← Lex Fridman

Karl Friston: Neuroscience and the Free Energy Principle

Episode 992020-05-28English

Guests: Karl Friston

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§01Transcript · 00:00–10:08

00:00The following is a conversation with Carl Fristen,

00:03one of the greatest neuroscientists in history.

00:06Cited over 245,000 times,

00:10known for many influential ideas in brain imaging,

00:13neuroscience, and theoretical neurobiology,

00:16including especially the fascinating idea

00:19of the free energy principle for action and perception.

00:23Carl's mix of humor, brilliance, and kindness,

00:28to me, are inspiring and captivating.

00:31This was a huge honor and a pleasure.

00:34This is the Artificial Intelligence Podcast.

00:36If you enjoy it, subscribe on YouTube,

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00:41support it on Patreon,

00:42or simply connect with me on Twitter,

00:44Alex Friedman, spelled F-R-I-D-M-A-N.

00:48As usual, I'll do a few minutes of ads now,

00:50and never any ads in the middle

00:52that can break the flow of the conversation.

00:54I hope that works for you,

00:55and doesn't hurt the listening experience.

00:58This show is presented by Cash App,

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01:42and STEM education for young people around the world.

01:45And now, here's my conversation with Carl Fristen.

01:50How much of the human brain do we understand

01:53from the low level of neuronal communication

01:56to the functional level to the highest level,

02:01maybe the psychiatric disorder level?

02:04- Well, we're certainly in a better position

02:06than we were last century. (laughs)

02:08How far we've got to go, I think,

02:10is almost an unanswerable question.

02:12So you'd have to set the parameters,

02:16what constitutes understanding,

02:18what level of understanding do you want?

02:21I think we've made enormous progress

02:25in terms of broad brush principles.

02:27Whether that affords a detailed cartography

02:32of the functional anatomy of the brain

02:34and what it does right down to the microcircuitry

02:36in the neurons, that's probably out of reach

02:40at the present time.

02:42- So the cartography, so mapping the brain,

02:44do you think mapping of the brain,

02:47the detailed, perfect imaging of it,

02:50does that get us closer to understanding

02:54of the mind, of the brain?

02:56So how far does it get us

02:58if we have that perfect cartography of the brain?

03:01- I think there are lower bounds on that.

03:03It's a really interesting question.

03:04And it would determine the sort of scientific career

03:09you'd pursue if you believe that knowing

03:11every dendritic connection, every sort of microscopic

03:16synaptic structure right down to the molecular level

03:18was gonna give you the right kind of information

03:22to understand the computational anatomy,

03:25then you'd choose to be a microscopist

03:27and you would study little cubic millimeters of brain

03:32for the rest of your life.

03:33If on the other hand, you were interested

03:35in holistic functions and a sort of functional anatomy

03:40of the sort that a neuropsychologist would understand,

03:44you'd study brain lesions and strokes,

03:46just looking at the whole person.

03:48So again, it comes back to

03:50at what level do you want understanding?

03:52I think there are principled reasons not to go too far.

03:56If you commit to a view of the brain

04:01as a machine that's performing a form of inference

04:06and representing things,

04:09there are, that understanding, that level of understanding

04:15is necessarily cast in terms of probability densities

04:20and ensemble densities, distributions.

04:24And what that tells you is that you don't really want

04:27to look at the atoms to understand the thermodynamics

04:30of probabilistic descriptions of how the brain works.

04:34So I personally wouldn't look at the molecules

04:38or indeed the single neurons in the same way

04:41if I wanted to understand the thermodynamics

04:44of some non-equilibrium steady state of a gas

04:47or an active material.

04:48I wouldn't spend my life looking at the individual molecules

04:53that constitute that ensemble.

04:55I'd look at their collective behavior.

04:57On the other hand, if you go too coarse grain,

05:00you're gonna miss some basic canonical principles

05:03of connectivity and architectures.

05:06I'm thinking here, this bit colloquial,

05:10but there's current excitement

05:11about high field magnetic resonance imaging at 7TESLA.

05:16Why?

05:17Well, it gives us for the first time the opportunity

05:19to look at the brain in action

05:21at the level of a few millimeters

05:23that distinguish between different layers of the cortex

05:27that may be very important in terms of

05:29evincing generic principles of canonical microcircuitry

05:35that are replicated throughout the brain

05:37that may tell us something fundamental

05:39about message passing in the brain

05:41and these density dynamics or neuronal ensemble

05:44population dynamics that underwrite our brain function.

05:49So somewhere between a millimeter and a meter.

05:52- Lingering for a bit on the big questions,

05:56if you allow me, what to you is the most beautiful

06:00or surprising characteristic of the human brain?

06:03- I think it's hierarchical and recursive aspect.

06:06It's recurrent aspect.

06:08- Of the structure or of the actual representation

06:11of power of the brain?

06:12- Well, I think one speaks to the other.

06:15I was actually answering in a dull-minded way

06:18from the point of view of purely its anatomy

06:20and its structural aspects.

06:22I mean, there are many marvelous organs in the body.

06:26Let's take your liver, for example.

06:28Without it, you wouldn't be around for very long.

06:32And it does some beautiful and delicate biochemistry

06:35and homeostasis and you're evolved with a finesse

06:40that would easily parallel the brain.

06:43But it doesn't have a beautiful anatomy.

06:45It has a simple anatomy, which is attractive

06:47in a minimalist sense, but it doesn't have

06:48that crafted structure of sparse connectivity

06:52and that recurrence and that specialization

06:55that the brain has.

06:56- So you said a lot of interesting terms here.

06:58So the recurrence, the sparsity,

07:00but you also started by saying hierarchical.

07:03So I've never thought of our brain as hierarchical.

07:08Sort of I always thought it was just like a giant mess,

07:14interconnected mess where it's very difficult

07:16to figure anything out.

07:18But in what sense do you see the brain as hierarchical?

07:21- Well, I see it's not a magic soup.

07:24(both laughing)

07:26Of course, it's what I used to think

07:29before I studied medicine and the like.

07:33So a lot of those terms imply each other.

07:37So hierarchies, if you just think about the nature

07:42of a hierarchy, how would you actually build one?

07:46And what you would have to do is basically carefully remove

07:49the right connections that destroy

07:52the completely connected soups that you might have in mind.

07:56So a hierarchy is in and of itself defined

08:00by a sparse and particular connectivity structure.

08:03I'm not committing to any particular form of hierarchy.

08:07- But your sense is there is some.

08:10- Oh, absolutely, yeah.

08:11In virtue of the fact that there is a sparsity

08:14of connectivity, not necessarily of a qualitative sort,

08:19but certainly for quantitative sort.

08:20So it is demonstrably so that the far more

08:26further apart two parts of the brain are,

08:29the less likely they are to be wired,

08:32to possess axonal processes, neuronal processes

08:35that directly communicate one message

08:39or messages from one part of that brain

08:41to the other part of the brain.

08:42So we know there's a sparse connectivity.

08:44And furthermore, on the basis of anatomical connectivity

08:50and tracer studies, we know that that has a direct effect

08:55that sparsity underwrites a hierarchical

09:00and very structured sort of connectivity

09:05that might be best understood a little bit like an onion.

09:08There is a concentric, sometimes referred to as centripetal

09:14by people like Marcel Mesulam,

09:17hierarchical organization to the brain.

09:19So you can think of the brain as in a rough sense,

09:23like an onion and all the sensory information

09:28and all the afferent outgoing messages

09:31that supply commands to your muscles

09:33or to your secretory organs come from the surface.

09:37So there's a massive exchange interface

09:40with the world out there on the surface.

09:43And then underneath there's a little layer

09:45that sits and looks at the exchange on the surface.

09:49And then underneath that, there's a layer

09:51right the way down to the very center,

09:53to the deepest part of the onion.

09:55That's what I mean by a hierarchical organization.

09:58There's a discernible structure

10:01defined by the sparsity of connections

10:04that lends the architecture a hierarchical structure

10:08that tells one a lot about the kinds of representations

§02Transcript · 10:12–19:39

10:12and messages.

10:13So going back to your earlier question,

10:15is this about the representational capacity

10:18or is it about the anatomy?

10:20Well, one underwrites the other.

10:23If one simply thinks of the brain

10:26as a message-passing machine,

10:29a process that is in the service of doing something,

10:32then the circuitry and the connectivity

10:37that shape that message-passing also dictate its function.

10:42- So you've done a lot of amazing work

10:45in a lot of directions.

10:46So let's look at one aspect of that,

10:49of looking into the brain

10:51and trying to study this onion structure.

10:53What can we learn about the brain by imaging it,

10:57which is one way to sort of look at the anatomy of it,

11:01broadly speaking?

11:02What are the methods of imaging,

11:05but even bigger, what can we learn about it?

11:07- Right, so, well, most imaging,

11:11human neuroimaging that you might see

11:15in science journals,

11:19that speaks to the way the brain works,

11:22measures brain activity over time.

11:24So, you know, that's the first thing to say,

11:26that we're effectively looking at fluctuations

11:30in neuronal responses,

11:32usually in response to some sensory input

11:36or some instruction, some task.

11:40Not necessarily, there's a lot of interest

11:42in just looking at the brain

11:43in terms of resting state, endogenous or intrinsic activity.

11:49But crucially, at every point,

11:51looking at these fluctuations,

11:52either induced or intrinsic in the neural activity,

11:56and understanding them at two levels.

11:59So normally people would recourse

12:03to two principles of brain organization

12:06that are complementary.

12:07One, functional specialization or segregation.

12:10So what does that mean?

12:12It simply means that there are certain parts of the brain

12:16that may be specialized for certain kinds of processing.

12:19You know, for example, visual motion,

12:22our ability to recognize or to perceive movement

12:26in the visual world.

12:28And furthermore, that specialized processing

12:31may be spatially or anatomically segregated,

12:34leading to functional segregation.

12:37Which means that if I were to compare your brain activity

12:41during a period of static, viewing a static image,

12:45and then compare that to the responses

12:48of fluctuations in the brain

12:50when you were exposed to a moving image,

12:52say a flying bird,

12:54I would expect to see

12:56restricted, segregated differences in activity.

13:02And those are basically the hotspots that you see

13:04in the statistical parametric maps

13:06that test for the significance of the responses

13:09that are circumscribed.

13:11So now basically we're talking about

13:15what some people have perhaps unkindly called

13:18a neocartography.

13:19This is a phonology augmented by modern day neuroimaging.

13:24Basically finding blobs or bumps on the brain

13:29that do this or do that.

13:31And trying to understand the cartography

13:33of that functional specialization.

13:35- So how much is there such,

13:39since that's such a beautiful sort of ideal to strive for,

13:44we human scientists would like to hope

13:47that there's a beautiful structure to this,

13:49whereas like you said, there are segregated regions

13:51that are responsible for the different function.

13:54How much hope is there to find such regions

13:57in terms of looking at the progress of studying the brain?

14:00- Oh, I think enormous progress has been made

14:02in the past 20 or 30 years.

14:05So this is beyond incremental.

14:08At the advent of brain imaging,

14:12the very notion of functional segregation

14:15was just a hypothesis.

14:16Based upon a century, if not more,

14:20of careful neuropsychology,

14:21looking at people who had lost via insult

14:24or traumatic brain injury,

14:28particular parts of the brain,

14:29and then say, well, they can't do this

14:31or they can't do that.

14:32For example, losing the visual cortex

14:34and not being able to see,

14:35or losing particular parts of the visual cortex

14:39or regions known as V5

14:44or the middle temporal region, MT,

14:48and noticing that they selectively

14:49could not see moving things.

14:51And so that created the hypothesis

14:55that perhaps movement processing,

14:58visual movement processing,

14:59was located in this functionally segregated area.

15:03And you could then go and put invasive electrodes

15:05in animal models and say, yes, indeed,

15:08we can excite activity here,

15:10we can form receptive fields

15:13that are sensitive to or defined

15:14in terms of visual motion.

15:16But at no point could you exclude the possibility

15:18that everywhere else in the brain

15:20was also very interested in visual motion.

15:23- By the way, I apologize to interrupt,

15:24but it's a tiny little tangent.

15:27You said animal models.

15:28Just out of curiosity, from your perspective,

15:32how different is the human brain

15:34versus the other animals in terms of our ability

15:37to study the brain?

15:39- Well, clearly, the further away you go

15:42from a human brain, the greater the difference is,

15:45but not as remarkable as you might think.

15:49So people will choose their level

15:51of approximation to the human brain

15:54depending upon the kinds of questions

15:56that they want to answer.

15:57So if you're talking about sort of canonical principles

16:00of microcircuitry, it might be perfectly okay

16:02to look at a mouse, indeed.

16:04You could even look at flies, worms.

16:08If, on the other hand, you wanted to look

16:09at the finer details of organization of visual cortex

16:13and V1, V2, these are designated sort of patches of cortex

16:17that may do different things, indeed do,

16:20you'd probably want to use a primate

16:23that looked a little bit more like a human

16:25because there are lots of ethical issues

16:28in terms of the use of non-human primates

16:32to answer questions about human anatomy.

16:37But I think most people assume

16:39that most of the important principles

16:42are conserved in a continuous way,

16:44right from, well, yes, worms, right the way through

16:50to you and me.

16:53- So now returning to, so that was the early ideas

16:56of studying the functional regions of the brain

17:00and if there's some damage to it,

17:02to try to infer that that part of the brain

17:06might be somewhat responsible for this type of function.

17:09So where does that lead us?

17:11What are the next steps beyond that?

17:12- Right, well, just actually to reverse a bit,

17:16come back to your sort of notion

17:17that the brain is a magic soup.

17:19That was actually a very prominent idea at one point,

17:22notions such as Lashley's law of mass action

17:27inherited from the observation

17:30that for certain animals,

17:34if you just took out spoonfuls of the brain,

17:36it didn't matter where you took these spoonfuls out,

17:38they always showed the same kinds of deficits.

17:41So it was very difficult to infer functional specialization

17:45pure on the basis of lesion deficit studies.

17:48But once we had the opportunity

17:51to look at the brain lighting up

17:52and it's literally, it's sort of excitement,

17:55neuronal excitement when looking at this versus that,

18:00one was able to say, yes, indeed,

18:03these functionally specialized responses

18:05are very restricted and they're here or they're over there.

18:09If I do this, then this part of the brain lights up.

18:11And that became doable in the early '90s.

18:16In fact, shortly before

18:18with the advent of positron emission tomography

18:21and then functional magnetic resonance imaging came along.

18:25In the early '90s and since that time,

18:28there has been an explosion of discovery,

18:31refinement, confirmation.

18:34There are people who believe that it's all in the anatomy.

18:38If you understand the anatomy,

18:40then you understand the function at some level.

18:43And many, many hypotheses were predicated

18:45on a deep understanding of the anatomy and the connectivity,

18:49but they were all confirmed and taken much further

18:53with neuroimaging.

18:55So that's what I meant by we've made an enormous

18:57amount of progress in this century, indeed,

19:01and in relation to the previous century,

19:03by looking at these functionally selective responses.

19:08But that wasn't the whole story.

19:11So there's this sort of neophrenology,

19:13but finding bumps and hot spots in the brain

19:15that did this or that.

19:16The bigger question was, of course,

19:20the functional integration.

19:22How all of these regionally specific responses

19:26were orchestrated, how they were distributed,

19:29how did they relate to distributed processing

19:32and indeed representations in the brain?

19:35So then you turn to the more challenging issue

19:39of the integration, the connectivity,

§03Transcript · 19:42–28:47

19:42and then we come back to this beautiful,

19:44sparse, recurrent, hierarchical connectivity

19:49that seems characteristic of the brain

19:51and probably not many other organs.

19:53- But nevertheless, we come back to this challenge

19:58of trying to figure out how everything is integrated.

20:01But what's your feeling, what's the general consensus?

20:04Have we moved away from the magic soup view of the brain?

20:07- Yes.

20:08- So there is a deep structure to it.

20:10And then maybe a further question,

20:14you said some people believe that the structure

20:16is most of it, that you could really get

20:19at the core of the function by just deeply understanding

20:21the structure.

20:22Where do you sit on that?

20:25- I think it's got some mileage to it, yes.

20:27Yeah, yeah.

20:28- So it's a worthy pursuit of going,

20:30of studying through imaging and all the different methods

20:34to actually study the structure.

20:35- No, absolutely, yeah.

20:38Sorry, I'm just noting, you were accusing me

20:41of using lots of long words and then you introduced one

20:43there which is deep, which is interesting.

20:46Because deep is the sort of millennial equivalent

20:50of hierarchical.

20:51So if you put deep in front of anything,

20:53not only are you very millennial and very trending,

20:57but you're also implying a hierarchical architecture.

21:01So it is a depth, which is for me, the beautiful thing.

21:05- That's right, the word deep kind of, yeah, exactly.

21:08It implies hierarchy.

21:10I didn't even think about that.

21:11That indeed the implicit meaning of the word deep

21:15is hierarchy.

21:16- Yep.

21:17- Yeah.

21:18- So deep inside the onion is the center of your soul.

21:20(Lex laughing)

21:22- Beautifully put.

21:23Maybe briefly, if you could paint a picture

21:26of the kind of methods of neuroimaging,

21:30maybe the history which you were a part of,

21:33from statistical parametric mapping.

21:35I mean, just what's out there that's interesting

21:37for people maybe outside the field to understand

21:41of what are the actual methodologies

21:43of looking inside the human brain.

21:45- Right, well, you can answer that question

21:47from two perspectives.

21:48Basically, it's the modality.

21:49What kind of signal are you measuring?

21:52And they can range from, and let's limit ourselves

21:56to some imaging-based non-invasive techniques.

22:01So you've essentially got brain scanners,

22:03and brain scanners can either measure

22:05the structural attributes, the amount of water,

22:07the amount of fat, or the amount of iron

22:09in different parts of the brain.

22:10You can make lots of inferences about the structure

22:13of the organ of the sort that you might have

22:16abduced from an X-ray, but a very nuanced X-ray

22:20that is looking at this kind of property

22:22or that kind of property.

22:24So looking at the anatomy non-invasively

22:27would be the first sort of neuroimaging

22:30that people might want to employ.

22:32Then you move on to the kinds of measurements

22:34that reflect dynamic function.

22:38And the most prevalent of those fall into two camps.

22:42You've got these metabolic, sometimes hemodynamic,

22:46blood-related signals.

22:48So these metabolic and/or hemodynamic signals

22:53are basically proxies for elevated activity

22:58and message passing and neuronal dynamics,

23:03in particular parts of the brain.

23:05Characteristically, though, the time constants

23:07of these hemodynamic or metabolic responses

23:11to neural activity are much longer

23:14than the neural activity itself.

23:15- And this is referring, forgive me for the dumb questions,

23:20but this would be referring to blood,

23:22like the flow of blood?

23:24- Absolutely, absolutely.

23:25- So there's a ton of, it seems like there's a ton

23:27of blood vessels in the brain.

23:29- Yeah.

23:30- So, but what's the interaction between the flow of blood

23:33and the function of the neurons?

23:36Is there an interplay there, or?

23:37- Yep, yep.

23:38And that interplay accounts for several careers

23:42of world-renowned scientists.

23:45Yes, absolutely.

23:46So this is known as neurovascular coupling,

23:49is exactly what you said.

23:50It's how does the neural activity,

23:52the neuronal infrastructure, the actual message passing

23:54that we think underlies our capacity to perceive and act,

23:59how is that coupled to the vascular responses

24:05that supply the energy for that neural processing?

24:09So there's a delicate web of large vessels,

24:13arteries and veins, that gets progressively finer

24:16and finer in detail until it perfuses

24:18at a microscopic level the machinery

24:21where little neurons lie.

24:23So coming back to this sort of onion perspective,

24:26we were talking before using the onion as a metaphor

24:30for a deep hierarchical structure,

24:32but also I think it's just anatomically

24:36quite a useful metaphor.

24:37All the action, all the heavy lifting

24:40in terms of neural computation is done

24:41on the surface of the brain,

24:43and then the interior of the brain is constituted

24:47by fatty wires, essentially, axonal processes

24:52that are enshrouded by myelin sheaths.

24:55And these, when you dissect them,

24:58they look fatty and white, and so it's called white matter,

25:01as opposed to the actual neuro pill,

25:04which does the computation, constituted largely by neurons,

25:07and that's known as gray matter.

25:08So the gray matter is a surface or a skin

25:13that sits on top of this big ball,

25:16now we are talking magic soup,

25:17but it's a big ball of connections, like spaghetti,

25:20very carefully structured with sparse connectivity

25:23that preserves this deep hierarchical structure,

25:25but all the action takes place on the surface,

25:28on the cortex of the onion.

25:30And that means that you have to supply

25:35the right amount of blood flow,

25:38the right amount of nutrient,

25:41which is rapidly absorbed and used by neural cells

25:45that don't have the same capacity

25:46that your leg muscles would have

25:48to basically spend their energy budget

25:52and then claim it back later.

25:55So one peculiar thing about cerebral metabolism,

25:58brain metabolism, is it really needs to be driven

26:01in the moment, which means you basically

26:03have to turn on the taps.

26:04So if there's lots of neural activity

26:08in one part of the brain, a little patch

26:10of a few millimeters, even less possibly,

26:14you really do have to water that piece of the garden

26:16now and quickly, and by quickly,

26:19I mean within a couple of seconds.

26:21- So that contains a lot of, hence the imaging

26:26could tell you a story of what's happening.

26:28- Absolutely.

26:29But it is slightly compromised in terms of the resolution.

26:33So the deployment of these little micro vessels

26:37that water the garden to enable the neural activity

26:42to play out, the spatial resolution

26:45is in order of a few millimeters.

26:48And crucially, the temporal resolution

26:50is the order of a few seconds.

26:52So you can't get right down and dirty

26:54into the actual spatial and temporal scale

26:57of neural activity in and of itself.

26:59To do that, you'd have to turn to the other

27:01big imaging modality, which is the recording

27:04of electromagnetic signals as they're generated

27:06in real time.

27:07So here, the temporal bandwidth, if you like,

27:10or the low limit on the temporal resolution

27:12is incredibly small.

27:15You're talking about, you know,

27:16nanoseconds, milliseconds.

27:18And then you can get into the phasic fast responses

27:23that is in and of itself the neural activity

27:27and start to see the succession or cascade

27:32of hierarchical recurrent message passing

27:35evoked by a particular stimulus.

27:37But the problem is you're looking at electromagnetic signals

27:41that have passed through an enormous amount

27:44of magic soup or spaghetti of connectivity

27:47and through the scalp and the skull.

27:50And it's become spatially very diffuse.

27:52It's very difficult to know where you are.

27:54So you've got this sort of catch 22.

27:58You can either use an imaging modality

28:00that tells you within millimeters

28:02which part of the brain is activated,

28:04but you don't know when.

28:05Or you've got these electromagnetic EEG, MEG setups

28:10that tell you to within a few milliseconds

28:15when something has responded, but you don't know where.

28:19So you've got these two complementary measures,

28:22either indirect via the blood flow

28:25or direct via the electromagnetic signals

28:28caused by neural activity.

28:31These are the two big imaging devices.

28:33And then the second level of responding to your question,

28:36what are the, from the outside,

28:39what are the big ways of using this technology?

28:43So once you've chosen the kind of neuroimaging

28:47that you want to use to answer your set questions,

§04Transcript · 28:50–39:06

28:50and sometimes it would have to be both,

28:52then you've got a whole raft of analyses,

28:57time series analyses usually,

28:59that you can bring to bear in order to answer your questions

29:04or address your hypotheses about those data.

29:07And interestingly, they both fall into the same two camps

29:09we were talking about before,

29:11this dialectic between specialization and integration,

29:14differentiation and integration.

29:17So it's the cartography, the blobology analyses.

29:20- I apologize, I probably shouldn't interrupt so much,

29:23but just heard a fun word, the blob--

29:27- Blobology. - Blobology.

29:29- It's a neologism, which means the study of blobs.

29:32(laughs)

29:33So nothing--

29:34- Are you being witty and humorous,

29:36or is there an actual, does the word blobology

29:39ever appear in a textbook somewhere?

29:40- It would appear in a popular book.

29:43It would not appear in a worthy specialist journal.

29:48But it's the fond word for the study of literally

29:52little blobs on brain maps showing activations.

29:56So the kind of thing that you'd see in the newspapers

29:59on ABC or BBC reporting the latest finding

30:04from brain imaging.

30:05Interestingly though, the maths involved

30:10in that stream of analysis does actually call upon

30:15the mathematics of blobs.

30:17So seriously, they're actually called Euler characteristics,

30:21and they have a lot of fancy names in mathematics.

30:26- We'll talk about it, but your ideas

30:28in free energy principle, I mean,

30:30there's echoes of blobs there when you consider

30:34sort of entities, mathematically speaking.

30:38- Yes, absolutely, yeah, yeah.

30:40- So anyway--

30:41- Well, circumscribed, well-defined,

30:43you entities of, well, from the free energy point of view,

30:48entities of anything, but from the point of view

30:50of the analysis, the cartography of the brain,

30:55these are the entities that constitute the evidence

30:59for this functional segregation.

31:01You have segregated this function in this blob,

31:04and it is not outside of the blob.

31:06And that's basically, if you were a mapmaker of America

31:11and you did not know its structure,

31:14the first thing you were doing,

31:15constituting or creating a map,

31:17would be to identify the cities, for example,

31:19or the mountains or the rivers.

31:22All of these uniquely spatially localizable features,

31:26possibly topological features, have to be placed somewhere,

31:30because that requires a mathematics of identifying

31:33what does a city look like on a satellite image,

31:36or what does a river look like,

31:37or what does a mountain look like?

31:39What data features would evidence that particular thing

31:44that you wanted to put on the map?

31:50And they normally are characterized in terms

31:53of literally these blobs, or these sort of,

31:55another way of looking at this is a certain

31:58statistical measure of the degree of activation

32:02crosses a threshold, and in crossing that threshold

32:06in the spatially restricted part of the brain,

32:09it creates a blob.

32:11And that's basically what statistical parametric mapping

32:13does, it's basically mathematically finessed blobology.

32:18(laughs)

32:19- Okay, so you kind of described these two methodologies

32:23for one is temporally noisy, one is spatially noisy,

32:26and you kind of have to play and figure out

32:28what can be useful.

32:31It'd be great if you can sort of comment,

32:33I got a chance recently to spend a day

32:34at a company called Neuralink,

32:37that uses brain computer interfaces,

32:39and their dream is to, well, there's a bunch of dreams,

32:44but one of them is to understand the brain

32:47by sort of getting in there,

32:51past the so-called factory wall,

32:53getting in there and be able to listen,

32:55communicate both directions.

32:57What are your thoughts about the future

32:59of this kind of technology of brain computer interfaces,

33:02to be able to now have a window or direct contact

33:07within the brain to be able to measure some of the signals,

33:10to be able to send signals, to understand

33:12some of the functionality of the brain?

33:15- Ambivalent, my sense is ambivalent.

33:17So it's a mixture of good and bad,

33:19and I acknowledge that freely.

33:21So the good bits, if you just look at the legacy

33:24of that kind of reciprocal but invasive,

33:29your brain stimulation,

33:31I didn't paint a complete picture

33:33when I was talking about some of the ways

33:34we understand the brain prior to neuroimaging.

33:37It wasn't just lesion deficit studies.

33:39Some of the early work, in fact, literally,

33:42a hundred years from where we're sitting

33:43at the Institute of Neurology,

33:45was done by stimulating the brain of, say, dogs,

33:50and looking at how they responded,

33:51either with their muscles or with their salivation,

33:56and imputing what that part of the brain must be doing.

34:00That if I stimulate it, and I evoke this kind of response,

34:05then that tells me quite a lot

34:07about the functional specialization.

34:09So there's a long history of brain stimulation,

34:12which continues to enjoy a lot of attention nowadays.

34:16- Positive attention?

34:17- Oh, yes, absolutely.

34:18Deep brain stimulation for Parkinson's disease

34:22is now a standard treatment,

34:23and also a wonderful vehicle to try and understand

34:27the neuronal dynamics underlying movement disorders

34:30like Parkinson's disease.

34:31Even interest in magnetic stimulation,

34:37stimulating the magnetic fields,

34:39and will it work in people who are depressed, for example.

34:43Quite a crude level of understanding what you're doing,

34:45but there is historical evidence

34:49that these kinds of brute force interventions

34:51do change things.

34:54A little bit like banging the TV,

34:56when the valves aren't working properly,

34:58but it still, it works.

35:00So there is a long history.

35:04Brain-computer interfacing, or BCI,

35:06I think is a beautiful example of that.

35:10It's sort of carved out its own niche,

35:12and its own aspirations,

35:14and there've been enormous advances within limits.

35:20Advances in terms of our ability to understand

35:23how the brain, the embodied brain,

35:28engages with the world.

35:31I'm thinking here of sensory substitution,

35:35augmenting our sensory capacities

35:37by giving ourselves extra ways of sensing

35:40and sampling the world,

35:42ranging from sort of trying to replace lost visual signals

35:48through to giving people completely new signals.

35:50So,

35:51one of the, I think, most engaging examples of this

35:57is equipping people with a sense of magnetic fields.

36:00So you can actually give them magnetic sensors

36:03that enable them to feel,

36:05should we say, tactile pressure around their tummy,

36:08where they are in relation

36:10to the magnetic field of the Earth.

36:13- It's incredible.

36:13- And after a few weeks, they take it for granted.

36:17They integrate it, they imbibe it, they assimilate it.

36:20- That is incredible.

36:20- This new sensory information

36:22into the way that they literally feel their world,

36:25but now equipped with this sense of magnetic direction.

36:29So that tells you something

36:31about the brain's plastic potential to remodel,

36:34and its plastic capacity to suddenly try to explain

36:41the sensory data at hand by augmenting

36:45the sensory sphere and the kinds of things

36:49that you can measure.

36:50Clearly, that's purely for entertainment

36:54and understanding the nature and the power of our brains.

36:58I would imagine that most BCI is pitched

37:03at solving clinical and human problems,

37:08such as locked-in syndrome, such as paraplegia,

37:12or replacing lost sensory capacities

37:16like blindness and deafness.

37:18So then we come to the more negative part of my ambivalence.

37:23The other side of it.

37:25So I don't want to be deflationary

37:30because much of my deflationary comments

37:33is probably a large out of ignorance than anything else.

37:37Generally speaking, the bandwidth and the bit rates

37:43that you get from brain computer interfaces

37:47as we currently know them,

37:49we're talking about bits per second.

37:51So that would be like me only being able to communicate

37:55with any world or with you using very, very,

37:59very slow Morse code.

38:05And it is not even within an order of magnitude

38:13near what we actually need for an inactive realization

38:18of what people aspire to when they think about

38:21curing people with paraplegia or replacing sight,

38:26despite heroic efforts.

38:30So one has to ask, is there a lower bound

38:33on the kinds of recurrent information exchange

38:41between a brain and some augmented or artificial interface?

38:46And then we come back to, interestingly,

38:51what I was talking about before,

38:52which is if you're talking about function

38:56in terms of inference,

38:58and I presume we'll get to that later on

39:00in terms of the free energy principle,

39:01but at the moment, there may be fundamental reasons

39:05to assume that is the case.

39:06We're talking about ensemble activity.

§05Transcript · 39:08–50:00

39:08We're talking about basically, for example,

39:13let's paint the challenge facing brain-computer interfacing

39:18in terms of controlling another system

39:24that is highly and deeply structured,

39:27very relevant to our lives, very nonlinear,

39:30that rests upon the kind of non-equilibrium,

39:34steady states and dynamics that the brain does, the weather.

39:38All right?

39:39So- - Good example, yeah.

39:41- Imagine you had some very aggressive satellites

39:45that could produce signals

39:47that could perturb some little parts of the weather system.

39:52And then what you're asking now is,

39:55can I meaningfully get into the weather

39:58and change it meaningfully

39:59and make the weather respond in a way that I want it to?

40:03You're talking about chaos control on a scale

40:06which is almost unimaginable.

40:08So there may be fundamental reasons why BCI,

40:13as you might read about it in a science fiction novel,

40:17aspirational BCI may never actually work

40:22in the sense that to really be integrated

40:26and be part of the system is a requirement

40:31that requires you to have evolved with that system,

40:35that you have to be part of a very delicately structured,

40:40deeply structured, dynamic, ensemble activity

40:48that is not like rewiring a broken computer

40:51or plugging in a peripheral interface adapter.

40:54It is much more like getting into the weather patterns

40:58or, come back to your magic soup,

41:00getting into the active matter

41:03and meaningfully relate that to the outside world.

41:07So I think there are enormous challenges there.

41:09- So I think the example of the weather is a brilliant one.

41:13And I think you paint a really interesting picture

41:15and it wasn't as negative as I thought.

41:17It's essentially saying

41:18that it might be incredibly challenging,

41:21including the low bound of the bandwidth and so on.

41:23I kind of, so just to full disclosure,

41:26I come from the machine learning world.

41:28So my natural thought is the hardest part

41:32is the engineering challenge of controlling the weather,

41:34of getting those satellites up and running and so on.

41:37And once they are, then the rest is fundamentally

41:42the same approaches that allow you to win in a game of Go

41:46will allow you to potentially play in this soup,

41:49in this chaos.

41:51So I have a hope that sort of machine learning methods

41:54will help us play in this soup.

41:58But perhaps you're right that it is a biology

42:03and the brain is just an incredible system

42:08that may be almost impossible to get in.

42:12But for me, what seems impossible

42:15is the incredible mess of blood vessels

42:19that you also described without,

42:22we also value the brain.

42:24You can't make any mistakes, you can't damage things.

42:27So to me, that engineering challenge

42:29seems nearly impossible.

42:31One of the things I was really impressed by at Neuralink

42:35is just talking to brilliant neurosurgeons

42:39and the roboticists that made me realize

42:43that even though it seems impossible,

42:45if anyone can do it, it's some of these world-class

42:48engineers that are trying to take it on.

42:50So I think the conclusion of our discussion here

42:55is of this part is basically that the problem

42:59is really hard, but hopefully not impossible.

43:02- Absolutely.

43:03- If it's okay, let's start with the basics.

43:07So you've also formulated a fascinating principle,

43:12the free energy principle.

43:13Can we maybe start at the basics

43:15and what is the free energy principle?

43:19- Well, in fact, the free energy principle

43:23inherits a lot from the building

43:28of these data analytic approaches

43:31to these very high dimensional time series

43:34you get from the brain.

43:35So I think it's interesting to acknowledge that.

43:37And in particular, the analysis tools

43:39that try to address the other side,

43:43which is a functional integration.

43:44So the connectivity analysis.

43:46On the one hand, but I should also acknowledge

43:51it inherits an awful lot from machine learning as well.

43:55So the free energy principle is just a formal statement

44:00that the existential imperatives for any system

44:07that manages to survive in a changing world

44:11can be cast as an inference problem

44:18in the sense that you could interpret

44:21the probability of existing as the evidence that you exist.

44:25And if you can write down that problem of existence

44:29as a statistical problem,

44:30then you can use all the maths that has been developed

44:33for inference to understand and characterize

44:38the ensemble dynamics that must be in play

44:43in the service of that inference.

44:45So technically what that means is

44:48you can always interpret anything that exists

44:51in virtue of being separate from the environment

44:55in which it exists as trying to minimize

45:00variational free energy.

45:03And if you're from the machine learning community,

45:05you will know that as a negative evidence lower bound

45:09or a negative elbow, which is the same as saying

45:13you're trying to maximize,

45:15or it will look as if all your dynamics

45:17are trying to maximize the compliment of that,

45:21which is the marginal likelihood

45:24or the evidence for your own existence.

45:26So that's basically the free energy principle.

45:30- But to even take a sort of a small step backwards,

45:34you said the existential imperative.

45:37There's a lot of beautiful poetic words here,

45:40but to put it crudely,

45:45it's a fascinating idea of basically

45:48of trying to describe, if you're looking at a blob,

45:51how do you know this thing is alive?

45:54What does it mean to be alive?

45:55What does it mean to exist?

45:57And so you can look at the brain,

45:59you can look at parts of the brain,

46:00or this is just a general principle

46:02that applies to almost any system.

46:07That's just a fascinating sort of philosophically

46:10at every level question and a methodology

46:13to try to answer that question.

46:14What does it mean to be alive?

46:16- Yes.

46:16- So that's a huge endeavor,

46:20and it's nice that there's at least some,

46:23from some perspective, a clean answer.

46:25So maybe can you talk about that optimization view of it?

46:30So what's trying to be minimized and maximized?

46:33A system that's alive, what is it trying to minimize?

46:36- Right, you've made a big move there.

46:39- Apologize.

46:41- No, no, no, it's good to make big moves.

46:44- Yeah, but you've assumed that things,

46:49the thing exists in a state

46:52that could be living or non-living.

46:54So I may ask you,

46:56what licenses you to say that something exists?

47:00That's why I use the word existential.

47:02It's beyond living, it's just existence.

47:05So if you drill down onto the definition

47:08of things that exist, then they have certain properties.

47:13If you borrow the maths

47:16from non-equilibrium steady state physics,

47:19that enable you to interpret their existence

47:24in terms of this optimization procedure.

47:29So it's good you introduced the word optimization.

47:32So what the free energy principle in its sort of

47:37most ambitious, but also most deflationary

47:42and simplest says, is that if something exists,

47:47then it must buy the mathematics

47:51of non-equilibrium steady state,

47:55exhibit properties that make it look as if

48:00it is optimizing a particular quantity.

48:03And it turns out that particular quantity

48:06happens to be exactly the same

48:08as the evidence lower bound in machine learning

48:11or Bayesian model evidence in Bayesian statistics,

48:15or, and then I can list a whole other list

48:18of ways of understanding this key quantity,

48:23which is a bound on a surprisal self-information,

48:28if you're in information theory.

48:31There are a number of different perspectives

48:34on this quantity.

48:34It's just basically the log probability

48:36of being in a particular state.

48:40I'm telling this story as an honest attempt

48:43to answer your question.

48:44And I'm answering it as if I was pretending

48:49to be a physicist who was trying to understand

48:52the fundaments of non-equilibrium steady state.

48:57And I shouldn't really be doing that

48:59because the last time I was taught physics,

49:02I was in my 20s.

49:03- What kind of systems, when you think about

49:05the free energy principle,

49:06what kind of systems are you imagining

49:08as a sort of more specific kind of case study?

49:11- Yeah, I'm imagining a range of systems,

49:15but at its simplest, a single-celled organism

49:20that can be identified from its economy,

49:26show its environment.

49:27So at its simplest, that's basically

49:31what I always imagined in my head.

49:33And you may ask, well, is there any,

49:36how on earth can you even elaborate questions

49:41about the existence of a single drop of oil, for example?

49:47But there are deep questions there.

49:49Why doesn't the oil, why doesn't the thing,

49:52the interface between the drop of oil

49:55that contains an interior and the thing

49:59that is not the drop of oil,

50:00which is the solvent in which it is immersed,

§06Transcript · 50:04–59:50

50:04how does that interface persist over time?

50:07Why doesn't the oil just dissolve into solvent?

50:10So what special properties of the exchange

50:16between the surface of the oil drop

50:18and the external states in which it's immersed,

50:22if you're a physicist, say it would be the heat path.

50:24You know, you've got a physical system,

50:27an ensemble again, we're talking about

50:28density dynamics, ensemble dynamics,

50:31an ensemble of atoms or molecules immersed in the heat path.

50:36But the question is, how did the heat path get there

50:39and why does it not dissolve?

50:41- How is it maintaining itself?

50:42- Exactly.

50:43- What actions is it?

50:44I mean, it's such a fascinating idea of a drop of oil

50:47and I guess it would dissolve in water,

50:49it wouldn't dissolve in water.

50:51So what-- - Precisely.

50:52So why not?

50:54- Why not? - Why not?

50:55- And how do you mathematically describe,

50:57I mean, it's such a beautiful idea

50:58and also the idea of like, where does the thing,

51:02where does the drop of oil end and where does it begin?

51:07- Right, so I mean, you're asking deep questions,

51:10deep in a non-millennial sense here.

51:12(both laughing)

51:13- Not in a hierarchical sense.

51:14- But what you can do, you say,

51:18so this is the deflationary part of it.

51:21Can I just qualify my answer by saying

51:23that normally when I'm asked this question,

51:24I answer from the point of view of a psychologist

51:26when we talk about predictive processing

51:28and predictive coding and the brain as an inference machine.

51:31But you haven't asked me from that perspective,

51:34I'm answering from the point of view of a physicist.

51:36So the question is not so much why,

51:41but if it exists, what properties must it display?

51:44So that's the deflationary part of the free energy principle.

51:47The free energy principle does not supply an answer

51:51as to why, it's saying, if something exists,

51:54then it must display these properties.

51:57That's the sort of the thing that's on offer.

52:01And it so happens that these properties it must display

52:05are actually intriguing and have this inferential gloss,

52:10this sort of self-evidencing gloss

52:13that inherits on the fact that the very preservation

52:18of the boundary between the oil drop and the not oil drop

52:22requires an optimization of a particular function

52:26or a functional that defines the presence

52:30of the existence of this oil drop,

52:33which is why I started with existential imperatives.

52:36It is a necessary condition for existence

52:39that this must occur because the boundary

52:43basically defines the thing that's existing.

52:46So it is that self-assembly aspect

52:48it's that you were hinting at in biology,

52:53sometimes known as autopoiesis

52:55in computational chemistry with self-assembly.

53:00It's the, what does it look like?

53:03Sorry, how would you describe things

53:06that configure themselves out of nothing?

53:08The way they clearly demarcate themselves

53:12from the states or the soup in which they are immersed.

53:16So from the point of view of computational chemistry,

53:21for example, you would just understand that

53:23as a configuration of a macromolecule

53:25to minimize its free energy, its thermodynamic free energy.

53:29It's exactly the same principle

53:30that we've been talking about

53:31that thermodynamic free energy is just the negative elbow.

53:35It's the same mathematical construct.

53:38So the very emergence of existence of structure of form

53:42that can be distinguished from the environment

53:45or the thing that is not the thing

53:49necessitates the existence of an objective function

53:54that it looks as if it is minimizing.

53:58It's finding a free energy minima.

54:00- And so just to clarify, I'm trying to wrap my head around.

54:05So the free energy principle says that if something exists,

54:09these are the properties it should display.

54:12So what that means is we can't just look,

54:17we can't just go into a soup and there's no mechanism.

54:21Free energy principle doesn't give us a mechanism

54:23to find the things that exist.

54:25Is that what's being implied that you can kind of use it

54:32to reason, to think about, study a particular system

54:37and say, does this exhibit these qualities?

54:40- That's an excellent question.

54:43But to answer that, I have to return

54:46to your previous question

54:47about what's the difference

54:47between living and non-living things.

54:49- Yes, well, exactly, actually, sorry.

54:53So yeah, maybe we can go there.

54:55You kind of drew a line,

54:57and forgive me for the stupid questions,

54:58but you kind of drew a line between living and existing.

55:02Is there an interesting sort of--

55:05- Distinction?

55:06- Distinction between the two?

55:07- Yeah, I think there is.

55:08So things do exist, grains of sand, rocks on the moon,

55:16trees, you.

55:19So all of these things can be separated

55:23from the environment in which they are immersed,

55:26and therefore, they must, at some level,

55:28be optimizing their free energy.

55:31Taking this sort of model evidence interpretation

55:36of this quantity,

55:37that basically means there's self-evidencing.

55:39Another nice little twist of phrase here

55:42is that you are your own existence proof.

55:45Statistically speaking, which I don't think I said that.

55:50Somebody did, but I love that phrase.

55:52- You are your own existence proof.

55:55- Yeah, so it's so existential, isn't it?

55:58- I'm gonna have to think about that for a few days.

56:01(Lex laughing)

56:03Yeah, that's a beautiful line.

56:06- So the step through to answer your question

56:09about what's it good for,

56:13we go along the following lines.

56:15First of all, you have to define what it means to exist,

56:19which now, as you've rightly pointed out,

56:22you have to define what probabilistic properties

56:25must the states of something possess

56:27so it knows where it finishes.

56:30And then you write that down

56:32in terms of statistical independences.

56:34Again, sparsity.

56:36Again, it's not what's connected or what's correlated

56:39or what depends upon what.

56:40It's what's not correlated.

56:43And what doesn't depend upon something.

56:45Again, it comes down to the deep structures,

56:49not in this instance hierarchical,

56:50but the structures that emerge

56:54from removing connectivity and dependency.

56:56And in this instance, basically being able to identify

57:00the surface of the oil drop

57:02from the water in which it is immersed.

57:06And when you do that, you start to realize,

57:09well, there are actually four kinds of states

57:12in any given universe that contains anything.

57:15The things that are internal to the surface,

57:18the things that are external to the surface,

57:20and the surface in and of itself,

57:22which is why I use a metaphor,

57:24a little single-celled organism

57:25that has an interior and exterior,

57:27and then the surface of the cell.

57:29And that's mathematically a Markov blanket.

57:32- Just to pause, I'm in awe of this concept

57:34that there's the stuff outside the surface,

57:36stuff inside the surface,

57:37and the surface itself, the Markov blanket.

57:40It's just the most beautiful kind of notion

57:43about trying to explore what it means to exist,

57:47mathematically.

57:48I apologize, it's just a beautiful idea.

57:50- But it came out of California, so that's--

57:53- I changed my mind, I take it all back.

57:54(both laughing)

57:56So anyway, so what, you were just talking about the surface,

58:00about the Markov blanket.

58:01- Yeah, so this surface, or these blanket states

58:04that are the,

58:08because they are now defined in relation to

58:12these independences,

58:17and what different states, internal blanket

58:21or external states, which ones can influence each other

58:25and which cannot influence each other,

58:27you can now apply standard results

58:30that you would find in non-equilibrium physics

58:33or steady state or thermodynamics or hydrodynamics

58:38usually out of equilibrium solutions

58:41and apply them to this partition.

58:43And what it looks like is if all the normal gradient flows

58:48that you would associate with any non-equilibrium system

58:52apply in such a way that two,

58:56part of the Markov blanket and the internal states

58:59seem to be hill climbing or doing a gradient descent

59:03on the same quantity.

59:05And that means that you can now describe

59:09the very existence of this oil drop.

59:13You can write down the existence of this oil drop

59:16in terms of flows, dynamics, equations of motion,

59:20where the blanket states or part of them,

59:24we call them active states,

59:25and the internal states now seem to be,

59:29and must be, trying to look as if they're minimising

59:34the same function, which is a log probability

59:36of occupying these states.

59:39Interesting thing is that, what would they be called

59:44if you were trying to describe these things?

59:45So what we're talking about are internal states,

59:50external states, and blanket states.

§07Transcript · 59:52–1:09:06

59:52Now let's carve the blanket states

59:54into two sensory states and active states.

59:57Operationally, it has to be the case

59:59that in order for this carving up

60:01into different sets of states to exist,

60:04the active states, the Markov blanket,

60:06cannot be influenced by the external states.

60:09And we already know that the internal states

60:11can't be influenced by the external states

60:13'cause the blanket separates them.

60:15So what does that mean?

60:16Well, it means the active states, the internal states,

60:19are now jointly not influenced by external states.

60:23They only have autonomous dynamics.

60:26So now you've got a picture of an oil drop

60:30that has autonomy.

60:31It has autonomous states.

60:34It has autonomous states in the sense

60:35that there must be some parts of the surface

60:37of the oil drop that are not influenced

60:39by the external states and all the interior.

60:41And together, those two states endow

60:44even a little oil drop with autonomous states

60:47that look as if they are optimising

60:51their variational free energy or their negative elbow,

60:55their moral evidence.

60:59And that would be an interesting intellectual exercise.

61:03And you could say, you could even go

61:04into the realms of panpsychism,

61:06that everything that exists is implicitly

61:09making inferences on self-evidencing.

61:12Now we make the next move, but what about living things?

61:17I mean, so let me ask you,

61:19what's the difference between an oil drop

61:21and a little tadpole or a little larva or a plankton?

61:27The picture was just painted of an oil drop.

61:29Just immediately, in a matter of minutes,

61:32took me into the world of panpsychism,

61:35where you just convinced me,

61:38made me feel like an oil drop is a living,

61:41certainly an autonomous system,

61:43but almost a living system.

61:44So it has sensor capabilities and acting capabilities

61:48and maintains something.

61:50So what is the difference between that

61:53and something that we traditionally think

61:56of as a living system?

61:57That it could die or it can't,

62:02I mean, yeah, mortality, I'm not exactly sure.

62:05I'm not sure what the right answer there is.

62:07Because it can move, like movement seems

62:10like an essential element to being able

62:12to act in the environment,

62:13but the oil drop is doing that.

62:15So I don't know.

62:16- Is it?

62:18The oil drop will be moved,

62:19but does it in and of itself move autonomously?

62:22Will the surfaces performing actions

62:26that maintain its structure?

62:29- You're being too clever.

62:30(laughs)

62:32I didn't find a passive little oil drop

62:34that's sitting there at the bottom

62:37or the top of a glass of water.

62:39- Sure, I guess.

62:40- What I'm trying to say is you're absolutely right.

62:42You've nailed it.

62:44It's movement.

62:45So where does that movement come from?

62:47If it comes from the inside,

62:49then you've got, I think, something that's living.

62:53- What do you mean from the inside?

62:54- What I mean is that the internal states

62:58that can influence the active states,

63:01where the active states can influence,

63:02but they're not influenced by the external states,

63:05can cause movement.

63:07So there are two types of oil drops, if you like.

63:10There are oil drops where the internal states are so random

63:14that they average themselves away.

63:20And the thing cannot, on balance, on average,

63:23when you do the averaging, move.

63:26So a nice example of that would be the sun.

63:28The sun certainly has internal states.

63:31There's lots of intrinsic autonomous activity going on.

63:34But because it's not coordinated,

63:35because it doesn't have the deep in the millennial sense,

63:38a hierarchical structure that the brain does,

63:41there is no overall mode or pattern or organisation

63:45that expresses itself on the surface

63:48that allows it to actually swim.

63:50It can certainly have a very active surface,

63:54but on mass, at the scale of the actual surface of the sun,

63:58the average position of that surface cannot in itself move

64:02because the internal dynamics are more like a hot gas.

64:06They are literally like a hot gas.

64:08Whereas your internal dynamics are much more structured

64:11and deeply structured.

64:12And now you can express on your Markov

64:15and your active states with your muscles

64:17and your secretory organs,

64:19your autonomic nervous system and its effectors,

64:22you can actually move.

64:24And that's all you can do.

64:26And that's something which,

64:28if you haven't thought of it like this before,

64:30I think it's nice to just realise

64:32there is no other way that you can change the universe

64:37other than simply moving.

64:39Whether that moving is articulating with my voice box

64:43or walking around or squeezing juices

64:46out of my secretory organs,

64:48there's only one way you can change the universe,

64:52it's moving.

64:52- And the fact that you do so non-randomly makes you alive.

64:57- Yeah.

64:59So it's that non-randomness.

65:00And that would be manifested,

65:04we realise in terms of essentially swimming,

65:07essentially moving, changing one shape,

65:10a morphogenesis that is dynamic

65:13and possibly adaptive.

65:14So that's what I was trying to get at

65:17between the difference between the oil drop

65:19and the little tadpole.

65:20The tadpole is moving around,

65:23its active states are actually changing the external states.

65:26And there's now a cycle,

65:28an action perception cycle, if you like,

65:30a recurrent dynamic that's going on

65:34that depends upon this deeply structured autonomous behaviour

65:39that rests upon internal dynamics

65:44that are not only modelling the data impressed

65:49upon their surface or the blanket states,

65:53but they are actively resampling those data by moving.

65:58They're moving towards chemical gradients and chemotaxis.

66:02So they've gone beyond just being good little models

66:08of the kind of world they live in.

66:11For example, an oil droplet could,

66:14in a panpsychic sense, be construed as a little being

66:18that has now perfectly inferred it's a passive,

66:22non-living oil drop living in a bowl of water.

66:25No problem.

66:26But to now equip that oil drop

66:29with the ability to go out and test that hypothesis

66:32about different states of beings,

66:34so it can actually push its surface over there, over there,

66:37and test for chemical gradients,

66:38or then you start to move to much more lifelike form.

66:42This is all fun, theoretically interesting,

66:45but it actually is quite important in terms of reflecting

66:48what I have seen since the turn of the millennium,

66:53which is this move towards an inactive

66:56and embodied understanding of intelligence.

66:59And you say you're from machine learning.

67:02- Yes.

67:03- So what that means,

67:05this sort of the central importance of movement,

67:09I think has yet to really hit machine learning.

67:14It certainly has now diffused itself throughout robotics,

67:19and perhaps you could say certain problems in active vision

67:23where you actually have to move the camera

67:25to sample this and that.

67:27But machine learning of the data mining, deep learning sort,

67:31simply hasn't contended with this issue.

67:34What it's done, instead of dealing

67:35with the movement problem and the active sampling of data,

67:39it's just said, "We don't need to worry about it.

67:40"We can see all the data 'cause we've got big data."

67:43So we can ignore movement.

67:45So that, for me, is an important omission

67:50in current machine learning.

67:52- So current machine learning is much more like the oil drop.

67:54- Yes.

67:56But an oil drop that enjoys exposure

67:59to nearly all the data that we need to be exposed to,

68:03as opposed to the tadpoles swimming out

68:05to find the right data.

68:07For example, it likes food.

68:10That's a good hypothesis.

68:11Let's test it out.

68:12Let's go and move and ingest food, for example,

68:15and see what that, you know, is that evidence

68:17that I'm the kind of thing that likes this kind of food.

68:20- So the next natural question, and forgive this question,

68:23but if we think of sort of even artificial intelligence

68:27systems, which has just painted a beautiful picture

68:29of existence and life, so do you ascribe,

68:34do you find within this framework a possibility

68:41of defining consciousness or exploring

68:46the idea of consciousness?

68:47Self-awareness and expanded to consciousness,

68:54like, yeah, how can we start to think

68:58about consciousness within this framework?

68:59Is it possible?

69:00- Well, yeah, I think it's possible to think about it,

69:03whether you'll get--

69:04- Get anywhere is another question.

69:06- And again, I'm not sure that I'm licensed

§08Transcript · 1:09:10–1:18:18

69:10to answer that question.

69:12I think you'd have to speak to a qualified philosopher

69:15to get a definitive answer there.

69:17But certainly there's a lot of interest

69:19in using not just these ideas,

69:21but related ideas from information theory

69:25to try and tie down the maths and the calculus

69:30and the geometry of consciousness,

69:34either in terms of sort of a minimal consciousness,

69:39even less than a minimal selfhood.

69:42And what I'm talking about is the ability effectively

69:47to plan, to have agency.

69:52So you could argue that a virus does have a form of agency

69:57in virtue of the way that it selectively finds hosts

70:02and cells to live in and moves around,

70:04but you wouldn't endow it with the capacity

70:09to think about planning and moving in a purposeful way

70:14where it countenances the future.

70:17Whereas you might announce,

70:18you might think announce not quite as unconscious

70:21as a virus, it certainly seems to have a purpose.

70:26It talks to its friends en route during its foraging.

70:29It has a different kind of autonomy,

70:33which is biotic, but beyond a virus.

70:38- So there's something about,

70:40so there's some line that has to do

70:43with the complexity of planning that may contain an answer.

70:47I mean, it'd be beautiful if we can find a line

70:51beyond which we can say a being is conscious.

70:55- Yes, it would be.

70:56- These are wonderful lines that we've drawn

70:59with existence, life, and consciousness.

71:02- Yes, it will be very nice.

71:05One little wrinkle there,

71:07and this is something I've only learned

71:08in the past few months,

71:09is the philosophical notion of vagueness.

71:12So you're saying it would be wonderful to draw a line.

71:14I had always assumed that that line

71:17at some point would be drawn

71:20until about four months ago,

71:22and a philosopher taught me about vagueness.

71:24So I don't know if you've come across this,

71:26but it's a technical concept,

71:28and I think most revealingly illustrated

71:33with at what point does a pile of sand become a pile?

71:37Is it one grain, two grains, three grains, or four grains?

71:41So at what point would you draw the line

71:44between being a pile of sand

71:46and a collection of grains of sand?

71:51In the same way, is it right to ask,

71:53where would I draw the line

71:54between conscious and unconscious?

71:56And it might be a vague concept.

71:59Having said that, I agree with you entirely.

72:01(both laughing)

72:02Systems that have the ability to plan.

72:06So just technically what that means

72:08is your inferential self-evidencing,

72:13by which I simply mean the dynamics,

72:17literally the thermodynamics and gradient flows

72:20that underwrite the preservation

72:22of your oil droplet-like form

72:24are described as a,

72:28can be described as an optimization

72:30of log Bayesian model evidence, your elbow.

72:34That self-evidencing must be evidence for a model

72:41of what's causing the sensory impressions

72:44on the sensory part of your surface

72:46or your Markov blanket.

72:48If that model is capable of planning,

72:51it must include a model of the future consequences

72:53of your active states or your action, just planning.

72:56So we're now in the game of planning as inference.

72:59Now notice what we've made though.

73:00We've made quite a big move away

73:02from big data and machine learning,

73:05because again, it's the consequences of moving.

73:08It's the consequences of selecting those data

73:11or those data or looking over there.

73:14And that tells you immediately that even to be a contender

73:18for a conscious artifact or a,

73:20is it strong AI or generalized AI?

73:24- Generalized AI, yeah.

73:25- It's called now.

73:26Then you've got to have movement in the game.

73:29And furthermore, you've got to have a generative model

73:32of the sort you might find in say a variational autoencoder

73:35that is thinking about the future conditioned

73:39upon different courses of action.

73:41Now that brings a number of things to the table,

73:43which now you start to think,

73:45well, those who've got all the right ingredients

73:47talk about consciousness.

73:48I've now got to select among a number

73:50of different courses of action into the future

73:53as part of planning.

73:54I've now got free will.

73:56The act of selecting this course of action

73:58or that policy or that policy or that action

74:01suddenly makes me into an inference machine,

74:04a self-evidencing artifact

74:08that now looks as if it's selecting

74:11amongst different alternative ways forward

74:13as I actively swim here or swim there

74:15or look over here, look over there.

74:17So I think you've now got to a situation

74:19if there is planning in the mix,

74:22you're now getting much closer to that line,

74:25if that line were ever to exist.

74:27I don't think it gets you quite as far as self-aware though.

74:30I think, and then you have to, I think,

74:36grapple with the question

74:39how would formally you write down a calculus

74:42or a maths of self-awareness?

74:44I don't think it's impossible to do,

74:46but I think there'll be pressure on you

74:51to actually commit to a formal definition

74:53of what you mean by self-awareness.

74:55I think most people that I know

74:58would probably say that a goldfish, a pet fish,

75:03was not self-aware.

75:06They would probably argue about their favorite cat,

75:09but would be quite happy to say

75:12that their mom was self-aware.

75:13So-

75:14- But that might very well connect

75:17to some level of complexity with planning.

75:20It seems like self-awareness is essential

75:23for complex planning.

75:26- Yeah.

75:27Do you want to take that further?

75:28'Cause I think you're absolutely right.

75:29- Again, the line is unclear,

75:31but it seems like integrating yourself

75:34into the world, into your planning,

75:39is essential for constructing complex plans.

75:42- Yes, yeah.

75:43- So mathematically describing that

75:45in the same elegant way

75:47as you have with the free energy principle

75:49might be difficult.

75:51- Well, yes and no.

75:53I don't think that, well, perhaps we should just,

75:55can we just go back?

75:56That's a very important answer you gave.

75:58And I think if I just unpacked it,

76:01you'd see the truisms that you've just exposed for us.

76:05But let me, sorry.

76:07I'm mindful that I didn't answer your question before.

76:11Well, what's the free energy principle good for?

76:13Is it just a pretty theoretical exercise

76:15to explain non-equilibrium steady states?

76:17Yes, it is.

76:19It does nothing more for you than that.

76:21It can be regarded, it's gonna sound very arrogant,

76:24but it is of the sort of theory of natural selection

76:27or a hypothesis of natural selection.

76:32Beautiful, undeniably true,

76:36but tells you absolutely nothing about

76:39why you have legs and eyes.

76:42It tells you nothing about the actual phenotype

76:44and it wouldn't allow you to build something.

76:48So the free energy principle by itself

76:51is as vacuous as most tautological theories.

76:54And by tautological, of course,

76:56I'm talking to the theory of natural,

76:58the survival of the fittest.

77:00What's the fittest that survive?

77:01Why do the cycles, the fitter?

77:03It just go round in circles.

77:04In a sense, the free energy principle has that same

77:08deflationary tautology under the hood.

77:11It's a characteristic of things that exist.

77:17Why do they exist?

77:18Because they minimize their free energy.

77:19Why do they minimize their free energy?

77:21Because they exist.

77:22And you just keep on going round and round and round.

77:24But the practical thing,

77:28which you don't get from natural selection,

77:32but you could say has now manifest in things

77:35like differential evolution or genetic algorithms

77:38or MCMC, for example, in machine learning.

77:41The practical thing you can get is,

77:43if it looks as if things that exist

77:45are trying to have density dynamics

77:49that look as though they're optimizing

77:51a variation of free energy,

77:53and a variation of free energy has to be

77:55a functional of a generative model,

77:57a probabilistic description of causes and consequences,

78:01causes out there, consequences in the sensorium,

78:04on the sensory parts of the Markov Planckian,

78:07then it should, in theory, be possible

78:08to write down the generative model,

78:10work out the gradients,

78:11and then cause it to autonomously self-evidence.

78:15So you should be able to write down oil droplets.

78:18You should be able to create artifacts

§09Transcript · 1:18:20–1:28:07

78:20where you have supplied the objective function

78:24that supplies the gradients,

78:25that supplies the self-organizing dynamics

78:28to non-equilibrium steady state.

78:30So there is actually a practical application

78:32of the free energy principle

78:34when you can write down your required evidence

78:37in terms of, well, when you can write down

78:40the generative model,

78:41that is the thing that has the evidence,

78:44the probability of these sensory data

78:46or this data, given that model is effectively

78:51the thing that the elbow

78:54of the variational free energy bounds or approximates.

78:58That means that you can actually write down the model

79:00and the kind of thing that you want to engineer,

79:04the kind of AGI, artificial general intelligence,

79:07that you want to manifest probabilistically,

79:14and then you engineer, a lot of hard work,

79:16but you would engineer a robot and a computer

79:19to perform a gradient descent on that objective function.

79:23So it does have a practical implication.

79:26Now, why am I wittering on about that?

79:27It did seem relevant to, yes.

79:28So what kinds of, so the answer to,

79:32would it be easy or would it be hard?

79:34Well, mathematically, it's easy.

79:36I've just told you, all you need to do

79:38is write down your perfect artifact probabilistically

79:43in the form of a probabilistic generative model,

79:46probability distribution over the causes and consequences

79:49of the world in which this thing is immersed.

79:54And then you just engineer a computer and a robot

79:58to perform a gradient descent on that objective function.

80:00No problem.

80:01But of course, the big problem

80:04is writing down the generative model.

80:05So that's where the heavy lifting comes in.

80:08So it's the form and the structure of that generative model,

80:12which basically defines the artifact that you will create,

80:15or indeed, the kind of artifact that has self-awareness.

80:19So that's where all the hard work comes,

80:22very much like natural selection doesn't tell you

80:24in the slightest why you have eyes.

80:26So you have to drill down on the actual phenotype,

80:29the actual generative model.

80:31So with that in mind, what did you tell me

80:36that tells me immediately the kinds of generative models

80:40I would have to write down in order to have self-awareness?

80:43- What you said to me was, I have to have a model

80:48that is effectively fit for purpose for this kind of world

80:51in which I operate.

80:53And if I now make the observation that this kind of world

80:57is effectively largely populated by other things like me,

81:00i.e. you, then it makes enormous sense

81:04that if I can develop a hypothesis

81:07that we are similar kinds of creatures,

81:11in fact, the same kind of creature,

81:13but I am me and you are you,

81:16then it becomes, again, mandated to have a sense of self.

81:21So if I live in a world that is constituted

81:25by things like me, basically a social world, a community,

81:29then it becomes necessary now for me to infer

81:32that it's me talking and not you talking.

81:34I wouldn't need that if I was on Mars by myself,

81:37or if I was in the jungle as a feral child.

81:40If there was nothing like me around,

81:43there would be no need to have an inference,

81:46a hypothesis, ah, yes, it is me that is experiencing

81:50or causing these sounds, and it is not you.

81:52It's only when there's ambiguity in play

81:54induced by the fact that there are others in that world.

81:58So I think that the special thing about self-aware artifacts

82:03is that they have learned to, or they have acquired,

82:08or at least are equipped with, possibly by evolution,

82:11generative models that allow for the fact

82:14there are lots of copies of things like them around,

82:17and therefore they have to work out it's you and not me.

82:20- That's brilliant.

82:23I've never thought of that.

82:24I never thought of that, that the purpose of,

82:28the really usefulness of consciousness or self-awareness

82:32in the context of planning existing in the world

82:35is so you can operate with other things like you.

82:38And like you could, it doesn't have to necessarily be human.

82:40It could be other kind of similar creatures.

82:43- Absolutely, well, we imbue a lot of our attributes

82:46into our pets, don't we?

82:47Or we try to make our robots humanoid.

82:49And I think there's a deep reason for that,

82:51that it's just much easier to read the world

82:54if you can make the simplifying assumption

82:56that basically you're me, and it's just your turn to talk.

82:59I mean, when we talk about planning,

83:01when you talk specifically about planning,

83:04the highest, if you like, manifestation or realization

83:07of that planning is what we're doing now.

83:09I mean, the human condition doesn't get any higher

83:12than this talking about the philosophy of existence

83:16and the conversation.

83:17But in that conversation, there is a beautiful art

83:22of turn-taking and mutual inference, theory of mind.

83:28I have to know when you want to listen.

83:29I have to know when you want to interrupt.

83:31I have to make sure that you're online.

83:32I have to have a model in my head of your model in your head.

83:35That's the highest, the most sophisticated form

83:38of generative model, where the generative model

83:40actually has a generative model

83:41of somebody else's generative model.

83:42And I think that, and what we are doing now,

83:45evinces the kinds of generative models

83:49that would support self-awareness.

83:51Because without that, we'd both be talking over each other,

83:54or we'd be singing together in a choir, you know?

83:58That was just probably not, that's not a brilliant analogy

84:00for what I'm trying to say, but,

84:02yeah, we wouldn't have this discourse.

84:05- Yeah, the dance of it, yeah, that's right.

84:07You'd have to have, as I interrupt. (laughs)

84:10I mean, that's beautifully put.

84:13I'll re-listen to this conversation many times.

84:15There's so much poetry in this, and mathematics.

84:21Let me ask the silliest, or perhaps the biggest question

84:26as a last kind of question.

84:29We've talked about living in existence

84:33and the objective function

84:34under which these objects would operate.

84:37What do you think is the objective function

84:39of our existence?

84:41What's the meaning of life?

84:43What do you think is the, for you, perhaps,

84:47the purpose, the source of fulfillment,

84:50the source of meaning for your existence,

84:53as one blob in this soup?

84:57- I'm tempted to answer that, again, as a physicist.

85:00(laughs)

85:01Free energy I expect, consequent upon my behavior.

85:05So technically, that, you know,

85:06and we could get a really interesting conversation

85:09about what that comprises in terms of

85:11searching for information, resolving uncertainty

85:14about the kind of thing that I am.

85:16But I suspect that you want a slightly more personal

85:20and fun answer, but which can be consistent with that.

85:24And I think it's reassuringly simple

85:29and harps back to what you were taught as a child,

85:35that you have certain beliefs about the kind of creature

85:39and the kind of person you are.

85:41And all that self-evidencing means,

85:44all that minimizing variational free energy

85:46in an inactive and embodied way means

85:50is fulfilling the beliefs about what kind of thing

85:54you are.

85:55And of course, we're all given those scripts,

85:58those narratives at a very early age,

86:01usually in the form of bedtime stories or fairy stories,

86:04that I'm a princess and I'm gonna meet a beast

86:07who's gonna transform and it's gonna be a prince.

86:09- So the narratives are all around you,

86:11from your parents to the friends,

86:14to the society feeds these stories.

86:17And then your objective function is to fulfill--

86:21- Exactly.

86:21- That narrative that has been encultured

86:24by your immediate family, but as you say,

86:27also the sort of the culture in which you grew up

86:29and you create for yourself.

86:30I mean, again, because of this active inference,

86:33this inactive aspect of self-evidencing,

86:36not only am I modeling my environment, my econish,

86:41my external states out there,

86:44but I'm actively changing them all the time.

86:46And external states are doing the same back,

86:49we're doing it together.

86:49So there's a synchrony that means

86:52that I'm creating my own culture

86:54over different timescales.

86:56So the question now is for me being very selfish,

87:00what scripts were I given?

87:02It basically was a mixture between Einstein and Sherlock Holmes.

87:06So I smoke as heavily as possible,

87:08try to avoid too much interpersonal contact,

87:15enjoy the fantasy that you're a popular scientist

87:20who's gonna make a difference in a slightly quirky way.

87:23So that's where I grew up.

87:25My father was an engineer and loved science

87:28and he loved sort of things like Sir Arthur Eddington's

87:33"Space, Time and Gravitation,"

87:34which was the first understandable version

87:38of general relativity.

87:41So all the fairy stories I was told as I was growing up

87:45were all about these characters.

87:47I'm keeping "The Hobbit" out of this

87:50because that doesn't quite fit my narrative.

87:53But it's a journey of exploration, I suppose, of sorts.

87:56So yeah, I've just grown up to be

87:58what I imagine a mild-mannered Sherlock Holmes/Albert Einstein

88:04would do in my shoes.

88:07- And you did it elegantly and beautifully,

§10Transcript · 1:28:10–1:28:54

88:10Carl, it was a huge honor talking to you today.

88:11It was fun.

88:12Thank you so much for your time.

88:13- Oh, thank you, Shane.

88:15- Thank you for listening to this conversation

88:17with Carl Friston,

88:18and thank you to our presenting sponsor, Cash App.

88:21Please consider supporting the podcast

88:23by downloading Cash App and using code LEXPODCAST.

88:27If you enjoy this podcast, subscribe on YouTube,

88:29review it with Five Stars and Apple Podcast,

88:32support it on Patreon,

88:33or simply connect with me on Twitter @LexFriedman.

88:37And now let me leave you with some words

88:39from Carl Friston.

88:40Your arm moves because you predict it will,

88:44and your motor system seeks to minimize prediction error.

88:48Thank you for listening, and hope to see you next time.

88:52(upbeat music)

88:54(upbeat music)

— A LITTLE MORE TO THINK ABOUT. —