Tim Dodd: SpaceX, Starship, Rocket Engines, and Future of Space Travel
Guests: Tim Dodd
Full transcript · Read the full conversation in order, with its original context.
Contents40 chapters
§01Transcript · 00:00–07:56§02Transcript · 07:57–14:32§03Transcript · 14:34–21:43§04Transcript · 21:45–29:22§05Transcript · 29:23–36:59§06Transcript · 37:01–44:59§07Transcript · 45:02–53:53§08Transcript · 53:56–1:02:23§09Transcript · 1:02:25–1:10:22§10Transcript · 1:10:25–1:17:39§11Transcript · 1:17:41–1:24:58§12Transcript · 1:25:00–1:32:29§13Transcript · 1:32:30–1:39:51§14Transcript · 1:39:54–1:47:15§15Transcript · 1:47:18–1:54:45§16Transcript · 1:54:48–2:02:44§17Transcript · 2:02:46–2:10:30§18Transcript · 2:10:31–2:18:11§19Transcript · 2:18:13–2:26:28§20Transcript · 2:26:30–2:33:57§21Transcript · 2:33:59–2:42:03§22Transcript · 2:42:06–2:50:20§23Transcript · 2:50:23–2:58:59§24Transcript · 2:59:01–3:07:06§25Transcript · 3:07:08–3:15:18§26Transcript · 3:15:21–3:22:55§27Transcript · 3:22:58–3:30:11§28Transcript · 3:30:13–3:38:21§29Transcript · 3:38:23–3:46:59§30Transcript · 3:47:00–3:55:37§31Transcript · 3:55:40–4:04:10§32Transcript · 4:04:15–4:12:18§33Transcript · 4:12:20–4:20:35§34Transcript · 4:20:36–4:29:07§35Transcript · 4:29:09–4:38:50§36Transcript · 4:38:53–4:47:15§37Transcript · 4:47:18–4:55:35§38Transcript · 4:55:38–5:03:47§39Transcript · 5:03:48–5:11:15§40Transcript · 5:11:17–5:15:38§01Transcript · 00:00–07:56
- And the nozzle, so as you're saying,
there's a bunch of different design options,
but it's a critical part of this,
how you do that conversion.
- Just basically like how much can you convert
is really like the ultimate game.
How much pressure and heat can we convert into thrust?
Like that's really, at the end of the day,
that's what a rocket engine is.
- The following is a conversation with Tim Dodd,
host of the Everyday Astronaut YouTube channel,
where he educates and inspires all of us
with detailed but accessible explanations
of rocket engines and all things space travel.
This is a Lex Friedman podcast.
To support it, please check out our sponsors
in the description.
And now, dear friends, here's Tim Dodd.
Can you give a brief history of SpaceX rockets?
So we've got Falcon 1, Falcon 9,
there's different versions of those, Falcon Heavy,
Starship, and also the Dragon Castles and so on.
- Well, yeah, Falcon 1 is where it all started.
The original intent and the original idea of SpaceX
was Elon wanted to try to get something to Mars.
He saw that NASA didn't have a current Mars plan
and he wanted to go to Mars,
so he decided how do I best do this?
He literally wanted to, at first,
purchase a rocket from Russia.
Then after a foiled attempt at doing that,
he decided that he was gonna try to develop his own rocket.
And the Falcon 1 is what came out of that process.
And he developed a pretty incredible team.
I don't know how exactly he stumbled upon the team
that he stumbled upon that quickly,
but the people that he assembled were amazing.
And they built the Falcon 1,
which was a single Merlin engine
followed by an upper stage engine called the Kestrel engine.
Pretty small compared to the things
they're working on today,
but that Merlin engine continued to evolve
into being the power plant for the Falcon 9.
They went from a small lift launch vehicle
up into the medium class launch vehicle
so they could provide services for NASA.
That's one of the big things
they first kind of hung their hat up
was they got the opportunity to fly cargo
to the International Space Station
under originally it was called the COTS program,
the Commercial Orbital Transportation Services for NASA,
which evolved into the Commercial Resupply Contracts.
And that's when SpaceX developed both their Dragon capsule,
which is a uncrewed at first spacecraft
that can dock to the ISS and the Falcon 9 rocket
that can take it to the International Space Station.
- And the Dragon rides on,
it's the thing up top that rides on the big booster thing
that launches it into orbit.
- Exactly, yep, the Falcon 9's the semi truck,
the Dragon capsule's the payload.
It's the thing being dropped off basically at its destination
and in this case,
the destination is the International Space Station.
And yeah, so they developed those relatively quickly
and became a commercial success before you know it.
They're now the number one launch provider in the world,
launching more mass to orbit than anybody else,
launching more frequently than countries,
like the entire country of China
who's going crazy right now with launches.
Granted, China beat them by two launches this last in 2022,
but prior year, SpaceX beat the entire country of China.
I mean, it's nuts.
- And just like you said,
SpaceX still beats China even this year
in terms of the amount of payload that was done.
So all of the-- - The mass to orbit.
- Yeah, the mass to orbit, right.
That China had like 60 something, a couple more launches,
but there was just like small CubeSat type of launches.
- Exactly, some of them were literally like 100 kilograms
or something, you know, like not large payloads.
And so SpaceX customers are different,
so whoever wants to send payloads up into space.
- Yes, but right now their biggest customer
is actually themselves with Starlink.
One of the biggest reasons they've launched
so much mass to orbit is 'cause Starlink is designed
around the payload fairing and the payload capabilities
of the Falcon 9 rocket.
So, you know, because they're vertically integrated,
because they build their own satellites,
because they're building their own rocket,
they can literally design a system that's, you know,
another manufacturer might've made a more square satellite
that was heavier or something,
but SpaceX looked at it from a blank slate and said,
here's our constraints, our payload mass constraints,
our volume constraints,
and they made a funky looking satellite.
Things like the size of a, you know,
it's like a table folded up,
which isn't anything I've really ever seen before.
So, but it's purpose built to fit as efficiently as possible
inside their fairing and inside the capabilities
of that rocket.
So therefore, because they're launching those,
like an insane amount, you know, dozen, you know,
40, 50 times a year or whatever,
they're just putting up insane amounts of mass,
like we've never seen before.
- What about the different versions of Falcon 9,
so we can linger on them?
What are some interesting memories to you
of the different developments in Falcon 9?
- The very first Falcon 9s had a square array of engines.
It had like a three by three by three grid
of their Merlin one engines, the one Ds.
And I think it only lasted,
I don't remember if it was two or four flights
before they went into this OctaWOG configuration,
where there's eight, like a ring of eight engines
with a center engine in the middle.
Still in the same diameter, the rocket was,
the fuselage was more or less the same,
3.7 meter wide diameter,
but the actual thrust structure changed.
And one of the big efficiency gains was,
you no longer have, you know, a corner engine,
and then like a edge engine,
and then another corner engine.
You can just make eight of the same, you know,
kind of part of the OctaWeb, it's called,
you know, the same shape.
And then your interchangeability
and your manufacturability becomes a lot simpler.
So that was kind of one of the bigger upgrades at first.
And they kept stretching it.
Every time they like touched this thing,
it got longer and like, or taller and taller, technically.
And then the next big feature that you saw in 2014
would have been, they added landing legs
to a Falcon 9 rocket, which was,
I was at, that was the first launch I ever went to,
was actually to see, it was CRS-3,
so Commercial Resupply Mission 3,
and it was probably their,
God, I don't remember what that was,
like their 14th or 15th launch or something,
like pretty early on.
And people were literally laughing at the idea
of them putting landing legs on it.
They just thought it was stupid.
They're like, why are they wasting,
why is this billionaire Elon Musk guy wasting his time
trying to land a rocket?
It's not gonna work.
- So you said the Mars planet was there in the beginning.
What about the reusability of rockets?
Was that there in the beginning?
- I think reusability definitely, you know,
it's a necessary part of making any kind
of interplanetary mission, you know,
in order to actually do that, just financially,
you have to start reusing these things.
- In terms of the development of the Falcon 1 and Falcon 9,
how early on did the goal of reusing the rocket,
having the rocket actually land,
how early did that goal creep in?
- I can't speak for Elon and SpaceX,
but it was pretty, you know,
immediately they wanted to try to recover,
and as a matter of fact, I think the very first
two Falcon 9 rockets, and Falcon 1, I think,
they even wanted to try to recover using parachutes
to recover the first stage.
And now, fast forward, you know, almost 20 years later,
and Rocket Lab is actually doing a concept like that,
where they're pulling a parachute
after the first stage is reentering,
and they actually are trying to recover it
with a helicopter, just gonna try to snatch it
out of the air.
They've actually done it.
They've actually done it successfully once.
- How does the helicopter grab the rocket?
- With this giant, like, drag line and a hook.
- Oh, wow.
- And then it literally just, like,
grabs, snags onto the parachute.
- Wow. - And it's pretty amazing.
But this is a small rocket.
Their rocket's only about a metric ton.
The booster is empty.
- So the rocket releases parachutes, like, really high up.
I would love to see this.
- Yeah. - It's an interesting idea.
§02Transcript · 07:57–14:32
There's so many interesting ideas and possibilities.
Like, SpaceX basically just innovated
a lot of different weird ideas,
just in the pursuit of making things more efficient,
reusable, all of that.
So basically, thinking from first principles
how to solve this problem.
And so what you find is, like,
you'll get all of these kind of crazy kind of solutions.
- And with SpaceX, they weren't even getting to the point
of the booster surviving reentry long enough
to be able to pull the parachutes.
- Yeah. - You know,
their mass fractions, you know, and that varies.
Every single rocket's different.
You know, all the, you know, for instance,
Rocket Lab uses carbon composite fuselage and tanks,
or, you know, same thing.
And that's very, very lightweight,
has really good mass fractions,
and therefore their drag coefficients and things like that,
they were able to survive reentry of the first stage,
which is something that SpaceX
wasn't able to do at the time.
What's, what the, kind of the big, I think,
breakthrough for SpaceX with reusing the booster
is they realized we have to basically slow down
before we hit the atmosphere.
- Yeah. - So they actually do
what they used to call a reentry burn,
which I still think is the correct term,
'cause it is reentering the atmosphere.
But now they call it the entry burn,
and they light up three of the nine Merlin engines,
not only to slow it down,
but actually even while those engines are firing,
it creates like a literal like force field
as it's falling through the atmosphere.
- Interesting.
- But it also decreases the velocity by almost half,
or around half, and then that therefore decreases
the amount of, you know, the biggest thing
with the atmosphere is that as it gets compressed
against the front of any,
anything flying through the atmosphere,
the compressed atoms just get hot,
and they can get so hot they turn into a plasma,
and they get so hot they can just absolutely
destroy anything.
So they slow down enough that the air molecules
don't end up, you know, destroying the vehicle on reentry.
And then they realized, I think at some point,
it was probably a similar crossover,
they're like, well, if we're lighting the engines already
to slow down the atmosphere,
we can just use that same engine to land.
And so like, well, what if we just stuck landing legs on it
and just landed the thing vertically?
And next thing you know is December 21st, 2015,
they did exactly that for the first time.
- The first time.
So you were there before that then, right?
- Yeah, yeah.
- In 2014.
- Yep, early 2014.
So that, and for me, like, that was so fun watching,
you know, that was like the peak of me
just becoming obsessed with this idea.
I'm watching, with, like, and back in the day,
it was like months between launches, you know?
So a launch was like a big idea.
I'd wake up at 3 a.m. to watch this landing attempt
or whatever, you know?
Every, you know, there's CRS-4 almost landed,
CRS-5 almost landed, CRS-6, CRS-7 blew up.
I was watching that on,
I think it was like a Saturday morning
or maybe a Sunday morning.
And I remember watching that and watched it blow up.
And I was like, oh my God, now what?
You know, and it blew up on ascent.
It was their first failure.
So it was their 18th flight, I believe.
CRS-7, the upper stage, had one of the bottlers,
bottles inside the tanks that are filled with helium.
And one of those bottles broke off on ascent
and actually just completely overpressured
the upper stage.
And the upper stage blew up
and the whole rocket went kaboom in an uncontrolled manner.
And so then they came back with vengeance.
And when they came back, the first mission back
is the first time that they landed a rocket,
which was awesome.
So the return to flight after the anomaly was, yeah,
was landing a rocket.
- And stuck the landing.
- Yep, nailed it.
- Well, actually, the first time.
So the first time you were there, what was that like?
What do you remember from that day?
- Just, I was surprised at how much bigger
the rocket was than I imagined.
I was, I originally, when I was going down
to Kennedy Space Center, I was disappointed
that I wasn't seeing like a, you know,
I didn't know a ton about rockets.
I knew enough to like know what a space shuttle was,
what like the Saturn V was, you know,
but that was probably about the end of my knowledge.
I just remember being disappointed
that I wasn't seeing a big, quote unquote,
NASA rocket flying.
You know, I was thinking in my head like,
oh, I'm gonna see this launch.
It's probably gonna be like, you know,
three stories tall or something, you know,
just some little skinny little stick
and some little firecracker and yay, you know.
I think I'd almost been pitched that too.
I think the people that I was working for at the time,
I think they kind of were downplaying it as like,
well, it's not a big rocket, sir.
It's not gonna be that exciting, you know.
But we get out there to the pad and I'm like,
this thing's huge.
This is not a small rocket.
Like this is, it's, you know, it's 70 meters tall,
220 feet tall.
It's huge.
And I think people forget like the scale of that, you know.
It might look skinny and tall and all this stuff,
but it's still a very, very large piece of machinery.
It's physically about as large as you can ship.
The booster's about as big as you can ship
across the country, period,
without like completely shutting down highways.
You know, it is made within those exact specifications
of like having, you know, lane privileges
and bridges and everything.
It's, you know, 12 feet wide, 3.7 meters wide,
and it's 45 meters long.
So it's like exactly what you can fit
with a pretty standard, you know,
like before you start getting into crazy amounts
of problems shipping the rocket.
And it's huge.
It's huge.
And people just don't understand that.
And so when I saw it with my own eyes,
I remember just being like,
this is so much cooler than I thought.
- Is it hard to believe that that thing
is gonna have to lift off the ground
and launch up into the air?
Maybe that's the most humbling aspect of it.
That's something that size.
Humans have come up with a way to take something that size
and launching, launch it up into the air.
- Yeah, there's certainly a very humbling aspect
when you watch it actually leave.
- Was there a sound to it?
Was there like a feel?
What were the different experiences you first remember?
- Well, ironically,
I didn't end up getting to see that one fly.
- Oh. - I went home.
My camera saw it.
I left my camera out there,
like a remote triggered camera.
My first images as a launch photographer at the time
was CRS-3, but I went home.
It scrubbed too many times.
This is back in the day,
they were scrubbing like often,
and there'd be like a three day, five day, seven day.
You just never knew.
So I go home and I watched the live stream of it.
So I didn't even get to experience my first launch.
And anyone that's ever tried to go to a launch
can probably empathize because yeah,
scrubs are very common in the spaceflight world.
So that one, I didn't get to see.
But since then, obviously,
I've been able to attend very many launches.
- How much do you understand the control involved
in the landing?
How difficult is that problem?
- I couldn't tell you a single thing about like the code
and like the avionics behind it,
but I can tell you all the hardware that makes it happen,
if that helps.
- Well, that, I mean, to me,
it seems like whenever I talk to people,
they say it's not that big of a deal
in terms of the level of intelligence in the control.
But to me, it's just like when you observe it,
it seems incredible.
'Cause all the variables involved,
all the uncertainties involved,
§03Transcript · 14:34–21:43
all the, 'cause there's aerodynamics.
I mean, like there's different temperatures.
There's so much going on with the fuel,
the burning, the combustion,
just everything that's going on
to be able to perform control at such high stakes
effectively, like, you know,
that code is probably not written in JavaScript,
I guess is what I'm saying.
- Actually, no, I don't, if I remember,
I, again, this is well outside of my domain,
but they're coding in a common language.
It's--
- It's probably gonna be C.
- Yeah, I'm pretty sure it is.
And that was one of the things that was weird
is that Elon, when he started SpaceX,
was like, "We're just gonna code in the most common language
"so that we don't have to like have people learn
"this archaic, you know, weird thing.
"And we can just literally pull people off the streets
"and be like, here, write it."
You know, and--
- Yeah, it's probably C++.
I mean, it'd be epic if it was like Python or something,
but I don't, I think like reliable systems
have to be written in C, C++ probably,
which is a common language, which is something.
I imagine like NASA engineers would probably have to use
some kind of proprietary language in the olden days
for security, for privacy, all that kind of stuff.
- Oh, in the olden, old, old days,
like they were inventing code and language from scratch.
For sure.
- But still, it's just still incredible
that it's able to do that.
Like, just the feat of engineering involved is just,
it's truly, it's like one of the marvels to observe
about these rockets coming back to Earth
that they're able to land.
Like, the drama of it is just incredible to see.
- Yeah, well, one of the fun things to remember, too,
with, specifically with the Falcon 9 and the Falcon 9,
or Falcon Heavy boosters, I mean,
it's the same thing, basically,
they shut down all but one of the nine engines.
And even with that one engine
at its minimum throttle setting,
it's still too much thrust to hover.
So as this rocket's coming down,
if they start a little bit too early,
if they light that engine too early,
it will actually stop above the ground
and will not be able to lower itself.
It will literally stop, like, say,
I'm gonna say it stopped 200 feet above the ground,
their only option is to kill the engine,
and then it's just gonna fall those 200 feet.
So it's what we call a suicide burn or a hover slam,
kind of interchangeable terms,
because your thrust to weight ratio is never below one.
So they have to actually literally be riding the throttle.
So what you do is you kind of start,
ideally, you kind of start in the middle
of your window of throttle range.
So let's pretend your engine can throttle down to 40%
of its maximum rated thrust.
You might start at, like, 70% of thrust
in the middle of that window of where it could burn.
So if all of a sudden it's kind of coming in too hot,
you have room to throttle up.
If you're coming in too, you're actually, you know,
a little too early, you throttle it down.
You have a little bit of wiggle room.
It's just amazing how smoothly and how perfectly
they're able to still control that thing,
even though they're down to one engine out of the nine,
and they're still riding, like,
the finest margin of what's possible.
And they're continually playing with that to try to get it,
'cause every bit of fuel they're using
and propellant they're using to land
is propellant they weren't using
to put something into space.
So they want that to be as efficient as possible.
So they're really, like, watching them hone that in
and just continue to evolve and edit that
and just get it to be the workhorse.
We're coming up on 100 consecutive landings,
perfect landings, 100.
I think they've done, like, 150-something landings
altogether, 160 altogether.
But we're talking, like, in a row without blowing up,
which, you know, five years ago
was completely experimental and insane.
And now we're coming up to the point
where we're 100 in a row.
It's like, this is becoming more reliable.
And the landing, which is not the primary mission,
this is purely for SpaceX's, like, gain,
is to recover the booster.
It has nothing to do with the effect
of getting the payload on orbit, you know, most of the time.
And the landing is really only
for their benefit and their gain.
- Long-term gain.
Like, it's a long-term investment
in being able to recover the boosters.
- 100%. - Can you believe
all this was done in basically 10 years?
So we've seen this development over a period of 10 years.
- Oh, man. - So, like,
we started commercial spaceflight at scale to today,
where it's almost starting to be mundane.
- Yeah.
- What Falcon 9 is able to do.
- Yeah.
I can't really believe it.
I mean, obviously, even just in the,
I think I'm a fairly fair-weather fan,
really didn't start paying attention to, like, 2014.
- Yeah.
- And just seeing what it was like back then
to what it's like, like,
I don't watch every launch at all anymore.
Like, I'll catch the big ones.
I'll stream some of the really big ones.
But, like, back in the day, I, like I said,
would wake up in the middle of the night
to catch these streams, or, you know,
catch these launches and watch 'em,
because they were such a big deal,
and there's maybe only five of them a year, you know?
And so it was a really big deal.
Nowadays, it's like, oh, yeah,
and there's literally, like, two a week on average now.
It's insane, from SpaceX alone,
let alone, you know, United Launch Alliance, Rocket Lab,
any of the Chinese missions, you know?
I mean, all of, there's countless.
It's insane.
It's hard to, really, really, really hard to keep up with.
- I wonder at which point in the future
the number of launches to orbit
will exceed the number of launches of airplanes,
like, on the surface of Earth.
- Yeah, I have to admit, I kind of have a hard time
extrapolating out that far.
You know, there's a lot of people that are, like,
big futurists and really do think about, like,
interplanetary stuff and think about
colonizing Mars and stuff.
I have a hard time predicting, like,
when Starship's gonna fly, the orbital launch, you know?
And that's, like, imminent-ish,
like, month or two scale timeframe,
and yet I'm still, like, I can't tell you when that's gonna,
I can't tell you anything about, like,
when we're gonna land on Mars or what that's,
what that economy and what that, you know,
the scale of launch operations is gonna look like
in order to do that, because it's just so hard.
I wouldn't have predicted where we're at today
five years ago, you know?
It's insane.
It's so hard to predict, and yeah.
But it's funny, because there's so many, like,
new companies starting up trying to predict that,
and it's a really exciting, you know,
startup culture right now.
I think when you make certain engineering decisions
and hiring decisions and, like, what you focus on
in terms of both business and engineering,
it's good to think on the scale of 10, 20, 50, 100 years.
That's one of the things that Elon is exceptionally good at,
which is asking the question,
"Okay, this might seem impossible right now,
"but what's the obvious way to do this
"if we look out 20 years?"
And then you start to make decisions.
You start to make decisions about robotics,
about brain and computer interfaces,
about space travel.
They make a lot of sense when you look at the scale
of 10, 20, 50, 100 years, and don't make any sense
if you look at the scale of just months.
But, of course, the actual work of day-to-day
is focused on the next few months,
'cause there's deadlines, there's missions
they have to accomplish.
Anyway, returning back to the brief history
of SpaceX rockets, the Falcon Heavy.
So what else is there?
So we talked about Falcon 9 and the rapid development there.
What other flavors of Falcon is there,
and how does that take us to Starship?
- Yeah, realistically, the Falcon 9 evolved more or less,
kind of just got more powerful and a little bit longer
and more capable.
But nowadays they fly what's called the Block 5,
§04Transcript · 21:45–29:22
even though it's the eighth or ninth iteration
of the Falcon 9, but they call it Block 5.
It's the one that has the black landing legs,
the black interstage.
They have a fleet of roughly 10 or so
that are doing the majority of the legwork these days,
and they're flying up to 15 times, I think, right now,
as the current booster leader.
They're also recovering the fairings,
so the nose cone of the rockets are frequently,
if not every time, being recovered.
Same with the booster for the most part.
And the only thing being expended is the upper stage,
and that's kind of where the Falcon 9 is ending.
It really doesn't make sense to develop
that infrastructure any longer,
so they went with the next step,
which is go even bigger physically,
so they have more margin for upper stage reusability.
And that's what we see with Starship and Super Heavy.
So the Super Heavy booster, the whole system is confusing.
The whole system's kind of considered Starship,
but technically the Starship is just the upper stage,
which is also like the spaceship,
which is also the upper stage.
And then the booster itself
is considered the Super Heavy booster.
And that's what they've been working on.
Publicly it came out in 2016
as the, at the time it was the ITS,
the Interplanetary Transportation System.
Later, and I think about, by the end of that year,
2017 it kind of became known as the BFR,
the big Falcon rocket.
- Yes. - Yeah.
And then I think it was about end of 2018
they started calling it Starship.
But that is where we're at today,
and that's what they're working full steam ahead on.
- And what about Dragon?
We mentioned Dragon, Crew Dragon, Cargo Dragon.
- Yeah, so they went from the cargo version of Dragon
that flew about 20 times
successfully to the International Space Station,
except for that one CRS-7 where the rocket blew up
and the capsule obviously didn't make it to the ISS.
Then they went into the Dragon 2,
which has two variants.
It has a crew variant, so we just call it Crew Dragon.
And then there's the cargo version of Dragon 2.
And that's just an updated, sleeker,
sexier version of Dragon.
Ironically, it's heavier altogether,
so you'll never see those cool return to launch site landing,
the boosters coming back to land for CRS missions
anymore like we used to.
But they landed on the drone ship anyway.
And yeah, that's been flying successfully.
That's kind of the, so there's Starlink, Dragon,
Falcon 9, Falcon Heavy, and Starship system.
It's kind of the whole SpaceX world, really.
- In terms of the spaceships involved,
what to you are some of the major milestones
in that history?
We kind of mentioned a few.
- Yeah. - Stick in the landing.
Is there something that kind of stands out?
- Yeah, I would say definitely the big ones, obviously,
like any of the first, like the first flight of Falcon 1,
first flight of Falcon 9,
first time they went to the International Space Station,
the first time they landed a booster,
the first time they reused a booster,
which is, I think, about six months after.
No, it was a year after.
It was SES 10, 2017.
It was the first time they reused one of those boosters.
And that was a big milestone.
Can we even, yeah, we recovered one.
We caught one.
It's like, we got one, now what?
That was the first time they reflew one.
Yeah, then flying humans was a huge one.
DM-2, Bob and Doug for NASA.
- Bob and Doug, yeah. - Bob and Doug.
That was incredible.
That was a huge, huge step, I think,
for SpaceX was flying people.
- So it's the first major commercial
launching of humans out into space.
- Yeah, and not just into space,
'cause there's been people that have done,
space flights with suborbital hops,
but going into orbit, and especially docking
and rendezvousing with the International Space Station,
it's a big deal.
Until you really understand the physics involved
and the scale involved of just crossing the Kármán line,
going straight up, versus going into orbit,
they're just completely different things, almost.
- What about Starship?
Are we in a place where we can talk
about milestones with Starship?
Has there been, or has it just been
an epic journey of failure and successes
of testing and so on?
What would you classify at this point
as a milestone that Starship or BFR,
whatever the name is, was able to achieve?
- Well, so far, the milestones we've seen,
I'd say the first one would be the hop of,
they call it Starhopper,
and it's basically a very rudimentary rocket,
but it was the first time they utilized
their new Raptor engine to produce
thrusted to fly something.
It first flew literally three meters off the ground
or something, tethered to the ground.
Then it flew 15, and then finally it flew 150 meters.
And that was in 2019.
And that was the first big milestone of Starship.
And then after that, we saw SN5, SN6 do the similar
150 meter hops with a little bit more elegant systems,
proving out more of their tank building,
proving out more of their, a lot of just subsystems.
And then the big ones physically were,
end of 2020 and early 2021 when they flew
the SN8, 9, 10, 11, and 15.
- What does the N stand for in SN?
- I think just serial number or Starship number.
- Yeah, so SN, these are just names, numbers,
numerical representations of the different testing efforts.
They skipped some numbers, right?
- Yeah.
- If they scratch a test.
- Yeah, and lots of times it'd be like literally
that they're building, 'cause at Starbase,
what SpaceX is working on, like the one foot
is always in front of someone else's foot,
and the arm is not knowing what the leg is doing sometimes.
- Yeah.
- They will have someone working on,
they'll just be like, hurry up and build 40
of these tank sections, and you build the bulkhead,
and you build the downcomer, and you build
the header tank, blah, blah, blah.
And all of a sudden, like, oh, we actually evolved that,
we don't use that header tank now.
So it's gonna go onto this one.
So they'll have parts of certain rockets built,
and it's like, ah, literally scrap it.
Not scrap it in the joke term,
but literally just go scrap it.
And they, so yeah, they just evolve and iterate so quickly.
- There were some epic explosions.
I think Starship, something about it,
probably just the amount of fuel,
just leads to some epic, epic failures.
- Oh yeah, yeah.
- Would you say Starship is the source
of the most epic failures in terms of size of explosion?
- So you can literally measure it in like a yield
of explosive power, you know, like you could TNT.
Like you can take a look at how much propellant
is left over at the time of the explosion.
And you know, Starship, what's flown so far,
even though it's physically one
of the largest flying objects ever,
just with the upper stage alone,
they've not filled it more than like 10 or 20%
full of propellant.
And so it actually hasn't been,
the failures have been really epic looking,
big visual fireballs.
But in terms of space flight,
they're still pretty small explosions, believe it or not.
- They could still go bigger.
- Oh yeah, a lot, a lot.
- Of course, the test payload of a Tesla Roadster
was launched.
I forget what year that was.
- Yeah, that was 2018.
- That was quite epic.
Would you put that on a milestone?
- Oh yeah, yeah, Falcon Heavy demo
was like definitely a big, big, big milestone, yeah.
- Is that funny to you that there's a Roadster
floating out there?
Do we know the location of that Roadster at this point?
- Oh yeah, whereisroadster.com?
- Yeah? - Oh yeah.
- Where's, is it orbiting something?
- Yeah, it's orbiting the sun.
So it's orbiting the sun and its orbit is basically
between the Earth's orbit and beyond Mars.
So I think of like 2.5 AU if I remember right.
So it's beyond Mars' orbit at its highest point
and it's back at Earth, kind of at its lowest point.
- I wonder if there's a mission where you're going to
somehow connect with it once again
§05Transcript · 29:23–36:59
and like place extra things into it.
I wonder how challenging that is technically.
- Oh yeah, it could absolutely be done.
The hard thing at this point,
because it's on an eccentric orbit,
would be rendezvousing with it
'cause you kind of have to be in alignment with its orbit
to really line up well with it.
But yeah, I mean, someday I don't see any reason
why we couldn't at least send for sure an uncrewed,
you know, if Elon wanted to just fly a robot out there
to check up on it and photograph it or something.
Like we could, that could be well
within the realm of things.
- Get an Optimus robot up there.
So that was the story brilliantly told by you
of the rockets for SpaceX.
What about through the lens of engines?
Can you give a brief history of the SpaceX rocket engines
that were used that we haven't covered?
So you mentioned it all started with the Merlin engine
and the Kestrel engine.
What, yeah, through that lens, what's there?
- Engines are relatively small number,
which is easy for us.
There's the Merlin, and Merlin's evolved throughout time
to be from like the Merlin to the Merlin 1C
to the Merlin 1D to the Merlin 1D full thrust
and all these other kind of tweaks of the same architecture.
Kestrel ended with Falcon 1.
They also have the Merlin vacuum engine,
which is the upper stage engine for Falcon 9.
Same relative system, but just optimized for vacuum.
So it has a much larger bell nozzle.
There's the Draco thrusters,
which you kind of can consider engines.
Well, they are rocket engines, but they're just small.
They're not like the orbital engines.
There's the Super Draco engines,
which are the abort thrusters on Crew Dragon capsule.
And then nowadays they have the Raptor engine
and the Raptor vacuum variant,
but they've already had two versions of Raptor.
We've already seen kind of the Raptor development engine.
We've kind of seen like a Raptor 1.5,
where it's kind of taking hints of the future Raptor,
but now we're well within what you'd consider
a Raptor 2 variant.
And that's really it.
- Yeah, for the Raptor.
Maybe I'll ask you that separately,
but I like in general, and people,
who doesn't know who Everyday Astronaut is,
but if you don't somehow know,
go check your YouTube channel out.
You're an incredible educator about the super technical
and the more sort of, even the philosophical,
the actual space travel.
So you go down to the raw details of it,
and there's just great videos on the Raptor engine.
I think you have one on Merlin,
and also the actual tours with Elon,
where he discusses some of those things.
On one of the tours, he says,
he's full of good lines, that guy.
He says something about the number of fiddly bits,
and he's, the number of fiddly bits was decreased
between Raptor 2 and Raptor 1.
And I think that's actually a really beautiful representation
of the engineering efforts there,
which is constantly trying to simplify.
Increase the efficiency of the engines,
but also simplify the design so you can manufacture it.
And in general, simplification leads to better performance
and testing and everything.
So the number of fiddly bits,
I'm sure there's a Wikipedia page on that now,
as an index, is actually a really good one.
- Well, and when you think about it,
I don't know of any other company prior
that had kind of tried to measure
their performance of their engine,
not in thrust to weight ratio,
or how efficient it is in specific impulse,
but literally in dollar to thrust ratio.
How much does this engine cost?
How much thrust can it produce?
And using that as a trade study,
instead of just pure metrics of,
'cause at the end of the day,
okay, if it's cheaper and does X amount of work,
even if it's less efficient,
it can actually be better long-term.
- And so I guess another way, it's not even just thrust.
I don't know if that metric is used,
but basically the cost of getting one kilogram
of thing up into space.
That's basically what they're trying to minimize.
- Especially, yeah.
At the end of the day,
that is definitely the ultimate metric,
is how much does one kilogram cost to orbit, eventually?
But it's so funny,
'cause spaceflight is just the ultimate,
it's the ultimate compromise.
Every little thing,
any variable can just change everything else.
So you can tweak so many different things
to get to different numbers and conclusions.
But even things like on your first stage,
when the rocket's pointing straight up
and the engines are pointing straight down,
you're dealing more with the thrust to weight ratio
of the rocket.
So how much thrust is it producing
versus how much is gravity pulling down on it
is actually a more important metric
than how raw efficient the engine is.
So it's funny.
Then in space, it's kind of the opposite.
Thrust to weight ratio doesn't really matter.
What really matters is the actual,
the specific impulse, let's call it,
or the nozzle escape velocity,
or the injection velocity of how fast is the gas moving.
It's the more important number on orbit.
But it's just so crazy,
'cause there's all these,
I would just love to see the trade studies,
when you're trying to figure out,
is this more important than this, or this, or this?
And it's like, you change this one little thing,
and all of a sudden,
all the, everything changes.
It's just, even the profile,
like the launch profile, the trajectory of it,
I mean, everything.
Everything.
- I wonder what that trade-out discussions are like,
'cause you can't really perfectly plan everything.
So, and you always have to have some spare leeway,
especially as you're testing new vehicles, like Starship.
- Yeah, margins are important.
- Yeah, having a margin,
given all the uncertainty that's there.
That's really interesting,
like how they do those kinds of trade-outs,
'cause they're also rapidly designing,
and redesigning, and re-engineering.
And the, ultimately, you wanna give yourself the freedom
to constantly innovate,
but then, through the process of testing,
you solidify the thing that can be relied upon,
especially if it's a crewed mission.
- Yeah, yeah.
- How to do that in a rapid cycle.
- I remember at some point,
that NASA, as they're leading up to flying humans
for the first time for NASA,
you know, there's some talk that like,
we're gonna do a design freeze,
because SpaceX does evolve and iterate so quickly.
You know, they were saying that it was leading,
'cause especially at the time,
it was a mission called Amos 6,
and they lost a rocket.
They've only lost two rockets, like ever, really,
as far as, you know, trying to get something to space,
for the Falcon 9, sorry.
And the second one, Amos 6, I mean, that was back in 2016,
so it's been a long time.
But at the time, you know,
they're looking at flying humans in the near future.
And it's like, if you guys keep tweaking this thing
every time you take it out to the pad,
well, there's gonna be a problem, you know?
And so there is some pressure from NASA
to kind of slow down on that iterative process.
And, but that is also why they were able to evolve
the Falcon 9 to be what it is today,
is because they did just evolve it so quickly.
Literally like one after another was never really the same.
And we're definitely seeing that with Starship now.
Like it's evolved so quickly
that you just can't even keep up with it, you know?
- So there's a fascinating culture clash there.
Have you just, in observing and interacting with NASA folks,
seen them sort of grow and change and evolve themselves,
sort of inspired by this new developments
in commercial space flight?
- Oh yeah, yeah, yeah.
There's a lot of, especially like around DM-2,
there's a lot of talks in the press conferences and stuff
where you'd hear people say, you know,
this was a big, this is well outside of our comfort zone
to work with SpaceX in this manner,
because we take this approach to things,
we're X, Y, and Z in this way,
the way we normally certify things.
And we're not used to SpaceX like,
§06Transcript · 37:01–44:59
well, let's just try it, you know,
and do something, you know, to a point.
And so they said it ended up being fantastic.
They loved working that way because it was just
less paperwork almost and more just do.
And, but at the same time, SpaceX, I think even expressed,
I don't remember if it was Hans Koenigsmann
or someone in a press conference said,
well, we really liked having someone just double check us
so that we're not doing something super stupid
right before we test something, you know.
So there was a cool collaboration
because it is two very different philosophies
of development and managing, you know, space programs.
- I wanted to talk to you a lot about engines
and maybe about Starship and maybe about your own
becoming an actual astronaut, but like,
let's just go there before all that
and talk about the actual culture of SpaceX.
And your conversations with Elon,
you've toured SpaceX facilities with him,
you've interviewed him, you've interacted with him.
What have you learned about rockets, about propulsion,
about engineering, about design,
about life from those interactions?
He's pretty transparent, open human being as an engineer,
as a leader, as a person.
- I would definitely say the biggest takeaway I've had
from my times with Elon at SpaceX is,
like, the idea of questioning your constraints,
he says that a lot, but he also does it a lot.
There'll be times where like,
you'll see him change on a dime
because he's like rethinking of something
in a new or different way.
And for me, you know,
I think we all put constraints on ourselves.
We think about our own limits, you know,
on things that we can or cannot do.
And I think it's made me kind of question,
like, well, why did I say, no, I can't do that?
Or, you know, just off the top of my head.
A good example.
So in Iowa, I live in Iowa,
or half the time or whatever,
there's a bike ride across the state of Iowa called Rag Bry.
And every year you just, you know,
like thousands of people get together
and they ride across Iowa.
And it was last summer, I met up with some friends,
and they're like, hey, do you wanna go on Rag Bry this year?
I'm like, it's like a week away.
They're like, yeah, you wanna go?
I'm like, yeah.
And so I did, you know, without,
and it was one of those moments where I was proud of myself,
'cause it's like, it's easy to just be like, no,
you know, I'm not ready, or this is my constraint.
It's like, I'm not in shape.
But like, just question that, you know?
And so I think when it comes down
to questioning your own constraints,
it's yes, even to that level of like,
why do you question yourself on what you can and cannot do?
- So that's for your personal life is really powerful,
but a little bit more intuitive.
I think what's really hard is to question constraints
in a place like aeronautics or robotics
or autonomous vehicles or vehicles,
because there's people, there's experts everywhere
that have done it for decades.
And everyone admires those experts
and respects those experts.
And for you to step into a room,
knowing not much more than just
what's in a Wikipedia article,
and to just use your intuition
and first principles thinking to disagree with the experts,
that takes some guts, I think.
- Well, and you can't have everyone doing that either.
You know, like there has to be some humility
of knowing that something is a hardened concept
and a hardened, you know, like especially,
I'm not an engineer.
I don't do this stuff, you know?
But I can imagine you sitting there
having spent six years on a type of valve
that perfectly manages cryogenic propellants or whatever,
and someone walks in and says,
why don't you just put a heater element in there?
You know, or something that's, you know,
something like, because, you know,
we've done that 40 times or whatever, you know,
like I'm sure there are things like that
that are very frustrating,
but see, so I don't know what that's like, you know?
- The thing is, with the experts,
they're always going to be frustrated
when the newbie comes in
with their first principles thinking,
but sometimes that frustration is justified,
and sometimes it's not.
Sometimes it's just stubbornness
for failing to acknowledge a better way.
And I've seen it both directions,
so which is really interesting.
So you need both, but that tension's always going to be there
and there has to be almost like a dictatorial imperative
that breaks through the expertise
of the way things have been done in the past
to push forward like a new way of doing it.
And Elon's done that.
I've seen a lot of great engineers do that.
I've seen in the machine learning world,
because there's been so much development,
I've seen that happen.
Usually when there's like rapid development
that starts to come into play.
And yeah, and I've seen that autonomous vehicle space,
brain-computer interfaces that Elon has evolved with,
all of it.
It's kind of fascinating to watch.
What about the actual design and engineering of the engines?
Since you've learned about so many different kinds of engines
over the past few years,
just like what stands out to you
about the way that engineering is done at SpaceX
or that Elon does engineering?
- The hardest thing to kind of remember
is like how much stuff was developed in the '50s and '60s.
You know, the concepts finally being utilized today
were already literally done in the '60s.
So a lot of the things that SpaceX is doing
isn't a novel concept per se.
Like for instance, the Raptor engine
utilizes the full flow stage combustion cycle engine.
And that was already developed by the Soviets in the '60s
for an engine called the RD-270.
And it makes sense.
Like on paper, 100% it makes sense
because you're basically extracting
the absolute maximum potential of the chemical energy
in both propellants.
And at the end of the day,
like you have to be dumb enough to say,
we're gonna try using this thing
'cause it's actually really complicated
to do what they're doing.
But at the same time, so are rockets.
Like rocket engines are already stupid complicated.
So adding 10, 20% more pain in the butt during the R&D,
if it's in the long, long, long 20, 30 year existence
or whatever, like future of that engine,
is that gonna be worth it?
Obviously SpaceX said, yeah,
I think we can actually develop this Raptor engine.
So it's just interesting to see the things
that have been looked at, or even reusability.
You know, like the space shuttle was reusable.
It was fully, the upper stage, the shuttle itself,
the orbiter was, I mean, that thing was,
for all intents and purposes, a reusable rocket.
Now, did it live up to its expectations?
Not necessarily.
So it left a lot of bad taste in people's mouth
on the ideas of reusability.
So for SpaceX to kind of come back into the room
and on the table and say,
we're gonna use a reusable rocket.
Specifically, we're gonna do a fully reusable rocket.
You know, a lot of people are, even still today,
a lot of people are going,
yeah, you're not gonna be able to do that.
- Even today. - Even today.
- So like long-term, you're not gonna be able
to reuse at scale.
- Yeah, but definitely, I think the number of people
that are saying that today is a small portion
of those that were saying that type of thing five years ago.
You know, when Elon did that announcement in 2016
for the ITS, it was very, very aspirational,
and people were just like, yeah, right.
You know, and there was a large number of people
that had the factual reasons to think that and do that.
You know, at the time, they'd only landed
like two rockets or something, you know,
when they did that, or maybe three.
It was a very small number.
When they announced that, actually, they had just lost,
a couple months prior, they just lost a MO6.
So they were still this young, blossoming company,
and to come in and be like, we've figured out reusability,
and now we're gonna go full-scale
and make the world's biggest, most heaviest,
most powerful rocket ever,
and we're going to fully reuse it,
and it's gonna go to Mars, was just pretty out there.
Like, it really was, and, you know,
it's all about perspective, but now, again,
we're coming up on 100 consecutive landings
§07Transcript · 45:02–53:53
of an orbital-class rocket that's, you know,
45 meters tall, 3.7 meters wide.
Like, this thing is huge, weighs 20 metric tons,
even empty, when it's landing.
That thing's already huge, so seeing the success of that,
I think people are now more like, well, okay,
maybe there is actually the opportunity
to be fully reusable.
That's definitely probably the biggest constraint
that I think has been questioned, that is--
- The reusability. - Yep.
- And then, of course, like, the broader one of cost,
of bringing down costs, that you're able to kind of
bring down costs so much,
that something like colonizing Mars,
or mini-trips to Mars would be a possibility.
- Yeah. - People don't even,
it seems so far out that they don't even have time
or give effort to questioning it.
- Yeah. - But it's the implied
questioning, can you really do that many launches?
- Actually do it. - Can you actually do it?
Yeah. - It's looking,
I think it's one of those things where you look at the curve.
You look at like, 10 years ago, that was ridiculous.
Following this curve, if SpaceX goes from,
two years ago launching, I don't remember what it was,
40 times to 60 times to 100 times this year,
is their amount, and if we just keep extrapolating that out,
if they, maybe not that exponential,
maybe it goes more linear or whatever,
what's 20, 30 years?
The amount of stuff we can put on orbit
and the potential we have to do things, absolutely.
Now I don't wanna put a time frame,
yeah, I think, but you gotta think,
we're increasing the number of launches,
we're increasing the amount of things in space,
we're increasing the amount of payload on orbit.
That's probably not going to decrease anytime soon,
and therefore, eventually, the idea of going to Mars
is absolutely reasonable.
- Let me ask a difficult question
that needs to be asked here. (chuckles)
Can SpaceX continue its successes without Elon?
This long-term mission to Mars.
I think the discussion about Tesla and autopilot
or robotics or a neural link with brain-computer interfaces
is a question wholly separate from the SpaceX question,
because there's a lot of other competitors doing
some different but amazing engineering that Tesla is doing,
in both autonomous vehicles, semi-autonomy or full autonomy,
and obviously in vehicle design and electric vehicles.
There's a lot of people that are doing
incredible brain-computer interfaces.
But while there is a lot of competitors to SpaceX,
and we'll talk about many of them,
they're doing amazing work,
it seems like he's really driving progress here
over the past 10 years.
What do you think about that?
- Okay, the first thing I think to remind people
is just how many brilliant people do work
at each of these companies, obviously.
Elon's had some of the best teams assembled ever,
just incredible people.
He knows this.
He will gladly tell people, and he says it often,
the amazing people, the amazing teams here.
So it is important to remember that.
That being said, there is something to Elon's
just super far forward,
not taking no for an answer on things approach.
Almost to his dismay, I think,
he is afraid of the sunk cost fallacy so much
that it almost gets to the border of being,
throw out everything before it's even,
we've known it or not, but at the same time,
it moves the needle so fast, so far.
So as far as the question of would SpaceX continue
to succeeding and be able to ultimately go to Mars
without Elon, the Mars thing, I think,
would probably be hard to uphold without,
I think a lot of that drive for Mars is from Elon.
It is maybe too fantastical for the average person
and the average employee and maybe the average CEO
that might step in to have a company's mission
be to go to Mars.
- Or even governments, clearly, because like you said,
the Mars plan was non-existent for NASA.
- Yeah, still really, there isn't much.
So I think if--
- How many people, and sorry to interrupt,
how many people are talking about it's obvious
that we need to become multi-planetary?
- Right, there's not, there's the Mars Society.
- Like serious leaders of engineering efforts
or nations and so on.
Which it does seem, if you think about it,
that it's obvious.
- Yeah, and the grand eventuality, it is obvious.
Of human civilization, this whole human experiment
we have here, we should be expanding out into the cosmos.
- 100%.
So I think the big mission, if we're measuring SpaceX's
success on getting to Mars or not,
I think they'd have a really hard time
continuing to fulfill that drive without Elon at the helm.
Now, I think there's a certain balance and beauty of Elon,
specifically when it was Tesla and SpaceX,
where Elon will go in, have mild tornadoes
around the factory and the engineering,
and mix everything up, and things get sometimes
just totally thrown together.
And totally just get it done, just to get it done
and start moving in that direction.
And then he'll leave and go do that same thing
at SpaceX or Tesla, vice versa.
And then there's a little bit of a calm
where people come back in and they fill in those gaps.
I think that's always been a pretty healthy thing,
honestly, is I think if he is too focused on any one thing,
it almost is like he'll spin too much.
- Too many tornadoes.
- Yeah, too many tornadoes.
And I think it could almost be,
you need someone to come back in and backfill almost.
'Cause I've heard definitely stories of,
probably a good example would be last,
last, what was that, last year or two years ago?
2022, yeah.
Was that, yeah.
Or no.
In 2021, they did the first full stack
of the Starship Super Heavy.
And they called it the big surge.
All of a sudden thousands of SpaceX employees
came down to Starbase and they just started building
like you wouldn't freaking believe.
I mean, it's just things going crazy.
BP, it was actually in the middle,
that first interview I did with him
was in the middle of that surge.
There was commotion like you wouldn't believe.
You couldn't hardly talk
because there's just so much going on.
People just welding and blah, blah, blah.
Everything they did during that period was basically scrapped
'cause it was just not done very well.
But they got a fully stacked Starship rocket
out on their launch pad.
I think at some point you kind of have to
stabilize some things enough and just say like,
this is what we're doing to catalyze some things
and say, now do this.
It's almost like do it for fake, now do it for real almost.
It's funny 'cause through that time,
'cause I had a lot, a lot of conversation with him.
I think that process was hugely stressful.
There was a sense, I don't know where that sense is today,
but there's a sense that Starship
is going to be very hard to pull off.
- Yeah, that's still--
- Borderline impossible to pull off.
And that was really weighing heavy on him
and the team and everybody.
So to have this chaos of development is fascinating.
- Yeah, big time.
And I think they really had to push.
If they hadn't done that,
if they hadn't done that big push,
we might only be now seeing a rocket stacked
for the first time.
It might be a lot more finished rocket,
a lot more high fidelity,
a lot more flight worthy rocket finished and stacked,
but, and they might not have to walk stuff backwards,
but at the same time, like you do have to,
in this world, you do have to push really hard
to make rapid iteration and rapid change in progress.
So it's interesting, I don't know.
- So lingering on that, another question
I really should ask you because of,
you've seen, you've been in awe of the amazing development
of space travel technology over the past few years.
What do you think about Elon buying Twitter?
So in this perfect balance,
optimized reallocation of tornadoes
throughout the various efforts in human civilization,
do you think, do you worry about his involvement on Twitter?
- I mean, personally, I just,
I see that as a lot less important than,
and personally for me, inspirational than Starship
and the work done at SpaceX and Tesla.
To me, those were two very impactful
and really, really just generally like,
uniting, like something to rally around,
get excited about, rally,
and just like a future to look forward to.
The idea of we're gonna be building
§08Transcript · 53:56–1:02:23
the world's most powerful, biggest rocket ever,
and it's eventually gonna be able to get humans on Mars
for the first time.
And we're gonna transition the world
into fully sustainable, awesome,
just totally badass cars that do all these cool things.
To me, those were like, that brought a sense of unity
and a sense of like, we can do this.
Personally, I just don't think that a social media,
no matter what it is, I don't see that in a social media.
And I don't see any sort of politicking as ever,
anything that's really ever a uniting thing.
- I understand that, I totally agree with you,
especially with space, how inspiring it is.
I have to push back, I do think the impact of social media,
the basic level of meaningful connections
of this collective intelligence
that we call human civilization
through the medium of digital communication,
which is social media, I think that can have a huge impact.
It could be the very vehicle that increases the inspiration
that SpaceX does and all different.
The thing I've criticized them a bunch for
is like, why bring politics into this?
So the political divisions that we see on Twitter,
feeding them is tricky.
It's tricky to sort of understand
what is the value of that,
what is the contribution of that
to this whole effort we've got going on.
So that's been a big challenge.
But that said, again, this tornado,
the number of tornadoes in social media,
I think is really important,
because social media has such a huge impact
on us as a society.
And to have a transparent, have a bit of turmoil,
it's like Tom Waits says,
I like my town with a bit of drop of poison,
with a little drop of poison.
So a little bit of that to shake things up,
I think might be really healthy.
I just worry about the long-term impact
on the whole Mars project through that.
But you know what?
This life, one of the reasons it's fun
is through the chaos,
none of us know how it's gonna turn out.
And hopefully we try to help each other
to make sure it turns out well.
- And this really isn't like anything
about my personal politics or anything like that,
but really just generally,
any of my friends that are like,
the first thing you hear about them in their day
is something that happened in politics
or something that some world leader's doing or not doing
or saying and not saying.
I just don't find that to be the most important thing,
really.
I know that obviously that can affect a lot of people,
that has big real-world consequences, politics do.
Well, I just, and this is just me,
I'm such a come-together, cheerio kind of guy,
that I just really think you need something bigger
than bickering about what people said and did
and what they voted on and all this stuff
to really push humanity forward.
I know that politics and by extracting that,
social media can affect things like space flight
and even our planetary defense,
being able to defend ourselves against asteroids.
If politics has their way and everything goes to crap
and we don't even get to,
yeah, we're not gonna be able to continue space flight
and things like that.
But I don't know, I just think there's better ways to do it
and more uniting ways to do it
than what feels like immature name-calling sometimes.
- Yeah, I think the political bickering
that most people talk about
that's on top of most people's minds
is the thing that'll be completely forgotten by history.
It has actually very little impact.
Yes, politics matters, but like 1% of it.
I think most of it is just political bickering,
the push and pull of the red team and the blue team
and then the news media
that feeds off the division for the attention.
And it's just like a fun athletic event almost
with the blue team and the red team.
So that you kind of have to have
a historical perspective on it.
Most things will not really have a significant impact.
And we should focus on development of science,
technology, engineering,
which is the thing that grows the pie.
- 100%.
- This is what the economists know well.
Just the innovation, the engineering,
that's what actually makes everybody richer.
This kind of political bickering is just eating the pie.
- And not just richer, but it improves their lives.
We can look at every modern technology
that is bestowed upon us today,
air conditioning, electricity, internet access,
fresh, clean water, running water, blah, blah, blah.
100 years ago, so many of the things that I listed
either didn't exist or were only accessible
by the ultra wealthy.
And it's through the innovation of technology
and engineering and education that we're able to have it be
that even someone below the poverty line
in the most of the developed world
will have a good number of those things in their life.
And that's just continuing to increase
and continue to get better.
So I think, yeah, to me that's in the grand scheme
more important, but to each their own.
- Speaking of amazing technological development,
you have a few videos on this,
but how does a rocket engine work?
You're wearing some of the instruction manuals,
but for one type of it, like what's the fuel?
What are the types of different rockets
that you can kind of give an overview?
- Yeah, ultimately a rocket engine converts
high pressure and heat into kinetic energy.
Like that's the only real job of a rocket engine
is to take a high pressure gas, hot high pressure gas,
very energized, there's a lot of energy involved,
and then literally turning that into molecules
shooting in one direction into kinetic energy.
So yeah, what you do basically,
I mean, the simplest version of it is of course,
like famously a balloon.
You take a balloon, you fill it up with air,
you've got a pressure, you let go of it,
some of the air shoots out in a general direction-ish,
you converted that pressure into kinetic energy.
Now, if you start scaling that up,
you can continue to do something like that,
like cold gas thruster would be kind of the most simple
and easiest rocket engine to make,
would be a cold gas thruster.
And all that is you literally just take air
or specifically nitrogen,
'cause it's a little bit more dense than all the others,
or it's the majority of our atmosphere.
You can, or sorry, it's more sparse.
You can condense that down,
sort a really high pressure bottle,
and then just literally shoot it through
what's called a DeLaval nozzle,
which is something that chokes the flow a little bit,
gets it to be, takes it and gets it into supersonic speeds.
Once it's at supersonic speed,
you actually can't choke it down anymore.
You'll just constrict the flow of mass flow,
you'll constrict the airflow.
So you actually go opposite, you start making it wider.
And once it's already at supersonic speeds,
if you expand it and make it wider,
it actually gets faster and faster.
So at first, when it's subsonic gas,
you start shrinking, you constrict the flow,
it's actually speeding up, just like a highway.
If you go from, or any of these examples,
like a water hose, if you pinch it down
and you wanna flow the same amount of water
from point A to point B through a smaller pipe,
you can flow more water, the same amount of water
from point A to point B with a smaller pipe,
it just has to go faster.
So obviously you can constrict it,
but at some point you actually get to a physical limitation
and that happens to be the speed of sound.
Once it gets to the local speed of sound,
you can then actually do the opposite.
You actually expand it back out
and you're continuing to convert the pressure
into velocity at that point, but it's now supersonic.
And what's interesting is while you're doing that,
you're actually cooling it down too.
Each bit of that pipe that you're making wider
and wider and wider, you're cooling down.
So the more heat energy you have to work with,
the more work you can actually do.
So at some point, a hot high pressure rocket engine
is the best source of,
that's the ultimate amount of work you can do.
- And the nozzle, so as you're saying,
there's a bunch of different design options,
but it's a critical part of this,
how you do that conversion.
- It's basically like how much can you convert
is really the ultimate game.
How much pressure and heat can we convert into thrust?
Really at the end of the day,
that's what a rocket engine is.
§09Transcript · 1:02:25–1:10:22
So you have to have a powerful enough rocket engine
to actually lift the rocket and,
well, a rocket is mostly just fuel.
It's like 90 plus percent just the weight of fuel.
So you just have to lift the fuel
that's going to take it into orbit.
- And that's the thing specifically for rockets,
you're just saying generally rocket engines,
but for the task of going to orbit,
you're fighting gravity, Earth gravity,
which is fundamentally different than moon gravity
or Mars gravity, or like you said,
traveling out into space,
Earth has a pretty intense gravity to overcome.
- We're lucky, 'cause I think if it was 10% either way,
like 10% harder, it'd be like, ugh, we could still do it.
We'd still, with our current technology,
we'd still be able to get stuff into orbit,
but man, things like reusability and this commercialization,
the success that we've seen in the last 10 years,
we'd just be on too thin a margins, I think.
10% easier and we would have been like,
I mean, it's just like totally different.
It's so much easier.
It's like this big sliding scale
and 10% in either direction,
we'd be either screwed or really happy,
as far as getting into space.
So it's just hard enough that things like fully reusable
becomes very, very, very difficult.
I think it's completely achievable.
We have all the pieces to make it achievable.
It does not disobey any laws of physics.
It does not disobey any, there's no hard stops.
It's just very, very, very hard.
And so ultimately, yeah,
on Earth for the first bit of launch,
again, when the rocket's pointing straight up
and the engines are pointing straight down,
pointing end up flaming down, you're fighting gravity.
And so that's kind of your biggest enemy
outside of the Earth's atmosphere too.
- So what kind of sources of fuel is there?
So there's chemical rockets, liquid, solid, gas, hybrid.
There's electric.
So what are the kinds of fuels we're talking about?
What are oxidizers?
What, can you just explain your shirt, I guess?
(laughing)
- Yeah.
Components of the shirt.
- So really, I mean, fuels, there's kind of two terms.
Well, you'll generally hear the word propellant being used.
It's anything that is used to propel a spacecraft
or used in a rocket engine.
So you have to have, you can have a fuel.
You have to have a fuel, you have to have an oxidizer,
and you have to have a spark
to actually get those things burning.
And that's just a general law of like the universe.
You have to have fuel, an oxidizer, and a spark.
Now, some fuels will by themselves spark,
like hypergolic fuels, but ultimately you're always left
with some kind of fuel oxidizer and a spark.
So the general ones used most often in rockets,
liquid oxygen is kind of the king of,
well, there's better oxidizers,
but they're extremely, extremely hard to work with,
like fluorine, but generally liquid oxygen.
So you just chill oxygen down to its liquid state,
minus 183 degrees Celsius.
So it can be dense enough to store in tanks.
You know, it's a thousand times more dense
when it's in a liquid than it is as a gas.
RP-1, which is basically kerosene, is a very common fuel.
Another common fuel nowadays is methane, liquid methane.
Liquid hydrogen is another, it's the most efficient,
potential for the most efficient,
since it's one of the lightest molecules.
- So I think, correct me if I'm wrong,
but Falcon 9 uses kerosene,
and then Starship uses methane, liquid methane?
- Yep, for fuel, and they both use liquid oxygen
for their oxidizer.
- For their oxidizer, okay.
- Yep.
But then, you know, if you get into hypergolics,
you'll normally have nitrogen tetroxide,
which is your oxidizer,
and some form of hydrazine for your fuel.
There's solid rocket propellants,
like solid rocket boosters,
and those are actually premixed.
Your oxidizer is inherently, like, baked,
literally, like, kind of baked into the sludge of fuel.
- So, like, for SpaceX, it's all chemical, liquid fuels.
- Yep, yep.
- So how many solid-based fuels are there?
Is that, are they still being used today,
or is there most rockets?
- Yeah, and the United States really is the only ones that,
well, the only ones, I guess, early on,
'cause it was really just the Soviet Union
versus the United States.
The United States started to use solids pretty early on.
They're simple and easy, but these days, like,
you know, you'll still see 'em kind of as,
traditionally, like, boosters.
Like, they're used to just help get something
off the ground or help give it a little extra boost.
So the Space Shuttle famously had those two huge,
white solid rocket boosters attached
to the orange fuel tank.
Those are solid rocket propellants.
Things like the Atlas V can have up to five
smaller solid rocket boosters.
There's very few rockets that use a pure,
at least these days, that use a pure solid rocket motor
for its first stage.
There still are, especially in China.
There's a lot of startup rocket companies
that kind of use just missile technology.
You know, they might use, like,
there might just be a variant of an ICBM
that just use solid rocket fuel,
'cause it is very, relatively easy to develop.
You know, model rockets use solid rocket motors
and stuff like that.
So they're still around, but they're just not as elegant
and not as, yeah, not as used these days, I'd say.
- So what are rocket engine cycles?
Getting, I think, getting more towards your shirt question.
You have a really good video called,
that, I mean, a lot of your videos
that are technical are just exceptionally well done.
So I just, I think you deserve all the props you get.
I mean, thank you for doing this work.
Really, really, really, really well done.
So it's called Rocket Engine Cycles,
How Do You Power a Rocket Engine?
And you go through all the different options.
Is there something you could say about open cycle,
closed cycle, full flow, all the different variants
that you can use words to explain?
- Yeah, without all the pretty pictures.
- Yeah, without the pretty pictures.
- So ultimately, like we said, your ultimate goal
is you want to get heat and pressure into an engine.
So obviously at some point,
you can either make really thick tanks of your rocket.
You can get it so thick that you store the propellants
in really, really high pressures.
But obviously that doesn't scale very well.
At some point, your rocket's so heavy,
you can't even leave the ground,
or it's just so much of your mass
is just literally the walls of the rocket.
So at some point, people realize,
hey, we could actually just pump the fuels
and the oxidizer into the engine at a high pressure
and increase the pressure through a pump.
Now obviously a pump's going to require energy.
You have to get that energy from somewhere.
And again, at some point people were like,
well, rockets are, there's already rocket fuel here.
We'll just use some of the energy from the rocket fuel
to spin these pumps.
So that would be considered like open cycle,
closed cycle, full flow stage combustion cycle
are ways to tap into the propellant.
Actually, and then there's tap off, expander cycle.
I mean, all of them kind of do the same thing,
but you end up at some point spinning a turbine.
You know, a turbine can take some of the heat energy
and the pressure of an engine,
and then that can be connected to a shaft to pumps.
And those pumps can increase the pressure of the propellants
and force it into the combustion chamber.
Now, the difference between open cycle,
closed cycle, full flow, all those,
is what happens after the gas has flown through the turbine.
So after you've used the turbine and spun up the energy,
you know, spun up the engine, what happens to that gas?
So in an open cycle engine,
you basically have like a separate small rocket engine
in a sense, it's a gas generator, they call it.
And that will be used to create some of, you know,
take a little, we'll say 10% of your,
the propellant flowing to the engine.
Instead you reroute it to like a smaller rocket engine
called the gas generator.
You point that at your turbine
and that will spin your turbine up to, you know,
ridiculous speeds, 30,000 plus RPM.
And then after it spins, it's wasted most of its energy,
you know, and it's just dumped overboard.
That would be open cycle.
You're not worrying about it after that point,
but you are left with a lot of unburnt, you know,
unused fuel, a good amount of that fuel is just completely,
§10Transcript · 1:10:25–1:17:39
and especially because the turbine,
you have to keep it from melting.
So you can't run it at like optimal ratios,
not necessarily stoichiometric.
In a rocket engine, you actually don't want it
to be near stoichiometric,
where you're releasing all the energy.
You actually wanna release,
you actually wanna be throwing out the lighter molecules
so it can be shot out faster generally in the engine.
So, but in order to have a turbine survive,
you have to actually cool,
you have to have the gas going through it.
It can't be stupid, stupid hotter
or else they're just gonna melt your turbine.
So they normally, especially in the open cycle,
you just run it really fuel rich.
So there's a lot of extra fuel being pumped into it
that will keep the temperatures at a reasonable,
you know, at a reasonable temperature.
So you end up with this like dark sooty smoke
pouring out of that gas generator.
That's just unburnt fuel, it's just wasted fuel.
It never got a chance to be used.
- Oh, interesting.
- You know, like in the combustion chamber,
it's not being used to propel the rocket.
You know, it's just being used to cool down the propellant
that's being used to spin the turbine,
that's being used to spin the pumps
to push a lot of propellant into the engine.
So, you know, it doesn't take too long
before you're a greedy rocket scientist
being like, look at all this wasted propellant,
all this potential energy that's just literally
being spewed out the side of the rocket.
So that's where the closed cycle comes in.
So now we have to get that propellant,
take it from basically what was being wasted
through the turbine, and you're gonna try
pumping it back into the engine.
Now you don't literally just pump that gas
into the engine, 'cause it's actually way too low
of pressure compared to the main combustion chamber.
By that point, by the time it's gone through the turbine,
it's lost most of its pressure and heat to the turbine.
So if you tried pumping it into the engine,
you know, just taking that pipe and sticking it
right into the combustion chamber,
that much higher pressure, hotter combustion chamber
would just go backwards, and it'd stall out the engine,
and it'd blow up the engine, and whatever, what have you.
So what they actually do is they normally will send,
there might be some variations of this,
but the general concept is you actually flow
all of your fuel or all of your oxidizer
through the turbine.
So that would be closed cycle.
So there's fuel-rich closed cycle,
which would be you're flowing all of the fuel
through the turbine, or there's oxidizer closed cycle,
which is where you're flowing all of the oxidizer
that's going into the engine through the turbine.
Now the trick here is you have to have that turbine
after it's done its work, so after it's taken
some of the potential energy, some of the heat energy
from, we're not calling it a pre-burner, by the way,
instead of it being a gas generator,
you now call that device that's creating pressure
to spin the turbine, you're now calling that a pre-burner,
'cause it's just going to pre-burn some of your fuel
or some of your oxidizer.
The trick is that has to be, by the time it's gone
through the turbine, it has to be higher pressure
than the combustion chamber, because otherwise,
it's gonna go backwards still.
So you really have to get that pre-burner
up to ridiculously high pressures,
like at least 20% higher than your main combustion chamber.
And these combustion chambers, we're talking about engines
that are at 200, 100 to 200, even in SpaceX's Raptor engine,
up to 300 bar in the main combustion chamber,
so that's, what is that, 4,500 PSI, basically.
Insane amounts of pressure inside these combustion chambers.
So your turbine has to be even above that,
or your gas generator, or your pre-burner, sorry,
has to be higher pressure than that even
in order to have the flow going the right direction
through the engine.
So now you'll have those closed cycles,
you'll have fuel-rich, you have oxidizer-rich.
The tricks now, you start to get, it's crazy,
there's just so many compromises.
Every little decision you have of like, oh, I did this,
now I, no, well, now, crap, it's gonna do this.
For instance, fuel-rich, if you ran kerosene fuel-rich,
you know how I mentioned soot coming out
of the gas generator?
Well, if you run soot through your engine like that
and had to go through your injectors,
like back into the engine, it'll clog the pores
of the injectors and it'll end up blowing up the engine.
The soot itself is so damaging that you can't really run
a fuel-rich kerosene engine.
- What exactly is soot?
So it's like fuel somehow mixed up with the smoke.
Like what, I wonder what, what is it chemically?
Is it some weird--
- It's mostly just carbon.
It's mostly just carbon-- - That dark smoke.
- Solid chunks of carbon, and it can cake up
and just literally like, you know, like--
- Yeah.
- It's like ash almost, you know?
Like at some point, you know, especially
under those high pressures and high temperatures,
it can physically build up and, you know,
turn into like stalagmites and stalactites of carbon.
Really hard, you know, forged in a rocket engine carbon.
- I wonder how you figure all that out too.
Is that some experimentation?
Some of that is chem, like theoretical,
but like you're gonna have to build the thing at scale
and actually test it.
- And trial and error. - And trial and error.
- There is-- - Many decades
of trial and error.
- And many pieces of engines that you're trying
to piece back together going like,
what the hell happened here?
- Yeah, what happened?
- Yeah.
- Okay, so that's closed cycle.
So how do we get to full flow?
- So in either of those situations,
you're still actually just having the opposite.
So if you're fuel rich, you know,
all the fuel is going through the turbine,
but only a tiny bit of oxygen is actually being put
into that pre-burner to spin the pumps.
And the rest of the oxygen is actually going
through the pump, the primary pump,
and straight into the combustion chamber.
Now, full flow, the idea is you're going
to actually pre-burn both your propellants.
Both your propellants are going to go through a pre-burner,
and they're both going to end up spinning one of the pumps.
So you'll have a gas, a fuel rich pre-burner,
and you're going to have an oxygen rich pre-burner.
Each one of those is going to get just, you know,
they're gonna heat it up just enough
and get it up to just enough pressure
to spin up that turbine as fast as they need to do
to get the pumps up to the right pressure
and still have enough pressure through the turbine
to overcome the pressure inside the main combustion chamber.
And they're both going to arrive,
both your fuel and your oxidizer are going to arrive
in the main combustion chamber as hot gases already.
So what was liquid oxygen is now gaseous oxygen.
What was liquid methane is now gaseous methane.
And they're meeting in this combustion chamber
at still ridiculously high pressures again.
For SpaceX's Raptor engine, they're meeting at 300 bar.
Insane amounts of pressure.
And then they combust from there on,
and because they're already a gas-gas interaction,
they're happy to burn.
They're ready to burn, they're ready to mingle
as opposed to having a gas-liquid interaction,
which is what's a lot more normal.
You know, you'll have two different states of matter
and they just might not,
they might take a little more coaxing to,
what's that word?
- Coaxing?
- Yeah.
- Coaxing?
- Coaxing?
- That doesn't sound like a,
that doesn't sound correct, right?
- Coaxing.
- Coaxing, yeah.
- Yeah?
- All right.
- I don't know.
We'll cut that in post.
(laughing)
- We'll have Morgan Freeman overdub us.
- Yeah, he's just coaxing.
- The fascinating thing is they're coaxed as gases
in the combustion chamber.
- Why can't I think of that word?
But yeah, they just take a little bit more,
it takes more time in the combustion chamber
to have a liquid-gas interaction mixed together
and unleash as much of their energy as he can
before it exits the system.
- Some of the trade-offs here in terms of efficiency,
which is most efficient,
§11Transcript · 1:17:41–1:24:58
and then also complexity of the design and the engineering,
and the cost of the design and the engineering.
Like what are the different trade-offs
between open cycle, closed cycle, and full flow?
- Yeah, it's a pretty, it's kind of like a,
what's the bears, the Goldilocks, you know?
Like it's like, you kind of generally,
the easiest is open cycle.
'Cause you know, you're just expelling the exhaust gas,
the gas-generated exhaust.
You're not having to worry about it.
You just spin up that thing as much as you need
and deal with it, right?
No big deal.
Closed cycles offers 10 to 15% greater performance
generally because you're not wasting that propellant.
And, but it's complicated.
It's a lot more complicated,
especially if you're doing oxygen-rich.
Now you're having hot, gaseous oxygen in your engine,
which just generally wants to react with everything.
It's just a recipe, like hot oxygen is just a recipe
for things to catch on fire that shouldn't be on fire.
So metals, you know, under those conditions,
lots of times will just spontaneously start burning.
You know, you'll actually turn your metal
and it will now become fuel.
You'll be engine-rich before you know it
because your hot oxygen is eating
and using that engine as fuel, basically.
So oxygen-rich is generally very hard,
but that is what the Soviet Union ended up doing
with almost their entire line of engines
was closed cycle oxygen-rich.
But you know, so those two are kind of generally hard,
but offer great performance benefits over open cycle.
But at the end of the day, you know,
full flow is by far the ultimate of all of them.
It's the most difficult,
but it also has the most potential to be the most efficient.
- Starship, the Raptor 2,
why is that engine using full flow?
- Because it's the best.
I mean, it's just physics-wise,
if you're trying to extract as much energy
out of your propellants,
there just isn't another cycle type that is better than it.
But of course, it's very, very hard to develop.
You know, so far to date, the RD-270 in the '60s was built.
There is a powerhead demonstrator built in the United States
in the '90s and early 2000s, I think,
maybe just the early 2000s.
That was just the power,
just the pumps and the turbines and the pre-burners,
no chamber, no nothing.
That was a big deal.
Only the United States took, you know,
millions of dollars to just develop that.
And then there's SpaceX's Raptor engine.
- So you talked about the combustion chamber
and how damn hot things get.
High pressure, a lot of heat.
How do you keep the thing cool?
You have a great video on this too.
How do you get it from, what do you call it,
metal-rich, engine-rich,
engine-rich from like the metal from melting?
- Well, one of the ways is to let it be engine-rich.
There's actually, you can use ablative cooling.
You can literally make the walls thicker
than you normally make it,
make it out of a material that will ablate away,
that will kind of chip away
and take some of the heat away with it.
It's very, again, primitive.
And it's actually what SpaceX first used
on their first Merlin engines.
They used ablative cooling.
So it's basically a carbon nozzle
and you just let it get,
the inner layer of the engine was carbon
and you just let it get chewed away and eaten away.
And that's just something you factor in.
It's not very elegant
and it's definitely not reusable in that sense.
- So there's probably really good models
about how it melts away,
the rate at which it melts away to know what thickness.
- Yeah.
- But boy, is it dangerous.
- I just mean, it seems so silly.
So obviously you probably,
again, it's not the most elegant.
And the problem too,
your geometry physically is changing too
'cause as you're eroding the walls,
now things like your expansion ratio
or the ratio between your throat
and the nozzle exit is changing
because the thickness,
like the throat's diameter is actually,
like everything's changing.
So it's not great.
- It might not be melting away uniformly.
There could be some like weird pockets for aerodynamics
that there's just a bunch of chaos
just can--
- I can't imagine having to like
figure all that stuff out, honestly.
- Yeah.
- So the more elegant thing to do,
there's a couple other things you can do,
but kind of the most common one,
especially when we're dealing with liquid-fueled rockets
is something called regeneratively cooling.
And the idea is you basically just flow fuel
or fuel or oxidizer through the walls
of the nozzle and the chamber
before they go through,
like into the injector
or into the actual combustion chamber.
By doing that, you're taking heat out of the,
you know, you're taking heat out of the metal of the walls
and you're putting it into the propellant.
So you're typically heating the propellant up,
which is, remember when I said there's gas interaction
versus a liquid, like liquid gas,
lots of times, even if you pump them both at,
you know, as they, you know,
are both being pumped as liquids,
by the time it goes through the walls of the chamber,
lots of times one of them is phase-changed into a gas.
So now you do have that gas-liquid interaction.
That's because they're using that,
the fuel or the oxidizer to cool the walls of the engine.
So when you look at a rocket engine,
although it looks like, you know,
a nice, beautifully uniform cylinder,
you know, smooth thing,
there's either, there's oftentimes like channels
actually like milled into the walls
that they run fuel through.
And even though they're tight, you know,
they can be like two, three millimeters thick,
they'll actually still have a channel
that goes down and U-turns and comes around and comes back
all the way down to the tip of the nozzle and everything.
So it's just insane that, you know, that--
- Isn't that pre-designed and that's like,
so they design those channels.
- Yeah.
- There's probably some optimization there,
like how the flow happens.
- Well, especially 'cause you're thinking
about a conical thing or like a semi-conical thing
where the area's getting smaller and smaller and smaller,
you're flowing the same amount of propellant through it
as you are down, you know what I mean?
Like the propellant has to,
so they have all these unique things like, you know,
sometimes different manifolds where they'll inject more
or less fuel in certain areas and--
- There must be like propellant simulation software
'cause they can't, surely can't like test this
on actual physical--
- Well, back in the day, they had to just build it.
- Well, you mean back in the day,
walked uphill in both ways.
(Luke laughs)
It was like, I mean, like anything back in the day
before computers where you like had--
- Like, you just had to do it.
- And like your simulation or modeling
was like a sheet of paper where you're like calculating
stuff, loosely estimating.
- Heat flux, you know, like you can literally see
how much energy and how much heat is inside
the combustion chamber, how much, you know,
and that is a measurable thing even without a computer.
Now, I'm not near smart enough to do any of this.
Like I've never tried measuring the heat flux of anything.
I barely even know what that means.
I'm just smart enough to regurgitate it.
- You haven't lived, my friend.
And you haven't lived.
- But that is something that people would calculate
and they find out, okay, copper, you know,
does a better job of transferring the heat
between the walls of it and into the propellant,
blah, blah, blah, blah, compared to XYZ.
So, you know--
- Yeah, materials, people.
Like I've met just in all walks of life,
especially just through MIT, through everywhere,
where some people are just like 100x smarter
than anyone you've ever met at a particular thing.
Like you mentioned copper.
They'll know the heat dissipation
through different materials.
They'll understand that like more than,
§12Transcript · 1:25:00–1:32:29
it's like holy shit, it's possible for a human being
to deeply understand a thing.
- Dude, aerospace is full of that.
You'll have people that are so niche in something
that no, like the average person
has never even remotely thought of,
yet this person has done it 40,000 different ways
in an environment being like, well,
we found out that if we turn it four degrees that way
and add 4% niobium, you know,
like just things you're like, what is your life
and how do you know this, you know?
- And the funny thing about them,
they usually don't think it's a big deal.
- Yeah, yeah.
- They're usually like, they're so nonchalant about it
that if you don't actually, you have to know enough.
You actually have to know quite a lot
to appreciate how much more they know.
- Yeah.
- 'Cause otherwise you won't even notice it.
'Cause our popular culture doesn't celebrate
the intricacies of scientific or engineering mastery,
which is interesting.
There's all these people that lurk in the shadows.
- Oh, I know.
- They're just geniuses.
- Yes.
- Like you see, you'll have like the LeBrons
who are like good at basketball,
so we understand that they're good at basketball.
They do this thing with the ball and the hoop
and they do like it really well,
better than a lot of other people under pressure.
Like we celebrate and give them--
- It's a big public spectacle.
- Yeah.
- Look how great they are, yeah.
- But like the people like, yeah,
these aerospace companies and NASA, SpaceX,
the kind of stuff they're doing,
just the, I mean, there's geniuses there.
And it's actually really inspiring.
I mean, I've interacted with a lot of brilliant people
in the software world.
And maybe because I don't deeply understand
a lot of hardware stuff, materials engineering,
mechanical engineering,
those people seem like so much smarter.
I mean, it's always like the grass is green
or whatever the expression is.
But there's a depth of understanding
that engineers have that do like mechanical engineering
that's just awe-inspiring to me.
- Not to get too like,
I don't know what the word would be,
introvertive or something or whatever,
but that's actually kind of the whole point
of Everyday Astronaut.
Like that's almost the whole point of what I do.
Each year from the beginning,
I did a thing called the Astro Awards,
trying to be like an award show,
hoping to lift up and celebrate and shine a spotlight
on the people that are actually doing the hard work
and try to treat them like the rock stars that they are,
that we don't know about.
And I think that's one of the things that for sure,
I think Elon definitely helped make space flight cool,
helped make that like a celebration thing
where people are physically out cheering for rockets
and science and space exploration.
But I think that's just the beginning.
I think like this should be a thing
where the general public looks to these people
as the coolest ones, as the coolest places to work,
as the most important things.
Sports are great and everything.
I'm a big Formula One fan and things like that.
But at the same time,
like we should be celebrating the people
doing this crazy work, clocking in countless hours,
just trying to figure out this one little thing
that's gonna help us further our understanding.
- I mean, what's cooler than a giant thing
with a really hot fire that goes boom
and goes up into the air.
I mean, like there's no, it's like,
to me like bridges are inspiring.
It's like incredible architecture design
and like the humans are able to work against nature,
build these gigantic metal things,
but like rockets with like a tiny little humans
on top of them flying out into space.
It's the coolest possible thing.
Everything comes together.
All the different disciplines come together
for the high stakes drama of riding
that super powerful thing up away
from the thing we call home, Earth.
It's like, it's so amazing.
- Exactly. - So freaking amazing.
- Well, I think that's kind of part of my story arc
is I just used to be a huge car and motorcycle guy.
Like I just loved things that go fast
and are loud and go fast and make lots of power.
And at the end of the day, like at some point you realize
nothing goes faster and it's louder
and makes more power than a rocket.
I think that's kind of where I eventually just ended up,
wound up there just because there is nothing cooler than that
- Yeah, that's the ultimate level of reach as a car guy
is to become a rocket guy.
- Yeah, a hundred percent.
And at some point, some car guys literally become rocket guys
and strap rockets to cars
and try and break land speed records.
You know, like it's the same universe here.
Yeah.
- So Elon, with your conversation with him on the Raptor 2,
was talking about, you were talking about
like there's an excessive amount of cooling
to be on the safe side as you're developing the engine.
What kind of cooling was that?
- So that would be film cooling.
So remember how a little bit ago we were talking about
like keeping the turbine from melting,
you can just run it off of like off nominal, basically off,
you know, typically fuel rich,
just run more fuel through that.
So it's cool enough.
You can actually do that locally kind of in your engine
so that you can keep it.
So, you know, imagine a combustion chamber
and the top of it's just a flat, like imagine a shower head.
And then you have like, you know,
the combustion chamber attached to it.
The outer perimeter there,
the part where the flame front would be touching the walls,
you can actually have just more fuel injectors.
So you're injecting locally a more fuel rich zone
along the entire nozzle.
And that would be called film cooling.
So it's less efficient though.
Again, you're kind of wasting fuel.
There's fuel that's running, you know,
and your mixture ratio is off,
but only for a little portion of your, the big picture,
you know, so that's one of those compromises.
Like you can do additional film cooling
to make sure you're not melting your engine, you know,
but at the cost of performance usually.
But you can also be smart and use film cooling.
You know, there's fun little clever tricks.
For instance, you'll notice on the F1 engine
that was on the Saturn V, you know,
the biggest rocket that had been built to date
prior now to Starship,
the F1 has this huge, huge, huge engines.
There's five of them on the Saturn V.
And you'll notice that like the gas generator
has a pipe that comes down
and then it actually splits off in a manifold
and wraps around part of the nozzle.
And that manifold takes the hot gas from the turbine,
which is actually, I mean, it's not hot.
It's actually cold gas compared to the combustion chamber,
but it's, you know, in human terms,
it's still, you wouldn't want to put your hand in it,
you know, not live.
And it actually pipes that gas into the nozzle
so that it creates a film cooling,
an actual boundary layer of cooler gas
against the hotter combustion chamber gas.
So basically repurposing that gas that was normally wasted
and they pump it back into the engine
and then into the nozzle, like kind of further down.
So the trick there is it has to be far enough down
that the pressure in the nozzle,
because remember as the nozzle gets bigger
and bigger and bigger,
the pressure's getting lower and lower
and the temperature's getting lower and lower.
So you have to find this trade-off point
where the pressure is lower than that gas from the turbine
and then you pump it in and it's cooler
than the gas still is in the nozzle
and it can help not melt your nozzle.
So you'll notice that the F1 is actually a good example
of regen cooling.
So the chamber walls,
you can physically see the pipes actually on the F1
'cause it's so big and they just literally used pipes
and bent them and you can see the coolant channels
all the way up and down the engine
until you get to that manifold.
Then from there on,
it just has what's called a nozzle extension
and it keeps going and going and going
and that section of nozzle is cooled
§13Transcript · 1:32:30–1:39:51
by the film cooling of the gas generator.
- They mean the aerodynamics of cooler gas
and the hot gas,
'cause you have to have this kind of layer, right?
To protect the layer of cool,
like understanding that obviously probably has to do,
in modern times,
there's probably really good simulation of aerodynamics.
But, and to do it in terms of pressure too,
like to make sure it's in the right place
that doesn't go back up.
- Go backwards, exactly.
If they have that manifold even six inches too high
on that nozzle, yeah, it's just gonna go upwards.
Pressure always wants to flow from high to low.
- The number of options you have here
that result in it going boom is very large.
- Near infinity, yeah.
- Especially 'cause, I mean,
you can't do like a small model of it.
Maybe you can, no, you can't.
- It doesn't really scale very well.
- No, you have to do the full testing
and that's why you have all the kind of,
that's why you have with Starship all the tests that,
you know, you think,
why would you need to do so many static fires
and so many tests?
Why is it failing so many times?
Can't you get it right?
But like, it's very tough to get it right.
- Well, and when you're pushing the boundaries,
you want to know where and how it's going to fail.
- That's right.
- So you can engineer around them.
So that's a luxury that SpaceX does have
with the scale of Raptor.
You know, they're building Raptor cheaper
than probably almost any other engine,
you know, maybe besides some of their own,
at least at that scale.
Then before they're testing, you know,
I think since last March or last April,
they've tested a thousand Raptor,
you know, a thousand engine fires, I guess,
not just Raptors, but, you know,
that's just an insane amount of data
and an insane amount of edge cases to learn,
oh my God, we found out that we were actually
slightly over spinning our turbine at this degree
and this frequency is harmonic at this blah, blah, blah,
and all of a sudden realize it's rattling and, you know,
it did this and then you can engineer around that.
You know, it's like, ultimately, you know,
I think Elon said something like,
high production rate solves many ills
or something along those lines.
And it's just true, if you have an insane amount of engines
and an insane amount of data
and an insane amount of failures to learn from,
you just know your system inside and out,
you know those margins,
you know where the failure points are,
you know how to engineer around them.
- That's how I approach dating.
No, I'm just kidding.
(laughing)
'Cause we're talking about engines.
So most rockets, I think all rockets
have multiple stages today.
Maybe they'll take us in a discussion
of what ideas that could be for single stage
to orbit rockets, but can you describe this whole thing
that you've been mentioning here and there
of multiple stages of a rocket?
- Yeah, no, that's a good question.
So ultimately, you know, like I said,
you're kind of pushing about 90%.
The rocket's like basically just fuel with some skin on it,
you know what I mean?
And so that skin weighs a lot of,
you know, skin in the engines do weigh a lot.
You know, like I said, the Falcon 9 on its own
is about 20 tons, just the booster is about 20 metric tons.
So it's not an insignificant amount of weight.
So the idea is, with staging,
is you ditch anything you don't need, more or less.
So, you know, Falcon 9's a perfect rocket
to think about this because you have an upper stage
and you have a booster, you know, our first stage.
And the first stage burns through all of its fuel.
Once it's out of fuel, you let go of the second stage
and ta-da, you actually just basically started
and lit a brand new, fresh rocket.
You know, and this brand new, fresh rocket
now doesn't have all that 20 tons attached to it.
So it's a lot lighter.
It doesn't need, you know, as nearly as many engines
to push it around.
It needs just one instead of nine.
Its engine can be optimized for the vacuum of space
as opposed to having to operate at sea level
with all of our, actually pretty thick atmosphere,
you know, relatively.
So staging is basically the idea
that you get rid of things you don't need.
On Earth, again, kind of that whole like 10%,
harder, 10% easier.
If it was 10% easier, single stage orbit
would be no big deal.
And it probably would have been like the way
to get to orbit by choice,
just because like, it's not that hard.
But with our Earth as it is, with physics as it is,
it's just, it's doable.
And we've had, and you know, we almost kind of,
actually the first orbit to take humans,
or the first rocket to take humans into orbit
from the United States, which was the Atlas rocket,
was kind of a stage and a half.
It actually only had like one big fuel tank.
And what that is, they actually dropped off
two of its three engines.
So it just ditched some of the engines.
But if it hadn't done that, you know,
so kind of people were like, well, that was single stage.
It's like, it still had a staging event.
It still had to ditch mass
in order to even make it into orbit.
Had it not done that,
it would have not been able to get into orbit.
So you pretty quickly look at your trade and say,
okay, well, if I wanna stick to single stage for orbit,
my payload mass becomes tiny.
You know, like you might be able to put like,
you know, a Falcon 9 booster on its own.
Like if you just flew one of the side core boosters
of a Falcon Heavy with a nose cone on and everything,
just say, I'm just gonna fly this on its own.
You might be able to put like, you know,
10 kilograms into space or something, you know,
a very small amount.
Well, throw a second stage on that thing
and now you can put, you know,
17,000 kilograms into space.
So it's just an order, you know,
orders of magnitude more payload capacity
because you did staging,
because you ditched the residual weight.
So the other thing that's hard about that too
is that the engines, again, that operate at sea level
are often not great in space and vice versa.
Like you physically can't,
most optimized for space engines,
you can't even operate at sea level.
They'll destroy themselves
due to something called flow separation.
So not only are you getting the benefit
of ditching all the weight,
but you're also able to use a much more efficient
and less, typically, you know,
much less powerful engine in space.
- So you mentioned on the multistage rockets
that maybe the dream would be,
if we weren't living on Earth,
but maybe we can on Earth,
to have a single stage to orbit rocket
where it's all one package reusable.
- Reusable gets even harder.
- It gets even harder.
So first of all, what is, just to linger on it,
what is the single stage to orbit rocket?
And why is it so hard to achieve on Earth?
You already kind of explained it a little bit,
but just, if we were to say like,
that's your assignment.
- Yeah.
- Tim, you're supposed to get together with Elon
and other brilliant people,
and like, you have to do this.
- Yeah.
- Why is it so hard?
- Why is it so hard?
The payload fraction of a rocket is like three to five
or six or 7% would be like, you know,
that's the amount of payload
compared to the total mass of the rocket.
Like, you're lucky to get into beyond 5%.
So if you're now having to deal with the weight
of the rocket by the time you're in orbit,
like, your payload fraction,
you're talking about like margins,
that's such, it's so small amount of leftover
if you had to take all of it with you.
So the sooner you can ditch weight, the better.
The sooner you can ditch weight, the better.
The sooner you can, you know,
and that's what you're doing,
a rocket the whole time is actually ditching weight.
All of that fuel, all that big giant flame you see
§14Transcript · 1:39:54–1:47:15
is literally mass being thrown out the back of the rocket.
But what typically isn't expended, you know,
at least during nominal operations,
you're not seeing the engines being, you know,
expelled out the thing until you get to staging, of course.
And that's where, you know,
you're ditching all that dead weight.
So single stage to orbit,
your margins just become so small that it's border,
it's not impossible, but it's just,
at the end of the day, like almost no matter who you are,
you end up saying it's just simply not worth it.
Like, it'd be, if you have two rockets
that are using the same amount of propellant,
you know, they're the same physical sizes,
and one of them is cutting, you know,
on a third and has another little engine,
it'll have a hundred or a thousand times
more payload capacity
than the one sitting right next to it.
And now, so there's tricks you can do
to like try to offset that,
things like aerospike engines,
which operate as efficiently at sea level,
at kind of optimized efficiency at sea level.
And just by their, by the way,
their design, the physics of them,
they're also efficient in a vacuum too.
You can do things like that.
And at the end of the day, though,
you just end up with a worse rocket
than if you had just done stage,
like no matter what.
And people say like,
"Well, what if you develop the new technologies?"
Like, okay, apply that technology
to a multi-stage rocket,
and it's gonna do better, you know,
like no matter where you end up,
it's just always better to ditch that weight, you know?
- Is there a cost to having multi-stage?
'Cause you can still reuse the different stages?
- That's the dream is, you know,
it becomes easier to reuse multiple stages
because now, you know,
like the booster doesn't have to survive
orbital re-entry temperatures and extreme environments.
And you only have to, you know,
make survivable the upper stage.
So you only have to put a big heat shield.
I mean, Starship's the perfect thing in this.
The upper stage has a big giant heat shield.
The booster doesn't need it
'cause the booster's not going to orbit.
It's only going a fifth or a quarter of orbital velocity.
So it's heat that it experiences is survivable
just by the stainless steel.
You don't need an additional heat shield.
So all of a sudden, if you're trying to reuse,
pretend that you just welded
the two stages of Starship together,
remove those engines on Starship.
That whole vehicle, if you're trying to reuse it,
the whole vehicle now has to have
a heat shield on one side of it.
The whole thing has to have these big, heavy wings.
By the time you come down to it,
there's probably just zero payload capacity.
You basically put your fuel tank in space, you know?
Good job.
- So the dream of a single stage to orbit a rocket,
is that just even the wrong dream on Earth?
- That's what most convention tells you.
You know, by the time, if your goal is cheap,
then you're going to spend,
you're going to have a physically larger rocket
that has more engines, that has more propellant,
blah, blah, blah, to put the same amount of mass into orbit
compared to something else.
You know, we're talking like Rocket Lab's Electron,
a really small rocket.
It's like, I think 1.3 meters wide
and something like, you know, 18 meters tall or something.
It's a small rocket.
If you were to, you know,
and it can put something like 300 or so kilograms into orbit.
You could either launch something that size,
or again, like a full, like big old Falcon 9 booster,
the huge, huge thing.
And that would be lucky to put 300 kilograms into orbit.
You know, so it's like,
which one's going to be cheaper to build, you know,
ship around all the stuff.
And then you also look at, you have fixed costs.
Like the idea of flying a,
but this, again,
everything in rocket science is a compromise.
'Cause now you have things like people on console time,
all the people that are, you know,
on comms and working on the rocket,
going down to the pad, you know, filing paperwork,
doing range control,
making sure there's not planes and boats in the way,
flight termination.
You have all these fixed costs for any launch.
I don't care how big the rocket is.
There's a relatively fixed cost.
So now you say like, okay, I'm going to be paying,
well, let's just make a winner.
I'm going to pay $5 million to fly a rocket
between all the people going on site,
all the propellant, all the licenses, blah, blah, blah.
If your fixed cost is $5 million,
you can put 300 kilograms in space
versus you have a $5 million cost of operation
and you can put 5,000 kilograms into space.
Like it's,
the business case is going to send you
in one direction pretty quickly.
- So you mentioned aerospike engines.
I think the internet informed me of your love affair
with aerospike engines.
Find somebody that looks at you
the way Tim Nott looks at aerospike engines.
(laughing)
Can you explain what these are?
How do they work?
What's beautiful to them?
How practical are they?
Why don't we use them?
Does it just boil down to the design of the nozzle?
So maybe, can you explain how is it possible
to achieve this thing for an engine to be as efficient
at, in a vacuum and sea level and all different conditions?
- You know what I love about this is that
every question you've asked me is like a one hour video
on my YouTube channel.
Now boil it down to 45 seconds.
- Go.
- So the aerospike engine basically
is an inside out engine, more or less.
So with a traditional engine,
we've talked about the combustion chamber and the throat
and then it expands out into the nozzle.
Those walls are containing the pressure, right?
Aerospike is the opposite.
It's basically the pressure of the engine
is on the outside of it
and it's pushing inward against a spike.
So it's almost like the difference of if you were,
let me think about this.
If you were standing in like a tent or a teepee, right?
And you put your arms at the top
and you pushed your arms out
like into an iron cross or something, you know?
You can physically lift the tent
just by pushing outwards on the tent walls, right?
Well, that would be like a traditional nozzle.
Now aerospike would be almost like squeezing an ice cube.
You know, if you squeeze an ice cube,
you can push in on it and kind of that wedge force
will shoot that ice cube.
So that's kind of what has happened.
We have the high pressure gases on the outside of the spike
squeezing in on that spike
and then it's pushing up against the,
you know, 'cause it's equal on both sides
against like kind of the ramp
is pushing up against the rocket.
So that's where that force comes in
is against the nozzle and against the chambers.
The hard part with an aerospike.
So the cool, okay, I guess the cool thing
about an aerospike is that it can operate in space.
You can have what's known as a really big expansion ratio.
So that's your ratio between the throat,
the area of the throat versus the area of the nozzle exit.
And remember how the bigger the nozzle is,
the it's continually just converting more and more
is converting that high energy, hot, high pressure gas
into cooler and cooler, lower pressure and faster gas.
So each little millimeter along that nozzle
is just getting it lower pressure and cooler, but faster.
Now, if you take a big nozzle on earth
and you at sea level and you fire it,
you can actually get,
even though we're going from say 300 bar,
the Raptor engine, our atmosphere at sea level
is about one bar.
It's pretty much exactly one bar depending on conditions,
but you can actually get a nozzle
to get way below one bar of pressure.
So every little, you can go from 300 bar
in just two meters down to one bar or below one bar.
There's actually a limit.
You can actually only expand it below,
we'll say something like 70%.
So you can get down to like 0.7 bar at nozzle exit
before the pressure of the atmosphere
is actually squeezing in on that exhaust
§15Transcript · 1:47:18–1:54:45
and tearing it away from the walls of the engine,
the walls of the nozzle exit.
And what happens is it's kind of unpredictable.
You get these pockets, these oscillations,
and they'll be so extreme
that they'll end up just destroying the nozzle.
So you can't lower, you can't have a bigger expansion ratio
than again, relatively speaking, something like 0.7.
Like you can't go below,
you can't get that pressure exit
too much below ambient air pressure
before flow separation can destroy the engine.
- So how come this engine can do so well
in different pressure conditions?
- So because it's inside out,
the ambient pressure is pushing the exhaust gas
into the wall as opposed to a conventional engine
that exhaust gas, the ambient air
is actually squeezing the exhaust gas
away from the walls of the engine.
And that squeezing away from is what can be destructive.
So that since it's kind of inside out,
the ambient air is pushing the exhaust gas
into the engine walls.
So you can't have flow separation.
You won't have flow separation.
Now what happens is, so you can have this huge,
amazingly like efficient vacuum engine
that has a, we'll say a 200 to one expansion ratio,
which is really big.
Like a lot of sea level engines are like 35, 40,
50 to one expansion ratios.
And then in space, you know, it's common to use like 150,
180, 200 to one expansion ratios.
So an aerospike can have something like 200 to one.
It's just that the, at sea level,
it's kind of just getting pushed
and it's kind of getting cut off early almost,
but it doesn't matter.
It's not like destructive.
It's just not running at its maximum efficiency.
As it climbs in altitude,
as the ambient air gets thinner and thinner and thinner,
it just inherently is pushing less and less and less
against the walls of that aerospike engine.
So it actually continually gets more efficient at,
you know, as it climbs in altitude.
As does a normal engine,
but the difference is that you can use
that huge expansion ratio at sea level
and you can't use a huge expansion ratio at sea level
with a traditional nozzle.
- Has anyone actually flown an aerospike engine?
- No aerospike engine to date
has ever been flown on an orbital rocket.
- Why not?
And would you like to see a future where they're used?
- Purely because I think they're cool.
- Yeah.
- You know, in the same way--
- So that's the core of your love affair
with aerospike engines is the coolness.
- It's just, and I said this in my video.
Actually, outside, before I came in here,
I saw an RX-7 in the streets that I just love.
And that uses a rotary engine.
On paper, the rotary engine is like more efficient,
does all, you know, smaller, more efficient,
all these things.
But in practice, it's like,
the thing is actually just like unreliable, hot,
and it, you know, it blah, blah, blah, blah, burns oil.
It's kind of the same thing with the aerospike engine.
Like, yes, on paper, it's more efficient,
but now you have a lot more surface area
of your throat area, no matter what,
is going to have, the throat of the rocket engine
is always where it's the hottest.
You know, it's the hardest thing to cool.
And with an aerospike, if, you know,
if it's inside out, now your throat is,
no matter what, like way bigger.
You know, it's almost like the size
of the nozzle exit normally,
but now it's your hardest thing to cool,
and you have a ton of it,
and you also have two edges of it, no matter what.
So even if you have like a, you know,
a circle inside a circle,
you have like a just insane amount more surface area
to cool with a limited amount of fuel.
Don't forget, you're using your fuel as your coolant.
So if you all of a sudden now take your throat area,
and you have X amount of space that you need to cool,
you only have, you have a limited supply.
It's like, ugh, it's, sorry, this is the stuff that just--
- Are there ideas of for cooling,
for cooling aerospike engines?
- It's, same physics apply for an aerospike as they would.
So you just run into a limitation.
Like at some point, I'm not flowing enough propellant.
It scales, it scales kind of poorly.
You know what I mean?
Like you can increase the thrust of an aerospike
by making it bigger and increase the mass flow
and the fuel going through the throats or the throat,
but at the same time, like it just,
it's at the end of the day, it's physically possible.
It's a lot more complex.
You have a lot of issues with cooling,
and it just, you end up kind of right back
where you started.
So it's like, is it worth it
to just keep going down this rabbit hole,
trying to engineer this thing to work,
when you could have probably spent a tenth
of the amount of time just slightly increasing
the performance of your normal engine in the first place?
- Again, I'm going to anthropomorphize that lesson
and apply it to my dating life.
And once again, just kidding.
Okay, actually just on a small tangent,
since you are also a car guy,
what's the greatest combustion engine car ever made to you?
If you had to pick something,
what's the coolest, the sexiest, the most powerful,
the classiest, the most elegant, well-designed?
I don't know what category.
- A lot of those things are different for me,
but I'd still-- - They are?
- I still, it's funny, 'cause now,
maybe it's just 'cause it's fresh on mind,
but I love that mid '90s RX-7,
which, especially in Japan, they had the 20B, a tri-rotor.
That is like the coolest engine ever to me.
- Yeah, what maybe?
- The FD RX-7.
It's just too darn cool, honestly.
It'd be, there you go.
- Well, what about the mid '90s that makes it special?
- Just that's the only time-- - Everything was--
- It's more that I love the engine
and I like the car it's attached to.
I mean, I'm not actually a big fan
of '90s styling, personally,
but just that the 20B is just such a cool, cool engine.
And it's twin turbo, sequential turbos.
So they used, a bigger turbo takes longer to spool up.
You know, it takes more, it's using that same,
like a turbine and a compressor.
And it just, if it's a large turbine,
it takes more exhaust gas to get it spooled up.
So if you have an engine that revs to 9,000 RPM
and you wanna get a lot of pressure out of that turbo,
you have a big turbo, it's gonna take forever.
Like you're gonna have, you know, your floor,
and then like, it's gonna take a long time
for that turbo to get spooled up.
So they actually did a small turbo on it and a big turbo.
So the small turbo would spool up first,
get some boost going through the engine,
get that engine operating, get it up to speed,
get it, you know, get some power to the wheels.
And then once that kind of reaches its limit,
you'd flow it into the, divert the exhaust gas
into the bigger turbo, it's this sequential turbo.
And then that now can supplement
and actually increase the, you know,
overall performance of the vehicle by a lot.
And I just, I think that's just so cool.
It's just like the ultimate, like,
brute force, out of the box thinking,
and it actually made it into production.
You know what I mean?
- Can you, what's it sound like?
Can you tell an engine by its sound?
- It sounds like a really, really, really angry lawnmower.
It sounds horrible.
It's actually a terrible sounding car.
In my opinion, like, it sounds just raspy
and like the opposite of like a big muscle car.
You know, like a big muscle car has this deep guttural,
like, oh, it just, it hits you.
This is like, it's just gonna annoy the hell out of you
and all your neighbors.
Like it's-
- But you love the engineering.
- I love the engineering of it.
- So to you, the car is the engine.
It's not all the surface stuff, all the design stuff,
all the, you know, yeah, the elegance,
the curves, whatever it is.
- Well, those come and go, you know, to me, styles change.
- It's forever.
- Yeah.
- I'm gonna apply that to my dating life once again.
Metaphors, just keep on coming.
- Well, if you think about it, like,
my taste has changed throughout the years.
When I first saw a Model 3 Tesla,
§16Transcript · 1:54:48–2:02:44
I thought it was the most hideous car I've ever,
without the grill, I was like, this is so stupid.
It took me all but two months to think
that it was one of the coolest looking cars.
Same with Cybertruck.
I mourned Cybertruck.
When I first saw that thing, I was at that thing with,
and I went with, we used to do a podcast
called Our Ludicrous Future.
So we talked a lot about like, you know,
cars and EVs and stuff.
We went to that unveiling and literally, like,
we had like almost a non-alcohol induced hangover
the next morning of like mourning
the hideousness of Cybertruck.
Come six months later, a year later,
and I'm like, damn it, that thing's actually kinda cool.
- Yeah, that also teaches you something about,
again, it's the thing you said earlier,
sort of going against the current
of the experts of the beliefs or whatever
and making a decision from first principles.
Some of that also applies to design and styling
and fashion and culture and all that.
- Big time.
- Some of that, you know, fashion especially.
It's so interesting.
- So subjective.
- Being rebellious against the current fads
actually is the way to pave the new fads.
- Well, it didn't take long for others to follow.
You look at like currently like what Hyundai's doing
with their, I forget which one,
like the Ioniq or something like that.
It's square, it's boxy, you know, it's a throwback.
It's 80s, it's got these beautiful retro taillights.
It's got these square headlights.
It's very inspired by Cybertruck in my opinion.
It might not be, it might be coincidental
that we're all kind of getting this retro future vibe.
- I personally like the boxy.
So I never, I still haven't understood Porsches.
I still can't quite understand the small size,
the curves, I don't quite get it.
- See, like I said, I don't love the look of the RX-7.
I don't love it, but I love it because of the engineering,
I guess, that it represents, you know what I mean?
- Yeah, it's not the surface stuff.
It's the deep down stuff.
- It's that 50/50 weight distribution that matters.
- All right, let's talk about Starship a little bit.
We've been sneaking up to it
from a bunch of different directions.
Can you just say, what is Starship
and what is the most impressive thing to you about it?
I mean, you've talked about sort of the engines involved.
Maybe you haven't really, you're kind of
like dancing around it, but because this is such a crucial
thing in terms of the next few years,
in terms of your own life personally,
and also just human civilization reaching out to the stars,
it seems like Starship is a really important vehicle
to making that happen.
So what is this thing that we're talking about?
- Yeah, so Starship is currently in development,
the world's largest, most powerful rocket ever built,
fully reusable rocket, a two-stage rocket.
So the booster is landed, and all this
is currently aspirational until it's working.
So I'll say what it's aspirationally going to be,
and obviously I have faith that that will happen,
but just factually.
So the booster will be reused,
it's landed and refueled and reused.
The upper stage will be landed, refueled, and reused,
and ideally rapidly, in the sense,
not talking about months or weeks of refurbishment,
but literally talking about like mild inspections,
and ideally like under 24-hour reuse,
where you literally land it and fly it like an airplane.
So it utilizes liquid methane and liquid oxygen
as its propellants.
It utilizes, the current iterations of it
are 33 Raptor engines on the booster engine, on the booster,
and six Raptors on the second stage.
So there'll be three that are vacuum optimized,
and three that are sea level optimized on the upper stage,
that are primarily, they'll be used, I think,
at stage separation anyway, in space,
but their main reason that they use them
is so they can use them for landing too,
the three sea level engines,
to be able to propulsively land the upper stage as well.
- So the three Raptor engines are the ones
that generate the thrust that makes it
the most powerful rocket ever built.
- By almost double.
- Compared to the Saturn V, really?
- The N1 had 45 mega newtons of thrust,
the Saturn V had, I think, 35 or 40 mega newtons of thrust,
and this has 75 mega newtons,
so we're talking almost double.
(both laughing)
It's a lot of power.
- That could be the sexiest thing I've ever heard.
Okay, so what are the different testing that's happening?
So what's the static fire
with some of these Raptors look like,
and where do we stand?
You were just talking about offline,
like the thing that happened yesterday.
- Yeah. - That was impressive.
- You know, everything in this is kind of iterations,
and so the milestones that we're seeing,
we actually have on everydayastronaut.com,
we have a milestone checklist
of all the things we're hoping to see,
that we kind of need to see
before the first orbital flight of this rocket.
So a big milestone that got checked off yesterday
was a wet dress rehearsal.
So it's literally like fueling the rocket up,
getting ready to do everything
but lighting the engines, basically.
So we're talking about loading it with propellant
all the way, and this is the first time,
yep, right there. - Where's the milestones?
- Right there at the top.
Click that big picture.
Yep, just anywhere, that big picture, yep.
- So there's the wet dress rehearsal,
so what's the wet dress rehearsal?
- Yep, so that's where they, for the first time,
they filled it completely to the brim
with both liquid oxygen and liquid methane.
Now, they had done component level testing
where they fill it with liquid nitrogen,
which is, you know, it's an inert gas,
so it's not, like, say it leaks out,
it's not gonna explode.
You could just have a big, giant pool of liquid nitrogen
like flooding the area,
but it's not gonna be an explosion.
So they've done that for cryo testing
to make sure all the components and stuff can handle,
you know, being at cryogenic temperatures.
It's kind of a good analog
before you start putting your fuel
and your oxidizer in there.
But now, as of yesterday,
they fully fueled the rocket with propellant,
both stages, the first stage and the second stage,
while fully stacked on the pad.
Like, basically, I mean, it was the first sense
we really got of, like, this is what it's gonna look like
right before it takes off.
You know, kind of breathing,
coming to life for the first time.
- What does the pad look like?
So there's a few interesting aspects to this.
What's up with the chopsticks and all of that?
- Yeah, so the launch pad is unique.
I've never seen anything like it
in the prior history of space flight.
But it's a really simple launch stand.
They basically have like this,
almost looks like a stool,
like a milking a cow stool thing
with a big giant--
- Now I know you're from Iowa, but yeah.
(laughing)
Yes, we all know what that stool looks like.
- Oh yeah, we all been sitting on that stool milking cows.
- Yeah, been there, done that.
- With a giant hole in the middle,
and that hole in the middle of that stool
is where the rocket sits,
and it sits on these launch clamps.
And then next to it is the,
so that's the orbital launch mount,
and then next to it are the OLM, some people will say.
Next to it is the orbital launch tower, the OLT.
And that is not only integral to fueling up the upper stage,
you know, the upper stage has to have
propellant lines run to it
so that they can fill it with propellant and all that.
But it also, they ended up making it
so instead of having a big crane on site
to stack the two on top of each other,
they literally just used that tower as a crane.
So the crane has these giant arms,
lovingly called the chopsticks,
or the whole system can be called Mechazilla.
And that will grab onto,
first it'll grab onto the booster,
pick it up off of its transporter
that transports it from the production site,
lifts it up, puts it down onto the launch mount,
and then it will pick up the second stage
or the upper stage starship,
§17Transcript · 2:02:46–2:10:30
and plop it down on top of the booster.
And they did that for the first time last year.
Actually, I think it was like Valentine's last year
was the first time they used the chopsticks to stack it.
And now they're doing it quite frequently, you know.
But ultimately, those chopsticks
have to serve a second purpose.
They're actually going to utilize,
if you say, it's not so much they're going to catch
the booster with these chopsticks,
it's not like it's, you know,
a dad trying to catch a falling child, you know.
It's more that the booster and the starship
will someday land on those arms.
- Yeah.
- So they're more or less stationary.
I'm sure there's some bit of, you know,
adjustment that the arms will do,
but more or less, the rocket's going to propulsively land
and get picked up by like,
what's essentially like two relatively small ball joints
that hold the entire thing.
And so it has to land very precisely on these mounts
and onto the launch mount.
And that's what's going to just place it back onto the stand
and allow it to be refueled and fly again.
- What's the idea of using the arms
versus having a launch pad to land on?
What's the benefit?
- You are basically removing the mass
of what would be heavy landing legs,
and you're putting kind of that landing infrastructure
onto a ground system.
So you're not having to carry those landing legs into orbit.
- But it's also elevated off the ground.
Is there some aspect of that
where you don't have to balance the thrust and all the--
- You can negate some of those,
like there's like plume-plume interactions.
There's like, you know, the exhaust hitting concrete,
and especially with a rocket this big,
it's gonna use like three Raptor engines firing.
If you have them firing really close to the ground,
you're just gonna absolutely destroy and crater the ground,
and you're gonna have to refurbish the ground
and the landing pad every time,
and, you know, or have huge landing legs
that are super long and tall, you know,
to make it so it's elevated enough to not do that.
So yeah, you're avoiding that whole mess
by catching it high enough off the ground
that you don't have to factor that in.
- That's how many engines are involved
in the landing part, is it three Raptor engines?
- Well, we haven't actually, you know,
we haven't to date seen the exact landing sequence,
so it might be something like at first,
they might light up, you know, seven or something,
or nine or something, some number to accelerate quickly,
or decelerate quickly, same thing,
and then shut it down to three or something
for a little bit more granular control.
'Cause unlike Falcon 9, Starship has enough engines
and variability to actually, if it needed to hover,
you know, to maybe more precisely align itself with the pad,
it would have that capability.
And especially having multiple engines, you know,
if you only have a single engine running,
you can't really roll, you know, your roll axis,
you can do pitch and yaw,
because the engine is kind of like a rudder,
it can move in two axes,
so you can easily pitch and yaw the vehicle,
but to actually induce roll along its vertical axis,
you would either need like auxiliary engines to roll it,
or you'd need a pair of engines
so they can be opposed and induce roll.
So by having two or three running,
they have all three axes of control that they would need,
kind of like a broomstick, you know,
and balancing a broomstick on your hand,
they can just move it over,
and if they need to align it to those landing nubs,
you know, on the landing arms and stuff like that,
then they can do that.
- Speaking of pitch and yaw,
the thing, so Starship flips on its belly flops,
there's a interesting kind of maneuver
on the way down to land.
Can you describe that maneuver, what's involved with that?
- Yeah, so this is definitely a first.
I don't think anything's tried landing like this before,
but the idea is when you're falling through the atmosphere,
the atmosphere could actually do a lot of work for you.
You know, you're moving quickly,
something is falling from space,
there's a lot of energy involved.
- You have a really good video on this as well.
(laughing)
- And-- - Thank you.
- As it's falling, you know, you can,
you wanna let the atmosphere do as much work as it can.
And so if you have a unsymmetric,
you know, it's not a ball that's falling,
this is some kind of object with shape,
some, you know, at one face of it
is going to have more surface area than the other face.
So, you know, in the shape of like a cylinder,
if you're falling, you know, like a soda can,
if you're falling top or bottom first,
it's a certain amount of surface area.
If you flip that on its side,
you actually have a lot more surface area.
So with the same exact vehicle,
you can actually have a lot more drag,
you can actually slow it down a lot more
using the exact same like, same atmosphere,
same vehicle, just by turning it 90 degrees,
you can slow it down substantially,
like three or four times slower.
So that's energy that you don't have to use anywhere else.
You don't have to use an engine to slow you down,
you don't have to do anything else.
So SpaceX realized, okay, if we flip this thing on its side
and let it fall like a skydiver almost, you know,
instead of like pencil diving into the pool,
you're belly flopping.
You're maximizing the amount of surface area
that's in the wind stream that's being slowed down.
But obviously like, in order to land,
especially if you're SpaceX and you know,
Elon's obsessed with like not having different parts,
you know, he wants, the best part is no part.
So if you're going to land with the engines,
you might as well use engines that you've already have,
the engines that are, you know,
used for the other portions of flight.
So you kick those on and you use those engines
to actually turn it 90 degrees
from belly flopping to feet first.
And that way you can use those same engines to land
and you don't have to have like auxiliary landing engines.
You don't have to have forces, you know,
even if you were to land like on its belly
with a separate set of engines,
not only would those engines weigh a lot, you know,
and be extra complexity, et cetera, et cetera,
but you also don't have to make the ship
be able to handle landing, you know, like on its belly
as opposed to having the forces be vertical through it.
- But it's a giant thing.
You have to rotate in the air.
- Huge.
- And as you also highlight, you know,
there's liquid fuel slushing around in the tank.
So like you can't, I guess, use that fuel directly.
You have to have another kind of fuel.
Like there's just complexities there that are involved.
Plus the actual maneuver is difficult from the,
like what are the thrusters that actually make that,
make all that happen?
You're adding a lot of complexity, not a lot,
but your complexity to the maneuver
and possibility where failure could happen
in order to sort of save,
in order for the air to do some of the work.
So what is some of that complexity?
Just you can linger on it.
- You know, if you think about what it's gonna take
to go from horizontal to vertical,
this rocket in particular,
Starship has these big flaps.
So it has kind of two nose flaps and two rearward flaps.
The rearward flaps are a lot bigger
because the majority of the mass,
the engines and stuff are in the back of the vehicle.
So in order to kind of be stable,
and they just fold themselves inwards,
like on their dihedral angle,
at a dihedral angle in order to increase or decrease the drag.
So you can control it's all three axes of control
while it's falling on its belly,
you can control it that way
using these four different fins.
So you have these giant moving surfaces
that take thousands of horsepower.
It's just insane amount of torque
in order to move these quickly enough
to be a valid control surface.
So that's a huge complication is moving these fins
and developing that landing algorithm
and the control for a huge vehicle with flaps
going like in and out, in and out, in and out to stay stable.
Then right as you light the engines,
now all of a sudden you want the top,
you wanna flip the rocket 90 degrees
so the rearward flaps, the bottom flaps fold in,
they tuck all the way in to minimize drag.
That's gonna make it wanna swing down.
You extend the upper flaps,
§18Transcript · 2:10:31–2:18:11
that makes it so the nose wants to pitch up.
You kick on the engines,
they're now lighting all three engines,
at least as of the last successful attempts.
They light all three of the sea level Raptor engines
and they're pitched all the way,
like 10 or 15 degrees or whatever
the maximum pitch is on them.
And that induces, it does that kick maneuver
to kick it over from horizontal to vertical.
Now the problem is you lit your engines
while you're horizontal.
So they put some horizontal velocity
into the rocket, they push the rocket.
At the time of lighting those engines,
the nose is facing the horizon
and the engines are facing the opposite horizon.
So you now shot it a decent amount
in the direction that you're not falling.
So you have to factor that in to where you're landing
'cause you're gonna land on this precise,
in this case you're gonna land on the inside
of the loving arms of the chopsticks,
the creed arms wide open,
you're gonna try to land inside this.
- Exactly, the song that will be playing
through my head as I watch this now.
Thank you, thank you for forever joining those two.
I appreciate this.
- And you have to very precisely control.
So what you have to do is now that it's done that kick,
you also have to cancel out that horizontal velocity.
So it's actually gonna rotate beyond 90 degrees
to cancel out that horizontal velocity
and then modulate the engines to make it so the thrust
is perfect so that it can control itself
into a controlled landing.
And all this is done in like 500 meters, like 1500 feet.
You're doing all of those things
stupidly close to the ground.
It looks absurd.
So far they've done five of these tests.
The first four all blew up.
They're all coming in from about 10 kilometers
or 33,000 feet.
Falling, flipping, again, this thing's huge.
That just the booster or just the upper stage of this
is like 50 meters tall.
So it's 150, it's like 45 meters,
about 50 meters tall, about 165 feet tall.
Nine meters wide to 30 feet wide.
It weighs something like,
God, I don't remember if it's something
like 120 metric tons, so 120,000 kilograms,
two quarter of a million pounds empty.
And it's doing this flip maneuver.
And it has to do all this perfectly.
So the first four attempts of this
were pretty spectacular failures.
- So just to clarify, which stage is doing this maneuver?
- It's the upper stage is doing this belly flop maneuver.
So this is the stage that would presumably
have humans on board if we were to use.
- And if things continue to plan.
Now here's something I would love to see.
Just saying this.
If you already have these big aero surfaces, the flaps,
they also have to move.
They're on heavy motors and hinges and flaps
and all that stuff.
I'm actually surprised that for Earth,
they aren't just looking at landing it horizontally
on a runway like the space shuttle.
- Ooh.
- I mean, that worked.
The Bron did it.
You know, the Soviet Union's Bron.
I rolled my R real hard there, sorry.
- Thank you, wow.
- Wow, really good space.
- I'm very impressed, I'm very impressed.
- And you know, the Bron did it.
We have other space planes like the X-37B.
We have the upcoming Sierra Nevada's Dream Chaser.
It's, yeah, you have some extra mass in the wings,
but so does Starship.
Starship has the extra mass of those flaps
and the motors and the hinges and all that stuff.
I would like to see the trade on like,
is it actually lighter weight to do that
versus doing what SpaceX is doing?
So yeah, I mean, that's the funny thing.
I think realistically, if Elon walks in the door tomorrow
and says, guys, we did some simulations
and actually it's like, we can get another 5,000 kilograms
into space if we just land it horizontally.
If we kind of give up on our ego and land horizontally,
at least on Earth, then, you know,
I think they could be doing that pretty quickly.
'Cause that's the thing is,
this ultimate thing has been to land on Mars
and other planets, and Mars doesn't have a runway,
doesn't have a thick enough atmosphere
to utilize aerodynamic flight like that.
So you have to do propulsive landing for Mars.
You're gonna land on an unprepared surface, you know?
So it has to be able to do this at some point.
It sounds ridiculous, and it is,
but the ultimate goal of it is to land on Mars.
- There's not much of an atmosphere to like,
to help you with the, for the belly flop to be useful.
- There's only 1% the atmosphere on Mars
as there is on Earth, but you still wanna utilize
as much of that atmosphere as possible.
So in the upper atmosphere, it's still going to be
coming in more or less kind of perpendicular
to the airstream.
I guess it's probably more like, you know,
60 degrees, 70 degrees to the airstream,
like where it's belly flopping.
And it's gonna especially do that on Mars.
It's gonna need to, you know, use up as,
let the little bit of atmosphere there is,
you know, you're coming in at insane velocities.
And so even that 1% thin atmosphere
is still going to do a lot of work.
Now on Mars, there's only 38% of Earth's gravity on Mars.
So the belly flop maneuver is a lot,
it could be a lot more conservative.
You could do that at like 5,000 feet up,
and it just wouldn't matter as much
'cause there's not as much gravity loss or gravity drag.
So you can kind of just more slowly, gently,
you know, you don't have to do this crazy extravagant
like belly flop, you know, flip maneuver.
But it would still, something at some point,
you would transition from more or less
perpendicular to the airstream to, you know,
on a horizontal to landing vertically.
- I like how we're having this old, boring conversation
about the differences of landing on Earth versus on Mars.
This is surreal that this is actually a real conversation,
that this is something that we're discussing.
'Cause it has to do both.
- Yeah.
But in my opinion, I think we'll pretty quickly
see an evolution of Starship that's like
dedicated versions for certain tasks.
And at the end of the day, again,
if someone runs a simulation and says
it's actually more efficient and it's better
just to land horizontally on a runway,
then that's what's gonna happen.
You know, it doesn't matter, but they still will develop,
you know, if the ultimate goal is to land on Mars,
then they'll have a dedicated Mars variant, you know,
which will likely look different than the Earth variant,
you know, and they'll probably be launched
on the same booster, you know what I mean?
So there's--
- Oh, you mean like that particular vehicle
will not be returning back to Earth,
it'll need to be modified.
'Cause the ultimate is to have one Starship
that goes to Mars, lands on Mars,
then takes off of Mars, lands back on Earth,
and is reused again.
- Yeah. - Over and over and over.
- And there's a chance that you, you know,
you have just a cycler, just a, you know,
if you're, at the end of the day,
you're just really trying to see what is most feasible,
what's the most efficient.
You literally have a vehicle dedicated to Mars.
Mars is easy to do a single stage orbit.
It's a lot lower gravity, a lot thinner atmosphere.
You can easily do a single stage orbit.
You get into orbit, you'd park to a dedicated, you know,
transfer vehicle that goes between Earth and Mars.
It only stays in space.
You don't have heat shields, you don't have landing legs,
you don't have all these things that you need.
And ideally, it's nuclear powered, so it's super efficient.
That gets you back to Earth.
Once you're at Earth, you rendezvous again
with another landing starship,
and that starship might be a horizontal runway starship,
you know, like there's no, I don't see the,
and I think ultimately it'll win out
where we don't have a one size fits all.
I think that's the flaw of the space shuttle,
really, is that it was trying to do everything
and ended up kind of doing nothing well.
But that's, I think, what SpaceX has proven.
I mean, SpaceX already has variants coming.
There's already going to be a dedicated lunar lander
for NASA, for the Artemis program.
There's already going to be a tanker variant.
There's already going to be likely just a pure cargo version.
There's likely going to be a human version.
§19Transcript · 2:18:13–2:26:28
We'll likely see evolutions of this thing happen,
you know, relatively quickly.
- And once it's all working,
it's only a matter of weeks before people riding on it
will be complaining about the speed of the wifi.
(laughing)
As the old, like, Louis C.K. joke,
with like, you're flying on a chair through the air.
It's incredible.
- You didn't even know this existed,
and now you're complaining about it.
- It's great. - Exactly.
- So you tweeted, "Fun fact about Starship.
"By doing the flip around 500 meters
"versus higher up, like 2,000 meters,
"the difference in delta-v is 500 meters per second.
"That's a 20-ton fuel saving,
"which means basically 20 tons more you can put into orbit.
"That's more than Falcon 9 has ever launched,
"just by flipping later."
- That's really interesting.
So that was the decision, too, to flip close to the ground.
- Yeah, yeah.
The closer to the ground, the better.
The more, again, the more the atmosphere is doing work,
and, you know, we get into,
that video really dives into, like,
gravity losses and gravity drag.
The more time you're spent,
every second that your rocket engine is running,
Earth is stealing 9.8 meters per second
of acceleration against you.
There's just inherently 9.8 meters per second
squared of acceleration.
So every second that engine is running,
the first big majority of your thrust
is actually being just stolen by Earth's gravity well.
So the longer you're fighting that,
the more inefficient it is.
So I mean, the best thing would be,
you flip at 100 meters off the ground,
you light all your engines to maximum thrust,
and you pull 50 Gs, you know,
and you land on a dime, basically.
Obviously, there's no margin there,
and there's diminishing returns on that gravity loss thing
and in your high thrust weight ratios.
So that's a pretty good compromise.
Yes, it looks scary,
but they could be a lot more aggressive with that, yeah,
and squeeze out even a little bit better performance,
but there are diminishing returns.
So that's kind of the magic number we've seen so far today,
but we'll likely see that, you know, be played with.
- You've attended some of these.
What does it feel like to see Starship in person?
First of all, when it's just sitting there stacked,
and second of all, when it's doing some of these tests,
some of these maneuvers?
- Well, first off, if you have the freedom of traveling
and happen to live within a reasonable,
either by plane or car, it's worth going down to South Texas.
So Starbase is right on the border of Mexico
and the United States, in the very southern tip of Texas,
right along the Rio Grande,
and it's insane because it's right along a public highway.
You can literally, anyone can drive down this,
assuming it's not closed for testing,
'cause they do close the highways during the week
a decent amount while they're doing tests,
but sans any of those days, anyone can just drive down
and see these things up close and personal
with their own eyes.
Like we're talking, you know, from 100, 200 meters away,
you know, so two football fields away
from the world's biggest, most powerful rocket.
Imagine being able to do that during the, you know,
Soviet Union and, you know, during the N1 and the Saturn V,
you know, imagine just being able to drive up
right next to the launch pad.
There's no way, you know, and so to have this kind of access
to this program is so incredible.
The craziest thing is when you're driving out
on Highway 4, it's bumpy, it's riddled with potholes now
because of all the insane amount of trucks
having to go out there and traffic,
and you're going through this, it's just this weird,
you're like, where am I?
You occasionally are seeing, like you can kind of see the,
I mean, you can see Mexico out your right window
as you're driving down this highway, you know,
and you're just sitting there, like, where am I?
And then all of a sudden you kind of turn this corner
and the trees and the brush kind of clear out,
and all of a sudden you get a sense of everything
on the horizon, and at that point you're pretty much
five miles on the nose or eight kilometers away.
And from there, you can just see through the heat haze,
through the, you know, the atmospheric distortion,
and you just see this weird, like,
it looks like a city almost on the horizon, you know?
There's tons of these tall buildings,
there's a weird ominous launch tower thing
with arms wide open, and sometimes,
and, you know, a giant metal rocket.
And it just looks so, so weird.
I mean, it's, the word surreal, I think, by definition,
I think if you are expecting it, it's not surreal.
I think surreal kind of means, like,
unexpected surprise or whatever, you know?
Even if you're expecting it, even if you've seen pictures,
even if everything, it is surreal.
- Yeah.
- You stand there and you just go, what is this?
- And also, I mean, there's a kind of magical aspect
to the, this is the place where, over the next few years,
we'll start, as a human species, reaching out there,
traveling out there.
- We'll for sure see the development of the rockets
that I think will take us further than ever before.
Be born right there.
- What's it like to witness the actual testing of Starship?
- So far, it's been high stakes, like, it's been insane,
so the first I kind of mentioned earlier,
there's been SN8, 9, 10, 11, and 15
that have all done these suborbital hops.
The highest one went 12.5 kilometers
and the rest of the four went 10 kilometers in altitude
and then turned off the engines and just fell.
Now, the cool thing about that is the general public
could be about five miles away,
so again, like eight kilometers away,
and the weird thing is this rocket's slowly accelerating.
They didn't want to exceed a certain speed,
so they didn't have to worry about the aerodynamics of it.
They just slowly climbed,
and it probably also appeased the FAA.
They were like, "Here, we'll just limit
"the thrust to weight ratio and just make it
"so it's slow and controlled, no big deal."
So it's basically more or less like slightly above a hover,
just climbing for minutes, for like four or five minutes,
you just hear and feel the roar of this thing.
Normal rockets, after the first 30 seconds or minute,
they're so far away that it's just diminishing.
It's just fading, fading, fading, fading.
You still get that rumble, that sense,
but those first five flights, the suborbital hops were,
just, I'll cherish them forever,
'cause you're watching this thing
that you've driven up next to,
you've seen it with your own eyes,
that's bigger than most buildings
in a fairly dense urban area.
It's this massive thing.
You stand there, you stood there, you look at it,
you're like, "Wow, that's crazy."
You've seen people working on it,
they're little ants compared to it.
Then you drive away, and you see it on the horizon,
and all of a sudden, that thing leaves.
It starts moving.
- Hovering. - Hovering.
- Essentially. - The first time,
I mean, for me, at least, I put my hands on my head.
I can't help it.
It's not, I don't know what it is.
- It's surreal, like you said.
- I don't know what in human nature decides
this is what to do when you can't believe something,
but that's what happens.
When that thing first took off,
it was just like my brain couldn't process seeing,
'cause I had spent so much time driving around
and seeing it, and all of a sudden,
you're watching it just take off,
and you're like, "It's moving."
And all these, you know,
the most complicated rocket engines ever made
are all firing simultaneously,
and it didn't blow up on the launch pad,
and it's slowly increasing, and it's just crazy,
and the sound, everything about it.
And so by the time, the first one specifically,
it was December 2020, was the first SN8.
It went up, and I actually, we all lost it in the sky.
We couldn't quite see it, but we had telescopes
and high telephoto lenses tracking it,
and what's funny is there's a pretty strong wind
up there at altitude, and it was moving.
There's a lot of gaseous oxygen being vented
out of the rocket, and it's being blown by this air,
so it looks like it's moving actually quite quickly,
like away from us, like it was strafing to one side.
So I'm watching the monitor.
I'm going, "Oh my God, they're moving it
"like over Brownsville," and we're all, all of us,
everyone on this hotel balcony is looking out down,
like way out over, and we can't find it,
and we're like, "Where did they lose it?"
§20Transcript · 2:26:30–2:33:57
Like we're thinking like, "Oh my God,
"this is gonna crash down in Brownsville."
And finally, they shut the engines off,
and we're watching it fall, and again, we're tracking it.
We know it's falling, and it's falling, falling, falling.
It's falling super controlled, and we're like,
"Oh my God, this is perfect," and all of a sudden,
it clicked, and I see it with my eyes.
I finally like track it, and it's straight out,
like straight in front of us, and it looks like
it was a blimp, just barely moving,
'cause it is falling slowly, thanks to all of its drag,
and again, that's one of those moments I'm like,
"It's falling so slow," 'cause it's so big.
It's so massive.
It's falling sideways.
I've seen Falcon 9 boosters and Falcon Heavy boosters,
and they scream.
They come in so fast, and you can barely even see them.
You can just barely track them,
and all of a sudden, they light their engines,
and they decelerate so quickly.
This was like the opposite.
It was like, "Is that thing ever coming down?"
It was just falling so slowly, and so right there.
It just felt like it was so close,
and so when it finally lit its engine, and it flipped,
I was losing my mind, 'cause I'm like, "It's working."
You know, this crazy plan, this huge, massive thing
is doing this absurd feat, and the first one,
well, the first four, again, didn't work out as planned,
but getting to that point already,
getting to that flip maneuver was a huge milestone,
and it was so exciting just going through those firsts
were amazing, and I think we're coming up now
on them doing the full stacks of the booster
and the upper stage.
I think when we see that fly,
when that leaves Earth for the first time,
it'll be, like I said, almost twice the amount of thrust
as anything else.
It'll be the biggest, heaviest, largest thing to ever fly.
It's going to shake everything.
I can't wait.
- Have all 33 Raptor engines been active at once?
Have they tested that?
- No, that's coming up.
That's kind of the next milestone.
I don't know when this will come out,
but that's like the next--
- Just a few days, very quickly here.
- Then, but if people are listening to this,
if they're listening to it early on,
they'll likely be able to catch,
you know, I think at this point, it seems like next week.
- So step one would be static fire?
- Yep, holding onto the rocket and lighting up the engines,
and so, so far, they've lit, at most,
they kind of, they went for like a,
more than 14 engines static fired.
I don't recall if it was like, you know,
16 or something engines lit at once,
and they ended up going down to 14 engines.
That's the most engines they've ever lit.
So the next step, and the final kind of step
before they fly this thing,
is they're actually going to light
all 33 engines simultaneously.
And although that sounds scary,
let's not forget the Falcon Heavy
that's now flown five times completely flawlessly,
has 27 engines running simultaneously.
So they definitely have, you know,
SpaceX has experience with a high number of engines running
at the same time, but it is still like,
this is going to be a lot of moving parts
and a lot of potential and a lot, just a lot of everything.
- What are the upcoming milestones, expected milestones?
And I think there's one in particular
I'd like to talk to you more about,
but leading up to that, of course, is like,
what are some of the tests here on the way?
So is it the static fire,
the fully stacked with the two stages?
Will there be, and then all that leading
to an orbital launch test?
So what are the things we should know about?
And what do you think, like,
what do you think the timeline will be
with like the orbital test?
- Timeline, the reason that we have this website,
the expected milestones, is because I always tell people
to ignore any time you ever hear for any of this stuff,
just pay attention to milestones,
because when you're doing stuff for the first time,
you just have no idea.
- So just to understand the expected milestones here,
the first column is the event,
the second column is the date and status TBD complete,
green means what?
- Green means it's been completed
and it shows the completion date there.
- And the completion date.
And then the other is, maybe more, maybe not,
for the full stack testing.
The D-stack and there's a 33 engine.
- So realistically, we're expecting them to D-stack,
and SpaceX, I think, just tweeted that, actually,
that they're going to be D-stacking the second stage
from the first stage,
kind of get the ship safe while they test,
because they don't want to, you know,
33 engines is pretty high risk
if they do blow up the rocket.
When they test it for the first time,
it's not going to be fully fueled, I don't think, at least,
but there is a limit to how,
they do have to have it weighed down enough
that the launch clamps can hold onto it,
because if you think about it,
normally the launch clamps are holding onto an entire rocket
weighing five million kilograms?
Five million, you know, it's weighing an insane amount,
so those clamps don't actually have to hold
75 mega newtons of thrust,
they really only have to hold down
25 mega newtons of thrust, you know what I mean?
They're not designed to hold down all 75.
They do have to have enough weight on the rocket,
so even when they do the testing of the 33 engines,
they'll have to have enough propellant in there
that they don't exceed the clamping
and the holding force of the stand,
otherwise it'll break free from the launch stand
and that booster will go flying off uncontrolled.
- So it's a difficult thing to figure out in the test
how many simultaneous things you test, right?
- So they're kind of mitigating risks,
which is why like, they're destacking,
you know, they don't want to have,
although the ship could be on top of it
to help weigh it down and simulate the, you know,
the launch environment better,
at some point that's a risk they're just going to take
when they go for launch,
and so for now they're taking the ship off
in case something goes wrong during the 33 engine test.
And then once we see if the 33 engine test goes well,
hopefully we see the second stage get stacked back on it.
We'll see them get closer, like closing out all the items
and hope, the big one too is the FAA launch license.
That's a, that'll be publicly filed.
We'll see that, you know, in the system,
having a launch license.
And I have no sense of that type of thing,
you know, that's outside of,
but that is a big milestone
and it might be something that could potentially hinder,
you know, hold up the launch date,
we'll just be waiting for a launch license.
- Yeah, I'm sure there's a lot of fascinating bureaucracy
and politics and legal stuff
and all that kind of beautiful, magical thing
when you live in reality.
Because it is, I mean, it is a big rocket.
- Yeah.
Well, and the biggest thing, it's not so much,
the FAA doesn't necessarily care
about the success of the rocket.
They really just care about the safety
of public and public property, you know?
So it's a matter of being convinced
and having the data to prove,
okay, if this thing blows up,
we have a control of how and when it blows up.
We have control of, you know, X, Y, and Z.
Here's the potential damage, here's the blast radius.
You know, this again is over twice as powerful
and twice as much potential.
Actually, it's a lot more potential
for an explosive energy if it, you know,
if it were to happen to,
well, let me walk back a little bit
because in order to have a real detonation,
you have to have a perfect mixture ratio
of your fuel and oxidizer.
When a rocket blows up, typically, you know,
it kind of unzips and some of the fuel
will mix into some of the oxidizer
and you could have some explosive energy.
But a lot of it's actually just a deflagration.
It's just, you know, flames.
And there would be explosive energy,
but it's not like you're lighting all of it simultaneously
and it's this giant bomb.
It's just really not.
So that's good, but at the same time,
even in those circumstances,
the amount of energy is still absurd.
Enough to likely blow out windows, you know,
§21Transcript · 2:33:59–2:42:03
for miles and miles and miles, including my studio space.
- Well, if the cameras hold up,
it would be one heck of a show.
Hopefully, of course, would not happen.
So how does that take us to an orbital launch?
When do you think that would happen?
- In my opinion, this is a very fluid
and this will change literally by the hour.
- So you really think that it's very difficult
to really say like, even for something
that could very well happen this year,
even just a few months away,
you should make a prediction.
By the way, are you like superstitious
on this kind of stuff a little bit?
Like, you're worried about jinxing it
and that kind of stuff? - No, not at all.
No.
- Because I would imagine you would be like waiting
for all of these launches that keep getting delayed,
where you start thinking that there's certain things
you do will control the weather.
- My socks.
Why am I wearing these socks?
Just scrubbed again, you know, like, yeah.
- You're lucky.
You have to wear the same lucky socks,
otherwise there's going to be bad weather.
So the reason that I say this and why it's so difficult
is they did a first full stack test in July of 2021.
And the expectation was we're a month or two away
from a launch.
So like, realistically for 18 months,
I've been in a purgatory thinking that we're a month
or two away of an orbital launch.
Now I did say, for the record, when that thing stacked
and when a lot of speculation was saying,
you know, a month or two, I was saying,
I don't expect it to fly in 2021.
You know, and I've been just saying,
I just saw the amount of work that still needed to be done,
like on the ground systems, the tanks, the launch mount,
all the stuff I'm sitting there like,
there's still a lot of stuff.
They're gonna have to validate it.
They're gonna have to test everything, every component.
And, you know, people were like,
how dare you say that even Gwen Shotwell,
the president of SpaceX is saying Q3 of 2021.
I'm like, okay, but like, I'm just,
I'm not going to be surprised if it slips into 2022.
And here we are at the beginning of 2023.
And I think we're finally within like two months.
I'm expecting, like I'm trying to keep my March
and April as free as I can.
We'll put it that way.
- I love it.
Actually, just in a small tangent on Gwen Shotwell,
like what do you, from everything I know,
she's an instrumental, a really crucial person
to the success of SpaceX in running the show.
She's the president, the COO.
What do you know about her that sort of,
the genius of Gwen Shotwell?
- Man, my understanding is she's really the glue.
You know, she's the glue to the tornado.
Tornado comes in and then she comes around
and just really executes on, and helps, you know,
a famous story is that at some point Elon walked in
or she sprinted into a meeting
because Elon was actively trying to cancel Falcon Heavy,
saying it's too far, like it's too much development,
it's still too far away.
And this is like, you know,
this might've been like end of 2017 or something.
And it flew for the first time in 2018.
So we're talking like it's close to the end of development.
You know, there's hardware being built, all this stuff.
And Elon's literally in a meeting telling people
they're gonna cancel it and we're gonna move on to BFR,
or now Starship, and just go full steam ahead on that.
And she runs into the meeting and reminds Elon,
we have X amount of customers
have already purchased a ride on Falcon Heavy.
We can't delay that.
You know, so it's that business sense of like,
yes, it's great to innovate,
but we also have to pay our dues
and make the money to continue our operations.
And I think she's just a lot better at,
she has, I think she has such a great perspective
on everything.
It really seems like everything, she doesn't,
I wish she did more interviews
'cause I would love to hear more from her.
But man, like it just seems--
- Hear that, Gwen?
(laughing)
- For both of us.
- Yeah, she hasn't actually done that many interviews, right?
- Not really, no.
She's done like a TED Talk,
a couple of little things here and there,
but not really many interviews.
And I would just love to hear like what,
you know, what on a daily basis,
like what is she doing to keep her head on
and keep everything so organized?
You know, it's, you know, yeah.
My understanding is that she is absolutely integral
and does just an insane amount of work at SpaceX.
- Yeah, I mean, so it's the project planning,
but also the, how the teams integrate together
and the hiring and just the management of the whole thing.
- I think it's a lot of it, honestly,
even just the business,
making sure the money's flowing
in a positive trend, more or less, you know?
That, yes, Elon's obviously a money guy,
but he thinks, he's so, I think Elon is so risky.
You know, he just loves to throw it all in
that he leaves little margin for error.
You know, he's been really lucky with rolling his dice,
you know, especially like when he started SpaceX and Tesla.
That was the ultimate roll of the dice.
But I think she's a healthy balance to be like,
well, here's our, you know, operations
and now we can continue to do this
without risking everything, you know?
And Starship's close, let me be clear.
Starship is close to risking everything already.
It's just such a big, fast-moving,
high-risk developmental program that like,
I personally think, you know, SpaceX would probably be fine
if they shut the doors on Starship
and just flew Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy
for the next 10 years,
they would still be commercially valid.
They could not spend another dollar
on research and development.
They could fire, I don't want them to,
fire everyone involved in anything research and development
and just ran operations on Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy
and they would still be dominant for 10 years.
And they would still have a business case
and they'd still be fine.
But they're all in, like all chips are pretty much,
as many chips as possible are in for Starship.
- And this, I don't know what else I could say.
I've talked to a lot of great leaders.
There's just not many people like Elon
that would push for Starship.
- When they're already as far ahead.
- A very successful company.
Sort of everyone doubted
that it could be a successful company.
It was so close to bankruptcy and failing.
And then to take it into a financially viable,
successful company, and just when you do,
you take on a project that again risks everything.
- Well, he already did this with Falcon 1 to Falcon 9.
Like literally people were like, what are you doing?
They basically signed over
and were fully ramping up Falcon 9
by the time they finally had their first Falcon 1 success.
They had one more flight.
They only flew Falcon 1 successfully twice.
They flew it five times altogether.
The fourth one was successful and they flew one more time.
And anyone else out there would have been like,
let's keep flying the Falcon 1.
We have a working rocket.
We can start making money and profiting.
And already he was risking it all and saying, nope,
we're going from Falcon 1 to Falcon 9
was a huge, huge leap.
I think it's at least as big as a leap from Falcon 1 to 9
as it is from Falcon 9 to Starship
or around relatively a similar leap.
So it's just that same thing again.
People are going, why are you leaping
into this insane program and system and risk
when you finally have this workhorse of a rocket
that's so dominant in the industry,
yet they're going 10X.
- It so happens that you've been selected
for the Dear Moon mission that will fly Starship
once around the moon with nine people on board.
You are one of those people.
So just pause to take that in.
Everything that we've been talking about,
you will not just be reporting on,
you will be a part of it.
So tell me about the objective of this mission
and how does it feel to be a part of it?
- Well.
Man.
Yeah, it's basically, it's the Willy Wonka of space.
Like a generous, a generous individual
purchased a ride from SpaceX as early,
§22Transcript · 2:42:06–2:50:20
at least as far as I know, the earliest I knew about it
was February 27th, 2017.
- Who's the individual?
- Yusaku Maezawa, but at the time,
I'm telling a story at the time we didn't know.
Okay, great.
So February 27th, 2017, a press release comes out
from SpaceX saying someone purchased a ride
through us around the moon.
We're gonna fly someone around the moon.
And at the time it was on a Crew Dragon capsule
and a Falcon Heavy.
It's like, wow.
And that was enough.
That little moment right there, that press release.
It's the first time I'm like,
I'm gonna make a YouTube video about this.
And I stood up, turned on my camera,
put on my, at the time, space suit.
And I basically yelled at the camera for three minutes
about someone's going around the moon.
Fast forward to 2018, end of 2018 or near the end,
they introduced, there was a SpaceX press conference.
I'm there as a member of the press.
I'm reporting on, we're going to meet this person
that's going around the moon
and come to find out, boom,
they're going to be riding on Starship now.
They changed from Falcon Heavy and Dragon.
SpaceX is no longer going to do that.
They're going to upgrade them basically to Starship.
So instead of being in like a small tin can,
they're in this giant, luxurious,
mega rocket around the moon.
And it comes out that this individual named Yusaku Maezawa,
who is a Japanese billionaire, purchased this ride.
And instead of inviting his friends and colleagues
and whatever, whoever's family members or whatever,
he decided that the most impactful thing he could do
with this opportunity is invite more or less artists.
And the original thing was like artists,
journalists, a painter, an athlete,
photographer, videographer, all walks of life basically.
- When they said athlete, they thought of you.
(laughing)
- They're like, I know a guy.
This guy rode rag by once.
(laughing)
And at the time, I was like, this is crazy.
I can't believe this is gonna happen.
And he had this vision of we're gonna find people
from all around the world.
I'm going to invite people from all around the world,
from different walks of life, different trades.
And I'm going to share this experience
so that they can share it with the world
and really have an impact much greater than any one country
or any one individual or any set of military trained
astronauts could do, offer up a new perspective.
Beautiful.
Literally, I mean, at the press conference, I cried.
Like I had a couple of tears in my eyes.
I was like, this is so cool.
- We could just pause on that.
So he goes by MZ.
- MZ, yep.
- How incredible is that?
- It's, I'd like, I think it's,
you often don't realize the importance of individuals
in human history.
Like they define because this could be,
we talked about the importance of Elon in particular.
Most of the work is done by large groups of people
that are collective intelligence that we band together.
But like these individuals can be the spark
of the catalyst of that progress.
And I mean, just this idea of getting not just civilians,
which is already incredible,
but civilians with a sort of an artistic flame
that burns inside them, they're able to communicate.
Whatever they do, are able to communicate something
about that experience.
And it's just a genius idea to spend quite probably
a very large amount of money for that.
I mean, it's, and that will be part of history.
- Yeah, and it's easy these days for people to be cynical,
especially about like space flight and wealthy individuals.
But really, in my opinion, and maybe just the time
I was just so couldn't believe this idea,
I'm someone that has studied a lot about the Apollo program,
the people that have been to the moon,
and they're incredible individuals, incredible individuals,
but they're so saturated with tasks,
and they're military trained and often,
that they didn't really have the luxury
of just being able to soak in the experience
of going around or to the moon
and seeing the moon up close with your own eyes.
Like that just psychologically has to be insane.
And so to have this opportunity to be able to observe
our closest celestial neighbor with your own eyes
and your sole purpose is to soak it in and share it
and communicate and create with the rest of our planet,
like that to me is just beautiful.
- So that is the objective of the mission.
- That right there is the objective of the mission.
- And how does it feel to be selected
as one of the nine to do it?
- It's a gradient.
It's slowly, it's doing a few things.
Since I've known it's become,
I think the closer it gets, the more excited
and the more nervous I get.
- And the more real it becomes.
- The more real it becomes.
The announcement was a big,
it just got announced at the end of 2022 publicly,
who's involved.
And so prior to that, I had each step
of the selection process,
there's a pretty comprehensive selection process
with interviews and stuff.
Each step, I'd try not to get my hopes up.
And frankly, let me be clear,
this was not something that I've always wanted to do.
It's not like I'm out there,
I didn't start doing YouTube videos
'cause I wanted to even go to space,
like none of that.
And I've said, hilariously, I've probably said
dozens or hundreds of times on air,
yeah, I don't ever wanna go to space.
'Cause it's not a driving force.
It's not really a thing I even really truly pictured
or let myself fantasize about, frankly.
So each step of the selection process,
I didn't really let myself dream about it too much
or it would kinda chip away,
like, oh my God, this is actually becoming more real.
This is actually more and more of an opportunity.
And I get equally more nervous too.
Like, frankly, I've seen space flight stuff go wrong.
I think about this stuff a lot.
So like, yeah, I get more nervous,
but I also get more excited about that opportunity.
Like it's an opportunity that how can you pass?
And I still have to actually stop, pause, think,
and actually realize the reality
that I am going to the moon,
I'm going to see the moon up close,
flying around the moon.
I'm sorry, some people get mad when I say going to the moon
since I'm not landing on it.
But flying around the moon,
seeing the far side of the moon with my own eyes
and seeing the earth rise behind it.
Yeah, it's going to, I just,
I can't tell you what it's going to be like and feel like.
- It's so epic.
- But it's insane to me
that like we're having this conversation
and that that is my reality, you know?
And that someone was generous enough
to consider the option of sharing this
with frankly strangers.
And the process that they had for selecting,
like how much thought and time
went into the selection process is incredible.
You know, they did a public call at the beginning of 2021.
And so the teams involved in whittling it down
from a million applicants,
there's a million applicants that whittled it,
and they got it down to eight crew members and two backups.
Amazing people.
I would have, you know,
I don't know how they wound up where they did,
but it's incredible.
I feel very deep connection
to everyone that's already involved.
- What can you say about the crew?
You've gotten the chance to meet them and talk to them.
I know Steve Aoki is on the crew.
Like, who else is there?
So you are obviously the star athlete.
Who else, in terms of the artists that are there?
- So, oh man, we might just want to pull up,
just so I don't totally butcher and forget anybody.
But because so far I haven't actually had the chance
to meet everyone in person.
You know, so far a lot of this was done during the pandemic,
but we've met through a couple of different things.
We've had a couple of different times to get together.
But so, so far I've not met Steve Aoki yet or Top.
We've been on calls and stuff.
I also have not yet met Dev Joshi,
who is an actor from India.
So yeah, Steve Aoki, American DJ and producer and musician.
Top from South Korea is also a musician and a producer.
- So this is all across the world.
So like truly global, all different kinds of walks of life.
§23Transcript · 2:50:23–2:58:59
- Yes. - All artists
of different forms.
- And Steve is Japanese.
His parents are Japanese,
but he, you know, born and raised in the United States.
Yemi is a dancer and choreographer from the Czech Republic.
Rhiannon is a fine art photographer from, well,
England and Ireland.
I guess she lives in both and kind of a bit of a,
she's all over the place.
Technically she's Irish, I guess.
Tim Dodd, yep, that's me, from the United States.
Then you have Kareem, who is from England
and does also as a photographer and documentarian.
Does a lot of work with oceanography and volcanoes.
So he does really incredible work.
Brendan Hall is a documentarian and filmmaker.
Dev Joshi, sorry, Brendan is also from the United States.
Dev Joshi is an Indian actor.
I believe also, I believe he's also already been producing
and things, he's very young.
I think he's only like 19 or 20.
And he's, I mean, he's been acting since he was like
five years old or something.
He's a Bollywood star.
Like he is a star in India, which is really cool.
- Right.
- Caitlin Farrington from the United States
is an Olympic gold medalist snowboarder.
So she, believe it or not, is the athlete and not me.
- Oh, all right.
(laughing)
- And then, and she's one of the back up crew members,
as so is Miyu from Japan, who's a dancer.
- That's amazing.
I mean, it's such an interesting group.
I mean, is there something else you could say about MZ?
About Yusaku Maezawa?
- Yeah, Yusaku Maezawa.
So he's also a musician.
So he was actually in like some kind of punk,
hardcore Japanese bands in the early,
in the '90s and stuff, in the early 2000s.
He started a record company and distribution and sales
ended up in fashion and owns one of the biggest
fashion companies in Japan.
And has become a fine art collector
and just kind of a philanthropist.
- And he's been out to space already.
- He's already not only been to space,
like he's been to the International Space Station.
He's been on orbit and on the ISS.
And so he, what's cool is like,
there's talks of, frankly, to be honest,
we still don't, I still don't know
all of the details about this.
We're not yet into training.
I kind of always assumed prior
that there'd be some professional astronaut,
when they talked about in 2018,
there's talks of we'll have a professional astronaut
on board, but realistically now,
like MZ is a trained astronaut.
He has trained a lot, like six months plus
to be able to fly on Soyuz.
So as far as like, it's good to know for me
that I have someone on the crew
that has experience with spaceflight,
has trained and has some knowledge on spaceflight as well.
You know, that is an important aspect for sure.
- So you made an excellent video
about flying in a fighter jet
that I think you mentioned may be relevant to the training.
Is there some high level aspects to training
that you anticipate that you might be able to speak to?
- Yeah, so, you know, so far I think we can really lean
on what has happened with the other, you know,
commercial crew missions and in private missions
like the Inspiration4 mission or Axiom
where SpaceX flew individuals.
They trained for about six months,
a lot of like reading manuals and learning the spacecraft.
- Are you gonna do like a Rocky IV montage or?
- I hope I just get shredded.
I hope it's physical, a lot of physical training.
- And they're like, we didn't tell him to do it.
He just seems to wanna fill himself shirtless in the snow.
Doesn't make any, how is this relevant?
- Punching meat, why is he always doing this?
Can't get him to stop punching meat.
So yeah, hopefully, realistically.
- That's a manual reading, I like it.
But there's a physical component to all of this
and that's really, I mean, that's fascinating.
It's also inspiring the sort of civilians can do this.
That's really interesting.
- Yeah, I mean, this is, and to me this represents,
this and the other commercial space, you know,
private spaceflight missions like this
represent really a turning point, like truly an inflection.
And again, it's easy for people to be cynical
that, oh, you know, why are people wasting all this money
doing spaceflight stuff?
It's like, well, I'm sure some people
were saying that same thing about airplanes
and early aviation, going like, why are we,
can't believe those people are wasting the government's,
you know, funding these stupid planes and stuff.
How's this ever gonna benefit me?
And nowadays, like imagine if all the planes
just stopped working.
Like we'd freak out, it's like our economy would collapse.
It would suck, you know?
And it might be a long time before we get to that reality
with spaceflight.
But no, if spaceflight halted today, you know,
space assets, all of our, you know, on-orbit assets,
our life would be crippled.
And I don't think people realize that.
So it's already, we're already reliant on it.
But now we're getting to the point where it's,
we're really turning that corner
where it's the average person alive today.
You know, if you're born, you know, now, from now on,
I think there's a real decent chance that by the time
you pass, there's an opportunity to have flown in space.
- Yeah, I mean, I, if I'm being honest,
I still haven't lost the feeling of magic
of flying in an airplane.
I often catch myself thinking like, how is this real?
How is, and like the contrast of this incredible thing
that's incredibly safe, flying through the air,
taking off and landing, while everyone else
just looks bored, watching like, I don't know,
some romantic comedy on their phone with wifi.
- Yeah.
- So it's just, it's like, the contrast of that is like,
wow, we're incredible, we're incredible as a society.
And it's like, we develop some amazing technology
that improves almost immeasurably our quality of life,
and then we take it for granted,
and now still reach for the next thing.
And the next thing in life becomes more beautiful
and complex and interesting.
And yeah, it's just, the same stuff will be happening
with space travel.
- Oh, it'll become mundane and boring at some point.
- The tough thing about space travel, of course,
you know, I don't even know if it's such a giant leap
over airplanes, because airplanes are already incredible.
But the tough thing with space travel is the destination,
right, is the landing on whole other worlds,
whether it's docking with different transport vehicles
or the space station, or it's landing elsewhere.
And it really is incredible.
I think you mentioned, since there's artists,
there's filmmakers and so on, and you're all of those,
on top of being a great athlete.
I don't know, I'll just stop the running joke at this point.
But is there, have you thought about, just in general,
we've offline talked about microphones
and all the different ways to film space launch,
yeah, rocket launches.
Have you thought about the different options
of how to capture this?
Have you, have the team, have been brainstorming
and thinking about this?
Do you anticipate it being super challenging?
'Cause there's so many opportunities
to sort of think of how to do this.
- So one of the fun things to remember
is that Starship is huge.
Like its internal volume is,
the pressurized volume on Starship
is bigger than a 747's pressurized volume.
And it can take 100 metric tons to anywhere
with enough refueling.
So we have, in theory, very little mass
and volume constraints.
Unlike prior, all other space flight missions ever,
you're counting grams down to,
and just really can't risk,
you have very defined parameters
on what you can and cannot do.
We're going to likely have the luxury
of being able to film and capture this
in a way that's just never been done before.
We won't be inhibited by mass
and volume constraints like prior.
So all that said and done,
I'm hoping that we'll be able to just
arm ourselves to the teeth
with the absolute best cameras and equipment possible,
backups on backups, and pre-wire,
like pre-rig things.
Starship is going to be a transportation system
and it has, it's being built from the ground up.
There's no reason why they can't
put infrastructure in for cameras
that are just housed in the vehicle.
§24Transcript · 2:59:01–3:07:06
These are talks that I'm excited to have.
'Cause I really, ideally,
one of the things I'd love to do,
I'm going to be pushing really hard
to actually try live streaming
from inside during the launch.
- During the launch, live stream from the inside.
That would be incredible.
- Wouldn't that be?
- If that's possible to pull off,
that's really, really incredible.
There is the magic to the live stream
because like that's real, that's right there.
That would, the world would tune in.
That would be truly inspiring, yes.
- To me, that's one of those things,
a lot of people ask why they aren't doing it.
Of course, NASA and other individuals
will have their reasons of why not.
You know, there's obviously some technical hurdles,
but now with Starlink and other capabilities,
there's less hurdles.
There's obviously some transparency reasons why,
you know, and safety reasons
why it might not be a great idea
to live stream a risky rocket launch.
You know, the Challenger, I think,
put a pretty bad taste in our mouth
as far as publicizing an event
and having every student in the United States
tune in to, you know, a tragedy.
But that's something I'm pushing for really hard
just because I think it could be magical.
I think it could really connect with people
in a way that hasn't been done before.
- Speaking of Challenger,
have you thought about the fact that you're riding
a thing, as we've been talking about,
that's a giant, explosive, powerful rocket?
Have you thought about the risk of that,
the danger of that?
Have you contemplated your own mortality?
- How could I not?
You know, I've seen and felt
four of these prototype vehicles blow up,
you know, with my own eyes.
I don't know if there's anyone else,
you know, early days, some of the, you know,
Mercury and Gemini astronauts watched failures of rockets
and then got on them.
I don't know of too many people
that are dumb enough to do that, though,
these days, this day and age.
It's obviously, I will have to see
a lot of successful launches
and have to have a lot of confidence
in the engineering, the data,
that they've developed a safe system.
'Cause currently, the current iteration of Starship
has no abort system, has no escape tower.
So, you know, Dragon Capsule,
which is currently flying people,
has a launch abort system.
It has Super Draco engines that,
either by the push of a button
or by the automatic triggering of the flight computer,
can shoot the capsule off of the rocket in milliseconds
and pull it safely away, get it far enough away
that it can pull the parachutes and safely splash down.
Starship, by all iterations I've ever seen,
does not have that.
The Space Shuttle also did not have that.
So it's not absurd to not have an abort system.
Like, it is, there is, you know,
certain engineering principles that prove
that that could be a completely valid thing.
You know, the Space Shuttle flew 133 times
fully successfully.
It did have two failures,
resulting in the loss of 14 lives.
85, or sorry, 98.5% success rate.
Pretty, I mean, yeah.
I've probably done things that are a lot riskier.
I have raced motorcycles, drag raced motorcycles,
and, you know, ridden like an absolute jerk
on the streets on a motorcycle.
I'm sure I've had a higher than a 98.5% survival rate,
or lower than that, I mean, at some point.
So it's, you know, yes, it's risky, it's scary.
And I think about it a lot, a lot.
It definitely is one of those things that I, you know,
I will have to see.
And I'm in no hurry for this to happen either.
You know, personally, I'm in no hurry,
because it's like, I would rather see this thing
be developed and iterated and see 10, you know,
or I was gonna say 10 dozen,
but I'd be happy with a dozen fully successful,
like, oh, we've got this thing totally nailed down,
you know, before I get on it.
But, and that likely is the reality.
There will likely be a dozen or two or three launches,
because just even to get to the moon on Starship,
they have to refuel it in orbit.
So it will get to Earth orbit basically empty
and out of fuel.
So I'll have to dock with a fuel depot,
fill up, and then go to the moon.
So just to even get that full, you know,
we're already talking about, you know,
a handful of launches.
So there will be a lot of launches before we fly.
- Would they do a test flight without humans on board
that goes to the moon, or no?
- I'm not sure.
I'm not sure if they'll do that exact flight profile,
but by then they will have already flown,
most likely the Artemis III program
will have flown a Starship variant to the moon
that lands on the moon.
So doing, at that point, you're pretty much,
I would like them to test the heat shield
at that entry velocity, though,
'cause it is, you know, it takes another,
it's about 30% faster to get,
like, you have to go 30% faster than the low Earth orbit
to get out to a translunar injection.
And although that only sounds like, oh, it's 30% faster,
it's, you know, the reentry heating
experienced by a vehicle goes up by velocity cubed,
not squared, so, and not even, not linear.
So it's not like if you go twice as fast,
you get, you see twice as much heat,
you know, 30% faster, 30% more heat.
It's, and it's not squared.
It's not go twice as fast, get four times as much heat.
It's go twice as fast, get eight times
as much heat on reentry.
So 30% faster on reentry is actually
a really, really big deal.
So I would love to see that be tested.
You know, there's certain things
that I would love to see milestones
that I would love to see tested out
and proven before I get on board.
But at the end of the day, I really do believe
that just like Falcon 9 and the success of that,
that they're going to push it and get all the kinks out
well before anyone's on top of it.
Nowadays, Falcon 9 and Dragon is, you know,
arguably the, one of the safest, most reliable
and best rides you could take to space.
- Are you afraid of dying?
- Yeah, yeah.
- Is this one of the first times you get to, you're young.
- Yeah.
- Have you gotten a chance to think about death
as one of the first times you've really contemplated it?
- I mean, yeah.
I mean, like I said, I've had dumb moments on motorcycles
where I kind of saw, you know, like,
I am going to smash into this thing at 120 mile an hour.
- So you've had moments when you realized
it could end just like this.
- Yes.
- Where you literally, and I have,
for most of my adult life, had dreams of falling
and hitting the ground and it just all,
you get a ring in your ears, it all goes black.
And in my head, I go, oh shit, that was it.
- Have you seen a therapist about this or?
- Uh-uh.
- I wonder what it means.
(laughing)
- So I've, and--
- I'm sure there's a Freudian interpretation
somewhere in there.
That I'm going to also apply to my dating life.
No, the joke is, the running joke continues.
Okay, so, I mean, it's fascinating in general,
as I hope we'll talk about in the early days of space flight
that there is, the task of reaching out to the stars
is a fundamentally risky one.
You have to take risks, and of course,
there's really rigorous safety precautions and so on,
but it's still a risk.
- Well, and I think like most people,
for me, the idea of dying isn't so much about myself,
it's about those affected by it, you know?
My loved ones, my family, my girlfriend, my friends.
Obviously, I don't want to have this be
a traumatic experience for anybody.
It's already gonna be hard.
Like, it's already, I know, my mom gets,
my parents and family and friends are very supportive,
and my parents are all about it, of course,
but my mom is also very emotional, too.
So, speaking of athletes, my brother-in-law's actually
been on "American Ninja Warrior" two seasons,
phenomenal athlete, and even just when he competes,
§25Transcript · 3:07:08–3:15:18
my mom gets so emotional, like,
she can't even hold it together seeing that.
So, what's it gonna be like when she sees her son
get on top of a skyscraper and ascend
on a column of flames into the heavens?
Like, that's going to be very difficult, you know?
And I've taken them out, they've seen "Star Race"
and they've seen "Starship," they've seen a couple launches.
- I don't know if that's gonna make him feel better.
(laughing)
- Exposure therapy, I guess.
- Exposure therapy, okay.
Have you had that conversation with them about this?
Like, before agreeing to join?
I mean, was that, what the, was that,
or is it one of those things like,
you just, you don't have that conversation?
- I didn't have that conversation.
- I suppose it's understood that there's a love,
there's a passion here.
- And realistically, I'm not,
I'm going to be convinced and statistically convinced
that this is relatively safe.
You know, like, again, in the 99s, percent safe.
Again, there's things that people do every day
that are less safe than this, you know?
- Like you riding a motorcycle.
- Again, yeah, riding a motorcycle,
doing wheelies at over 100 mile an hour, not--
- You did wheelies over 100, what?
All right.
- I'm not a smart guy always, okay?
Formation flying in the fighter jets
was likely a more dangerous thing
than what I'll be doing in space flight.
- So as surreal as it is, we're talking about you
flying around the moon.
Let's rewind and talk about the origin story.
What's the origin story of Everyday Astronaut?
- I used to be a professional photographer.
So from 2008 until the end of 2016,
that was my income, was photography full-time.
- Like you were an Instagram model
and took butt pictures of yourself?
- Instagram fitness model, obviously.
- Obviously.
- Now I did a lot of weddings.
I shot 150 weddings all around the world.
- So subjects, all kinds of material,
like did you do portrait also?
- A lot of portrait work
and then just random commercial things
like food and beverages for businesses
or wheelchair ramp company, I shot their product.
You know, it's random,
whatever a professional photographer does
in Cedar Falls, Iowa.
- When did you fall in love with photography
with a visual medium?
Do you remember?
- Yeah, I do actually remember.
I grew up drawing constantly.
I was the weird kid that I would bring a sketch pad
to the restaurants,
like every restaurant when I was growing up
until I was like 18, 19,
I literally would just sit there and draw
or waiting for food.
And my parents like fostered that.
They would, you know,
and I'd be the weird kid,
but I'd be engaging and talking,
but I'd be sitting there drawing.
And I was always obsessed with realism
and like recreating and visualizing things.
And so when I got my hands on a camera,
it was actually my dad's old Pentax
that I first shot on a film camera
and developing the film.
I didn't personally develop it,
like, you know, getting the film back,
back in those days.
You know, I just was like so excited about the idea
that I had this visual thing that I saw with my own eyes
and now I can stop time and capture it
and show it to other people.
Just kind of like, to me,
that was like the ultimate form of realism
was like literally showing you the photons basically
that affected this film.
And so, I mean, I was 19 when I got my first digital SLR
at Canon 20D and started shooting.
And yeah, I just, I fell in love with it.
It became like, I got a job at a camera store
and, you know, basically all my extra money
went into buying everything that I could at the time.
And I only worked there for about exactly a year
before I went into pursuing photography full-time.
And I basically was shooting weddings
so that I could travel and pay, like, you know,
afford to be able to do some big trips every year
and develop some kind of, you know, portfolio of traveling.
And not necessarily like, not for, you know,
I guess Instagram wasn't much of a thing at the time.
It was really just, I liked making big prints
and having them displayed and that kind of stuff.
And pretty soon-
- Are you still a Canon guy?
You still a Canon elitist?
- No, no, I moved around.
I did Sony for a bit.
I still kind of shoot mostly Canon glass,
but adapted to either Sony, like lenses,
sorry, like Canon lenses.
- Look at you.
What do you think about these things that I'm using?
Sony a7 IV.
- Great.
- It's great, see, yeah.
It's, I've been, you know, I Googled around
just trying to find a camera that can do video
and photography pretty well.
And obviously going with just like generic lenses,
prime lenses, I resisted everything.
My whole journey with these camera thing,
I'm trying to figure stuff out,
is like prime lenses seem so stupid.
So prime lenses is like a fixed zoom thing.
It's like, why?
'Cause I remember I was going to like Ukraine
and thinking it's similar, like,
yeah, very similar to space flight.
But you're very constrained
because you're going into an unknown environment.
You go into a war zone, you go into a front,
you don't know what, like you don't know anything.
And there's like a little suitcase you have to like see,
figure out like, how do you film this?
What's robust?
What gives you like a good image
versus the flexibility versus the weight?
'Cause weight is important there.
You have to think about like,
can you really bring like a bunch of zoom lenses
and all that kind of stuff.
So I had to learn really quickly, but yeah.
It's a whole journey that you've already been on,
but it's nice to have a beginner like me,
like to explore that.
I think there's a nice thing,
just like as we've been talking about
with the beginner's mind,
to not let equipment get in the way of like,
what your vision is of what a thing should look like.
Sometimes like, especially if you're a professional
videographer, photographer, cinematographer,
whatever you call it,
you can like fetishize equipment too much.
You could get so much equipment.
And I've interacted with that
'cause I've been trying to learn from other people
that have so much more experience than me.
I think their advice is often like,
pushing a lot of equipment versus like the final thing.
Like how do you create the art of it?
'Cause to me, even photography is just like storytelling.
And so like a lot of the discussion to me that I enjoy,
especially talking to creative people,
is like the final story.
Like how, and I've learned, you know,
like light, light is a weird thing.
Like it's so interesting.
It's so interesting how you can create emotion with light.
Like with a little, you can take a phone
and like you light your face in different ways
and like it changes the emotion.
It's so weird.
I'm like, holy shit.
'Cause like that's the conversation I wanna have.
People give me advice how to light a scene
and all that kind of stuff is great.
But the reality is that a little bit of light
in a different direction,
you have to understand how that changes.
- The contour on your face and everything.
- And the expression that your face can,
the expression that could be effectively communicated
under different lighting conditions.
And then like the mystery of like having some of your face
in darkness and some not,
or when you can only see the eyes and not the face,
when the background is visible or not.
I mean, yeah, it's all just like this interesting art form
that can be so powerful when you're telling a story.
- Well, and what's fun for with me with photography
and rockets, they're both like the ultimate story
of compromise.
'Cause when you start learning about photography,
you learn about how the aperture affects both your exposure,
but also your depth of field, higher shutter speed,
§26Transcript · 3:15:21–3:22:55
affects both your exposure, your depth of field,
how the medium format camera versus a crop camera affects,
everything is a compromise and price versus performance.
You're like, there's always a compromise.
You're always literally doing like a trade study
of what can I afford?
What's my outcome?
Like, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.
How fast is the autofocus or whatever?
Same with rockets.
Like there's a million choices and every single one of them
affects every single thing.
So there's always all these trades and it's so cool
that you can see the same, totally different outcomes
based on the same like requirements.
You know, like do X, then here's how we're gonna do it.
And, you know, two teams of people
will come up with wildly different things.
- When did you fall in love with rockets?
- So yeah, so the story kind of keeps going for me.
So I was doing-
- Sorry to interrupt.
(laughing)
- Can't talk photography, man.
We'll go down a deep rabbit hole there.
So it ended, you know, through all this,
doing a lot of weddings, I was already getting saturated
and feeling like I'm not being as creative.
You know, you can only shoot them so many weddings
before you're like, well, now we do this pose,
this pose, this pose.
You know, even if like they're amazing places,
like, you know, in front of a castle in Germany or something
I'm still like, well, it's the end of the day,
I'm not being very creative, you know?
So I remember craving like some projects.
And so I was sitting at my friend's coffee shop
in my hometown in Cedar Falls, Sidecar Coffee.
And I'm sitting on this red couch
and I see this article from I think Gizmodo.
And it said, you could own the flight stick
of an Apollo command module.
And I knew enough to know what that meant,
but that's really about the end of my space knowledge.
And so I clicked on it, the click bait got me.
Like, I'm like, oh yeah, I'm gonna see if, you know,
and see that the minimum bid was like $250,000.
And I'm like, okay, no, I can't own the Apollo joystick,
you know, but it got me on this website called RROction.
And so I started scrolling through that,
looking for things that hadn't been bid on.
And they had like, you know, at the time
they were doing a huge space auction.
And so I'm looking for things just out of curiosity, fun.
These are cool, like starting to really, you know,
like I said, I like space,
but I wasn't like in love with it or anything,
but I'm very just seeing all this stuff.
I'm like, this is so cool.
Look at all this old history stuff.
Ended up seeing, there's an article for a VMSTK-44
flight suit, high altitude flight suit
that came from the Soviet Union and looks, you know,
it's like a MiG fighter jet, fighter pilot suit,
very similar to like the SR-71, like kind of pumpkin suit,
semi-pressure suit with a full helmet.
I mean, it looks like a space suit, you know,
for all intents and purposes, it's kind of like a space suit.
And I just bid on it, you know, I bid like, I think $325.
And next thing you know, like it arrives at my door.
And from that point on, like literally I got it out,
I immediately tried to put it on.
And the first thing that I do is almost die in it
because I closed the helmet down on myself and locked it
and didn't know how to unlock it.
So I'm literally, and so as soon as I seal it up,
I'm realizing I can't breathe.
I'm going to run out of air.
So luckily like there's a hose, you know,
kind of that long hose thing that would normally plug
into an air supply, had a little plug on the end of it.
So I just unplugged it and was able to temporarily breathe
through the hose until I figured out the locking mechanism.
So there was my almost, that was my mortality rate thing
right there, so that was probably above a 98
or below a 98.
- So you're there panicking inside for a few seconds.
- Already reading like my premature obituary,
like idiot dies alone in space suit in his living room.
You know, like just imagine,
that would be like Darwin award for sure, for sure.
So I get the space suit and it kind of-
- That's literally take my breath away.
- You should feel bad for that one.
You introduced Creed to me,
so you should feel bad about that one.
Stars wide open.
- Okay, so I ended up like the space suit kind of like
more or less haunted me, 'cause it kind of just,
it sat in like my living room for a long time
and I didn't know what to do with it.
And I actually had a friend who is also a photographer,
wanted to do like a photo.
He was just kind of taking pictures randomly.
He's like, "Hey, bring your space suit over.
We'll do a picture."
It's like, all right, you know, I walk across the street,
like literally lived across the street, Taylor.
And I put the space suit on, I took this funny picture,
I'm like, "This is awesome."
And I got a lot of like fun out of like creating a character,
you know, of everyday astronaut,
or at the time, I guess I didn't know, an astronaut.
And then that kind of just continued.
I was like thinking of more and more funny situations
where I could have this astronaut on earth
doing mundane everyday things
and came up with the name everyday astronaut.
And originally it was just literally a photo project,
like this whole art series of an astronaut
doing these things, these funny, whimsical,
you know, silly mundane things.
But I was researching a lot about like,
you know, I was trying to hide Easter eggs.
Like I was gonna hide in like the, you know,
the echocardiogram of Alan Shepard, you know,
like his first flight into space
and Photoshopping that into pictures.
And like, you know, doing all these little like facts
about space flight,
but they're just hidden little elements in these photos.
And man, doing that, I just fell in love with it.
I just was going over every little detail
that I could learn.
I just couldn't stop learning.
And I was getting excited 'cause I was like,
I could be teaching people about all this exciting stuff
and all the cool things people figured out,
you know, 40 years ago, 50 years ago.
And was trying to portray that through images on Instagram.
And, you know, it took me a little while,
but eventually I realized, you know,
on Instagram, your retention rate,
you're lucky if you get like two seconds
of someone looking at an image, you know,
or maybe nowadays 60 seconds
of a quick little Instagram short or something.
But yeah, I--
- It doesn't give you a chance to really teach
to explore a little topic that you felt,
like you felt the curiosity about the thing.
There's so much to learn here.
This is so beautiful.
- There's so many opportunities to have a light bulb
go off for someone and be like, this is awesome.
And so, yeah, I think I started,
so by the end of 2016, like throughout 2016,
I realized I wanna be done doing photography as a profession
and I want to pursue everyday astronaut.
But I didn't know what it meant yet.
I just knew like I had this thing, you know,
and at that time I'd been doing it for roughly two years
and had, you know, seen, I don't know,
like 50,000 Instagram followers or something.
I thought like I could just be a full-time influencer now,
you know, like just go around taking pictures of myself
in a space suit and doing public appearances
and write a children's book or something.
I don't know.
I don't know what this thing is.
I'll figure it out, you know?
And so, basically I gave myself like a runway of one year,
of 2017 of like, I'm gonna throw stuff at the wall
and see what sticks.
So I was doing like Twitch streams.
I was playing Kerbal Space Program,
which is like a video game,
like a physics-based rocket building simulation game,
but it's also like, it's fun and silly
'cause you're not playing with like humans.
You're playing with these little Kerbal,
like little alien guys and it's fun and silly.
You know, I was streaming that on Twitch and doing things
and posting some of those things onto YouTube.
But finally, like I said,
it actually happened to be February 27th, 2017
when SpaceX had that announcement
that they're flying someone around the moon
that I'm, I gotta tell people about this
and stood there and made my first like
produced YouTube video.
And I didn't want it to be over three minutes.
I was afraid that'd be way too long for YouTube.
And I got it down to like, I don't know,
two minutes and 40 seconds or something.
And that video-
- Were you wearing the-
- I was wearing the space suit.
- The space suit. - Yep, yep.
And very like horrible audio.
§27Transcript · 3:22:58–3:30:11
It looks like it was color graded by a seven-year-old
with a tan marker or something.
Like it just looks terrible.
Sounds horrible.
I'm yelling.
No one's happy.
But the video, you know, did relatively well.
Like I had no followers on YouTube.
Like I had, you know, maybe 102 or something.
- Is the video still up?
- Yeah.
- That's great.
I'll go to watch it after this.
- It's so cringy.
And as it should be, you know,
your first video should be terrible.
If it's not terrible,
then you spent too long trying to make it.
So the thing that clicked for me is
I had very little audience
and all of a sudden that video kind of took off,
you know, relatively.
I think it got like 10,000 or 12,000 views.
And I was like, holy crap,
that's way more engagement than I'd have.
- Famous.
- I'm famous now.
10,000 people, that's almost my whole town.
- First of all, that is kind of crazy.
Like 10,000 people is crazy.
It's crazy.
Like if you had 500 people attend a thing that you do,
that would be like, you're like a rockstar.
It's crazy.
- We lose perspective.
- Yeah, we lose perspective very quickly.
- Very quickly.
So I'd made another video.
This one I spent more time on.
And I had, before photography,
actually I used to do like wedding videography too.
So I had done my woes with videography
and weddings and stuff.
I hated video.
Like I thought video was the worst,
took so long to edit.
You know, and I love photography.
It's like, boom, you snap it, boom, post,
you're done in an hour, you know?
And video, it's like this whole cumbersome thing.
So I thought I'll never do video.
And here I was making this long,
what at the time seemed like a long,
seven minute long YouTube video
about how the Falcon 9 lands.
And again, like that one I posted it
and actually it did really bad.
And I was really upset.
I'm like, I spent two weeks on this stupid video,
you know, worked really hard scripting and blah, blah, blah.
And then it, you know, had like a thousand views
or something, it did much worse than the first video.
And I was so upset.
And I kind of like was ready to keep throwing
more spaghetti at the wall
to see what's gonna stick for everyday astronaut.
And I think it was like a month or two later,
I happened to like, you know,
check the analytics on YouTube and all of a sudden,
that video like kind of took off.
And it got like 40 or 50 or 60,000 views or something.
I was like, no way.
And it just kept, you know, that just honed it in more
that like, okay, YouTube will bring a bigger,
like bring an audience to me,
as opposed to like Instagram,
I had to find and, you know,
try to get the audience to come to me.
And this was like, they were gonna do the legwork.
So if I make decent videos,
and I realized like really the fun thing for me
was explaining a topic that was scary and intimidating
and try to make it, you know, fun and engaging.
- What were some of the struggles
of building up a YouTube channel?
So for people who don't know, once again,
(laughing)
you have a YouTube channel called Everyday Astronaut,
and there's some incredible videos on it.
So what was the,
what was the some of the challenges
and the struggles in the early days?
- Definitely like at first,
you're not gonna find your own voice.
And I know like even, you know,
Jimmy talked to you about that,
like how your first video is gonna suck.
You don't, you're not gonna be yourself.
You're gonna be nervous.
You're gonna be, you're not gonna know the tone, the pace,
the things that are interesting.
And actually, originally I had constraints.
I was really worried about making a short video
'cause I thought there's no way anyone's gonna watch
a three minute video and then a seven minute video.
And pretty quickly I realized like YouTube as a whole
was kind of changing,
but also there's always that historic backbone
of like 22 minutes of programming
for a 30 minute spot on TV.
Like no one goes over 22 or 44 minutes,
you know, if you have the full hour special or whatever,
like that is the absolute limit
of what a human being can watch, you know,
basically it was what I thought.
And slowly I just kept playing and getting longer
and actually more and more in depth into the topics.
And instead of getting like pushback, you know,
and being like, this is so boring.
I realized as long as it's like,
as I was walking people through the whole step,
you know, giving them all the context they need,
they're happy to get as deep into the weeds
as I can get them.
And so that just kind of fed the snowball
just kept rolling and I'm like, all right.
And you know, before you know it,
I'm making hour long videos,
like an hour long is more or less a normal length
on my channel for a produced video.
And they're really, really in depth,
but I love like that process of trying to preemptively
kind of guess what the questions might be.
And, you know, part of that is like,
we do like script read-throughs with like our supporters
and do like cuts of videos and people,
a decent amount of people see it before it goes public.
And we get those questions out of the way, you know,
we get those people asking the questions.
And then I love nothing more than trying to, you know,
get all those questions answered by the end of the video.
- A question about being a creator on YouTube,
that could be a challenging psychological aspect to it,
which is like, you might invest a huge amount of your effort
into a thing and it doesn't receive much attention at all.
And, you know, there's something about YouTube
and in general social media
that makes you feel really crappy about that.
If you let it, if you really look at the numbers,
it's very, very difficult not to pay attention to that.
I mean, that's the reason why I turn off numbers
on my interface for stuff that I've created.
'Cause I just see it having a negative effect on your mind.
But even then, it still has an effect.
Your epic video on the history of Soviet rockets
comes to mind, and we'll talk about that in a second,
but it's called, people should check it out,
the entire Soviet rocket engine family tree.
So that's something you've researched for two years.
- Yeah.
- Right, you put your heart and soul into it.
There's a lot of passion, there's a long journey,
and I think about like an hour and a half video.
Is there like, is there challenges?
Is there like, how difficult is that
to put so much of yourself into a video
and it maybe not do so well?
- Yeah, that's the struggle for sure, honestly.
Especially as we grow, I try to make better
and better videos, which means hiring more and more people
to do higher end animations and spend more time editing
and shooting and scripting.
But at the end of the day,
it still can't be just losing money.
And I have videos that definitely lose a lot of money
because I hire 3D artists and stuff.
And I was so certain, the Soviet rocket engine video,
I thought was just purely gonna be a passion project.
I honestly was like, if it ever crosses a million,
it's a home run.
- And is it, does it cross like a couple of million now?
- I think it's a little over two, which is insane to me.
Like I just really thought this was more something
just to put on the shelf as a resource, almost for myself,
you know, like just to kind of have that knowledge bank
and something I've always wanted to straighten out
in my own head and kind of know the history
a little bit better.
But come to find out, like it took a while,
you know, it was a slow turn.
- Well, I remember when you first released it
and that's when I watched it.
I remember like, this has so few views.
- Yeah.
- I remember being just sad.
Like I was like sad about the state of the world
because I know how much love you put into it,
how like, how much, I don't know.
To me, for some reason that somehow would directly connect
to huge views.
§28Transcript · 3:30:13–3:38:21
But see, you know what made me sad is like,
if you use a different thumbnail or a different title
that could affect the popularity.
- I know.
- And then I just could imagine the torment
you're going through.
What if I use the different thumbnail?
It's that Jimmy, the Mr. Beast torment,
like just a slightly different title
or slightly different, it could change everything.
- I have videos, ironically, the last like,
I don't know, five videos I've produced
are horribly flopping.
Like some of my worst videos I've ever made.
- Statistically.
- The interesting one is like the,
you summarize, incredible video.
You summarizing that people should go watch
about all the awards video for 2022.
Like all the cool stuff that happened in 2022.
I remember that not being that popular.
There's a few ones recently that are not that popular.
- Like riding in a fighter jet.
I thought that was gonna be easy, like one or two million.
I don't know if I've paid the flights off to go there.
You know what I mean?
Like in that video.
- It makes no sense.
- And frankly, here's, at the end of the day,
I realized like I have lately,
especially the last like year or two,
kind of disconnected from that aspect of it.
I'm super fortunate.
I have very generous like Patreon support
and people that can help me sustain to produce.
- People go support, support Tim on Patreon.
- Well, it's that, but as you know, as a creator,
like that is what keeps the lights on it
and makes it so it, you know, I can go this deep.
Like if I didn't have that,
if I had to rely solely on like YouTube ad revenue,
I mean, I would just, they'd be super different videos.
I wouldn't spend as much time researching
'cause I'd just, you know,
they'd just be more glossed over.
It's like a hurry to churn them out
so I can keep the machine going.
And I have this incredible freedom
to really dive into a topic.
Like a video that I've been working on now
for almost three months is how to start a rocket engine.
And let me tell you, it's not as easy as one might think,
or I guess as it is as difficult as you might think.
I mean, it's an insane topic.
- And what do you mean by start?
You mean like the ignition?
- Yeah, like how do you physically get them running?
You know, like there's all these, you know,
the valves and the turbine,
the turbine, you know, that we were talking about earlier,
like that has to run on the pumps,
but it itself is powering the pumps.
So how do you get that, like chicken and egg,
how do you get that thing started?
You know, there's tons of, it's so cool.
There's so many ways.
And so for me, you know, that required reading a lot
and talking to people that know a lot more than me
and just really trying to make sure I understand
enough of it to explain it and try to weave a narrative,
you know, and so that video is three months in the making.
We're still probably another two or three weeks out.
And it's, I don't expect, I mean,
I think this one will do relatively well, you know,
but in the grand scheme of YouTube,
like still child's play, you know.
But I'm okay, and I'm okay with that.
I'm at that point actually where I am okay with that.
It still stings and I'm more worried about just like,
can I continue to do it at this quality and at this level
if it's losing money, you know what I mean?
So it's, there is a trade-off
and I am kind of having to navigate that.
- But you have sort of the depth of the impact you have
is a thing that YouTube can't give you numbers on,
but it's a really important thing to sort of remember
that it's really not just about the YouTube numbers
or it's for people like you that are basically educating
and revealing the brilliance in a technology
that will make humans a multi-planetary species
and give hope to millions of young minds
that will build that future.
I mean, that's immeasurable.
That's not just the views.
(Lex laughing)
But you know, it's, that's really important
to sort of remember as you're creating it.
That's something I try to think about as well.
So like views.
- Yeah, and that becomes more.
- Don't matter.
- I realize that more and more like every day,
you know, the more the channel matures,
the more I realize the importance of it
as an overall mission, as opposed to like,
you know, in the first year or two,
it's a rat race of growth and popularity
and all that kind of stuff, you know?
And you feel that, you feel that it's a driving force.
These days, not so much,
just because that will wear you out very quickly.
- So back to the Soviet rocket video, the epic video,
probably the most epically researched video you've done.
I mean, it's like, it's truly an epic video.
So what, again, called the entire Soviet
rocket engine family tree.
Took you two years to research.
What are some fascinating things you've learned
about the history of rocket engines
in the Soviet Union and in general
through the process of making that video?
- The coolest thing to me is how it's this weird blend
for the Soviet Union went through
an insane iteration process and made so many engines.
Like I didn't even touch, you know,
any like maneuvering thrusters or missile engines.
Like I only really dealt with main propulsion engines
on orbital rockets and there's still
way too many to talk about.
I mean, it's still dozens and dozens of engines.
And I could have gone deeper into this, which is hilarious.
They iterated so much, made a new engine
for just at the drop of a hat,
yet they still also like did super primitive things.
You know, they physically are still today
lighting the main combustion chambers
of the Soyuz engines of the RD-107 and RD-108
with essentially matchsticks.
Like they literally stick a T-shaped thing
up into the chamber and have a pyrotechnic in it
that ignites the actual propellants
in the combustion chamber.
It's not the most elegant solution in the world.
They're still using that.
So they went from like the whole spectrum of like,
it's a mixture of like make it better, faster,
harder, stronger, gooder, all the way around
to also if it ain't broke, don't fix it.
It's like it employs all of the above.
- So it's like it's a lot of innovation,
but also they use duct tape.
- Yes. - So like all of it together.
- Yes, that's exactly like,
that's exactly the way to put it.
And they did things that are insane.
They developed a full flow stage combustion cycle engine.
This engine, had it been used,
I mean, it would have put the F,
it was same relative size as the F1 engine on the Saturn V,
like in that same category, way up there of like,
you know, 6.7 like mega newtons of thrust
or something around, and the F1 is like seven or something.
It's huge, yet way more complicated, way more efficient,
way just better engine in that sense,
as far as performance goes, yet it never flew.
It never left the stand.
You know, they never built the rocket around it.
The N1, which was the most powerful rocket
to have flown so far to date,
like it never made it through its first stage burn.
It all four attempts failed spectacularly.
And yet it had so much technology on it
that was still unrivaled today almost.
Like finally now we're beating it,
the NK-33s that they developed for that rocket.
Like finally today, we're to the point of like,
having better engines than they built in the 60s.
- Yeah, what stands out to you
from the N1 family of rocket engines?
- Well, it's interesting because the N1
was the Kudsnetsov Design Bureau,
and he was actually an aircraft manufacturer.
So he was one of the first people outside
of kind of the missile and rocket program.
You know, he had all these other bigwigs
kind of in the other OKBs
that were developing missiles and rockets.
And then all of a sudden here comes Nikolai Kudsnetsov,
who had never developed a rocket engine.
And so his first attempt at a rocket engines
was the NK series, NK-15, NK-33.
And they were amazing.
They were brilliant.
They were these wonderful closed cycle oxygen rich engines
that were awesome.
They were awesome engines.
And that were, you know, because,
I love that because his direct boss,
since he wasn't necessarily in the aerospace,
you know, or in the, I guess,
§29Transcript · 3:38:23–3:46:59
the rocket missile defense world,
he didn't have to, at the fall of the Soviet Union,
he didn't have to give away all of his things
to the same people as the other people.
So he hid, you know, like 80 of his engines in a hangar.
And then we still literally use them in the United States.
We used altogether, I think it was like eight or 10 of them,
repurposed them as, they're called AJ-26s
in the United States.
But like, we still were flying Soviet rocket engines
in the 2000s because they were better
than engines we are building today.
Like that's, to me, that's my favorite fact
about the N1 rocket engines is that they're still that good.
That they were the best choice for,
at the time, orbital sciences.
- Some of the culture that engineering has led
to these things that still work, it's incredible.
You said that the RD-171 is one of the coolest engines
ever made, why is that?
- Yeah, so one of the fun things about the Soviet engines
is it'll look like, a lot of their engines
look like multiple engines 'cause you see multiple nozzles.
You see multiple combustion chambers and you would think,
well, obviously, the nozzle is the engine, right?
But what they actually would do, the real heart
and the real power of the rocket engine
actually comes from the turbo pumps,
comes from the pumps themselves.
And as we talked about earlier, that includes the turbine
and the actual pumps that flow the propellant
into the chambers.
And so, the Soviet Union was incredible at developing
these closed cycle, high powered turbo pumps.
But if you try to scale the combustion chamber too big,
you end up with what's called combustion instability.
You have such a large surface area of crazy flames
and combustion happening, they can get these weird pockets
and oscillations and frequencies and they just couldn't
make big combustion chambers, they never figured it out.
They never quite, well, they did actually kind of figure it
out, but they didn't like it.
So, they ended up just shrinking down and having small
combustion chambers and just splitting the pipes basically.
Instead of one fuel pump going into, or one pipe going
into one combustion chamber and one oxidizer pipe going
into one combustion chamber, they'd split it off
into two or four combustion chambers and kind of spread
that work around so they didn't experience
this combustion instability.
So, the RD-171 is still to date the most powerful
rocket engine ever built.
The turbo pump is insane, I don't even remember how many,
you know, like 200,000 horsepower or something comes out
of that turbo pump, in order to flow the amount of propellant
necessary at those rates and at those pressures
into the combustion chamber.
So, it has four chambers and it's just an absolute marvel
of engineering.
And yeah, and then the cool thing too is specifically
the RD-171, it's engine, all four of those nozzles
can actually pivot and rotate.
I just now, as I'm explaining this, realized that has to mean
that they have joints, like flexible joints,
in the high pressure pump lines in order to,
like I never, this is the realization I'm having right now,
'cause normally you put the gimbal above the turbo pump,
like the mount where the engine swivels,
so that you have low pressure coming from the tanks
into the pumps.
And then you just have a straight, you know, fixed pipe
flowing into the engine, so you don't have to bend
that pipe and have it be dynamic.
If they had the four chambers moving independently
from each other, that means those four chambers
all had to have a flexible high pressure pipe going,
which I don't even, I don't know if that's,
why am I just now realizing this?
- Yeah, so there's engineering challenges with that.
- Insane, I never even thought that was a thing
you would ever, could do, honestly.
I would, I gotta look into why and how and what and where.
- Yeah, I wonder why that design decision was made.
- So the easier thing to do normally
is you would keep those nozzles fixed,
then affix, like say the Soyuz engine,
the RD-107 and 108, they have affixed
main combustion chambers and they use these little
Vernier, or some people got mad at me for saying
Vernier and Vernor engines that swivel themselves
and those provide your control authority.
So the main chambers stay fixed and then you get
your roll and your pitch and your yaw
out of auxiliary thrusters.
- By the way, did you get anything wrong in that video?
That people told you about?
- Yeah, I got a few things, yep.
First off, we had a graphic error where we actually,
we copied and pasted a lot of our After Effects projects.
So our nuclear engines, one of them on screen
says that it runs on RP-1, it does not.
It has basically all the wrong stats.
We just didn't catch it in the edit,
that we literally copy and pasted it.
I say it right on screen, but the,
in the voiceover, but on screen it's wrong.
The other thing, and I'm excited to ask you about this.
- Uh-oh.
- First, and I spoke with a lot of
Russian-speaking individuals.
We had a lot of research assistants
that were reading and blah, blah, blah.
I tried really hard to learn how to pronounce
Sergei Karelyov's name.
And I'm still gonna say it wrong no matter what I,
but my understanding, and from listening to native speakers,
is closer to Karelyov than it is Korolev.
- Yeah, definitely.
Sergei Pavlovich Karelyov.
- See, I will never say it that perfectly,
but I know it's not just Korelev.
I mean, again, the English translation of it,
likely I should have just said Korelev
and said I'm saying it the dumb America way, but.
- But you rolled your R, comrade.
(laughing)
Excellent, so let me just ask you in a difference
in the culture, because you've researched so many rockets
from so many different eras, the Saturn V,
and just everything you're seeing now.
Are there some interesting differences,
especially when you look at the space race,
between the Soviet rocket engineers
and efforts versus the American?
- The, there's, I mean, there's definitely huge,
huge cultural changes, and the fun thing is
that they kind of spawned from the same,
like they have the same starting place.
Both, you know, the Soviet rocket engines and Americans
all came from the Nazi V-2 rocket and the A-4 engine.
Literally, physically spawned from that,
because at the fall of, you know, at the end of World War II
we took a handful of German scientists
and the Soviets took a handful of German scientists,
and they both got their own a little bit,
some blueprints here and there,
and the others got some blueprints.
So we literally have the same, it's a weird thing,
where we're starting from the same, like, thing
and letting two divergent, you know,
divergent paths go crazy on their own development.
So it's really fun to see the cultural differences.
One of the things the United States did is
they really would kind of take an engine
and just perfect it more or less,
and then, and not really evolve that much.
Like, they, I don't know, and I don't know why.
I actually need to do a history lesson
on all of the US engines, but it's literally like,
as far as orbital class engines before now,
I mean, it's like a dozen or two, you know,
it's a tenth the amount of the Soviets,
and the Soviets just literally made up a new engine
every time they had a new, like, they went,
and it was like a completely different engine.
- Yeah. - So I just, yeah.
- I wonder if there's some aspect to the culture,
and I don't want to overstate it,
but there is more of a safety culture,
I think, in the United States.
And I think if you care about safety,
or rather, like, you have, you're more risk-averse,
so you care about safety more,
about the value of human life and the risk taken there,
that you will iterate less.
So I think the Soviets,
especially in the early aspects of the program,
I don't want to overstate this,
some of it is just through stories,
you just hear anecdotes,
they're more willing to take risks.
- Yeah. - Risk with human life,
risk with spacecraft.
- For example, the first orbital space flights
from the Soviet Union, the cosmonaut had to eject
out of the capsule and parachute to a landing.
- Yes. - That's not very well known,
and it wasn't, they hid that even from history
as best they could at first,
because they were slightly ashamed
that they couldn't have a full recovery system
with their spacecraft.
They could physically recover it,
but they wouldn't have been able to recover
the cosmonaut in one piece.
So instead, they had them just eject out of the thing
and parachute to safety, like, that's insane.
And so there definitely was some extra risks,
but also a freedom to just push things to the limits
and try everything.
§30Transcript · 3:47:00–3:55:37
They threw all the spaghetti on the wall.
It's funny that most people probably don't even know
the first person in space in America,
and obviously everybody knows that.
It's like, it's kind of interesting how the space race,
and even World War II, even like the history books,
you ask most Americans,
they think that America won World War II.
Like, without America, like,
the real heroes of World War II is America.
You ask British people, they say,
and everybody has a pretty good justification,
like, without Britain, without Churchill,
Hitler would have taken over the world.
And I think probably the strongest case
is the Soviet Union case,
that they're the ones that won the war.
The reason it's the strongest case
is where most of the fighting happened.
Most of the death happened.
Most of the destruction.
But everyone has their perspective.
And certainly in the space race,
the great accomplishment is the first man on the moon,
from the US perspective.
- Yeah, I was gonna say.
- And then Yuri Gagarin, from the Russian perspective,
is the first man in space.
And that, I think, still persists.
And some of that, in healthy forms,
is probably constructive to a little bit of competition
that pushes all the great scientists on each side.
But anyway, what do you think about
this Yuri Gagarin mission of the first human in space?
And the Vostok mission in 1961?
Just in general, when you look back at that time,
leading to the first man on the moon.
- Yeah, April 12th, 1961.
Yuri's night, baby.
That's a, yeah, it's insane.
What's insane to me is the first person in space
didn't just go to space, he went into orbit.
Yuri Gagarin flew around the Earth in orbit and reentered.
That's a monumental task compared to suborbital.
So the United States did two suborbital flights
in that same year, I believe in that same year,
at least I'm pretty sure, in 1961.
They flew for the first time orbitally in 1962.
So they weren't terribly far behind
to get a human into orbit.
Like in the grand scheme of things,
10 months difference.
But at the same time, the fact that the Soviet Union
just went straight to flying someone into orbit
is monumental.
And I'm sure they did not do excessive,
rigorous testing here.
Because there is a space race,
and you have the first is important.
Just imagine being Yuri.
What do you say when they're like launching him,
like let's go or something?
Like, I mean, you're taking,
we're talking about you being on Starship.
Like you're taking a pretty big risk
being launched out into orbit.
- Hopefully a lot less risk than what Yuri went through.
- So Yuri, the crazy thing,
remember those matchsticks we talked about?
You know, there's 20 main combustion chambers on Soyuz,
and there's four, and 12 more Vernier engines
that all need to be lit.
So you're sitting on top of this booster,
and they light all of those,
32 combustion chambers on the ground.
And then it has this insane separation process
between what the Soviet Union would call
the first stage and the second stages,
but we would call it like the core stage and the boosters.
They all, four of these boosters have to peel away perfectly
from the core stage simultaneously.
You know, if one of them sticks on, mission failed.
If one of them doesn't eject properly
and drags into the other tank, you know, it's a goner.
So the staging process of the Soyuz is insane to me
that that ended up working out.
It's just the technology in Soyuz,
I mean, more or less, that same rocket
is what's still flying humans that are cosmonauts
from Roscosmos and going to the International Space Station
are flying on a variant of that Soyuz rocket still today.
It's still like that big of a workhorse.
- What do you think about Roscosmos as it stands today,
its history and its future in comparison to NASA
and other national efforts
and in comparison to commercial spaceflight?
- I mean, utmost respect for the engineers involved
in everything that's happened.
I think Energomash is like still some of the,
one of the greatest engine manufacturers
when they have the funding to do so,
but man, it seems like they're falling from grace
as far as space prowess.
You know, the Roscosmos went from having,
I think they got very comfortable at the top of,
you know, from 2011 until 2022 or until 2020,
they were the only ride
to the International Space Station since then.
Like it started, I feel like in 2018,
honestly, I think that's kind of when things,
that's the first time I specifically remember
a pretty nasty like thing happened in 2018.
I think it was a Soyuz mission
to the International Space Station,
had one of the boosters not detached
and had to have an abort, but you know, that happened.
Then all of a sudden, next thing you know,
there's a Progress being docked to the ISS
a couple of years ago that spun the ISS,
cartwheeled the ISS out of control,
followed a few months later,
the Pirs module docks to the International Space Station,
spirals the International Space Station out of control again
with like a thruster getting fixed on.
There was a hole in a Russian segment.
There's, well, I think the most recent one right now,
there's a Soyuz docked to the ISS that has a puncture in it
and it's leaking coolant
and will not be returning humans on it.
So they're actually having to fly up an uncrewed Soyuz.
And that one likely wasn't a manufacturing error.
It probably was like a micrometeorite puncture
rendering the spacecraft unusable.
We don't know for sure yet,
but it's just really been like this fall from grace
where they have all the potential.
They have some of the best engines,
some of the best rockets,
and especially like right before
the collapse of the Soviet Union,
the Buran shuttle and the Energia rocket were incredible.
Had they been able to evolve that into Buran-2
and the reusable Energia?
They had a fully reusable Energia on the drawing board.
And like, I honestly fully think they could have done it.
- Is it possible to return to a place
where there is friendly competition between nations
that ultimately unites and inspires the peoples
of these different worlds,
these very different worlds that have,
especially recently come to conflict
over the war in Ukraine.
The tension builds, the war, the conflict, the suffering
is actually creating more and more division,
creating more and more hate.
I think as we've talked about,
I think science and engineering,
and especially the most epic version of engineering,
which is rocketry and space travel, unites people.
Unites people even in a time of tension, conflict, and war.
So do you have a hope that we can return to that place?
- I think historically, space flight has been
one of the most bonding things.
We look at, we have countless examples
of Cold War enemies coming together
and working together, lending a hand.
Apollo 13, for example, of course,
there is the potential that who knew
where it was gonna reenter since it was not
in the planned trajectory at all for reentry.
And the Soviet Union said, "Hey, wherever they land,
"we'll help you guys out," basically.
And that was a pretty big thing at the time, obviously.
We also, in 1975, saw the Apollo-Soyuz mission,
which was an Apollo spacecraft docking
with the Soyuz spacecraft.
First time there was international collaboration.
And again, 1975, still very, amidst the Cold War,
yet we have this collaboration that I don't know
what else could have done that.
I mean, and think about what it actually takes to do that.
You have to come up with a docking module
that takes the two different air environments
and the two different docking systems
and talk to the engineers and mission planners
and figure out, train together,
the cosmonauts and the astronauts trained together
and got to know each other.
They were crossing boundaries and borders
and coming together for this mission.
And even if it was totally a fluff piece,
like even if it was totally this cynical,
just trying to make a pretty face for everybody,
for the cameras or something,
obviously it still had an impact.
- Yeah, the symbolic impact.
But there's also the practical impact.
I mean, a lot of people have to work together.
- Yes.
- And that has a ripple effect on the culture,
§31Transcript · 3:55:40–4:04:10
on the different engineers.
- Yeah, 100%.
And even just the astronauts and the cosmonauts involved,
think about what probably went through their heads
during this process of going from,
oh my God, I'm gonna have to work with them
to getting to know them and then sharing meals in space.
That's a crazy transformation of timelines.
And I would love, I do think that space flight
has the ability to bond us and unite us
because it is ultimately,
this little tiny little planet we're floating around on,
it is the boundary that we all share.
It only takes you getting off this planet to realize,
oh my God, we're all neighbors.
We're all living in the same house together.
And I do think ultimately,
as we continue to expand our horizons
and expand our exploration,
that it has the potential to unite us more
than it has the potential to divide us.
- So one of the potential conflicts of the 21st century
that I think everyone wants to avoid,
both in the cyber space and in the hot war space,
cold war, hot war, all kinds of war,
all kinds of economic conflict,
this was between the United States and China.
So China is going full steam ahead
in developing a space program,
doing a lot of incredible work.
Like you mentioned, 64 launches in 2022 with two failures,
but moving straight ahead.
- And by the way, those failures,
we had a lot of startups.
Like a lot of the launches were from brand new companies.
So to have two failures out of 64,
I mean, that's still an impressive,
if you look at operational launches, it was flawless.
- Do you see a pathway where there's, again,
in that same way, collaboration or a friendly competition
between all the different companies and nations
in the United States and China in the next,
as we push towards the moon, Mars and beyond?
- I held a dumb hope that China would actually be allowed
to sign onto the Artemis Accord
to be able to take part in this next step towards the moon.
I mean, just imagine if they provided a propulsion module
or a lander or something,
and we actually came together to land on the moon
instead of having another space race.
It's like, it would have been so cool.
And yeah, I still am hopeful that similar
to back in the Cold War,
that we might have something like that someday
where we actually are collaborating.
And it feels like sometimes we're really close to that.
And then other times it feels like we're really far
from that.
And it just sucks because I know,
and I try really hard on my channel to always separate
and celebrate the work being done.
'Cause at the end of the day,
there's someone that's just going home to their family,
clocking in hours, working really hard
on pushing their program and doing engineering work.
And we don't get to choose where we're born
and what we're born into.
So I really like to avoid the political aspects of things
and the geopolitical aspects and just appreciate the science
and the science we're seeing.
And the progress that China's doing in the last 10 years
is very akin to the early space flight programs.
And with the runway of just keep on going,
I see no reason for them to be slowing down.
So it's definitely something to watch
and be interested in.
And who knows?
I mean, there really genuinely might be a race
to the moon again,
and there really genuinely might be a race to Mars.
- Part of me is excited about that
'cause a race is pretty cool.
But hopefully it's friendly competition
and some collaboration.
It is true that maybe I'm being a bit cynical,
but nations sometimes,
governments and leaders of those governments
sometimes ruin things.
Like you don't often have,
statistically speaking,
it's harder to have a leader of a nation
that looks beyond the particular political bickering
of that nation.
And you have like a JFK type character
that really steps up and inspires.
I think statistically speaking,
it's better to have somebody like Elon,
who's a leader of a company,
a commercial effort that is able to look beyond
the borders of nations.
And certainly inspiring educators like yourself
to look beyond the borders of those nations
and the geopolitical conflicts and so on
to inspire people.
I think that's just made so much easier.
Like you can have more reach.
Tim Dodd can have more reach than NASA, right?
Like in terms of inspiring the world.
And that's fascinating.
Like that gives power to the individuals
that see past the silly short-term geopolitical conflicts.
That's the hope at least.
- Do you worry that there might be a war in space?
- Yeah.
- Let's look out into the future.
So forget, so the interesting thing
about these rockets, right?
Let's not forget rockets do what rockets do.
That they can carry payloads that can be weapons.
Do you worry about this?
- I worry most about space wars
as leading to the Kessler syndrome
of having a cascading effect of like a spacecraft
blowing up and then affecting another spacecraft
and that blows up.
And then all of a sudden you're trapped
and have this debris cloud that we can't go into space
anymore.
Like that's my biggest,
'cause frankly at this point we could annihilate ourselves
with terrestrial stuff anyway.
You know what I mean?
We don't need space to end society as we know it.
You know what I mean?
But we could really,
and the good thing is I think everyone,
well mostly everyone seems to understand this
for the most part,
that like we really can't be risking
blowing up stuff in space in low Earth orbit
because it could easily,
like we could strain ourselves from space assets
for 50 years.
- Oh, can you elaborate on this?
So like what is the danger of the debris there
that could jeopardize the space?
- So for instance,
and it was only a couple years ago,
Russia did an anti-satellite test on an orbital.
We've done this too,
the US has done this.
I'm not pinning it on them,
but we kind of know nowadays
like don't do anti-satellite tests on orbital things
because those things stay in orbit.
You know, when you blow something up in space,
it's not like,
you know people think in space like,
oh you throw something,
it's just gonna keep going forever and ever and ever.
I mean that's in the sense that it's not going to be
slowed down due to air resistance.
It's going to continue to do that,
but it's staying in orbit around the Earth.
Like you just slightly change the orbit of it around Earth
when you throw a ball or something, you know.
So the scary thing is when you blow up a satellite,
all those pieces of that satellite are now
millions of bullets in a halo around the Earth,
in a very specific halo, you know.
So some things get blown up faster, you know,
according to its orbit, faster,
so they'll go a little bit higher elliptically.
Some things will get slowed down in that explosion
and actually reenter.
Some things will go sideways
and change its inclination of that orbit.
So you have this debris field,
but it more or less becomes a band of like,
no no, you know like a big scary,
sharp scary bullets that can destroy another spacecraft.
And so then all of a sudden, especially now Starlink,
you know we're talking about thousands and thousands
and thousands of satellites in space.
If all of a sudden one, you know,
a couple of them crash and you know, blow up
and all of a sudden you have all the shrapnel
going everywhere and then that hits another satellite,
that creates shrapnel.
You can literally blanket our entire low Earth orbit
in 17,500 mile an hour bullets.
You know, we're talking, the kinetic energy in this
is so hard for people to fathom
'cause that's over 10 times faster
than most like rifle bullets.
And even like a big 50 cal is not gonna be,
you know, we're still talking about about 10%.
That, so when you think about the kinetic energy,
it's insane.
So a fleck of paint can go through panes of glass
§32Transcript · 4:04:15–4:12:18
at that velocity.
You know, a little piece of metal can puncture,
you know, blow straight through.
- So like, so our actions that seem small,
so small scale military actions
can have dire detrimental effects
to the whole space program, like global space program.
- Oh yeah, it can affect everything and everyone.
- Including the, like including satellites.
- Oh yeah, especially satellites.
Like that's, well I mean, the good and the bad thing is,
the good thing is a lot of satellites don't operate
in low Earth orbit.
Like a lot of the ones that we use day to day,
a lot of them are in medium Earth orbit,
like their GPS or their geostationary,
which are way, way, way out there.
And because of that, they won't really ever deorbit,
like it'll take, you know, millennia to deorbit
because, you know, just because something's in space
doesn't mean it's there forever,
especially like in low Earth orbit.
The atmosphere doesn't just suddenly stop.
It's not like you hit the Kármán line 100 kilometers
and all of a sudden there's zero atmosphere.
The atmosphere just slowly tapers, you know.
You can experience that yourself as you climb a mountain,
you slowly realize there's less and less air,
you just keep going.
And just because you're in space 200, 300 kilometers up,
there's still trace molecules, you know.
There's the occasional oxygen molecule,
there's the occasional nitrogen molecule.
And so that is actually drag.
So a spacecraft in low Earth orbit,
depending on its altitude,
will take anywhere from five years to five months
to deorbit, you know, or two months or one month.
Like depending on its orbit or its altitude,
we'll have some parasitic drag still
and slowly throughout time slow down,
which lowers its orbit, which drags it down more,
lowers its orbit, and et cetera, et cetera,
until it reenters.
So if we end up with some kind of catastrophic event
where the entire low Earth orbit has been inundated
and blown up, it'll take months for the first band
to clear up, it'll take years for something like beyond.
There's charts, you know,
people have all this stuff available.
You shouldn't look at that stuff.
- This is terrifying, by the way.
This is really--
- But again, the caveat is for the most part,
the low Earth orbit stuff would clear up within years.
So we could get back to doing some more with it.
Like Starlink stuff would probably be able to be re,
and you know, we could kind of redo it
and build up from the ground up again.
GPS wouldn't be wiped out,
and our geostationary satellites wouldn't be wiped out.
But the scary thing is we wouldn't be able to relaunch
and replace new things because we're stuck.
We're not gonna fly through that debris field, you know?
- And we avoid that by avoiding military actions in space.
- And these days, like there's more and more requirements
and legislation, and especially trying
to get international collaboration
on having end of life plans for satellites.
So that satellites, especially those in low Earth orbit,
have like drag devices to increase.
Then once they're done, they literally pull like,
even just a ribbon, like a silly little like, you know,
40 foot long ribbon will sit there and it'll slowly,
or it can speed up its reentry process
by months or years or whatever.
So we're starting to see that this is now
an importance, there's a really cool company
called Stoke Aerospace out in Washington
is one of these launch providers that's really looking
not into just trying to be the next, you know,
SpaceX launch company.
They're really seeing satellite,
bringing stuff down from space,
is actually being, especially right now,
we have all of these hundreds and thousands
of satellites being launched every year.
Someone at some point is probably gonna have
to do some cleanup.
And so they're looking at being one
of those companies to do that.
- Well, what do you think about Starlink
and the efforts of Starlink to put a very large number
of satellites out there and provide internet access
to Earth? - Anyone.
- To anyone.
- Generally, I think Starlink is phenomenal.
And I would be saying this if it was any company,
I wanna make that clear that people think
I'm just some, you know, SpaceX fanboy or something
and anything they do is perfect.
- I think as your fan, I could say you're basically
a fanboy or just a fan of everybody
that's doing space stuff.
And I don't, like, there's no,
even in this whole conversation,
there's no way we cover like 10%
of what I wanted to talk to you about,
so we're jumping around.
I mean, there's, we could talk probably
for an hour about Artemis.
We could talk about anything with ULA,
obviously all the other commercial efforts.
We could talk about the NASA efforts,
the, you know, the, I mean, and Saturn 5.
Like, are we gonna really go with this conversation?
I'm talking about Saturn 5.
And we might, okay?
So like, anyway, if you're a fan of everything,
Starlink is in general exciting to you.
- And not for the space assets,
but just the potential for humanity.
Like, I really think even as a consumer
of the internet personally,
our studio space down in Texas,
we're stuck with Mediacom,
which has like the least reliable internet service, period.
That's the only option.
Either that or they're trying to charge me like $20,000
to run a fiber optic cable like 1,000 meters or something.
Like, it's insane.
I'm not going to do that.
I bought Starlink.
It helps, but it's still not, you know, amazing.
But it has, you can see where this is going
in a year or two, three, five years.
They're like, oh, I can totally screw
this other internet provider.
And this is now by far the best option.
And it's available literally anywhere.
You don't have to be limited to your internet,
local internet service provider.
And on the global scale, of course,
you have people being able to learn
and learn about rockets, learn about water management
and architecture and city planning and fitness and health.
All of the modern conveniences
that we Google every single day,
there's people that don't have access to that right now.
You know, I'm a self-taught rocket nerd.
I would not be who I am if it wasn't for the internet
in the last seven years, you know, six, seven years.
- So unlocking the intellectual potential
of places like Africa, of rural areas
that don't currently have internet access.
- That's a genuine, that's a huge thing.
That's like humanitarian 101
is give people access to information.
And like, you know, I think we have this potential
to try to step in and fix other people's problems.
But the reality is like people are smart.
No matter where you are, you give them the resources
to learn, they're gonna solve problems.
They're gonna problem solve, they're gonna engineer,
they're going to, but if you don't give them access
to that information, they're gonna be stuck
in their cycles, you know?
And so I think the potential for Starlink is incredible.
I think it's already impactful.
It's already affecting people in, you know,
in rural and indigenous areas,
and it's already affecting businesses and all that stuff.
I think it's great.
I think it is, you know, there's some downsides
with astronomy, with ground-based astronomy
that it can hinder observations from the ground.
There's already a lot of communications
between SpaceX and astronomical societies
and things like that, because it is a real concern.
You know, it can ruin observations, it can ruin data.
But like one of the big ones, for instance,
recently I think a new thing they're going to be working
into is that currently, if a Starlink is flying
over a ground-based asset, a lot of ground telescopes
actually have a laser that goes up
and it measures the atmospheric distortion.
And the telescopes literally sit there
and like by the millisecond fixes, like changes the focus
and fixes those atmospheric distortions.
And that laser can interfere with satellites.
So previously, I'm pretty sure that SpaceX actually had
to, you know, request that as they're flying
over these satellites, or these telescopes,
they turn off the laser.
And when you have tens of thousands of these things flying,
you're going to be turning off the laser more than it's on,
you know, and just being this insanely inconvenient thing.
'Cause you're going to have these junctions happen often.
And I think one of the things that SpaceX is like,
"Okay, no, no, no, you guys keep the laser on,
§33Transcript · 4:12:20–4:20:35
we'll deal with your laser."
Good, good step, you know, things like that,
mitigating the brightness of them so they're not visible
under most conditions, of course,
like they're still always going to be visible in some.
But then ultimately for me, it's like this,
you have this weird, like almost like a puberty
of spaceflight and astronomy,
where currently it's not cheap enough to really do a ton
of incredible science or space-based telescopes.
You know, we have Webb, we have Hubble,
we have, you know, all these other, you know,
awesome space-based telescopes, Chandra, you know,
et cetera, et cetera, whatever.
And you, but it's still so expensive to launch them,
that we're still so reliant on our ground telescopes.
But in the future, you can see a world where,
"Oh, this is so cheap, we'll just launch,
like we can launch 50 James Webb space telescope-sized
telescopes this year for half the price
of doing it on Earth," you know, and get way better data.
So in the future, I think in 20, 30 years,
we'll look at it and be like,
"Oh man, that was an awkward time,
where space assets were interfering with astronomy."
But I think in the future, it's like,
"Can you imagine doing space, you know,
astronomy from the ground?
That's insane, you know?"
- There could be complexities to just having
that many, just another topic.
So a complexity is associated with having so many satellites,
especially with competing companies and competing nations.
Do you see that as an issue, having tens of thousands,
hundreds of thousands of satellites?
- Yeah.
- It becomes a very interesting robotics
collision avoidance problem.
- The one thing to keep in mind is perspective.
Like I know 10,000 satellites and 20,000
and 100,000 satellites sounds insane,
and it sounds really scary.
But I mean, just even look at how many planes
are in the air at any given time.
And the planes are bigger, they're flying slower,
which actually means there's a greater chance of collision.
If you think about, you know, two objects occupying space,
if they're, one's moving really fast,
like imagine trying to, you know,
throw two basketballs at each other, relatively easy.
Now try shooting two bullets at each other
and having like, you know, at 90 degrees from each other.
You have to have your timing down,
like really perfect to do that.
Now take that times 10, you know,
and these objects are taking up physical space
very small amount of time.
They're relatively small,
like most satellites are not very big,
and they have limitless altitudes to deal with.
So even though you can have what look like convergences,
you know, they can be 10, 20, 50,
100 kilometers difference often.
And you know, they're dealing with this,
like all the all space assets know,
hey, I'm at this orbital plane and this blah, blah, blah,
and they know their altitudes and know their safe distances
and have these margins built in.
And it's space.
So there's like an insane amount of room, you know.
So there's-- - There's a lot of margin.
- There's a lot of margin,
but of course you can't excuse that all the way.
Like you have to still have plans
and be considering that and considering collisions
and considering all of the above.
- When do you think the first human being
will step foot on Mars?
I, you don't like timelines, but is this something,
and you're very much focused on kind of the short term
of incredible progress that's happening,
and that makes total sense.
But there is the Mars plan that was at the origin
of the commercial spaceflight efforts.
Do you still see and dream about that day?
- Let me be clear that I don't wanna go to Mars.
But I do think if you're making me guess a timeline
for when humans will walk on Mars,
I, even a year ago, I still would have said
by the end of 2020, like the 2020s decade, you know.
So by December 31st, 2029,
I thought humans would have walked on Mars.
I'm starting to think that's still too optimistic,
but I do, I definitely think by 2040.
Like I for sure think that,
and I really think it's just hard to predict that curve,
you know, that project out that curve.
We're gonna go from feeling like it's impossible
to like it's feeling like it's inevitable.
- You know, it could be another,
by the end of this decade, JFK type moment,
especially if China steps up with the space race.
It could be like, all right,
NASA kinda says, all right, this Elon fella,
like really make this a gigantic effort.
- Well, and if Starship works out as planned,
and as NASA has invested in human landing systems,
they're relying on SpaceX to land on the moon.
SpaceX can land on the moon, they can land on Mars.
Now, whether or not the life support
and the human considerations of long-term spaceflight
missions and high radiation and blah, blah, blah, blah,
refueling on Mars is a huge, huge, huge deal.
They definitely could send a Starship to Mars
and land, ideally land in one piece on Mars.
As soon as they can land on the moon,
they can land on Mars basically.
I mean, those two things are very,
in some ways Mars is almost easier.
'Cause you can use the atmosphere to slow down.
It actually doesn't take that much more Delta V
to actually land on Mars than it does.
'Cause on the moon, you don't have any,
you have to first get out to the moon,
then orbit the moon, you know, you have to slow down.
Every one of those is a maneuver change.
Then you have to lower your orbit
until it coincides, you know, hits the moon.
Then you have to slow down enough to not explode
when you hit the moon.
So there's a lot of Delta V there,
a lot of change in velocity.
Mars is actually, by the time we kinda crunch the numbers,
it's relatively similar.
It's just a lot more difficult, like timeline-wise,
and, you know, accuracy,
and all of these other communication, you know,
there's a lot of other things obviously involved.
I'm glossing over it, making it sound easy.
It's not.
But, you know, I think there's a real decent chance
we could see a starship vehicle land on Mars
uncrewed by the end of the decade, though.
- End of the decade.
I mean, there's also a sociological element,
maybe a political one, where I think you're allowed
to take more risks with Mars than you are with the moon.
'Cause we've done the moon, 1969, it's been a while.
So PR-wise, you have to be much safer.
With Mars, everyone's like, it's super dangerous,
like super, so you could take a little more risk.
- 100%.
- Especially with manned missions.
But actually, just going back to the moon landing,
Apollo 11 mission.
We haven't talked about this, Adam.
With the amazing engine there, but again,
the romantic question, and you look back
at that moon landing, one small step for man,
one giant step for mankind.
What do you think about that moment in human history?
Do you go back to that often?
Or are you focused just like with the cars on the engines?
- No, no, no.
I still, when I need inspiration,
I rewatch this documentary called When We Left Earth.
I think it was Discovery Channel did it.
Six part episode.
It was narrated by Gary Sinise.
Phenomenal overview of the space race.
And that will get my juices flowing every time.
Every time.
Just, it's so well done.
And it really just summarizes that program so well.
And when I, and beyond, it goes all the way
to the space shuttle.
But yeah, when I watch footage of humans walking on the moon,
it's just, I can't believe we're dumb enough
to do it with the technology we had
and the risks they took to do it.
And the insane engineering that it took to do that
is just absolutely astonishing.
The amount of, the sheer logistics of what it took
to do it with the technology we had back then
is like, how did we have so much money and effort
and energy and time and resources,
human resources to do this?
It's just insane.
- Just the weakness of the computers they had back then.
They had to do so much.
I mean, yeah, it's, so much with so little.
- It's insane.
But at the same time, I don't know if we wanna talk
about conspiracy theories or anything,
but it is all of, we have the proof in the pudding
of the 400,000 people on payroll,
all of the paperwork, all of the--
- Oh, you mean the question, the conspiracy,
if we land on the moon?
- Yeah.
§34Transcript · 4:20:36–4:29:07
- Well, I mean, I think--
- The receipts are there, literally.
- But it's like a lot of things like that.
I mean, we actually generally live in a pretty cynical time
where people distrust institutions.
Part of the thing was the space program
is one of the things that can help reinvigorate
the trust in institutions.
By institutions, even that word is a bad word now,
but institutions means a bunch of humans get together
and do a big thing together.
- Yeah, but if I was conspiratorially minded,
it's like, how the hell do humans do that?
- Yeah.
- So I think that's a very cynical take, unfortunately,
but it's still an incredible one.
And also, until you look at the receipts,
there's a kind of a rationale
to that kind of conspiracy theory
because so much pressure was put on the space race,
the PR of it, to be the winner.
So it makes sense that you might want to try
to take shortcuts and fake things and propaganda,
different kinds of messaging.
And I'm sure stuff like that was happening,
some kind of little adjustment here and there
to present things better and so on.
But ultimately, the actual engineering project
of landing on the moon,
the fact that humans did that,
I mean, it is sad that we didn't have better ways
to record it.
And as I watch SpaceX efforts and Blue Origin
and these efforts, it's still not trivial to record
the how just amazing, awe-inspiring space is.
'Cause it like, you know, it's like Elon jokes about it,
space does look fake.
- Yeah.
- Like, I think there is some element of it
where you have to be there to experience it, really.
And I don't, like, I think it's currently still
an unsolved problem of how do you capture all of that?
I mean, you're one of the early people
that are part of the crew that is exploring
that very question.
I'm sure you won't find all the answers,
but you'll start to say, like,
how do we convert this into a visual format,
into some kind of format that captures the magic of it?
- 100%.
And that's a perspective thing that I think about
all the time, you know?
And I'll do a lot of thinking about, like,
what is the thing that's reacting to people?
Is it the sound?
Is it the perspective?
Is it like seeing a little tiny human next to a landing leg
that makes people go, oh my God, this thing is huge.
You know, just reading, you know, and digesting that
and trying to help to convey that as best as possible.
Because the stuff that we are and have worked on
is so cool, it's so exciting,
and it's so important, and like, actually, you know,
so much bigger than any one of us,
physically and metaphorically.
It's just so, it's just, I wish everyone had that experience
and had that light bulb go off.
- And that's the cool thing that you're, like,
smack in the middle of solving that really difficult
and fascinating problem of how do you capture the magic?
How do you inspire?
Like, that's not just an engineering problem,
that's a communication problem, education problem.
- I find, specifically for myself,
that I get most excited about something
when I learn a lot about it.
Like, when I learn the ins and the outs,
and I learn all the little problem solving
and the, you know, the cool, like, oh my God,
they had to do what to make it work?
Wow, that's amazing.
And that's, I try to just always go back to that root thing
of, like, what can I teach my, like, if I'm,
every video, I expect that I learn something making it,
no matter what.
Like, no matter how much I think I know about something,
at the end of the day, if I'm not learning something,
it's not a good video, you know?
And I always think that people get excited when they learn,
and when they have some questions answered for them.
- Let me ask you a couple of quick,
out there futuristic questions.
I have to. - Sure.
- I'd hate myself if I don't ask you.
So first, let's talk about nuclear propulsion.
So out there, interesting propulsion ideas.
So what do you think,
beyond the chemical engines that we talked about,
what do you think about using nuclear fission,
and maybe even nuclear fusion, for propulsion?
- We already have thermal nuclear reactors.
They're nuclear engines that have been tested
both by the United States and Soviet Union
that were 100% valid, like, totally ready to go,
efficient, super awesome.
Yes, yes, yes, hardcore yes.
And what they're using is, yeah, basically a fusion reactor.
You're flowing hydrogen through it,
and heating up that hydrogen,
taking it from liquid to gas.
By heating it up, you're adding energy to the propellant,
and then you're literally just using
that now steam-hot hydrogen,
and flowing it through a DeLaval nozzle.
And you also have to use that energy to spin the pumps
to still pump the thing,
so you're still kinda using a lot of the tricks
that you're using, but instead of a chemical reaction,
you're literally just using nuclear fission
to heat up propellant, and do the same thing.
And at the end of the day, you end up with like,
eight to 900 seconds of specific impulse,
which is double that of chemical propulsion.
Most of that comes just because hydrogen's so light,
you're only emitting, you're only ejecting hydrogen
out of the nozzle.
So the lighter a molecule is, the faster it,
just like if you had a golf ball versus a bowling ball,
you can only physically throw one so fast,
and the other one is a human
you're not gonna do very well with.
So you can just, you get, you have the more potential
for a higher exit velocity.
So nuclear thermal, amazing.
You can just shoot these little hydrogen molecules out
crazy fast, crazy efficiently, we already have it,
like we can do it, yes, yes, yes.
And actually we're already reinvesting in that again,
as the United States is looking into basically
ramping back up our nuclear propulsion.
- Why haven't we done it yet?
And what do you think the challenges are there?
And do you think that's an obvious future?
Like would you see in 50 years we're not using,
like we're not, for major projects,
like a Starship type of project,
we're not using chemical propulsion anymore?
- For getting off Earth,
you'll always want to use chemical propulsion
because the gas will come irradiated.
Like you don't want to, and actually the thrust
to weight ratio of these engines are relatively poor.
They're very heavy, they have a nuclear reactor,
like they're not, they're really,
the reason we kind of give up on them
is they're really most useful for like interplanetary.
If you're trying to get a big,
like if you're trying to send a huge payload off to Mars,
nuclear thermal is amazing.
It's still could be beneficial even going to the moon,
you know, like in an Earth moon system,
you could use nuclear thermal very effectively
and it could be a great choice.
But it also, that starts to get into that trade of like,
well, we can just kind of use a little bit bigger rocket
and fly a normal, you know, it's that whole trade thing.
But another reason why we kind of stopped using them,
the one that the United States developed,
Nerva was so heavy, only a Saturn V
could actually lift the stage of it, like the upper stage.
So it replaced the S4B with a nuclear thermal
with the Nerva engine.
The Soviet Union developed one about 1/10 the size
and thrust that was small enough to fly on a proton rocket.
But neither of them ever flew.
Both of them have been tested and like thumbs up,
ready to go, which is just a huge shame to me
'cause they could unlock a lot of interplanetary potential
and just all around awesome.
- Which potentially interstellar as well.
- Not quite, I don't think nuclear thermal,
not, we're not quite getting there,
but then you get into like nuclear pulse drives
and things where you're literally like
basically ejecting a bomb out the back of your rocket
and exploding and having like a shock absorber
and pogo sticking your way out of the solar system.
That's, I mean, by all physics, sure.
There's nothing wrong with that.
It's not breaking any laws of physics.
But I just don't see us getting to that need anytime soon.
I don't think we're gonna be--
- Interstellar travel.
- Yeah, I mean, that's, I think we're gonna want
a better understanding of physics and physics itself.
- Yeah, do you have a hope that maybe theoretical physics
will open the door to some exciting propulsion systems?
- Yeah, I do.
I think we're still at the very infancy
of our understanding of everything and how things work.
§35Transcript · 4:29:09–4:38:50
And 100 years ago, it would be stupid
to try to predict the things we know today.
And who knows, like even, I think about things
like James Webb looking deeper into our solar system
than ever before and physically being able to see objects
that we just have not even been able
to physically see before.
- On being able to study black holes, for example,
better and better, the stuff that's happening
outside of black holes, at the edges of black holes,
how the information is stored,
the holographic principles, just there's so much weirdness
around black holes.
Around where gravity starts bending light,
it's like, all right, we'll get to look at that now
and start to wonder like, what is going on?
And how can we use that somehow for propulsion?
I mean, it seems awfully crazy and futuristic
at this moment, but I think that's because we know
almost nothing about those kinds of objects
where, again, where the general relativity
and quantum mechanics start to have to be both considered
to describe those kinds of objects.
And as we study those objects, we might figure out
some kind of unification thing that will allow us
to understand maybe how to use black holes for propulsion.
I could say a lot of crazy things,
but basically-- - But the point is
it'd be stupid for us to even guess about things
we don't even know about yet, you know what I mean?
So therefore, I'm not going to say that the best option
for interstellar travel is nuclear drives.
That could be someone saying in 1600,
the only way to fly is by strapping
a thousand birds to your head.
- But that said, I mean, everything you're saying is right,
but human history is such, at the beginning
of the 20th century, physicists, Rutherford,
everybody, there's brilliant people that said
we've basically solved all of it.
- Right. - If you talk
to most physicists, I think they're going to say
we've pretty much solved, the Standard Model
describes physics extremely accurately.
General relativity explains the cosmos
as we observe them extremely accurately.
Yeah, there's a whole dark matter, dark energy thing,
whatever, but outside of that,
so we basically solved,
where are you going to find gaps in knowledge
that are going to somehow create warp drives
or something like that, so wormholes?
But it seems like throughout history,
we prove ourselves wrong time and time again.
- Yes, and this is well outside of any of my knowledge base,
so I want to make sure that if I say anything stupid,
it's because I'm just a peasant here in physics land,
but yes, we're all peasants in physics land.
- But I really just think it's very humbling
that we're still using chemical propulsion
and variants of, like injecting mass to propel ourselves,
and no matter how you get at it,
and I think someday, I would expect that our species
has figured out a way to get beyond that.
- Gotta ask you another wild question.
What do you think of Bob Lazar,
who claimed that he worked at and saw in Area 51,
a propulsion system fueled by, I'm quoting here,
maybe from Wikipedia, I don't know where I got this from,
fueled by an antimatter reactor,
which used as fuel the chemical element
with atomic number 115.
At the time, it wasn't synthesized.
It was later in 2003 synthesized, named Moscovium.
He said that the propulsion system
relied on a stable isotope of element 115,
which allegedly generates a gravity wave
that allowed the vehicle to fly
and to evade visual detection by bending light around it.
No stable isotopes of Moscovium have yet been synthesized.
All have proven extremely radioactive,
decaying in a few hundred milliseconds.
One, do you believe him?
Which I find him fascinating
because I find the human mind even more fascinating
than something like an antimatter drive
'cause I think it's such a giant mystery
that we haven't even begun to explore deeply.
Anyway, in that sense, whether he's lying or not
are both interesting things to explore
from a psychology perspective.
But two, he's basically saying that I guess it's an alien,
extraterrestrial engine thing.
What do you think?
- I mean, I'm happy to change my opinion
based on new evidence at any point.
The biggest part of me wants to just be like,
this is obviously just stupid and a hoax
and just total quack.
And then another part of me still is like,
this is exciting and fun to think that this is all real.
And then another part of me goes,
why, how good is this guy at lying and making stuff up?
'Cause it's all really good.
Like good storytelling, good like,
I don't know what to think, honestly.
I don't know, I'm really very skeptical
about anyone explaining anything like this.
Like, I mean, my radar is like screaming at me like,
this is all full crap, you know?
But I'd say like, there's still a part of me
that's just like, man, that is kind of cool.
How does he know that?
And like, you know what I mean?
- Well, I think you're actually--
- I'm conflicted.
- I think you're actually in the best kind of place
'cause it's, I'm afraid of being the kind of person
that hears something like that and says,
it's definitely, he's definitely full of crap
and basically closed my mind off to all that stuff.
I'm afraid of being somebody who closes my mind off
to a thing that's actually a early thread
to a brilliant, to a future,
to a fascinating solution to a mystery.
So, but in this case, I mean, I have so many red flags
from a psychological perspective that,
but again, outside of this particular individual,
I do wonder if aliens have visited us.
I think aliens are everywhere.
I think the universe is teeming with alien life.
I mean, there's, it's very difficult for me
to statistically understand,
given how life finds a way here on earth,
just everywhere, the entire history of life on earth,
from the very origin of life,
it seems to be damn good at doing its thing,
evolving to get better and better and better
at doing its thing.
Now, there could be some special aspects
to the origin of life itself,
which is completely not understood.
So maybe the true magic is in the origin of life,
or it could be that there's some magical leaps
to eukaryotic cells, for example,
that the universe, our galaxy's teeming with alien life,
but it's all bacteria.
They're all boring bacteria or exciting bacteria.
No offense to bacteria.
But the no intelligence spacefaring civilizations.
I don't know, but I just, if I were to guess,
if I had to bet all my money,
there is spacefaring civilizations
everywhere in the universe.
And the fact that they have not been
directly definitively observed confuses me.
And I think it's a mystery.
And if I were to suggest what the solution to that mystery is
is they might look extremely different from us.
And we might be too dumb to detect them.
- Yeah.
- And so there, I think you have to be extremely open-minded
at what would we be looking for.
- Right.
- And that's a very practical thing to be open-minded about.
And practically speaking, if we were to be able to
even detect them from a distance,
get a techno signature of a distant planet,
of a distant star system that has alien life,
honestly, the number one thing I kinda wanna know
is like, what's your propulsion system?
(both laughing)
How do we travel faster, right?
Like, there's a bunch of details probably,
but first, let's get together.
- And teach me how to go fast.
- Go fast.
- I like motorcycles, I like rockets.
Tell me what you got, yeah.
- Yeah, like how, like, I'll show you mine
if you show me yours kind of thing.
At the interstellar, intergalactic level.
Yeah, anyway, I just wonder,
maybe it's a cheat code in this video game we call life,
but I wanna use the cheat code to figure out
what kind of propulsion systems are possible.
And it feels like other alien civilizations
might help us, give us,
give us a guidance on that.
Of course, I think even just discovering,
boy, one of the things with the space program,
like everything we're doing with Mars,
like the secret thing I'm really excited about,
the romantic thing is humans on Mars,
but the secret thing is building giant stations on Mars
that allow us to definitively, hopefully find
the traces of life that either currently doesn't live
or has once lived on Mars.
Because if that's the case,
that means for sure life is everywhere.
§36Transcript · 4:38:53–4:47:15
- Oh, 100%.
- And then you're like, once you know that,
sorry to keep interrupting, not shutting the hell up.
This is supposed to be an interview, goddammit.
All right, that, like, that, just the knowledge of that,
just the knowledge that a four minute mile can be run,
I think will open our minds completely
to really, really hardcore push to interstellar travel
or colonizing Mars, becoming a multi-planetary species.
It'd be truly inspiring.
- You think that.
Do you get nervous, though?
I'm the interviewer now.
Don't you get nervous that we could make
spectacular discovery on Mars
that not only has there been life,
there's actually pretty advanced micro,
or multi-cellular life totally thriving in certain regions
we just hadn't visited on Mars,
and we make this big discovery,
that a relatively large percentage of people
just simply wouldn't believe it.
They'd think it's all 100% fake,
and that they're just doing this to control us,
and that blah, blah, blah.
We could make the most important discovery
in human life, in all of human existence,
that we're not alone in this universe,
cellularly at least.
And a good percentage of people,
I'm thinking 20, 30, in today's world,
40 plus percent of people wouldn't even believe it existed.
- Interesting.
It's just a very important thing to think about,
especially as an educator like yourself.
I think the current cynicism
towards institutions and science is temporary.
I think it's, they're basically, the internet woke up,
the internet smells bullshit,
and it looked at, I'm sorry I'm not being ageist,
but saying older scientists, and they looked at them,
and they kind of said, you're kind of full of shit.
You got a lot of ego, you speak down to everybody,
you're not very good at communicating.
I think there's a lot of truth to what they're saying,
and I think the young scientists that are coming up
will be much better at not being full of shit,
being authentic, being real,
not treating people like they're children
that can't possibly understand,
like taking it very seriously,
that there's a lot of intelligent people out there
that are curious, that are full of desire for knowledge,
like being transparent about all the uncertainties
of the scientific process, all the tensions,
the conflicts, all of that.
And I think once we fix the science communication system,
adapt it to the internet, I think that won't be an issue.
I hope, I hope.
I mean, that's why people like you are really important,
is like communicate with authenticity.
But yeah, that's definitely something to think about.
I mean, yes, the early, I mean, listen, scientists too,
like the phosphine discovered on Venus,
is like they're extremely skeptical always.
So definitely there'll be a lot of skepticism.
And it depends what it looks like.
If it kind of looks like,
this thing kind of looks like bacteria back on Earth.
Yes, so it means contamination
is very difficult to avoid in general.
But if the thing looks like fundamentally different,
then you're like, all right.
- Yeah, totally different DNA, RNA, like this is not,
we've never observed this ever at all.
- Then you're like, all right, cool.
Of course, so that, another promising thing
that's difficult to be definitive about,
but as we get better and better direct imaging systems,
there's now, I don't know how many,
but thousands of planets being discovered
outside of our solar system.
There's moons being discovered,
now Earth-like planets being discovered.
So like all of that,
if we could do direct imaging of those planets,
more and more and more, there could be some gigantic,
listen, if there is like a Kardashev,
like type two civilization,
we're gonna see the damn thing.
It's gonna be producing a lot of,
it's gonna be radiating a lot of energy.
So the possibility of detecting some of that,
that's also a real possibility
with something like James Webb telescopes,
like those kinds of efforts,
that starts becoming a reality.
- Have you read Andy Weir's "Project Hail Mary"?
- I have not, no.
- You're going to love it.
Like it is basically, almost answering that like,
how could they not see us type of thing almost,
where he creates this incredible,
I don't want to spoil anything,
but it's just the sense that like,
we could have totally different perspectives
with an alien race and not even like consider that,
you know, the two of us are coexisting almost.
I don't want to spoil anything,
'cause it's really, really, really worth the read.
- Oh, you mean a different perspective,
like the aliens have a different perspective than humans?
- Yeah, like we just like, we see with this visual light.
Someone could see in X-ray, et cetera.
You know, like, and just the way we even come
to the same perspective, like looking and observing
is just so different fundamentally,
that like we could, I mean, it's not quite like that.
It's not like it's like, oh,
they were actually on the Moon and we're,
you know, it's nothing like that.
But it's such a unique and incredible story.
I think Andy Weir's one of the best
science fiction writers, I don't,
I can't say that with much authority,
'cause I don't listen to much science fiction.
So zero authority.
I really like Andy Weir's books,
and that book is no different.
- But that sounds like, I'm really worried about that.
It sounds like I would really love it.
I've definitely, I've been very,
I've done a lot of reading in my life,
but like the science fiction is one of the things
I've been really, really weak on.
I haven't really read much,
and I just made more and more friends
over the years recently that say
that I absolutely must read some of these things.
- Are you, do you physically read,
or do you do audio books while you run and stuff?
- I do both, yeah.
Well, physically, I sadly don't.
It's a Kindle, right?
- Yeah, yeah, yeah.
- Yeah, but while I run, I also do,
so I do both.
I do about, on a normal day,
especially now that I've been really focused on reading,
it's about 60 minutes of reading on a Kindle,
and one to two hours, 'cause I run about two hours,
when I don't have like other stuff.
Like today, I won't run, so it's about three hours.
So on average, I would say it's like two,
two and a half hours a day that I read,
and audio books are just the same.
They're a little slower, but they can,
especially for the classics,
they can capture some of the magic with a deep voice,
usually with a British accent.
I love it.
I also read that, listened to, sorry,
that a book on propulsion like two years ago, I remember,
but I remember that was extremely difficult to--
- Ignition?
- Yeah, it was Ignition.
- By Don D. Clarke?
- Yeah, it was very difficult to listen.
- Oh, yeah, I see, I don't read,
I listen while I'm on road trips or running
or stuff like that too, so I swear there's probably 40,
or like not 40, but there's like eight minutes of,
we tried PMZ 15, 13, BM 412, RMNL,
mitral muscle hydrogen, for like,
I swear it's multiple minutes of explaining one trial
on something, 'cause there's just so many
different chemicals they try, I don't know,
it's almost a joke, I literally audibly laughed out loud
listening to it, 'cause I'm like, this is so ridiculous,
I'm sure it makes sense reading it,
but like listening to it is just hilarious,
but it's great though.
- What do you think of some of the challenges
for long-term space travel?
Do you think about this kind of stuff, the biological stuff?
- Yeah.
- Do you worry, do you think about radiation on Mars
and out in space over periods of,
actually the effects on the human body,
forget even the radiation, over periods of months and years?
- Yeah.
I think realistically we have a really good handle
on what the effects are,
and we actually have the solution to like everything,
it's just whether or not we can,
like for instance, low Earth orbit,
one of the biggest challenges eventually
after your long-term space travel
is bone density loss and not having gravity,
you actually have issues with a handful of things,
§37Transcript · 4:47:18–4:55:35
and artificial gravity is easy in terms of,
relatively easy in terms of space flight.
You can have two vehicles just tethered together
and just spinning, given enough distance
and a decent enough spin velocity,
and you can get one gene relatively easy,
we're talking again, relatively easy,
especially after talking about theoretical physics,
like this is, that's easy stuff.
We haven't done that yet,
but like there's no reason
why we can't produce artificial gravity.
If we say that that's a big enough hurdle
that we absolutely have to overcome this,
okay, cool, we'll just spin up two vehicles
that are going to Mars and people will have,
but that's the thing is Mars is only about,
we'll say six months there,
then you're hanging out on Mars,
you have 38% of gravity, and then six months-ish back.
People live on the International Space Station
at six months stints,
we've had people for basically a year
up on the International Space Station.
It's not like it's, it's not life altering.
Yeah, you have a couple days
of not being able to walk very well,
and you do have some bone density loss
and some other concerns,
but like again, that's, it's solvable.
And I think, you know, the first missions to Mars,
I think it might, we might, we'll probably do the trade.
Is it worth it to like land on Mars
and have a crippled crew
that can't even physically stand yet,
you know, for a day or two
before they get their feet from underneath them?
Or is it, do we need to spin up two spacecraft
or you know, a tether and have,
like you can't do it like Starship,
you know, even though it's 30 feet wide or nine meters wide.
If you spin it on that one axis,
that's not enough space to get 1G
without your feet and your head
being at two different velocities,
so you get really sick,
you always feel like you're falling.
Your brain will tell you that you're falling constantly.
But then again, okay, so this is,
this is the whole thing is,
you know, and I don't know if there's,
we don't really have the data yet on like,
going from zero G, we know the effects of that.
We know the effects of 1G really well,
that's our majority of our data set.
But we don't really have much data
on the long-term effects of, you know,
one sixth gravity, like on the Moon, or 38% gravity.
Is it, is one sixth gravity actually enough
to counteract 95% of the effects of low gravity?
Or is it 15, you know, is it one sixth?
Is it like a linear thing?
Is 38% gravity totally, you know,
38% as bad as one or whatever, you know,
is it a slight, like where is the doubt on the scale?
So there's a chance that we don't need
anywhere near 1G of gravity to counteract
the bulk majority of these problems.
We could have 0.1G or whatever is the,
you know, the right compromise of vehicle complexity
and human biology and all of these other effects.
Like we, this is absolutely a solvable thing.
- That is, and we figure some of this out
through just experimentation.
- 100%. - Along the way.
- Yep.
- One of this is back to my dating life.
I think one of the essential fundamental research questions
I'm wondering about is the dynamics and,
so the details of how you have sex in space.
Asking for a friend, of course.
I mean, there literally is sort of work on this, right?
'Cause like, if you think about long-term space travel,
I mean, sex is sort of like,
there's the recreational aspect of sex,
but the most important aspect of sex
for long-term space travel is procreation
is, and also the full biological cycle of that.
So from the embryo, the development of the baby,
the giving the birth and all that kind of stuff.
So like, you know, there's a lot of really difficult
problems of biology there to understand.
And perhaps to solve.
Some of that, again, just like you said brilliantly,
some of that can be just solved with engineering
outside of the human body
by creating a gravitational field like that.
But maybe along the way,
you can figure out how to do that without doing it,
but with balancing the cost and so on.
- And radiation's the other thing.
We know, we have a really good data set
on what radiation and doses do to humans.
Like, we know.
We can measure radiation.
We know, we can approximate, you know,
and kind of give edge cases for the Mars transient
and getting to Mars and being on Mars.
And the simple answer to that is like,
at the end of the day, if we have to, you know,
dig into Mars or find a tunnel to live in
so you get some extra mass in between you
and cosmic radiation, so be it.
Like, that's the answer then.
Again, none of these are like insolvable problems.
They're just things, hurdles you would have to overcome
based on, you know, the risk exposure
and the posture there.
- Imagine being the first child,
the first baby born outside of Earth.
That'd be pretty cool.
- Yeah, that'd be--
- I would love to be alive to see that.
- That'd be a big one.
- I don't know if they'll,
I don't know, 'cause it's such a dangerous thing.
It's so risky.
- I think that could be in our lifetime.
- You think so?
- Yeah.
I would like to think, in a perfect world,
if we're thinking futurism, that in 30 to 50 years,
I definitely think we could have a full-time,
like, permanent major civilizations,
you know, like what Blue Origin wants to develop,
where they have a huge sphere, you know,
and you're doing a lot of, especially heavy industry
off of Earth so you're not polluting Earth.
Like, that makes so much sense to me.
Yeah, I think we could live in a lifetime
where, you know, we thought that since the '50s and '60s
that people are gonna be living and working in space
like crazy, and at any given point,
we're lucky to have 12 people in space today.
But I really think in our lifetime,
we're finally getting to that point of,
yeah, that that's a reality.
- Let me, 'cause you mentioned Blue Origin,
can we just lay out some of the competitors to SpaceX?
So much of what we talked about is SpaceX,
specifically because they're sort of
pushing the boundaries of what's possible
in the commercial space life.
But there's a lot of, like you said,
incredible work being done for large companies
and small companies, startups, and so on.
So who are the competitors to SpaceX?
ULA, you know, Launch Alliance, Blue Origin,
there's Virgin, is it Galactic Orbit?
- Orbit would be the competitor.
- Virgin Orbit, there's Rocket Labs,
Electron Rocket that you mentioned.
There's the folks you covered, Firefly?
- Yep, yep.
- And what are we missing?
There's the EPIC Space Launch System from NASA,
I guess that is?
- Technically NASA, but prime contractor Boeing.
- Boeing, Lockheed?
- Lockheed, yeah, Northrop is the boosters, yep.
- Nice, so what's interesting to say
to lay out the land here that you're excited about?
- Just in general, I think if you aren't working
on a reusable, some form of reusable vehicle,
like physically working on it, pen to paper,
not beyond pen to paper, like bending metal
for a reusable vehicle, you're gone, you're toast.
I think we're well into that being the only provable
way forward, the only way you're gonna compete
and survive is a reusable rocket.
Fully reusable would be great,
but that's obviously massively aspirational still,
but it will come.
But to me, the list you pretty much had it right on the head,
Astra was another orbital rocket company.
There's a lot of companies, and I think right now
the ones that I personally really believe in,
Rocket Lab is awesome.
I really think that they are one of the few
that I believe can actually build a Falcon 9 class rocket,
like today, with their technology, with their knowledge,
with their investments, with their funding,
and they've proven themselves.
There's very few, they have actually made it look easy.
I think there's a lot of startups and a lot of new rocket.
There's too many launch providers
popping out of the woodwork right now.
They won't all survive, of course.
I think realistically, if you look at like airplanes,
how many airplane, there's a handful
§38Transcript · 4:55:38–5:03:47
of airplane manufacturers.
There's not hundreds and thousands
of airplane manufacturers.
I think it'll be a similar thing for space flight.
I think we'll see, realistically,
in the terms of jumbo jets and passengers,
there's basically two.
There's Airbus and there's Boeing.
So I think in the long run,
there'll be two or three major players.
I think there'll be 10 minor,
like as far as launch providers,
as far as the ones actually leaving Earth
and getting into orbit, I just don't think
there's a ton of room for individuality, really.
- Yeah, I would love to see a really serious competitor
to SpaceX in the way that SpaceX does things.
I don't know if ULA is quite the right kind of competitor.
- Let me say this.
ULA has all of the potential,
but just operationally, Lockheed Martin and Boeing's
love child, they're kind of set up
in a far too traditional manner,
where they just really aren't given the opportunity
to innovate like a lot of these startups are.
- So Rocket Lab is a little bit more of that nature.
What do you think about just Blue Origin in general?
- Blue Origin's, man.
What Blue Origin has done with New Shepard is amazing,
and people just laud it because it's suborbital
and it looks very phallic.
- So I guess the meme matters also in this modern day.
- But it's sad because people don't see
what they are also working on, which is New Glenn.
I see comments almost every day still of like,
it doesn't matter 'cause they're working on tiny.
It's like, no, New Glenn is more powerful
and more capable than Falcon Heavy.
New Glenn is almost more of a competitor to,
not quite, to Starship, but it's almost in that class.
It's a heavy lift launch vehicle.
It's huge, it's crazy, it'll be nuts.
They're very actively working on it.
I still think we're three years away from it launching,
but that's a very strong competitor
in the class of rockets that SpaceX is currently making.
So SpaceX is currently leading the way,
but it could become a close race.
- For now, we'll ignore SpaceX
and we'll just kind of talk about,
I think who's kind of coming around the corner here.
So let me just do a quick overview.
I'm gonna shoot myself in the foot
for getting some cool people here
and some exciting companies,
but Relativity is one that,
if you, you should definitely get Tim Ellis on the show,
who is the CEO of Relativity.
They're doing 3D printed rockets.
They're the ones that have the world's largest 3D printer.
They're getting really close to their first orbital launch.
The cool thing about them,
the reason that I think they're exciting,
the reason that I think they have the potential
is just how quickly they can iterate.
I think 3D printing a rocket is really dumb.
I think iterating with 3D printing on a rocket is brilliant
because you can literally change software
and have very little,
upload a file and have a new rocket.
That's amazing.
So in terms of long-term iterative process,
if we're really talking about hitting the ground running
and just seeing where the evolution takes you,
I think that's about as good as you can get.
I think what SpaceX is doing at Starbase,
just physically bending cheap steel
is probably also a very valid solution.
So I really think, and they have the engineering chops.
I think they've got some amazing people there.
Again, Rocket Lab, I adore what they work on.
And like everyone, there's a caveat here
that everything takes longer.
Anything any company tells you,
it's two or three times longer, just period.
Rocket Lab's no different.
But I really, they're working on a Neutron rocket
that's gonna be like, I think 8,000 to 15,000 kilograms
to lower Earth orbit.
It's a good medium class rocket.
Will compete right along with Falcon 9, hopefully.
- By the way, Neutron would be its name, right?
- Yep, so I like Neutron.
- It's not some kind of fascinating new physics breakthrough
where they're using neutrons.
- No, no, but they are using,
they're also using liquid methane and liquid oxygen.
I just think it's a really, it seems like a great rocket.
And assuming they can actually get it flying
in two or three years, I think they're gonna be,
it's here to stay, you know?
I'd be remiss, right now I'm editing a video
from an interview with Stoke Aerospace
out in Kent, Washington.
It was just one of these companies
that they have a long ways to go.
Like they're still in the very,
they're behind the curve, frankly,
in terms of launch vehicles right now.
Because like I said, there's so many
coming out of the woodwork.
But the idea they're working on,
their solution to a fully reusable rocket is amazing.
One of the coolest concepts I've ever seen.
- Are you gonna cover it in the video?
- Yeah, yep, yep.
That'll be hopefully coming out in the next,
depending on what the schedule is down there.
I'm actively editing that as we speak,
and it is so cool.
I mean, it is like, it's genius.
And if they can actually get it to work,
I can see them merging.
I can for sure see someone potentially,
like I perfectly, in a perfect world,
they've merged with Rocket Lab.
They, Stoke develops the upper stage,
and maybe even the engines, they are.
The two guys, the CEO, the co-founders of that company,
they are engine, like propulsion engineer magnificence.
They have, they used to, they both have worked at Blue.
They developed engines in a hurry there,
and then left Blue when it felt like
it was getting too slow for them.
And now they are, I mean, these guys fired
a 15-chambered rocket engine,
instead of four from the Soviet,
we're talking 15 chambers, single turbo pump,
70 times in the month of October.
- Wow.
- That's impressive. - Wow.
- And that's like, that was on average,
if you think about like days off, time off,
parts changing, over twice a day on average
of a Hydrolux engine, that's insane.
So I love them, and I hope the best for them.
(laughs)
But they're also topical right now.
They're at top of my head, so.
- What about Firefly?
- What I like about Firefly,
they've already got kind of a traditional aerospace backing.
They're starting to buddy up a lot with Northrop Grumman.
So they're gonna be building the booster stage for Antares,
which is currently flying only out of Wallops, Virginia,
and is one of the only other commercial providers
for the International Space Station.
And Northrop Grumman is a very traditional
aerospace company, you know,
like lots of solid rocket boosters,
and they've purchased, ironically,
their current Antares is reliant on Russian engines
and Ukrainian boosters, two things that I don't think
you're gonna be able to get your hands on too much anymore.
So they're looking to some US propulsion and stages.
So they actually are partnering with Firefly,
and their new Antares rocket will be a first stage
built entirely by Firefly.
So I'm excited that Firefly already has
the propulsion technology.
And they actually developed, ironically,
their tap-off cycle engine was developed
in partnership with Ukraine, with Ukrainian engineers,
who developed the whole turbo pump system.
So it's like, it's this cool meddling of these worlds.
Their former CEO, Tom Rakusik, was,
like I have an interview with him,
and he's, anyone that can just spout nuances and facts,
I just love.
I just soaked that guy's information up as best I could,
'cause he is brilliant.
Literally a doctor, a rocket doctor, you know.
So yeah, I mean, that's what, like you said,
the fascinating thing about these folks, they're legit.
They're such great engineers,
the people that bring these rockets to life.
And then there's all this stuff that we know
and don't know about in China and other parts
and other nations that are putting stuff into orbit.
One of the sad things also is like,
with Lockheed and Boeing is,
it's just military applications in general.
There's so much technology that's currently being developed
that we probably know nothing about.
And it makes me a little bit sad, of course.
But for several reasons.
One is that the use of that technology has really much,
it's not that inspired, it's like a very military focus.
- Yeah, it's to kill someone.
- It's to kill someone, yeah.
§39Transcript · 5:03:48–5:11:15
There's not even like a side application.
And the big one is that the secret,
it's shrouded in secrecy
as opposed to being a source of inspiration.
- Yeah, 100%.
- But that's the way of the world.
Like what was that one plane that you covered
that was like we know nothing about?
- Oh, the X-37B.
- The X-37B.
- Yeah, orbited for over 900 days and returned.
Like, yeah, I wanna know about that thing.
- What's that thing up to?
- I don't know.
That's what's, it's so frustrating.
We know when it launches, people,
amateurs track and know,
they even will be like, oh, it changed orbit.
It raised and lowered its orbit, blah, blah, blah.
We generally have just almost no idea
what it's doing up there.
And it just saddens me 'cause I wanna know.
And it's awesome.
It's a great vehicle.
- War, what is it good for?
You mentioned Kerbal Space Program, the video game.
Someone asked you what video game you recommend
for learning about space and rockets,
and you said, duh, Kerbal Space Program.
So tell me about this game.
What is this game?
And I also saw, heard that a second one is coming out.
So what, you know, I've been playing more games recently
'cause games are fun and they remind you
that life is awesome.
So why should I play this game?
- If you wanna learn about rockets,
how to fly, how to build, how to get into orbit,
how to get to other planets,
there's no better way to learn about rockets
than playing Kerbal Space Program.
- So what does it entail?
Like, do you actually like--
- It's like SimCity and Microsoft Flight Simulator
for rockets.
- Oh, interesting.
So you will get to like, what, do you design the rockets?
- Yeah, yeah.
It's, okay, so I started playing it in like 2014, I think,
around as I'm like falling in love with space.
And I became obsessed with this game.
Like literally you, you know, you take a,
like you get, boop, a little command module.
Click, you click on a fuel tank.
Boop, you choose your engine.
Boop, you choose a stage connector.
Boop, you connect more tanks and build these space planes
and fantastical things.
And it's all like physics-based.
And it's available, this sounds like a commercial.
It's available on PC and Mac and console.
Like it's available everywhere.
- But wait, there's more.
- But wait, there's more.
And--
- You said like you streamed yourself playing this.
Are any of those videos up still?
- Oh yeah, yeah, yeah.
There's some of my, actually the first videos
I ever uploaded to YouTube were like recaptured streams
from Twitch that I just physically uploaded to YouTube.
- This is awesome.
- And so it's me playing Kerbal.
I used to do this kind of like a podcast style thing.
I should get back into this
'cause it's one of my favorite things I ever did.
It's called, we called it Todayish in Spaceflight History,
but these days I'd probably just play Kerbal.
But I had my friend come sit next to me.
His name's Jacob.
And he is a former professional pole vaulter.
Just this really, knows nothing about rockets.
- Yes.
- Knows nothing about space.
Hilarious, like in the sweetest, most fun way.
He, you know, as an adult asked me
which is bigger, the Earth or the moon?
And I love that for him.
You know, that's fantastic.
He's just a delightful human.
He would sit next to me.
We would recreate a historical spaceflight mission
in Kerbal Space Program.
And he would just sit there and play guitar
and sing about what I'm like doing and asking questions.
And it's still one of my favorite things I've ever done.
- Yeah, you should definitely do something like that.
So basically just, yeah, shoot the shit with a friend.
- Get their curiosity going.
Let them just sit there and ask questions.
It was awesome.
Like, I mean, yeah, those are some,
I've done it a handful of times.
I think we probably did like 20 or 30 episodes or something.
And it's definitely something
I would like to get back to doing.
- Can you in the game, like go to the moon?
- Yeah, so it's technically a different solar system.
It's the Kerbal system and you're on the planet Kerbin.
So there's the Mun, M-U-N.
There's a second moon in this system on this planet.
It's called Minmus.
- They didn't want to pay licensing fees or what?
(laughing)
- Well, it's just a little easier.
It's a little bit smaller.
So the physics are easier.
- Oh, so it tries to be consistent with physics.
- Yeah, oh yeah, yeah.
The physics are all like real world physics.
And I mean, there's aero simulations.
There's all of it's like one-to-one,
for earth physics. - That's awesome.
- It's just on an easier scale, solar system.
So it's easier to navigate.
But there's still like, there's a planet called Eve
that's kind of like Venus.
So it has a really thick atmosphere,
really thick, really soupy.
It's in a lot more gravity.
So it's just really, really hard to get off of.
It's relatively easy to land on Eve,
but like that's kind of like the ultimate boss in the game
is like getting off of Eve.
So that's one of my favorite things to do
is build these crafts to get to Eve and try to return home.
- You mentioned that there's almost like a podcast thing.
You also did our Ludicrous Future.
Is there a podcast in your future?
Are you thinking, do you enjoy the medium?
You're so incredibly good at talking.
It's less effort to sort of to produce.
Is that something in the back of your mind also?
- Oh man, I love talking.
- Yeah, and you're very good at it.
I mean, yeah.
- I find that I, it's just, the problem with,
for me with podcasts, and I think it's the podcasts
that I've done, have tried to be relatively topical
about like the current spaceflight affairs.
And four, three or four years ago,
that was actually manageable for me to keep up with.
These days, man, I can't keep,
I just can't keep up with it.
I gave up on trying to be super topical.
And I realized that maybe my biggest talent
and the things that resonate most with people
is just trying to explain the basics and the root.
So I'm really just trying to like,
I'm trying to do less live streams if I can,
but then again, like "Star Trek," I gotta stream that.
There's no way I'm not gonna do that.
But I'm really just trying to get back
to like making the deep dive videos
where I have no limit on how long and how deep
and just really go for it,
'cause that's actually what I love to do the best.
- Yeah, I mean, that's like views aside,
those are just works of genius
and you're getting better and better at them.
And like, that's the,
that in terms of the beautiful things
you can create in this world, those are that.
So like, if you continue,
especially where the way space travel is developing,
like that, your voice is very much needed.
So I think it's wise to do what you do best.
- And I think I'm feeling more and more,
especially this last year,
I did a lot of like live streaming and traveling
back and forth between Florida and California
and here and just handling major, like big live streams,
really stressed myself out.
And at the end of the day, I was like,
all of this is taking away from my ability to make videos.
And that's ideally, honestly,
if I like had my choice of things,
I would just ignore everything else
and just sit and lock myself in my house for a year
and just sit there and make videos
and go and travel every other month, you know, for fun,
like not for space stuff,
just go and do some light traveling, you know, some--
- Like around the moon or what?
- Yeah, just some light traveling.
- What advice would you give to young folks
or just folks struggling to find their way in life,
whether they're in high school, college, or beyond,
like how to have a life they can be proud of,
how to have a career they can be proud of?
§40Transcript · 5:11:17–5:15:38
You've had a really interesting journey yourself.
What from that can you draw, give advice to others?
- To be honest, like I feel like it's so painfully obvious
to follow your heart and follow like what makes you happy
that I'm just shocked that people allow themselves
to sit on like mediocrity, you know,
like to just sit there and be like,
well, this is just what I do.
You know, and for a lot of people, that's perfectly fine.
Like I have, you know, some of my best friends
are clocking in and out and they're perfectly happy.
They have a wonderful life.
Absolutely no judgment there, of course.
But for people that are stuck feeling like they're not sure
of, you know, what's next
and how to bring light into their world,
you really just gotta listen to like
what does make you happy.
You know, people feel guilty about,
oh, I play video games for eight hours.
Then start learning how to make a video game.
Learn how to do reviews of video games or make,
there's so many, you can work in the video game industry.
You know, you don't have to isolate your love
from your work, you know, and it's just funny that we,
you know, maybe you feel guilty that you drink too much.
Okay, I don't know if this is a good advice.
Go learn how to make alcohol, you know, be a--
- Start a liquor company.
- Yeah, start a liquor company.
I mean, maybe that's a careful advice.
- No, it's great advice, but it's also in your own story,
it seems like you've almost stumbled on,
like some of it is just exploration
and keeping your mind and heart open
to discovering that thing that grabs you, right?
It's not--
- What do you fall asleep thinking about?
You know, like--
- But you stumbled on the space almost accidentally, right?
I mean--
- Yeah, yeah, yeah.
- I get, would you, when you were doing,
being a professional photographer, would you have known?
- Oh, no.
Well, do you wanna know what I wanted to be
when I was a kid?
- What's that?
- Well, first, when I was young, I wanted to be a tractor.
I'm not quite sure I understood how that works.
Then I wanted to be a scorpion trainer.
Thought I could train 'em to cut people's lawns.
- Better and better.
- Yep, yep.
And then, honestly, the majority of my childhood--
- Cut people's lawns, got it.
I think your understanding of physics early on
was just a little--
- The pincers, man, the pincers.
Then from like probably six until like early college,
I wanted to be a prosthetic engineer.
And never once did I think about anything rockets, really.
I had like a space shuttle poster.
I had some space shuttle Legos.
I liked space and I knew of the space shuttle,
but it was far down the list
as far as things that I thought were cool.
Ninja Turtles, Lamborghini Countach,
B-17G Flying Fortress.
Yeah, I guess that means--
- If you just keep your heart open
to falling in love with an idea, with a passion, yeah.
You could start from that,
from Ninja Turtles and scorpions cutting lawns
to being one of the best, one of the top educators,
inspirational figures in space,
and actually traveling around the moon.
And who knows, maybe one day stepping foot on the moon
and Mars, even though you say you're not interested.
It seems like you stating that you're not interested
in certain things somehow results in you--
- And you're doing those things.
- My friends joke that I'm gonna be the first person
to go to the moon against their will.
- Yeah, like, all right, all right.
- Dang it.
- This is, all right, what's the food like up there?
- Guys, we're gonna start a fundraiser.
Please, Tim just doesn't wanna go.
- Definitely don't want to do it.
All right, Tim, you're an incredible person.
Thank you so much for everything you do.
I've been a fan of yours for a long time.
Not just the content, but just who you are as a human being,
just how excited you are for everything.
It's just an inspiration, you're a joy to watch.
Thank you for being you.
Thank you for doing the stuff you're doing.
I can't wait to see what you do next, man.
Thank you so much for talking with me today.
That was awesome.
- Thank you so much, it's my pleasure.
- Thanks for listening to this conversation with Tim Dodd.
To support this podcast,
please check out our sponsors in the description.
And now, let me leave you with some words from H.G. Wells.
Life, forever dying to be born afresh,
forever young and eager,
will presently stand upon this earth
as upon a footstool,
and stretch out its realm amidst the stars.
Thank you for listening, and hope to see you next time.
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