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Dmitry Korkin: Evolution of Proteins, Viruses, Life, and AI

第153期2021-01-11English

嘉宾:Dmitry Korkin

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§01Transcript · 00:00–10:49

00:00The following is a conversation with Dmitry Korkin,

00:02his second time in the podcast.

00:04He's a professor of bioinformatics

00:06and computational biology at WPI,

00:09where he specializes in bioinformatics of complex disease,

00:13computational genomics, systems biology,

00:16and biomedical data analytics.

00:18He loves biology, he loves computing,

00:22plus he is Russian and recites a poem in Russian

00:26at the end of the podcast.

00:27What else could you possibly ask for in this world?

00:31Quick mention of our sponsors,

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00:40and Eight Sleep Self-Cooling Mattress.

00:42So the choice is browsing privacy, business success,

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00:49Choose wisely, my friends.

00:50And if you wish, click the sponsor links below

00:53to get a discount and to support this podcast.

00:56As a side note, let me say that to me,

00:58the scientists that did the best apolitical,

01:01impactful, brilliant work of 2020

01:04are the biologists who study viruses without an agenda,

01:09without much sleep, to be honest,

01:11just a pure passion for scientific discovery

01:14and exploration of the mysteries within viruses.

01:18Viruses are both terrifying and beautiful.

01:21Terrifying because they can threaten

01:22the fabric of human civilization,

01:25both biological and psychological.

01:27Beautiful because they give us insights

01:30into the nature of life on Earth

01:32and perhaps even extraterrestrial life

01:35of the not-so-intelligent variety

01:38that might meet us one day

01:39as we explore the habitable planets

01:41and moons in our universe.

01:43If you enjoy this thing, subscribe on YouTube,

01:45review it on Apple Podcasts, follow on Spotify,

01:49support on Patreon, or connect with me

01:50on Twitter @LexFriedman.

01:53And now, here's my conversation with Dmitry Korkin.

01:56It's often said that proteins

02:00and the amino acid residues that make them up

02:04are the building blocks of life.

02:06Do you think of proteins in this way

02:08as the basic building blocks of life?

02:11- Yes and no.

02:12So the proteins indeed is the basic unit,

02:16biological unit, that carries out

02:20important function of the cell.

02:22However, through studying the proteins

02:25and comparing the proteins across different species,

02:29across different kingdoms,

02:31you realize that proteins are actually

02:34much more complicated.

02:36So they have so-called modular complexity.

02:41And so what I mean by that is an average protein

02:47consists of several structural units.

02:52So we call them protein domains.

02:57And so you can imagine a protein as a string of beads,

03:02where each bead is a protein domain.

03:04And in the past 20 years,

03:10scientists have been studying the nature

03:13of the protein domains.

03:15Because we realized that it's the unit.

03:19Because if you look at the functions, right?

03:22So many proteins have more than one function.

03:25And those protein functions are often carried out

03:29by those protein domains.

03:31So we also see that in the evolution,

03:36those proteins domains get shuffled.

03:40So they act actually as a unit.

03:43Also from the structural perspective, right?

03:45So some people think of a protein

03:50as a sort of a globular molecule.

03:55But as a matter of fact,

03:56is the globular part of this protein is a protein domain.

04:01So we often have this, again,

04:06the collection of this protein domains

04:10align on a string as beads.

04:14- And the protein domains are made up of amino acid residues.

04:17- Yes.

04:18- So we're talking--

04:19- So it's--

04:20- So this is the basic,

04:21so you're saying the protein domain

04:22is the basic building block of the function

04:25that we think about proteins doing.

04:28So of course, you can always talk about

04:30different building blocks.

04:31It's turtles all the way down.

04:32But there's a point where there is,

04:35at the point of the hierarchy,

04:37where it's the most, the cleanest element block

04:42based on which you can put them together

04:46in different kinds of ways to form complex function.

04:49And you're saying protein domains,

04:50why is that not talked about as often in popular culture?

04:55- Well, there are several perspectives on this.

04:58And one, of course, is the historical perspective, right?

05:03So historically, scientists have been able

05:07to structurally resolve to obtain the 3D coordinates

05:12of a protein for smaller proteins.

05:17And smaller proteins tend to be a single domain protein.

05:21So we have a protein equal to a protein domain.

05:24And so because of that, the initial suspicion

05:27was that the proteins, they have globular shapes,

05:31and the more of smaller proteins you obtain structurally,

05:36the more you became convinced that that's the case.

05:41And only later when we started having

05:45alternative approaches, so the traditional ones

05:52are X-ray crystallography and NMR spectroscopy.

05:57So these are sort of the two main techniques

06:02that give us the 3D coordinates.

06:04But nowadays, there is huge breakthrough

06:07in cryo-electron microscopy.

06:10So the more advanced methods that allow us

06:13to get into the 3D shapes of much larger molecules,

06:20molecular complexes, just to give you

06:24one of the common examples for this year.

06:29Right, so the first experimental structure

06:32of a SARS-CoV-2 protein was the cryo-EM structure

06:37of the S protein, so the spike protein.

06:41And so it was solved very quickly.

06:46And the reason for that is the advancement

06:49of this technology is pretty spectacular.

06:53- How many domains is the, is it more than one domain?

06:57- Oh yes, oh yes, I mean, so it's a very complex structure.

07:01- It's complex.

07:03- We, you know, on top of the complexity

07:06of a single protein, right, so this structure

07:11is actually, is a complex, is a trimer.

07:13So it needs to form a trimer in order to function properly.

07:17- What's a complex?

07:18- So a complex is agglomeration of multiple proteins.

07:22And so we can have the same protein copied in multiple,

07:27you know, made up in multiple copies

07:32and forming something that we called a homo-oligomer.

07:36Homo means the same, right?

07:38So in this case, so the spike protein is an example

07:43of a homotetrimer, homotrimer, sorry.

07:46- So it needs three copies of a--

07:48- Three copies, exactly. - In order to.

07:50- Exactly.

07:50- We have these three chains, the three molecular chains

07:55coupled together and performing the function.

07:58That's what, when you look at this protein from the top,

08:02you see a perfect triangle.

08:03- Yeah.

08:04- So, but other, you know, so other complexes

08:08are made up of, you know, different proteins.

08:12Some of them are completely different,

08:15some of them are similar.

08:16The hemoglobin molecule, right, so it's actually,

08:20it's a protein complex.

08:21It's made of four basic subunits.

08:25Two of them are identical to each other,

08:29two other identical to each other,

08:30but they are also similar to each other,

08:32which sort of gives us some ideas

08:36about the evolution of this, you know, of this molecule.

08:40And perhaps, so one of the hypothesis is that, you know,

08:43in the past, it was just a homotetrimer, right?

08:48So four identical copies, and then it became, you know,

08:53sort of modified, it became mutated over the time

08:58and became more specialized.

09:00- Can we linger on the spike protein for a little bit?

09:02Is there something interesting

09:04or like beautiful you find about it?

09:07- I mean, first of all,

09:07it's an incredibly challenging protein.

09:11And so we, as a part of our sort of research

09:16to understand the structural basis of this virus

09:20to sort of decode, structurally decode

09:22every single protein in its proteome,

09:27we've been working on the spike protein.

09:31And one of the main challenges was that

09:34the cryo-EM data allows us to reconstruct

09:40or to obtain the 3D coordinates

09:44of roughly 2/3 of the protein.

09:48The rest of the 1/3 of this protein,

09:51it's a part that is buried into the membrane of the virus

09:56and of the viral envelope.

10:01And it also has a lot of unstable structures around it.

10:06- So it's chemically interacting somehow

10:08with whatever the heck it's connecting to.

10:10- Yeah, so people are still trying to understand.

10:12So the nature of and the role of this 1/3,

10:17'cause the top part,

10:20the primary function is to get attached

10:25to the ACE2 receptor, human receptor.

10:29There is also beautiful mechanics

10:33of how this thing happens, right?

10:36So because there are three different copies of this chains,

10:41there are three different domains, right?

10:44So we're talking about domains.

10:46So this is the receptor binding domains, RBDs,

10:49that gets untangled and get ready

§02Transcript · 10:52–20:54

10:52to get attached to the receptor.

10:56And now they are not necessarily going in a sync mode.

11:01As a matter of fact--

11:05- It's asynchronous?

11:06- So yes, and this is where another level

11:11of complexity comes into play,

11:13because right now what we see is,

11:17we typically see just one of the arms going out

11:21and getting ready to be attached to the ACE2 receptors.

11:26However, there was a recent mutation

11:30that people studied in that spike protein.

11:35And very recently, a group from Umayyad,

11:40a group from Umayyad Medical School,

11:43we happened to collaborate with groups.

11:45So this is a group of Jeremy Luban

11:47and a number of other faculty.

11:50They actually solved the mutated structure of the spike.

11:56And they showed that actually, because of these mutations,

12:03you have more than one arms opening up.

12:08And so now, so the frequency of two arms going up

12:13increased quite drastically.

12:18- Oh, interesting.

12:18Does that change the dynamics somehow?

12:21- It potentially can change the dynamics of,

12:24because now you have two possible opportunities

12:28to get attached to the ACE2 receptor.

12:31It's a very complex molecular process, mechanistic process.

12:35But the first step of this process

12:37is the attachment of this spike protein,

12:41of the spike trimer, to the human ACE2 receptor.

12:46So this is a molecule that sits

12:48on the surface of the human cell.

12:51And that's essentially what initiates,

12:54what triggers the whole process of encapsulation.

12:58- If this was dating, this would be the first date.

13:01So this is the--

13:02(laughing)

13:03- In a way, yes.

13:05- So is it possible to have the spike protein

13:07just floating about on its own?

13:10Or does it need that interactability with the membrane?

13:14- Yeah, so it needs to be attached,

13:16at least as far as I know.

13:19But when you get this thing attached on the surface,

13:23there is also a lot of dynamics

13:25on how it sits on the surface.

13:28So for example, there was a recent work in,

13:32again, where people use the cryo-lactone microscopy

13:35to get the first glimpse of the overall structure.

13:38It's a very low res,

13:40but you still get some interesting details

13:43about the surface, about what is happening inside,

13:47because we have literally no clue until recent work

13:50about how the capsid is organized.

13:54- What's a capsid?

13:55- So a capsid is essentially,

13:56it's the inner core of the viral particle

14:01where there is the RNA of the virus,

14:05and it's protected by another protein, N-protein,

14:09that essentially acts as a shield.

14:13But now we are learning more and more,

14:16so it's actually, it's not just this shield.

14:18It potentially is used for the stability

14:21of the outer shell of the virus.

14:25So it's pretty complicated.

14:27- And I mean, understanding all of this

14:29is really useful for trying to figure out

14:31like developing a vaccine or some kind of drug

14:34to attack any aspects of this, right?

14:36- So, I mean, there are many different implications to that.

14:39I mean, first of all,

14:41it's important to understand the virus itself, right?

14:44So in order to understand how it acts,

14:49what is the overall mechanistic process of this virus,

14:56replication of this virus, proliferation to the cell, right?

15:00So that's one aspect.

15:03The other aspect is designing new treatments, right?

15:06So one of the possible treatments

15:09is designing nanoparticles.

15:12And so some nanoparticles that will resemble the viral shape

15:17that would have the spike integrated,

15:19and essentially would act as a competitor to the real virus

15:23by blocking the ACE2 receptors

15:26and thus preventing the real virus entering the cell.

15:30Now, there are also, you know,

15:33there is a very interesting direction

15:36in looking at the membrane,

15:39at the envelope portion of the protein

15:42and attacking its M protein.

15:45So there are, you know, to give you a, you know,

15:49sort of a brief overview,

15:51there are four structural proteins.

15:53These are the proteins that made up

15:55a structure of the virus.

15:59So spike, S protein, that acts as a trimer,

16:04so it needs three copies.

16:05E, envelope protein, that acts as a pentamer,

16:10so it needs five copies to act properly.

16:14M is a membrane protein.

16:17It forms dimers, and actually it forms beautiful lattice.

16:21And this is something that we've been studying

16:23and we are seeing it in simulations.

16:25It actually forms a very nice grid or, you know,

16:29threads, you know, of different dimers

16:33attached next to each other.

16:34- Just a bunch of copies of each other,

16:36and they naturally, when you have a bunch of copies

16:38of each other, they form an interesting lattice.

16:40- Exactly.

16:41And, you know, if you think about this, right,

16:43so this complex, you know, the viral shape

16:49needs to be organized somehow, self-organized somehow.

16:53Right?

16:53So, you know, if it was a completely random process,

16:57you know, you probably wouldn't have the envelope shell

17:02of the ellipsoid shape.

17:03You know, you would have something, you know,

17:05pre-random, right, shape.

17:07So there is some, you know, regularity

17:10in how this, you know, how these dimers

17:16get attached to each other in a very specific, directed way.

17:20- Is that understood at all?

17:21- It's not understood.

17:24We are now, we've been working in the past six months

17:28since, you know, we met.

17:29Actually, this is where we started working

17:32on trying to understand the overall structure

17:35of the envelope and the key components

17:38that made up this, you know, structure.

17:41- Wait, does the envelope also have

17:42the lattice structure or no?

17:43- So the envelope is essentially is the outer shell

17:47of the viral particle.

17:48The N, the nucleocapsid protein,

17:51is something that is inside.

17:54- Got it.

17:54- But get that, the N is likely to interact with M.

17:59- Does it go M and E?

18:01Like, where's the E in--

18:02- So E, those different proteins,

18:05they occur in different copies on the viral particle.

18:10So E, this pentamer complex,

18:13we only have two or three maybe per each particle.

18:18- Mm-hmm. - Okay?

18:20We have thousand or so of M dimers

18:24that essentially made up,

18:26that makes up the entire, you know, outer shell.

18:30- So most of the outer shell is the M--

18:33- M dimer.

18:34- It's the M protein. - And lipids.

18:35- When you say particle, that's the viron,

18:38the virates, the individual virus.

18:40- The single, yes.

18:41- Single element of the virus, single virus.

18:43- Single virus, right.

18:45And we have about, you know,

18:47roughly 50 to 90 spike trimers, right?

18:51So when you, you know, when you show a--

18:53- Per virus particle.

18:55- Per virus particle.

18:56- Sorry, what did you say, 50 to 90?

18:58- 50 to 90, right? - Cool.

19:00- So this is how this thing is organized.

19:03And so now, typically, right,

19:06so you see these, the antibodies that target,

19:11you know, spike protein, certain parts of the spike protein,

19:15but there could be some, also some treatments, right?

19:17So these are, you know, these are small molecules

19:21that bind strategic parts of these proteins,

19:26disrupting its functioning.

19:29So one of the promising directions,

19:34it's one of the newest directions,

19:35is actually targeting the M-dimer of the protein,

19:40targeting the proteins that make up this outer shell.

19:44Because if you're able to destroy the outer shell,

19:47you're essentially destroying the viral particle itself.

19:52So preventing it from, you know, functioning at all.

19:56- So that's, you think, is,

19:59from a sort of cybersecurity perspective,

20:01virus security perspective,

20:03that's the best attack vector?

20:05Is, or like, that's a promising attack vector?

20:08- I would say, yeah.

20:09So I mean, there's still tons of research needs to be,

20:12you know, to be done.

20:14But yes, I think, you know, so--

20:16- There's more attack surface, I guess.

20:18- More attack surface, but, you know,

20:20from our analysis, from other evolutionary analysis,

20:24this protein is evolutionarily more stable

20:27compared to the, say, to the spike protein.

20:31- Oh, and stable means a more static target?

20:35- Well, yeah.

20:36So it doesn't change, it doesn't evolve

20:39from the evolutionary perspective so drastically

20:43as, for example, the spike protein.

20:46- There's a bunch of stuff in the news

20:47about mutations of the virus in the United Kingdom.

20:51I also saw in South Africa something,

20:54maybe that was yesterday.

§03Transcript · 20:55–31:59

20:55You just kind of mentioned about stability and so on.

21:00Which aspects of this are mutatable

21:02and which aspects, if mutated, become more dangerous?

21:07And maybe even zooming out,

21:09what are your thoughts and knowledge and ideas

21:12about the way it's mutated,

21:13all the news that we've been hearing?

21:15Are you worried about it from a biological perspective?

21:18Are you worried about it from a human perspective?

21:21- So I mean, you know, mutations are sort of a general way

21:26for these viruses to evolve, right?

21:28So it's essentially, this is the way they evolve.

21:33This is the way they were able to jump

21:38from one species to another.

21:42We also see some recent jumps.

21:46There were some incidents of this virus

21:49jumping from human to dogs.

21:51So there is some danger in those jumps

21:55because every time it jumps, it also mutates, right?

21:59So when it jumps to the species and jumps back,

22:04so it acquires some mutations that are sort of driven

22:09by the environment of a new host, right?

22:16And it's different from the human environment.

22:19And so we don't know whether the mutations

22:21that are acquired in the new species are neutral

22:26with respect to the human host or maybe damaging.

22:31- Yeah, change is always scary.

22:33But so are you worried about, I mean, it seems like

22:37because the spread is during winter now

22:40seems to be exceptionally high,

22:42and especially with a vaccine just around the corner

22:46already being actually deployed,

22:49is there some worry that this puts evolutionary pressure,

22:53selective pressure on the virus for it to mutate?

22:58Is that a source of worry? - Yes.

23:00Well, I mean, there is always this thought

23:02in the scientist's mind, what will happen, right?

23:07So I know there've been discussions

23:12about sort of the arms race between the ability

23:17of the humanity to get vaccinated faster

23:22than the virus essentially becomes resistant to the vaccine.

23:30I mean, I don't worry that much

23:41simply because there is not that much evidence to that.

23:47- To aggressive mutation around a vaccine.

23:50- Exactly.

23:51Obviously there are mutations around the vaccine.

23:54So the reason we get vaccinated every year

23:59against the season of flu. - Because there's mutations.

24:02- But I think it's important to study it, no doubts.

24:08So I think one of the, to me, and again, I might be biased

24:15because we've been trying to do that as well.

24:20But one of the critical directions

24:22in understanding the virus is to understand its evolution

24:26in order to sort of understand the mechanisms,

24:30the key mechanisms that lead the virus to jump,

24:34the Nordic viruses to jump from species to another,

24:38that the mechanisms that lead the virus

24:41to become resistant to vaccines, also to treatments.

24:46Right?

24:47And hopefully that knowledge will enable us

24:51to sort of forecast the evolutionary traces,

24:55the future evolutionary traces of this virus.

24:58- I mean, what, from a biological perspective,

25:00this might be a dumb question,

25:02but is there parts of the virus that if souped up

25:07through mutation could make it more effective

25:11at doing its job?

25:12We're talking about this specific coronavirus.

25:15'Cause we were talking about the different,

25:16like the membrane, the M protein, the E protein,

25:20the N and the S, the spike.

25:25Is there some-- - And 20 or so more

25:28in addition to that.

25:30- But is that a dumb way to look at it?

25:32Like which of these, if mutated, could,

25:38have the greatest impact, potentially damaging impact

25:42on the effectiveness of the virus?

25:43- So it's actually, it's a very good question.

25:46Because, and the short answer is we don't know yet.

25:50But of course there is capacity of this virus

25:53to become more efficient.

25:55The reason for that is, you know,

25:58so if you look at the virus, I mean, it's a machine, right?

26:01So it's a machine that does a lot of different functions.

26:05And many of these functions are sort of nearly perfect,

26:08but they are not perfect.

26:09And those mutations can make those functions more perfect.

26:14For example, the attachment to ACE2 receptor, right?

26:18Of the spike, right?

26:19So, you know, is it,

26:23has this virus reached the efficiency

26:28in which the attachment is carried out?

26:31Or there are some mutations that,

26:34that still to be discovered, right?

26:36That will make this attachment sort of stronger,

26:41or, you know, something more, in a way more efficient

26:46from the point of view of this virus functioning.

26:51That's sort of the obvious example.

26:54But if you look at each of these proteins,

26:57I mean, it's there for a reason.

26:58It performs certain function.

27:00And it could be that certain mutations

27:05will, you know, enhance this function.

27:08It could be that some mutations

27:09will make this function much less efficient.

27:13So that's also the case.

27:15- Let's, since we're talking about

27:17the evolutionary history of a virus,

27:20let's zoom back out and look at the evolution of proteins.

27:25I glanced at this 2010 Nature paper

27:29on the, quote, "Ongoing expansion of the protein universe."

27:34And then, you know, it kind of implies

27:37and talks about that proteins started

27:41with a common ancestor, which is, you know,

27:43kind of interesting.

27:44It's interesting to think about, like,

27:45even just like the first organic thing

27:49that started life on Earth.

27:51And from that, there's now, you know, what is it?

27:553.5 billion years later, there's now millions of proteins.

27:59And they're still evolving.

28:01And that's, you know, in part,

28:02one of the things that you're researching.

28:04Is there something interesting to you

28:06about the evolution of proteins

28:09from this initial ancestor to today?

28:14Is there something beautiful,

28:15insightful about this long story?

28:18- So I think, you know, if I were to pick a single keyword

28:23about protein evolution, I would pick modularity,

28:29something that we talked about in the beginning.

28:32And that's the fact that the proteins

28:36are no longer considered as, you know,

28:39as a sequence of letters.

28:41There are hierarchical complexities

28:46in the way these proteins are organized.

28:48And these complexities are actually going

28:51beyond the protein sequence.

28:54It's actually going all the way back to the gene,

28:57to the nucleotide sequence.

29:00And so, you know, again, these protein domains,

29:05they are not only functional building blocks.

29:08They're also evolutionary building blocks.

29:10And so what we see in the sort of,

29:12in the later stages of evolution,

29:15I mean, once this stable, structurally

29:18and functionally building blocks were discovered,

29:22they essentially, they stay, those domains stay as such.

29:28So that's why if you start comparing different proteins,

29:31you will see that many of them will have similar fragments.

29:36And those fragments will correspond to something

29:39that we call protein domain families.

29:42And so they are still different

29:44because you still have mutations and, you know,

29:48different mutations are attributed to, you know,

29:54diversification of the function of this, you know,

29:57protein domains.

29:59However, you don't, you very rarely see, you know,

30:03the evolutionary events that would split

30:07this domain into fragments because, and it's, you know,

30:12once you have the domain split, you actually,

30:18you know, you can completely cancel out its function

30:23or at the very least you can reduce it.

30:26And that's not, you know, efficient from the point of view

30:29of the, you know, of the cell functioning.

30:32So the protein domain level is a very important one.

30:37Now, on top of that, right?

30:42So if you look at the proteins, right?

30:44So you have this structural units

30:46and they carry out the function.

30:48But then much less is known about things

30:51that connect this protein domains.

30:54Something that we call linkers.

30:56And those linkers are completely flexible, you know,

31:00parts of the protein that nevertheless

31:03carry out a lot of function.

31:06- It's like little tails, little heads.

31:08- So we do have tails, so they're called termini,

31:11C and N termini.

31:12So these are things right on the,

31:14on one and another ends of the protein sequence.

31:20So they are also very important.

31:22So they attributed to very specific interactions

31:26between the proteins.

31:27So-

31:28- But you're referring to the links between domains.

31:30- That connect the domains.

31:32And, you know, apart from the,

31:35just the simple perspective,

31:38if you have, you know, a very short domain,

31:41you have, sorry, a very short linker,

31:43you have two domains next to each other.

31:45They are forced to be next to each other.

31:47If you have a very long one,

31:49you have the domains that are extremely flexible

31:52and they carry out a lot of sort of

31:54spatial reorganization, right?

31:56- That's awesome.

31:58- But on top of that, right,

31:59just this linker itself, because it's so flexible,

§04Transcript · 32:03–42:21

32:03it actually can adapt to a lot of different shapes.

32:07And therefore it's a very good interactor

32:11when it comes to interaction between

32:13this protein and other protein.

32:15All right, so these things also evolve, you know,

32:18and they in a way have different sort of laws of,

32:23the driving laws that underlie the evolution,

32:30because they no longer need to preserve certain structure,

32:35right, unlike protein domains.

32:38And so on top of that,

32:41you have something that is even less studied.

32:45And this is something that attribute

32:49to the concept of alternative splicing.

32:53So alternative splicing, so it's a very cool concept.

32:56It's something that we've been fascinated about

33:00for over a decade in my lab

33:03and trying to do research with that.

33:05But so, you know, so typically, you know,

33:08a simplistic perspective is that

33:11one gene is equal one protein product.

33:15Right, so you have a gene, you know,

33:18you transcribe it and translate it,

33:21and it becomes a protein.

33:22In reality, when we talk about eukaryotes,

33:28especially sort of more recent eukaryotes

33:32that are very complex,

33:33the gene is no longer equal to one protein.

33:41It actually can produce multiple

33:46functionally, you know, active protein products.

33:51And each of them is, you know,

33:53is called an alternatively spliced product.

33:57The reason it happens is that if you look at the gene,

34:01it actually has, it has also blocks.

34:05And the blocks, some of which,

34:08and it's essentially, it goes like this.

34:10So we have a block that will later be translated,

34:13we call it exon.

34:15Then we'll have a block that is not translated, cut out.

34:19We call it intron.

34:20So we have exon, intron, exon, intron,

34:22et cetera, et cetera, et cetera, right?

34:24So sometimes you can have, you know,

34:26dozens of these exons and introns.

34:29So what happens is during the process

34:32when the gene is converted to RNA,

34:37we have things that are cut out,

34:41the introns that cut out,

34:43and exons that now get assembled together.

34:47And sometimes we will throw out some of the exons.

34:51And the remaining protein product will become--

34:54- Still be the same.

34:55- Different. - Oh, different.

34:56- Right, so now you have fragments of the protein

34:59that no longer there.

35:01They were cut out with the introns.

35:03Sometimes you will essentially take one exon

35:07and replace it with another one, right?

35:09- So there's some flexibility in this process.

35:12- So that creates a whole new level of complexity.

35:17'Cause now-- - Is this random though?

35:18Is it random?

35:19- It's not random.

35:20We, and this is where I think now the appearance

35:24of this modern single cell,

35:27and before that tissue level sequencing,

35:31next generation sequencing techniques such as RNA-Seq,

35:34allows us to see that these are the events

35:38that often happen in response.

35:41It's a dynamic event that happens in response to disease,

35:45or in response to certain developmental stage of a cell.

35:51And this is an incredibly complex layer

35:56that also undergoes, I mean,

35:59because it's at the gene level, right?

36:01So it undergoes certain evolution, right?

36:05And now we have this interplay between what happening,

36:10what is happening in the protein world,

36:12and what is happening in the gene and RNA world.

36:17And for example, it's often that we see

36:22that the boundaries of these exons

36:27coincide with the boundaries of the protein domains.

36:30Right, so there is this close interplay to that.

36:36It's not always, I mean,

36:37otherwise it would be too simple, right?

36:39But we do see the connection

36:41between those sort of machineries.

36:45And obviously the evolution will pick up this complexity

36:49and-- - Select for whatever

36:52is successful, whatever is functioning.

36:55- We see that complexity in play.

36:57And makes this question more complex, but more exciting.

37:02- As a small detour, I don't know if you think about this

37:05in into the world of computer science,

37:07there's a Douglas Hostetter, I think,

37:11came up with a name of Quine,

37:14which are, I don't know if you're familiar with these things,

37:16but it's computer programs that have,

37:20I guess, exon and intron, and they copy,

37:23the whole purpose of the program is to copy itself.

37:26So it prints copies of itself,

37:28but can also carry information inside of it.

37:31That's a very kind of crude, fun exercise of,

37:35can we sort of replicate these ideas from cells,

37:40can we have a computer program that when you run it,

37:42just prints itself, the entirety of itself,

37:47and does it in different programming languages and so on.

37:50I've been playing around and writing them.

37:51It's a kind of fun little exercise.

37:53- You know, when I was a kid,

37:54so it was essentially one of the sort of main stages

37:59in informatics Olympiads that you have to reach

38:07in order to be any so good,

38:10is you should be able to write a program

38:14that replicates itself.

38:16And so the task then becomes even sort of more complicated.

38:20So what is the shortest program?

38:24And of course it's a function of a programming language,

38:27but yeah, I remember a long, long, long time ago

38:30when we tried to make it short and short

38:34and find the shortcuts.

38:36- There's actually on Stack Exchange,

38:38there's an entire site called Code Golf, I think,

38:43where the entirety is just the competition.

38:46People just come up with whatever task.

38:48I don't know, like write code

38:51that reports the weather today.

38:54And the competition is about,

38:57in whatever programming language,

38:58what is the shortest program?

39:00And it makes you actually, people should check it out

39:02because it makes you realize

39:03there's some weird programming languages out there.

39:07But just to dig on that a little deeper,

39:11do you think, in computer science,

39:16we don't often think about programs.

39:19Just like the machine learning world now,

39:21that's still kind of basic programs.

39:26And then there's humans that replicate themselves, right?

39:29And there's these mutations and so on.

39:31Do you think we'll ever have a world

39:34where there's programs that kind of

39:36have an evolutionary process?

39:40So I'm not talking about evolutionary algorithms,

39:42but I'm talking about programs

39:43that kind of mate with each other and evolve

39:46and on their own replicate themselves.

39:49So this is kind of, the idea here is,

39:54that's how you can have a runaway thing.

39:57So we think about machine learning as a system

39:59that gets smarter and smarter and smarter and smarter.

40:01At least the machine learning systems of today are like,

40:05it's a program that you can turn off,

40:09as opposed to throwing a bunch of little programs out there

40:12and letting them multiply and mate and evolve

40:16and replicate.

40:17Do you ever think about that kind of world

40:20when we jump from the biological systems

40:23that you're looking at to artificial ones?

40:27- I mean, it's almost like you take

40:31the sort of the area of intelligent agents, right?

40:34Which are essentially the independent sort of codes

40:38that run and interact and exchange the information, right?

40:42So I don't see why not.

40:45I mean, it could be sort of a natural evolution

40:48in this area of computer science.

40:53- I think it's kind of an interesting possibility.

40:54It's terrifying too,

40:56but I think it's a really powerful tool.

40:58Like to have agents that,

41:00we have social networks with millions of people

41:02and they interact.

41:03I think it's interesting to inject into that,

41:05there's already injecting into that bots, right?

41:08But those bots are pretty dumb.

41:12They're probably pretty dumb algorithms.

41:14It's interesting to think that there might be bots

41:18that evolve together with humans.

41:20And there's the sea of humans and robots

41:23that are operating first in the digital space.

41:26And then you can also think,

41:27I love the idea, some people worked,

41:29I think at Harvard, at Penn,

41:32there's robotics labs that take as a fundamental task

41:38to build a robot that given extra resources

41:42can build another copy of itself,

41:44like in the physical space,

41:46which is super difficult to do,

41:49but super interesting.

41:50I remember there's like research on robots

41:54that can build a bridge.

41:55So they make a copy of themselves

41:56and they connect themselves.

41:57And so there's like self-building bridge

42:00based on building blocks.

42:02You can imagine like a building that self assembles.

42:05So it's basically self-assembling structures

42:07from robotic parts.

42:10But it's interesting to, within that robot,

42:13add the ability to mutate

42:15and do all the interesting little things

42:21that you're referring to in evolution

§05Transcript · 42:23–53:47

42:23to go from a single origin protein building block

42:26to like this weird complex--

42:28- And if you think about this,

42:30I mean, the bits and pieces are there.

42:34So you mentioned the evolutionary algorithm, right?

42:37So this is sort of,

42:38and maybe sort of the goal is in a way different, right?

42:43So the goal is to essentially to optimize your search.

42:49So, but sort of the ideas are there.

42:53So people recognize that the recombination events

42:58lead to global changes in the search trajectories,

43:03the mutations event is a more refined step in the search.

43:08Then you have other sort of nature inspired algorithm, right?

43:15So one of the reason that I think it's one of the funnest one

43:21is the slime based algorithm, right?

43:24So I think the first was introduced by the Japanese group

43:30where it was able to solve some pretty complex problems.

43:35So that's, and then I think there are still a lot of things

43:41we've yet to borrow from the nature, right?

43:48So there are a lot of sort of ideas

43:52that nature gets to offer us

43:56that it's up to us to grab it

43:58and to get the best use of it.

44:02- Including neural networks,

44:04that we have a very crude inspiration

44:07from nature on neural networks.

44:08Maybe there's other inspirations to be discovered

44:10in the brain or other aspects of the various systems,

44:15even like the immune system, the way it interplays.

44:20I recently started to understand that the immune system

44:23has something to do with the way the brain operates.

44:26Like there's multiple things going on in there,

44:28which all of which are not modeled

44:30in artificial neural networks.

44:32And maybe if you throw a little bit

44:33of that biological spice in there,

44:36you'll come up with something cool.

44:38I'm not sure if you're familiar with the Drake equation

44:43that estimate, I just did a video on it yesterday

44:46'cause I wanted to give my own estimate of it.

44:49It's an equation that combines a bunch of factors

44:52to estimate how many alien civilizations are.

44:55- Oh yeah, I've heard about it, yes.

44:58- So one of the interesting parameters,

45:01you know, it's like how many stars are born every year,

45:06how many planets are on average per star,

45:10for this, how many habitable planets are there.

45:14And then the one that starts being really interesting

45:17is the probability that life emerges on a habitable planet.

45:24So like, I don't know if you think about,

45:27you certainly think a lot about evolution,

45:29but do you think about the thing

45:31which evolution doesn't describe,

45:32which is like the beginning of evolution,

45:34the origin of life?

45:36I think I put the probability of life

45:38developing in a habitable planet at 1%.

45:41This is very scientifically rigorous.

45:44Okay, first at a high level for the Drake equation,

45:48what would you put that percent at on earth?

45:51And in general, do you have something,

45:55do you have thoughts about how life might have started?

45:58You know, like the proteins being the first,

46:00kind of one of the early jumping points?

46:02- Yeah, so I think back in 2018,

46:07there was a very exciting paper published in Nature

46:10where they found one of the simplest amino acids,

46:18glycine, in a comet dust.

46:23So this is, and I apologize if I don't pronounce,

46:28it's a Russian-named comet,

46:32I think Chugryumov-Gerasimenko.

46:34This is the comet where, and there was this mission

46:39to get close to this comet

46:44and get the star dust from its tail.

46:48And when scientists analyzed it,

46:50they actually found traces of glycine,

46:53which makes up, it's one of the 20 basic amino acids

47:01that makes up proteins.

47:06So that was kind of very exciting.

47:10But the question is very interesting.

47:14So what, if there is some alien life,

47:18is it gonna be made of proteins, right?

47:22There may be RNAs, right?

47:24So we see that the RNA viruses are certainly

47:28very well-established sort of group of molecular machines.

47:35Right, so yeah, it's a very interesting question.

47:42- What probability would you put,

47:43like how hard is this,

47:45like how unlikely just on Earth do you think

47:48this whole thing is that we got going?

47:51Like are we really lucky or is it inevitable?

47:54Like what's your sense when you sit back

47:56and think about life on Earth?

47:58Is it higher or lower than 1%?

48:01Well, 'cause 1% is pretty low,

48:02but it's still like, damn, that's a pretty good chance.

48:05- Yes, it's a pretty good chance.

48:06I mean, I would personally, but again,

48:10I'm probably not the best person to do such estimations,

48:15but I would, intuitively, I would probably put it lower.

48:21But still, I mean--

48:23- So we're really lucky here on Earth?

48:26- I mean--

48:28- Or the conditions are really good.

48:30- It's, I think that everything was right in a way, right?

48:35So still, it's not, the conditions were not like ideal

48:39if you try to look at what was several billions years ago

48:44when the life emerged.

48:48- So there is something called the rare Earth hypothesis

48:52that in counter to the Drake equation says that

48:56the conditions of Earth,

49:00if you actually were to describe Earth,

49:03it's quite a special place, so special it might be unique

49:08in our galaxy and potentially close to unique

49:11in the entire universe.

49:12Like it's very difficult to reconstruct

49:14those same conditions.

49:16And what the rare Earth hypothesis argues

49:19is all those different conditions are essential for life.

49:23And so that's sort of the counter,

49:26like all the things we,

49:27thinking that Earth is pretty average,

49:31I mean, I can't really,

49:33I'm trying to remember to go through all of them,

49:35but just the fact that it is shielded

49:38from a lot of asteroids,

49:41obviously the distance to the sun,

49:43but also the fact that it's like a perfect balance

49:48between the amount of water and land

49:52and all those kinds of things.

49:53I don't know, there's a bunch of different factors

49:55that I don't remember, there's a long list.

49:57But it's fascinating to think about

49:59if in order for something like proteins

50:03and then the DNA and RNA to emerge,

50:06you need, and basic living organisms,

50:10you need to be very close to an Earth-like planet,

50:14which would be sad.

50:16Or exciting, I don't know.

50:19- If you ask me, in a way I put a parallel

50:23between our own research

50:28and from the intuitive perspective.

50:34You have those two extremes,

50:36and the reality is never, very rarely,

50:40falls into the extremes.

50:41It's always, the optimums always reach somewhere in between.

50:46And that's what I tend to think.

50:50I think that we're probably somewhere in between,

50:54so they were not unique-unique,

50:57but again, the chances are reasonably small.

51:01The problem is we don't know the other extremes.

51:05I tend to think that we don't actually understand

51:08the basic mechanisms of what this is all originated from.

51:13It seems like we think of life as this distinct thing,

51:16maybe intelligence as a distinct thing,

51:18maybe the physics from which planets and suns are born

51:23is a distinct thing, but that could be a very,

51:25it's like the Stephen Wolfram thing.

51:28From simple rules emerges greater and greater complexity.

51:31So I tend to believe that just life finds a way.

51:34We don't know the extreme of how common life is,

51:39'cause it could be life is like everywhere.

51:43Like so everywhere that it's almost like laughable,

51:49like that we're such idiots to think we're,

51:52like it's ridiculous to even think,

51:56it's like ants thinking that their little colony

51:59is the unique thing and everything else doesn't exist.

52:03I mean, it's also very possible that that's the extreme,

52:07and we're just not able to maybe comprehend

52:09the nature of that life.

52:12Just to stick on alien life for just a brief moment more,

52:16there is some signs of life on Venus in gaseous form.

52:21There's hope for life on Mars, probably extinct.

52:28We're not talking about intelligent life.

52:30Although that has been in the news recently.

52:33We're talking about basic like bacteria.

52:36- Plural bacteria.

52:37- Yeah, and then also I guess, there's a couple moons.

52:42- Europa.

52:43- Yeah, Europa, which is Jupiter's moon.

52:46I think there's another one.

52:47Are you, is that exciting or is it terrifying to you

52:51that we might find life?

52:52Do you hope we find life?

52:54- I certainly do hope that we find life.

52:57I mean, it was very exciting to hear about this news

53:02about the possible life on Venus.

53:09- It'd be nice to have hard evidence of something

53:11which is what the hope is for Mars and Europa.

53:17But do you think those organisms

53:18would be similar biologically,

53:20or would they even be sort of carbon-based

53:23if we do find them?

53:25- I would say they would be carbon-based.

53:28How similar, it's a big question, right?

53:31So it's, the moment we discover things outside Earth,

53:36even if it's a tiny little single cell,

53:42I mean, there is so much.

53:45- Just imagine that, that would be so.

53:47- I think that that would be another turning point

§06Transcript · 53:50–1:04:03

53:50for the science.

53:52And if, especially if it's different in some very new way,

53:56that's exciting, 'cause that says,

53:58that's a definitive statement, not a definitive,

54:00but a pretty strong statement

54:01that life is everywhere in the universe.

54:05To me, at least, that's really exciting.

54:07You brought up Joshua Lederberg in an offline conversation.

54:13I think I'd love to talk to you about AlphaFold,

54:15and this might be an interesting way

54:17to enter that conversation, because,

54:20so he won the 1958 Nobel Prize in Physiology and Medicine

54:24for discovering that bacteria can mate and exchange genes,

54:29but he also did a ton of other stuff,

54:32like we mentioned, helping NASA find life on Mars,

54:37and the-- - Dendro.

54:41- Dendro, the chemical expert system,

54:45expert systems, remember those?

54:47Do you, what do you find interesting about this guy

54:51and his ideas about artificial intelligence in general?

54:55- So I have a kind of personal story to share.

55:00So I started my PhD in Canada back in 2000,

55:05and so essentially my PhD was,

55:07so we were developing sort of a new language

55:10for symbolic machine learning,

55:12so it's different from the feature-based machine learning,

55:15and one of the sort of cleanest applications

55:19of this approach, of this formalism,

55:24was to cheminformatics and computer-aided drug design.

55:28Right, so essentially we were,

55:31as a part of my research, I developed a system

55:35that essentially looked at chemical compounds

55:40of, say, the same therapeutic category,

55:44male hormones, right, and tried to figure out

55:48the structural fragments that are,

55:53the structural building blocks that are important,

55:56that define this class,

55:58versus structural building blocks

56:00that are there just because, you know,

56:03to complete the structure,

56:04but they are not essentially the ones

56:06that make up the key chemical properties

56:10of this therapeutic category.

56:13And, you know, for me it was something new.

56:17I was trained as an applied mathematician,

56:20you know, with some machine learning background,

56:23but, you know, computer-aided drug design

56:25was a completely new territory.

56:28So because of that, I often find myself

56:32asking lots of questions on one of the sort of

56:35central forums.

56:37Back then there were, you know,

56:39no Facebooks or stuff like that,

56:41there was-- - What's a forum?

56:42- It's a, you know, it's a forum,

56:44it's essentially it's like a bulletin board.

56:46- Yeah, on the internet. - Yeah, so you essentially,

56:49you have a bunch of people and you post a question

56:52and you get, you know, an answer from,

56:54you know, different people.

56:56And back then, one of the most popular forums was CCL.

57:01Think Computational Chemistry Library,

57:05not library, but something like that,

57:07but CCL, that was the forum.

57:09And there I, you know, I--

57:12- Asked a lot of dumb questions.

57:14- Yes, I asked questions, also shared some, you know,

57:17some information about our formalism,

57:20how we do and whether whatever we do makes sense.

57:25And so, you know, and I remember that one of these posts,

57:29I mean, I still remember, you know,

57:31I would call it desperately looking for a chemist's advice,

57:39something like that, right?

57:40And so I post my question, I explained, you know,

57:43how our formalism is, what it does,

57:48and what kind of applications I'm planning to do.

57:53And, you know, and it was, you know,

57:55in the middle of the night and, you know,

57:56I went back to bed and next morning

58:01have a phone call from my advisor

58:04who also looked at this forum.

58:06He's like, "You won't believe who replied to you."

58:11And it's like, "Who?"

58:13He said, "Well, you know, there is a message to you

58:16"from Joshua Lederberg."

58:18And my reaction was like, "Who is Joshua Lederberg?"

58:22(laughing)

58:24- Your advisor hung up.

58:26- So, and essentially, you know,

58:29Joshua wrote me that we had conceptually similar ideas

58:34in the Dendrel project.

58:36You may wanna look it up.

58:38And, you know--

58:40- And we should also, sorry, and this is a side comment,

58:42say that even though he won the Nobel Prize

58:45at a really young age, in '58, but so--

58:49- He was, I think, he was, what, 33.

58:52- Yeah, it's just crazy.

58:54So anyway, so that's, so hence in the '90s,

58:57responding to young whippersnappers on the CCL forum.

59:02Okay, so--

59:02- And so back then he was already very senior.

59:05I mean, he unfortunately passed away back in 2008.

59:09But, you know, back in 2001, he was, I mean,

59:12he was a professor emeritus at Rockefeller University.

59:15And, you know, that was actually,

59:17believe it or not, one of the reasons

59:22I decided to join, you know, as a postdoc,

59:26the group of Andrei Saleh,

59:28who was at Rockefeller University,

59:30with the hope that, you know, that I could actually,

59:33you know, have a chance to meet Joshua in person.

59:38And I met him very briefly, right?

59:40Just because he was walking, you know,

59:45there's a little bridge that connects

59:47the sort of the research campus

59:50with the sort of sky scrapper that Rockefeller owns,

59:55the way, you know, postdocs and faculty

59:58and graduate students live.

60:00And so I met him, you know,

60:02and had a very short conversation, you know.

60:06But so I started, you know, reading about Dendral,

60:10and I was amazed, you know, it's,

60:12we're talking about 1960, right?

60:16The ideas were so profound.

60:19- Well, what's the fundamental ideas of it?

60:21- The reason to make this is even crazier.

60:25So Lederberg wanted to make a system

60:29that would help him study

60:33the extraterrestrial molecules, right?

60:38So the idea was that, you know,

60:40the way you study the extraterrestrial molecules

60:43is you do the mass spec analysis, right?

60:46And so the mass spec gives you sort of bits,

60:49numbers about essentially,

60:51gives you the ideas about the possible fragments,

60:54or, you know, atoms, you know,

60:57and maybe a little fragments,

60:59pieces of this molecule that make up the molecule, right?

61:03So now you need to sort of,

61:06to decompose this information

61:09and to figure out what was the whole

61:12before, you know, became fragments, bits and pieces, right?

61:17So in order to make this, you know,

61:20to have this tool,

61:24the idea of Lederberg was to connect chemistry,

61:28computer science,

61:31and to design this so-called expert system

61:36that looks, that takes into account,

61:38that takes as an input, the mass spec data,

61:42the possible database of possible molecules,

61:47and essentially try to sort of induce the molecule

61:52that would correspond to this spectra.

61:55Or, you know, essentially,

61:57what this project ended up being

62:01was that, you know, it would provide a list of candidates

62:07that then a chemist would look at

62:09and make final decision, so.

62:12- But the original idea, I suppose,

62:13is to solve the entirety of this problem automatically.

62:16- Yes, yes.

62:17So he, you know,

62:20so he, back then, he--

62:24- '60s. - Approached, yes.

62:26Believe that.

62:27You know, it's amazing.

62:28I mean, it still blows my mind, you know,

62:31that it's, that's,

62:32and this was essentially the origin

62:37of the modern bioinformatics, cheminformatics,

62:41you know, back in '60s.

62:42So that's, you know,

62:44so every time you deal with projects like this,

62:48with the, you know, research like this,

62:51it just, you know,

62:52so the power of the, you know,

62:56intelligence of these people

62:58is just, you know, overwhelming.

63:01- Do you think about expert systems?

63:04Is there, and why they kind of didn't become successful?

63:09Especially in the space of bioinformatics,

63:12where it does seem like there is a lot of expertise

63:15in humans, and, you know,

63:18is it possible to see that a system like this

63:21could be made very useful?

63:23- Right. - And be built up?

63:24- So it's actually, it's a great question,

63:26and this is something, so, you know,

63:28so, you know, at my university,

63:31I teach artificial intelligence,

63:33and, you know, we start,

63:36my first two lectures are on the history of AI.

63:40And there we, you know, we try to, you know,

63:44go through the main stages of AI,

63:48and so, you know, the question of why expert systems

63:53failed or became obsolete,

63:57it's actually a very interesting one.

63:58And there are, you know, if you try to read the,

64:01you know, the historical perspectives,

64:03there are actually two lines of thoughts.

§07Transcript · 1:04:05–1:14:06

64:05One is that they were essentially

64:10not up to the expectations,

64:14and so therefore they were replaced, you know,

64:18by other things, right?

64:21The other one was that completely opposite one,

64:25that they were too good.

64:28And as a result, they essentially

64:31became sort of a household name,

64:33and then essentially they got transformed.

64:37I mean, in both cases, sort of the outcome was the same.

64:40They evolved into something.

64:42- Yeah. - Right?

64:43And that's what I, you know, if--

64:46- That's interesting. - If I look at this, right?

64:47So the modern machine learning, right?

64:50So-- - So there's echoes

64:52in the modern machine learning to that.

64:53- I think so, I think so, because, you know,

64:55if you think about this, you know,

64:57and how we design, you know,

64:59the most successful algorithms,

65:02including AlphaFold, right?

65:04You built in the knowledge about the domain

65:08that you study, right?

65:09So you built in your expertise.

65:12- So speaking of AlphaFold, so DeepMind's AlphaFold2

65:16recently was announced to have,

65:18quote unquote, "solved protein folding."

65:21How exciting is this to you?

65:24It seems to be one of the exciting things

65:28that have happened in 2020.

65:29It's an incredible accomplishment from the looks of it.

65:32What part of it is amazing to you?

65:33What part would you say is overhyped

65:36or maybe misunderstood?

65:39- It's definitely a very exciting achievement.

65:41To give you a little bit of perspective, right?

65:43So in bioinformatics, we have several competitions.

65:48And so the way, you know, you often hear

65:53how those competitions have been explained

65:56to sort of to non-bioinformaticians is that,

65:59you know, they call it bioinformatics Olympic games.

66:01And there are several disciplines, right?

66:03So the historical one of the first one

66:07was the discipline in predicting the protein structure,

66:10predicting the 3D coordinates of the protein.

66:12But there are some others.

66:13So the predicting protein functions,

66:16predicting effects of mutations on protein functions,

66:21then predicting protein-protein interactions.

66:24So the original one was CASP

66:28or a critical assessment of protein structure.

66:31And the, you know, typically what happens

66:40during these competitions is, you know, scientists,

66:43experimental scientists solve the structures,

66:48but don't put them into the protein databank,

66:51which is the centralized database

66:53that contains all the 3D coordinates.

66:57Instead, they hold it and release protein sequences.

67:02And now the challenge of the community

67:05is to predict the 3D structures of these proteins,

67:10and then use the experimentally solved structures

67:12to assess which one is the closest one, right?

67:16- And this competition, by the way,

67:17just a bunch of different tangents.

67:19And maybe you can also say, what is protein folding?

67:22Then this competition, CASP competition,

67:25has become the gold standard,

67:27and that's what was used to say

67:29that protein folding was solved.

67:32So I just added a little, yeah, just a bunch.

67:35- So if you can, whenever you say stuff,

67:37maybe throw in some of the basics

67:39for the folks that might be outside of the field.

67:41Anyway, sorry.

67:42- So, yeah, so, you know, so the reason it's, you know,

67:45it's relevant to our understanding of protein folding

67:50is because, you know, we've yet to learn

67:54how the folding mechanistically works, right?

67:58So there are different hypotheses

68:00what happens to this fold.

68:02For example, there is a hypothesis

68:05that the folding happens by, you know,

68:09also in the modular fashion, right?

68:12So that, you know, we have protein domains

68:16that get folded independently

68:17because their structure is stable,

68:19and then the whole protein structure gets formed.

68:23But, you know, within those domains,

68:25we also have so-called secondary structure,

68:27the small alpha helices, beta sheets.

68:29So these are, you know, elements that are structurally stable.

68:34And so, and the question is, you know,

68:37when do they get formed?

68:40Because some of the secondary structure elements,

68:42you have to have, you know, a fragment in the beginning

68:46and say the fragment in the middle, right?

68:49So you cannot potentially start

68:52having the full fold from the get-go, right?

68:57So it's still, you know, it's still a big enigma,

69:00what happens.

69:01We know that it's an extremely efficient

69:04and stable process, right?

69:05- So there's this long sequence,

69:07and the fold happens really quickly.

69:09- Exactly.

69:10- So that's really weird, right?

69:11And it happens like the same way almost every time.

69:15- Exactly, exactly, right?

69:16- That's really weird.

69:17That's freaking weird.

69:19- It's, yeah, that's why it's such an amazing thing.

69:22But most importantly, right, so it's, you know,

69:24so when you see the translation process, right,

69:29so when you don't have the whole protein translated, right,

69:34it's still being translated, you know,

69:39getting out from the ribosome,

69:41you already see some structural, you know, fragmentation.

69:45So folding starts happening

69:49before the whole protein gets produced, right?

69:53And so this is obviously, you know,

69:55one of the biggest questions in, you know,

69:59in modern molecular biologies.

70:00- Not like maybe what happens,

70:04like that's not, that's bigger than the question of folding.

70:07That's the question of like,

70:09so like deeper fundamental idea of folding.

70:12- Yes. - Behind folding.

70:13- Exactly, exactly.

70:14So, you know, so obviously if we are able to predict

70:21the end product of protein folding,

70:24we are one step closer to understanding

70:27sort of the mechanistics of the protein folding.

70:30Because we can then potentially look and start probing

70:34what are the critical parts of this process

70:38and what are not so critical parts of this process.

70:41So we can start decomposing this, you know,

70:44so in a way, this protein structure prediction algorithm

70:50can be used as a tool, right?

70:53So you change the, you know, you modify the protein,

70:58you get back to this tool, it predicts,

71:02okay, it's completely unstable.

71:05- Yeah, which aspects of the input

71:07will have a big impact on the output.

71:09- Exactly, exactly.

71:11So what happens is, you know,

71:13we typically have some sort of incremental advancement.

71:18You know, each stage of this CASP competition,

71:22you have groups with incremental advancement.

71:25And, you know, historically, the top performing groups

71:29were, you know, they were not using machine learning.

71:34They were using very advanced biophysics

71:37combined with bioinformatics,

71:39combined with, you know, the data mining.

71:43And that was, you know, that would enable them

71:47to obtain protein structures of those proteins

71:52that don't have any structurally solved relatives.

71:57Because, you know, if we have another protein,

72:01say the same protein, but coming from a different species,

72:05we could potentially derive some ideas,

72:10and that's so-called homology or comparative modeling,

72:13where we'll derive some ideas

72:15from the previously known structures.

72:17And that would help us tremendously in, you know,

72:21in reconstructing the 3D structure overall.

72:25But what happens when we don't have these relatives?

72:27This is when it becomes really, really hard, right?

72:31So that's so-called de novo, you know,

72:35de novo protein structure prediction.

72:37And in this case,

72:39those methods were traditionally very good.

72:43But what happened in the last year,

72:46the original alpha fold came into,

72:49and all of a sudden, it's much better than everyone else.

72:55- This is 2018.

72:57- Yeah.

72:58- Oh, and the competition is only every two years, I think.

73:02- And then, so, you know, it was sort of

73:06kind of of a shockwave to the bioinformatics community

73:10that we have like a state-of-the-art machine learning system

73:15that does structure prediction.

73:18And essentially what it does, you know,

73:20so if you look at this, it actually predicts the context.

73:25So, you know, so the process of reconstructing

73:29the 3D structure starts by predicting the context

73:34between the different parts of the protein.

73:38And the context is essentially the part of the proteins

73:40that are in the close proximity to each other.

73:43- Right, so it's actually,

73:44the machine learning part seems to be estimating,

73:47you can correct me if I'm wrong here,

73:51but it seems to be estimating the distance matrix,

73:53which is like the distance between the different parts.

73:55- Yeah, so we call it a contact map.

73:58- Contact map.

73:58- Right, so once you have the contact map,

74:00the reconstruction is becoming more straightforward.

74:03- Yeah.

74:04- Right, but so the contact map is the key.

74:06And so, you know, so that what happened.

§08Transcript · 1:14:11–1:25:04

74:11And now we started seeing in this current stage, right,

74:16where in the most recent one,

74:18we started seeing the emergence of these ideas

74:22in other people works, right?

74:25But yet here's, you know, AlphaFold2,

74:29that again outperforms everyone else.

74:33And also by introducing yet another wave

74:35of the machine learning ideas.

74:38- Yeah, there does seem to be also an incorporation.

74:41First of all, the paper's not out yet,

74:43but there's a bunch of ideas already out.

74:44There does seem to be an incorporation of this other thing.

74:48I don't know if it's something that you could speak to,

74:50which is like the incorporation of like other structures,

74:55like evolutionary similar structures

75:01that are used to kind of give you hints.

75:03- Yes, so evolutionary similarity is something

75:08that we can detect at different levels, right?

75:10So we know, for example, that the structure of proteins

75:15is more conserved than the sequence.

75:20The sequence could be very different,

75:22but the structural shape is actually still very conserved.

75:26So that's sort of the intrinsic property that, you know,

75:28in a way related to protein folds, you know,

75:31to the evolution of the protein,

75:35of proteins and protein domains, et cetera.

75:37But we know that, I mean, there've been multiple studies.

75:41And, you know, ideally if you have structures,

75:45you know, you should use that information.

75:48However, sometimes we don't have this information.

75:51Instead, we have a bunch of sequences.

75:53Sequences we have a lot, right?

75:54So we have, you know, hundreds, thousands of, you know,

75:59different organisms sequenced, right?

76:02And by taking the same protein,

76:05but in different organisms and aligning it,

76:09so making it, you know,

76:12making the corresponding positions aligned,

76:15we can actually say a lot about sort of what is conserved

76:20in this protein and therefore, you know,

76:24structure more stable, what is diverse in this protein.

76:27So on top of that, we could provide sort of the information

76:30about the sort of the secondary structure of this protein,

76:34et cetera, et cetera.

76:35So this information is extremely useful

76:37and it's already there.

76:39So while it's tempting to, you know,

76:42to do a complete ab initio,

76:44so you just have a protein sequence and nothing else,

76:48the reality is such that we are overwhelmed with this data.

76:52So why not use it?

76:55- Mm-hmm.

76:56- And so, yeah, so I'm looking forward

76:59to reading this paper.

77:01- It does seem to, like they've,

77:03in the previous version of AlphaFold, they didn't,

77:05for this evolutionary similarity thing,

77:09they didn't use machine learning for that.

77:12Or rather, they used it as like the input

77:15to the entirety of the neural net,

77:17like the features derived from the similarity.

77:22It seems like there's some kind of, quote unquote,

77:24iterative thing where it seems to be part of the learning

77:29process is the incorporation of this evolutionary similarity.

77:34- Yeah, I don't think there is a bioarchive paper, right?

77:36- There's nothing. - No, nothing.

77:38- There's a blog post that's written

77:40by a marketing team, essentially.

77:42- Yeah. - Which, you know,

77:43it has some scientific similarity probably

77:48to the actual methodology used,

77:51but it could be, it's like interpreting scripture.

77:55It could be just poetic interpretations

77:58of the actual work as opposed

78:00to direct connection to the work.

78:01- So now, speaking about protein folding, right?

78:04So, you know, in order to answer the question

78:06whether or not we have solved this, right?

78:09So we need to go back to the beginning of our conversation,

78:13you know, with the realization that, you know,

78:15an average protein is that typically what the cusp

78:21has been focusing on is, you know,

78:24this competition has been focusing on the single,

78:27maybe two domain proteins that are still very compact.

78:31And even those ones are extremely challenging to solve,

78:34right, but now we talk about, you know,

78:37an average protein that has two, three protein domains.

78:42If you look at the proteins that are in charge of the,

78:47you know, of the process with the neural system, right,

78:51perhaps one of the most recently evolved sort of systems

78:57in the organism, right?

79:04All of them, well, the majority of them

79:06are highly multi-domain proteins.

79:09So they are, you know, some of them have five, six, seven,

79:13you know, and more domains, right?

79:16And, you know, we are very far away from understanding

79:20how these proteins are folded.

79:22- So the complexity of the protein matters here,

79:24the complexity of the protein modules

79:27or the protein domains.

79:30So you're saying solved, so the definition of solved here

79:36is particularly the cast competition,

79:38achieving human level, not human level,

79:41achieving experimental level performance

79:45on these particular sets of proteins

79:48that have been used in these competitions.

79:50- Well, I mean, you know, I do think that, you know,

79:54especially with regards to the alpha fold, you know,

79:57it is able to, you know, to solve, you know,

80:02at the near experimental level,

80:07pretty big majority of the more compact proteins,

80:15like, or protein domains, because, again,

80:17in order to understand how the overall protein,

80:21you know, multi-domain protein fold,

80:24we do need to understand the structure

80:26of its individual domains.

80:28- I mean, unlike if you look at alpha zero

80:31or like mu zero, if you look at that work,

80:36you know, it's nice, reinforcement learning,

80:39self-playing mechanisms are nice

80:41'cause it's all in simulation,

80:42so you can learn from just huge amounts.

80:45Like, you don't need data.

80:47It was like the problem with proteins,

80:49like the size, I forget how many 3D structures

80:54have been mapped, but the training data is very small,

80:56no matter what, it's like millions,

80:59maybe a one or two million, something like that,

81:01but it's some very small number,

81:02but like, it doesn't seem like that's scalable.

81:06There has to be, I don't know,

81:09it feels like you want to somehow 10X the data

81:13or 100X the data somehow.

81:15- Yes, but we also can take advantage

81:18of homology models, right?

81:23So the models that are of very good quality

81:26because they are essentially obtained

81:30based on the evolutionary information, right?

81:33So you can, there is a potential to enhance this information

81:38and use it again to empower the training set.

81:43And it's, I think, I am actually very optimistic.

81:53I think it's been one of these sort of, you know,

81:58churning events where you have a system

82:07that is, you know, a machine learning system

82:11that is truly better than the sort of the more conventional

82:15biophysics-based methods.

82:17- That's a huge leap.

82:19This is one of those fun questions,

82:21but where would you put it in the ranking

82:26of the greatest breakthroughs

82:28in artificial intelligence history?

82:30So like, okay, so let's see who's in the running.

82:34Maybe you can correct me.

82:35So you got like AlphaZero and AlphaGo

82:39beating the world champion at the game of Go.

82:44Thought to be impossible like 20 years ago,

82:48or at least the AI community was highly skeptical.

82:51Then you got like also Deep Blue original Kasparov.

82:55You have deep learning itself, like the,

82:56maybe what would you say, the AlexNet image in that moment.

83:01So the first, you know,

83:02network achieving human level performance,

83:04super not, that's not true.

83:07Achieving like a big leap in performance

83:11on the computer vision problem.

83:12There is OpenAI, the whole like GPT-3,

83:19that whole space of transformers and language models,

83:23just achieving this incredible performance

83:27of application of neural networks to language models.

83:30Boston Dynamics, pretty cool.

83:33Like robotics, even though people are like,

83:35there's no AI, no, no, no.

83:38There's no machine learning currently,

83:41but AI is much bigger than machine learning.

83:44So that just the engineering aspect,

83:48I would say it's one of the greatest accomplishments

83:50in engineering side, engineering meaning

83:53like mechanical engineering of robotics ever.

83:58Then of course, autonomous vehicles,

83:59you can argue for Waymo,

84:01which is like the Google self-driving car,

84:03or you can argue for Tesla,

84:05which is like actually being used

84:07by hundreds of thousands of people

84:09on the road today, machine learning system.

84:12And I don't know if you can, what else is there?

84:17But I think that's it.

84:18So, and then AlphaFold, many people are saying

84:20is up there, potentially number one.

84:23Would you put them at number one?

84:24- Well, in terms of the impact on the science

84:30and on the society beyond, it's definitely,

84:34to me would be one of the--

84:35- Top three?

84:38- I mean, I'm probably not the best person to answer that.

84:44But I do have, I remember my,

84:50back in, I think 1997, when Deep Blue,

84:56but Kasparov, it was, I mean, it was a shock.

85:01I mean, it was, and I think for the,

85:04for the pretty substantial part of the world,

§09Transcript · 1:25:13–1:35:26

85:13that especially people who have some experience

85:18with chess, right, and realizing how incredibly human

85:25this game, how much of a brain power you need

85:30to reach those levels of grandmasters, right, level.

85:35- Yeah, and it's probably one of the first time,

85:37and how good Kasparov was.

85:39- And again, yeah, so Kasparov's arguably

85:42one of the best ever, right?

85:45And you get a machine that beats him, right?

85:48So it's--

85:48- First time a machine probably beat a human

85:50at that scale of a thing, of anything.

85:53- Yes, yes, so that was, to me, that was like,

85:56you know, one of the groundbreaking events

85:59in the history of AI.

86:00- Yeah, it's probably number one.

86:01- As probably, like, we don't, it's hard to remember.

86:05It's like Muhammad Ali versus, I don't know,

86:08any other, Mike Tyson, something like that.

86:09It's like, nah, you gotta put Muhammad Ali at number one.

86:12Same with Deep Blue, even though

86:16it's not machine learning based.

86:17Still, it uses advanced search,

86:21and search is the integral part of AI, right?

86:24So as you said, it's--

86:25- People don't think of it that way at this moment.

86:27In Vogue, currently, search is not seen

86:30as a fundamental aspect of intelligence,

86:34but it very well, it very likely is.

86:37In fact, I mean, that's what neural networks are,

86:39is they're just performing search

86:41on the space of parameters.

86:42And it's all search. (laughs)

86:45All of intelligence is some form of search,

86:47and you just have to become clever and clever

86:49at that search problem.

86:50- And I also have another one that you didn't mention

86:54that's one of my favorite ones.

86:57So you probably heard of this.

87:00I think it's called Deep Rembrandt.

87:03It's the project where they trained,

87:06I think there was a collaboration between

87:08the experts in Rembrandt painting in Netherlands,

87:15and a group, an artificial intelligence group,

87:18where they train an algorithm

87:20to replicate the style of the Rembrandt,

87:23and they actually printed a portrait

87:27that never existed before in the style of Rembrandt.

87:31I think they printed it on a sort of,

87:36on the canvas that, using pretty much

87:40same types of paints and stuff.

87:42To me, it was mind-blowing.

87:44- Yeah.

87:44- It's--

87:45- In the space of art, that's interesting.

87:46There hasn't been, maybe that's it,

87:50but I think there hasn't been an image

87:53in that moment yet in the space of art.

87:55You haven't been able to achieve superhuman level

87:59performance in the space of art,

88:01even though there was this big famous thing

88:04where a piece of art was purchased,

88:07I guess, for a lot of money.

88:08- Yes.

88:09- Yeah, but it's still, people are like,

88:12in the space of music at least,

88:15that's, it's clear that human-created pieces

88:19are much more popular.

88:21So there hasn't been a moment where it's like,

88:24oh, this is, we're now, I would say in the space of music,

88:28what makes a lot of money, we're talking about serious money,

88:32it's music and movies, or like shows and so on,

88:35and entertainment.

88:36There hasn't been a moment where AI created,

88:40AI was able to create a piece of music

88:44or a piece of cinema, like Netflix show,

88:49that is, that's sufficiently popular to make a ton of money.

88:54- Yeah.

88:56- And that moment would be very, very powerful,

88:58'cause that's like, that's an AI system

89:01being used to make a lot of money.

89:03And like direct, of course, AI tools,

89:05like even Premiere, audio editing, all the editing,

89:07everything I do, to edit this podcast,

89:09there's a lot of AI involved.

89:11Actually, there's this program,

89:13I wanna talk to those folks just 'cause I wanna nerd out,

89:15it's called iZotope, I don't know if you're familiar with it.

89:18They have a bunch of tools of audio processing,

89:20and they have, I think they're Boston-based.

89:23Just, it's so exciting to me to use it,

89:26like on the audio here, 'cause it's all machine learning.

89:30It's not, 'cause most audio production stuff

89:35is like any kind of processing you do,

89:37it's very basic signal processing.

89:39And you're tuning knobs and so on.

89:41They have all of that, of course,

89:43but they also have all of this machine learning stuff,

89:46like where you actually give it training data.

89:48You select parts of the audio you train on,

89:51you train on it, and it figures stuff out.

89:56It's great, it's able to detect,

89:58like the ability of it to be able to separate voice

90:03and music, for example, or voice in anything, is incredible.

90:07Like it just, it's clearly exceptionally good

90:11at applying these different neural networks models

90:14to separate the different kinds of signals from the audio.

90:18Okay, so that's really exciting.

90:22Photoshop, Adobe people also use it.

90:24But to generate a piece of music

90:28that will sell millions, a piece of art, yeah.

90:31- No, I agree, and that's,

90:38as I mentioned, I offer my AI class,

90:41and an integral part of this is the project, right?

90:44So it's my favorite, ultimate favorite part,

90:47because typically we have these project presentations

90:51the last two weeks of the class,

90:53it's right before the Christmas break,

90:56and it's sort of, it adds this cool excitement.

91:00And every time, I'm amazed with some projects

91:05that people come up with.

91:08And so, and quite a few of them are actually,

91:13they have some link to arts.

91:17I mean, I think last year, we had a group

91:22who designed an AI producing hokus, Japanese poems.

91:27- Oh, wow.

91:29- And some of them, so it got trained

91:34on the English base. - Hokus?

91:35- Hokus, hokus, right?

91:37So, and some of them, they get to present

91:42like the top selection.

91:44They were pretty good.

91:45I mean, of course, I'm not a specialist,

91:47but you read them, and you see--

91:50- It seems profound.

91:51- Yes, yeah, it seems reason, so it's kind of cool.

91:54We also had a couple of projects

91:57where people tried to teach AI how to play like rock music,

92:03classical music, I think, and popular music.

92:08Interestingly enough, classical music

92:14was among the most difficult ones.

92:16Of course, if you look at the grandmasters of music,

92:25like Bach, right?

92:31So, there is a lot of almost math.

92:34- Yeah, well, he's very mathematical.

92:36- Exactly, so this is, I would imagine

92:39that at least some style of this music could be picked up,

92:43but then you have this completely different spectrum

92:46of classical composers, and so it's almost like,

92:51you don't have to sort of look at the data.

92:56You just listen to it, and say, "Nah, that's not it,

93:00"not yet." - That's not it.

93:01Yeah, that's how I feel, too.

93:03There's OpenAI has, I think, OpenMuse

93:05or something like that, the system.

93:07It's cool, but it's like, eh,

93:09it's not compelling for some reason.

93:12It could be a psychological reason, too.

93:14Maybe we need to have a human being,

93:17a tortured soul behind the music, I don't know.

93:20- Yeah, no, absolutely, I completely agree.

93:23But yeah, whether or not we'll have,

93:26one day we'll have a song written by an AI engine

93:31to be in top charts, musical charts,

93:37I wouldn't be surprised.

93:39I wouldn't be surprised.

93:41- I wonder if we already have one,

93:44and it just hasn't been announced.

93:46(both laugh)

93:48We wouldn't know.

93:49How hard is the multi-protein folding problem?

93:53Is that something you've already mentioned,

93:57which is baked into this idea

93:58of greater and greater complexity of proteins?

94:01Like multi-domain proteins,

94:03is that basically become multi-protein complexes?

94:08- Yes, you got it right.

94:10So it has the components of both,

94:15of protein folding and protein-protein interactions.

94:22Because in order for these domains,

94:24I mean, many of these proteins,

94:26actually, they never form a stable structure.

94:30One of my favorite proteins,

94:33and pretty much everyone who works in the,

94:37I know, whom I know who works with proteins,

94:41they always have their favorite proteins.

94:44Right, so one of my favorite proteins,

94:47probably my favorite protein,

94:49the one that I worked when I was a postdoc,

94:51is so-called post-synaptic density 95, PSD95 protein.

94:56So it's one of the key actors

95:00in the majority of neurological processes

95:03at the molecular level.

95:04And essentially, it's a key player

95:10in the post-synaptic density.

95:13So this is the crucial part of the synapse,

95:17where a lot of these chemological processes

95:21are happening.

95:22So it has five domains, right?

95:26So five protein domains.

§10Transcript · 1:35:27–1:46:27

95:27It's a pretty large proteins,

95:30I think 600 something, I mean,

95:33but the way it's organized itself, it's flexible, right?

95:40So it acts as a scaffold.

95:43So it is used to bring in other proteins.

95:49So they start acting in the orchestrated manner, right?

95:54So, and the type of the shape of this protein,

95:58it's in a way, there are some stable parts of this protein,

96:02but there are some flexible.

96:04And this flexibility is built in,

96:07into the protein in order to become

96:09sort of this multifunctional machine.

96:13- So do you think that kind of thing is also learnable

96:16through the AlphaFold2 kind of approach?

96:19- I mean, the time will tell.

96:22- Is it another level of complexity?

96:24Is it, like how big of a jump in complexity

96:27is that whole thing?

96:28- To me, it's yet another level of complexity,

96:31because when we talk about protein-protein interactions,

96:35and there is actually a different challenge for this,

96:38called CAPRI.

96:40And so this, that is focused specifically

96:43on macromolecular interactions.

96:45Protein-protein, protein-DNA, et cetera.

96:48So, but it's, you know, there are different mechanisms

96:53that govern molecular interactions,

96:58and that need to be picked up,

97:00say by a machine learning algorithm.

97:03Interestingly enough, we actually,

97:06we participated for a few years in this competition.

97:11We typically don't participate in competitions,

97:14I don't know, don't have enough time,

97:19you know, 'cause it's very intensive.

97:21It's a very intensive process.

97:23But we participated back in, you know,

97:28about 10 years ago or so.

97:30And the way we entered this competition,

97:32so we design a scoring function, right?

97:35So the function that evaluates whether or not

97:38your protein-protein interaction is supposed to look like

97:41experimentally solved, right?

97:43So the scoring function is very critical part

97:45of the model prediction.

97:49So we design it to be a machine learning one.

97:52And so it was one of the first

97:55machine learning-based scoring function used in CAPRI.

97:59And, you know, we essentially, you know,

98:03learned what should contribute,

98:06what are the critical components contributing

98:08into the protein-protein interaction.

98:10- So this could be converted into a learning problem

98:13and thereby it could be learned.

98:15- I believe so, yes.

98:17- Do you think AlphaFold2 or something similar to it

98:20from DeepMind or somebody else will be,

98:24will result in a Nobel Prize or multiple Nobel Prizes?

98:28So like, you know, obviously, maybe not so obviously,

98:33you can't give a Nobel Prize to a computer program.

98:38You, at least for now, give it to the designers

98:40of that program.

98:42But do you see one or multiple Nobel Prizes

98:46where AlphaFold2 is like a large percentage

98:51of what that prize is given for?

98:54Would it lead to discoveries at the level of Nobel Prizes?

98:58- I mean, I think we are definitely destined

99:05to see the Nobel Prize becoming sort of,

99:08to be evolving with the evolution of science.

99:12And the evolution of science is such

99:14that it now becomes like really multifaceted, right?

99:17So where you don't really have like a unique discipline,

99:21you have sort of the, a lot of cross-disciplinary talks

99:25in order to achieve sort of, you know,

99:28really big advancements, you know.

99:32So I think, you know, the computational methods

99:37will be acknowledged in one way or another.

99:42And as a matter of fact, you know,

99:46they were first acknowledged back in 2013, right?

99:50Where, you know, the first three people were, you know,

99:55awarded the Nobel Prize for the,

99:59for study of the protein folding, right, the principle.

100:01And, you know, I think all three of them

100:03are computational biophysicists, right?

100:06So, you know, that I think is unavoidable, you know.

100:11It will come with the time.

100:16The fact that, you know, alpha fold and, you know,

100:23similar approaches, 'cause again, it's a matter of time

100:26that people will embrace this, you know, principle.

100:31And we'll see more and more such, you know,

100:34such tools coming into play.

100:36But, you know, these methods will be critical

100:41in a scientific discovery, no doubts about it.

100:47- On the engineering side, maybe a dark question,

100:51but do you think it's possible

100:53to use these machine learning methods

100:55to start to engineer proteins?

100:59And the next question is something quite a few biologists

101:04are against, some are for, for study purposes,

101:07is to engineer viruses.

101:09Do you think machine learning, like something

101:11like alpha fold could be used to engineer viruses?

101:14- So to answering the first question, you know,

101:16it has been, you know, a part of the research

101:21in the protein science.

101:22The protein design is, you know,

101:25is a very prominent areas of research.

101:29Of course, you know, one of the pioneers is David Baker

101:32and Rosetta algorithm that, you know,

101:34essentially was doing the de novo design

101:38and was used to design new proteins, you know.

101:41- And design of proteins means design of function.

101:44So like when you design a protein, you can control,

101:47I mean, the whole point of a protein,

101:49with the protein structure comes a function,

101:52like it's doing something.

101:53- Correct, correct.

101:54- Or design different things.

101:56- So you can, yeah, so you can, well,

101:58you can look at the proteins from the functional perspective,

102:00you can also look at the proteins

102:02from the structural perspective, right?

102:04So the structural building blocks.

102:05So if you want to have a building block of a certain shape,

102:08you can try to achieve it by, you know,

102:11introducing a new protein sequence

102:13and predicting, you know, how it will fold.

102:17So with that, I mean, it's a natural,

102:22one of the natural applications of these algorithms.

102:27Now, talking about engineering a virus.

102:32- With machine learning.

102:35- With machine learning, right?

102:36So, well, you know, so luckily for us,

102:41I mean, we don't have that much data, right?

102:46We actually, right now, one of the projects

102:50that we are carrying on in the lab

102:53is we're trying to develop a machine learning algorithm

102:56that determines whether or not

103:00the current strain is pathogenic.

103:02And-- - The current strain

103:03of the coronavirus.

103:04- Of the virus, I mean, so there are applications

103:07to coronaviruses because we have strains of SARS-CoV-2,

103:11also SARS-CoV, MERS, that are pathogenic,

103:14but we also have strains of other coronaviruses

103:17that are not pathogenic, I mean,

103:20the common cold viruses and some other ones, right?

103:25So-- - Pathogenic meaning spreading.

103:29- Pathogenic meaning it's actually inflicting damage.

103:33Correct.

103:35There are also some seasonal versus pandemic strains

103:39of influenza, right?

103:41And determining what are the molecular determinant, right,

103:45so that are built in into the protein sequence,

103:48into the gene sequence, right?

103:50So, and whether or not the machine learning

103:53can determine those components, right?

103:58- Oh, interesting, so like using machine learning,

104:00that's really interesting, to given,

104:03the input is like, what, the entire--

104:06- Protein sequence.

104:07- The protein sequence, and then determine

104:09if this thing is gonna be able to do damage

104:12to a biological system.

104:14- Yeah.

104:15So, I mean-- - It's good machine learning,

104:17you're saying we don't have enough data for that?

104:19- I mean, for this specific one, we do.

104:22We might actually have to back up on this,

104:25'cause we're still in the process.

104:27There was one work that appeared in bio-archive

104:31by Eugene Kunin, who is one of these pioneers

104:35in evolutionary genomics, and they tried to look at this,

104:41but the methods were sort of standard,

104:45supervised learning methods, and now the question is,

104:50can you advance it further by using not so standard methods?

104:56So, there's obviously a lot of hope in transfer learning,

105:02where you can actually try to transfer the information

105:06that the machine learning learns

105:07about the proper protein sequences, right?

105:11And so, there is some promise in going this direction,

105:16but if we have this, it would be extremely useful,

105:20because then we could essentially forecast

105:22the potential mutations that would make a current strain

105:26more or less pathogenic.

105:27- Anticipate them from a vaccine development,

105:31for the treatment, antiviral drug development.

105:34- That would be a very crucial task.

105:36- But you could also use that system to then say,

105:41how would we potentially modify this virus

105:45to make it more pathogenic?

105:47- That's true, that's true.

105:50I mean, you know, again, the hope is, well, several things.

105:55So, one is that, even if you design a sequence, right?

106:06So, to carry out the actual experimental biology,

106:11to ensure that all the components working,

106:16you know, is a completely different matter.

106:19- Difficult process.

106:19- Yes, then we've seen in the past,

106:24there could be some regulation of the moment

106:27the scientific community recognizes

§11Transcript · 1:46:30–1:56:36

106:30that it's now becoming no longer a sort of a fun puzzle

106:34for machine learning.

106:36- Could be a weapon.

106:37- Yeah, so then there might be some regulation.

106:40So, I think back in, what, 2015,

106:44there was an issue on regulating the research

106:49on influenza strains, right?

106:52So, there were several groups use sort of mutation analysis

106:57to determine whether or not this strain will jump

107:01from one species to another.

107:03And I think there was like a half a year moratorium

107:06on the research, on the paper published,

107:09until scientists analyzed it

107:13and decided that it's actually safe.

107:16- I forgot what that's called,

107:17something of function, test of function.

107:20- Gain of function, loss of function.

107:21- Gain of function, yeah, gain of function,

107:23loss of function, that's right, sorry.

107:24It's like, let's watch this thing mutate for a while

107:29to see what kind of things we can observe.

107:33I guess, I'm not so much worried about that kind of research

107:37if there's a lot of regulation

107:38and if it's done very well

107:40and with competence and seriously.

107:42I am more worried about kind of this,

107:45the underlying aspect of this question

107:49is more like 50 years from now.

107:51Speaking to the Drake equation,

107:54one of the parameters in the Drake equation

107:57is how long civilizations last.

107:59And that seems to be the most important value, actually,

108:03for calculating if there's other alien

108:06intelligent civilizations out there.

108:08That's where there's most variability.

108:11Assuming, like if life, if that percentage

108:15that life can emerge is like not zero,

108:19like if we're super unique,

108:21then it's the how long we last

108:23is basically the most important thing.

108:26So from a selfish perspective,

108:29but also from a Drake equation perspective,

108:32I'm worried about our civilization lasting.

108:35And you kind of think about all the ways

108:37in which machine learning can be used

108:39to design greater weapons of destruction.

108:44And I mean, one way to ask that,

108:48if you look sort of 50 years from now,

108:50100 years from now,

108:51would you be more worried about natural pandemics

108:55or engineered pandemics?

108:57Like who is the better designer of viruses,

109:02nature or humans, if we look down the line?

109:05- I think, in my view,

109:08I would still be worried about the natural pandemics,

109:12simply because, I mean, the capacity

109:15of the nature producing this.

109:20- It does a pretty good job, right?

109:22- Yes.

109:23- The motivation for using virus,

109:25engineering viruses as a weapon is a weird one,

109:29because maybe you can correct me on this,

109:31but it seems very difficult to target a virus, right?

109:35The whole point of a weapon, the way a rocket works,

109:38if a starting point, you have an end point,

109:40and you're trying to hit a target,

109:42to hit a target with a virus is very difficult.

109:44It's basically just, right?

109:47It's the target would be the human species.

109:50Oh man.

109:52- Yeah, I have a hope in us,

109:54I'm forever optimistic that we will not,

109:58there's insufficient evil in the world

110:02to lead to that kind of destruction.

110:04- Well, I also hope that, I mean, that's what we see.

110:07I mean, with the way we are getting connected,

110:11the world is getting connected,

110:14I think it helps for the world to become more transparent.

110:19- Yeah.

110:22- So the information spread is,

110:27I think it's one of the key things for the society

110:31to become more balanced.

110:35- Yeah. - One way or another.

110:36- This is something that people disagree with me on,

110:38but I do think that the kind of secrecy

110:41that governments have,

110:43so you're kind of speaking more to the other aspects,

110:47like research community being more open,

110:49companies are being more open,

110:52government is still like,

110:53we're talking about like military secrets.

110:57I think military secrets of the kind

111:01that could destroy the world

111:03will become also a thing of the 20th century.

111:07It'll become more and more open.

111:09- Yeah.

111:10- I think nations will lose power in the 21st century,

111:13like lose sufficient power towards secrecies.

111:16Transparency is more beneficial than secrecy,

111:18but of course it's not obvious.

111:21Let's hope so, let's hope so,

111:23that the governments will become more transparent.

111:28- So we last talked, I think, in March or April.

111:35What have you learned?

111:36How has your philosophical, psychological,

111:40biological worldview changed since then?

111:43Or you've been studying it nonstop

111:46from a computational biology perspective.

111:48How has your understanding and thoughts

111:50about this virus changed over those months,

111:53from the beginning to today?

111:54- One thing that I was really amazed

111:58at how efficient the scientific community was.

112:03I mean, and even just judging on this very narrow domain

112:08of protein structure,

112:12understanding the structural characterization

112:16of this virus from the components point of view,

112:19whole virus point of view.

112:21If you look at SARS, right,

112:26the something that happened, you know,

112:28less than 20, but close enough, 20 years ago.

112:34And you see what, when it happened,

112:38what was sort of the response by the scientific community.

112:42You see that the structural characterizations did occur,

112:47but it took several years, right?

112:51Now, the things that took several years,

112:54it's a matter of months, right?

112:56So we see that, you know, the research pop up.

113:01We are at the unprecedented level

113:03in terms of the sequencing, right?

113:06Never before we had a single virus sequenced so many times.

113:11You know, so which allows us to actually,

113:17to trace very precisely the sort of the evolutionary nature

113:22of this virus, what happens.

113:25And it's not just the, you know,

113:28this virus independently of everything.

113:31It's, you know, it's the, you know,

113:34the sequence of this virus linked,

113:36anchored to the specific geographic place,

113:39to specific people, because, you know,

113:42our genotype influences also, you know,

113:47the evolution of this, you know,

113:48it's always a host pathogen co-evolution that, you know,

113:53occurs.

113:55- It'd be cool if we also had a lot more data about,

113:58sort of, the spread of this virus.

114:01Not maybe, well, it'd be nice if we had it

114:05for like contact tracing purposes for this virus,

114:08but it'd be also nice if we had it

114:09for the study for future viruses,

114:11to be able to respond and so on.

114:13But it's already nice that we have geographical data

114:16and the basic data from individual humans.

114:18- Exactly.

114:19No, I think contact tracing is obviously a key component

114:24in understanding the spread of this virus.

114:28There is also, there is a number of challenges, right?

114:31So XPRICE is one of them.

114:33We, you know, just recently, you know,

114:38took a part of this competition.

114:40It's the prediction of the number of infections

114:45in different regions.

114:47So, and, you know, obviously the AI is the main topic

114:53in those predictions.

114:56- Yeah, but it's still the data.

114:58I mean, that's a competition,

115:00but the data is weak on the training.

115:05Like, it's great.

115:07It's much more than probably before,

115:09but like, it would be nice if it was like really rich.

115:12Like I talked to Michael Mina from Harvard.

115:16I mean, he dreams that the community comes together

115:19with like a weather map to where a viruses, right?

115:22Like really high resolution sensors on like how,

115:27from person to person, the viruses that travel,

115:29all the different kinds of viruses, right?

115:32Because there's a ton of them.

115:34And then you'd be able to tell the story

115:36that you've spoken about of the evolution of these viruses,

115:41like day-to-day mutations that are occurring.

115:44I mean, that'd be fascinating,

115:46just from a perspective of study

115:48and from the perspective of being able to respond

115:50to future pandemics.

115:51That's ultimately what I'm worried about.

115:53People love books.

115:56Is there some three or whatever number of books,

116:01technical fiction, philosophical,

116:02that brought you joy in life,

116:06had an impact on your life,

116:07and maybe some that you would recommend others?

116:11- So I'll give you three very different books,

116:13and I also have a special runner-up.

116:15- Honorable mention.

116:18- I mean, it's an audio book,

116:22and there's some specific reason behind it.

116:25So the first book is something

116:28that sort of impacted my earlier stage of life,

116:32and I'm probably not gonna be very original here.

116:36It's "Bulgakov's Master and Margarita."

§12Transcript · 1:56:39–2:08:23

116:39So that's probably, you know.

116:41- Well, not for a Russian, maybe it's not super original,

116:43but it's a really powerful book for even in English.

116:47So I read it in English, so.

116:49- It is incredibly powerful,

116:51and I mean, it's the way it ends, right?

116:55So I still have goosebumps

116:58when I read the very last sort of,

117:01it's called prologue,

117:03where it's just so powerful.

117:05- What impact did it have on you?

117:07What ideas, what insights did you get from it?

117:09- I was just taken by, you know,

117:12by the fact that you have those parallel lives

117:17apart from many centuries, right?

117:23And somehow they got sort of intertwined

117:26into one story.

117:28And that, to me, was fascinating.

117:33And, you know, of course, the romantic part of this book

117:38is like, it's not just romance,

117:41it's like the romance empowered by sort of magic, right?

117:45And maybe on top of that, you have some irony,

117:50which is unavoidable, right?

117:53Because it was that, you know, the Soviet time.

117:56- But it's very, it's deeply Russian.

117:58So that's the wit, the humor, the pain, the love,

118:03all of that is one of the books

118:06that kind of captures something about Russian culture

118:10that people outside of Russia should probably read.

118:12- I agree.

118:13- What's the second one?

118:14- So the second one is, again, another one that,

118:18it happened, I read it later in my life.

118:21I think I read it first time when I was a,

118:26a graduate student.

118:27And that's the Solzhenitsyn's "Cancer Ward."

118:30That is amazingly powerful book.

118:36It's-- - What is it about?

118:37- It's about, I mean, essentially based on,

118:41you know, Solzhenitsyn was diagnosed with cancer

118:44when he was reasonably young and he made a full recovery.

118:49But, you know, so this is about a person

118:54who was sentenced for life in one of these, you know, camps.

118:59And he had some cancer.

119:03So he was, you know, transported back

119:06to one of these Soviet republics,

119:10I think, you know, South Asian republics.

119:13And the book is about, you know,

119:19his experience being a prisoner,

119:24being a, you know, a patient in the cancer clinic,

119:29in a cancer ward, surrounded by people,

119:32many of which die, right?

119:35But in the way, you know, the way it reads,

119:41I mean, first of all, later on,

119:43I read the accounts of the doctors

119:47who described these, you know, the experiences,

119:51in the book, by the patient as incredibly accurate, right?

119:58So, you know, I read that there was some doctors saying

120:03that, you know, every single doctor should read this book

120:07to understand what the patient feels.

120:10But, you know, again, as many of the Solzhenitsyn's books,

120:17it has multiple levels of complexity.

120:19And obviously, you know, if you look above the cancer

120:24and the patient, I mean, the tumor that was growing

120:29and then disappeared in his body with some consequences,

120:35I mean, this is, you know, allegorically the Soviet,

120:45and, you know, and he actually, he agreed,

120:48you know, when he was asked, he said that this is

120:51what made him think about this, you know,

120:53how to combine these experiences.

120:56Him being a part of the, you know, of the Soviet regime,

121:00also being a part of the, you know,

121:04of someone sent to the Gulag camp, right?

121:08And also someone who experienced cancer in his life.

121:12You know, the Gulag Archipelago and this book,

121:16these are the works that actually made him,

121:20you know, receive a Nobel Prize.

121:22But, you know, to me, I've, you know,

121:25I've read other, you know, books by Solzhenitsyn.

121:30This one is, to me, is the most powerful one.

121:34- And by the way, both this one and the previous one,

121:37you read in Russian?

121:38- Yes, yes.

121:40So now there is, the third book is an English book,

121:44and it's completely different.

121:45So, you know, we're switching the gears completely.

121:48So this is the book, which it's not even a book,

121:52it's an essay by Jonathan Neumann.

121:56- Oh, wow.

121:57- Called "The Computer and the Brain."

121:59And that was the book he was writing,

122:03knowing that he was dying of cancer.

122:07So the book was released back,

122:09it's a very thin book, right?

122:12But the power, the intellectual power

122:17in this book, in this essay is incredible.

122:21I mean, you probably know that von Neumann

122:24is considered to be one of the biggest thinkers, right?

122:28So his intellectual power was incredible, right?

122:32And you can actually feel this power in this book

122:36where, you know, the person is writing

122:38knowing that he will be, you know, he will die.

122:41The book actually got published only after his death,

122:44back in 1958, he died in 1957.

122:48And, but, so he tried to put as many ideas

122:53that, you know, he still, you know, hadn't realized.

122:58And, you know, so this book is very difficult to read

123:04because, you know, every single paragraph is just compact.

123:09You know, it's filled with these ideas

123:13and, you know, the ideas are incredible.

123:15You know, nowadays, you know, so he tried

123:19to put the parallels between the brain computing power,

123:24the neural system, and the computers, you know,

123:28as they were understood.

123:29- Do you remember what year he was working on this?

123:31Like approximately?

123:32- '57. - '57.

123:33- So that was right during his, you know,

123:36when he was diagnosed with cancer and he was essentially.

123:39- Yeah, he's one of those, there's a few folks

123:42people mention, I think Ed Witten is another,

123:45that like, everyone that meets them,

123:49they say he's just an intellectual powerhouse.

123:51- Yes.

123:52- Okay, so who's the honorable mention?

123:54- So, so, so, and this is, I mean,

123:56the reason I put it sort of in this separate section

123:59because this is a book that I recently listened to.

124:04So it's an audio book, and this is a book

124:09called Lab Girl by Hope Jarren.

124:12So Hope Jarren, she is a scientist,

124:16she's a geochemist that essentially studies

124:20the fossil plants and so she uses the fossil plants,

124:29the chemical analysis to understand what was the climate

124:33back in, you know, in thousand years,

124:38hundreds of thousands of years ago.

124:40And so something that incredibly touched me by this book,

124:45it was narrated by the author.

124:48- Nice, excellent. - And it's an incredibly

124:51personal story, incredibly.

124:54So certain parts of the book you could actually

124:58hear the author crying.

125:00And that, to me, I mean, I never experienced

125:03anything like this, you know, reading the book.

125:06But it was like, you know, the connection

125:10between you and the author.

125:12And I think this is, you know, this is really a must read,

125:17but even better, a must listen to audio book

125:22for anyone who wants to learn about sort of, you know,

125:26academia, science, research in general.

125:30Because it's a very personal account

125:32about her becoming a scientist.

125:36- So we're just before New Year's, you know,

125:42we talked a lot about some difficult topics,

125:46the viruses and so on.

125:48Do you have some exciting things you're looking forward

125:51to in 2021, some New Year's resolutions,

125:56maybe silly or fun, or something very important

126:01and fundamental to the world of science

126:04or something completely unimportant?

126:06- Well, I'm definitely looking forward

126:11towards, you know, things becoming normal, right?

126:15So yes, so I really miss traveling.

126:19Every summer I go to a international city,

126:25international summer school,

126:27it's called the School for Molecular and Theoretical Biology.

126:30It's held in Europe,

126:31it's organized by very good friends of mine.

126:34And this is the school for gifted kids

126:37from all over the world, and they're incredibly bright.

126:41It's like, every time I go there, it's like, you know,

126:43it's the highlight of the year.

126:46And we couldn't make it this August,

126:50so we did this school remotely, but it's different.

126:55So I am definitely looking forward

126:58to next August coming there.

127:01I also, I mean, you know, one of my personal resolutions,

127:05I realized that being in-house and working from home,

127:10you know, I realized that actually,

127:15I apparently missed a lot, you know,

127:20spending time with my family, believe it or not.

127:24So you typically, you know, with all the research

127:28and teaching and everything related to the academic life,

127:33I mean, you get distracted.

127:38And so, you know, you don't feel that, you know,

127:43the fact that you are away from your family

127:46doesn't affect you because you're, you know,

127:48naturally distracted by other things.

127:50And, you know, this time I realized that, you know,

127:55that that's so important, right?

127:58Spending your time with the family, with your kids.

128:01And so that would be my new year resolution

128:05in actually trying to spend as much time as possible.

128:09- Even when the world opens up.

128:11Yeah, that's a beautiful message.

128:13That's a beautiful reminder.

128:15I asked you if there's a Russian poem you could read

128:20that I could force you to read.

128:22And you said, okay, fine, sure.

128:23Do you mind reading?

§13Transcript · 2:08:27–2:12:30

128:27And you said that no paper needed, so.

128:30- Nope.

128:31So yeah, so this poem was written by my namesake,

128:35another Dmitry, Dmitry Kemmerfeld.

128:38And it's a recent poem,

128:42and it's called "Sorceress", "Vedma" in Russian.

128:50Or actually, "Kaldunya".

128:52So that's sort of another connotation of sorceress or witch.

128:57And I really like it.

128:59And it's one of just a handful poems

129:02I actually can recall by heart.

129:05I also have a very strong association

129:08when I read this poem with Master Margarita,

129:12the main female character, Margarita.

129:18And also it's happening about the same time

129:23we are talking now, so around New Year, around Christmas.

129:28- Do you mind reading it in Russian?

129:31- I'll give it a try.

129:34(speaking in foreign language)

129:39(speaking in foreign language)

129:43(speaking in foreign language)

129:47(speaking in foreign language)

129:51(speaking in foreign language)

129:55(speaking in foreign language)

129:59(speaking in foreign language)

130:03(speaking in foreign language)

130:08(speaking in foreign language)

130:12(speaking in foreign language)

130:15- That's beautiful.

130:41I love how it captures a moment of longing

130:44and maybe love even.

130:49- Yes.

130:50To me, it has a lot of meaning about this,

130:55something that is happening, something that is far away,

130:59but still very close to you.

131:02And yes, it's the winter.

131:06- There's something magical about winter, isn't it?

131:08What is the, well, I don't know.

131:10I don't know how to translate it,

131:11but a kiss in winter is interesting.

131:14Lips in winter and all that kind of stuff.

131:17It's beautifully, I mean, Russian has a way.

131:20As a reason, Russian poetry is just,

131:22I'm a fan of poetry in both languages,

131:24but English doesn't capture some of the magic

131:28that Russian seems to, so thank you for doing that.

131:31That was awesome.

131:32Dmitry, it's great to talk to you again.

131:35It's contagious how much you love what you do,

131:39how much you love life.

131:40So I really appreciate you taking the time to talk today.

131:44- And thank you for having me.

131:46- Thanks for listening to this conversation

131:47with Dmitry Korkin, and thank you to our sponsors,

131:50Brave Browser, NetSuite Business Management Software,

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132:14Now, let me leave you with some words

132:16from Jeffrey Eugenides.

132:19Biology gives you a brain.

132:21Life turns it into a mind.

132:24Thank you for listening, and hope to see you next time.

132:27(upbeat music)

132:30(upbeat music)

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