← The Diary Of A CEO

The Marketing Secrets Apple & Tesla Always Use: Rory Sutherland

Episode 2022-08-012022-08-01English

Guests: Rory

The Marketing Secrets Apple & Tesla Always Use: Rory Sutherland
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§01Transcript — part 1

00:00When your cat is acting weird-er, or your dog is being loud-er, your turtle moves slow-er, your cat seems thirsty-er,

00:16or your puppy is acting clumsy-er.

00:20Day or night, if you don't know what's wrong, know where to go.

00:24Veg ER for Pets.

00:25This is Kate.

00:26Veg.

00:27The better, kinder ER for pets.

00:30I think the NHS could create massively greater patient satisfaction by deploying certain behaviours and techniques.

00:37Like what?

00:39Well...

00:40Rory Sutherland.

00:41He is an author, columnist, and the vice chairman of Ogilvy UK.

00:44One of the largest marketing companies in the world.

00:47He's an ad man.

00:48Stories are the PDF files of human information.

00:52They're the vehicle we use for storing information and the vehicle we use for sharing it.

00:56If you want to improve how people feel, psychology is a better area for exploration than rational improvement.

01:02Don't make the Eurostar faster, make the journey more enjoyable.

01:05And that's one of the cleverest reframings you can do.

01:08The Uber map is a psychological moonshot.

01:11What bothers us about waiting for a taxi isn't actually the duration.

01:15It's the degree of uncertainty.

01:17And if you have a map which shows you where the taxi is, you're basically relaxed.

01:21You can genuinely perform magic in perception.

01:25What is the seat covering for the Tesla?

01:26It's called vegan leather.

01:28Now, actually, to be honest, we would have called it...

01:30Those plastic seats back in the day.

01:32If it makes things feel more valuable, is it a con?

01:38Without further ado, I'm Stephen Bartlett, and this is The Diary of a CEO.

01:41I hope nobody's listening, but if you are, then please keep this to yourself.

01:52Rory, first of all, thank you for being here.

01:55As someone who built a marketing business and has worked in a sort of similar industry to you for a huge portion of my life, you're someone that I've always looked up to.

02:05And even young members of my team here cite you as being an inspiration on an ongoing basis for the work they're doing just broadly on

02:12even of these new platforms like TikTok, because the principles and the psychology and the sort of rationality underneath much of your work is really, really timeless.

02:23So thank you for being here.

02:24That's a great honour.

02:25And we'll get into some mutual fanboying later.

02:30But no, I mean, one of the great insights, I think, which I hope helps motivate everybody working in our industry and related industries, is that when you create perceptual value, you are creating value.

02:42Value can be created in the mind every bit as much as it can be created in the factory.

02:46And I think there was an unfortunate story about marketing that treated it as kind of optional extra.

02:52It was the fairy dust on top of the real intrinsic value that resided in a product or service.

02:58And I completely dispute that.

02:59I think...

03:00We value things according not to what they are, but what they mean.

03:03And what they mean is context dependent.

03:06It can be massively transformed by storytelling, framing, recontextualization.

03:12And you can absolutely use psychological mechanisms to make things more valuable, more enjoyable, more precious.

03:20That's one important point.

03:21I might make the additional point, which is, to be honest, overambitious, but I make it anyway, which is that I actually perceive value as a very environmentally friendly form of value to create.

03:33Because you can generally create meaning and imbue a product with meaning.

03:39With a lot less carbon consumption than is necessarily involved in making the product three times bigger or five times faster.

03:46And, you know, my argument would also be if we're looking for breakthrough 10x moonshot improvements,

03:54it's actually much easier to find psychological moonshots than technological moonshots.

03:59You know, making a train 10 times faster, you know, it was possible in 1840, 1820, okay?

04:06It's very difficult to do now to a point of just dangerousness or, you know, extraordinarily difficult engineering problem.

04:14Making a train journey 10 times more enjoyable.

04:17That's still doable, in my view.

04:19Give me an example then.

04:20What's the example that always comes to mind for you of where someone has managed to put tremendous moonshot style value on something, a brand?

04:30Just with marketing and advertising.

04:33But what I'm always very fond of is I think the Uber map is a psychological moonshot.

04:39And it's based, I mean, the story, which may or may not be true, is that one of the founders of Uber was inspired by watching Goldfinger.

04:48And when he saw Bond effectively following Goldfinger using a tracking device, there was a scrolling map in the dashboard of the DB4, which showed him where Goldfinger's car was, so he could trail it while remaining out of sight.

05:02Then...

05:04What was extraordinary about that was that it was based on a very clever insight into human psychology, which most of us ourselves aren't really aware of, which is

05:14we would say, and we'd confidently say we believe, that I hate it when a taxi takes a long time to turn up.

05:20I like it when a taxi turns up quickly.

05:23So a rational person or an engineer would react to that by saying what we need is a predictive algorithm so that taxis tend to be available in areas where we predict heavy demand so that we can service customers more quickly.

05:35And by the way, there's nothing wrong with that.

05:36It may be a very worthwhile thing to do, although it's worth saying that it requires quite a lot of scale in order to achieve that.

05:45But the real insight with a map is that deep down, you know, somewhere in the amygdala, what bothers us about waiting for a taxi isn't actually the duration.

05:54It's the degree of uncertainty.

05:56In other words, is he here yet?

05:57Maybe he's parked around the corner.

05:59What if he can't find the...

06:00house, maybe he's already left, was the person on the phone lying?

06:03And so that period between booking a taxi and waiting for it to arrive was one of general high stress.

06:09Now, what's interesting is you could reduce that stress, I admit, by getting the taxi to turn up very quickly, or at least you reduce the period of stress, but the stress would still remain.

06:20On the other hand, if you have a map which shows you where the taxi is,

06:24You're basically relaxed, okay?

06:26Instead of going, oh, my God, you know, where is he?

06:29I'm sure, you know, maybe he's already left.

06:31I'd better go and stand out in the rain so he doesn't miss me or get impatient.

06:35You just look at the map and you go, oh, look, he's stuck at those traffic lights.

06:38I'll have another pint.

06:39Okay, now what's interesting is that the quantity of waiting is the same with or without a map.

06:46You know, in pure quantitative measured SI unit terms of time and duration, no difference.

06:53The quality of the waiting is totally transformed.

06:56It's almost taking it from a system dependent on trust, how much you trust that particular firm, how have they performed in the past?

07:03Do they sometimes lie to me?

07:04Have other taxi drivers sometimes lied to me to a system that is almost completely trustless, where I don't need to trust you because I can see for myself?

07:11And I suppose there's also an element of trust which, OK, was provided historically in London by the knowledge.

07:18And the knowledge was an interesting thing because I occasionally debate this, which is, was the knowledge really about knowledge?

07:26In other words, we don't need black cab drivers to study.

07:30to this level of detail.

07:31Now we have the technology of the sat-nav.

07:34And pure sort of utilitarian people go, why on earth am I paying a premium for a black cab driver to learn all this stuff when he could simply buy a TomTom for 300 quid and stick it on the dashboard?

07:45And there's some argument for that, okay?

07:49The only other point is that you have a very high degree of trust.

07:52One of the great things you could say about the knowledge is it's sunk cost.

07:55It's proof of commitment.

07:57You're only going to actually go through that process if you're pretty serious about being a really good cab driver.

08:04Also, it...

08:06Provides you, if you think about it, if you've spent, what, a year and a half, two years, scuttling around London on a moped with one of those clipboards, rehearsing for your sessions of the knowledge, okay,

08:17you'd be a bit of an idiot, effectively losing your taxi license day one, wouldn't you?

08:22Okay?

08:23You know, it's, you know, in other words, it is to something, it's rather like medieval guilds.

08:28They required extraordinary stringent conditions of entry into the guild, but that was what ensured honesty.

08:36Because the cost of being thrown out of the guild, given the effort you'd put into actually being admitted in the first place, was therefore made it not worthwhile to cheat.

08:46You also say something in your book about how making a process more difficult can sometimes make it more attractive to consumers.

08:54So, I mean, it is known sometimes as the IKEA effect, which is that certainly...

09:00Kamprad, who's the kind of owner and founder of IKEA, believes that the fact that you assemble the furniture yourself contributes to its perceived value.

09:09In other words, you've committed something of yourself to its assembly and creation.

09:13You might also argue it destigmatises low prices.

09:16OK, so I'll give you an example of that.

09:19There's a very big difference between cheap strawberries and pick your own strawberries.

09:24Now, pick your own strawberries are cheap, but there's a narrative as to why they're cheap, which is I put into some of the effort into the harvesting of the things.

09:31And I have to go out into a field and pick the things myself.

09:34Cheap strawberries, by contrast, may create some degree of uncertainty because you look at the market and go, well, if these strawberries were really good.

09:43Why wouldn't they charge full price for them?

09:45What's wrong with this?

09:47And so quite often, you know, sometimes you have to make things more expensive to make them trustworthy, oddly.

09:53Okay?

09:54You know, you can be too good to be true, that consumers won't necessarily trust something that's cheap unless there's a narrative around it as to where the cost savings are made.

10:04I mean, I think a lot of low, if you think about low-cost airlines, okay,

10:09They spent quite a lot of effort talking about what you didn't get.

10:12You don't get a meal, okay?

10:14You have to pay to check in your luggage.

10:16You don't get it originally with EasyJet.

10:18You didn't even get pre-allocated seating, okay?

10:21It was, you know, effectively like a bus.

10:23You had to book online.

10:24You couldn't book through a travel agent.

10:27And those constraints, to some extent...

10:30were there to make it believable to the consumer that there was a legitimate form of cost saving going on.

10:38Now, if you'd said, if you'd launched EasyJet and you'd said, we're just as good as British Airways, but we're half the price, the untrusting consumer is going to ask,

10:47How are you doing this?

10:49Okay.

10:50Does it mean you're not servicing the engines or the pilots are all on day release from prison or something, right?

10:55You're going to start having doubts.

10:57So interestingly, sometimes negative stories around a product can be used to offset the negatives, which a consumer would tend to imagine.

11:06If IKEA had ready assembled furniture, which wasn't sold in a warehouse, it was sold in a kind of posh heels style emporium.

11:15we'd think there was something a bit iffy going on.

11:17So, you know, there's also the wonderful IKEA effect, which is the effort of actually going to an IKEA and navigating the maze makes it more or less impossible for you to go home empty-handed.

11:27You know, you have to buy some tea lights at the very minimum just to validate your trip.

11:32Now, I suppose the earliest manifestation of this, although it's sometimes called the IKEA effect,

11:38was a very famous marketing case study for Betty Crocker cakes, where they had a cake mix where you just added water, put it in the oven, created a cake.

11:47And it didn't sell very well.

11:49And a psychologist came in and said, there isn't enough effort involved in this to make it feel like cooking.

11:56And so they added the slogan, just add an egg.

12:00The addition of the egg, although it actually imposed a cost and a small degree of effort, suddenly made the product much more popular.

12:06Why?

12:07Now, the idea would be that now it was actually cooking.

12:11You were preparing something for your family.

12:13You weren't just cheating.

12:15Perhaps.

12:16I mean, it's an interesting debate because we don't fully know that this wasn't tested to an absolutely robust level of academic certainty.

12:26But nonetheless, it's a very popular anecdote within marketing that sometimes the counterintuitive, I think that's all you need to derive from it.

12:35All you need to derive from it in business decision making is sometimes the counterintuitive approach might be better.

12:42And I was thinking then about these modern sort of meal delivery companies.

12:46So you have, obviously, on one end, super convenience.

12:48You have Uber, Uber Eats, et cetera, delivery.

12:51And then you have this middle ground of where we'll send you the ingredients and tell you how to put it in the pan.

12:57So that'd be Gusto or HelloFresh.

12:59Exactly.

12:59But you've just got to put it in the pan and mix it.

13:01And it'll only take you 10 minutes or so, which I think is kind of probably appealing to the same sort of psychological desire to feel like you cooked.

13:08It's a very strange thing because one of the founders of Gusto actually met me shortly before lockdown.

13:16And I couldn't really make sense of the product, okay, at first.

13:21And this, by the way, really interests me because Bill Gates once said of technology that the problem we have with technology is people don't know how to want the things we can offer them.

13:29And what I want to say is,

13:30One of the things that increasingly fascinates me is products which an economist would call them an experience good, where it's only really possible to perceive their value by actually using them.

13:42I have to admit, when I was presented with Gusto and HelloFresh,

13:46I thought, this is kind of dumb.

13:47I've got a Cardo account.

13:48I can order things from Sainsbury's for click and collect.

13:51I've got, well, my wife, more accurately, has got 20 or 30 cookery books of various kinds.

13:57All I have to do is pick a recipe from a cookery book, effectively order the necessary ingredients, follow instructions, cook at home, job done.

14:06Why on earth would I want a box with, you know, pre-selected ingredients in the right ratio arriving with a recipe card?

14:14But anyway, I met this guy and he said, well, I'll send you a free box.

14:18Now, you know, I'm not so, you know, ungrateful and nasty a human being.

14:23I go, I don't want your stinking box of free food.

14:25And I think it was actually towards the beginning of the pandemic anyway.

14:28So I wasn't entirely sure that food was going to remain abundantly available.

14:32So I said, sure, you know, absolutely.

14:34I'm delighted.

14:35The other thing is I probably ordered a Gusto box for...

14:39The only reason we stopped was actually we had our kitchen replaced and had a period of an oven.

14:43But pretty much every week, my assistant Anna, who's in the next room, has also had a Gusto...

14:50The majority of weeks for two and a half years, ever since experiencing it.

14:54You asked me to explain this.

14:56I mean, this is what's so glorious, which is I can't quite explain.

15:00Why once experienced, this is such a compelling benefit.

15:03Try.

15:05Okay.

15:07It possibly is the fact that because these ingredients are in the right ratio and have a limited shelf life, it forces you to cook them.

15:15And therefore, it forces you to cook what ends up being a restaurant quality meal.

15:21At home with not too much effort, okay, in, by the way, a reasonably healthy quantity as well.

15:28One of the problems with takeaway food is if you want variety, you end up with completely excessive quantity, don't you?

§02Transcript — part 2

15:34You end up either keeping the stuff in the fridge or with an extraordinary amount of food waste.

15:38Because unlike a restaurant where they think, well, if you give them slightly too little food, they might order a pudding or something else.

15:45In takeaway food, you don't get a second chance to top them up.

15:48So the great paranoia, I think, of all takeaway restaurants is not putting enough quantity in.

15:54And so you do end up with a restaurant quality meal at the price of a ready meal, which you have cooked yourself.

16:01That's very logical.

16:02Give me the illogical.

16:04Was there some surprise and delight?

16:07Genuinely, I don't...

16:09I've just got one product, okay, which is the greatest example of a product which genuinely kind of creates massive contradictions in my own mind, which is the cooker.

16:20I don't know if you've got one of the instant boiling water, effectively.

16:23Oh, yeah, I've got one.

16:24You've got one over there, yeah.

16:25If you want the story of the cooker, by the way, I'll tell your listeners because it's fascinating.

16:28There were two people, I think,

16:30at Unilever, who their brief was effectively to invent cuppa soup.

16:35And they did it very successfully.

16:36They produced what is a powdered form of soup.

16:40And one of them said, right, job done.

16:42We've created the cuppa soup, boil a kettle, pour the water on.

16:45You've got a nice mug of soup.

16:46Job done.

16:47I'll go back to the day job.

16:49And the other Dutch guy...

16:51Basically felt, no, I've only solved half the problem here because you still have to wait for the kettle to boil.

16:57And for whatever reason, I mean, he must have been a kind of compulsive inventor, he became obsessed with solving the second half of the cuppa soup problem, which is how can we create boiling water faster?

17:08Which was technically off brief, but nonetheless, for some reason, absolutely preoccupied him.

17:14And so he effectively ended up creating what is a Dutch company, Kruka.

17:18Now, OK, half of me, you know, perhaps the more puritanical, rational half is going, you've just paid not quite a four-figure sum, but a very large three-figure sum for a very fast kettle.

17:33And the other half of me is going, I wouldn't go back.

17:36You know, having, I don't know what your relationship is with your cooker, but I find it difficult now going back to a kettle, having experienced instant tea making, instant soup making.

17:46If you want to poach an egg, you can fill a...

17:49Pan with boiling water instantaneously.

17:51You don't have to wait for that to cook up.

17:53Suddenly, of course, you discover new and complementary uses for boiling water.

17:57But that all seems very logical to me.

17:59That makes perfect sense.

18:00Yeah, I mean, the only thing is, I think you've got a lot of products which are much, much easier for you to defend or understand or appreciate in retrospect than they are for you to write a check for in advance.

18:11Right, I've got you.

18:12And that's a marketing problem.

18:14The electric car, by the way, is, I mean...

18:17One really interesting question I always ask about any technology, which I think is a question that's asked too little.

18:22People ask, what are the unit sales of this technology and how fast are they growing?

18:27Actually, any new technology grows very slowly to begin with.

18:30It's a sigmoid curve.

18:33Nearly anything significantly new starts off fairly niche.

18:37Yeah, yeah.

18:37And the reason is that the two driving forces of human behaviour are habit and social copying.

18:44And therefore, when you've never done it before and none of your friends do it, doing something is much more difficult to do.

18:51I mean, I'm old enough to remember the time when the majority of my friends said, I don't understand why you'd want a mobile phone.

18:57OK, I mean, I can actually remember when I used a mobile phone on Oxford Street in 1989.

19:03Two people shouted abuse at me from passing taxis.

19:07It was like a brick.

19:08It was a social statement.

19:10It wasn't my phone.

19:11We had company phones and we signed them out for the day.

19:14But just the act of using one of these things in public would expose you to a general opprobrium.

19:20And it's impossible for anybody now to think back on that because I don't think anybody knows anybody without a mobile phone.

19:26The example that comes to mind for me, and it's also to do with a crooker.

19:30I didn't call it a cooker.

19:30I just call it the tap.

19:31But yeah, instant hot water and instant cold water is music.

19:36And a friend of mine told me the story of standing with the HMV, I think it's HMV CEO, looking out on the shop floor at all these people buying CDs.

19:44And he said to him, we'll always have a business because people love music.

19:49Now, what he got wrong is he was right that people love music, but they don't love getting in their car, driving in the rain, and then getting a plastic piece of plastic, which they can then get damaged very easily.

20:01They can only carry a few of them and driving it back to the house.

20:03People loved music, and he only really found that out.

20:06But they didn't really like CDs.

20:07Yes.

20:08I might make a point, by the way, that in terms of its...

20:12If someone has a design sensibility, in terms of its proliferation, the CD laughably named Jewel Case, the plastic hinged case in which the CD came, was probably the nastiest single

20:27manufactured item in everything from environmental terms to just usability.

20:32You know, the fact that it opened with a horrible sort of cracking snap.

20:35Now, what's interesting is that vinyl has made a resurgence.

20:39But I don't see any sign of a CD resurgence any more than I see.

20:43There are a few weird people who are back into cassettes, aren't there?

20:47But I think that's fairly niche-y.

20:49Yeah, I mean, not really.

20:50That's kind of like lomography and photography.

20:53It's one of those sort of weird countercultures.

20:57But I can understand, I can just about understand.

20:59It's slightly...

21:00Weird when my daughter asked for a gramophone player for her birthday, because I'm kind of going, you know, I was born in 1965.

21:07I spent my whole life trying to get rid of the nuisance of physical music to, you know, effectively something akin to Spotify.

21:15And now you're weirdly reverting to this thing.

21:17You know, it made no sense to me.

21:20Possibly there's an element that if you're really devoted to a particular band, you want to spend money and signal your devotion in some physical form.

21:28I don't know what's going on there fully.

21:30I think, is that not just a case of, like, scarcity?

21:33Yeah.

21:34Well, I suspect one of the curses of capitalism is recursive fashion.

21:40Exactly, yeah.

21:41So Jeremy Bulmore, who's now, I suppose, in his late 80s, wonderful guy who was the creative director of J.

21:46Walter Thompson.

21:47He was a director of WPP for many years.

21:50He made the point, by the way, as you get older, you realise much more of this, here we go again, you know, because you have greater chronological context in which to appreciate it.

22:01But he made the point that when he was a child, all cheddar cheese came with a rind.

22:05So most cheese you buy in a shop was cut from a wheel and it would have either some sort of wax or else rind or sometimes it's cloth on the exterior.

22:15And someone then started selling rindless cheddar, and they charged a premium for it, you see, because, you know, oh, brilliant, I don't have to pay for the rind, and I don't have to cut it off.

22:24What a wonderful convenience.

22:27And then memories being short, and obviously...

22:30Some people being born before they could remember cheddar with a rind anyway.

22:34About 25, 30 years after that, people started introducing farmhouse artisan cheddar with the rind left on, and they charged a premium for that.

22:43So you do have this peculiar thing where...

22:47That's all marketing, though, isn't it?

22:48Advertising.

22:48Because what you're saying, that's the real cheese.

22:51It's part of the human neophilia, so that what's different attracts our attention.

22:56Okay.

22:56So undoubtedly, we disproportionately pay attention to things which are new or seemingly different.

23:02And we're novelty seeking to a great extent.

23:04What is the story, though?

23:05If I buy that artisanal cheese, the story for me, especially being artisan, is this is the real cheese.

23:10In my head, I immediately go, that supermarket stuff is just fake processed.

23:13But the rind signals that I'm paying for real cheese.

23:16Well, I mean, we can look at the interesting, exactly, it's a recursive trend.

23:22And of course, in fashion, it happens all the time.

23:24You know, the most bizarre fashions, including sort of flares and Afghan coats, have, you know, sequins have made a massive comeback.

23:35And the truth is that when they come around a second time, the context is different, so they mean something different.

23:42You see the same with brands like Fila.

23:44Like these old brands have exploded.

23:47Fila's a good example, but it became, when I was 10 years old, but if you bought Fila, you had no money and you weren't cool.

23:54When I was 20, if you had Fila, you were the coolest person.

23:57Burberry had that as well.

23:59They went from being...

24:00oh, if you're wearing Burberry, you are a bit of a roughy, right?

24:03You're a little bit rough as a person to this kind of, I guess it was a branding exercise where Burberry then became really cool again.

24:11So part of the term for this is sometimes counter-signalling.

24:14It was a bit like hipsters drinking Pabst Blue Ribbon, Ribbon, I think it's called, which is, it was historically downmarket blue-collar American beer.

24:24Right, okay.

24:25Okay, it was downmarket of kind of Budweiser and the other, you know, and Coors and so forth.

24:30And this is a really interesting thing in human behavior, sometimes in marketing itself, but also in how humans market themselves.

24:38I think one of the conclusions we've got to come to, and we have to admit, and which...

24:43The better understanding of will be, I think, central to understanding how we solve things like the environmental crisis and indeed overconsumption, is that the human brain itself has quite a large marketing function.

24:56It has an accounting function.

24:57It cares about the efficient use of resources.

25:00It has, you know, all kinds of kind of algorithms and heuristics that are kind of, in many cases, innate and built in.

25:07But it also has a marketing function.

25:09It very much cares about image and status.

25:13Effectively, what something you do means to other people.

25:16Now, one thing that is...

25:18Common to lots of animals is signaling.

25:21You know, the most common example is the peacock's tail, elk's antlers, things you do, often costly things you do, to demonstrate that you can do them.

25:30Ferraris.

25:30Okay.

25:31And, you know, in many cases, Ferraris in London, of course.

25:34You know, I mean, the extraordinary thing when you think about it is having a Ferrari in central London is about as deranged a car choice as you can imagine.

25:41Okay.

25:42But the very fact that it's impractical and ludicrous is almost what gives it meaning.

25:47Okay.

25:48As I said, you know, if, this is a very mischievous sentence, but if...

25:53People were attracted to people who drove expensive vehicles, okay, then they'd find lorry drivers more attractive than Ferrari owners in many cases because the truck is actually more expensive as a vehicle or a really luxury motor coach.

26:07But the motor coach actually has a practical function which diminishes its signalling value because if you want to show that you really have resources to spare, nothing beats waste, indiscriminate waste, shows that you really have resources to spare.

26:21Or you pursue things that are disproportionately scarce.

26:25The really interesting thing with humans, though, and I don't think there's a case where animals do this, is they also practice something called counter-signalling.

26:33Which is showing that you don't have to try because you're confident enough in your other attributes.

26:39Okay, so an example of that would be in academia, a professor who's aspiring to get a, let's say, a named professorship or tenure will go around in a suit.

26:51Okay, a tenured professor who has job security for life will go around dressed like a tramp.

26:57If you've won a Nobel Prize,

27:00Hunches.

27:01Once you've won a Nobel Prize, I think famously George Stiglitz used to actually turn up at the World Bank with no shoes on.

27:07OK, now, interestingly, you do that.

27:09It's a bit like that old joke.

27:10Why do dogs lick their own balls?

27:12Because they can.

27:14OK.

27:15And to some extent, people do what they can get away with.

27:17So, you know, the classic example is, you know, people who play in very fashionable bands can afford to be extraordinarily scruffy.

27:25Because what effectively Liam and Noel are saying is that our presence in this band renders us so unbelievably cool and sexy that we don't even have to make an effort on the sartorial front.

27:37I've seen this in my own life.

27:39It's funny, just through the journey of my career in the last 10 years, the example I'd give is in my early career speaking on stage, I would try and dress really smart and wear a suit.

27:46Now, I think it's much better that I present myself in the tracksuit bottom, in the tracksuit that I would wear like going around the house when I speak on stage a because it's more akin to who I am b because I can

27:58yeah and c I think the psychological thing that I'm not admitting because it might make me seem like an arsehole is it's actually more of a status play to not wear a suit and to not show off and the same applies for Louis Vuitton like

28:10early part of my first five years of my career when I was just about getting some money I'd buy these designer brands like Louis Vuitton now I genuinely think if I hold a Louis Vuitton bag it makes me look bad

28:20So I've like rid myself.

28:22And when I walk in somewhere, I say to my manager, because I've just got the one left that hasn't managed to break yet.

28:26I say, can you hold that?

28:28Because I don't want to be associated with...

28:30That level of signalling, if that makes sense, I guess.

28:32No, and the argument is that you're famous enough now that you no longer need fashion brands to accord, you know, in fact, the very fact that you are trying...

28:47Given your fame to actually signal your success through fashion would probably be counterproductive.

28:53It would suggest you were insecure or trying too hard.

28:56And so that thing of we do what we can get away with to signal what we're capable of.

29:02So it's a very oblique form of status signaling.

29:05It might be very valuable environmentally, counter-signaling.

29:08It might be something you need to harness.

29:11In other words, it's cool, you know,

29:13It's cool to own less.

29:14Yes.

29:15Because I don't have things.

29:16I don't have a watch.

29:18I don't have, as I said to you, I have an electric bike, which you've just seen.

29:21To be fair, I do have a nice car that they drive me in sometimes.

29:23But other than that, in terms of my own possessions, it's really all about utility and not buying it in excess.

29:30And I actually think that's a really good point, that that can be leveraged to try and help the environment.

29:36I think that's happening anyway.

29:37There's a very interesting thing happening, which is in electric cars.

29:40When I was speaking to the marketing director of Skoda, they produced something called the Enyaq, which is actually, it's similar to the Volkswagen ID.4, but it's a very, very good electric car.

29:48And one of the things they're noticing, I migrated from a Jaguar to the Ford Mustang Mach-E.

29:53Quite a few people on the Mac E forum are actually ex-luxury car owners.

§03Transcript — part 3

29:58And quite a few people...

30:00The Skoda marketing director was telling me that quite a few people who'd gone to the Skoda Enyaq had actually come from, for example, Audi, Jaguar, fairly premium cars.

30:11So there is a thing that actually having the electric car, even in a less leather-clad, walnut-infested form, that's now the status component.

30:23It's not the brand of the car, it's the fact that it's electric.

30:26Tesla's the same.

30:27I think of Tesla as a big...

30:29I don't give a fuck.

30:30In a weird way.

30:31I think it's a big, for me, it's a, the journey honestly would be, you'd get a Lamborghini, if you were insecure and this is what you're into, you'd get one of those really fancy brands.

30:41And then the next step is saying, do you know what?

30:42I don't give a fuck, which is what you see going on in San Francisco with the billionaires and the CEOs and the VCs.

30:48I'm going to be a Tesla person now, which is I care more about the environment and other things.

30:52And I don't really care if you think it's still a premium brand.

30:54I mean, let's be honest, because let's face it, any Tesla is probably less than three years old.

30:59And actually, most people don't buy cars from new ever or only once in their life.

31:04It's not fancy, though.

31:05But it's not particularly fancy.

31:07I mean, there's a wonderful piece of little alchemy in it, of course, which is the invention of the phrase vegan leather.

31:13Oh, really?

31:14If you think, the reason I wrote the book Alchemy is partly to elevate the status and centrality of marketing in business success.

31:22That actually what you are is effectively a product of how you make people feel.

31:27Okay?

31:28Ultimately.

31:29And the.

31:30That's psychological.

31:31It's not technological.

31:32And therefore, if you want to improve how people feel, psychology is a better area for exploration than what you might call rational improvement.

31:40Don't make the Eurostar faster.

31:43Make the journey more enjoyable.

31:44Okay, put Wi-Fi on the trains.

31:46Serve better food.

31:47Okay?

31:48It's a cheaper way, actually, to compete.

31:51Strangely, engineers see it as cheating.

31:54If you have an engineering or a finance background, you see psychological value as invalid.

32:00But the vital thing about psychological value is, whereas it's very difficult to perform magic in the world of physics or engineering, you can genuinely perform magic in perception.

32:10Now, what is the seat covering for the Tesla?

32:13It's called vegan leather.

32:14Now, actually, to be honest, we would have called those plastic seats back in the day.

32:18In my childhood in the 1970s and 80s, we were going, it's got plastic seats.

32:24OK, now, I'm sure that vegan leather is better than the plastic seats, which you'd find in a Vauxhall Viva in 1977.

32:31OK, I'm sure it's better in all kinds of ways, breathability, you know, cleanliness, whatever.

32:36But nonetheless, calling it vegan leather, in other words, I'm doing this for the planet rather than plastic, which is, in other words, what you're doing there is you're making it a choice, not a compromise.

32:48And that's one of the cleverest reframings you can do.

32:51And aspirational choices.

32:52And did so.

32:53Yeah, no.

32:53And so, you know, I look at things like range anxiety and I go, that's psychological.

32:59Okay.

32:59What's that?

32:59Okay.

33:00Range anxiety is a big obstacle to electric car purchase in the UK in two levels.

33:07One, it probably, well, three levels.

33:09One, it means that cars tend to compete on their range, which in a sense is further emphasising a negative to the consumer.

33:16Because if electric car advertising is all about range, people start to see range as more of a problem than it is.

33:23Secondly, it makes the batteries bigger, the cars heavier and more expensive than they probably need to be.

33:28So it's interesting because so often I think the obstacles to technology adoption are really psychological hurdles much more than technological hurdles.

33:38This is why I think marketing is so fascinating because there are these products exactly like Gusto or HelloFresh, which once you experience them, 50% of people become a convert.

33:50But the real marketing challenge is, well, that's fine, that's great, but how on earth do you convert people in the first place?

33:56And that's a very interesting case where after the pandemic, and this is, I think, the value.

34:01I think there's a multiple value to having occasional disruptions in life, one of which is that businesses become much less risk averse when they're facing a crisis.

34:13It's a necessity as the mother of invention.

34:16But consumers also have a narrative for why they're doing things differently.

34:22I mean, in a way, you could, if you looked at the whole path of human history, the 1930s in the United States, i.e.

34:29The

34:30decade immediately after the Great Depression was probably the period of greatest innovation in terms of, you know, human welfare in everything from cars, aircraft, etc.

34:40It was an extraordinary period of innovation.

34:43And yet it came on the heels of this total economic disaster.

34:47And I think there is something there in that idea that

34:50It's almost like annealing when you make a samurai sword.

34:54You actually bang the thing while it's cooling.

34:57That actually some periods of disruption, that some degree of variance and instability in economies is possibly long-term healthy.

35:08I mean, I'm a huge devotee, more so than you.

35:11I know you've got a very intelligent approach to flexible working, which is...

35:14Yeah, that's what I wanted to talk about.

35:15Yeah, yeah.

35:16But it was interesting that given the fact that the whole promise of the internet, really,

35:23I think this is in a Douglas Copeland book called Microsurfs, where one of the geeks who features in this Douglas Copeland book, it was written in the 90s, I think, but he makes a very interesting comment, which is the whole purpose of...

35:36What you might call Silicon Valley technology, is to make location irrelevant.

35:40In other words, it's to make where you are irrelevant to the performance of a particular function.

35:46And by the way, there are negatives to that.

35:48There were great positives in my childhood to the fact that what you could do was constrained by where you were.

35:54So when you left the office, you couldn't meaningfully work.

35:57OK, because your computer was on a desk.

36:00You photocopied in the photocopier room.

36:02You met in the meeting room.

36:03You, you know, you...

36:05You wrote things at a keyboard, where you were determined what you were doing.

36:10And so a certain focus arose from that, which I think has been destroyed by the mobile phone to some degree, which technically lets you do anything from anywhere.

36:18I find myself on holiday and day three, worrying about what I'm going to order from a cardo when I get home.

36:25I go, actually, you shouldn't be doing this.

36:28Another thing it probably does, by the way, is it encourages us to over plan.

36:31And I'm a big believer, I've booked a holiday in July and August, and I'm trying to say to my family, no, no, we're going to land in Chicago, we're going to leave from New York.

36:42What we do in between those dates, we're going to leave open until the very last moment.

36:46The other great problem the internet allows you to do, I think, with your holiday is to plan it down to a kind of granular level of detail, which is actually inimical to having a good time.

36:56A good time often requires spontaneity.

36:59And my wife and I discovered New Mexico, the whole American state.

37:03We knew it existed, okay?

37:05But we discovered New Mexico more or less by accident.

37:07We were on a driving holiday, and we got stuck in El Paso and needed to get somewhere else.

37:11So we said, well, let's try this, you know, Los Alamos.

37:14I've heard about that, right?

37:16Okay, fairly famous.

37:17Okay, let's go and have a decade.

37:19Absolutely gorgeous state, and we've been that back five times.

37:22We discovered it effectively through serendipity.

37:25So there are downsides to this.

37:26You can do anything from anywhere.

37:27But it is a bit weird that...

37:30You know, trillions of dollars invested in the capacity to obtain effects remotely hadn't made a dent in the commute at all.

37:41Now, by the way, I'm totally open to people who say entirely, you know, OK, Airbnb has gone effectively remote forever.

37:51Fully remote forever.

37:53Now, bear in mind...

37:53As a company working...

37:54As a company, the entire company is going to be 100% remote working.

37:59Now, there are two interesting things going on there, one of which is if you're Airbnb and your slogan is be at home anywhere, it's a bit countercultural to demand that people, why weren't you at your desk?

38:11There may be an element of Henry Ford to it.

38:13You know that Henry Ford partly created, slightly apocryphal but not entirely, created a two-day weekend for his own workers because he thought if it actually spread, then it would be worth people buying cars.

38:25If he could increase the salary for factory work and give people two days of guaranteed leisure, then you had people who could both afford and make use of a car.

38:35And with Airbnb, if you think about it, they stand to be fairly major beneficiaries of working from anywhere.

38:42So doing it with their own staff, there was a rumour, I'm not sure it's true, so for God's sake, don't sue me on this.

38:49There was a famous rumour that Unilever created Dress Down Fridays, OK?

38:54And to be honest, I think it's a conspiracy theory.

38:57I don't think this happened.

38:59If it did, all credit.

39:00And the idea was if we could create a social norm where people went in to work in chinos and, you know, sweatshirts on a Friday, we get one extra day of laundry because you dry clean a suit, but you launder a

39:15chinos or you launder, you know, polo shirt.

39:18Well, you launder ordinary white shirts, but you launder cotton jackets and, you know, casual clothes.

39:23So the argument was it was actually a laundry maximisation ploy by either P&G or Unilever.

39:29Not sure that's true.

39:30It would be very clever if it were.

39:31But Henry Ford undoubtedly did write about this, that creating leisure was part of his strategy for selling cars.

39:39Now, that's interesting because most businesses nowadays don't have that vision to say, actually, we don't necessarily have to optimize what we do for imagined static human economic behavior.

39:55We can actually change the way people behave.

39:57We can change what things mean.

39:58We can change whether something feels cheap or expensive.

40:01We can make Fila a really cool brand.

40:04You know, and this is why, you know, I wrote the book Alchemy partly saying we have a kind of culture in business, particularly in the finance function of business, which doesn't which refuses to believe in magic.

40:16Now, I'm not saying magic is easy or that everybody can do it all the time.

40:20It's certainly not that easy.

40:22But you shouldn't discount it because there are vegan leather, the Uber map.

40:26There are magical solutions out there.

40:30This is an interesting brand, actually, for many of the reasons we've been talking about.

40:34So this is, last year, the fastest growing e-commerce company internationally.

40:40And think about what they're doing.

40:41So Hula, nutritionally complete, convenience.

40:45It's basically, I think...

40:46It's certainly delicious, by the way.

40:48Delicious.

40:49It's not Nesquik.

40:50I'll say that.

40:51So it's not like, you know, raving delicious, but...

40:54Nor should it be, because we wouldn't believe it.

40:56Amen.

40:56If you made it too tasty, we wouldn't believe its medicinal properties.

41:00It's exactly like the weird taste of Red Bull, which I was...

41:03So, two lessons are magic is possible in psychology, even if it isn't in physics.

41:10And the second lesson is sometimes the opposite of a good idea is another good idea.

41:14In psychology, you can actually, you know, there's Dyson and there's the Henry.

41:19You know, they're both strong vacuum cleaner brands in entirely different directions, if you like.

41:27And the point I'm making is that I think that high school maths encouraged us to believe that there's a single optimal answer.

41:36Which comes from resolving a trade-off.

41:40And economics always assumes trade-offs.

41:43I want to show you this grenade bar.

41:45It's in the drawer down there.

41:46So this shows how what you're saying about the opposites can be two good ideas.

41:52Because this company, run by another one of my friends, both these companies run by my friends, has taken the complete opposite approach.

41:59They are...

42:00A protein bar, right?

42:01Yeah, I've bought them, actually.

42:02Tastes amazing.

42:03Tastes as good as a chocolate bar.

42:04And I'm going to probably tell a lie here, but I believe they are the fastest growing chocolate bar or the most bought chocolate bar in the UK.

42:12Now, they are a protein bar and they focus entirely on taste.

42:17And they've just sold to Mondelez, I think, for, well, I know, for several hundred millions.

42:22So the founder's very, very wealthy now.

42:23Good grief.

42:24Right?

42:24They went for taste and they won.

42:26These have gone for much the opposite, which is really, really focused on being nutritionally complete and healthy.

42:31And I've sat in the...

42:32I mean, it's not repellent.

42:33It's not.

42:34Absolutely not.

42:34It's nice.

42:35Quite the opposite.

42:35I would drink this perfectly contentedly.

42:37But it tastes good enough for you to trust it.

42:40If it tasted even better, I would stop trusting it.

42:43And having sat in the room with the CEO and the founder...

42:47They brought in these bars that tasted like this.

42:50What tasted good.

42:51Yeah.

42:51And there was a small compromise to the nutritionally complete part in these new bars.

42:58And the founder and the managing director said, no, we'd rather have bars that taste worse.

43:05And protect that nutritionally complete sort of philosophy than to have it taste really good.

43:10And an interesting piece of psychology is that Diet Coke has to taste slightly more bitter than standard Coke.

43:17For you to believe it.

43:18For you to believe it.

43:19In other words, it's kind of...

§04Transcript — part 4

43:23In other words, you have to have that slight little bit of extra bite because otherwise it doesn't feel like a diet.

43:30What were you going to say about Red Bull?

43:32You were saying about...

43:32Well, the interesting thing, there's a lot about Red Bull because it's this mysterious thing which is so counterintuitive in that, you know, it tastes nastier than Coke, it costs a lot more than Coke, and it comes in a much smaller can than Coke.

43:45And part of that is, I think, it's not a drink.

43:48It's a medicine.

43:49I mean, the whole marketing behind it.

43:51It's a drug.

43:54And actually, the promise of psychoactive powers is delivered much better by high price and weird taste.

44:01And small portions.

44:02You wouldn't really...

44:03I mean, OK, to give you an extreme case, there is a case where they discover that drugs that work for...

44:14Relatively minor conditions, by which I, let's say, mild asthma, okay, also work for certain rare cancers.

44:23And apparently when they do this, they exaggerate the side effects.

44:28Because you feel that if it's to be tackling a much tougher challenge, which is cancer, you would expect greater side effects.

44:36I mean, what you wouldn't want is an oncology treatment, which was pineapple flavoured.

44:41And so there's this weird thing, which is you can...

44:44You can do things which kind of make sense, which is we want this to taste as nice as possible.

44:48And you can end up being logically wrong rather than illogically right.

44:53And I think that distinction is really useful because I'll give you an example, actually.

44:59Nearly all.

45:00pharmaceutical companies make the pills as easy to take as possible, okay, as small as possible, you know, and as few needed as possible and so forth.

45:10And when we heard this, both Dan Ariely and I, who were on, I think, a Zoom call at the time, said, oh, dear.

45:17And they said, well, it's logical.

45:18You know, we're designing a drug.

45:19We produce the drug.

45:21How can we make the drug?

45:22And we said, well, when you make something very small and very easy to take, you also make it very forgettable.

45:28And we actually said there, are you sure we shouldn't add a degree of difficulty?

45:31Should you actually require people to grind the drug up, mix it with water?

45:37Because there are several reasons for that.

45:38The more effort you put into the preparation of the drug will probably boost the placebo effect.

45:43Okay?

45:45But the second thing is you'll also create a ritual, which means you'll remember whether or not you've taken it.

45:50Whereas if a pill is literally, you know, you have these pills where the biggest problem with treating the condition is not finding the medication.

45:58It's patient compliance.

46:00And we said maybe if you had a bit of a daft ritual around this, where you had to actually grind it in a pestle and mortar and add something, you'd find much higher...

46:08When your cat is acting weirder, or your dog is being louder, your turtle moves slower.

46:18Hello, Ted.

46:19Your cat seems thirstier.

46:22Whoa, slow down, buddy.

46:24Or your puppy is acting clumsier.

46:28Day or night, if you...

46:30Don't know what's wrong?

46:31Know where to go.

46:32Veg ER for pets.

46:33This is Kate.

46:34Veg.

46:35The better, kinder ER for pets.

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46:53Levels of compliance and a boosted placebo effect as well.

46:57Really interesting, this idea that friction can create value, but it also can ingrain something in your routine.

47:03The other thing that I think about a lot sometimes...

47:06By the way, some travel websites deliberately make the search procedure artificially slow.

47:12Because you value the results more highly.

47:14If you've had a screen that says, we're now searching EasyJet, British Airways, Alitalia, da-da-da-da-da, and then 15 seconds later, after a sort of flurry of activity on the screen, it delivers you your holiday results.

47:27You attach more significance to those results and are more likely to go through and book than if it just goes bang and gives you an instantaneous result.

47:35Well, I think you did a thorough job, so I trust you more.

47:37If I see you've searched 50, I go, okay, well, I don't need to do that myself then.

47:41You've looked at them all for me.

47:42Yeah.

47:43That's really interesting.

47:44I now feel scammed.

47:46Well, the interesting thing is, this is a sort of philosophical question, which is, if it makes things feel more valuable, is it a con?

47:56So, okay, I mean, if you take the...

48:00this whole question of how we perceive value.

48:03You wouldn't disagree with the fact that the nature of a restaurant and how it's designed at the service adds to the appreciation of food.

48:10Well, if it's too quick to deliver me my meal, I think they...

48:13Well, that's a very interesting point.

48:15Yeah, absolutely right.

48:17So the way in which the food is presented affects your appreciation of the food.

48:21Now, my argument is your job as a business person is to create as much perceived value as possible.

48:29And if you...

48:31OK, now, I was talking to Jay Rayner the other day, and just to be clear on this, you cannot create a great restaurant with rubbish food.

48:38OK?

48:38Yeah, yeah.

48:39OK, that's not going to happen.

48:41But once you reach what you might call table stakes in terms of food quality, the things that make a restaurant great are often...

48:49What you might call tangential to the food or the meal itself.

48:52The magic.

48:53And it's atmosphere, decor, you know, theatre, who the other diners are.

48:59It can be all manner of different things.

49:02And so just as I think you're wrong running a restaurant where you say the food is the only thing that matters because you could serve Michelin-starred food in a restaurant that smelled of wee and nobody would enjoy their meal, even though the food was objectively superb,

49:15I think the worst thing you can do in both environmental terms and in business terms is to create underappreciated value.

49:23Is to go to the effort of manufacturing something without actually working out how to allow people to realise how to...

49:30Great it is.

49:31Scarcity in packaging.

49:33One of the things that I'm quite, I saw one of my favorite brands the other day do a trip around their warehouse showing the warehouse.

49:40And on one hand, I loved seeing the warehouse.

49:42I love seeing the craftsmanship that goes into it.

49:45And then they panned across to this big rail.

49:48And I saw the item that I buy and I saw like thousands of them.

49:52Yes.

49:52And I remember thinking, oh, fuck.

49:54And it made me reflect on what Apple do by just laying out like one of the products on the shop floor and how much more that makes me think there's tremendous value because I just see one iPad and one phone and one watch.

50:06There is a kind of genius to that.

50:08Yeah.

50:09The ancillary products, they will show in some sort of bulk, won't they?

50:12If you're buying mouse mats or something, they don't mind having 10 of those.

50:16But the mainstream products, there is one of them and the rest of them are kept out of sight.

50:20Yeah.

50:20Which is very interesting.

50:22Brands don't do that enough, I don't think.

50:24There is also that interesting question about the tour of the warehouse, which is, you know, how much do you want to let people in on the reality?

50:30Yeah, because it can be like, it can kill the magic to a certain point, depending on what's going on in that warehouse.

50:36It all depends.

50:36I went out and when we were working with La Perla, the famous Italian lingerie brand, and I flew out to the, there were a client of ours, I flew out to Italy to their warehouses and I read the story of Golden Scissors, the original founder who would make all of the lingerie with her hands and golden scissors.

50:51And I saw these women who all have another woman standing over their shoulders, ensuring perfection in the garments.

50:58And my biggest thing to the CEO of La Perla,

51:00Pearl at the time was like, oh my God, you've never told the story of golden figures.

51:03You've never filmed this process.

51:05You're now just competing on the high street against these sort of cheaper lingerie brands who are selling at 30 pounds.

51:13You're selling at 150 and no one knows why.

51:15No.

51:16Because you just haven't told, you've not sort of, it's what you said about it.

51:18Because by and large, lingerie is a fairly insubstantial product.

51:21No one sees it.

51:24So no one sees the craftsmanship.

51:25I had no awareness of that either.

51:27There you go.

51:27And I'll tell you what happened to La Perla.

51:30They went bust.

51:32And when I got, when I seen in Italy, just the unbelievable, the fact that all of the people hand sewed.

51:38They never told that story.

51:39They never told the story.

51:40On a slightly more prosaic basis, I always, every time I meet KFC, I always tell them to tell people that Colonel Sanders effectively founded KFC when he was 65 years old.

51:52You know, he had a convoluted career, but he had spent about eight years perfecting this recipe for chicken.

51:58And it's an extraordinary story.

51:59You know, the fact that a multinational corporation was created by someone in there, basically at retirement age.

52:05And my argument is, I can't explain entirely why, but it just makes me think of the thing differently, knowing the foundational story behind it.

52:14Can I tell you a really secret, a really easy way I found to do exactly that, to instill any product with an apparent sense of huge value in historic story, is just by naming it after a person.

52:25So if I named, if I have salad, if I have Italian.

52:30spaghetti sauce, which I've just made in a factory, and I called it, I don't know, Lana Bellis.

52:35You immediately think of a family history that must have been attached to that product and years and years of iteration from this family.

52:41And it was so good that people now buy it en masse in Tesco.

52:43And I think that for me is such an interesting example where just by calling it after someone who sounds Italian, implants this whole, you know, this story of heritage.

52:55What do you think about personalization?

52:56And when I say personalization, I really mean the surface level personalization of tickling someone's ego.

53:02I always talk about Starbucks.

53:04I'm just writing your name on the side of the cup or the share a coat campaign where they put your name on a cup.

53:09That was us, actually.

53:10That was Ogilvy in Australia who instigated that brilliant idea.

53:13But it's a very interesting thing, personalization, because it's one of those things you have to be very judicious about.

53:19You know, it can be spooky.

53:21Okay?

53:22And, you know, there are companies that get it worryingly wrong by essentially playing back to people things that they shouldn't know or didn't need to know.

53:31Oh, yeah, I've had that.

53:33And so it's often one of those things which I think is interesting because it's best done obliquely.

53:37Spooky example.

53:37So if you know something about someone in a personalised letter, you say, you know, you may be the kind of person who recently did this rather than saying you did this.

53:48And it can be spooky, and it's one of those very interesting things where knowing how to play it is really, really critical.

53:55I'm going to give an example where I think someone played it wrong, because I was thinking about...

53:58Go on, yeah.

53:59So one of the...

54:00This is maybe slightly different, but I went, I registered for a gym on the other side of the world.

54:05I won't say the country because they might listen.

54:07On the other side of the world, right?

54:08And 30 or 40 minutes after registering for the gym, I got an email from the CEO saying, hi, Steve, I've just seen you've registered for our gym.

54:18If there's anything I can do while you're in town, please let me know, blah, blah, blah, blah.

54:22Now, on one hand, people might think that's great and that's lovely of them to do.

54:25But I don't know how that individual got my details.

54:29So I gave it to an iPad on the front desk to a nice Indonesian lady.

54:32Right.

54:33And then the CEO, who's a British person, is clearly, what else did they see of my details?

54:37Did they see my password?

54:39Did they see my bank details?

54:40So it just kind of, it hurt me.

54:42I was a bit shook by it.

54:44I was like, how in 35 minutes since I put that details into the iPad has the CEO in the UK emailed me, emailed, not just, has emailed my manager.

54:51And then I'll give you a good example, which is I flew to India.

54:54I got to a hotel in India.

54:56And as I went into the room, they had a chocolate Taj Mahal and they had my company logo, Social Chain, and a small rice paper sticker on the thing.

55:03And I thought that made me feel special.

55:05Yeah.

55:06One of them made me feel like they'd invaded my privacy a little bit.

55:08And the other one had made me feel really special.

55:10And I took my phone out and I do loads of Instagrams about this hotel and this Taj Mahal rice paper sticker that cost $2.

55:16So you're right, there is a fine line there.

55:18And you can, I mean, it's very interesting because you've also got to be very, very alert to cultural differences.

55:23So that Germans have a paranoia about data protection and privacy, which is an order of magnitude.

55:30greater than that you find in, say, the US, where I think most people in the US kind of have the mentality that the horse has already bolted.

55:37It's too late.

55:38Everybody already knows all this stuff.

55:40So leaving aside things like medical data and stuff that is, you know, naturally expected to remain secret.

55:46Because I thought with a machine, it's funny, because when you put your details into computers and like login forms and registration forms, you assume they're going into some vault.

55:54It never occurred to me that.

55:55Now, because you'd self-inputted it, you'd assume that effectively it was anonymous.

56:01Yes, and it was going into some vault in a computer that was encrypted and secure.

56:06So to get an email, I go, well, these people think all my data, I've got my phone number, he's got my password.

56:12And that was just, it felt like a bit of a...

56:13And what's interesting is you found it unpleasant.

56:16Another person otherwise demographically identical to you would be cool with it.

56:20Yeah, they would have thought it was great customer service.

56:22Generally, it's probably a caution that people who work in marketing are less...

56:30Likely to be sensitized to possible negative interpretations of what they're doing.

56:37Because people who work in marketing are high on openness.

56:39I'll give you a lovely example of this, which I better not name the client.

§05Transcript — part 5

56:43But it was simply there was a special offer by a credit card company.

56:49The envelope sent out just said final reminder in red because the offer was about to expire.

56:56Okay?

56:57And we thought it was reasonably cute.

56:59You're going to open it.

57:00Letter with final reminder on it, and it'll tell you that you've only got 10 days left to enjoy this particular discount.

57:06And a significant minority of people went bananas with this.

57:11And the reason was, do you know what they said?

57:14To a Londoner, this is incomprehensible, OK?

57:16If you live in London or you live in a large city.

57:18Now my postman thinks I don't pay my bills.

57:22Because they'd received a letter with final reminder on the outside of the envelope.

57:25Now, most people in London don't really know their postman, and they certainly wouldn't worry about their postman going around and gossiping about them, because in a place like London, there's a level of anonymity.

57:35If you live in a small country village, totally different matter, because the postman drinks at the same pub as your friends.

57:40Oh, yeah, of course.

57:41And that's one of those cases where nobody working on the thing had had any consideration, because Londoners wouldn't be bothered by that.

57:50Equally, I suppose someone who shares a doormat with five other people might be bothered by that.

57:54Let me give you, let me, I want to get some rules, some advice from you then.

57:58So I'm launching a brand soon and it's an apparel brand and we've been working very hard on it over the last year or so, maybe a bit too hard on it.

58:07When it comes to delivering that apparel brand to the world and making it, it's actually an extension of this podcast.

58:12So it's called DOAC, Driver CEO.

58:15What advice would you give me as it relates to delivering that product to the world to make sure that it is inherently valuable and that...

58:22People, you know.

58:23One piece of advice in any form of e-tail, two forms of advice, actually.

58:30The two mistakes, and by the way, I think marketers spend too much time focusing on the addition of positives when a lot of time needs to be spent on the removal of negatives.

58:41One thing is answer the phone, okay, and do not hide your phone number.

58:48I find that.

58:49So what seems to happen in most e-commerce is you have what you might call the sales area, which is everything that happens up to and including a point of purchase.

59:02And everything there is glorious and attractive and, you know, and slick.

59:08Okay, assuming, by the way, you don't have a weird question to ask.

59:14But I would argue, one, what then happens is if something goes wrong with your experience, either the delivery of the experience or you need to cancel something,

59:24as soon as you deviate from that very narrowly preconceived sort of purchase funnel,

59:30you enter a world of pain, okay?

59:32And the two things which are, I think, grossly underinvested in, in terms of e-commerce, are one, giving...

59:40What tends to happen is once the marketing job is done, because the person's clicked buy,

59:46The responsibility for that customer is now handed over to people whose metrics are anything but customer satisfaction, their cost reduction.

59:54How can we make sure that nobody phones us up?

59:56How can we make sure that every phone call is as brief as is feasibly possible?

60:00And how can we minimize the cost of delivery and distribution?

60:03Now, one of the things I think is a grotesque mistake that most e-commerce providers make, not all of them, but many, is not offering you a choice of delivery couriers, for example.

60:14Okay?

60:15Now, I know why they do that.

60:16They want to put everything through one delivery courier so they can maximise their rebate through volume, economies of scale.

60:23Actually, I think, you know, I think many, two problems happen there.

60:27One, if you don't get to choose how your item is delivered, if anything goes wrong, you blame the company, you don't blame the delivery company or yourself.

60:34If I'd chosen to have it delivered by Royal Mail and it went missing, I'd blame Royal Mail.

60:39If they insist that I have it delivered by, you know, without singling out UPS, DPD, whatever, and it goes wrong, I blame them.

60:47Secondly, you know, people have various preferences.

60:51You know, your liking for ivory used to be called Hermes, okay, varies enormously depending on which postcode district you're in.

60:59Because if you have a very good local driver, it's incredibly good.

61:03And if your local driver's off sick, it's a disaster.

61:06In some case.

61:07Okay.

61:09And by not respecting the fact that the person is paying for delivery should choose who delivers it.

61:15Yeah.

61:15Strikes me as a fundamental failing.

61:17The business of hiding the phone number.

61:20So that anybody who has a problem is effectively treated like a second-class citizen.

61:24So you have this very characteristic thing, which I think is a problem with e-commerce, which is when it goes well...

61:30It's miraculously good, okay?

61:33But the second anything out of the ordinary happens, you enter a world of pain, you know?

61:39And I think that's a fundamental failing.

61:42This is a customer service point, the importance of customer service, right?

61:45A few people, I mean, Selfridges do it pretty well, okay?

61:49Other things I do is I would offer a kind of Amazon Prime equivalent where if you pay a few pounds for delivery, you get free delivery for a year.

61:56That seems to me a fairly obvious and brilliant idea because why should loyal customers pay inordinately more for delivery than one-off customers do?

62:08I think, you know, I think you can make an effort around how the thing is delivered and packaged and presented, which some people do well and some people don't bother to do at all.

62:16What do you think the secret is there to doing a good job with packaging?

62:19Possibly there's a little bit of costly signaling involved.

62:22I mean, if you order something from Selfridges, the inside of the box is actually yellow with the Selfridges logo on a kind of shiny backdrop.

62:32And there's a little bit of tissue paper.

62:35Okay?

62:36So you're never left.

62:37That will have a halo effect on your perceived value of the product, by the way.

62:42I know we don't like it, but actually packaging is, to some extent, packaging is where a product first becomes a brand.

62:50It's where it first takes on a personality and identity, you know,

62:56you know, a kind of an implied target audience.

63:00And so in this thing, now the interesting thing is, how are you going to, what's your shtick?

63:06Do you have, for example, scarcity?

63:08Is the clothing available in a limited edition?

63:09Yeah, so limited runs.

63:10We actually sold some before when I did a tour of the UK and you had to come to the tour to buy it.

63:16And every single night on the tour, we did nine nights, three nights at the London Palladium, took it up in another country, sold out every single night, every single item to the point that we sold the ones on our backs.

63:24Yeah.

63:24And we gave them away.

63:26But every single item sold out in every single size on the tour.

63:28So this is like the second drop of it.

63:30Everyone's well aware that the first run of it all sold out.

63:35We have a very limited line.

63:38We have a limited amount of items again this time.

63:41And I think the key thing with this release is...

63:45We've just agonized over the story of the piece.

63:47So it's like, it really looks more like art than it does clothing.

63:50And we've worked with artists and there's this big movie that I'm releasing with every single item to explain the meaning of the piece.

63:56And then we've put a lot of effort into the packaging, the unboxing experience.

64:00So it is limited.

64:01It will honestly probably sell out in the first day.

64:03And, um,

64:05I don't even think we're going to make money from it, but that's not really why I do it.

64:07It's more because I just love the, I love the process, but, um, you probably will make money.

64:13I mean, merch is, um, I'm just really not bothered by making money from it.

64:18It's not the thing in my life.

64:19I do the same with a tour.

64:20Like I spent every penny I could on the bloody tour because it wasn't really why I was doing it.

64:24There's probably more of a brat, a wider brand play to doing it, which is like, it's, it's bringing our,

64:30audience closer to us.

64:31So it's maybe a lost leader in terms of the financials, but in the broader engagement to the brand.

64:36No, I mean, this is actually the great curse of a lot of modern business, given the title of your

64:42podcast, which is that people generally over-obsess about things which are immediately quantifiable and under-invest in things which are valuable, but hard to actually...

64:54Put a figure on.

64:55And so things like engagement or loyalty, of course, I mean, it's worth noting that customer loyalty is much, much slower to measure than, for example, conversion.

65:06And so the extent that money is invested in performance marketing or the bottom of the funnel relative to, let's say, wider brand fame, it's a widespread problem in the whole business world, which is that the money isn't necessarily being spent

65:21in the channels it is because it's more effective there, but simply because it's easier to prove.

65:28That it has an effect.

65:30The truth of the matter is the world will always be too uncertain for us to know who our customers are in advance.

65:36And therefore, since, you know, 97% of the potential customer base aren't in market at any given time and therefore won't be uncovered by search or, you know, remarketing or whatever.

65:49Spending money on the 97% of people in advance, ahead of times, is still a very effective thing to do.

65:56The reason people do too little of it is that it's hard to quantify.

66:00On that particular point then, having worked in the advertising industry, this is a conversation we have all the time with clients, which is you'll meet a certain type of client who's very, who's religious about the bottom of the funnel.

66:11If I can't track it and I don't know exactly.

66:13I won't do it.

66:14I won't do it.

66:15Then you'll sometimes meet the opposite.

66:17Which is someone who just loves to spend on brand.

66:21And I don't necessarily think...

66:21They're both wrong, though, right?

66:22Yeah, I don't think they do.

66:23Yeah, I mean, Mark Ritz, a very good marketing professor, always talks about the importance of bothism.

66:28And he says, it's vitally important that when I actually speak about the importance of brand marketing, that you do not interpret this as denigrating digital marketing.

66:37In fact, I go a bit further and say, the bottom of the funnel in many respects is the thing you have to optimize first.

66:43Because there's no point in actually, if there's a bottleneck at the bottom of the funnel, if there's some constraint or a problem or a failing,

66:52you know, if you have very poor conversion, okay, there's no point in spending money on advertising because you'll just introduce more people to a disappointing experience.

66:59You're wasting money.

67:00So you've got to get the back end.

67:01And I would argue the first thing, in theory, you should optimize, if you're being an absolute purist, is repeat purchase.

67:08Because having gone through the expense to acquire these customers, and actually that's the metric that always fascinates me because we were talking earlier about electric cars.

67:17And I said the question about electric cars isn't how many people are buying them, okay?

67:20It's not what percentage of the new car market in the UK in July were plug-in vehicles.

67:27Now, only question worth asking really in the long run.

67:30Long term is, does anybody who buys an electric car go back to buying a gasoline car?

67:36Because if the answer to that is hardly anybody, then, okay, you don't know the exact shape of the S curve, but you know the growth is going to be pretty spectacular.

67:45And so the thing to understand, I think, in a market is to what extent does your product actually convert someone to something?

67:53And then the lifetime value.

67:54And so you'd start with repeat purchase, then you go to conversion, and then you'd work your way up.

67:58But what tends to happen is that when people are obsessed with quantification of everything, okay, it's worth noting, by the way, that all big data comes from the same place, the past.

68:11All right.

68:12So there's a limit to how much big data, particularly if you've had some major event like a pandemic in between, how much big data can actually tell you about the future in any case.

68:22As David Ogilvie famously said, you're not advertising to a standing army, you're advertising to a moving parade.

68:28People are coming in and out of market all the time.

68:31And so you're absolutely right.

68:33You get some people who are just fame junkies.

68:36And by the way, I suppose there are brand categories where that's appropriate.

68:39If it's sold through retailers, you know, in other words, if it's mostly sold in the physical space, you might argue to an extent, you know, for, let's say, a Burger King or a McDonald's, that's not a totally crazy position.

68:51Although it is now because suddenly they've got to think about delivery and whether people order through the app or order through an intermediary because it has a major bearing on their...

69:00business.

69:01But at the same time, yeah, I mean, the tragedy is this idea, this false dichotomy between brand advertising and what you might call performance or digital marketing, as if you have to be in one camp or the other.

69:15Where is the balance, though?

69:16And how does one go about?

69:17Is it just intuitive?

69:18Is it just a...

69:19There are figures on this.

69:20So if you look at the work of...

69:23Les Bonnet, for example, and Peter Field, the ratio shifts a little bit, but generally they'll stipulate a figure around about the 60-40 mark in favour of what you might call brand mass media.

69:39expenditure.

69:39Because they have a mutually beneficial relationship, obviously.

69:42Top of the funnel makes the bottom of the funnel cheaper.

69:44The first 20 years of my life was spent in direct marketing.

69:46And actually, you know, because direct marketing was unfashionable, we spent a lot of time denigrating advertising spend because they got much bigger budgets than us, not necessarily rightly, but they were also, you know, much more indulged than we were

70:00because they didn't have to prove effectiveness down to the same sort of level of statistical significance.

70:06But we came to realise pretty quickly that actually, first of all, there's nothing harder than direct marketing a product that nobody's ever heard of.

70:14Yeah.

70:14And that every time, just to give an example, every time American Express went on television or advertised big in mass media, the response rates to direct mail would...

70:25Not quite double, maybe, but they increased pretty significantly.

70:28You had to work less hard.

70:30You had to work.

70:30It's that wonderful phrase which comes from a book by, let me get his job right, his name right.

70:39I think it's Matt Johnson who's just written a book called Brands That Mean Business.

70:43And his wonderful line is, having a great brand means you get to play the game of capitalism in easy mode.

70:49Yeah, that's so true.

70:51And what is true is fame, to some extent, brings a load of benefits which aren't necessarily sales-related.

70:58So, for example, you can cock up and your customers will be more forgiving.

71:03Yeah.

71:03Okay?

71:05Take the example of Apple.

71:06I mean, on a couple of occasions, Apple has produced products which had fairly major flaws, which might have proved pretty fatal.

71:15To lesser brands.

71:17You know, the famous phone where if you held it in the wrong way, it didn't make phone calls, for example.

71:22And given the reality distortion field around the Apple brand, people have passed over those incredibly rapidly.

71:29And so, you know, people are less price sensitive.

71:32That's not easy to measure, by the way, as well.

71:35It's very easy to measure the extent to which something has an effect on sales, but the effect to which something has an effect on price elasticity and the extent to which you can command a premium.

71:45Because it's a great brand.

71:46Because it's a great brand.

71:47It's harder to measure because you don't have the counterfactual.

71:51You know, when you sell something, the counterfactual is that you assume that you wouldn't have sold it otherwise.

71:57But if you sell something for a high price...

72:00You can't in fact determine that without your advertising, you wouldn't have sold it for that premium price.

72:07So it's to some extent this quest for perfect measurement to reduce marketing to a kind of Newtonian physics is a bit of a false god.

72:17Fame.

72:17You talked about fame there.

§06Transcript — part 6

72:18Fame can also be applied in the topic of personal branding as well.

72:22Obviously, social media has allowed us all now to build our personal brands.

72:25You've got the Gary Vaynerchuks of the world who have built, you know, their companies are famous because they've branded a person.

72:32At Ogilvy and within your sort of your marketing, what kind of shift have you seen in the desire for people to become brands themselves?

72:40And how valuable do you think that is?

72:43I think advertising always had those personal brands.

72:47And if anything, it's slightly diminished, actually.

72:50Really?

72:51Campaign magazine always did a very good job of, you know, making sure there were 30 or 40 sort of famous names within the business.

73:01That just happens in a different medium now, right?

73:03It happens on LinkedIn.

73:05Yes, I agree.

73:06I mean, you know, so, I mean, one of the greatest things, for example, there's a wonderful, wonderful guy who now must be, I don't want to name his age, but, you know, he's, you know, past retirement age called Dave Trott.

73:17You probably know him.

73:17Yeah, I know Dave Trott.

73:18Okay.

73:19He'd be a brilliant interviewee, by the way, on the show.

73:21Absolutely fantastic.

73:22But what has been absolutely fantastic is that, you know, he's a glorious advertising mind.

73:28I mean, just an absolute...

73:30ornament to the industry.

73:31And he, through Twitter and through blogging, has had a completely new lease of life and influence to a completely new generation of people.

73:42And has been hugely valuable as a teacher.

73:45What's interesting about that, actually, is that, of course, he does that unpaid.

73:51And one of the things that is complicated about this new world, okay, you know, the most valuable thing I often do in the course of a working week is either to give something away or to put somebody in touch with something else.

74:04Neither of which, you know, that kind of barter, neither of those things is in any way monetizable, is it?

74:11Well, reciprocity would say otherwise.

74:13No, I suppose you've just got to rely on a high degree of reciprocity in some respect.

74:18I mean, it always bothers me about this, which is that we're in a business advertising which is paid by the hour, which is a terrible way to pay for ideas.

74:26Because the value of something has no relation to the time devoted to its inception.

74:32And it is genuine.

74:36I mean, I always joke about this.

74:37The most valuable thing I probably did was almost accidentally, my working life, which was to go to the government's behavioural insights team.

74:44And as a sort of fanatical vaper, I'd been a long-time smoker and had been able to quit for the first time successfully by switching to vaping.

74:53It took me a little while, but once I'd made the switch, I'd never gone back.

74:59And I went to the government.

75:00Behavioral Insights team, and I said, look, these things are coming over from both Japan and the United States.

75:05They're electronic cigarettes.

75:06I think there are two things you need to be alert to in psychology, one of which is that because they actually replicate the habit of smoking, not just the nicotine, they are a major kind of what you might call a gateway drug act.

75:20They're a major source of harm reduction at the very least.

75:24It may help people to quit.

75:26At the very least, it'll help people to shift to a much less harmful delivery device.

75:30Versus patches.

75:31Versus patches and guns and things like that, which didn't replicate the behaviour.

75:35And then the second thing I said is the second thing you've got to be alert to is that because of peculiar human psychology, half the people in the what you might call the health and anti-smoking lobby will be fanatical about banning electronic cigarettes.

75:50And all credit to the Behavioural Insights team under a guy called David Halpern.

75:54I think they went to the Cameron government and said, favour here, can we have a light touch on vaping regulation, please?

76:01And various parts of the EU have gone for much stricter regulation.

76:05There were some countries which were more or less banning it.

76:08The US has banned Juul for some reason.

76:10Yeah, bizarre.

76:11On that point of personal branding, though, do you think building a personal brand is important?

76:15Yeah, it's very interesting.

76:17I mean, you have a personal brand, whether you like it or not.

76:19But that's one really important point about branding, which is that everybody, you know, and that's, by the way, why I think marketing is so important, because it's not.

76:30The brand is not the heated steering wheel of the marketing world, you know, the optional extra that you can do without, but it's quite nice to have.

76:37People are going to perceive you in some way, regardless of anything you do, okay?

76:42They're going to form an impression of you.

76:44They're going to form an impression of what you're worth, what kind of business you are, you know, and they will use all manner of kind of inferences and heuristics to arrive at this conclusion.

76:55And in many ways, I suppose, this is why I argue that marketing isn't an optional extra, it's an essential, because the worst thing you can do

77:03is build a great product and fail to present it in a way that is convincing, appealing, attractive, or which confers status on its users.

77:14And the same applies for your personal brand.

77:16And the same, yeah, the same applies.

77:18You're going to have a personal brand whether you like it or not, so you might as well try and have a good one.

77:22I think it probably is true to say that the personal brand requires sacrifice.

77:27You know that old saying that strategy is the art of sacrifice.

77:31But, wait, not totally true.

77:33I think there are win-wins, you know.

77:35What is the sacrifice of a personal brand?

77:37But, well, I suspect...

77:42You don't need to suspect.

77:43You've got a personal brand.

77:44Yeah, you have to have weaknesses as well as strengths.

77:46Now, interestingly, for example, one of the things that will be part of my personal brand is I'm not a CEO.

77:52I have no aspiration to be a CEO.

77:54And I know enough about myself to know I would not be good at that job.

77:58Okay?

77:58There are certain forms of...

78:00of ambition and aspiration, which, you know, consonant with a personal brand that I have, are basically their avenues that are closed to me.

78:09I'm not very good at administration.

78:11I'm very bad at making difficult decisions.

78:14Self-awareness is a personal brand strength.

78:15Yeah, but where I'd be useful, I'd be useful at making oblique or unusual suggestions.

78:22I'd be useful at getting people to consider the same thing in five different ways or promoting a counterintuitive thought.

78:29I might be useful at suggesting somebody, you know, I've got a fairly good personal Rolodex, you know, before you run off and do this on your own, why don't you talk to this guy at this university who's been studying this for the last 15 years?

78:42When you think about why you were successful in your career and why, you know, you're very, very well known in the industry and people speak very highly of you.

78:49Why, in hindsight, do you think, as you look back and connect those dots, you were successful?

78:55I think...

78:58And by the way, this is also an argument for, you know, ethnic, cognitive, all kinds of diversity.

79:04I really, really love the advertising and marketing industry.

79:07I think it's a source of endless fascination.

79:09I think it's much, much more economically important than is recognized in the contribution it makes to innovation, to progress, to human flourishing, actually.

79:23So I tend to take a fairly positive take.

79:25The only thing I'd say is I've always had half, one.

79:30foot out of the industry.

79:32I haven't entirely bought in.

79:35You know, I never, I half bought into the awards culture, let's say, but retained a degree of scepticism.

79:41You know, I half buy into purpose.

79:45But, you know, in other words, I haven't become...

79:49Ideological about anything.

79:50To some extent, I'm ideological about not being ideological.

79:55You know, human psychology is immensely complicated, okay, even at the level of the individual.

80:01At the level of individuals interacting with other individuals, it is immensely complicated.

80:07I don't think it's something you can generally pronounce confidently about.

80:11All you can do is start by asking better questions and perform better experiments, I think.

80:16And I think that's to some extent why entrepreneurs are so essential in innovation.

80:23A bit of it is, one disadvantage big companies have in innovating is that it's very difficult to get the timing right.

80:30And if you think about it, while one big company has one shot at an idea,

80:3615 entrepreneurs will launch at 15 different times, and one of them will get the timing right just by the law of averages.

80:43So the timing is one issue.

80:45But the other issue is that maybe the really innovative products require some component of...

80:53nonsense.

80:54I don't mean nonsense, but I mean nonsense.

80:57You know, there's a degree of either

81:00sort of counterintuitive or seemingly illogical quality to them.

81:05I want to know about you, though.

81:07Okay.

81:07Why you were successful.

81:08So you said that sort of maintaining unconventional thinking.

81:13And it even actually struck me because when you said you went to this bug convention, giving yourself another point of reference to inspire creativity or out of the box, out of the industry thinking is quite clearly a huge advantage.

81:24Yeah, curiosity is probably the kind of table stakes in this business.

81:28If you're generally curious.

81:29What else about you, though?

81:33Can I hazard a guess?

81:34I'm quite...

81:35OK, I'm quite good at the spiel.

81:37I'm quite good on my feet, which I don't know where that came from.

81:41You know, growing up in Wales is a bit of a bonus.

81:44When you say the spiel, what do you mean?

81:45Well, you grew up in Plymouth, OK?

81:47Yeah.

81:47Now...

81:49Without disparaging people in the southeast of England, okay, in the west of England and in the Celtic fringe, people talk not just to convey information, but to prove they're good at talking.

82:01There's a kind of musical quality to Celtic, Irish, Welsh conversation, which is it's a form of kind of, regardless of the actual information it contains, people enjoy seeing it done really well.

82:15Why do you think people enjoy hearing you talk?

82:17Because I would agree.

82:18I think that you're a very, very good talker.

82:21Oh, one thing, by the way, which Nassim Taleb, very interesting on this, Nassim Taleb always says you should mumble or you should speak very fast.

82:31And his argument is that if you make it slightly difficult for people to comprehend what you're saying, either by speaking very fast or by speaking slightly indistinctly, they pay more attention to what you're saying.

82:42I think there's an interesting thing just from hearing you speak today where...

82:47you're actually, you're a very engaging speaker because when you introduce a point, you introduce it with a compelling, slightly ambiguous story.

82:53So even you'll start it with that.

82:56And then the next sentence leads me up to, you're almost making me a promise of what you're going to reveal to me in that story.

83:03And then you deliver upon that promise by telling me a story.

83:07And I see it a lot with people when they're speaking.

83:10And also there's other things like your tonal fluctuations.

83:14And also your use of pausing.

83:15But your tonal fluctuations actually do keep me engaged.

83:17That may be a Welsh thing, by the way.

83:18Maybe so.

83:19I don't have a Welsh accent, but some people have said I've kind of got Welsh intonation.

83:23I've sat here with authors before, and they're so smart, but honestly, I just can't stay with them because it's always like this.

83:29The whole tone of the conversation is like this.

83:31So you just really, it's fun.

83:32It's really, you know what I mean?

83:33Yeah.

83:33And it's just that it's so, but you, yeah, see?

83:36You can't accuse the Welsh of not adding a little bit of musicality to.

83:41It's just interesting when you look back in hindsight, because I genuinely believe, having spoken to you today, your delivery of ideas and stories, and it's funny that I even use the word stories, is such a huge part of why you've been able to rise above the crop.

83:54And I actually think about it with myself.

83:57It's all good having talent and genius and smarts, which you have.

84:00A lot of people have.

84:01But then the ability to equate it and to articulate it in a way that's captivating.

84:05I think stories are the PDF files of human information.

84:09Yeah.

84:09Okay.

84:10So they're the vehicle we use for storing information and the vehicle we use for sharing it.

84:15It's a universal format, like the PDF file.

84:18You know, it doesn't matter what hardware the recipient's got, they can read the file.

84:22Okay.

84:22You just did it again.

84:23Okay.

84:23So you said you introduced a really compelling idea that I'd never heard before.

84:26I think they are the PDF file of human information.

84:28And I go, what?

84:29And then you have me.

84:30And a lot of people don't do that.

84:32A lot of people don't introduce the first concept in the sentence as being something slightly ambiguous and unusual, which inspires curiosity via engagement.

84:42So it's an interesting, it's probably a habit that you have, but I think it's a very useful one for people to try and learn.

84:46So I was a classicist at university, whether I learned it a bit.

84:50I mean, doing, I'm a big fan of classics in schools, by the way, because I think, first of all, I don't think you can actually decide as an English speaker which language you should learn in advance.

84:59So learning a language which allows you to learn other languages more quickly may not, may be the best approach for modern languages, ironically, is to teach dead languages.

85:09I mean, German might be an alternative because that at least teaches you how language sort of works.

85:15Didn't you say something actually in this book about this, about how making something ambiguous is actually sometimes more effective because...

85:22Yes, the idea that Trump was quite a valuable deterrent.

85:26I'm not sure that they would have invaded the Ukraine if Trump had still been president.

85:30Because this comes down to the realm of game theory, which is that being irrational...

85:35Yes.

85:36In some senses, is actually an intelligent strategy because no one's quite sure what you're going to do in response.

85:43Yeah.

85:44Once you're rational, you're predictable, and once you're predictable, you can be hacked.

85:49And so having some element of, this is where probably the need for human temper and anger arises, you see.

85:55If you had someone who would never lose their temper and lash out, even at some risk to their own safety, okay, you could dick around with them almost endlessly, couldn't you?

86:06If you had someone who is 100% docile and would just roll with all the punches and would never lose it and would never retaliate simply because it wasn't rational to retaliate against, say, unsuitable odds.

86:19I mean, there probably were people like that, but they didn't have many descendants, I think, from a Darwinian point of view.

86:25No, you're right.

86:26And actually, entirely rational people wouldn't have spawned many descendants because their behaviour would have been too predictable.

86:32It would have been very easy to trap them.

86:34I just think there's a broader point here, which is, I mean, it's central to advertising as well, which is people overlook the importance of communication.

86:41Hugely, yeah.

§07Transcript — part 7

86:43In overall outcomes.

86:45And even when I sit here with people that can speak well and tell stories well and convey ideas well, I don't even think half the time they realize that that's such a huge part of their brilliance.

86:54Over the course of a lifetime, imagine.

86:57Imagine the opportunities you'll create, the ability to sell yourself, the ability to...

87:00to push your ideas forward, whether they're right or wrong, the ability to inspire others.

87:04And I honestly think...

87:06Well, actually, one of the things that's most painful to me about watching The Dragon's Den is...

87:10Now, I occasionally watch Shark Tank or whatever, the American equivalent.

87:15Now, Americans have this tradition of show and tell, don't they?

87:17Where even when you're at primary school, you have to go up and give a talk about something.

87:22And generally, I find most Americans are pretty good at giving an account of something.

87:30100%.

87:31And one of the painful things about the Brits on Dragon's Den is sometimes I can see that people have actually what is a pretty good idea.

87:39But they're telling the story from, like, the wrong end of the telescope.

87:42Completely.

87:42Completely.

87:43I'm going, this is actually painful to me because you have this fantastic idea.

87:49Now, you know, OK, OK, slightly unethical.

87:53But in a few cases, I just go, look, if you just invent a story about how you came up with this.

87:59OK, now, apparently the whole eBay story about Pez's was never really true.

88:04You know, that his girlfriend wanted to trade Pez's.

88:07But they felt they needed a foundation myth for how eBay got started.

88:11Yeah.

88:12And, you know, I bet, I wonder if it's actually true that Uber came up with the map when watching Goldfinger.

88:17Oh, I see it all the time in the den.

88:18You see it all the time.

88:19These wonderful stories of...

88:20Just come up with a, you know, a great story.

88:24But also the way in which they, their,

88:30Ability to generate perceived value through narrative is their greatest weakness.

88:37I'm watching this and I'm going, this is just painful.

88:40You know, I mean, actually schools should be teaching this.

88:42Yeah, that's what I'm saying.

88:44I mean, it leads you to worry, you know, are there people out there?

88:49By the way, I'm sure this is, you know, this is true.

88:51There must have been people out there who had extraordinary inventive skills, whose complete lack of marketing skills.

88:59Effectively meant they died in obscurity.

89:01Just even their complete lack of simple communication skills.

89:04Yeah.

89:04Like not even marketing is maybe step two, but just being able to tell someone else, like an investor or a potential co-founder, about their ideas in an inspiring way that will galvanize them and get them to join the mission.

89:18Yeah, honestly, I think the most important skill in the world that you could give gift to a child or anyone is just the ability to communicate effectively, tell stories, which is ultimately what we call sales.

89:30Yeah.

89:30And you do it when you're meeting a girl in a nightclub or whether you're inspiring employees or investors or you're building a personal brand or you're talking to customers.

89:38The ability to understand how to keep people...

89:41Well, I've got an idea I want to propose to the government.

89:44I mean, I think that if we take marketing thinking and alchemical thinking, we can also deploy it within politics and government and public sector decision-making.

89:57I think the NHS could actually create...

90:00massively greater patient satisfaction by deploying certain, you know, behaviours and techniques just for their meaning, not for their objective medical value, okay?

90:12But...

90:13Like what?

90:14Well, I...

90:17I'll give one example.

90:18I think you could actually reframe waiting time for an operation in some cases as preparation for the operation.

90:24So if that time can be put to good use, actually losing weight in my case, if I had to have invasive surgery, if they said, OK, the operation's in six weeks, that means you've got six weeks to lose so many stone, and this is how we're going to do it.

90:37And so the time is actually spent improving the odds of the operation rather than just waiting.

90:41Secondly, you could probably borrow a tip from Uber.

90:44And you could continually remind them of the date, remind them of milestones, so they didn't feel that part of the reason they're terrified of it being six weeks away is because they think it's going to shift by another six weeks.

90:56You know, it's a bit like there's a very big difference between waiting for a parcel to arrive, which you can track, and waiting for a parcel to arrive that you can't track.

91:06So, you know, making things sort of trackable in some sense to reassure people.

91:10I think there are a lot of psychological things, you know, just as actually Dishoom ingeniously, if you have to queue for Dishoom, they come out and make you chai, okay?

91:20And they serve chai to the waiting queue.

91:22Now, that's very clever because that act of generosity inspires reciprocation, so you're much less likely to quit the queue.

91:30I think another one I'd do is I'd reduce student loans significantly if people had worked for one or two years before they went to university.

91:39I think that could be a major, major game changer.

91:42Because at the moment...

91:43Why?

91:44Why would you do that?

91:44Okay, right.

91:45What happened, okay, this is one of those invisible effects which nobody notices.

91:51When I went to university in 1984, okay, okay, you know, I had a private education, you know, very good one, actually, and I went to Cambridge in 1984, okay?

92:03Then, if you had a degree from, let's say, a Russell Group university, it was sufficient to get you a reasonably good starting job, but it wasn't necessary.

92:14What happened when we expanded higher education was a degree became necessary but not sufficient.

92:21OK, and so you have a bunch of people who might be better off or happier going straight into the world of work who are now required to get a degree.

92:30In order to start work at a kind of level in which they can reach positions of reasonable reward.

92:36OK, now it wasn't like that.

92:38You could you could go into, you know, well-paid work without a degree in 1987.

92:43You can't do that now.

92:44OK, very easily.

92:46Now, I think if you reserved a whole load of university places or you discounted university places for people who'd worked somewhere first, some of these people may well find out that they love the business so much they wouldn't bother going to university.

93:00University at all.

93:01But you'd also create a social norm where there was nothing weird about not going to university before you started work.

93:08So you'd break that assumption that university automatically comes straight after school.

93:14But a third requirement would be if we're going to educate people, it's not a totally crazy requirement of them to make them prove that they can actually function in the real world with other people.

93:25Because I'm not sure.

93:27I'm a bit sad that Kemi Badenoch was just knocked out of the Conservative leadership thing because, A, she didn't have a degree in PPE from Oxford, which is a positive in my book, but also she worked in McDonald's.

93:39Now, I'm not sure, genuinely, that in terms of tacit knowledge, understanding of the world, I'm not sure that I wouldn't have been better off with one year less at Cambridge and one year more working at McDonald's.

93:52I mean, you know, we forget this.

93:54We have this extraordinary narrative that education adds to people's human capital, okay?

94:00And that somehow the second you start work, you know, you become just, you know, you learn nothing.

94:07This is completely the opposite of my experience.

94:09You know, I learned just as much in my first three years at Ogilvy as I did at three years in university.

94:15The idea that working isn't educational and that the only way you can add to human capital or value is by putting people through these incredibly artificial sort of oblique intelligence tests, which aren't really very good.

94:28You're looking at a dropout.

94:30I mean, the interesting thing, which must be true statistically, and it must be true simply because of Bill Gates and Mark Zuckerberg,

94:39is that the average Harvard dropout is almost certainly much richer than the average Harvard graduate, because even Zuckerberg and Gates on their own...

94:48Would make that a statistical necessity.

94:50Yeah, and I would not be surprised to hear that because I think it also points to another characteristic that those individuals have that is conducive with success.

94:57We do have a closing tradition on this podcast, which is the last guest writes a question for the next guest.

95:03Yeah.

95:05And this guest has written a question for you.

95:06Now, their handwriting is not good.

95:09So this is, I've been staring at this for about 15 minutes trying to figure out what it says, but here we go.

95:14If I asked you at the age of 16, who in the world you would have liked to be, what would you have said?

95:22And has your...

95:24Answer changed.

95:26Uh,

95:27Probably not.

95:28It probably would have been someone like John Cleese.

95:31I venerate comedians.

95:32Who's John Cleese?

95:33The comedian, John Cleese of Monty Python.

95:35Okay.

95:36And Fawlty Towers.

95:38It probably would have been someone like that, I think, because I venerate comedians because they bring this extraordinary, fresh...

95:48I'm going to use a fancy epistemology.

95:50You know, their way of perceiving the world is in...

95:52And this is why I'm very much against politically correct sort of political activists trying to...

96:00sense of comedians, because what you're allowing there is for a group of people who have an incredibly narrow, unsophisticated and moronic epistemology to legislate

96:11on people who have a spectacularly sophisticated and nuanced and complex sense of perception.

96:20It's completely the wrong way around.

96:21You know, comedians should be able to ban political activists for being boring in a healthy world, not the other way around.

96:28So, yeah, I venerate comedians to a particular degree, I think.

96:34So your answer would have been comedian.

96:36Yeah, I think it would have been some kind of comedian.

96:39I would have, you know, whether later on it might have been the Not the Nine O'Clock News team.

96:44I didn't know who he was at the time, but John Lloyd, who is behind a great deal of actually very successful advertising, but also behind a great deal of very successful television comedy, has to be considered one of the all-time greats.

96:57And has your answer changed?

96:59No, not really.

97:00No, I still venerate those people.

97:03I'll sit down with YouTube and watch three hours of Bill Burr and four hours of Dave Chappelle.

97:09Dave Chappelle, by the way, in terms of delivery, we're talking about that whole business of how you speak.

97:17I mean, I just sit there in awe, you know.

97:21And so, no, those are the people who I kind of can't help but venerate.

97:26First of all, I just want to say thank you.

97:27It's been a really inspiring conversation.

97:29It's a pleasure.

97:29Absolutely.

97:30This book is really great.

97:30It's really challenging in all the right ways, but it's based on so much truth and experience that I really believe that it's one of those

97:37essential books for people that are working in this industry or just in really any industry, because if you're in business, the principles within this book are so applicable to so many things that I feel like it's a really essential book.

97:49So thank you for writing it.

97:50Thank you for being here today.

97:51It's been a real honor to speak to you.

97:53And yeah, continue being yourself because I think the world needs a few more people like you that think in the way you do.

97:58So thank you so much, Rory.

98:00I'll keep trying.

98:00Thank you very much and keep up the good work.

98:02It's been fantastic and an inspiration.

98:04Thank you, Rory.

— A LITTLE MORE TO THINK ABOUT. —