other species have some degree of those traits.

08:21So it's a question of degree,

08:22not of type of trait that defines humans a little bit.

08:26But I think for the extinction awareness,

08:28that is a uniquely human trait.

08:30That is, to our knowledge,

08:32no other species, or entity, or AI, or sentience

08:35that carries that awareness of the frailty of life,

08:38of our own life, but all life.

08:39- Maybe it is that awareness of the frailty of life

08:43that allows us to be so urgently creative.

08:47Create beauty, create innovation.

08:50It just seems like if you just measure,

08:52humans are able to create some

08:55sort of subjectively beautiful things.

08:57And I see science that way.

08:58I see engineering that way.

09:00And ants are less efficient at that.

09:03They also create beautiful things.

09:06But less aggressively, less innovation,

09:10less building, like standing on the shoulders of giants,

09:12building on top of each other over and over and over,

09:14where you're getting these hierarchical systems,

09:19where you create on greater levels of abstraction.

09:21Then you use ideas to communicate those ideas,

09:24and you share those ideas,

09:25and all of a sudden you have the rockets

09:26going on into space.

09:28- Which ants have been building the same structures

09:30for millions and millions of years with no real change.

09:33And so that is the key differentiator.

09:34- Yet.

09:35- Yet.

09:36- That's right.

09:37We've got an experiment going right now,

09:38and maybe it'll change.

09:40- Well, yeah, we will bring up some extreme organisms.

09:45Another thing you're interested in.

09:48Okay.

09:48One interesting thing that comes up much later in your book

09:54is something I also haven't thought of,

10:00and it's quite inspiring,

10:01which is the heat death of the universe.

10:05Is something worth fighting against?

10:08(laughing)

10:09- Yes.

10:10- That's also an engineering problem.

10:12- Yes.

10:13- You kind of, I mean,

10:16you seriously look at the next 500 years,

10:20and that's such a beautiful thing.

10:22Seriously, we'll talk about the uncertainty

10:25involved with that, and all the different trajectories,

10:27but to seriously look at that,

10:30and then to seriously look at what happens

10:33when the sun runs out, what happens

10:37when the universe comes to an end.

10:41Like, we have an opportunity and a kind of duty,

10:45like you said, to fight against that.

10:47And that was so inspiring to me to think,

10:51wait, maybe we'll actually,

10:54that's a worthy thing to think about.

10:56- Maybe we can prevent it, actually.

10:58- Right.

10:59Come up with the best known understanding, current,

11:03of how things end.

11:04You know, we kind of are building an intuition,

11:09and data, and models of the way the universe is,

11:13the way it started, the way it's going to end.

11:15So our best model of the end,

11:18let's start thinking about how that could be prevented,

11:21how that could be avoided, how that could be channeled,

11:24and misdirected, and you can pivot it somehow.

11:29That's really inspiring, that's really powerful.

11:32I never really thought about it.

11:34Eventually, all things end.

11:36And that was the kind of melancholic notion

11:39behind all of it.

11:41None of this matters, in a way.

11:44To me, that's also inspiring to enjoy the moment,

11:50to really live in the moment,

11:52'cause that is truly where beauty exists, is in the moment.

11:55But there is a long-lasting aspect to beauty

11:59that is part of the engineering ethic,

12:01which is like, tell me what the problem is,

12:03and we're gonna solve it. - Solve it, yeah.

12:06- So what do you think about that,

12:08the long scale, beyond 500 years?

12:11Do humans have a chance?

12:13- Absolutely, I think we have the best chance

12:16of any species, and actually the best chance

12:18that humanity's ever had.

12:19So I think a lot of people fear that we can

12:23or will kill ourselves.

12:23Actually, my favorite question I ask

12:27at the end of every interview

12:28for every potential graduate student, medical student,

12:30or faculty, whoever I'm interviewing, for whatever reason,

12:33the last question is, well, how long do you think

12:34that humans or our evolutionary derivatives will last?

12:37And the answers are shockingly wide-ranging.

12:40Some people say, I think we've only got 100 years left,

12:42or some people say billions, some people say

12:44as long as the universe lasts.

12:46But the person who once said,

12:47it was a medical student, applicant,

12:49who said, I think we've only got 100 years left.

12:51And I was like, really, for all of humanity,

12:53everything will be gone in 100 years?

12:54And he said, yes.

12:55And I said, well, sweet Jesus, man, why go to med school?

12:59Why not go sell bananas on the beach?

13:00And then he said, I really wanna make the last few 100 years

13:03count really matter.

13:05And I said, oh, well, that's actually kind of,

13:07sort of hopeful in a really dark way.

13:08But I think we've never been better situated

13:12to actually last for the long term.

13:13Even though we've also never been at the greater risk

13:16of being able to destroy ourselves,

13:17ever since really the first nuclear test,

13:20when they, Tony Orbe has a great book about this

13:22called "The Precipice," where the precipice for humanity

13:25is at one point we made technologies

13:26that we weren't sure whether or not

13:28they would destroy the Earth or the entire universe.

13:31So the math was incomplete and there was too much error,

13:33but they tested the bomb anyway.

13:35But it's an extraordinary place as a species to think,

13:38we now have something in our hands

13:39that may destroy the Earth and possibly a chain reaction

13:42that destroys the whole universe.

13:43Let's try it anyway, as a stage that we're at as a species.

13:47- But with that power comes an ability

13:49to get to other planets to survive long term.

13:52And when you think about the heat death,

13:53that just becomes, that's an ad infinitum question.

13:55If you keep thinking, well, we survive,

13:57we go to the next sun, and then you go to the next sun,

13:59eventually the question will be,

14:00well, if you just keep doing that forever,

14:02at some point the universe either continues to expand

14:04or it could collapse back in itself.

14:06And the heat death is more likely at this point

14:08where it just keeps expanding and expanding,

14:10everything gets too far away.

14:11But even in that case, I think if we had

14:13a fundamental knowledge of physics and space-time

14:16that you could try and restructure it

14:17quite literally the shape of the universe to prevent it,

14:19I think we would, I think we would wanna survive.

14:21I think, unless we had done the math

14:23and we think that there's a greater chance

14:25that the next universe would form and make more life,

14:28maybe we would, but even then,

14:30I think humans have always wanted to survive

14:32and you could argue maybe should survive because--

14:35- And are able to engineer systems that help us survive.

14:38- Yeah, yeah, and always have, yeah.

14:40- So what is this though, the Tsar Bomb, yeah, the hydrogen.

14:43Yeah, there's nothing more terrifying

14:48and somehow inspiring than watching

14:51the mushroom cloud of a nuclear explosion.

14:54It's like humans are capable of this.

14:57They're capable of leveraging the power of nature.

15:00- To completely obliterate-- - Destroy everything.

15:04- And to create propulsion.

15:06I mean, most of the Voyager spacecraft are nuclear-powered

15:08because it's still in many ways the most efficient way

15:10to get a tiny amount of fissile material

15:12and make power out of it.

15:14So they're still slowly drifting,

15:16they're past the heliosphere,

15:17they're now into interstellar space

15:19and they're nuclear-powered.

15:20So it's like any tool or technology.

15:22It's a tool or a weapon depending on how you hold it.

15:25- Are we alone in the universe, Chris Mason?

15:29What do you think?

15:30So the presumption that you've just mentioned

15:33is let's just focus on our thing.

15:35- Yeah, for now.

15:36Well, I think we, as far as we know,

15:39there's no other sentient life out in the universe

15:41that we've found yet.

15:42And I think there's probably bacterial life out there

15:45just because we found it everywhere we've looked on Earth.

15:48It is, and there's, you know,

§03Transcript · 15:50–23:32

15:50halophilic organisms that can survive in extreme salts.

15:52There are cyclophiles that in extreme cold.

15:55There's basically organisms that can survive

15:57in really almost any possible environment

15:59that can adapt and find a way to live.

16:01But as far as we know, we're the only sentient ones.

16:03And I think this is the famous, the Drake equation,

16:06or how many, where is everyone,

16:09is what Enrico Fermi said,

16:11is why haven't we heard from anyone

16:13if there are these other life forms?

16:14I actually think the question is wrong

16:16to phrase it that way

16:17because the Earth has only been here for 4.5 billion years.

16:22And life may be only for a few billion of those years.

16:25Complex life only for several hundred years,

16:27hundred million years of life we've actually had.

16:30And humans, only in the past few million years

16:32since our last common ancestor.

16:33So it's not that much time.

16:35But even further back,

16:36the universe hasn't had that much time itself

16:38to cool and create atoms

16:40and have them spread around the universe.

16:42So the current estimate's 13.8 billion years

16:45of just the whole universe.

16:46But it's been the first five or six of those billion years

16:49really just like cooling and making enough of the stars

16:52to then make the atoms that would come from supernovas.

16:54So I actually think we might be the first,

16:57or still one of the very few,

16:59or one of the early life forms.

17:00But the universe itself hasn't had that much time

17:03to make life in a galactic and universal timeframe.

17:06You needed billions of years for the elements to be created

17:09and then distributed.

17:11And we're only really in the,

17:12I think the last few billion years

17:13where I think even life could have been made.

17:16So I think the question of where is everyone

17:18is the wrong question.

17:19I think the question is,

17:21I think we are the first ones at the party.

17:23Let's set up the liquor, let's set up the food.

17:27I just think we're the first ones at the party of life,

17:29but more people are coming.

17:31- One of the early attendees to the party.

17:34- Yeah, maybe the first, as far as we know, the first.

17:37But maybe we'll find some--

17:38- In the local pocket of the universe.

17:40- Yeah.

17:41- 'Cause the parties then expand and it overflows.

17:44- Yeah, that's right.

17:45And then there's a mosh pit

17:46and then you bump into the other galaxy.

17:48I think the question should be,

17:51when else is everyone getting here

17:54instead of where is everyone?

17:55I think we've just started

17:57on the genesis of life in the universe.

17:59- Yeah, so not where you have they

18:01or not more about when and who

18:04and how do we set up the party.

18:06- Right, and then how do we help them?

18:08I think it's an interesting other moral question

18:09is do we, a lot of Star Trek episodes,

18:12the prime directive is you do not interfere

18:13with another planet if you could pass by a planet.

18:16I think it's time to also revisit that

18:18because what if you go by a planet

18:20and we think that with, as far as we can tell,

18:23with enough certainty that they would never be able

18:25to leave their planet and then the sun eventually

18:28would engulf that planet, wherever that planet might be

18:30in some solar system.

18:31But if we had a way to help them,

18:33their culture, their science, their technology,

18:35everything about a different species to survive,

18:39would we not interfere?

18:41I think that would actually be wrong to say,

18:43well, we can save this life here and we decide not to.

18:47We decide after millions and billions of years pass

18:50and we know the sun will engulf that planet.

18:52Like what will happen with our planet?

18:54We don't interfere.

18:55That's watching a train hit someone on the tracks

18:57and not moving the train.

18:59- In terms of the effort of humans

19:04becoming a multi-planetary species,

19:06in terms of priorities, how much would you allocate

19:13to trying to make contact with aliens

19:16and getting their help?

19:17And if we look at the next 500 and beyond years,

19:22and just versus option number two,

19:25really just focusing on setting up the party

19:28on our own engineering, on our own,

19:31the genome, the biology of humanity,

19:35the AI collaborating with humans,

19:38just all the engineering challenges

19:40and opportunities that we're exploring.

19:43- I'm focused in my lab, of course,

19:46a lot on the engineering of genomes,

19:47the monitoring of astronauts during long missions.

19:51Reaching out to other aliens,

19:54we've been doing reach out to aliens

19:55since the first radio wave's been broadcast,

19:57so we're doing some of it, but to do a real--

19:59- You made it sound like your lab

20:00is mostly focused on biology,

20:02but you also reach out occasionally to aliens.

20:04- Sure, sure, occasionally.

20:06When they visit, they bring their whiskey

20:08and we have a drink.

20:09But I think we can do,

20:14we've been broadcasting into space for,

20:16at this point, almost a century, getting close to,

20:18but it's not been structured.

20:20So I think it's very cheap and easy

20:22to send out structured messages,

20:24like what Carl Sagan wrote about in "Contact,"

20:26doing prime numbers and sending those out

20:27to indicate intelligence.

20:29So there's things we can do that I think

20:31are very cheap and very easy,

20:32so we should do some of that.

20:33We can walk in, chew gum at the same time.

20:35This is one of the biggest critiques

20:37people often say of space research,

20:39and even space flight in general,

20:40is it's too expensive, shouldn't we solve poverty,

20:42shouldn't we cure diseases?

20:44And the answer's always, as it always has been,

20:46is that you can walk and chew gum at the same time.

20:48You can pass the Civil Rights Act

20:50and go to the moon in the same decade.

20:51You can improve and get rid of structural inequality

20:55while getting to the moon and Mars in this decade.

20:58So I think we can do both.

21:00- Yeah, and they kinda help each other.

21:02There's sometimes criticism of ridiculous science,

21:05like studying penguins or something,

21:07or studying the patterns of birds or fish and so on.

21:10- Some congressman stands up and says,

21:12"This is a waste of taxpayer dollars,"

21:13and then someone says, "Oh, but we..."

21:15And for example, CRISPR was pure research for 25 years.

21:18Now it's a household word,

21:20and students are editing genomes in high school.

21:23But it was just pure research on weird bacteria

21:26living actually in salt, hypersaline lakes and rivers

21:30for decades, and then eventually became

21:32a massive therapeutic, which has led to curing of diseases

21:35in this past year.

21:36- And there's stuff that you discover

21:38as part of the research that you didn't anticipate

21:40that have nothing to do with the actual research,

21:43like oceanography is one of the interesting things

21:48about that whole field is that it's a huge amount of data,

21:51neuroscience too, actually.

21:53So you could discover computer science things,

21:57like machine learning things,

21:58or even data storage manipulation,

22:01distributed compute things by forcing yourself

22:04to get something done on the oceanography side.

22:07That's how you invent the internet

22:11and all those kinds of things.

22:13So to me, aliens, looking for aliens out there

22:17in the universe is a motivator that just inspires,

22:22inspires everybody, young people, old people,

22:26scientists, artists, engineers, entrepreneurs, everybody.

22:33Somehow that line between fear and beauty.

22:38'Cause we're--

22:40- Aliens are like perfectly merged, basically.

22:42- 'Cause we don't know.

22:43I mean, for you, let's start talking

22:46about primitive alien life.

22:48Are you excited by it, or are you terrified?

22:51- I wanna make a lotion out of it.

22:53I think it'd be great if it's alien life,

22:54assuming it's safe, but I'm very excited.

22:56It doesn't have to be a lotion.

22:57- You just said a half sentence, assuming it's safe.

23:00That's the fundamental question I'm trying to get at.

23:02- If you could, yeah, presuming it's safe.

23:04So I think, you know, we have this,

23:07this beginning of some planetary protection

23:09is happening now, is we're gonna send,

23:10we're bringing rocks back from Mars in 2033,

23:13if all goes according to plan.

23:15But there's always a danger.

23:16What if you bring this back?

23:17What if it's alive?

23:18What if it will kill all of humanity?

23:19Or Michael Crichton wrote a book,

23:21"The Andromeda Strain," about this very idea.

23:23And it could, but it hopefully won't.

23:27And the only way you can really gauge that

23:29is the same way we do with any infectious agent

23:31here on Earth, right?

23:32It's a new pathogen, a new organism.

§04Transcript · 23:34–31:36

23:34You do it slowly, carefully.

23:35You often do it with levels of containment.

23:37So, you know, and it's gonna be,

23:40probably have to be where some pioneers go

23:42and would be, for example, on Mars.

23:43There might be other organisms there

23:45that only get activated once there's an ambient temperature

23:47and more humidity, and then suddenly,

23:49the first settlers on Mars are encountering

23:51a strange new fungus or something

23:52that's not even like a fungus,

23:53'cause it might be a different clade of life,

23:55different branch of life.

23:56And it could be very dangerous, or it could be very inert.

23:59I mean, most of life on Earth is not really

24:03dangerous or harmful.

24:06Let me go back, I'll get on this.

24:07Most of life on Earth is neither harmful

24:09nor beneficial to you.

24:10It's just, they're making its own way in the universe,

24:12just trying to survive.

24:14It's when, you know, it's inside of you

24:15and replicating in yourselves and destroying yourselves

24:17like a virus, like COVID, DexRCV2,

24:21that it becomes a big problem, of course.

24:22But it's, you know, just doesn't really have agency.

24:25It's just trying to get by.

24:26And so, for example, most of the bacteria

24:28on the table on your skin in the subway are pretty inert.

24:32They're just, you know, people hanging around for the ride.

24:36- And actually, just 'cause we're talking

24:38so much trash about viruses,

24:40most viruses are, don't bother humans.

24:43- Yeah, they're phages.

24:44Almost all, the vast majority of viruses are phages.

24:46There's this battle in biology that is really dorky,

24:49is that bacteria think that they're the most,

24:51you know, people who study bacteria

24:53think the bacteria are the most important,

24:54'cause there's trillions and trillions of them.

24:56They run a lot of our own biology in our body.

24:59But then people who study phages, they say,

25:00well, there's 10 times more phages than the bacteria,

25:02which can attack the bacteria and destroy them as well.

25:05So phage people think that they run the world.

25:08But we need 'em both.

25:09- What do you think about viruses?

25:13So, 'cause you said alien organisms.

25:16Wouldn't we encounter something like bacteria,

25:18something like viruses, as the first alien life form?

25:22Are they, first of all, are viruses alive or not?

25:26- So, the book definition,

25:28if you pick up a biology textbook,

25:29they'd say, technically, no,

25:31because they don't have the ability

25:33to self-replicate independently.

25:35But I would think, if you restructure

25:37how you view what life is,

25:39as far as autonomously aggregating

25:42and replicating of information.

25:44For example, AI at some point,

25:46what if there's an AI platform that we could consider alive?

25:48Like, at what point would you allow it to say it's alive?

25:50And I think we have the same definitional challenge there,

25:53is that if it can continually propagate instructions

25:57for its own existence, then it is a version of living.

26:01I think viruses don't get that category

26:03because they can't do it on their own.

26:06But they are a version of life, I'd say,

26:08but probably not alive.

26:09- Well, they are expressing themselves

26:13and doing so, on occasion,

26:15quite powerfully in human civilization.

26:17So, like you said, at which point

26:23are AI systems allowed to say?

26:26- We're life, we are--

26:27- Allowed.

26:29Humans must allow them.

26:32And viruses didn't ask for permission

26:34to express themselves to humans,

26:36they just kinda did.

26:39We didn't have to allow them.

26:40Are they, overall, though, exciting or terrifying to you,

26:46as somebody who has studied viruses?

26:49- Well, whenever given two options,

26:50there's always two more.

26:51You can do both or neither.

26:52So, here, I'll say they're both terrifying and exciting,

26:55I think, to me.

26:56More exciting than terrifying, I think,

26:57if I had to make that sandwich,

26:59and how many layers are meat versus cheese.

27:01There's a lot more cheese of excitement.

27:03- And meat is the fear, apparently,

27:06in this metaphor, apparently.

27:07- In this sandwich.

27:08Well, I love both, so it's a hell of a delicious sandwich.

27:11You quote President Dwight D. Eisenhower in your book,

27:16quote, "Plans are useless, but planning is essential."

27:20And you provide a thought experiment

27:21called Entropy Goggles.

27:23Can you describe this thought experiment?

27:26- Happily, I do this almost every day, somewhere,

27:30when I'm sitting in a given room.

27:32I will, well, a quick comment about that quote, actually,

27:35for all the NASA planning meetings for the twin study

27:37and other missions, that was often the quote

27:40that goes put up on the wall before we sit down

27:41for the day to plan the mission.

27:43It was that quote, which I--

27:44- Plans are useless.

27:45- But planning is essential, which I thought was hilarious

27:46for an official NASA meeting.

27:48But it was because you need to have a plan,

27:50but you have to know that plan might change.

27:52And so I think that's just a quick context

27:55for that quote.

27:55Craig Kundro, who's a leader at NASA's headquarters now,

27:59would always put that first slide up,

28:00and I'm like, hmm, this meeting's either gonna go

28:02really well or really bad.

28:04I don't know what's about to happen.

28:05But it's an inspiring quote because it's very true.

28:08In any case, the Entropy Goggles is a thought experiment

28:11I detail in my book, which is if you just sit in a room,

28:16any room, wherever you are, and imagine what it will look

28:19like in 10 years, 100 years, 500 years,

28:22or even thousands of years, it is a wonderfully terrifying

28:27and exciting exercise, again, it's definitely both,

28:29because you realize the transience of everything.

28:31You think of what might survive.

28:33Almost everything that you're looking at

28:34will probably not be there in hundreds of years.

28:37It will be at the very least degraded,

28:38or it might be changed, altered,

28:39completely different, moved.

28:43That trait, though, of humans, to just sit there

28:46and project into the future, easily, really seamlessly

28:49with whatever you're doing previously,

28:52is powerful because it shows what can change

28:56and what should change in some cases,

28:58but also that left to its own devices,

29:01the universe would, Entropy would come take over

29:03and really things would decay, things would be destroyed.

29:06But the only thing really preventing, I think,

29:08some of the entropy is humans, these sort of sentient

29:11creatures that are aware of extinction like ourselves.

29:13It's really one of the only forces in the universe

29:15that's counteracting the second law of thermodynamics,

29:18this entropy that's always increasing.

29:20Technically, we're actually still increasing it

29:22because we emit heat and we never have perfect

29:24capture of all of energy, but we're the only things

29:27really actively and consciously resisting it.

29:30Really, you could say life in general does this.

29:32Like ants do this when they build their big homes.

29:34They're rearranging the universe to make a nice place

29:36for themselves and they're counteracting entropy.

29:39But we could actually do it in a way that would be

29:40at a large scale and for long term.

29:43- So, but the entropy goggles is just a way to realize

29:46how transient everything is and just imagine

29:49everything that will decay or change in the room around you.

29:51So, anyone listening, if they're listening on a train

29:54or driving in their car or someone is listening right now,

29:57looking around, everything can and will change.

30:00But at first, it's terrifying to see that,

30:03oh my gosh, everything will decay and go away.

30:06But then I think it's actually liberating.

30:08I think, wait, I can affect this, I can prevent it

30:11or I can affect it or I can improve the change

30:13that may occur all by itself, say naturally.

30:16And so I think it is, but it is that awareness,

30:19again, of the frailty of life, the ever insistence

30:23in increasing entropy that you can address though.

30:26Actually, I say the same thing to first year

30:28medical students, I teach them genetics.

30:29I say, I point early in the course, I say,

30:31here's all these charts of how the human body

30:34decays over time.

30:35And I call it the inexorable march towards molecular

30:39oblivion, which the students often find,

30:42they kind of laugh at, oh, because on all the charts,

30:43they're 22 years old, but older people do not laugh

30:47as much of the thought of molecular oblivion.

30:49But we're all marching towards it to a large degree.

30:52- So this is both a great thought experiment

30:55for the environment around you, so just looking

30:58at all the objects around you, that they will dissipate,

31:03they will disappear with time.

31:05But then it's also the thing you mentioned,

31:08which is how can I affect any of the world?

31:11Like, you're one little creature, and it's like,

31:16your life is kind of, you get dropped into this ocean,

31:21and you make a little splash.

31:22And how do I make it so the splash lasts

31:26for a little bit longer?

31:29'Cause it ultimately will, I suppose the wave

31:33will continue indefinitely, but it'd be such a small

31:36impact, it's almost indetectable.

§05Transcript · 31:38–39:14

31:38And so how do I have that impact at all?

31:40On so many levels, I get to experience this as a human.

31:47Like, I recently had my cold storage hacked

31:53to where it was locked, essentially.

31:56It wasn't hacked, it was locked.

31:57And so you get to lose all your data.

31:59So for example, if you lose all your data,

32:01if you lose all your online presence, your social media,

32:06your emails, if you, like, think of all the things

32:09you could lose in a fire.

32:10There's been a lot of fires in the United States

32:12if you lose your home.

32:14And it makes you realize, wait a minute,

32:16this is exactly a nice simulation

32:19of what will happen anyway, eventually.

32:23And that eventually comes pretty quickly.

32:25And so it allows you to focus on, you know,

32:28how can I actually affect, so what matters?

32:31What lasts?

32:32And what brings me joy?

32:35I suppose that the ultimate answer is nothing lasts.

32:38So you have to focus on the things in the moment

32:41that bring you joy and that have a positive impact

32:44on those around you.

32:45That focusing on something that's long-lasting is perhaps,

32:49I don't know, it's complicated, right?

32:53'Cause like--

32:54- Well, it used to be foolhardy to say,

32:56I wanna think, like, legacy is often what people think of

32:59as they approach the end of their life.

33:00What is my legacy, what have I done?

33:02Maybe even younger in life.

33:03But it used to be really foolhardy to say,

33:05I could affect something that would,

33:06people would build the building, architect would say,

33:08I'm gonna put my name on this building,

33:10and there I'll have some sense of immortality.

33:12But that's a fleeting dream.

33:14It's not, you can't reach immortality.

33:18And if you could, it would be resource,

33:20you know, taxing on everyone else, if you really were.

33:23But I think it's okay.

33:25I mean, the book's for the next 500 years,

33:27but I presume I'll be dead

33:28for the vast majority of that time.

33:30But that is actually the liberating state of mortality,

33:33is you know that you don't have forever.

33:35So it means what can you do that is the most impactful.

33:38But you can build things that you say,

33:40I want to pass this on to the next generation.

33:42Again, the most obvious thing we do with this

33:44is if people have kids.

33:45But they don't think of this

33:47as a intergenerational responsibility.

33:49They think of it as, well, I was at the bar one night,

33:51and met this hot girl, and then things happened.

33:53Sometimes it's more planned than that.

33:54But the, there's no overarching sense of,

33:57wait, I could have something that three or four generations

33:59from now, well, that someone will receive this gift

34:02that was planned for them

34:02long before they were born or gestating.

34:05And I think we have that capacity.

34:07And that can be a version of legacy.

34:09But it's even okay if no one knows exactly who started it,

34:13but that the benefit was wrought by people,

34:16you know, again, hundreds or even thousands of years

34:18after you got it started.

34:19So I think this is, again, it's something that is,

34:23only really people that are economically secure

34:27can even begin to do this,

34:29where you can say, you know,

34:29think of Maslow's hierarchy of needs,

34:31where you need to satisfy your physical needs,

34:33all your structural needs, and have shelter.

34:35And so, you know, I'm sitting from a position

34:37of great privilege to be able to pontificate

34:39about what I hope I could do for things

34:40for people that come 200 years from now.

34:42But nonetheless, more and more people can do that.

34:45Humanity's never been in a better state,

34:47quantifiably, to be able to start to think

34:49about these intergenerational responsibilities.

34:52- Yeah, this is an interesting balance,

34:54'cause like, it seems that if you let the ego flare up,

34:59a little bit, that's good for productivity.

35:01Like saying, I can somehow achieve immortality

35:03if what I do is going to be pretty good.

35:06But then, that's actually being kind of dishonest

35:10with yourself, 'cause it won't,

35:13in the long arc of history, it won't matter,

35:15in terms of your own ego, but it will have a small piece

35:20to play in a larger puzzle.

35:22- And help people, you know.

35:23- And help people many generations from now.

35:27- And that they said, there are all these people

35:28who were looking after me before I was ever born.

35:31I think, 'cause it's a bit of just,

35:34when you go to a campsite, there's a camping rule

35:38that you always leave the campsite better than you found it.

35:40So if the fire pit was somewhat damaged

35:42and you got there, you fix it.

35:43If there was no wood, you leave a few bits of logs

35:46for the next person who comes.

35:47And this ethos is something that we just picked up

35:50from camping, and so I think if we did that as people,

35:52the world would be a better place,

35:53and the world coming ahead would also be.

35:57- That said, with these entropy glasses,

36:00how can you see through the fog?

36:03500 years is a long time.

36:05First of all, why 500 years?

36:08Most people, this is so refreshing,

36:10'cause most colleagues and friends I talk to

36:14don't have the guts to think even like 10 years out.

36:19They start doing wishy-washy kind of statements

36:22about, well, you don't know.

36:23But it's so refreshing to say, all right,

36:25I know there's so many trajectories

36:27that this world can take, but I'm going to pick a few

36:30and think through them and think what,

36:34well, it's the quote, right?

36:35Plans are useless, but planning is essential.

36:38So why 500 years?

36:40- So 500 was a little bit of what I felt like

36:43I could see clearly through the entropy goggles.

36:45I feel like I can't see--

36:47- Just a contradiction in terms, yeah.

36:48- Right, right, right, I can see.

36:50I mean, for example, if you said,

36:52Chris, what's gonna happen in a million years?

36:54Well, I'll start to describe what happens to,

36:58the moon will be farther away

37:00'cause it moves several inches away every year.

37:02And so then eventually you can't have a full,

37:04lunar eclipse after a while.

37:06I think about structures of continental change

37:08and things will move.

37:09I could describe some things,

37:10but it starts to become so vague.

37:12It's just not a useful exercise.

37:14I think if it's too far out, if it's too soon,

37:16that's not that much different

37:18from what people just do with the news

37:19and say, I think this is what the economy might look like

37:21over the next year or two years.

37:23Economists are notoriously not held accountable

37:26when they have really bad predictions.

37:27You can make really awful predictions

37:29and no one seems to care.

37:30You can just make another one next week.

37:31So too short is, I think, not necessarily as helpful.

37:35But 500, I actually, when I was first working on the book

37:39and thinking about time, I thought,

37:40well, do I do a thousand or two?

37:42I kept thinking about, the main idea was,

37:44if I were to pick this up 500 years from now,

37:47what would it look like?

37:47I changed the number.

37:48If I pick up a thousand years from now or a hundred.

37:51And I kept trying to think of,

37:53what are some timeframes

37:54where really large scale changes have happened?

37:56And so, in some sense, you could argue

37:58that humans have been mostly the same

38:00for about three or 4,000 years.

38:01And the best example is this.

38:02You looked at some of the Homer's poems

38:04or the Greek tragedies in Oedipus, for example.

38:08Humans are really almost identical.

38:11We're still petty and people have affairs

38:14and people do things they shouldn't.

38:16People, it's a--

38:17- You're saying all those things like it's bad.

38:19- I know, it's just me.

38:20You read that it's astounding and in some sense soothing

38:24that the Greek tragedies of 2,300 years ago

38:27are very relatable to what happens

38:29in every high school.

38:30So, that's why you read them in high school.

38:32Like, oh, that's really a clear part of the human condition.

38:34So, on that sense, some things are really permanent.

38:36But I want to think of a few reasons I chose 500

38:39is that it's a timeframe where I could foresee

38:42clear development of some biotechnology

38:44that will get us to a new place,

38:46including missions to Mars that are planned

38:48that will be there and that would start

38:49to have settlements there on the moon and Mars.

38:52And I could see also that by that time,

38:55I think we would have enough knowledge of biology

38:57and technology and space medicine

39:00to start to prepare for an interstellar mission,

39:02to actually send people on a craft

39:04that would have what's called a generation ship.

39:06People live and die on the same spacecraft

39:08on the way towards a destination.

39:10But I think we need that much time

39:11to actually perfect the technology

39:14and to learn enough about physiology

§06Transcript · 39:15–46:56

39:15to be able to make it for that distance.

39:18- And the book is kind of focused on the human story.

39:22So, a specific slice of the possible futures.

39:26- Yes.

39:27- There could be sort of AI systems,

39:29there could be other technologies

39:30that kind of build up the world.

39:33So much of the world might be lived in virtual reality.

39:35So, you're not touching any of that,

39:37you're sticking to biology.

39:38Well, not, you're touching a little bit,

39:41but focused on what the cells that make up the human body.

39:45How do they change?

39:47How do we design technologies to repair them?

39:50And how do we protect them

39:52and as they travel out into the cosmos?

39:56- Absolutely, and it's something that is part of the duty.

39:58If your duty is to keep life safe,

40:00you have to consider all means to do so.

40:03And engineering life to save itself

40:05is definitely on that list.

40:07And I think we can imagine in that timeframe,

40:11500 years, that we would,

40:13there will be AI that's continually advancing.

40:17I actually say that I'm matter agnostic towards cognition.

40:21So, if your matter is carbon atoms and cells and tissues

40:24and you have cognition, bravo, good for you.

40:27If you're silicon based and you're in chips

40:29and you're in AI, that's all virtual,

40:31but we reach a state of well beyond the Turing test

40:34and really clearly intelligent, congratulations to you too.

40:37So, I feel like this sense of duty is applicable

40:41regardless of what the state of matter

40:43your cognition is based in.

40:44So, I would imagine that AI platforms

40:47that are really intelligent

40:48might also get a sense of this duty.

40:49Or I hope that would, I wrote the book on them too.

40:51- That can carry that flame

40:53of whatever makes humans special.

40:55So, but why nevertheless is so much of your focus

41:00on this human meat vehicle?

41:04Do you think it's essential?

41:06- It doesn't have to be meat, no, it definitely does not.

41:08It could be, I'm hoping that the AI platforms

41:11that we've built or that would become,

41:12that would start to build themselves

41:14would also carry the sense of duty.

41:17'Cause at that point they would be life.

41:18And so, whichever means that life,

41:21whatever form life takes, it should have this duty I think.

41:25- Will it have the lessons of genetics, genomics,

41:29DNA and RNA and proteins and the squishy stuff

41:33that makes us human, are those lessons a temporary thing

41:38that will discard or will those lessons

41:42be carried forward?

41:43- You mean like if the machines completely take over,

41:45let's say, and it's all--

41:46- Not necessarily completely take over,

41:48but either completely take over or merge with humans

41:51in some interesting way where we,

41:53as opposed to figuring out how to repair cells

41:56and protect cells, we start having some cyborg cells.

42:01- I think we will, there'll definitely be a blending

42:03and blending's already happened.

42:04There's prosthetic limbs, there's cybernetic limbs,

42:06there's neural link, progress being made

42:10to blend biology and cybernetics and machines for sure.

42:13But I think in the long term, we'll see that they

42:18are fairly, the biology would be useful

42:21because it's a manufacturing system.

42:24All of life is a way to create copies of things

42:27or to replicate information,

42:28including storage of information.

42:30Actually, hard drives are probably one of the worst ways

42:32for long-term storage.

42:34DNA might end up being the best way to have

42:37millennia or even longer scale storage

42:40where you want something that has redundancy

42:41that's built in and it can store

42:43and can be put at really cold temperatures

42:45and survive even cosmic rays.

42:47So I think DNA might be the best hard drive

42:50of the future potentially.

42:52- This is really interesting.

42:53Okay, what is DNA?

42:55What is RNA?

42:56And what are genes?

42:58- Yes, we should, 'cause most,

42:59I presume the audience knows it,

43:00but some might just be first-time listeners.

43:03- There's a person right now--

43:04- Who's late.

43:05- In Brazil smoking a joint, sitting on the beach,

43:09and just wants to learn about DNA.

43:11So please, can you explain it to them?

43:14- DNA, the deoxyribonucleic acid, is the recipe for life.

43:19It is what carries the instructions.

43:21In almost all of your cells, you have a copy of your genome.

43:24It's actually the reason I became a geneticist

43:25is 'cause the day I learned that as an embryo,

43:28we start with just a single cell,

43:30but all the instructions that are there

43:31to make every single type of cell in your body,

43:34I was, and still am, endlessly fascinated by that.

43:37That is extraordinary.

43:39That is, to me, the most beautiful thing

43:41in the entire universe.

43:42That is, from one single embryo,

43:45everything is there to make the entire body.

43:46- Which aspect of that is most beautiful?

43:48So is it that there is this information within DNA

43:52that's stored efficiently,

43:55and it also stores information on how to build,

43:58not just what to build.

43:59- Yeah.

44:00- And so from all of that, what's the sexiest,

44:03what's the most beautiful aspect?

44:05Is it the entire machinery,

44:07or is it just the information is there?

44:09- It's the fact that the machinery is the information.

44:13It becomes its own manufacturer is what is extraordinary.

44:18Imagine if you took a one two by four

44:21and you threw it on the ground,

44:22and you said I'll be back in a day,

44:23and then a whole house was made when you came back.

44:25I mean, we would all lose our minds.

44:26A lot of people would poop their pants.

44:27People would have to wear adult diapers.

44:28It would be a big scene if that happened.

44:31And we're actually getting close to that,

44:33to people having autonomous house building.

44:35It's not quite there yet,

44:36but there are people trying to make robots

44:38that will build entire houses for you.

44:39- But you need much more than the block of wood.

44:41- Right, right, that's the extraordinary thing,

44:43is just one piece of wood there,

44:45and say I'll just leave it there for a few days,

44:46and I'll come back.

44:47That's basically what embryos do.

44:48Okay, it takes nine months, a little bit longer,

44:50but still, that is nothing short of magic, right?

44:53So I think that's what I love about the fact

44:56that DNA carries that information.

44:58Now, the information is static,

45:00so to actually read that information,

45:02and to actually put it into motion,

45:04is where RNA comes in.

45:05So this ribonucleic acid,

45:06so it just has one other oxygen added to it,

45:09versus DNA, but it's the transcribed version.

45:11It's like if you look at a book,

45:13and you have it in your hands,

45:14but then you start to read it aloud,

45:16it becomes the active form of the recipe for life,

45:19is the RNA.

45:20And those RNAs also then get translated to become proteins,

45:24to become active forms like enzymes.

45:26You think of like your hair,

45:27or think of other ways you digest food.

45:29There's all these active proteins going around

45:32that are copying your DNA, making RNA,

45:35making sure your DNA is safe.

45:36All these built-in systems

45:37to keep your cells in check and working,

45:40and these are often in protein form.

45:43And so genes are really these constructs,

45:47basically what are the instruction sets?

45:48Like how many versions of instructions

45:50do you have in your genome?

45:51So the genome is the collection

45:53of all the DNA of a person.

45:54For humans, it's about three billion letters

45:57of genetic code.

45:57Three billion A's, C's, G's, and T's,

46:00these nucleotides that are the recipe for life,

46:02and that's it.

46:03That is the entire instruction set

46:04to go from that one embryo up to a full human,

46:07which is pretty efficient,

46:08to say that's actually not that much information.

46:11And in that three billion letters

46:12are snippets of the genes,

46:14which are independently regulated,

46:16autonomous instruction sets, if you will,

46:18these really active forms of the instructions

46:22from your DNA to say, "Make a protein,

46:24make this RNA, or turn off some other part of a cell."

46:28All those instructions are there in our DNA,

46:31and there's about 60,000 of these genes

46:33that are in our genome.

46:34- So how do those all lead up to you

46:36having a personality, good memory and bad memory,

46:42some of the functional characteristics

46:43that we at the human level are able to interpret,

46:46the way your face look, the way you smile,

46:50you're good at running or jumping,

46:54whether you're good at math and all those kinds of things.

46:56- There's an age-old debate of nature versus nurture.

§07Transcript · 46:59–54:04

46:59So like most things, if given two options,

47:01you can of course have both.

47:02So almost every trait that we know of in humanity

47:05has mixtures of nurture and nature.

47:07Some of them are purely nurture.

47:09So most people are probably familiar with twin studies,

47:11but twin studies are one of the best ways to gauge

47:14how much is something nurture versus nature,

47:16how much of it is really ingrained

47:18and has probably less ability to change

47:20versus how much can you really train.

47:21So height, for example,

47:23is one of the most obvious inheritable traits,

47:25but it doesn't have one gene.

47:26It probably has at least 50 or 60 genes

47:29that contribute to height.

47:30So there's not like a gene for height.

47:33Some people think of like the gene for cystic fibrosis.

47:35Now in that case, that's true.

47:36There is one gene that if you have mutations,

47:38you get cystic fibrosis as a disease.

47:41But for other traits, they're much more complicated.

47:43They can have dozens or even hundreds of genes

47:45that influence your risk and what appears.

47:48But from twin studies, you take monozygotic twins,

47:50twins that are identical, and you can clearly tell.

47:53They look, they have the same facial structure,

47:54similar intonation, similar even likes.

47:56And you compare them to dizygotic twins,

47:59or when you have fraternal twins,

48:00you can have a male and female,

48:02for example, in the same uterus.

48:03And those are dizygotic twins or two zygotes.

48:06So in that case, they share 50% of their DNA,

48:09but they share the same womb.

48:10And then what you can look at is,

48:12what's the difference between identical twins

48:14versus fraternal twins?

48:15And calculate that difference for any trait.

48:17And that gives you an estimate of the heritability,

48:20or what's called H squared.

48:21So that's what we've been doing for almost every trait

48:24in humanity for the past 100 years,

48:26we've been trying to measure this.

48:27And religion is one that's a negative control.

48:29So if you separate people and see what religion

48:30they become, there's no gene for religion,

48:32or what religion you choose.

48:34So often, the correlation there is zero,

48:37because it should be.

48:38It's a nurture trait, what religion you end up taking

48:41is not encoded in your DNA.

48:43- Religion meaning Islam, Judaism, Christianity,

48:47but there could be aspects of religions that--

48:50- Good question, there is religiosity as a trait

48:53that has been studied in twins,

48:55and that has a heritable component to some degree.

48:58So, and things like boredom susceptibility is a trait.

49:01One of my favorite papers just looked at,

49:02how likely is it that people get bored?

49:04And they looked at identical twins and fraternal twins,

49:06and there's a heritability of about 30%.

49:08So it's mostly not heritable, it's mostly environmental,

49:11but that means to some degree, whether or not you're bored,

49:14you can say, well, it's a little bit of my genes.

49:16You could, a little bit, not a lot,

49:18but most traits have some degree,

49:20and they're probably overlapping with other traits.

49:22Like your boredom susceptibility

49:23versus risk-seeking behavior are interrelated.

49:25So how likely are you to say, I wanna go cliff jumping,

49:29or I wanna go, I wanna do freebasing,

49:31or I wanna do some else that's risky behavior.

49:34- So speaking of twin studies,

49:37Scott Kelly spent 340 consecutive days out in space.

49:42You analyzed his molecular data,

49:45DNA, RNA, proteins, small molecules.

49:47What did you learn about the effect of space

49:50on the human body from Scott?

49:53- We learned that space is rough on the human body,

49:56but that the human body is amazingly

50:00and monstrously responsive to adapt to that challenge.

50:03It can rise to the occasion.

50:05So we can see there, Scott had,

50:08as almost all astronauts do, a bit of puffiness and spikes

50:11in his bloodstream of these, what are called cytokines,

50:13or these inflammation markers of the body,

50:15is clearly saying to itself, holy crap, I'm in space.

50:19And liters of fluid move to the upper torso,

50:21and they get a puffy face, what's called the,

50:23an astronaut face that is very common,

50:26but it goes away after a few days.

50:27And some astronauts maintain high levels of stress

50:31for their whole mission, as measured by cortisol

50:33or some of these other inflammation markers.

50:35Whereas Scott actually had a little spike,

50:37but then he was cool as a cucumber for most of the mission.

50:40But he had spent, at that time,

50:41that was the longest ever mission for a US astronaut.

50:44A few cosmonauts have gone a little bit longer,

50:46but there'd never been a deep molecular analysis

50:48of what happens to the body after about a year in space.

50:50So it was the first study of this kind.

50:53And what we found is, when he got back,

50:55we saw all the same markers of stress on the body

50:58and changes spiked up to levels we'd never seen

51:01for any other astronaut before.

51:02So it seemed like going to space for a year

51:04wasn't so hard as much as returning to gravity

51:07after a year, it was much harder on the body.

51:09He notoriously had, broke out in a rash all over his body,

51:13and really, even the weight of clothing on his skin

51:15was too heavy, it created all this irritation

51:17'cause his body had not felt the weight

51:19of just a simple T-shirt.

51:21It wasn't really, it had zero weight, of course, right?

51:23So it went up in space.

51:24So that led to all this inflammation, all these changes.

51:26He had to, you know, he was much more comfortable

51:29just to walk around nude.

51:30In that case, it was for medical reasons.

51:31Some people do this recreationally.

51:33He was doing it for medical purposes.

51:34- I do it for medical reasons as well.

51:37- All the time.

51:37- I mean, people say--

51:38- I have a prescription, the doctor told me.

51:41- So he was allergic to Earth, you can say.

51:43- Yeah, exactly.

51:43- Which is fascinating to think about, actually.

51:45How quick did his body adapt there?

51:47- So there, it was about three to four days

51:49he got back to normal, at least in terms of the inflammation.

51:51But what's extraordinary is that we measured

51:54a lot of other molecules, genes, structural changes,

51:58tissue, looked at his eyeballs, looked at his vasculature.

52:01It took him, even six months after the mission,

52:03a lot of the genes that had become activated

52:05in response to space flight were still active.

52:08So things like, we could see his body repairing DNA.

52:11It was being irradiated by cosmic rays

52:13and by the radiation.

52:14It's the equivalent of giving three or four

52:15chest x-rays every day, just in space.

52:18And we could see his body working hard

52:21at the molecular level to repair itself.

52:23And even in his urine, we could see bits of

52:24what's called 8-oxyguanosine, a form of damaged DNA

52:28that you could see coming out.

52:29And we see it for other astronauts as well.

52:30So it's very common.

52:31You can see damaged DNA, the response of the body

52:33to repair the DNA.

52:35But even though he'd been back on Earth for six months,

52:37that was still happening, even six months later.

52:39- How do you, wait, how do you explain that?

52:42- So some of this has to do with,

52:43when you have a gene get activated,

52:45you might think, oh, it's like a light switch.

52:46I'll look at my wall, just flip a light on or off.

52:49And sometimes turning a gene on or off is that simple.

52:52Sometimes you just flip it on because the gene

52:53is already ready to go.

52:55Other cases, though, you have to reprogram

52:57even the structure of how your DNA is packaged.

53:00It's called an epigenetic rearrangement.

53:01In that case, we could see that a lot of these genes

53:04had been, his cells had changed the structure

53:06of how DNA was packaged.

53:08And it remained open even months after the mission.

53:11Now, after about a year, it was actually

53:12almost all back to normal.

53:1399% of all the genes were back to where they were

53:15in pre-flight levels.

53:16So it means that, you know, eventually you'll adapt,

53:18but there's almost a lag time,

53:21kind of like jet lag for the body,

53:22but jet lag for your cells to repair all the DNA.

53:25- What was the most surprising thing

53:27that you found in that study?

53:29- There were several surprises.

53:30One is just that he, that the repair,

53:33as I just mentioned, that the repair took so long.

53:35I thought maybe a week or a few days,

53:36he'll be back to normal.

53:37But to see this molecular echo in his cells

53:40of his time in space still occurring was interesting.

53:43His telomeres was one that was really surprising.

53:44The caps on the ends of your chromosomes,

53:47which keep all your DNA packaged,

53:49and you get half your chromosomes from your mother

53:50and half from your father,

53:51and then you go on and make all your cells.

53:53Normally, these shrink as you get older,

53:55and telomeres, length is just an overall sign

53:58of aging, getting shorter.

53:59His telomeres got longer in space.

54:02And so this was really surprising

54:03'cause we thought the opposite would happen.

54:04So he, that was genetically one surprise,

§08Transcript · 54:07–1:01:09

54:07and also some of the mutations we found in his blood,

54:09he had less mutations in blood,

54:11as if his body was almost being,

54:12like a low dose of radiation was sort of cleansing his body,

54:15of maybe the cells that were about to die

54:17is one of our main theories on what's happening.

54:19- And of course, you can't really,

54:21you have theories, but you can't,

54:23'cause the number of subjects in the study is small.

54:27- Right, right, it's notoriously one

54:28of the lowest-powered studies in human history, yes.

54:31But what you lack in subjects,

54:34you can make up for in the number of sampling times.

54:36So we did basically 260 samples collected

54:39over the course of three years.

54:40So we really, almost every few weeks,

54:42had a full workup, including in space.

54:45So that was the way we tried to make up for it.

54:47But we've tried in other model organisms.

54:49In mice, we've seen this.

54:50We've looked now in 59 other astronauts.

54:52And in every astronaut that we've looked at,

54:53their telomeres get longer in space.

54:56- Does that indicate anything about lifespan,

54:58all those kinds of things, or no?

55:00You can't make any of those kinds of jumps?

55:01- Not yet.

55:02I won't make that jump yet,

55:03but it does indicate that there is a version

55:05of cleansing, if you will, that's happening in space.

55:08A mixture of, we see this actually clinically

55:11at our hospital.

55:12You can do a low dose of radiation

55:14with some targeted therapies

55:15to kind of activate your immune cells.

55:17It's even tried clinically.

55:19So this idea of just a little bit of stress on the body,

55:22or what's called hormesis,

55:23may prime you into active of cleansing,

55:26things that were about to die.

55:27- And that includes stress caused by space.

55:31- Yes, yeah, apparently.

55:32- So how do we adapt the human body

55:37to stress of this kind for periods of multiple years?

55:42What lessons do you draw from that study

55:44and other experiments in space

55:46that give you an indication

55:48of how we can survive for multiple years?

55:51- I think we know that the radiation

55:53is one of the biggest risk factors,

55:55and this has been well described by NASA

55:57and many other astronauts and researchers.

56:00And so there, we don't have to just measure the radiation

56:03or just look at DNA being damaged.

56:05We can actually actively repair it.

56:07This happens naturally in all of our cells.

56:09There's little enzymes, little protein,

56:12and really many machines that go around

56:14and scan DNA for nicks and breaks and repair it.

56:17We could improve them.

56:18We could add more of them,

56:20or you can even activate them before you go into space.

56:24We have one set of cells in my lab

56:26where you activate them before we irradiate them

56:28and actually prepare them for the dose of radiation.

56:31And now that is what's called epigenetic CRISPR therapies,

56:35where you can actually,

56:36instead of adding or taking away a gene or modifying a cell,

56:39you just change kind of how it's packaged.

56:41Like I was just describing that the DNA,

56:43the genes are still there.

56:44We're just changing how they get used.

56:45And so you can actually preemptively activate

56:47the DNA repair genes, and we've done this for cells.

56:49We haven't done this yet for astronauts,

56:51but we've done it for cells.

56:53And a similar idea to this is being used

56:55to treat sickle cell disease and beta thalassemia.

56:57You can reactivate a gene that was dormant

57:00in a way as a therapy.

57:02- So should we make human genes resilient

57:05to harsh conditions,

57:06or should we get good at repairing them?

57:08- I wanna get good at--

57:11- Okay, sorry to interrupt.

57:13I think every time I ask this question,

57:14you have taught me that there's always a third option.

57:17Say both. - I will say both.

57:19I know for copy, it's good to just have one big statement,

57:24but you wanna do both, or a third option.

57:27I would want to do electromagnetic shielding.

57:29I would wanna do a fourth option of maybe

57:31some other kind of physical defenses.

57:34- So outside of the human body.

57:35- Yeah, so we're taking the same passion

57:37to keep astronauts safe that's outside of them,

57:39and just putting it in their cells is what I propose.

57:41Now, it's a bit radical today,

57:42because we're just starting this in clinical trials

57:46to treat diseases on Earth.

57:48So it's not ready, I think, to do in astronauts.

57:50But in the book, I propose by about the year 2040,

57:53that's when we'd reach this next phase,

57:54where I think, well, we'd have known enough

57:56about the clinical response.

57:57We'll have the technology ironed out.

57:59That's about when it's time, I think, to try it.

58:01- So what are some interesting early milestones?

58:05So you said 2040.

58:08What do we have to look forward to in the next 10, 20 years,

58:11according to your book, according to your thoughts?

58:13- A lot of really exciting developments,

58:15where if you really want to activate genes,

58:18like I was just describing,

58:20or repair a specific disease gene,

58:22you can actually CRISPR it out and modify it.

58:24This has been already published,

58:26and well-documented.

58:27But as I was alluding to,

58:29more and more we'll see people

58:30that you just want to temporarily change

58:32your genes' functions, and change their activity.

58:35So the best example of this is for beta thalassemia.

58:38We all have hemoglobin in our blood

58:39that carries oxygen around.

58:41And when you're an adult, it's a different version.

58:43It's a different gene.

58:43You have one gene when you're a fetus,

58:45called fetal hemoglobin.

58:46When you're an adult, you have a different gene.

58:48But they both are making a protein that carries oxygen.

58:50When you're after you're born,

58:51the fetal hemoglobin gene gets just turned off.

58:53Just goes away, and you replace it with adult hemoglobin.

58:56But if your gene for hemoglobin is bad as an adult,

59:00then one of the therapies is,

59:01"Well, let's turn back on the gene

59:03"that you had when you were a fetus."

59:04And it's actually already led to cures

59:05for sickle cell and beta thalassemia in this past year.

59:09So it's this extraordinary idea of like,

59:10"Well, you already have some of the genetic solutions

59:13"in your body.

59:14"Why don't we just reactivate them,

59:15"and see if you can live?"

59:16And indeed you can.

59:17So I think we'll see more of that.

59:18That's for severe disease,

59:19but eventually you could see it for more,

59:21I think, work-related purposes.

59:22Like if you're working in a dangerous mine,

59:24or in a high-radiation environment,

59:27you could basically start to prime it for work safety.

59:31Basically, we need to genetically protect you.

59:33Now, it would have to be shown

59:34that that genetic option is safe, reliable,

59:39that it's better, at least as good,

59:40or if not better, than other shielding methods.

59:43But I think we'll start to see that more

59:44in the next 10, 20 years.

59:46And eventually, as I describe in the book,

59:48you could get to recreational genetics.

59:49You could say, "Well, I wanna turn some genes on

59:51"just for this weekend,

59:52"because I'm going to a high altitude,

59:54"so I'd like to prepare for that."

59:55And so instead of having to take weeks and weeks

59:57for acclimation, you could just do

59:59some quick epigenetic therapies,

60:00and have a good time in the mountains,

60:02and then come back and turn 'em back on.

60:03- So this is stuff to do on Earth,

60:05across thousands of humans,

60:07and then you start getting good data

60:09about what the effects on the human body are.

60:12How do we make humans survive across an entire lifetime,

60:16for, let's say, several decades in space?

60:19- If it's just in space, it'll be hard,

60:20'cause you'll need, basically, some gravity at some point.

60:22I think you'd need orbital platforms

60:24that give you at least some partial gravity, if not 1G.

60:28If you're on Mars, it's actually,

60:30you know, even though the gravity's 38% of Earth's,

60:33just having that gravity would be enough.

60:34And if you could get under the surface,

60:36into some of the lava tubes,

60:37where you have some protection above you from the radiation,

60:40I think that would be,

60:42you probably could survive quite well there.

60:43So I think it's the, just in space parts, that's hard.

60:46You'd need some gravity.

60:47You need some additional protection from the radiation.

60:50- Can you linger on the lava tubes on Mars?

60:53What are the lava tubes on Mars?

60:54- Yeah, so they are, but look what they sound like.

60:57They were large masses of lava at one point on the planet,

61:01pushing really quickly through the environment.

61:04And they created these, basically, these small caverns,

61:07which you could go in, in theory, and build a small habitat

61:09and then puff it up, kind of like blowing up a balloon,

§09Transcript · 1:01:12–1:08:37

61:12and have a protective habitat.

61:13Basically, it's a little bit underground.

61:14So one of the next helicopter missions

61:17being planned at the Jet Propulsion Lab

61:18is to see if you can get a helicopter

61:19to go into the lava tube, and which is just,

61:22like as it sounds, kind of like take out a big worm

61:25that has burrowed into the landscape

61:26and leave out the hollow column that's left,

61:29and that's what your tubes look like.

61:30So one of the future helicopters might even go explore

61:33one of them, there's a mission being planned right now.

61:35- So they're accessible

61:36without a significant amount of drilling?

61:38- Yeah, that's the other advantage.

61:39Yeah, you can get to them, 'cause some of them are exposed.

61:41You could do a little bit of drilling

61:42and then see, essentially, this entire cavern.

61:44- And that protects you a little bit from the radiation.

61:46- Right, 'cause you have some soil above you, basically,

61:48which would be, or regolith, which would be nice.

61:50- What about source of food?

61:52What's a good, so that's part of biology,

61:56how you power this whole thing.

61:58What about source of food across decades?

62:01- In space, we'd have to-- - In space.

62:02- Plants have been grown in flight,

62:03and you can get some nutrients,

62:05but right now it is very reliant

62:07on all the upmass being sent up,

62:09all the freeze-dried food that then gets rehydrated,

62:13which doesn't taste awful, but is not self-reliant.

62:17So I think those would have to be small bioreactors.

62:19It'd have to be a lot of work on fermentation,

62:23a lot of work on, essentially, prototrophic organisms,

62:26the organisms that can make all of the 20 amino acids

62:28that you would need to eat.

62:30I describe a little bit in the book,

62:31what if we did a prototrophic human,

62:33where you could have, like right now,

62:34we need to get some of our amino acids,

62:37'cause we can't make them all, which I think is kind of sad.

62:39So what if we could make all of our own amino acids

62:41or all of our own vitamins?

62:43I also, I think that's one case

62:45where another adaptation could be

62:47to activate the vitamin C gene.

62:49Like right now, you'd have to have limes

62:50or some other source of vitamin C in space,

62:53but we actually carry the gene inside of our genome

62:55to make vitamin C.

62:56Look at dogs and cats, for example.

62:58They have these kind of wet noses.

62:59You don't see them going out and getting margaritas,

63:02although dogs can drink beer and get drunk.

63:04They don't need vitamin C.

63:06They have no risk of scurvy,

63:08because they can make the vitamin C all by themselves.

63:10So can other wet-nosed primates, called strepsirines,

63:13but we are dry-nosed primates,

63:15and we lost this ability sometimes

63:1810 or 20 million years ago.

63:19We no longer make our own vitamin C,

63:20but the gene for it, it's called Gulo,

63:22is still in our DNA.

63:23It's what's called a pseudogene.

63:24It's just broken down.

63:26It's like having a, like in our genome,

63:27we have these functional genes,

63:28like a nice BMW, a nice car that works well,

63:30but we also have this like wrecking,

63:32this like junkyard of old cars, old genes, old functions

63:35in our DNA that we could bring back.

63:37And so vitamin C is one of them

63:38that would be very easy to do.

63:39So then you could activate the gene, repair it basically,

63:42repair it so we can make our own vitamin C.

63:44Now we'd have to do it again carefully,

63:45'cause what if we lost vitamin C?

63:48The production of vitamin C as a species,

63:49what if it was a good reason that we lost it?

63:51Maybe it was helping in some other way

63:53that we can't see now,

63:54but you'd start slowly, do it in cells,

63:56then do it potentially in animal models,

63:59in other primates, and then try it in humans.

64:01But that's something else I'd like to see

64:03so we wouldn't have to make as much food in orbit.

64:04You could actually start to make

64:06as much of your own food in your own cells.

64:08- So the input to the system in terms of energy

64:10could be much more restricted.

64:11It doesn't have to have the diversity

64:13we currently need as humans.

64:14- But I don't wanna be a robot.

64:15Humans love, as I do, texture.

64:18I realize that made me sound like I wasn't human,

64:20but humans love food and flavors and textures and smells.

64:24All that is actually attenuated in flight.

64:27So you'd wanna not forget our humanity

64:30and this love of all the benefits and wonder of food

64:35and cooking and smells.

64:36- Well, speak for yourself, 'cause for me,

64:38I eat the same thing every single day

64:40and I find beauty in everything.

64:44And some beauty is more easily accessible outside of Earth.

64:49And food is not one of those things, I think.

64:51What about insects?

64:52The people bring that up, basically,

64:55food that has sex with itself and multiplies.

64:58So cockroaches and so on, they're a source

65:00of a lot of protein and a lot of the amino acids.

65:05- And bedbugs.

65:06There's a guy at the American Academy of Natural History

65:08in New York, he loves bedbugs, Lou Sorkin.

65:11And he has a monthly meeting where he talks about

65:14which insects would be the best for eating.

65:16And one month he gave a whole talk about bedbugs,

65:18that they're pretty gross, but in terms of the value

65:22of what you can get for protein, they're really good.

65:23So they're a good candidate.

65:26I think if you could deep fry 'em,

65:28if you deep fry anything, you can pretty much eat it.

65:30Some of you need a fryer up in space,

65:31but they're a candidate.

65:33- All right, what, technical question,

65:36what are the major challenges of sex in space?

65:39Asking for a friend for reproduction purposes.

65:42So like when we're looking about survival

65:45of the human species across generations.

65:48Do we need gravity, essentially?

65:52- For sex in space, we know that gestation can happen

65:54in space where the babies can develop, at least in mice.

65:57We know that it's possible for worms to replicate and fly,

66:00so it's possible for other invertebrates

66:03to show they can make babies in space.

66:05But for humans, NASA's official stance on this

66:07is that there has never been sex in space, officially.

66:11I think, you know, if we all wonder about that,

66:16I think humans are very predictable in that regard.

66:19Again, going back to the Greek tragedies,

66:21I think that probably someone did something

66:23close to it at some point.

66:24And so I think we know that sperm can be sent into space

66:27and brought back and be used for fertilization,

66:29for in vitro fertilization for humans.

66:31But sex itself in space would be,

66:34I think when we start to get bigger structures

66:36that have a bit more privacy,

66:38I think there'll be a lot of it.

66:39And it has to be, you know, this is a big question

66:41of who goes up into space.

66:43It's now becoming more of regular, in quotes,

66:47people who have prosthetic limbs,

66:49or cancer survivors like Haley Arsenault

66:51who just went up on the Inspiration4 mission.

66:53So she's been a great researcher

66:55in helping with a lot of the science from that mission.

66:56We are doing the same analysis on them

66:58as we've been doing for the twin study

66:59and for other astronauts.

67:00We're doing basically all the same molecular profile

67:03before, during, and after space flight.

67:04So there, we now know that other people can go into space.

67:07As those more and more regular Joes and Janes go up,

67:10I think we'll see a lot more of it.

67:12But so far we have no data, we have no video of it either.

67:16We have no real knowledge other than it would be,

67:19it would need a lot of Velcro,

67:20I think is my only real answer there.

67:22- Well, I'm a fan of Velcro and duct tape.

67:25I think that's gonna be-- - I think that, yeah.

67:26- Those two are essential for anything,

67:29any kind of engineering out in anywhere, honestly,

67:32in all kinds of harsh conditions.

67:34But that is, I mean, on the topic of sex in general,

67:39just social interaction with humans is fascinating.

67:42The current missions are very focused on science

67:46and very technical engineering things.

67:48But there's still a human element that seeps in.

67:51And the more we travel out to space,

67:53the more the humans, the natural human drama,

67:56the love, the hate that emerges,

67:59it's all gonna be right there.

68:00- It's a Greek tragedy just in space, basically.

68:02I think it's gonna be--

68:03- Or a reality show.

68:04(Dave laughs)

68:06So what about the colonization of other planets?

68:09If we look at Mars, when you,

68:12first of all, do you think it's a worthy effort

68:17looking at this particular one planet

68:19to put humans on Mars

68:21and to start thinking about colonizing Mars?

68:26- It's one of the closest options.

68:28It's not the best option, though, by far.

68:30We put in the book measures of Earth Similarity Index,

68:33or something called ESIs.

68:35How close is the gravity, the temperature,

68:37the solar incidence on the surface?

§10Transcript · 1:08:40–1:16:31

68:40How close is it to Earth is a calculation

68:43many astronomers make when they look for exoplanets.

68:45And Mars is pretty far away from an ESI of about 0.7.

68:50I mean, Earth is one, so the best you can get is one.

68:52Earth is just like Earth.

68:54It gets a score of one.

68:54Anything above, you know, some of the best exoplanets

68:57that are in the habitable zone,

68:58or there's liquid water that could be there,

69:00start to get above 0.8 or 0.9.

69:02But most planets are very low.

69:04They're 0.1, 0.2.

69:05They're either way too big,

69:07and we have crushing gravity, or way too small,

69:09too close to a sun.

69:11But Mars is, even though it's not that great

69:13on the ESI scale, it is still very,

69:16relatively close, you know, galactically.

69:18And Venus is just too hot right now.

69:20So I think Venus would also be a great candidate.

69:22But it's much easier to survive in a place

69:25where it's very cold, but you can be sealed and survive,

69:27whereas going on, we probably just have no technology

69:30to survive anywhere except in the clouds of Venus.

69:31So it's just currently our best option,

69:34but it's not the best option for sure.

69:36- So over time, the ESI changes across millennia.

69:39- It does, yeah.

69:40- So Venus is gonna get cooler and cooler.

69:43Okay, but what are the big challenges to you

69:47in colonizing Mars, from a biology perspective,

69:50from a human perspective, from an engineering perspective?

69:54- There's several big challenges to Mars.

69:55And even the first one is even just the word colonize.

69:57So I think there's even a social challenge.

69:59Like a lot of people, Daniel Wood actually studies this

70:02at MIT, is we shouldn't even use the word colonize,

70:06but then we probably shouldn't use the word settle either,

70:08'cause there's settlements that have some other baggage

70:11to that word as well.

70:11And then maybe we should use the word explore,

70:13but at some point you can say,

70:14we're going there to survive there.

70:16And so colonization still is the word most people use,

70:18but I try to say go explore and build or settle.

70:22But I think the first challenge is social.

70:24I think getting people to think that this will not be

70:27like the colonization efforts of the past.

70:29The hope is that this will be a very different version

70:31of humanity exploring.

70:32That's my hope.

70:33History, you could say, has proved me wrong

70:36every single time.

70:37Like every time humans have gone somewhere,

70:39it's usually been a tale of exploitation,

70:41strife, and drama again, and then,

70:45and often murder, genocide.

70:47Like it's actually a pretty dark history,

70:49if you think of just all the colonization efforts.

70:51But I think most of it was done

70:54in a really dark area of humanity,

70:55where the average life expectancy

70:57was more than half less than it was today.

71:00It was, life was brutish and short,

71:02as many of, as Hobbes famously said.

71:04So it was a rough existence, right?

71:07So I think some of the ugliness of humanity

71:10in prior colonization times was a consequence of the time.

71:14And at least that's my hope.

71:15I think that now we would have it be much more,

71:18I think, inclusive, much more responsible,

71:21much more, much less evil, frankly.

71:23Like we'd go there and you would need commercialization.

71:26You need efforts to do mining, for example,

71:28bring things back, but it'd have to be some degree

71:30of there are some areas that are viewed as commons

71:33or that are untouchable, like places that are parks.

71:35We do this today, even if there's a lake, for example,

71:38the first, you know, several hundred feet of a lake

71:41are all for public property and everything.

71:42Like you can own property, but just not certain areas.

71:44So I think we'd have to make sure we do that

71:46so that it's not completely exploited.

71:48But the, so that's on the social, the human side.

71:50The technological, we've talked a little bit

71:52about where you'd have to live.

71:53You'd want to be underground with engineering

71:54and modifying even human cells to make sure you survive.

71:57The soil does have a lot of perchlorates,

71:59which is a problem for growing them,

72:00but there's ways to extract them.

72:02There's a fair amount of water.

72:03There's actually this beautiful image

72:04of all the known water on Mars

72:06that NASA posted about a year ago.

72:08And there's water everywhere.

72:09Not lots of it everywhere, but almost everywhere you look,

72:12there's at least a little bit of water,

72:14just a few feet under the surface.

72:16And by the caps, there's a lot.

72:17So I think we could get some water

72:19and we could also do self-generating reactors,

72:23machines that could make food, start to even make beer

72:26if you go long enough down the path.

72:28But the technical challenges are definitely,

72:30the engineering and the manufacturing are gonna be hard

72:34because you have to build the buildings

72:35basically out of the soil that's there.

72:37So you have to really go there

72:39and try and build with whatever you can.

72:40So that has to be perfected still.

72:42But then once you're in those buildings, those structures,

72:44you need to create all the biology

72:45that will feed the populace, feed them.

72:47So, which we don't have the technology for yet.

72:50We have bits of it,

72:51but I think that's gonna be the biggest challenge

72:52is making Mars really truly independent.

72:55But that'll probably take, as I say in the book,

72:56several hundred years before I think we'd get there.

73:00- It's interesting 'cause we're also exploring

73:02ways to motivate society to take on this challenge.

73:08It's the JFK thing and then the Cold War

73:12that inspired the race to space.

73:17And I think as a human species,

73:18we're actually trying to figure out different ideas

73:22for how to motivate everybody

73:23to work on the same project together.

73:25- But yet compete at the same time.

73:27- Well, that's one idea and that's worked well.

73:30- Competition. - Competition.

73:31It's not necessarily the only idea,

73:33but it's the one that worked well so far.

73:35So maybe the only way to truly build a colony on Mars

73:40or a successful sort of human civilization on Mars

73:44is to get China to get competitive about it.

73:49- And they are.

73:50They've announced they wanna have boots

73:51on the Red Planet by 2033,

73:53which is two to four years earlier

73:55than when NASA's supposed to do it.

73:57So we'll see if they get there first.

73:59But I think it's a space race 2.0,

74:00but it's not just the US and Russia this time.

74:03It's China, it's India, it's the UAE, it's Europe,

74:05it's the USA, JAXA is the Japanese Space Agency,

74:09and there's the US.

74:09So now it went from just a two-person race

74:13to a whole field, a whole field of runners,

74:18if you will, on the track trying to get to Mars first.

74:20And I think, I mean, this can be like anything.

74:22If you start to have settlements and construction projects

74:25and places to visit on Mars,

74:27I think that the true mark of a place

74:30being actually settled is when you start to be able to pick.

74:33You're like, well, I wanna go to this destination,

74:35not this one, because they have better Martian cocktails

74:37here, but this one's not as good.

74:38So this idea of innovating and competing

74:42will continue to drive, I think, humans as it always has.

74:45- You write this fascinating thing, which is, quote,

74:48"People living on Mars will have developed

74:51"entirely new cultures, dialects, products,

74:53"and even new religions or variations of current religions.

74:57"For example, a Martian Muslim will need to pray upward

75:01"toward the dusty sky."

75:02I love that you've thought through the geometry of this.

75:06"For example, a Martian Muslim will need to pray upward

75:09"toward the dusty sky since Earth,

75:11"and therefore Mecca, will sometimes be overhead.

75:14"Or when Mecca's below the Martians' feet,

75:18"the prayer direction to Allah will stay downward

75:22"toward the 38% gravity floor.

75:25"Perhaps a second Mecca will be built on the new planet."

75:29End quote.

75:30That's another interesting question.

75:34How will culture be different on Mars

75:37in the early days and beyond?

75:38- Yeah, it'll be, as we've seen with all of human history,

75:42I think even just when people migrate and they move,

75:46even the dialects change.

75:47Even just going to the South in the United States,

75:49there's the, "Oh, y'all, come on down."

75:52And that's not even that far away.

75:53Or even just people on Long Island versus New York City,

75:56and it'll be with a big nasally accent,

75:58and oh yeah, and the people will just get,

76:00or even Wisconsin, I'm from Wisconsin,

76:01which there'll be this big nasally tone,

76:03"Welcome to Wisconsin and Minnesota."

76:06- I wonder who defines that culture,

76:08because it's very likely that the early humans on Mars

76:12will be very technically savvy.

76:15They have to be for engineering challenges.

76:17Well, actually, I don't know.

76:18It could be the, this has to do with your extreme microbiome

76:22is like, is it going to be the extreme survivalists,

76:26or is it going to be the engineers and scientists,

76:29or is it gonna be both?

76:31Because my experience of scientists,

§11Transcript · 1:16:33–1:23:48

76:33they like the comfort of the lab.

76:37- Yes, yeah. - They don't.

76:38Well, no, there's some,

76:39I keep contradicting myself nonstop.

76:41There's some bad-ass scientists that travel to Antarctica

76:43and all that kind of stuff, so.

76:45- It's an evolutionary selection for humans

76:47who can stare at a screen for eight hours at a time,

76:49or pipette for 12 hours at a time,

76:51and not talk to anybody.

76:52So it's not surprising when our scientists

76:54are a little bit awkward in social situations.

76:57But we can train them out of that.

76:59We can get them to engage other humans,

77:01not all of them, but hopefully most of them.

77:03So I think the culture will definitely be different.

77:07There'll be different dialects, different foods.

77:09There'll be different values.

77:10There very likely will be a different religion.

77:13Kim Stanley Robinson wrote a lot about this in his books,

77:15the new Martian religion that was created.

77:17So I think this idea has been discussed in science fiction.

77:20It's almost unavoidable, because there's been,

77:23I mean, just think of all the religions

77:24that have happened on Earth, with very little,

77:29I think, I mean, there's just terrestrial drama,

77:33but suddenly you have a different planet,

77:35and you then need a deity that would span multiple planets,

77:39and I don't even know how you do that.

77:40But I think someone will think of a way

77:42and make up something.

77:43- Yeah, that's look for ways to draw meaning.

77:48So religion, for a lot of people,

77:51myths, common ideas are a source of meaning.

77:55And when you're on another planet,

77:56boy, does the sense of what is meaningful change.

78:03'Cause it's humbling.

78:05The harshness of the conditions is humbling.

78:08The very practical fact that Earth,

78:12from which you came, is not so special,

78:14'cause you're clearly not on Earth currently,

78:16and you're doing fine, and you made it.

78:19- At some point, I mean, it'll be pretty harsh,

78:21like what Shackleton did doing this exploration

78:24of Antarctica and going, it was a very dangerous mission,

78:27barely made it, people died.

78:29Actually, he didn't believe in scurvy at the time,

78:31so he didn't take enough vitamin C,

78:32and some of his people died from not having vitamin C.

78:35So if we had had their genes active,

78:36the pseudogene, they'd be okay.

78:38But there, I think, the early settlers,

78:41it'll be a very different crew.

78:42But once it's comfort, once people are comfortable there,

78:44I think they're gonna, I hope they'll draw more meaning.

78:47'Cause more planets should be more meaning.

78:49I feel like it's like more hands is a better massage.

78:53I don't know if that's the best analogy here, but--

78:55- I think Aristotle said that, yeah.

78:57(laughing)

78:59I should mention that your book has incredible quotes.

79:02It's great writing, but also just incredible quotes

79:04at the beginning of chapters that are really--

79:06- Thanks, it's basically my favorite quotes.

79:08I'm like, well, I'm writing a book,

79:08I'm gonna put my favorite quotes in there.

79:10- Might as well put 'em all down.

79:12What are your thoughts about the efforts

79:15of Elon Musk and SpaceX in pushing this commercial

79:19spaceflight, and I mean, other companies,

79:21Axiom Space as well?

79:23What are your thoughts on their efforts?

79:26- It's like a gold rush.

79:27Space Race 2.0, there's a lot of terms for it,

79:30the new Space Race, I think it's fabulous.

79:32I think it's moving at a pace that is unprecedented,

79:37and also there's a lot of investment from the commercial

79:39and private sector pushing it forward.

79:40So Elon, most notoriously, doing a lot of it

79:42just himself with SpaceX.

79:43So we've worked really closely with the SpaceX ops teams

79:46and medical team, planning the Inspiration4 mission,

79:49and now some of the Polaris missions which are happening.

79:51And Jared Isaacman has been a fabulous colleague,

79:55collaborator, pilot for the missions.

79:58Again, we're doing the same deep profiling

80:00and molecular characterization of these astronauts

80:02as we've done for Scott Kelly and other astronauts

80:05that are from NASA.

80:07And we're seeing so far, actually,

80:08there'll be a lot of this presented later this year,

80:10it seems like it's pretty safe.

80:13Again, there's dangers, we can see real stress on the body,

80:15very obvious changes, some of the same changes

80:18that Scott Kelly experienced.

80:19But for the most part, they return back to normal,

80:21even for a short three-day mission.

80:23I remember chatting with Jared,

80:24and we were presenting the data to them

80:26actually just a few weeks ago,

80:27kind of a briefing to the crew,

80:29and 'cause they went to 590 kilometers,

80:30they went basically several hundred kilometers higher

80:32than the space station or the Hubble.

80:34You normally rest more radiation,

80:36the farther you get from Earth, there's more radiation.

80:38He was worried, you know, did we get cooked?

80:40It was kind of his question for me in the briefing.

80:42I said, well, actually, it looks like

80:43you can go back into the microwave.

80:44You didn't get fully cooked, you can go a little bit farther.

80:46So for the Polaris mission, they're gonna go even farther.

80:49And then also, open the hatch and go on these new spacesuits

80:52that SpaceX are designing that'll be much nimbler,

80:55not as much of a giant, you know,

80:57Dr. Octagon kind of a spacesuit,

81:00but really looks like just a nice spacesuit,

81:03and they're gonna go out into the vacuum of space.

81:05And so, you know, pushing all the engineering

81:07for these missions, which are privately funded,

81:09so it's people who just say, I wanna go up in space

81:12and see if I can push the limits, has been fabulous,

81:14but I think the most fabulous part is Jared in particular,

81:17but others, other commercial spaceflight drivers

81:19like John Shoffner or Peggy Whitson for the Axiom missions

81:22are coming to us, the scientists, researchers, saying,

81:25I don't just wanna go up into space just to hang out.

81:27How much science can I get done when I'm up there?

81:29What can I do, what experiments can I do?

81:31Give me, you know, blood, tissue, urine, semen, tears,

81:35I'll give you any biofluid, you know,

81:37and I always email them back and say,

81:39listen, every one of your cells is worthy of study.

81:42I send, you know, so I have this really kind of creepy

81:45geneticist email response, like I want all of your cells,

81:47you know, but it's true, because there's so much

81:49we don't know, I wanna learn as much as we can

81:51about every time I go up, anyone.

81:53So we're doing it, you know, with NASA astronauts,

81:54but it's been some of this influx of new crews

81:58that are willing to do almost anything, right?

82:00So including, we did skin biopsies

82:02for the Inspiration4 crew before and after spaceflight,

82:05and that's never been done before.

82:06We've never seen the structure of the skin

82:07and how it changes in response to microgravity,

82:10and also the microbes that change.

82:12And so we have these beautiful images

82:13of even the structure of skin changing,

82:15and the inflammation that we've seen,

82:16and like for Scott Kelly, for example,

82:18we now have a molecule by molecule map

82:20of what happens to skin, which has never been done before.

82:23- What are the interesting surprises there?

82:25- So one of the interesting things we can see,

82:27part of what's driving inflammation

82:28is we can actually see macrophages

82:30and there's other dendritic cells,

82:32pieces, like cells that are part of the immune system

82:34kind of creeping along towards the surface of the skin,

82:36which is, now we know it's actually

82:38physically driving the immune system,

82:39is these cells going and creating this inflammation,

82:41which is what leads to some of the rashes.

82:43But we didn't see as much in them as we saw, for example,

82:46some of the signatures of Scott Kelly.

82:47So we can see within the crew who's getting

82:50more of a rash or not, or who didn't experience any rash.

82:53And some people had changes in vision,

82:55some people had other GI problems,

82:59even looking at sort of what happens to the gut

83:01and looking at the microbiome of the gut,

83:02other people didn't.

83:03So we're able to see,

83:04and start to get a little bit predictive

83:06about their medicine.

83:06Right now we're just diagnosing,

83:07but it'd be good to say, if you're going into space,

83:10here's exactly what you need for each bacteria in your body,

83:13here's what you could maybe take to get rid of nausea,

83:15or other ways we could monitor you

83:16to keep the inflammation down.

83:17- What does it take to prepare for one of these missions?

83:21'Cause you mentioned some of the folks

83:22are not necessarily lifelong astronauts.

83:25You're talking about more and more regular civilians.

83:27What does it take physiologically and psychologically

83:30to prepare for these?

83:31- They have to do a lot of the same training

83:33that most astronauts do.

83:34So a lot of it's in Hawthorne at SpaceX headquarters,

83:36which if you can ever get a chance to do a tour,

83:38it's fabulous.

83:39It's really, you can see all these giant rockets

83:41being built, and then we're drawing blood

83:42over there right next to them.

83:43So it's a really cool place.

83:44But the training, they have to go through a lot of the ops,

83:46a lot of the programming, just in case.

83:48Most of the systems are automated on the Dragon,

§12Transcript · 1:23:50–1:32:06

83:50and other spacecraft, but just in case.

83:53So they have to go through the majority of the training.

83:55If you wanna go to the space station,

83:57as the Axiom missions are, including John Shroffner,

84:00you have to do training for some of the Russian modules.

84:02And if you don't do that training,

84:04then you're not allowed to go to the Russian part

84:05of the space station, apparently.

84:07So right now, John Shroffner, for example,

84:09unless he completes this additional training,

84:10all in Russian, he's not allowed--

84:12- All in Russian?

84:13- Otherwise he has to learn enough Russian

84:14to be just functional. - Wow.

84:16So it's not just technical, he also has to--

84:18- Enough, enough Russian. - Enough, enough Russian.

84:20And so, and if he doesn't learn,

84:23he can't go to that part of the space station.

84:24So interesting things like that.

84:25But you'll be, you know, it's not that far.

84:27You're like, oh, I can see it right there.

84:28I can't float over to that capsule.

84:31But technically he can't go, so you know.

84:33- Is there a Chinese component to the

84:36International Space Station?

84:38Is there a collaboration there?

84:39- Sadly not, they're building their own space station.

84:42I'm glad they're building a space station.

84:43Actually, eventually there'll be probably

84:44four space stations in orbit by 2028.

84:47Some from the orbital reef, some from Lockheed Martin.

84:49Of course, Axiom is far ahead right now.

84:52They're probably gonna be done first.

84:54But the extraordinary thing is,

84:56unfortunately there's no collaboration between the--

85:00- You see that as a negative,

85:02that's not the positive kind of competition.

85:04- It's a good question.

85:05So maybe, for example, when we get different NASA grants,

85:09you apply for a grant, you get to the lab,

85:11it goes through Cornell, the grants office.

85:13I have to sign, as a scientist, as the PI on the mission,

85:16say, I promise I will move no funds or resources

85:19or any staff to anyone in China or work with anyone in China

85:23with these dollars that you're giving

85:24to the lab for this mission.

85:26And so every other grant I get from the NASA, DOD,

85:29or sorry, let me go back to that.

85:30Every other grant I get from, say, the NIH or the NSF,

85:34even sometimes DOD, you don't have to promise

85:37that you won't talk to anybody in China about it.

85:39But for NASA alone, it's congressionally mandated.

85:41You have to promise and sign all those paperwork

85:43'cause I can't do anything with anyone in China about this.

85:46And what I view as sad about that is I wanna at least

85:48be able to chat with them about it

85:50and know what they're up to,

85:50but we can't even go to a conference in China,

85:54technically with NASA funds, about, say, space medicine

85:56or engineering a new rocket.

85:58I can go with personal funds, but I can't use those funds.

86:01- Like, you should be able to go to a conference

86:03in a friendly way, talk shit to the other scientists.

86:06Like, the way scientists do really well,

86:09which is like they compliment,

86:10but it's a backhanded compliment,

86:11like, you're doing a really good job here,

86:14and then you kind of imply

86:15that you're doing a much better job.

86:16That's the core of competition.

86:18You get jealous and then everybody's trying to improve,

86:21but then you're ultimately talking,

86:22you're ultimately collaborating closely,

86:24you're competing closely as opposed to in your own silos.

86:28Well, let me ask, in terms of preparing for space flight,

86:34I tweeted about this and I joked about it,

86:43and I talk to Elon quite a lot these days.

86:46What I tweeted was,

86:47I'd like to do a podcast in space one day.

86:50And it was a silly thing, 'cause I was thinking,

86:55for some reason in my mind,

86:56I was thinking 10, 20 years from now,

86:58and then I realized, like, wait, why not now?

87:02There's no, just even seeing what Axiom is doing,

87:07what Inspiration4 is doing,

87:08it's like regular civilians could start going up.

87:12So let me ask you this question.

87:14When do you think, we saw Jeff Bezos go out into orbit,

87:17when do you think Elon goes up to space?

87:20So his thinking about this is it's partially responsible

87:25until it's safe, because he has such a direct engineering

87:30roles in the running of multiple companies.

87:34So at which point do you think,

87:36what's your prediction for the year that Elon will go up?

87:40- I think he'd probably go up by 2026, I would say,

87:45because the number of missions planned,

87:47there'll be several missions per year

87:50through multiple space agencies and companies

87:53that are really making low-Earth orbit very routine.

87:57And by go up, I think it might also,

87:58for example, the Inspiration4 mission

88:00just went up for three days in flight,

88:02and there was enough time to get up there,

88:03do some experiments, enjoy the view, and then he came back.

88:07The Axiom missions are a bit more complicated,

88:08there's docking up in the space station,

88:10it's a shared atmosphere,

88:11so you have to follow all the ISS protocols.

88:14What's interesting about the Dragon capsule

88:16and the Inspiration4 and some of these

88:17what are called free-flyer missions,

88:19you can just launch into space,

88:20you basically have your own little mini space station

88:22for a few days, it's not that big, right?

88:24But I think that's what we'd probably see him do first,

88:26because we're gonna see a lot more tests of those

88:29in the next two, three years,

88:31but they're already been demonstrated to be safe,

88:34and then you're not trying to go for 10 to 20 days

88:36or months or years at a time.

88:38You're just up in space for a few days,

88:40but you're in proper space, it's an orbital flight,

88:42it's not just a suborbital flight.

88:44You could do a podcast from there, I think.

88:46- 2026, I wonder how the audio works.

88:49See, also, can you comment on 2026?

88:51I'll start getting ready.

88:53I'll start pushing him on this, I'm quite serious,

88:55it's a fascinating kind of--

88:57- Axiom 2 still has room,

88:58you could go on that mission if you wanted to.

89:00- So I'll ask you about Axiom.

89:01How strict are these?

89:06So this seems surreal, that civilians are traveling up.

89:11So how much bureaucracy is there still,

89:14in your experience, for the scientific,

89:16I mean, I know it's a difficult question

89:17to ask a scientist, 'cause you get to,

89:20you don't wanna complain too much,

89:23but how much, there's sometimes bureaucracy

89:26with NSF and DOD and the funding

89:28and all those kinds of things that kind of prevent you

89:32from being as free as you might sometimes like

89:35to do all kinds of wild experiments and crazy experiments.

89:38Now, the benefit of that is that you don't do

89:42any wild and crazy experiments that hurt people.

89:45And so it's very important to put safety first,

89:48but it's like a dance, a little too much restrictions

89:51of bureaucracy can hamper the flourishing of science,

89:55a little too little of that can get some crazy scientists

89:59to start doing unethical experiments.

90:00Okay, that said, NASA and just space flight in general

90:04is sort of famously very risk-averse.

90:09So what's your sense currently about like,

90:14even like doing a podcast, right?

90:17- Podcast, unless it's, I think with mixed martial arts

90:22is a pretty safe activity, unless you're doing

90:25the octagon version of your podcast.

90:27I mean, just getting there and back

90:28is the only real risky part, which is still risky.

90:31But I think, you're not asking to do open heart surgery

90:34in space, you're just saying, what if I do a podcast?

90:37And I think-- - Well, fun.

90:38You're trying to ask to have fun.

90:40And I feel like fun sounds dangerous, any kind of fun.

90:44- That's what's been extraordinary,

90:46is that traditionally, yes, I think most of the space

90:49agencies have been very, by definition, bureaucratic

90:52because they're coming from the government,

90:54but they've been that way for a really good reason,

90:56is that safety, in the early '60s, we knew almost nothing

90:59about the body in space, except for some of the work

91:02that pilots had done at really high altitudes.

91:04So we really didn't know what at all to expect.

91:05So it's good that there were decades of resolute focus

91:09on just safety, but now we know it's pretty safe.

91:12We know the physiological responses, we know what to expect.

91:15We can also treat some of it.

91:16We'll hopefully soon will treat a lot more of it.

91:19But if you just wanna go up there, it's actually,

91:21now it's just a question of cost.

91:23Like imagine, I think the way you can view a lot

91:25of the commercial spaceflight companies is that

91:28if you have the funds, you can basically plan the mission.

91:31All the training they'll do is to help you get prepared

91:33for how you run some of the instrumentation,

91:35how you can fly the rocket to a limited degree,

91:37and how to use some of the equipment.

91:39But fundamentally, it's no longer a question of years

91:43and years of training and selection,

91:44this impossible odds task of becoming an astronaut.

91:47It's frankly just a question of funds.

91:50- Expensive plane ride.

91:51So how much, you mentioned Axiom, is it known how much

91:56it costs for the plane ride?

91:58- There is no official number, and it depends

92:01on the mission, of course.

92:02So if you ask them, often they'll say,

92:05"Well, how serious are you?"

92:06They don't just wanna give out random numbers to people.

§13Transcript · 1:32:09–1:39:08

92:09But the numbers, 'cause for example,

92:11we proposed one mission, we want a new twin study

92:13where someone goes up and stays up there for 500, 550 days.

92:17But you're basically gonna be up there

92:18for the longest time ever, to simulate the time it would take

92:20to get to Mars and back for the shortest possible duration,

92:22about 550 days.

92:24'Cause if you went there and immediately turned around,

92:26you could maybe make that mission.

92:27Otherwise, it's a three-year mission.

92:30And there, you're looking at the ranges of,

92:33it's 50 to $100 million in that ballpark range.

92:36But the reason it's so variable is it depends.

92:39What are you doing up there?

92:40If you're up there, for example, for two years, basically,

92:44almost two years, that's a long time

92:46to just be in one spot, right?

92:47So could you be doing some things where your time

92:50is valuable, so you can do experiments,

92:52and people pay for those, and that defrays the cost.

92:54Or you could build something, or you could do podcasts,

92:57and maybe fundraise on the podcast.

93:00As long as you, the reason the cost is variable

93:02is because it depends, well, do you have all the money?

93:04And you say, I wanna go and just sit in space

93:06for two years and do nothing.

93:07Well, then you have to pay for all that time

93:08that you're up there, if you wanna do things.

93:10- Yeah, I see the official AX-1 mission

93:13was 55 million for a trip to the ISS.

93:17- It's not that bad.

93:19It could be worse.

93:21- Wait, Sergey just posted a $35,000 price tag per night,

93:26per person on the ISS.

93:27Is that real?

93:28I don't know.

93:29- That's what, right, that's why--

93:30- That's like a real hotel stay.

93:32So to stay, oh, so interesting.

93:35And then I'm sure there's costs with the docking

93:38and all those kinds of things.

93:39That's from the perspective of Axiom,

93:41the private company, or SpaceX, or whoever is paying the cost

93:46in the short term and in the long term.

93:51- Yeah, and the thing about a lot of that cost

93:53is rocket fuel, a lot of it is the ride.

93:56So I've been on calls where Axiom's like,

93:58hey, SpaceX, give us, make it a little cheaper.

94:00We can make it cheaper on our end.

94:01It's the cost, that is the rocket.

94:03- So SpaceX is giving Axiom a ride in this case.

94:07What is Axiom Space?

94:08Can you speak to this particular private company?

94:11What's their mission, what's their goal?

94:12And what is the Axiom-1 mission that just went up?

94:15- Yeah, so the Axiom Space is a private spaceflight company

94:20that's building the first private space station.

94:23They actually have seen the videos and footage

94:25and hardware being put together,

94:27so they're in the process of constructing it.

94:29The hope is that by 2024, one of the first modules

94:33will be up and connected to the ISS.

94:35Eventually it'll be expanded, and then by 2028,

94:38the plan is it'll be completely detached and free-floating.

94:42And it will be, maybe even a little bit sooner,

94:44depending on how fast it goes,

94:45but they're building the world's first private space station.

94:48So if you wanna have a wedding up there,

94:50you just have to multiply the number of guests

94:51times the number of nights,

94:52and you could have a wedding up there.

94:53It'd be very expensive, but if you wanna do it, you can do it.

94:55It's like, you can have a lab up there.

94:57If you wanna do experiments, you can do experiments.

94:59You just figure out the cost.

95:00If you wanna have a beer up there,

95:02you can make your own, brew your own beer.

95:03And so this is the first beer made in space.

95:05For some reason, you wanna do it, you can pay for it.

95:06So it's opened up this space

95:09where if you can find the funds for it, you propose it.

95:12You can probably just do it.

95:14- Okay, cool.

95:15So what is the Axiom-1 mission that just went up?

95:18Can you tell me what happened?

95:19- Axiom-1 is the first private,

95:22the first commercial crew to go to the space station.

95:25So Inspiration4 was the first commercial private crew

95:28to just go into space.

95:29They went into space and actually did an orbital mission

95:31for just about three days.

95:33But Axiom-1 is the first, again, on the SpaceX rockets,

95:36but launched up, docked to the space station,

95:38and they're up there for about 10 days to do experiments,

95:41to work with staff, actually just take some pictures.

95:44But it's a mission, actually doing a lot of experiments.

95:47They're doing almost 80 different experiments.

95:48So it's a lot of, it's very science-heavy,

95:50which I love as a scientist.

95:51But it's the ability to show that you can fundraise

95:54and launch up a crew that's all privately funded

95:57and then go to the space station.

95:58- Yeah, it's four people.

95:59- Yeah, four people.

96:00And the Axiom-2 will also likely be four people.

96:02The two that have been announced

96:03are John Shoffner and Peggy Whitson.

96:05Peggy Whitson's a already prior NASA astronaut,

96:07has been at many times, done many experiments.

96:09She knows the space station like her own house.

96:12And we recently did a training with Peggy and John

96:15in my lab at Cornell to get ready for some other

96:17genomics experiments that we'll do on that mission.

96:19- So they're doing the experiments, too.

96:22What does it take to design an experiment

96:25and to run a design experiment here on Earth

96:28that runs up there?

96:29And then also to actually do the running of the experiment?

96:32What are the constraints?

96:33What are the opportunities?

96:35All that kind of stuff.

96:36- The biggest concern is what do you need

96:39for reagents or materials, the liquids that you might use

96:41for any experiment?

96:42What if it floats away?

96:43What if it gets in someone's eye?

96:44'Cause things always float away in space.

96:46There's notoriously panels in the space station

96:48where you don't wanna look behind

96:49because it's got a little fungus

96:51or food has gotten stuck there

96:52and sometimes found months and months or years later.

96:55So things float around.

96:57- The little things, wow.

96:58- And so if you have anything you need to do your experiment

97:01that's a liquid or a solid, whatever that is,

97:02it has to go through toxicity testing.

97:04And the big question is if this thing,

97:06whatever you wanna use, gets in someone's eye,

97:08will they lose their vision or be really injured?

97:11And if the answer is yes, it doesn't mean you can't use it.

97:14It just means if the answer's yes,

97:14you have to then go through multiple levels of containment.

97:16There's a glove box on the space station

97:19where you can actually do experiments

97:20that have triple layers of containment.

97:22So you can still use some harsh reagents,

97:24but you have to do them in that glove box.

97:26And so, but you can propose almost anything.

97:29The biggest challenge is the weight.

97:30If it's a heavy, it's $10,000 per kilogram

97:32to get something up into space.

97:34So if you have a big, heavy object,

97:36there's some costs you have to consider.

97:38- And that includes not just the materials,

97:40but the equipment used to analyze the materials.

97:43- One of the ones we worked on actually with Kate Rubins

97:45was putting the first DNA sequencer in space

97:47called the Biomolecule Sequencer Mission.

97:49Also with Aaron Burton and Sarah Caster Wallace.

97:52But there, the interesting thing is

97:54we had to prepare this tiny little sequencer.

97:57It sequences DNA.

97:57You can do it really quickly, within really minutes.

98:00And what's extraordinary is what you have to do,

98:03if you wanna get a piece of machinery up there,

98:04you have to do destructive testing.

98:06So you have to destroy it and see what happens.

98:07How does it destroy?

98:08Do little pieces of glass break everywhere?

98:10If so, that's a problem.

98:11So you have to redesign it.

98:13And do fire testing.

98:13How does it burn?

98:14How does your device explode in a fire, or doesn't it?

98:18You have to test that, and then you do vibration testing.

98:19So you have to basically,

98:20if you wanna fly one thing into space,

98:22you need to make four of them and destroy

98:23at least three of them to know how they destroy.

98:26- Destructive, fire, and vibration testing.

98:31I was just asking for a friend,

98:32how do you, from a scientific perspective,

98:34do destructive testing?

98:36And how do you do fire testing,

98:38and how do you do vibration testing?

98:40- Vibration, like just large shakers.

98:42So that's, actually it's mostly to simulate launch.

98:44They have a lot of machinery at NASA and at SpaceX

98:47to do just, make sure, does the thing completely fall apart

98:50if it has a high vibrational,

98:51essentially force attached to it?

98:53So it's just kind of like a big shaker.

98:55Fire testing is just to simulate what would happen

98:59if there was a normal fire.

99:00That's something that gets up to,

99:02fire temperature is several hundred degrees Celsius.

99:04And--

99:05- Open fire, or are we talking like you put in a toaster?

99:08- No, it's more like-- - Is it heat,

§14Transcript · 1:39:08–1:45:10

99:08or is it actual flames?

99:09- It's flames and heat.

99:10But it's not like a kiln or anything like that.

99:13You don't wanna know how does it burn in a kiln.

99:14It's more, is it flammable is the first big question.

99:17Like does it just start on fire?

99:18If it gets a little bit of flame on it,

99:19does it just light up like a Christmas tree?

99:20- Is there a YouTube video of this?

99:22- You know, I've checked--

99:23- Did you film any of this?

99:24- Not, not, no.

99:26Aaron Burton might still have some of the videos.

99:28We're in the middle of doing some testing

99:30for the new sequencer called the Mark 1C.

99:32So I will make videos of that.

99:34- I would love to see that,

99:36if anything, for my private collection.

99:39This is very exciting.

99:40- And the destructive testing is just,

99:41often it can be something as simple as a hammer.

99:43It's really how does it shatter?

99:44You wanna question is, are there glass components?

99:46So it's like office space.

99:48- That's right.

99:48- That scene with the fax machine.

99:51- That's right, that's right.

99:52We blow it, yeah, into the damn it feels good

99:53to be a gangster soundtrack.

99:55Yeah, that's a great scene.

99:56- That's so, that's so exciting.

99:58That kind of, that's the best of engineering

100:00is like that kind of testing.

100:02What else about designing experiments?

100:04Like what kind of stuff do you wanna get in there?

100:07You said 80 different experiments.

100:09So we're staying in the realm of biology and genetics.

100:13- Yeah, for now.

100:14But we also wanna do,

100:15some of the experiments that have been discussed

100:16in the lab have been,

100:18and some that are being planned as well.

100:19But I think the most controversial one

100:20that's come up in our planning,

100:22it gets back to sex in space.

100:24Is can human embryos divide

100:27and actually begin to develop in space?

100:28But then if we do that experiment,

100:30that means you're taking viable human embryos,

100:33watching them develop in space.

100:34Then you could freeze them and bring them down

100:35and characterize them to see,

100:37but to answer that question.

100:38'Cause we actually don't know,

100:40can a human embryo actually develop well in zero gravity?

100:43We just don't know.

100:44But to find that out,

100:46that means we'd have to literally sacrifice embryos probably.

100:49Which itself has, of course,

100:50a lot of complications, ethical considerations.

100:53Some people just wouldn't.

100:54It's a non-starter for lots of people.

100:56- But we do know that the sperm survive in space,

101:00as you earlier said.

101:01- Yes.

101:02- And nobody cares about sperm apparently.

101:04- We're doing several studies

101:05on autism risk for fathers and sperm.

101:07And it's really easy to get sperm, I'll just tell you.

101:10People say, you're helping us.

101:11- That's what I hear.

101:12- That's right.

101:13- I read that somewhere on Wikipedia.

101:14- Asking for a friend.

101:16- Okay, cool.

101:18Are you involved in Axiom 1, Axiom 2 experiments?

101:22Is your lab directly or indirectly involved

101:26in terms of experiment design?

101:27What are you excited about?

101:29Different experiments that are happening out there.

101:31- Some of them we're doing a lot of the direct training

101:33for the crews.

101:34So they're saying,

101:34how do you do a modern genetics experiment?

101:37So for the Axiom 1,

101:39for Inspiration 4 and Axiom 1,

101:40we're also collaborating with Trish,

101:42which is the translational research arm for NASA.

101:44That's in Houston.

101:46And there it's a lot of sharing of samples and data

101:48for all these missions.

101:49Basically for all the commercial spaceflight missions,

101:52there'll be a repository where you can look at the data

101:54from the astronauts.

101:54You can look at some of the genetic information,

101:56some of the molecular changes.

101:58So that's being built up with Trish,

101:59which has been fabulous collaboration

102:00between Cornell and Trish.

102:02But the other thing we're doing is for Axiom 2

102:03is training them.

102:04How do you, for example,

102:06if you want to look at a virus,

102:07you can take a swab of something,

102:08extract it, sequence it,

102:10and say, do I have Omicron?

102:11Or do I have a different virus?

102:13And we're gonna do some of the exact same work in flight,

102:15but we're having the astronauts do the extraction,

102:18the sequencing, and the analysis of all the molecules.

102:20And so one common occurrence is herpes

102:23is reactivated often in spaceflight, oral herpes.

102:26So you can see that viral reactivation

102:28is one of the biggest kind of mysteries in spaceflight,

102:30where the immune system seems to be responding a lot.

102:33It's active, the body's really perturbed,

102:35but viruses start shedding again.

102:38And it's really, and this happens clinically.

102:39Again, we see this for like, for example,

102:41hepatitis C or hepatitis B,

102:43you can get infected with it,

102:43and it can stay in your body for decades

102:46and still kind of be hiding in the body.

102:47And in this case, we see it in spaceflight,

102:49herpes comes back.

102:50So we want to figure out, is it there, first of all,

102:52and then when is it happening and characterize it better,

102:55but have the astronauts do it themselves

102:56rather than collecting it and bringing it back to Earth

102:58and figuring out later.

102:59We could see in real time how it's happening.

103:01And then also look at their blood.

103:02We'll see what is changing in their blood

103:04in real time with these new sequencers.

103:06So I'm excited about the genomics in space, if you will.

103:09- So clearly, somebody that loves robots,

103:12how many robots are up there in space

103:13that help with the experiments?

103:15Like, how much technology is there, would you say?

103:19Is it really a manual activity,

103:23or is there a lot of robots helping out?

103:25- Good question.

103:26So far, it's almost all manual,

103:28just 'cause the robots have to all undergo

103:29the destructive fire and vibrational testing.

103:32So if you have a million--

103:33- This is so exciting.

103:34- So if you can get--

103:36- That thing is a lot less than a million.

103:38So we could destroy it.

103:39- We're definitely gonna test it out for the,

103:42I guess in which order?

103:44And they have to do separate for each one.

103:45- Yeah, each one, yeah.

103:46- They have to do vibration, fire.

103:48Note to self, do fire testing for the legged robots

103:54and the destructive testing.

103:57That would be fascinating.

103:58I wonder if any of the folks I'm working with

104:01did that kind of testing on the materials.

104:03Like, what breaks first with the robots?

104:05- That's a very key question.

104:07And also, the big question,

104:08so what's interesting about this,

104:09for Axiom and for these commercial spaceflight areas,

104:12if you can fund it, you could fly it, right?

104:14So if you had to say,

104:15"I wanna fly these series of robots up

104:17"because I think they could help build something

104:19"or they could help measure or repair the spacecraft."

104:22- Or you have to come up with a good reason.

104:24- Well, for NASA, you have to have a good reason,

104:25but I think for private spaceflight,

104:26you could have, "The reason is I'm curious."

104:28And that could just be it.

104:29- Exactly, curiosity.

104:30- And I've got a private fund, or I've got your own money.

104:32- And then you pay per kilogram, essentially.

104:36And I mean, there are some things.

104:37You can't say, "I wanna send a nuclear bomb up there

104:39"because I'm curious."

104:40I don't think that would fly.

104:41- And there's probably rules

104:42in terms of free-floating robots, right?

104:46They probably have to be attached.

104:47Like, it's an orchestra that plays together.

104:50All the experiments that are up there,

104:51there's probably, it's not silos.

104:54It's not separate, they're separate kind of things.

104:56But you're saying it's all mostly manual.

104:58How much electronics is there

104:59in terms of data collection,

105:00in terms of all that kind of stuff?

105:01- A lot of electronics.

105:02So a lot of it's tablets.

105:03There's laptops up there.

105:05The whole space station is running

105:07and humming on electronics.

105:08Actually, one of the biggest complaints astronauts have

105:10is sleeping up there is hard,

§15Transcript · 1:45:12–1:53:03

105:12not only 'cause you're in zero gravity,

105:13but there's a consistent loud hum of the space station.

105:16There's so many things active and humming and moving

105:20that are keeping the station alive.

105:22The CO2 scrubbers, all the instrumentation, it's loud.

105:26So I think it is a very well-powered lab, basically,

105:31in flight.

105:32But the future space stations, I think,

105:34will be very different because they're being built

105:37more for pleasure than business,

105:39or a little bit of both.

105:40But they're built for, we want people to,

105:43at least when you talk to Axiom,

105:44when you talk to the other industry partners,

105:46they wanna make space more fun and engaging

105:49and open to new ideas.

105:50- So that's looking at the fun stuff

105:53going on in the next few years.

105:56But if we zoom out once again,

105:58how and when do we get outside of the solar system?

106:02You mentioned this before.

106:04Or maybe you can mention the other hops we might take.

106:08You know what, let's step back a little.

106:11And where are some of the fun places we might visit first

106:15in a semi-permanent way inside the solar system

106:18that you think are worth visiting?

106:20- Yeah, at the end of 500 years,

106:21I'm hoping we make the big launch

106:23towards another solar system.

106:25Really driven by the fact that we now actually

106:27have exoplanets that we know we might be able to get to

106:29and survive on.

106:31Whereas 20 years ago, we really had almost none,

106:33certainly none that we knew were habitable.

106:35And exoplanets even just discovered

106:37and started to happen until '89 and really early '90s

106:41for the real validated ones.

106:42So I'm hoping over the next 500 years,

106:45we go from thousands of possible habitable planets

106:47to hundreds of thousands or millions,

106:50especially with some of the recent telescopes launched,

106:52we'll find them.

106:53But before we get there, I have a whole section

106:56I really describe about the magic of Titan

106:58because it has all this methane,

107:00which is a great hydrocarbon you can use to make fuel.

107:02You can use it, it's cold as all bejesus on Titan.

107:06But if you can-- - Ice.

107:07- It's, yeah, it's--

107:09- So what's Titan made up of?

107:10What is Titan?

107:12Everybody loves Titan.

107:13- Yeah, it is, it's a favorite,

107:15it's this kind of eerie green-hued moon

107:19that's around Saturn that is, to our knowledge,

107:24you know, this large, it has like, you know,

107:27so cold it has these methane lakes

107:30where the methane normally is a gas,

107:32but there it actually would be so cold,

107:33it's like a lake of methane.

107:34You could go swimming in it, potentially.

107:36There might be some degree of rocks

107:38or maybe mountains there,

107:39but they might also be made of like frozen methane.

107:42So no one's ever, no person's obviously been there,

107:45but it is, you know, I have enough satellite imagery

107:47and some data that you could actually

107:49potentially survive on Titan.

107:51So I think that'd be one place where I'm hoping

107:53that we would at least have a bit of an outpost.

107:56It might not be a luxurious retreat

107:58'cause it's really cold.

107:59- Is there a life on Titan, you think,

108:01underneath the surface somewhere?

108:03- Maybe, well, actually, with all that carbon

108:06and all those hydrocarbons,

108:08it is very possible that some microbial life could be there

108:10and hanging out waiting for us to dip our toes

108:13into the methane and find it.

108:15But we don't know yet,

108:17but I think that's one place I'd like to see an outpost.

108:19I would like to see other outposts near Jupiter,

108:22but Jupiter has extremely high radiation, actually,

108:24so even places like Io,

108:26which are volcanically active and quite amazing,

108:29we probably couldn't survive that long

108:30or that close to Jupiter, though,

108:32it has because it's such a giant planet.

108:34It emits back out a lot of radiation

108:37that it's collecting from other parts of the universe

108:39and it juts back out.

108:40So if you get too close to Jupiter,

108:42you'd actually almost certainly not be able to survive,

108:44depending on which part of it,

108:46but that's one risk about Jupiter.

108:49But it'd be cool to see the giant red spot up close,

108:51maybe have some spots there.

108:53Mars is top one, then you get to pick Titan or Io,

108:56so ice, firing ice,

108:59the Robert Frost poem comes to mind.

109:02And then Europa is that--

109:03- Europa would be cool, too, and Enceladus,

109:05which is a big ocean that might be there,

109:07like an alien ocean that's under the,

109:09it might be even water ice that's there,

109:11even liquid water potentially there under the surface,

109:13so that'd be a great candidate.

109:15The asteroids of Ceres would be good,

109:17or Eros, or big enough you get a little bit of gravity.

109:20That'd be interesting, you could have it

109:22maybe a habitable place there.

109:24And they just might be big enough

109:25that you could get there, survive,

109:26and even have a tiny bit of gravity, but not much.

109:28- Why do you like asteroids?

109:30- Well--

109:31- Are you just, we're just listing vacations spots.

109:33- Yeah, vacations spots, basically, yes.

109:34I'd say, well, so they probably have

109:36a lot of rare earth minerals

109:37that you could use for manufacturing,

109:38which is why part of the space economy

109:41that's being built up now is people really wanna go

109:43and hollow out the asteroids and bring back all the,

109:46you know, all the resources from it.

109:47So this legally is very possible,

109:50'cause even though the Space Act

109:53prevents people from militarizing space,

109:56or owning all of it,

109:57if you get the resources out of an asteroid,

110:00but you don't actually say you own it,

110:01that's still, that's perfectly legal.

110:03So you could--

110:04- What's the Space Act?

110:05- Space Act, it was 1967,

110:07was the first large-scale agreement

110:10between major international parties,

110:12particularly the US and Russia, but also many others,

110:15to say that space should be a place for humanities

110:18to not militarize it, to not weaponize it,

110:20to not militarize it,

110:21also establish some of the basic sharing principles

110:23between countries who are going into space.

110:26And there was a plan to make an additional act in the '90s,

110:30the Lunar, actually I'm blanking on the name of it,

110:34but there hasn't been any significant legislation

110:37that has been universally accepted since the Space Act.

110:39- So, but the primary focus--

110:43- Was on the militarization.

110:44- Was on the militarization.

110:45- Which was, in theory, not allowed,

110:47which so far has stayed true,

110:49but there's no, is there any legal framework

110:53for who owns space and space,

110:57like different geographical regions of space,

111:01both out in space and on asteroids and planets and moons?

111:06- Currently, you can't own,

111:09you're not supposed to be able to own.

111:10I mean, people have tried to sell bits of the moon,

111:12for example, or sell names of stars,

111:14which is pretty harmless,

111:15but you're not supposed to be able to own

111:17any part of the moon, or an asteroid for that matter,

111:20but you're allowed to mine the resources from it.

111:23So in theory, you could go catch an asteroid,

111:26hollow out the whole thing like you eat an orange,

111:28and leave the shell, and say, "Okay, I'm done.

111:31"I never owned it, but I just extracted

111:33"everything inside of it, and now I'm done with it."

111:36- Of course, you see there's going to be

111:40some contentious battles, even wars, over those resources.

111:45Hopefully, at a very small scale,

111:47it's more like conflict or human tension, but...

111:51Oh boy, it's like war makes for human flourishing,

111:58after the war, somehow.

112:01Sometimes, there's just this explosion of conflict,

112:06and afterwards, for a long while, there's a flourishing.

112:10And again, conflict and flourishing,

112:12and hopefully, over a stretch of millennia,

112:15the rate of conflict, and the destructiveness

112:18of conflict decreases.

112:20- It has, at least in the past 100 years,

112:22the number of wars, number of military actions,

112:25casualties, have all decreased.

112:27I don't know if it's gonna stay that way for humanity.

112:30I think the trajectory's there.

112:33I think the warmongering is less tolerated

112:36by the international community.

112:38It's more scrutinized.

112:39It still happens.

112:40Right now, there's an ongoing war

112:41between Russia and Ukraine.

112:43You've spoken a lot about it.

112:44There sometimes will be small military actions,

112:50but I think, and even there,

112:53there's a large military action across most of the country,

112:57but not all of it, actually.

112:58I think we see less over time

113:00of large-scale multi-country invasions,

113:03like we've seen in the past.

§16Transcript · 1:53:04–2:00:57

113:04I think maybe that won't happen ever again,

113:06but you might see country-to-country battles happening,

113:09which has always happened, I think,

113:11but hopefully, less of that as well.

113:12- And yet, the destructiveness of our weapons increases,

113:17so it's a complicated race in both directions.

113:21We become more peaceful and more destructive

113:23at the same time.

113:24That's fascinating.

113:25How do we get outside the solar system?

113:27You write an epic line,

113:32I believe it's the title of one of the sections,

113:35"Launch Toward the Second Sun."

113:37That journey of saying we're going to,

113:42somehow the solar system feels like home.

113:44Earth is home, but the solar system is home.

113:47It's our sun.

113:48The sun is a source of life.

113:51And going towards the second sun,

113:55leaving this home behind, that's one hell of a journey.

113:59So what does that journey look like?

114:01When is it to happen, and what's required to make it happen?

114:06- To get to that state, we have to actually have,

114:09describe a number of options.

114:10We have to all have people survive

114:12in multiple generations, live and die on the same spacecraft

114:14towards another star.

114:16Propulsion technology, you need to have that in place.

114:19I assume we don't have dramatic improvements.

114:22I describe ways it could happen, like antimatter drives

114:24or things that could make it possible to go faster.

114:27But since it's a book of nonfiction,

114:29I just make no big leaps other than what we know of today

114:32that's possible.

114:33And if that's the case, you'd need probably 20 generations

114:36to live and die on one spacecraft to make it towards

114:39what is our known closest habitable exoplanet.

114:41Now that sounds, you need to have the life support,

114:44self-reliance, self-sustainability all in that one.

114:46It'd be a large spacecraft.

114:48You'd have to grow your own food,

114:49probably still have some areas with gravity.

114:51It would be complicated, but I think after 500 years,

114:53we could actually have the technology and the means

114:56and the understanding of biology to enable that.

114:59And so with that as a backdrop,

115:01you could have people hibernate, I talk about,

115:03like maybe you need to hibernate instead of just people

115:05living their normal life, but I think the hibernation

115:07technology doesn't work that well yet.

115:09And I don't know if it might pan out and maybe in 200 years,

115:12it gets really good and then people can all just sleep

115:14in pods, great.

115:15So I think this is the minimum viable product

115:19with everything that we have today and nothing else.

115:21So if that's the case, which of course,

115:23I'm sure more in 500 years, but basically what we know today

115:26you have people live and die on the spacecraft.

115:27And that sounds almost like a prison sentence.

115:29You say, if you were born into a spacecraft

115:32and when you got old enough age, you said,

115:34yes, you can tell we're on a spacecraft,

115:36you will live your whole life on this,

115:38let's say something the size of a building.

115:40And this is everyone you'll ever know, and then you'll die.

115:43And then your children will also carry on the mission.

115:46Would those people feel proud and excited to say,

115:49we are the vanguard and hope of humanity.

115:52We're going towards a new sun and maybe they'd love it.

115:55Or would they, after 10 generations,

115:57maybe they would rebel and say to hell with this.

115:59I'm tired of being in this prison.

116:01This is a bad idea.

116:02We're turning around or we're going somewhere else

116:04or a mutiny happens and they kill each other.

116:06Right, so we would have to really make sure

116:08that the mental health, the structure of the society

116:11is built so they could sustain that mission.

116:12That's a crazy mission.

116:14But it's not that much different from spaceship Earth.

116:17Here we are stuck on one planet.

116:18We don't have planetary liberty.

116:19We can't go to another planet right now.

116:21We can't even really go to another moon that easily.

116:24So we, and I love Earth,

116:26there's lots of wonderful things here,

116:28but it's still just this one planet and we're stuck on it.

116:30So everyone that you know and love and live with here

116:33will be dead someday and that's all you'll ever know too.

116:36So I think it's a difference of scale,

116:38not a difference of type in terms of an experience.

116:40- Yeah, it's still a spaceship traveling out in space.

116:43Earth is still a spaceship traveling out in space.

116:46So it is a kind of prison.

116:48It's always, everybody lives in a prison.

116:52- Well, let's say it's a limited planetary experience.

116:55We'll say it's like that.

116:56Prison sounds so dark, but--

116:59- Just, yeah, just like prison is a limited geographic

117:04and culinary experience.

117:06- But I don't want it to be viewed that way.

117:08I want to think, wait, this is,

117:09what an extraordinary gift.

117:10And we wouldn't probably just launch one generation ship.

117:12We'd probably launch 10 or 20 of them,

117:14the different, the best candidates,

117:16and hopefully get there.

117:17- And yeah, I mean, the fact is limitations and constraints

117:22make life fascinating because the human mind

117:26somehow struggles against those constraints

117:29and that's how beauty is created.

117:30So there is kind of a threshold, you know,

117:34being stuck in one room is different

117:37than being stuck in a building

117:39and being stuck in a city, being stuck in,

117:43like, I wonder what the threshold of people,

117:46like, I lived for a long time in a studio

117:51and then I upgraded gloriously to a one bedroom apartment.

117:54And the power to be able to like close the door.

117:59- It was magnificent, right?

118:01It's just like, wow, you can speak volumes.

118:06It's like, you can escape, that feels like freedom.

118:08That's the definition of freedom,

118:10having a door where you could close it

118:14and now you're alone with your thoughts

118:16and then you can open it and you enter

118:19and now there's other humans as freedom.

118:23So the threshold of what freedom,

118:25the experience of freedom is like is really fascinating.

118:29And like you said, there could be technologies

118:30in terms of hibernation, VR, ultra reality, virtual reality.

118:35'Cause, you know, 30 years ago, it sounded awful,

118:37I think, you'd be stuck in a spacecraft,

118:39but now you could bring the totality

118:40of all of human history, culture, every music,

118:43every bit of music, song, every movie, every book,

118:46can all be in one tablet, basically, right?

118:47So, and also you'd still get updates from Netflix

118:51if you're on the way towards another star.

118:52You could still get downloads and so,

118:54but eventually maybe the crew

118:55would start to make their own shows.

118:56And they'd be like, well, I don't want the Earth shows.

118:57I wanna talk about, I'm gonna make a drama

118:59on this spacecraft, but I think it would have

119:01to be big enough so it feels like

119:02at least the size of a building.

119:04I think people's intuitions about quarantining

119:06have really become very immediate

119:08because we've all had to experience it

119:10to some degree in the past two years.

119:12And we've survived, but definitely we've learned

119:14that you need a really good internet connection.

119:16You need some ability to go somewhere sometimes.

119:20And that might just be as simple

119:21as people leaving the spacecraft

119:22to go to something that's another thing connected to it

119:24or just go out into the vacuum of space

119:26for an afternoon to experience it.

119:28So people need recreation, people need games,

119:31people need toys, people love to play.

119:34- What are chlorohumans?

119:38- Chlorohumans is a description

119:40of how you can embed chloroplasts into human skin

119:43or the thing that makes plants green

119:45so they can absorb light from the sun

119:47and then get all their energy that way.

119:49And of course, humans don't do this,

119:51but I describe in the book in the far future,

119:53maybe 300, 400 years from now,

119:55if we could work on the ways

119:57that animals and plants work together,

120:00you could embed chloroplasts in human skin.

120:01And then if you're hungry,

120:03you go outside and you lay out your skin

120:05and then you absorb sunlight

120:06and then you go back in when you get full.

120:08If you only wanted to lay outside for just say one hour

120:11to get your day's fully value of energy,

120:15you'd need about two tennis courts worth of skin

120:17that you could lay out

120:19and maybe your friends would plan or something.

120:20But if they plan it,

120:21then their shadows would block your sun.

120:22So maybe you leave your skin out there

120:24and you could roll up your skin,

120:25go back inside after about one hour

120:27and that's how much skin you would need to have exposed

120:30with some reasonable assumptions

120:31about the light capture and efficiency of the chloroplast.

120:35So it was just kind of a fun concept in the book

120:36of green humans going around, absorbing light from the sun.

120:40Something I've dreamed about since I was a kid.

120:42- Is there engineering ways of like having that much skin

120:47and being able to laying it out efficiently?

120:50Like is there, it sounds absurd, but.

120:53- You could roll it up.

120:54Or you could just lay outside longer.

120:55I wanted to think if you just had one hour

120:57and how much skin would you need.

§17Transcript · 2:00:58–2:08:33

120:58But if you just went out there for four hours,

121:01you need something that's smaller,

121:02but you know, thick,

121:03so it's as of a half a tennis court.

121:04So you could make a--

121:05- Could be like wings, gigantic wings.

121:07- And you lay them out there.

121:09But also, that's if you needed all your energy

121:12only from your skin.

121:13So if you just get a little bit of it,

121:14your energy, of course,

121:15you could just walk around with your skin as is

121:17and you'd still have to eat, but not as much.

121:19And I describe that because we'd need other ways

121:22to think about making your own energy

121:24if you're on a really long mission that's far from stars.

121:26You could turn on a lamp that would give you

121:27some of that essentially exact wavelength of light

121:30you need for your chloroplasts in your skin.

121:33But that's something I'm hoping would happen

121:37in three to 400 years, but it would be hard

121:39because you're taking a plant organelle

121:42and putting it in an animal cell,

121:43which sounds weird, but we have mitochondria inside of us,

121:45which basically where our cells capture the bacteria

121:48and now it walks around with us all the time.

121:49So there's precedent for it in evolution.

121:52- How much, by the way, speaking of which,

121:54does evolution help us here?

121:56So we talked a lot about engineering,

122:00building genetically modifying humans

122:04to make them more resilient or having mechanisms

122:07for repairing parts of humans.

122:10What about evolving humans or evolving organisms

122:16that live on humans?

122:17Sort of the thing you mentioned,

122:20which you've already learned,

122:21is that humans are pretty adaptable.

122:23Now what does that mean?

122:24You also, somewhere wrote that there's trillions of cells

122:29that make up the human body.

122:31And those are all organisms,

122:33and they're also very adaptable.

122:36So can we leverage the natural process of evolution,

122:40of the slaughter, the selection, the mutation,

122:42and the adaptation that is all,

122:45sorry to throw slaughter into there,

122:47it's just acknowledging that a lot of organisms

122:49have to die in evolution.

122:51Can we use that for long-term space travel

122:57or colonization, occupation?

123:02Is there a good word for this?

123:03Of planets.

123:05- Like to terraform the planet?

123:07- Terraform the planet.

123:08No, to adjust the human body to the planet.

123:11- Oh, there's not really a term for that yet, I guess, to--

123:15- Adapt to the new vacation spot.

123:18- Yeah, I called it just directed evolution in the book,

123:22is that you guide the evolution towards what you want.

123:25In this case, sometimes you can engineer your cells

123:27to make exactly what you want,

123:28but other times you put people on planets

123:30and see how they change.

123:32Actually, later in the book,

123:33I imagine if you have humans on multiple planets,

123:35you could have this virtuous cycle,

123:37or as people adapt and evolve here,

123:39you'd sequence their DNA and see how they change,

123:41and then send the information back to the other planet,

123:43and then study them with more resources.

123:45So you'd be able to then have a continual exchange

123:48of what's evolving in which way on different planets,

123:51and then each planet would learn from the changes

123:53that they see at the other planet.

123:55- Does the evolution happen at the scale of human,

123:58or do we need the individual,

124:00or is it more efficient to do bacteria?

124:03- Bacteria are cheaper and faster and easier,

124:05but we also have a lot of bacteria in us,

124:08on us, and all around us.

124:09Even the bacteria in the space station

124:10are continually evolving.

124:12- Did you study that, by the way?

124:13Like non-human cells, like the microbiomes.

124:18- Yep, so we've seen it for the astronauts.

124:20We can actually see their immune system

124:23respond to the microbiome of the space station.

124:25So as soon as you get into that aluminum tube,

124:28there's a whole ecosystem that's already up there,

124:29and we can actually see, we saw this with Scott Kelly,

124:32we've seen this with other astronauts,

124:33you can see the T-cells in their body,

124:34they actually are responding to little peptides,

124:36the molecules of the bacteria.

124:39The immune system is looking for a specific bacteria,

124:42and then once it sees new ones, it remembers it,

124:44and you can see the body looking for the microbes

124:46that are only on the space station,

124:48that you don't see on Earth.

124:49And then when Scott came back,

124:50he actually had more of those microbes

124:52embedded in his skin and in his mouth and stool

124:54that weren't there before.

124:55So he like picked up new hitchhikers in the space station

124:58and brought some of them back down with him.

125:00- So there's like long-term ecosystems up in the space station.

125:03- 20 years, they've been up there for 20 years, yes.

125:05- There's some like Chuck Norris type of bacteria

125:08up there, I'm sure.

125:11- You're part of the Extreme Microbiome Project.

125:14What does that involve, and what kind of fun organisms

125:18have you learned about, have you gotten to explore?

125:23- We have a really fun project, XMP,

125:26the Extreme Microbiome, which is as it sounds like.

125:28We look for really odd places,

125:30like heavy radiation environments,

125:32high salt, high or low temperature,

125:34you know, strange area, the space station, for example,

125:36lots of radiation and microgravity.

125:38Places where organisms can evolve

125:41for interesting adaptations,

125:42and some of them have been organisms we've seen

125:44like a candy pink lake in Australia called Lake Hillier,

125:48which we just published a paper on this.

125:50- Why is it pink?

125:51- So it's actually Denalia salina,

125:53is one of these organisms.

125:54There's a mixture of bacteria and some algae

125:57that are there that make it bright pink.

125:59So they actually make carotenoids,

126:00these like really sort of orangey and kind of pink molecules

126:03when you look at them in the light.

126:04So if you get enough of the bacteria, it becomes pink.

126:07So, and it's not just pink,

126:09it's like bubblegum pink, the lake.

126:11And so we, that's just an odd,

126:13it's a halophile, means that it grows in 30% salt.

126:16And if you go below 10, 15% salt, it doesn't even grow.

126:20It actually kills it.

126:21- Oh, oh. - Yeah, there it is,

126:22Lake Hillier.

126:23- Is it toxic to humans or no?

126:25- So when you walk in the pink lake,

126:27actually, it's so hypertonic, meaning it's so salty,

126:30you can feel it lysing and killing your cells on your foot.

126:33So it actually hurts to walk in 'cause it's so salty.

126:36So yeah, but it won't kill, it'll--

126:38- Listen, you have to suffer for art.

126:40- That's right. - Great art requires suffering.

126:42- I mean, so it is a beautiful lake.

126:44You have to get permits to go sample there,

126:46but we actually just got an email last week.

126:48There's pilots who fly over this in Australia

126:50because they love the color.

126:51So he emailed us, one of the pilots,

126:53and he said, "Hey, guys, I saw you publish this paper.

126:55"It's not as pink as it used to be,"

126:57'cause he loves flying over it,

126:57and it was like a little bit less pink

126:59'cause it had a bunch of rain in the past few weeks.

127:01So it was just a little bit diluted.

127:02So we reassured him it'll get more pink as they grow again.

127:06But basically, yeah, it's a beautiful pink lake.

127:09- That is gorgeous.

127:10- It's almost like a Dr. Seuss book or something.

127:12It doesn't even look real. - Is it hard to get to?

127:14- Yeah, there's no road.

127:16You have to basically fly, land nearby it,

127:19and then paddle in, so it's not next to anything.

127:21So it's hard to get to, but once you get there,

127:24it's beautiful.

127:25- If anyone knows how to get there, let me know.

127:27I wanna go there.

127:28Okay, cool, what are some other extreme organisms

127:31that you study?

127:33- Other ones, there's some organisms we've studied

127:35in the space station called Acinetobacter pitii,

127:37which is often found in human skin,

127:40but we've found hundreds of strains in the space station

127:43that we've brought down and curated and then sequenced.

127:47And this is with Katsuri Venkateswaran,

127:49who's at Jet Propulsion Laboratory working with him.

127:52And they have evolved, so they no longer look

127:54like any Earth-based Acinetobacter.

127:57They don't look like, they're now basically a new species.

128:00So actually, there's a different species of bacteria

128:04and fungi that have now mutated so much in the space station,

128:07they're literally a new species.

128:08And so we've found some of those that have,

128:10just they're evolving, as life is always evolving,

128:13and we can see it also in the space station.

128:14- So an entirely new species born in the space station.

128:17- Yeah, that's completely different.

128:18So we found one species, actually,

128:21that we named after a donor to Cornell,

128:25someone who's donated funds to research.

128:27So we named a different species of fungus after him,

128:29Naganishia tolchinskia, 'cause he's Igor Tolchinsky.

128:33So as a thank you for him donating to Cornell,

§18Transcript · 2:08:35–2:16:30

128:35we said we've named this fungus

128:37that we found on the space station for you.

128:39- Was he grateful, or did he stop funding all the research?

128:43(laughing)

128:44- He was very grateful, and then,

128:45and I told him, I said, if you have an ex-girlfriend,

128:47we could try and name a genital fungus

128:50after her or something, if you want.

128:51And he said, yeah, he said maybe.

128:53(laughing)

128:55- He stopped answering emails after that.

128:57Okay, what about in extreme conditions,

129:02in ice, in heat, is that something of interest to you,

129:06in the things that survive where most things can't?

129:10- Yes, of keen interest.

129:12I think that will be the roadmap

129:13for some of the potential adaptations

129:15we could think of for human cells,

129:17or certainly for the microbiome,

129:19like just all the microorganisms in and on and around us.

129:23So we've seen, even there's this one crater,

129:26it's called the Lake of Fire, it's in Turkmenistan,

129:30where it's been on fire because of oil

129:32that had been set on fire decades ago,

129:34and it's still burning.

129:35So we collected some samples from there,

129:37and those were some Pseudomonas potida,

129:40some species we found there that can--

129:41- So there's stuff alive there.

129:42- That seems to be surviving there

129:44by this large pit of fire.

129:46Oh yeah, there it is, the desert.

129:47It's been just on fire for decades, apparently.

129:50- What the?

129:51(laughing)

129:52- So this is another place that--

129:53- It's just a lake of fire.

129:55- Yeah, yeah, and it's--

129:56- Soviet scientists had set up a drilling rig here

129:59for extraction of natural gas.

130:02Of course, it would be in this part of the world

130:04that you would get something like this,

130:05but the rig collapsed, and methane gas

130:08is being released from the crater.

130:10Yeah, so for those just listening,

130:13we're looking at a lake full of fire,

130:17and there's something alive there, allegedly.

130:20- And Pseudomonas are known to be

130:22some of the most tough organisms.

130:23They actually can clean toxic waste

130:26from, you know, in years of superfund sites

130:28where there's so much waste that's been deposited,

130:30you'll find them there as well.

130:31Actually, there's one place in the Gowanus Canal,

130:34there's something, it's called,

130:35in New York City in Brooklyn,

130:37and it is a complete toxic waste dump.

130:39That was where a lot of waste in the 1700s was dumped,

130:42and so the gateway to hell is what it's called.

130:45But the--

130:46(laughing)

130:47- That's the nickname for the lake.

130:48(laughing)

130:51- So the Gowanus Canal is also a place

130:53that has been fun to sequence and see Pseudomonas species

130:57that can survive there,

130:58basically pulling toxins from the environment.

131:00So it's as if you create this toxic landscape,

131:03and then evolution comes in and says,

131:05oh, fine, I'll make things that can survive here.

131:07And when you look at the biochemistry of those species,

131:10what they've created is their own salvation, basically.

131:12The selection has made them survivors,

131:14and suddenly you can use that

131:16to remediate other polluted sites, for example.

131:18- That explains Twitter perfectly.

131:20The toxicity created adaptation

131:23for the psychological microbiome that is social media.

131:29Okay, beautiful, but you just actually jump back

131:33to the interstellar travel.

131:36Assuming the technology of today, yes,

131:41what are some wild innovations that might happen

131:45in the space of physics or biology?

131:47By the way, where do you think

131:49is the most exciting breakthroughs

131:51for interstellar travel that will happen

131:53in the next 500 years?

131:55Is it physics, is it biology, is it computer science?

131:59So information or DNA,

132:02like some kind of informational type of thing?

132:06Is it biological, like physiological,

132:09making the body resilient, live longer,

132:12and resilient to the harsh conditions of space?

132:16Or is it the actual vehicle of transport,

132:20which would be applied physics?

132:22- As you can probably guess, I'll say all of the above.

132:25(Dave laughs)

132:26- It's a question, never.

132:27- But to break those down, though,

132:29I think the AI, I hope in the book later

132:31that we would have really good machine companions,

132:34that the AI, I really hope the AIs that we build,

132:37like realistically, we are the programmers who make them,

132:40I would feel a colossal failure if we didn't make AI

132:43that was embedded with a sense of duty and caretaking

132:46and friendship and even creativity.

132:48Like we have the opportunity.

132:50I've coded algorithms myself.

132:52We're building them, so it's incumbent upon us

132:55to actually make them not assholes, I think, frankly.

132:58So it'd just be--

132:59- It's a technical term.

133:00- Air. (laughs)

133:01- Actually, on that point, just to linger on the AI front,

133:05can you steelman the case that HAL 9000

133:07from "Space Odyssey" was doing the right thing?

133:10So for people who haven't seen "2001 Space Odyssey,"

133:16HAL 9000 is very kind of focused on the mission,

133:21cares a lot about the mission,

133:23and kind of wants to hurt the astronauts

133:26that try to get in the way of the mission.

133:29- I think he was doing what he was programmed to do,

133:31which was just to follow the mission,

133:33but didn't have a sense of, you know, a broader duty.

133:38I mean, he was--

133:39- What's the broader duty exactly?

133:42Maintaining the well-being of astronauts?

133:45- Yeah, or giving them another option.

133:46I think he viewed them as completely expendable,

133:49rather than say--

133:50- Not completely, it's a trade-off.

133:53- Oh.

133:54- So like, a doctor has to make decisions like this, too.

133:58You're restricted on the resources.

134:00You have to make life and death decisions.

134:02So maybe HAL 9000 had a long-term vision

134:06of what is good for the civilization back at home.

134:09- Maybe a deontogenic vision of what was the best duty

134:13for the genetics, you could say.

134:15- What's deontogenic mean?

134:17- It's a word I made up in the book.

134:19It's like, what is your genetic duty?

134:20It's like, when you think of your DNA,

134:23what are you supposed to do with it,

134:24which is kind of the value of life.

134:25But if HAL was a silicon-based version of genetics,

134:30which is just his own maintenance of himself

134:32and self-survival, you could argue

134:35he was doing the right thing for himself.

134:36But I think a human in that circumstance

134:38might have tried to find a way to,

134:40even if the astronauts don't agree with the mission,

134:43to figure out some way to get them

134:44on a different spacecraft to go away or something,

134:47versus just say, well, you're in the way of the mission,

134:50you have to die, is I think,

134:52but a combination can always be made,

134:54to your point with doctors.

134:55Sometimes you'd like to save three people,

134:56but you can only save two,

134:58and you have to at some point pick.

134:59But I think that since it's a false dichotomy,

135:01I think HAL wasn't programmed to

135:04and didn't try to find a third solution.

135:07- Perhaps, just like Stuart Russell proposes this idea

135:10that AI systems should have self-doubt.

135:14They should be always uncertain in their final decision,

135:16and that would help HAL sort of get out

135:19the local optimum of this is the mission.

135:24Always be a little bit like,

135:25hmm, not sure if this is the right thing.

135:27And then you're forced to kind of contend

135:29with other humans, with other entities,

135:31on what is the right decision.

135:32So the worst thing about decisions from that perspective

135:38is if you're extremely confident

135:43and you're stubborn and immovable.

135:46- Right.

135:47- But programming doubt, that sounds complicated.

135:50That sounds like--

135:51- Go wrong.

135:52- Yeah.

135:53- So many ways.

135:53- You can go wrong either way.

135:54If you're too confident, you won't see the other options.

135:56If you have too much doubt, you won't move.

135:58You'll be paralyzed by the options.

135:59So you need some middle ground,

136:01which I think is what most people experience every day.

136:04We all love the concept of being a steadfast,

136:07resolute leader, making big decisions quickly

136:10and without question.

136:13But at the same time, we know people can be blinded

136:15to things they're missing if they're too headstrong.

136:18- So how would you improve HAL 9000?

136:20- I think I would include other,

136:23'cause HAL is one program, much like we do for humans.

136:26You get feedback from other humans

136:28before you make a decision that affects all of them.

136:30So I think HAL could have gotten feedback

§19Transcript · 2:16:32–2:24:25

136:32from other AI systems that said,

136:33"Well, are there other options here?"

136:35And done it probably very quickly.

136:37Or you can even embed a programming system

136:39where the AI has a primary function,

136:41but at times of uncertainty,

136:42queries a series of other programmed AIs

136:44to ask for a consensus almost,

136:46more like a democracy of the AI.

136:48But since it's all programmed,

136:49you could bring it all together and say there's a primary,

136:51but it only activates the parliament, if you will,

136:53for a decision when needed.

136:55Now, I don't know how you program

136:56dramatically different AIs all in one system

136:58that are different enough,

137:00but conceptually it's possible.

137:02Of course, that can lead to log jam

137:04and government and parliament doesn't do anything

137:06or Congress doesn't do anything.

137:07So there's trade-offs, but it's one idea.

137:13- I'm sorry, Dave, I'm afraid I can't do that.

137:16That I find really compelling the idea.

137:20I'd love to set that up in my own life at some point.

137:23So you're stuck there on a spaceship with an AI system

137:29and it's just the two of you and you have to figure it out.

137:33I love that challenge.

137:36I love that almost a really deep human conflict

137:43of through conversation have to arrive at something.

137:46You really try to understand what survival is a stake.

137:49You have to try to understand the other being.

137:51Now, you think it's just a robot.

137:52We keep saying it's just programmed.

137:55But you know what?

137:55When you talk to another human--

137:57- It's just a bag of meat.

137:59- And then you disagree and you're like,

138:01everybody starts using terms like how dumb can you be?

138:05How ignorant can you be?

138:07Come on, this is the right way.

138:08What are you talking about?

138:09This is what you're talking about is insane.

138:11And when the stakes go up, when it's life and death,

138:14you have to convince another person.

138:16First, you have to understand another person.

138:18In this case, you have to understand the machine

138:22without knowing how it was programmed

138:24because as a programmer, even, I mean,

138:28this is very much true for these Lego robots.

138:31I really make sure that everything that's programmed

138:34is sufficiently large and has a sufficient degree

138:39of uncertainty where I'm constantly surprised.

138:42I don't know how it works.

138:44I kind of know how it works, but I'm surprised constantly.

138:47And there, there's a human component

138:51of trying to figure each other out.

138:53And if it's high stakes--

138:55- Life and death.

138:56- Through conversation, I mean, to me,

138:58that's actually what makes a great companion out in space

139:01is like you're both in charge of each other's life

139:05and you both don't quite know how each other works.

139:10And also you don't treat each other as a servant.

139:15So I don't know if Hal was treated that way a little bit

139:20where you're like a servant as opposed to a friend,

139:26a companion, a teammate.

139:29'Cause I think the worst part about treating an AI system

139:34or another human being as a servant is what it does to you.

139:39- If you treat them as a means to an end

139:40rather than end in of itself, then you've debased them.

139:44- And lessened the humanity in yourself.

139:46- Yeah, at the same time.

139:48- Which is, I mean, that's why they talked about

139:50kids have to be polite to Alexa

139:52because they find if they're, you know, if people are,

139:55if kids are rude to AI systems, they actually, that--

139:59- It's a bad sign, right?

140:01- It's a bad sign and it develops the wrong thing

140:04in terms of how they treat other human beings.

140:07So that's AI.

140:09So what about physics?

140:10Can we do, in terms of, can we travel

140:13close to the speed of light?

140:14Can we travel faster than the speed of light?

140:17- I would love to fold space.

140:19We know wormholes are technically possible,

140:21but we have no way to do it.

140:22I'd love to see advanced wormhole technology,

140:25antimatter drives, antimatter is notoriously missing

140:29for most of the universe, so--

140:30- What is antimatter drive?

140:32- Antimatter would be where you just purify bits

140:34of antimatter, basically, that is the opposite of matter.

140:38So if you can have an anti-electron,

140:39you can convert to the electron,

140:41you could have even the complete atoms,

140:43it would be anti-atoms.

140:44And when you put them together,

140:45there would be pure energy released in theory.

140:48And that could drive the most powerful possible engine

140:51for space travel.

140:52But the only place you can make antimatter

140:56is in large particle accelerators and only very briefly.

140:59So that is hard, but if that could work,

141:01that would be extraordinary.

141:02Fusion drives would be great,

141:03just getting nuclear fusion well-controlled,

141:06and that would actually give you pretty good propulsion.

141:08So I think that's the most likely thing we'll see,

141:09is fusion drives.

141:10Fusion technology is getting better and better every year.

141:13Or it's that old saying,

141:14fusion is always 10 years away,

141:15every year it's always 10 years away,

141:17but it's getting better, and I think--

141:18- That saying is something that is a century old,

141:22or less than a century old.

141:24Over multiple centuries, that saying might--

141:27- Yeah.

141:27- Might actually become,

141:30fusion might actually become a reality for propulsion.

141:32- So that would be, I think,

141:33very likely to see in the next few centuries.

141:35And then biology was the other part.

141:37Or anything else, physics?

141:38I mean, physics, you could imagine ways

141:40that have electromagnetic shielding.

141:42So it could be, you could deflect all the cosmic rays

141:44that are coming at your spacecraft with a large,

141:46almost like force fields, quite frankly.

141:48That would take some development to do,

141:50but that would be good to see.

141:52- And uploading human memories and consciousness

141:58into digital form.

142:00- Yeah, this kind of blends the machine and physics

142:02with the biology developments.

142:04I think, you know, there's a lot of great work

142:06being done on longevity.

142:07I have a, one of my companies itself works on longevity.

142:10It's called Longevity.

142:10And so I'm working on it myself,

142:12on ways to improve how we monitor health and wellness now,

142:16and live longer, live better.

142:17Many people are doing this,

142:18this is what the whole purpose of medicine is,

142:20to a large degree.

142:21But I don't think we'll live,

142:23in the book I propose we might get out to,

142:25live to 150 years.

142:27I think that's reasonable.

142:28But say humans are gonna live to be two, three, four,

142:30500 years, or some people,

142:32I meet people like this every week,

142:33'cause I think I'm not going to die.

142:35To which I always say, I hope you're right.

142:37But I think you should plan

142:38that you're not going to be right.

142:39But I want people, also as we mentioned earlier,

142:41being immortal would really fundamentally change

142:43the social contract and how you plan,

142:45and how you allocate resources.

142:46Not necessarily bad, but it would just be different.

142:49But I also just think we don't know yet of any way

142:52to undo the ravages to the human body

142:55that occur over time.

142:56We can repair some of it, replace some of it,

142:58but it's okay to assume that you're gonna die.

143:02And I don't just assume, know you're gonna die,

143:05'cause then you have a bit of liberty

143:06about what you can do quickly and do next.

143:08But I think we will get better.

143:11I think we could see people live potentially to 150

143:14with some of the tools and methods and living longer.

143:16- But upload, living might become--

143:20- Living in a brain, like in the Kurtzpill singularity,

143:23where we all have this rapture-like moment,

143:25and we go up and upload into the cloud

143:27and live forever.

143:28I don't know if it would still be the same

143:31as what we consider the view of self in this flesh form.

143:36If we could really get a complete representation

143:38of a person's entire personality up into digital form,

143:42I mean, that would be immortality, basically.

143:44- Or a loose representation.

143:46I'd go through the thought experiment of,

143:48I like thinking about clones.

143:51- Twins, twins are clones, basically.

143:55- I don't have twins.

143:57- The ability to generate,

144:00I mean, you're stuck with those clones.

144:03The twins is a fixed number of clones,

144:05so that's a genetic clone.

144:07I mean a philosophical clone

144:08where you can keep generating them.

144:10- Versions.

144:11- And then the reason I really like that construction,

144:16thinking about that, for me personally,

144:18is it nicely encapsulates how I feel about being human,

144:24because why do I matter?

144:25How would I, if I do another copy of me,

§20Transcript · 2:24:30–2:32:23

144:30how would I defend why I matter as a human being?

144:36And I don't think I can,

144:38'cause that clone is just fine.

144:40It's not even a perfect, like a reasonable clone.

144:43Like most people I know that love me and who I love,

144:48they'll be just fine with the clone.

144:50(laughing)

144:51They'd be like, and they'll be surprised,

144:53like, oh, you're like, your move kind of weird,

144:57but overall, but otherwise, I'll take it.

145:00And if that's possible to do that kind of copying,

145:03and no, I don't want to say perfect clone,

145:06'cause I think perfect clone

145:07is very difficult engineering-wise.

145:09I mean like a pretty crappy copy.

145:11- Would still be okay for most of them.

145:12- Just like wears suits a lot, has a weird way of talking.

145:17I mean, I think there's a lot of elements there,

145:20like in the digital space, especially with the metaverse.

145:23- Yeah.

145:24- You can clone, I think, in the next few decades,

145:28you'll be able to clone people's behavioral patterns

145:32pretty well, and visual, at least in the virtual reality,

145:37in the digital representation, if you are.

145:41And then you have to really contend with,

145:42like, why do I matter?

145:43Maybe what matters isn't the individual person,

145:46but what matters are the ideas that that person plays with.

145:49So it doesn't matter if there's 1,000 clones,

145:53what matters is that I'm currently thinking about X,

145:57so some kind of problem that I'm trying to solve,

145:59and those ideas, and I'm sharing those ideas,

146:01maybe ideas of the organisms,

146:03and not the meat vehicles of the organism.

146:05Maybe that's a cultural shift

146:07where we won't necessarily treat any one body

146:11as fundamentally unique or important,

146:16but the sort of, the ideas that those bodies play with.

146:21I mean, that sounds crazy.

146:22- No, it's abstract, but very relevant.

146:24Derek Parfitt wrote this great book

146:26called "Reasons and Persons"

146:27about how you really define an individual

146:29as not just your own thoughts and your own self-reflection,

146:32but where almost, he argues,

146:34more defined by how other people see you.

146:36See, like, if you walked out into the world

146:38and, say, suddenly nobody knew who you were or recognized you

146:41you'd be, in some regards, deceased, right?

146:43If everyone just suddenly had massive amnesia

146:46and no one knew who you are,

146:48and never remembered, no memory

146:49of anything you'd ever done together,

146:51you'd be very alone.

146:52You'd be basically starting from scratch,

146:54like as if you'd just been born, basically.

146:56So, and he also writes thought experiments,

146:58like what if half of your neurons get replaced

146:59with half of someone else, or a quarter, or 60%?

147:02At what point do you stop being you

147:04and become that other person?

147:05And the argument he makes is it's more than just

147:07what percentage of your neurons are swapped out.

147:09It's also the relationships you have with so many people

147:11that partly define you.

147:12No, not completely, but they're a key component

147:14of how you view yourself,

147:15how they view what you are in the world.

147:17And he actually goes so far to say

147:21that they're probably more important

147:22than even what's in your head.

147:23Like if you swap out all of your thoughts,

147:26but when you walk out into the world,

147:27everyone still treats you and talks to you the same way

147:29as this memory of what you are,

147:31that is still like an entity that's defined you,

147:33even if all of your, you know,

147:34there's even movies like "Trading Spaces" about this

147:37with Eddie Murphy, or like the ideas of people

147:38who can swap bodies.

147:39The reason those are comedies

147:41is 'cause they're fish-out-of-water comedies,

147:43but they go to the point of what defines you

147:45is not just you, but also how you're viewed.

147:47- Well, you as an entity exist in the memories

147:49of other beings, and so that, yeah,

147:53the entities as they exist in their form,

147:58in those memories, perhaps are more important

148:01to who you are than what's in your head.

148:03And that clones then are, how do they do,

148:08they lessen?

148:10Not really, they just distribute,

148:12they just scale the you-ness

148:15that can be experienced by other humans.

148:17Like if I could be doing five podcasts right now

148:20at the same time, then in theory,

148:21but I'd have to have some way to transmit the memory

148:23of each one I did, which would be hard,

148:26but not impossible if it's all digital.

148:27You could aggregate and accrete more and more

148:29of the memories into one entity.

148:30- Oh, I see, but I thought at the moment of cloning,

148:34it's like cloning a Git repository,

148:36then you're no longer as branched.

148:38You share the version, view one of Chris,

148:42that a lot of people have experienced,

148:44like your high school friends, college friends,

148:47colleagues, and so on, but now you moved on

148:49to your music career, and one of your clones did.

148:52And then that's fundamentally new experiences

148:55that you still, your colleagues can still experience

148:59the memories of the old Chris,

149:00but the new one is totally, you're going to have

149:03new communities experiencing, connecting to those,

149:06and then you can just propagate.

149:08And the ones that don't get a lot of likes on social media,

149:12we can quietly dispose of.

149:15- We want to maximize the clones of Chris

149:18that can get a lot of likes on Facebook.

149:21Okay, just returning briefly to the topic of AI,

149:26are you working on AI stuff too?

149:33- A lot of machine learning tools for genomics.

149:35- For genomics, 'cause I was seeing this interspersed,

149:38'cause you're such a biology,

149:40I mean, I suppose computational biology person,

149:45but what about the, are you working on Age of Prediction?

149:49- Yes, yeah, so you've heard about the book, I guess, yeah.

149:53- What--

149:53- That's actually written with the philanthropist

149:56I mentioned who we named the fungus after the space station,

149:58so that's coming out next year, actually, yeah.

150:00- What's the effort there?

150:01What's your interest in sort of the more narrow AI tools

150:06of prediction and machine learning, all that kind of stuff?

150:09- I think, called the Age of Prediction,

150:11so the next book that's coming,

150:13is all the ways where machine learning tools,

150:15predictive algorithms have fundamentally changed our lives.

150:18So some of them are obvious to me,

150:20where, for example, when we sequence cancer patient's DNA,

150:24and we have predictions of exactly which drug

150:26will work with it, that's actually a very simple algorithm.

150:28But other ones involve predicting, say, the age of blood

150:32that's left at the scene of a crime,

150:33which uses computational tools to look at each piece of DNA

150:37and what it might reveal for its epigenetic state,

150:39and then predicting, essentially,

150:41how old you are at any given moment.

150:43And it also gets to longevity,

150:45'cause sometimes you can see if you're aging faster

150:47or slower than you should be.

150:48So some tools are in medicine or even forensics.

150:51But my favorite part, a lot of the book is,

150:53where does this show up in economics as well as in medicine?

150:56So predictive tools, I mean, I think the most notorious

150:58one people thought of was during the 2012 election,

151:02and 2016 election especially,

151:04we were seeing these really big differences

151:05of how Facebook was monitoring feeds.

151:08And so prediction is not just better medicine

151:10or in finance and economics.

151:12People think about stock traders,

151:13people doing predictive algorithms.

151:15But what you view in your feed,

151:17how you what your vote is and what you saw,

151:20Facebook did experiments,

151:21they called it social contagion experiments

151:23to see can we restructure what people see

151:27and then how they respond,

151:27actually kind of be really predictive and manipulative,

151:31frankly, with what happens,

151:32and then can that change how they vote?

151:34And the answer seemed to be yes

151:35for a good amount of the populace in 2016 in the US.

151:38So I think we're seeing more and more

151:40these algorithms show up all over the place.

151:41And so the book is about where they're good,

151:44for example, in medicine, they're phenomenal.

151:46They have fundamentally changed

151:47how we treat cancer patients.

151:48But where they're risky,

151:49like if someone's trying to steal your vote

151:52or manipulate your thoughts potentially negatively.

151:55- So in medicine, you're hopeful about prediction.

151:58- Yeah, most of the AI in medicine,

152:00the machine learning tools for image recognition,

152:02for example, for pathology samples,

152:04where normally you think,

152:05oh, someone takes a big bit of tissue

152:07and then puts it onto a slide.

152:09Normally there's pathologists

152:10that have been training for years

152:11to look at a chunk of your tissue and say,

152:13okay, is this cancer?

152:14What kind of cancer?

152:15What treatment should I do?

152:17But there's an old joke about pathologists

152:18that you can give 10 slides to 10 different pathologists

152:21and get 11 different diagnoses,

152:23which is as awful as it sounds,

§21Transcript · 2:32:25–2:39:56

152:25because you're having someone squint

152:26at a stained microscope slide.

152:28But instead, if you use a lot of the AI tools

152:30where you can actually segment the image,

152:32high resolution characterization with multiple probes,

152:35it's what AI was built to do.

152:36You have a large training data set,

152:38and then you have test samples afterward.

152:39You can do far better

152:41than almost every pathologist on the planet

152:43and get a much more accurate diagnostic.

152:45So that's for breast cancer, for prostate cancer,

152:48for leukemia, we've seen the diagnostic tools

152:50explode with AI power.

152:52- Is it currently mostly empowering doctors

152:54or can it replace doctors?

152:57- Watson notoriously was made by IBM

152:59to try and replace doctors.

153:00- I love IBM so much.

153:02- I was in the room when we got a tour of Watson

153:05for the first time with the dean of our medical school.

153:07And these programmers came out and they said,

153:09"Listen, here's this example of a patient.

153:11"And watch Watson diagnose the patient

153:13"and recommend the right treatment."

153:15And then at one point in the conversation,

153:16remember this is a room of,

153:18I'm a PhD, so I could geneticist,

153:19some programmers, some MDs,

153:22leaders of the medical school.

153:24The dean is there, and he says,

153:25"You could imagine someday this could replace doctors."

153:28In a room full of doctors, right?

153:29So it was a really poor choice of words,

153:30'cause everyone's like, "No, you want to help the doctors."

153:33But I think the view from the programmers

153:35is often a bit naive,

153:36that they could fundamentally replace doctors.

153:39Now, in some cases they can.

153:40For the pathology description I just mentioned,

153:43I think the AI tools already do a better job.

153:45And we've only really been doing this for about five years.

153:47So you imagine another five years of optimization and data,

153:50they're gonna take over, right?

153:51And they should, because staring and squinting at screens

153:54for hours on day is not the best use of human ingenuity.

153:56So I think in some cases they'll take over.

153:58Other cases, they'll augment, they'll help.

154:00- Yeah, that human ingenuity,

154:02actually, especially for AI people,

154:04is sometimes difficult to characterize.

154:06I have this debate all the time about autonomous driving.

154:10It's a lot more difficult than people realize.

154:13- You're an expert on it,

154:14or you focus a lot on that for your research, right?

154:15- I'm an expert in nothing.

154:17(laughing)

154:19Except in not being an expert, I think.

154:22(laughing)

154:24Or asking stupid questions where the answer is both.

154:27Okay.

154:28(laughing)

154:31But there is some ingenuity that's hard

154:32to kind of encapsulate that is human.

154:35For a doctor, the decision-maker, it's the HAL 9000.

154:39You can have a perfect system that is able

154:42to know the optimal answer,

154:44but there's some human element that's missing.

154:47And sometimes the suboptimal answer

154:49in the long term is the right one.

154:53It's the self-doubt that is essential for human progress.

154:56That's weird.

154:57I'm not sure what that is.

154:59If I can, let me ask you to be the wise old sage

155:03and give advice to young people today.

155:06- Sure.

155:07- In high school, in college,

155:10about how to have a career they can be proud of,

155:14or maybe a life they can be proud of,

155:16on this planet or others.

155:20- Yeah, I think for the Padawans out there

155:22and younglings looking up at the stars,

155:26you have to know that this day that you're alive

155:30is quantifiably the best day that's ever happened,

155:33and that tomorrow will be even better than this day

155:36in terms of the capacity for discovery,

155:37the amount of data that exists.

155:39Again, it's not my opinion.

155:41That's just an empirical fact of the state

155:42of genetics research, knowledge,

155:44accretion of humanities, acumen for many disciplines.

155:48So with that ability to do so many things,

155:51it can be sometimes just terrifying.

155:53Well, what do I pick?

155:54If I could do everything,

155:56most possibility ever in human history,

155:58how do you pick one thing to do?

155:59And that's just the thing.

156:01What do you find yourself daydreaming about?

156:02What's the thing that keeps you up at night?

156:05And if you don't have anything

156:06that keeps you up at night sometimes,

156:08you go find something that keeps you up at night.

156:09'Cause that is kind of this,

156:11sometimes I feel like I get woken up

156:13by someone on the inside of my skull

156:16who's knocking, trying to get out.

156:17It's kind of that almost haunting feeling of,

156:20I need to wake up, there's things that have to be done.

156:22There are questions I don't know the answer to.

156:24And there's a lot of times it's as simple as,

156:26how do we engineer cells to survive more radiation?

156:28But I read a paper and then it came back to me a week later

156:31as how we could use some of these tools,

156:33or these genes, or these methods.

156:35Really being pleasantly haunted by something

156:38is a wonderful place to be

156:40and find that thing that bothers you.

156:42Because there'll be good days and there'll be bad days,

156:44but you wanna have, even on the worst possible days,

156:46working on the thing that you love the most.

156:48And then all the usual normal phrases apply.

156:51Like then you never work a day in your life

156:53if you have a job you love, the usual phrases.

156:55But it's true and it's actually really hard to find.

156:59I think a lot of times you'll have to do work

157:01for random jobs that maybe you don't like

157:03for five or even 10 years.

157:04Or you might have to go to school for 10 to 15 to 20 years

157:07to finally get to the right spot

157:09where you have the knowledge, the experience,

157:11and even frankly just reputation,

157:13and people trust you, you've done enough good work.

157:15And only then can you really do the thing you love most.

157:18So you have to be a little bit patient,

157:19you have to be a little bit patient

157:20and impatient at the same time.

157:21You have to do both.

157:23- And the interesting thing is,

157:24when you're trying to find that thing

157:27that excites you, you have to,

157:32especially in this modern world,

157:33I think silence the distractions.

157:37'Cause once you find that thing,

157:39you hear that little voice in your head,

157:43there's still Instagram and TikTok and video games

157:47and other exciting sort of dopamine rushes

157:50that can like pull you away

157:52and make it seem like they're the same thing,

157:54but they're not really.

157:56There's some little flame there that's longer lasting.

158:01And I think you have to silence everything else

158:05to let that sort of flame become a fire.

158:09So it's interesting 'cause so much of the internet

158:14is designed to convert that natural predisposition

158:19that humans have to get excited about stuff,

158:22convert that into attention and money and ads and so on.

158:26But we have to be conscious of that.

158:28I think a lot of that is full of fun and is awesome.

158:31I think TikTok and Instagram is full of fun.

158:33- Amazing, yeah.

158:34And creativity leads to people making amazing videos

158:37or even doing people, my daughter loves TikTok,

158:40and people who do makeup art on TikTok

158:42of things that are mind-blowing.

158:43You think they made that video just to put it on TikTok

158:46and practice their art and share it with the world,

158:47it's fabulous.

158:48But then if my daughter watches TikTok

158:50for like three hours straight,

158:51I'm like, "What are you doing exactly?"

158:52And she's like, "Well, you know."

158:54So it's hard.

158:56But I remember when I was a kid, I remember I played Nintendo

158:58and sometimes I'd play for like 10 hours a day.

159:00Even in grad school, I'd sometimes play Counter-Strike

159:02or Half-Life, like 12 hours straight.

159:04And I'm like, "What was I?"

159:05So at one point I built a new computer,

159:07I just didn't install some of the games I had them for.

159:09I was like, "I'm just gonna not install them

159:11"because otherwise I'll play them for too long."

159:12- Yeah, I would love to, (laughs)

159:16I'm getting props from the team.

159:18I would love to lay out all the things

159:23I've ever done in my life to myself

159:25'cause I think I would be less judgmental of others

159:28and less understanding, more patient

159:31because the amount of hours I spent playing Diablo

159:34and video, it's insane.

159:37- I'm sure it adds up to weeks, maybe months of my life

159:40that it was just, you know.

159:42But I feel like I was probably, I tell myself at least,

159:44I was problem-solving.

159:45It's a hand-eye coordination, or that's an old,

159:47I don't know if that really is even remotely true,

159:48but some of the games, like Final Fantasy things,

159:51are things where you actually had to solve problems

159:53and think, and they were some degree of strategy.

159:56- They were actually just expanding the diversity

§22Transcript · 2:39:59–2:48:18

159:59of human character that makes up you.

160:01It's like, you can't just focus on,

160:04not that you can't, but perhaps it's more beneficial

160:07to focus, to not focus on a singular thing

160:11for many, many years at a time.

160:12That could be one of the downsides of a PhD

160:15if you're not careful, is that you become too singular

160:18and you focus not just on the problem,

160:20but on a particular community.

160:22And you don't do wild stuff.

160:24You don't do interdisciplinary stuff.

160:27You don't go out painting or getting drunk or dancing.

160:31Whatever the variety, whatever injects variety

160:34to the years of difficult reading, research paper

160:39after research paper, that whole process,

160:41you have to be very careful to add variety into it.

160:45And maybe that involves playing a little bit

160:46of Counter-Strike or Diablo, whatever floats your boat.

160:49- Or dancing, New York City's a great place for this.

160:53There's Sunrise Rooftop Dancing, a party that does this.

160:56- That's a thing?

160:57- It's a thing, so you go there.

160:59I have some people from my lab that go.

161:00I've only been once, but at Sunrise,

161:02and you see the sun rise over the city

161:04and there's huge house music, and you play

161:06and you dance like crazy, and then you go to work.

161:08You go to lab, you go to wherever you're going.

161:09But you can, it's good to squeeze in some weird,

161:12crazy sunrise rooftop dancing or things like that

161:15when you can.

161:16- If we can, if we may, to some difficult, dark places.

161:21- I'll bring a flashlight.

161:23(laughing)

161:24- Maybe something, find something that can warm your soul

161:28or inspires others.

161:30Is there dark periods, dark times in your life

161:33that you had to overcome?

161:35- Yeah, like many people, I had friends I've lost.

161:38I had a friend when I was younger who committed suicide.

161:41And that was actually, I remember being so struck of,

161:45I couldn't understand it.

161:46I didn't understand mental illness at the time.

161:49I was very young, I was only, I think, 11 at the time.

161:51And I really was confused more than anything else

161:54about how could someone take their life.

161:56And I actually, once I got over the grief of it all,

161:59I really, it cemented in my head

162:02that I would never commit suicide.

162:05I could tell this to my wife, if it looks like

162:08I hung myself, go find my killer,

162:09'cause I would never do it.

162:11It's gotta be staged.

162:12But at the same time, I've begun to appreciate

162:14there are times where the suffering is so great

162:16and diseases can be so awful that sometimes,

162:19euthanasia is an actual exit.

162:22But I just have friends I've lost along the way.

162:25But that's not too different.

162:28Everyone has people they've lost along the way.

162:30But I actually was never too dark of a childhood

162:35or of a dark place.

162:36I mean, the hardest things have been

162:38really weird relationship breakups

162:39where I felt like love, falling in love,

162:42and then losing that person, just breaking up,

162:45not like they died, but where you felt like

162:48you just could barely move.

162:49And you literally felt like your heart was moved

162:52in your body to a different location.

162:54And that sort of scraping sense of existence.

162:57But also at the same time, that's been where I've,

163:00in some ways, been the most alive,

163:02where I lost what I thought at the time

163:04was the love of my life.

163:05But then was able to actually, I think,

163:09carve a deeper trench into my heart,

163:12which then could be filled more with joy,

163:14I would say, is what Pablo Neruda wrote about this.

163:17And Khalil Gibran is that the deepest, deepest sorrows,

163:20I think, later have translated into my life

163:22as to places that can be filled

163:24with greater amounts of joy.

163:26- I love thinking of sorrows as a digging of a ditch

163:29that can then be filled with more good stuff.

163:32- Eventually.

163:33Not at the time, but for a while,

163:34it's just a giant empty cavern

163:36full of blood and tears and pain.

163:37But then, yeah, it comes later, I'd say.

163:41- There is an element to life where this too shall pass.

163:44So any moment of sorrow or joy, it's gonna be over.

163:49And treasure it, no matter what.

163:55I mean, I do definitely think about losing love.

163:58That's like a celebration of love.

164:00- And even any living, I think, is better.

164:04That's why I just adamantly don't think

164:06I'd ever really commit suicide,

164:07is 'cause anything I take is better than nothing.

164:10Except the worst case scenario,

164:11so there's no heaven, there's no hell.

164:13That's just it.

164:14If you just die and that's really just it,

164:15then anything that you have in living

164:18is by definition infinitely better than the zero,

164:21'cause at least it's something.

164:23And so I appreciate sad, I enjoy sadness,

164:25which sounds like an oxymoron,

164:26but I sometimes even long for a good sadness,

164:29like a rainy day and I'm staring out a window,

164:32squinting and drinking some underpriced whiskey,

164:36and then just moping.

164:39And like, "What are you doing?"

164:40I'm just moping today, but I want at least one day

164:42where I do that or something.

164:44- I actually had a conversation offline with Rick Rubin,

164:47he's a music producer, about this.

164:49And he told me, he has a way of speaking

164:54that's all sage-like, and he says,

164:57"Be careful that you spend some time appreciating

165:02"that sadness, but don't become addicted to it."

165:08- Yeah, yeah.

165:09- That there's a line you can cross,

165:12and then you actually push away the joy.

165:16- Because you feel like, because the sadness

165:17can be all-encompassing, and therefore even more real

165:20than what might seem like fleeting happiness.

165:22- Yes.

165:23- And so, yeah.

165:24(laughing)

165:25- Yeah, right, you can, sadness, if you let it,

165:28can be a thing that stays with you longer and stickier.

165:32But you, but just witnessing suicide

165:35made you appreciate life more, yeah.

165:38And just an appreciation of death

165:40is actually an appreciation of life at the same time.

165:43- Are you afraid of your death?

165:46- No.

165:47- When you think about it?

165:48- I think it's like being afraid of the sunrise,

165:51it doesn't make sense.

165:54- So you're a part of this fabric that is humanity,

165:58and then you just think generationally.

166:02- Yeah, I think I wanna do as much as I can.

166:06I feel like I would die,

166:08I feel like I've lived a full life already.

166:09I actually believe that since age 17 onward.

166:11I feel like even then, I mean, then the bar was low.

166:14I feel like I had at least sex once.

166:16I had good friends.

166:18- What else is there?

166:18- Good friends, right, at that age.

166:20But then I had also really read a lot of philosophy,

166:24had traveled a bit, felt like I had started

166:26to at least see the world, and had lived

166:28a somewhat of a life, but that from then on,

166:30I felt like, that I wouldn't feel like I was cheated

166:33if I had died from that day forward,

166:35that I had gotten at least enough of life

166:37to feel like that I would be not okay with dying,

166:41but that I feel like I knew I was gonna die,

166:43I wasn't afraid I was gonna die,

166:44and it actually was very liberating.

166:47And it's only gotten better since then.

166:48So I think some of that may or may not have been

166:51drug-related euphoria, but nonetheless, the joy stuck.

166:54And I think it's just gotten more true ever since,

166:58is that the default state is one of very rich appreciation

167:03because it's so fleeting.

167:05And so I knew I would die happy, I guess, even at age 17,

167:10but now my metrics have changed a little bit.

167:13I've had sex more than one time now, so that's really big.

167:15- Congratulations, this is very exciting news.

167:17- At least four times.

167:19But the-- - Multiples.

167:21- Right, right, and professionally accomplished things.

167:24Like I actually do some of the genetic dreams I had

167:26when I was 16 or 17, I'm now actually making them in my lab.

167:29I actually like to say my scientific goals and statements

167:33have really been the same since I've been 17.

167:35It's just now everyone takes me seriously

167:37because I'm a professor and actually I've done--

167:39- And you're mentoring people, you're an educator.

167:41- To the next generation, yeah.

167:42- Also patients.

167:44- Yeah, and helping patients live longer

167:46and seeing the hope in their eyes

167:48when they went from, even my own grandfather,

167:49went from a two-month diagnosis of living

167:52from metastatic cancer to living for more than two years.

167:56Eventually succumbed to it, but knowing,

167:58can use the tools of predictive medicine to save people.

168:00And so now, looking out ahead, I feel like it's,

168:06I would die very happy if I saw boots on the red planet

168:09and people there.

168:10And the other advice to the younglings I'd say is,

168:12the first time I proposed the twin study to NASA,

168:14they said no, several times, said no,

168:17we don't have a plan for a mission like that,

168:18it's not gonna happen.

§23Transcript · 2:48:19–2:54:58

168:19So don't, just persevere as the oldest--

168:24- But you were, I didn't know, I knew you were part

168:26of leading the NASA twin study,

168:28but you were also part of the failure to do so early.

168:31- Early, so the first, actually,

168:32'cause when you start a lab in academia,

168:34they say, here's a pile of money,

168:36write grants and bring in more money

168:37and train people and start a lab.

168:39But, so I actually wrote NASA and said,

168:41I don't, I'm not requesting any funds.

168:43I have funds, they just gave me a bunch of money.

168:44I would like to, though, do a deep genetic profile

168:47of astronauts before and after space flight

168:49and do it ideally if we have some twins

168:51or do genetics and epigenetics and microbiome.

168:53But John Charles, who's the director

168:55of the Human Research Program, said,

168:56no, we don't have, we don't even have those samples,

168:58Bank, that you would want, that are old samples,

169:01and we don't have any plans for missions like that right now,

169:03so we can't do it.

169:05And that was the first time I, you know,

169:06it's like saying to someone, listen,

169:08I'll buy a house for you.

169:09I just have this, I'll buy, and they're like,

169:11oh, no, no thanks.

169:12'Cause it felt like I was offering

169:13a really unique research opportunity.

169:15But then that failure of saying that,

169:17well, we're not ready yet, it's not time,

169:19but then once they had the solicitation,

169:20then he reached out and said, oh, actually,

169:22I think we've got something along the lines

169:23of what you were thinking a few years ago.

169:25So sometimes when some things get rejected,

169:27or someone says no, say, okay, maybe it's just too early,

169:29but don't give up, I think, and say,

169:31you know, so to me, when someone says no, not right now,

169:34I'll be like, okay, I'll just, I'll come back in a year.

169:37No just means no for now, and so,

169:39if I think it's, sometimes no means you have a crappy idea.

169:43That is true, I do have crappy ideas,

169:45and so does everybody, but if I really believe in it,

169:48I just say, okay, I'll be back.

169:52- Yeah, this too shall pass, the no.

169:56(laughing)

169:58Do you hope to go out to ISS, out to deep space one day?

170:03- I would love to go.

170:05I wanna be a little bit older so that if I die,

170:07it's not as traumatic for my daughter and family,

170:10but yeah, I feel like if I'm a little bit older,

170:13I definitely, I would even potentially do

170:15a one-way trip to Mars if it's later in life.

170:17- So would you like to, do you think you will

170:22step foot on Mars?

170:24- I would love to, and I think I might.

170:26I think, it may be that one-way trip,

170:29'cause I think they'll need settlers

170:31who would wanna go and stay there,

170:34and build and be there for the long term,

170:35knowing it's high risk, knowing it's--

170:37- And your resume fits, so you'll have a lot

170:39of cool stuff to do there.

170:41- Yeah, I can help 'em. - At least on the surface,

170:42you'll be able to sell yourself well.

170:45Resilience, experience, motivation.

170:51- Would that make you sad to die on Mars?

170:54- No. - Looking back at the planet

170:55you were born on?

170:57- No, I think it would be, actually,

170:59in some ways, it may be the best way to die,

171:01knowing that you're in the first wave of people

171:03expanding the reach into the stars.

171:06It'd be an honor.

171:07- Why do you think we're here?

171:08What's the meaning of life?

171:10- To serve as the guardians of life itself.

171:12That is the duty for our species,

171:15is to recognize and really manifest

171:19this unique responsibility that we have,

171:21and only we have so far.

171:23So I think, yeah, to me, the meaning of life

171:26is for life to, in its simplest form,

171:29is to be able to survive, but to leverage

171:33the frailty of life into its ability to protect itself.

171:36And quite literally, the guardians of the galaxy

171:38is basically what we are.

171:40We're guarding ourselves and also life.

171:42I mean, life is just so precious.

171:44As far as we know, it is completely rare in the universe.

171:47And I do think a lot, well, what if this is

171:49the only universe that's ever come in

171:51and it won't come back again?

171:52And like, this is it.

171:54And if that's true, we have to serve as its shepherds.

171:57- Leverage the frailty of life to protect it.

172:02And this is all life, so we get the opportunity,

172:04we humans get the opportunity to be smart enough,

172:07to be clever enough, to be motivated enough

172:09to actually protect the other life that's on this.

172:11- Including AI, including life that's to come.

172:13That might be very different from what we imagine today.

172:15And that would make you sad if we were replaced

172:17by the kinder, smarter AI?

172:21- Nope, I think about that in the book a bit.

172:23I think I would be okay with it if they carry some echo

172:27of that duty and they bring that with them.

172:30It would be sad if they're like,

172:31to hell with everyone, we're gonna destroy everything

172:33we come across and become like nanobots

172:36that make everything gray goo.

172:38That seems, but that would still be a version of life,

172:40just not one that is, I think, is pretty,

172:43but technically it'd be alive.

172:45So philosophically, could I object?

172:48It's borderline.

172:50- Yeah, but romantically, no.

172:52- Romantic, there's--

172:53- They need to carry the duty.

172:54- There's some, yes, yes, there's a bit of a romance

172:56to the philosophy that's in there.

172:58- And you also end the book with a universe

173:02that creates new universes.

173:06So if this isn't the only universe,

173:11do you think that's in our future,

173:13that we might launch--

173:14- New universe?

173:15- New offspring universes?

173:17- It's very possible.

173:18I mean, multiverse is a controversial field

173:20'cause it's very much hypothetical,

173:22but with this universe has been created,

173:25the one we're in now, and so it's happened before,

173:28it certainly could happen again.

173:29Some of them might be happening in parallel.

173:31I think if you look at billions of years,

173:33trillions of years in the future

173:34of technological development, it's certainly possible

173:37we could start to have little baby universes,

173:40grow them like cabbage, get them out, saute them,

173:43make them have flavor.

173:45- Yeah, create something delicious.

173:47Well, it sounds difficult, but it's our human duty to try.

173:51As you said, Chris, this is an incredible conversation.

173:54You're an incredible person, a scientist, explorer.

173:57I can't wait to see what you do in this world.

174:00And I hope to be there with you on Mars.

174:04I would like to also breathe my last breath

174:08on that sexy red planet that's our neighbor.

174:12- Podcast from Mars, at least space.

174:14I think space should be coming.

174:15Space is pretty good, space is pretty good.

174:18But Mars next.

174:19Chris, thanks so much for talking to me.

174:21- Thanks for having me.

174:22It's really an honor and a pleasure to be here, thanks.

174:24- Thanks for listening to this conversation

174:26with Chris Mason.

174:27To support this podcast,

174:28please check out our sponsors in the description.

174:31And now, let me leave you with some words

174:33from Stanislav Lem and Solaris.

174:35Man has gone out to explore other worlds

174:39and other civilizations without having explored

174:42his own labyrinth of dark passages and secret chambers

174:46and without finding what lies behind doorways

174:49that he himself has sealed.

174:51Thank you for listening and hope to see you next time.

174:55(upbeat music)

174:58(upbeat music)

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