← Lex Fridman

Joscha Bach: Artificial Consciousness and the Nature of Reality

Episode 1012020-06-13English

Guests: Joscha Bach

Listen to this episode00:00 / 3:00:45
Reading settings
Reading preferences
Text size
Download in-depth read
Read offline

In-depth read pending

Downloads are not available yet.

§01Transcript · 00:00–17:58

00:00The following is a conversation with Yosha Bach, VP of Research at the AI Foundation,

00:05with a history of research positions at MIT and Harvard. Yosha is one of the most unique

00:12and brilliant people in the artificial intelligence community, exploring the workings

00:16of the human mind, intelligence, consciousness, life on Earth, and the possibly simulated

00:23fabric of our universe. I could see myself talking to Yosha many times in the future.

00:28Quick summary of the ads. Two sponsors, ExpressVPN and Cash App. Please consider supporting the

00:35podcast by signing up at expressvpn.com slash LexPod and downloading Cash App and using code

00:42LEXPodcast. This is the Artificial Intelligence Podcast. If you enjoy it, subscribe on YouTube,

00:50review it with five stars on Apple Podcast, support it on Patreon, or simply connect with

00:54me on Twitter at LexFriedman. Since this comes up more often than I ever would have imagined,

01:02I challenge you to try to figure out how to spell my last name without using the letter E.

01:08And it'll probably be the correct way. As usual, I'll do a few minutes of ads now and never hear

01:14any yas in the middle that can break the flow of the conversation. This show is sponsored by

01:19ExpressVPN. Get it at expressvpn.com slash LexPod to support this podcast and to get an extra three

01:27months free on a one year package. I've been using ExpressVPN for many years. I love it.

01:34I think ExpressVPN is the best VPN out there. They told me to say it, but I think it actually

01:40happens to be true. It doesn't log your data, it's crazy fast, and it's easy to use. Literally,

01:46just one big power on button. Again, for obvious reasons, it's really important that they don't

01:52log your data. It works on Linux and everywhere else too. Shout out to my favorite flavor of Linux,

01:59Bantu Mate 2004. Once again, get it at expressvpn.com slash LexPod to support this podcast and to get

02:08an extra three months free on a one year package. This show is presented by Cash App, the number one

02:17finance app in the App Store. When you get it, use code LexPodcast. Cash App lets you send money to

02:23friends, buy Bitcoin, and invest in the stock market with as little as one dollar. Since Cash

02:29App does fractional share trading, let me mention that the order execution algorithm that works

02:34behind the scenes to create the abstraction of the fractional orders is an algorithmic marvel.

02:40So big props to the Cash App engineers for taking a step up to the next layer of abstraction over

02:45the stock market, making trading more accessible for new investors and diversification much easier.

02:51So again, if you get Cash App from the App Store or Google Play and use the code LexPodcast,

02:57you get $10, and Cash App will also donate $10 to First, an organization that is helping

03:03advanced robotics and STEM education for young people around the world.

03:09And now here's my conversation with Joscha Bach. As you've said, you grew up in a forest in East

03:16Germany, just as we're talking about off mic, to parents who are artists. And now I think,

03:23at least to me, you've become one of the most unique thinkers in the AI world.

03:27So can we try to reverse engineer your mind a little bit?

03:30What were the key philosopher, scientist ideas, maybe even movies or just realizations that

03:38had an impact on you when you were growing up that kind of led to the trajectory,

03:43or were the key sort of crossroads in the trajectory of your intellectual development?

03:49My father came from a long tradition of architects, a distant branch of the Bach family.

03:56And so basically, he was technically a nerd. And nerds need to interface in society with

04:03nonstandard ways. Sometimes I define a nerd as somebody who thinks that the purpose of

04:09communication is to submit your ideas to peer review. And normal people understand that the

04:15primary purpose of communication is to negotiate alignment. And these purposes tend to conflict,

04:21which means that nerds have to learn how to interact with society at large.

04:26Who is the reviewer in the nerd's view of communication?

04:31Everybody who you consider to be a peer. So whatever hapless individual is around,

04:36well, you would try to make him or her the gift of information.

04:42Okay. So you're now, by the way, my research malinformed me. So you're architect or artist?

04:50So he did study architecture. But basically, my grandfather made the wrong decision. He married

04:58an aristocrat and was drawn into the war. And he came back after 15 years. So basically, my father

05:07was not parented by a nerd, but by somebody who tried to tell him what to do, and expected him

05:14to do what he was told. And he was unable to. He's unable to do things if he's not intrinsically

05:21motivated. So in some sense, my grandmother broke her son. And her son responded when he became an

05:27architect to become an artist. So he built 100 Wasser architecture. He built houses without

05:33right angles. He built lots of things that didn't work in the more brutalist traditions of eastern

05:38Germany. And so he bought an old watermill, moved out to the countryside, and did only what he wanted

05:44to do, which was art. Eastern Germany was perfect for Boheme, because you had complete material

05:50safety. Food was heavily subsidized, healthcare was free. You didn't have to worry about rent or

05:55pensions or anything. So it's a socialized communist side. Yes. And the other thing is,

06:00it was almost impossible not to be in political disagreement with your government, which is very

06:04productive for artists. So everything that you do is intrinsically meaningful, because it will

06:08always touch on the deeper currents of society of culture and be in conflict with it and tension

06:14with it. And you will always have to define yourself with respect to this. So what impacted

06:19your father, this outside of the box thinker against the government, against the world artists?

06:26He was actually not a thinker. He was somebody who only got self aware to the degree that he

06:31needed to make himself functional. So in some sense, he was also in the late 1960s. And he was

06:39in some sense a hippie. So he became a one person cult. He lived out there in his kingdom. He built

06:44big sculpture gardens and started many avenues of art and so on and convinced a woman to live with

06:53him. She was also an architect and she adored him and decided to share her life with him.

06:58And I basically grew up in a big cave full of books. I'm almost feral. And I was bored out

07:05there. It was very, very beautiful, very quiet, and quite lonely. So I started to read. And by

07:11the time I came to school, I've read everything until fourth grade and then some. And there was

07:16not a real way for me to relate to the outside world. And I couldn't quite put my finger on why.

07:21And today I know it was because I was a nerd, obviously, and it was the only nerd around. So

07:26there was no other kids like me. And there was nobody interested in physics or computing or

07:32mathematics and so on. And this village school that I went to was basically a nice school.

07:38Kids were nice to me. I was not beaten up, but I also didn't make many friends or

07:42build deep relationships. They only happened in starting from ninth grade when I went into a

07:47school for mathematics and physics. Do you remember any key books from this moment?

07:51I basically read everything. So I went to the library and I worked my way through the

07:56children's and young adult sections. And then I read a lot of science fiction,

08:01for instance, Stanislav Lem, basically the great author of Cybernetics, has influenced me. Back

08:06then, I didn't see him as a big influence because everything that he wrote seemed to be so natural

08:10to me. And it's only later that I contrasted it with what other people wrote. Another thing that

08:16was very influential on me were the classical philosophers and also the literature of romanticism.

08:22So German poetry and art, Troste Hilshoff and Heine and up to Hesse and so on.

08:29Hesse. I love Hesse. So at which point do the classical philosophers end? At this point,

08:35we're in the 21st century. What's the latest classical philosopher? Does this stretch through

08:41even as far as Nietzsche or is this, are we talking about Plato and Aristotle?

08:45I think that Nietzsche is the classical equivalent of a shit poster.

08:52He's very smart and easy to read, but he's not so much trolling others. He's trolling himself

08:57because he was at odds with the world. Largely his romantic relationships didn't work out.

09:02He got angry and he basically became a nihilist.

09:06Isn't that a beautiful way to be as an intellectual is to constantly be trolling yourself,

09:11to be in that conflict, in that tension?

09:14I think it's a lack of self awareness. At some point, you have to understand the

09:18comedy of your own situation. If you take yourself seriously and you are not functional,

09:23it ends in tragedy as it did for Nietzsche.

09:25I think you think he took himself too seriously in that tension.

09:29And as you find the same thing in Hesse and so on, this Steppenwolf syndrome is classic

09:34adolescence where you basically feel misunderstood by the world and you don't understand that all the

09:38misunderstandings are the result of your own lack of self awareness because you think that you are

09:44a prototypical human and the others around you should behave the same way as you expect them

09:48based on your innate instincts and it doesn't work out and you become a transcendentalist

09:53to deal with that. So it's very, very understandable and have great sympathies for this

09:58to the degree that I can have sympathy for my own intellectual history.

10:02But you have to grow out of it.

10:04So as an intellectual, a life well lived, a journey well traveled is one where you don't

10:09take yourself seriously from that perspective?

10:11No, I think that you are neither serious or not serious yourself because you need to become

10:17unimportant as a subject. That is, if you are a philosopher, belief is not a verb.

10:24You don't do this for the audience and you don't do it for yourself.

10:27You have to submit to the things that are possibly true and you have to follow wherever

10:32your inquiry leads. But it's not about you. It has nothing to do with you.

10:36So do you think then people like Ayn Rand believed sort of an idea of there's objective

10:42truth. So what's your sense in the philosophical, if you remove yourself as objective from the

10:48picture, you think it's possible to actually discover ideas that are true or are we just

10:52in a mesh of relative concepts that are either true nor false? It's just a giant mess.

10:57You cannot define objective truth without understanding the nature of truth in the first

11:02place. So what does the brain mean by saying that discover something as truth? So for instance,

11:08a model can be predictive or not predictive. Then there can be a sense in which a mathematical

11:14statement can be true because it's defined as true under certain conditions. So it's basically

11:19a particular state that a variable can have in a simple game. And then you can have a

11:26correspondence between systems and talk about truth, which is again, a type of model correspondence.

11:31And there also seems to be a particular kind of ground truth. So for instance,

11:34you're confronted with the enormity of something existing at all. It's stunning when you realize

11:41something exists rather than nothing. And this seems to be true. There's an absolute truth in

11:47the fact that something seems to be happening. Yeah, that to me is a showstopper. I could just

11:52think about that idea and be amazed by that idea for the rest of my life and not going any farther

11:57because I don't even know the answer to that. Why does anything exist at all?

12:01Well, the easiest answer is existence is the default, right? So this is the lowest number of

12:04bits that you would need to encode this. Whose answer?

12:07The simplest answer to this is that existence is the default.

12:11What about nonexistence? I mean, that seems...

12:14Nonexistence might not be a meaningful notion in this sense. So in some sense,

12:18if everything that can exist exists, for something to exist, it probably needs to be implementable.

12:23The only thing that can be implemented is finite automata. So maybe the whole of existence is the

12:28superposition of all finite automata and we are in some region of the fractal that has the properties

12:33that it can contain us. What does it mean to be a superposition of finite automata?

12:40Superposition of all possible rules? Imagine that every automaton is basically an operator

12:45that acts on some substrate and as a result, you get emergent patterns.

12:50What's the substrate?

12:52I have no idea to know. But some substrate.

12:55It's something that can store information.

12:58Something that can store information, there's a automaton.

13:00Something that can hold state.

13:01Still, it doesn't make sense to me the why that exists at all. I could just sit there

13:06with a beer or a vodka and just enjoy the fact, pondering the why.

13:11It may not have a why. This might be the wrong direction to ask into this. So there could be no

13:16relation in the why direction without asking for a purpose or for a cause. It doesn't mean

13:22that everything has to have a purpose or cause. So we mentioned some philosophers in that early,

13:28just taking a brief step back into that. So we asked ourselves when did classical philosophy end?

13:34I think for Germany, it largely ended with the first revolution.

13:38That's basically when we entered the monarchy and started a democracy. And at this point,

13:45we basically came up with a new form of government that didn't have a good sense of

13:50this new organism that society wanted to be. And in a way, it decapitated the universities.

13:56So the universities went on through modernism like a headless chicken.

13:59At the same time, democracy failed in Germany and we got fascism as a result.

14:04And it burned down things in a similar way as Stalinism burned down intellectual traditions

14:08in Russia. And Germany, both Germanys have not recovered from this. Eastern Germany had this

14:14vulgar dialectic materialism and Western Germany didn't get much more edgy than Habermas. So in

14:20some sense, both countries lost their intellectual traditions and killing off and driving out the

14:24Jews didn't help. Yeah. So that was the end of really rigorous what you would say is classical

14:33philosophy. There's also this thing that in some sense, the low hanging foods in philosophy

14:39were mostly wrapped. And the last big things that we discovered was the constructivist turn

14:46in mathematics. So to understand that the parts of mathematics that work are computation,

14:51there was a very significant discovery in the first half of the 20th century. And it hasn't

14:57fully permeated philosophy and even physics yet. Physicists checked out the code libraries

15:02for mathematics before constructivism became universal. What's constructivism? What are you

15:08referring to, Gödel's incompleteness theorem, those kinds of ideas? So basically, Gödel himself,

15:13I think, didn't get it yet. Hilbert could get it. Hilbert saw that, for instance, countries

15:18set theoretic experiments and mathematics led into contradictions. And he noticed that with the

15:25current semantics, we cannot build a computer in mathematics that runs mathematics without crashing.

15:30And Gödel could prove this. And so what Gödel could show is using classical mathematical

15:35semantics, you run into contradictions. And because Gödel strongly believed in these semantics and

15:40more than what he could observe and so on, he was shocked. It basically shook his world to the core

15:46because in some sense, he felt that the world has to be implemented in classical mathematics.

15:50And for Turing, it wasn't quite so bad. I think that Turing could see that the solution is to

15:56understand that mathematics was computation all along, which means you, for instance, pi

16:01in classical mathematics is a value. It's also a function, but it's the same thing. And in

16:08computation, a function is only a value when you can compute it. And if you cannot compute the last

16:13digit of pi, you only have a function. You can plug this function into your local sun, let it run

16:18until the sun burns out. This is it. This is the last digit of pi you will know. But it also means

16:22there can be no process in the physical universe or in any physically realized computer that depends

16:28on having known the last digit of pi. Which means there are parts of physics that are defined in

16:34such a way that cannot strictly be true, because assuming that this could be true leads into

16:38contradictions. So I think putting computation at the center of the world view is actually the

16:44right way to think about it. Yes. And Wittgenstein could see it. And Wittgenstein basically preempted

16:49the logitist program of AI that Minsky started later, like 30 years later. Turing was actually

16:55a pupil of Wittgenstein. I didn't know there's any connection between Turing and Wittgenstein.

17:00Wittgenstein even cancelled some classes when Turing was not present because he thought it

17:03was not worth spending the time with the others. If you read the Tractatus, it's a very beautiful

17:09book, like basically one thought on 75 pages. It's very non typical for philosophy because it doesn't

17:15have arguments in it and it doesn't have references in it. It's just one thought that is not intending

17:21to convince anybody. He says, it's mostly for people that had the same insight as me,

17:26just spell it out. And this insight is there is a way in which mathematics and philosophy

17:32ought to meet. Mathematics tries to understand the domain of all languages by starting with those

17:37that are so formalizable that you can prove all the properties of the statements that you make.

17:42But the price that you pay is that your language is very, very simple. So it's very hard to say

17:46something meaningful in mathematics. And it looks complicated to people, but it's far less complicated

17:52than what our brain is casually doing all the time when it makes sense of reality. And philosophy is

§02Transcript · 17:58–36:17

17:58coming from the top. So it's mostly starting from natural languages with vaguely defined concepts.

18:03And the hope is that mathematics and philosophy can meet at some point. And Wittgenstein was trying

18:08to make them meet. And he already understood that, for instance, you could express everything with

18:12the NAND calculus, that you could reduce the entire logic to NAND gates as we do in our modern

18:17computers. So in some sense, he already understood Turing universality before Turing spelled it out.

18:22I think when he wrote the Tractatus, he didn't understand yet that the idea was so important

18:26and significant. And I suspect then when Turing wrote it out, nobody cared that much. Turing was

18:32not that famous when he lived. It was mostly his work in decrypting the German codes that made him

18:39famous or gave him some notoriety. But this saint status that he has to computer science right now

18:44and the AI is something that I think he could acquire later. That's kind of interesting. Do

18:48you think of computation and computer science? And you kind of represent that to me is maybe

18:53that's the modern day. You in a sense are the new philosopher by sort of the computer scientist

19:00who dares to ask the bigger questions that philosophy originally started is the new

19:06philosopher. Certainly not me. I think I'm mostly still this child that grows up in a

19:12very beautiful valley and looks at the world from the outside and tries to understand what's going

19:16on. And my teachers tell me things and they largely don't make sense. So I have to make my

19:20own models. I have to discover the foundations of what the others are saying. I have to try to fix

19:25them to be charitable. I try to understand what they must have thought originally or what their

19:30teachers or their teacher's teachers must have thought until everything got lost in translation

19:34and how to make sense of the reality that we are in. And whenever I have an original idea,

19:38I'm usually late to the party by say 400 years. And the only thing that's good is that the parties

19:43get smaller and smaller the older I get and the more I explore it. The parties get smaller and

19:49more exclusive and more exclusive. So it seems like one of the key qualities of your upbringing

19:55was that you were not tethered, whether it's because of your parents or in general,

20:01maybe something within your mind, some genetic material, you were not tethered to the ideas

20:07of the general populace, which is actually a unique property. We're kind of the education

20:14system and whatever, not education system, just existing in this world forces certain sets of

20:20ideas onto you. Can you disentangle that? Why are you not so tethered? Even in your work today,

20:28you seem to not care about perhaps a best paper in Europe, right? Being tethered to particular

20:38things that current today in this year, people seem to value as a thing you put on your CV and

20:44resume. You're a little bit more outside of that world, outside of the world of ideas that people

20:50are especially focused in the benchmarks of today, the things. Can you disentangle that?

20:56Because I think that's inspiring. And if there were more people like that,

20:59we might be able to solve some of the bigger problems that AI dreams to solve.

21:05And there's a big danger in this because in a way you are expected to marry into an

21:10intellectual tradition and visit this tradition into a particular school. If everybody comes up

21:16with their own paradigms, the whole thing is not cumulative as an enterprise. So in some sense,

21:22you need a healthy balance. You need paradigmatic thinkers and you need people that work within

21:26given paradigms. Basically, scientists today define themselves largely by methods. And it's almost a

21:32disease that we think as a scientist, as somebody who was convinced by their guidance counselor,

21:38that they should join a particular discipline and then they find a good mentor to learn the

21:42right methods. And then they are lucky enough and privileged enough to join the right team. And then

21:47their name will show up on influential papers. But we also see that there are diminishing returns

21:52with this approach. And when our field, computer science and AI started, most of the people that

21:59joined this field had interesting opinions. And today's thinkers in AI either don't have interesting

22:05opinions at all, or these opinions are inconsequential for what they're actually

22:08doing. Because what they're doing is they apply the state of the art methods with a small epsilon.

22:13And this is often a good idea if you think that this is the best way to make progress. And for me,

22:21it's first of all, very boring. If somebody else can do it, why should I do it? If the current

22:27methods of machine learning lead to strong AI, why should I be doing it? I will just wait until

22:32they're done and wait until they do this on the beach or read interesting books or write some

22:38and have fun. But if you don't think that we are currently doing the right thing, if we are missing

22:45some perspectives, then it's required to think outside of the box. It's also required to understand

22:51the boxes. But it's necessary to understand what worked and what didn't work and for what reasons.

22:59So you have to be willing to ask new questions and design new methods whenever you want to

23:03answer them. And you have to be willing to dismiss the existing methods if you think that they're

23:09not going to yield the right answers. It's very bad career advice to do that. So maybe to briefly

23:16stay for one more time in the early days, when would you say for you was the dream

23:24before we dive into the discussions that we just almost started, when was the dream to understand

23:30or maybe to create human level intelligence born for you?

23:35I think that you can see AI largely today as advanced information processing. If you would

23:44change the acronym of AI into that, most people in the field would be happy. It would not change

23:48anything what they're doing. We're automating statistics and many of the statistical models

23:54are more advanced than what statisticians had in the past. And it's pretty good work. It's very

23:59productive. And the other aspect of AI is philosophical project. And this philosophical

24:04project is very risky and very few people work on it and it's not clear if it succeeds.

24:10So first of all, you keep throwing sort of a lot of really interesting ideas and I have to

24:16pick which ones we go with. But first of all, you use the term information processing,

24:22just information processing as if it's the mere, it's the muck of existence as if it's the epitome

24:31of existence, that the entirety of the universe might be information processing, that consciousness

24:36and intelligence might be information processing. So that maybe you can comment on if the advanced

24:42information processing is a limiting kind of a round of ideas. And then the other one is,

24:48what do you mean by the philosophical project? So I suspect that general intelligence is the

24:54result of trying to solve general problems. So intelligence, I think, is the ability to model.

25:00It's not necessarily goal directed rationality or something. Many intelligent people are bad at this,

25:06but it's the ability to be presented with a number of patterns and see a structure in those patterns

25:12and be able to predict the next set of patterns, to make sense of things. And

25:17some problems are very general. Usually intelligence serves control, so you make these

25:22models for a particular purpose of interacting as an agent with the world and getting certain results.

25:26But the intelligence itself is in the sense instrumental to something, but by itself it's

25:31just the ability to make models. And some of the problems are so general that the system that makes

25:36them needs to understand what itself is and how it relates to the environment. So as a child,

25:42for instance, you notice you do certain things despite you perceiving yourself as wanting

25:47different things. So you become aware of your own psychology. You become aware of the fact that you

25:53have complex structure in yourself and you need to model yourself, to reverse engineer yourself,

25:57to be able to predict how you will react to certain situations and how you deal with yourself

26:02in relationship to your environment. And this process, this project, if you reverse engineer

26:08yourself and your relationship to reality and the nature of a universe that can continue, if you go

26:12all the way, this is basically the project of AI, or you could say the project of AI is a very

26:17important component in it. The Turing test, in a way, is you ask a system, what is intelligence?

26:24If that system is able to explain what it is, how it works, then you should assign it the property

26:32of being intelligent in this general sense. So the test that Turing was administering

26:36in a way, I don't think that he couldn't see it, but he didn't express it yet in the original 1950

26:41paper, is that he was trying to find out whether he was generally intelligent. Because in order to

26:47take this test, the rub is, of course, you need to be able to understand what that system is saying.

26:51And we don't yet know if we can build an AI. We don't yet know if we are generally intelligent.

26:56Basically, you win the Turing test by building an AI. Yes. So in a sense, hidden within the Turing

27:03test is a kind of recursive test. Yes, it's a test on us. The Turing test is basically

27:08a test of the conjecture, whether people are intelligent enough to understand themselves.

27:14Okay. But you also mentioned a little bit of a self awareness and then the project of AI.

27:18Do you think this kind of emergent self awareness is one of the fundamental aspects of intelligence?

27:25So as opposed to goal oriented, as you said, kind of puzzle solving, is

27:31coming to grips with the idea that you're an agent in the world.

27:37I find that many highly intelligent people are not very self aware, right? So self awareness

27:42and intelligence are not the same thing. And you can also be self aware if you have good priors,

27:47especially, without being especially intelligent. So you don't need to be very good at solving

27:52puzzles if the system that you are already implements the solution.

27:56But I do find intelligence, you kind of mentioned children, right? Is that the fundamental project

28:03of AI is to create the learning system that's able to exist in the world. So you kind of drew

28:11a difference between self awareness and intelligence. And yet you said that the self

28:18awareness seems to be important for children. So I call this ability to make sense of the

28:23world and your own place in it. So to make you able to understand what you're doing in this world,

28:28sentience. And I would distinguish sentience from intelligence because sentience is

28:34possessing certain classes of models. And intelligence is a way to get to these models

28:39if you don't already have them. I see. So can you maybe pause a bit and try to

28:47answer the question that we just said we may not be able to answer? And it might be a recursive

28:53meta question of what is intelligence? I think that intelligence is the ability to make models.

28:59So models. I think it's useful as examples. Very popular now. Neural networks form representations

29:08of a large scale data set. They form models of those data sets. When you say models and look

29:17at today's neural networks, what are the difference of how you're thinking about what is intelligent

29:22in saying that intelligence is the process of making models? Two aspects to this question. One

29:29is the representation. Is the representation adequate for the domain that we're talking about?

29:33One is the representation. Is the representation adequate for the domain that we want to represent?

29:39The other one is the type of the model that you arrive at adequate. So basically, are you

29:45modeling the correct domain? I think in both of these cases, modern AI is lacking still. I think

29:53that I'm not saying anything new here. I'm not criticizing the field. Most of the people that

29:58design our paradigms are aware of that. One aspect that we're missing is unified learning.

30:05When we learn, we at some point discover that everything that we sense is part of the same

30:10object, which means we learn it all into one model and we call this model the universe.

30:14So the experience of the world that we are embedded on is not a secret direct via to physical

30:19reality. Physical reality is a weird quantum graph that we can never experience or get access to.

30:24But it has these properties that it can create certain patterns that are systemic interface to

30:29the world. And we make sense of these patterns and the relationship between the patterns that

30:33we discover is what we call the physical universe. So at some point in our development as a nervous

30:40system, we discover that everything that we relate to in the world can be mapped to a region in the

30:47same three dimensional space, by and large. We now know in physics that this is not quite true.

30:52The world is not actually three dimensional, but the world that we are entangled with at the level

30:56which we are entangled with is largely a flat three dimensional space. And so this is the

31:02model that our brain is intuitively making. And this is, I think, what gave rise to this intuition

31:07of res extensa of this material world, this material domain. It's one of the mental domains,

31:12but it's just the class of all models that relate to this environment, this three dimensional

31:17physics engine in which we are embedded. Physics engine which we're embedded. I love that. Just

31:22slowly pause. So the quantum graph, I think you called it, which is the real world, which you

31:32can never get access to, there's a bunch of questions I want to sort of disentangle that.

31:37But maybe one useful one, one of your recent talks I looked at, can you just describe the basics?

31:43Can you talk about what is dualism? What is idealism? What is materialism? What is functionalism?

31:49And what connects with you most in terms of, because you just mentioned there's a reality

31:53we don't have access to. Okay. What does that even mean? And why don't we get access to it?

32:00Aren't we part of that reality? Why can't we access it? So the particular trajectory that

32:05mostly exists in the West is the result of our indoctrination by a cult for 2000 years.

32:11A cult? Which one? Oh, 2000 years. The Catholic cult mostly. And for better or worse,

32:15it has created or defined many of the modes of interaction that we have that has created

32:20the society. But it has also in some sense scarred our rationality. And the intuition that exists,

32:29if you would translate the mythology of the Catholic church into the modern world is that

32:35the world in which you and me interact is something like a multiplayer role playing adventure. And the

32:41money and the objects that we have in this world, this is all not real. Or as Eastern philosophers

32:48would say, it's Maya. It's just stuff that appears to be meaningful. And this embedding in this

32:54meaning, if you believe in it, is samsara. It's basically the identification with the needs of

33:00the mundane, secular, everyday existence. And the Catholics also introduced the notion of

33:06higher meaning, the sacred. And this existed before, but eventually the natural shape of God

33:12is the Platonic form of the civilization that you're part of. It's basically the superorganism

33:17that is formed by the individuals as an intentional agent. And basically, the Catholics

33:22used a relatively crude mythology to implement software on the minds of people and get the

33:28software synchronized to make them walk on lockstep, to basically get this God online

33:34and to make it efficient and effective. And I think God technically is just a self that

33:40spends multiple brains as opposed to your and my self, which mostly exists just on one brain.

33:45Right? And so in some sense, you can construct a self functionally as a function is implemented

33:50by brains that exists across brains. And this is a God with a small g.

33:54That's one of the, if you, Yuval Harari kind of talking about,

33:59this is one of the nice features of our brains. It seems to that we can

34:03all download the same piece of software like God in this case and kind of share it.

34:07Yeah. So basically you give everybody a spec and the mathematical constraints

34:12that are intrinsic to information processing,

34:16make sure that given the same spec, you come up with a compatible structure.

34:20Okay. So that's, there's the space of ideas that we all share. And we think that's kind

34:24of the mind, but that's separate from the idea is from Christianity for,

34:32from religion is that there's a separate thing between the mind.

34:35There is a real world. And this real world is the world in which God exists.

34:39God is the coder of the multiplayer adventure, so to speak. And we are all players in this game.

34:45And that's dualism.

34:47Yes. But the aspect is because the mental realm exists in a different implementation

34:53than the physical realm. And the mental realm is real. And a lot of people have this intuition

34:59that there is this real room in which you and me talk and speak right now, then comes a layer of

35:04physics and abstract rules and so on. And then comes another real room where our souls are

35:10and our true form isn't a thing that gives us phenomenal experience. And this is, of course,

35:14a very confused notion that you would get. And it's basically, it's the result of connecting

35:20materialism and idealism in the wrong way.

35:24So, okay. I apologize, but I think it's really helpful if we just try to define,

35:30try to define terms. Like what is dualism? What is idealism? What is materialism? For

35:34people that don't know.

35:34So the idea of dualism in our cultural tradition is that there are two substances, a mental

35:40substance and a physical substance. And they interact by different rules. And the physical

35:46world is basically causally closed and is built on a low level causal structure. So

35:51they're basically a bottom level that is causally closed. That's entirely mechanical

35:56and mechanical in the widest sense. So it's computational. There's basically a physical

36:00world in which information flows around and physics describes the laws of how information

36:05flows around in this world.

36:06Would you compare it to like a computer where you have hardware and software?

36:10The computer is a generalization of information flowing around. Basically,

36:14but if you want to discover that there is a universal principle, you can define this

§03Transcript · 36:17–54:40

36:17universal machine that is able to perform all the computations. So all these machines

36:23have the same power. This means that you can always define a translation between them,

36:27as long as they have unlimited memory to be able to perform each other's computations.

36:33So would you then say that materialism is this whole world is just the hardware and

36:38idealism is this whole world is just the software?

36:40Not quite. I think that most idealists don't have a notion of software yet because software

36:46also comes down to information processing. So what you notice is the only thing that

36:51is real to you and me is this experiential world in which things matter, in which things

36:56have taste, in which things have color, phenomenal content, and so on.

37:00You are bringing up consciousness. Okay.

37:02This is distinct from the physical world in which things have values only in an abstract

37:07sense. And you only look at cold patterns moving around. So how does anything feel like

37:15something? And this connection between the two things is very puzzling to a lot of people,

37:19of course, too many philosophers. So idealism starts out with the notion that mind is primary,

37:23materialism, things that matter is primary. And so for the idealist, the material patterns that

37:30we see playing out are part of the dream that the mind is dreaming. And we exist in a mind

37:37on a higher plane of existence, if you want. And for the materialist, there is only this

37:43material thing, and that generates some models, and we are the result of these models. And in

37:49some sense, I don't think that we should understand, if we understand it properly,

37:53materialism and idealism as a dichotomy, but as two different aspects of the same thing.

37:59So the weird thing is we don't exist in the physical world. We do exist inside of a story

38:04that the brain tells itself. Okay. Let my information processing take that in.

38:15We don't exist in the physical world. We exist in the narrative.

38:18Basically, a brain cannot feel anything. A neuron cannot feel anything. They're physical

38:22things. Physical systems are unable to experience anything. But it would be very useful for the

38:26brain or for the organism to know what it would be like to be a person and to feel something.

38:30Yeah. So the brain creates a simulacrum of such a person that it uses to model the interactions

38:36of the person. It's the best model of what that brain, this organism thinks it is in relationship

38:41to its environment. So it creates that model. It's a story, a multimedia novel that the brain

38:46is continuously writing and updating. But you also kind of said that

38:50you said that we kind of exist in that story. Yes.

38:53In that story. What is real in any of this? So again, these terms are... You kind of said

39:04there's a quantum graph. I mean, what is this whole thing running on then? Is the story...

39:11And is it completely fundamentally impossible to get access to it? Because isn't the story

39:16supposed to... Isn't the brain in something existing in some kind of context?

39:24So what we can identify as computer scientists, we can engineer systems and test our theories this

39:30way that might have the necessary insufficient properties to produce the phenomena that we are

39:36observing, which is the self in a virtual world that is generated in somebody's neocortex that is

39:44contained in the skull of this primate here. And when I point at this, this indexicality is of

39:48course wrong. But I do create something that is likely to give rise to patterns on your retina

39:55that allow you to interpret what I'm saying. But we both know that the world that you and me are

40:00seeing is not the real physical world. What we are seeing is a virtual reality generated in your

40:05brain to explain the patterns on your retina. How close is it to the real world? That's kind

40:10of the question. Is it when you have people like Donald Hoffman that say that you're really far

40:18away. The thing we're seeing, you and I now, that interface we have is very far away from anything.

40:24We don't even have anything close to the sense of what the real world is. Or is it a very surface

40:29piece of architecture? I imagine you look at the Mandelbrot fractal, this famous thing that

40:35Bernard Mandelbrot discovered. You see an overall shape in there. But if you truly understand it,

40:43you know it's two lines of code. It's basically in a series that is being tested for complex

40:50numbers in the complex number plane for every point. And for those where the series is diverging,

40:56you paint this black. And where it's converging, you don't. And you get the intermediate colors

41:04by taking how far it diverges. This gives you this shape of this fractal. But imagine you live

41:13inside of this fractal and you don't have access to where you are in the fractal. Or you have not

41:18discovered the generator function even. So what you see is, all I can see right now is a spiral.

41:23And this spiral moves a little bit to the right. Is this an accurate model of reality? Yes, it is.

41:28It is an adequate description. You know that there is actually no spiral in the Mandelbrot fractal.

41:33It only appears like this to an observer that is interpreting things as a two dimensional space and

41:39then defines certain regularities in there at a certain scale that it currently observes. Because

41:44if you zoom in, the spiral might disappear and turn out to be something different at a different

41:47resolution. So at this level, you have the spiral. And then you discover the spiral moves to the

41:52right and at some point it disappears. So you have a singularity. At this point, your model is no

41:56longer valid. You cannot predict what happens beyond the singularity. But you can observe again

42:01and you will see it hit another spiral and at this point it disappeared. So we now have a second

42:06order law. And if you make 30 layers of these laws, then you have a description of the world

42:11that is similar to the one that we come up with when we describe the reality around us.

42:14It's reasonably predictive. It does not cut to the core of it. It does not explain how it's

42:19being generated, how it actually works. But it's relatively good to explain the universe that we

42:24are entangled with. But you don't think the tools of computer science, the tools of physics could

42:28get, could step outside, see the whole drawing and get at the basic mechanism of how the pattern,

42:35the spirals are generated. Imagine you would find yourself embedded into a motherboard fractal and

42:40you try to figure out what works and you somehow have a Turing machine with enough memory to think.

42:46And as a result, you come to this idea, it must be some kind of automaton. And maybe you just

42:51enumerate all the possible automata until you get to the one that produces your reality.

42:56So you can identify necessary and sufficient condition. For instance,

42:59we discover that mathematics itself is the domain of all languages. And then we see that most of

43:05the domains of mathematics that we have discovered are in some sense describing the same fractals.

43:10This is what category theory is obsessed about, that you can map these different domains to each

43:14other. So they're not that many fractals. And some of these have interesting structure and

43:19symmetry breaks. And so you can discover what region of this global fractal you might be embedded

43:26in from first principles. But the only way you can get there is from first principles. So basically

43:31your understanding of the universe has to start with automata and then number theory and then

43:35spaces and so on. Yeah. I think like Stephen Wolfram still dreams that he'll be able to arrive

43:41at the fundamental rules of the cellular automata or the generalization of which

43:46is behind our universe. Yeah. You've said on this topic, you said in a recent conversation

43:54that quote, some people think that a simulation can't be conscious and only a physical system can,

44:00but they got it completely backward. A physical system cannot be conscious. Only a simulation can

44:05be conscious. Consciousness is a simulated property that simulates itself. Just like you said,

44:11the mind is kind of the, we'll call it story narrative. There's a simulation. So our mind

44:17is essentially a simulation. Usually I try to use the terminology so that the mind is basically

44:24a principles that produce the simulation. It's the software that is implemented by your brain.

44:29And the mind is creating both the universe that we are in and the self, the idea of a person that

44:36is on the other side of attention and is embedded in this world. Why is that important that

44:41idea of a self, why is that an important feature in the simulation? It's basically a result of

44:48the purpose that the mind has. It's a tool for modeling, right? We are not actually monkeys. We

44:53are side effects of the regulation needs of monkeys. And what the monkey has to regulate is

45:00the relationship of an organism to an outside world that is in large part also consisting of

45:06other organisms. And as a result, it basically has regulation targets that it tries to get to.

45:12These regulation targets start with priors. They're basically like unconditional reflexes

45:16that we are more or less born with. And then we can reverse engineer them to make them more

45:20consistent. And then we get more detailed models about how the world works and how to interact with

45:24it. And so these priors that you commit to are largely target values that our needs should

45:31approach set points. And this deviation to the set point creates some urge, some tension. And we find

45:38ourselves living inside of feedback loops, right? Consciousness emerges over dimensions of

45:42disagreements with the universe, things that you care, things are not the way they should be,

45:48but you need to regulate. And so in some sense, the sense self is the result of all the

45:52identifications that you're having. And that identification is a regulation target that

45:56you're committing to. It's a dimension that you care about, you think is important. And this is

46:01also what locks you in. If you let go of these commitments, of these identifications, you get

46:07free. There's nothing that you have to do anymore. And if you let go of all of them, you're completely

46:12free and you can enter nirvana because you're done. And actually, this is a good time to pause and say

46:17thank you to a friend of mine, Gustav Soderström, who introduced me to your work. I wanted to give

46:23him a shout out. He's a brilliant guy. And I think the AI community is actually quite amazing. And

46:29Gustav is a good representative of that. You are as well. So I'm glad, first of all, I'm glad the

46:34internet exists, YouTube exists, where I can watch your talks and then get to your book and study

46:40your writing and think about, you know, that's amazing. Okay. But you've kind of described

46:46sort of this emergent phenomenon of consciousness from the simulation. So what about the hard

46:52problem of consciousness? Can you just linger on it? Why does it still feel like, I understand

47:02you're kind of, the self is an important part of the simulation, but why does the simulation

47:08feel like something? So if you look at a book by, say, George R. R. Martin, where the characters

47:14have plausible psychology and they stand on a hill because they want to conquer the city below

47:19the hill and they're done in it. And they look at the color of the sky and they are apprehensive

47:24and feel empowered and all these things. Why do they have these emotions? It's because it's

47:27written into the story, right? And it's written to the story because there's an adequate model of the

47:32person that predicts what they're going to do next. And the same thing is true for us. So it's

47:37basically a story that our brain is writing. It's not written in words. It's written in perceptual

47:43content, basically multimedia content. And it's a model of what the person would feel if it existed.

47:50So it's a virtual person. And you and me happen to be this virtual person. So this virtual person

47:56gets access to the language center and talks about the sky being blue. And this is us.

48:01But hold on a second. Do I exist in your simulation?

48:05You do exist in an almost similar way as me. So there are internal states that are less

48:13accessible for me that you have and so on. And my model might not be completely adequate.

48:20There are also things that I might perceive about you that you don't perceive. But in some sense,

48:25both you and me are some puppets, two puppets that enact a play in my mind. And I identify

48:31with one of them because I can control one of the puppets directly. And with the other one,

48:36I can create things in between. So for instance, we can go on an interaction that even leads to

48:41a coupling to a feedback loop. So we can think things together in a certain way or feel things

48:46together. But this coupling is itself not a physical phenomenon. It's entirely a software

48:50phenomenon. It's the result of two different implementations interacting with each other.

48:54So that's interesting. So are you suggesting, like the way you think about it, is the entirety

49:02of existence a simulation and where kind of each mind is a little subsimulation,

49:08that like, why don't you, why doesn't your mind have access to my mind's full state?

49:18Like, for the same reason that my mind doesn't have access to its own full state.

49:22So what, I mean,

49:25There is no trick involved. So basically, when I know something about myself,

49:29it's because I made a model. So one part of your brain is tasked with modeling what other parts of

49:33your brain are doing.

49:35Yes. But there seems to be an incredible consistency about this world in the physical

49:40sense that there's repeatable experiments and so on. How does that fit into our silly,

49:46the center of apes simulation of the world? So why is it so repeatable? Why is everything so

49:50repeatable? And not everything. There's a lot of fundamental physics experiments that are repeatable

49:59for a long time, all over the place and so on. Laws of physics. How does that fit in?

50:05It seems that the parts of the world that are not deterministic are not long lived.

50:10So if you build a system, any kind of automaton, so if you build simulations of something,

50:17you'll notice that the phenomena that endure are those that give rise to stable dynamics.

50:23So basically, if you see anything that is complex in the world, it's the result of usually of some

50:28control of some feedback that keeps it stable around certain attractors. And the things that

50:32are not stable that don't give rise to certain harmonic patterns and so on, they tend to get

50:37weeded out over time. So if we are in a region of the universe that sustains complexity, which is

50:44required to implement minds like ours, this is going to be a region of the universe that is very

50:50tightly controlled and controllable. So it's going to have lots of interesting symmetries and also

50:55symmetry breaks that allow the creation of structure. But they exist where? So there's

51:02such an interesting idea that our mind is simulation that's constructing the narrative.

51:06But my question is, just to try to understand how that fits with this, with the entirety of the

51:14universe, you're saying that there's a region of this universe that allows enough complexity to

51:19create creatures like us. But what's the connection between the brain, the mind, and the broader

51:27universe? Which comes first? Which is more fundamental? Is the mind the starting point,

51:32the universe is emergent? Is the universe the starting point, the minds are emergent?

51:37I think quite clearly the latter. That's at least a much easier explanation because it allows us to

51:42make causal models. And I don't see any way to construct an inverse causality.

51:47So what happens when you die to your mind simulation?

51:51My implementation ceases. So basically the thing that implements myself will no longer be present,

51:57which means if I am not implemented on the minds of other people, the thing that I identify with,

52:01the weird thing is I don't actually have an identity beyond the identity that I construct.

52:07If I was the Dalai Lama, he identifies as a form of government. So basically the Dalai Lama gets

52:14reborn, not because he's confused, but because he is not identifying as a human being. He runs on

52:21a human being. He's basically a governmental software that is instantiated in every new

52:27generation and you. So his advice is to pick someone who does this in the next generation.

52:31So if you identify with this, you are no longer a human and you don't die in the sense that what

52:37dies is only the body of the human that you run on. To kill the Dalai Lama, you would have to kill

52:42his tradition. And if we look at ourselves, we realize that we are to a small part like this,

52:48most of us. So for instance, if you have children, you realize something lives on in them. Or if you

52:53spark an idea in the world, something lives on, or if you identify with the society around you,

52:58because you are in part that you're not just this human being.

53:01Yeah. So in a sense, you are kind of like a Dalai Lama in the sense that you,

53:07Joshua Bach, is just a collection of ideas. So like you have this operating system on which

53:12a bunch of ideas live and interact. And then once you die, they kind of part, some of them

53:17jump off the ship.

53:18You put it put it the other way. Identity is a software state. It's a construction.

53:23It's not physically real. Identity is not a physical concept.

53:27It's basically a representation of different objects on the same world line.

53:32But identity lives and dies. Are you attached? What's the fundamental thing? Is it the ideas

53:41that come together to form identity? Or is each individual identity actually a fundamental thing?

53:46It's a representation that you can get agency over if you care. So basically,

53:49you can choose what you identify with if you want to.

53:53No, but it just seems if the mind is not real, that the birth and death is not a crucial part

54:04of it. Well, maybe I'm silly. Maybe I'm attached to this whole biological organism. But it seems

54:16that being a physical object in this world is an important aspect of birth and death.

54:23Like it feels like it has to be physical to die. It feels like simulations don't have to die.

54:30The physics that we experience is not the real physics. There is no color and sound in the real

54:34world. Color and sound are types of representations that you get if you want to model reality with

§04Transcript · 54:40–1:12:22

54:40oscillators. So colors and sound in some sense have octaves, and it's because they are represented

54:45probably with oscillators. So that's why colors form a circle of use. And colors have harmonics,

54:52sounds have harmonics as a result of synchronizing oscillators in the brain. So the world that we

54:58subjectively interact with is fundamentally the result of the representation mechanisms in our

55:03brain. They are mathematically to some degree universal. There are certain regularities that

55:08you can discover in the patterns and not others. But the patterns that we get, this is not the real

55:12world. The world that we interact with is always made of too many parts to count. So when you look

55:18at this table and so on, it's consisting of so many molecules and atoms that you cannot count

55:23them. So you only look at the aggregate dynamics, at limit dynamics. If you had almost infinitely

55:29many particles, what would be the dynamics of the table? And this is roughly what you get. So

55:34geometry that we are interacting with is the result of discovering those operators that

55:39work in the limit that you get by building an infinite series that converges. For those parts

55:44where it converges, it's geometry. For those parts where it doesn't converge, it's chaos.

55:48Right. And then so all of that is filtered through the consciousness that's emergent in our

55:55narrative. The consciousness gives it color, gives it feeling, gives it flavor.

56:00So I think the feeling, flavor and so on is given by the relationship that a feature has to all the

56:06other features. It's basically a giant relational graph that is our subjective universe. The color

56:12is given by those aspects of the representation or this experiential color where you care about,

56:18where you have identifications, where something means something, where you are the inside of a

56:22feedback loop. And the dimensions of caring are basically dimensions of this motivational system

56:28that we emerge over. The meaning of the relations, the graph. Can you elaborate on that a little bit?

56:34Like where does the, maybe we can even step back and ask the question of what is consciousness to

56:41be sort of more systematic. Like what do you, how do you think about consciousness?

56:47I think that consciousness is largely a model of the contents of your attention. It's a mechanism

56:52that has evolved for a certain type of learning. At the moment, our machine learning systems

56:58largely work by building chains of weighted sums of real numbers with some nonlinearity.

57:05And you learn by piping an error signal through these different chained layers and adjusting the

57:13weights in these weighted sums. And you can approximate most polynomials with this

57:19if you have enough training data. But the price is you need to change a lot of these weights.

57:24Basically, the error is piped backwards into the system until it accumulates at certain junctures

57:30in the network. And everything else evens out statistically. And only at these junctures,

57:34this is where you had the actual error in the network, you make the change there. This is a

57:38very slow process. And our brains don't have enough time for that because we don't get old

57:42enough to play Go the way that our machines learn to play Go. So instead, what we do is

57:47an attention based learning. We pinpoint the probable region in the network where we can

57:52make an improvement. And then we store this binding state together with the expected outcome

57:58in a protocol. And this ability to make index memories for the purpose of learning to revisit

58:03these commitments later, this requires a memory of the contents of our attention.

58:10Another aspect is when I construct my reality, I make mistakes. So I see things that turn out to

58:15be reflections or shadows and so on, which means I have to be able to point out which features of

58:20my perception gave rise to a present construction of reality. So the system needs to pay attention to

58:28the features that are currently in its focus. And it also needs to pay attention to whether

58:33it pays attention itself, in part because the attentional system gets trained with the same

58:37mechanism, so it's reflexive, but also in part because your attention lapses if you don't pay

58:41attention to the attention itself. So it's the thing that I'm currently seeing, just a dream

58:46that my brain has spun off into some kind of daydream, or am I still paying attention to my

58:52percept? So you have to periodically go back and see whether you're still paying attention. And

58:56if you have this loop and you make it tight enough between the system becoming aware of the contents

59:01of its attention and the fact that it's paying attention itself and makes attention the object

59:05of its attention, I think this is the loop over which we wake up. So there's this attentional

59:12mechanism that's somehow self referential that's fundamental to what consciousness is. So just

59:19ask you a question, I don't know how much you're familiar with the recent breakthroughs in natural

59:23language processing, they use attentional mechanism, they use something called transformers to

59:31learn patterns and sentences by allowing the network to focus its attention to particular

59:37parts of the sentence and each individual. So like parameterize and make it learnable

59:42the dynamics of a sentence by having like a little window into the sentence. Do you think

59:51that's like a little step towards that eventually will take us to the attentional mechanisms from

59:58which consciousness can emerge? Not quite. I think it models only one aspect of attention.

60:03In the early days of automated language translation, there was an example that I

60:08found particularly funny where somebody tried to translate a text from English into German

60:13and it was a bat broke the window. And the translation in German was

60:25to translate back into English a bat, this flying mammal broke the window with a baseball bat.

60:31Yes. And it seemed to be the

60:34most similar to this program because it somehow maximized the possibility of translating the

60:39concept bat into German in the same sentence. And this is a mistake that the transformer model is

60:45not doing because it's tracking identity. And the attentional mechanism in the transformer

60:49model is basically putting its finger on individual concepts and make sure that these concepts pop up

60:56later in the text and tracks basically the individuals through the text. And it's why

61:02the system can learn things that other systems couldn't before it, which makes it, for instance,

61:07possible to write a text where it talks about the scientist, then the scientist has a name

61:10and has a pronoun and it gets a consistent story about that thing. What it does not do,

61:16it doesn't fully integrate this. So this meaning falls apart at some point, it loses track of this

61:20context. It does not yet understand that everything that it says has to refer to the same universe.

61:25And this is where this thing falls apart. But the attention in the transformer model does not go

61:31beyond tracking identity. And tracking identity is an important part of attention, but it's a

61:36different, very specific attentional mechanism. And it's not the one that gives rise to the type

61:41of consciousness that we have. Just to linger on, what do you mean by

61:44identity in the context of language? So when you talk about language,

61:49you have different words that can refer to the same concept.

61:52Got it. And in the sense that...

61:53The space of concepts. So... Yes. And it can also be in a nominal sense

61:59or in an inexical sense that you say this word does not only refer to this class of objects,

62:05but it refers to a definite object, to some kind of agent that waves their way through the story.

62:11And it's only referred by different ways in the language. So the language is basically a

62:16projection from a conceptual representation from a scene that is evolving into a discrete string

62:23of symbols. And what the transformer is able to do, it learns aspects of this projection

62:29mechanism that other models couldn't learn. So have you ever seen an artificial intelligence

62:34or any kind of construction idea that allows for, unlike neural networks or perhaps within

62:40neural networks, that's able to form something where the space of concepts continues to be

62:47integrated? So what you're describing, building a knowledge base, building this consistent,

62:54larger and larger sets of ideas that would then allow for deeper understanding.

62:59Wittgenstein thought that we can build everything from language,

63:02from basically a logical grammatical construct. And I think to some degree,

63:07this was also what Minsky believed. So that's why he focused so much on common sense reasoning and

63:12so on. And a project that was inspired by him was Psych. That was basically going on.

63:19Yes. Of course, ideas don't die. Only people die.

63:25That's true.

63:27And Alt Psych is a productive project. It's just probably not one that is going to

63:31converge to general intelligence. The thing that Wittgenstein couldn't solve,

63:35and he looked at this in his book at the end of his life, Philosophical Investigations,

63:40was the notion of images. So images play an important role in Tractatus. The Tractatus is

63:44an attempt to basically turn philosophy into logical probing language, to design a logical

63:49language in which you can do actual philosophy that's rich enough for doing this. And the

63:54difficulty was to deal with perceptual content. And eventually, I think he decided that he was

64:00not able to solve it. And I think this preempted the failure of the logitist program in AI.

64:06And the solution, as we see it today, is we need more general function approximation. There are

64:11geometric functions that we learn to approximate that cannot be efficiently expressed and computed

64:16in a grammatical language. We can, of course, build automata that go via number theory and so on

64:22to learn in algebra and then compute an approximation of this geometry.

64:26But to equate language and geometry is not an efficient way to think about it.

64:32So function, well, you kind of just said that neural networks are sort of, the approach that

64:37neural networks takes is actually more general than what can be expressed through language.

64:44Yes. So what can be efficiently expressed through language at the data rates at which

64:49we process grammatical language?

64:51Okay. So you don't think languages, so you disagree with Wittgenstein,

64:56that language is not fundamental to...

64:58I agree with Wittgenstein. I just agree with the late Wittgenstein.

65:03And I also agree with the beauty of the early Wittgenstein. I think that the Tractatus itself

65:09is probably the most beautiful philosophical text that was written in the 20th century.

65:13But language is not fundamental to cognition and intelligence and consciousness.

65:18So I think that language is a particular way or the natural language that we're using is a

65:23particular level of abstraction that we use to communicate with each other. But the languages

65:28in which we express geometry are not grammatical languages in the same sense. So they work slightly

65:35differently, more general expressions of functions. And I think the general nature of a model is you

65:41have a bunch of parameters. These have a range, these are the variances of the world, and you have

65:47relationships between them, which are constraints, which say if certain parameters have these values,

65:52then other parameters have to have the following values. And this is a very early insight in

65:58computer science. And I think some of the earliest formulations is the Boltzmann machine.

66:03And the problem with the Boltzmann machine is that it has a measure of whether it's good. This

66:07is basically the energy on the system, the amount of tension that you have left in the constraints

66:11where the constraints don't quite match. It's very difficult to, despite having this global

66:16measure, to train it. Because as soon as you add more than trivially few elements,

66:22parameters into the system, it's very difficult to get it settled in the right architecture.

66:27And so the solution that Hinton and Zanofsky found was to use a restricted Boltzmann machine,

66:34which uses the hidden links, the internal links in the Boltzmann machine and only has

66:39basically input and output layer. But this limits the expressivity of the Boltzmann machine. So now

66:44he builds a network of these primitive Boltzmann machines. And in some sense, you can see almost

66:50continuous development from this to the deep learning models that we're using today,

66:54even though we don't use Boltzmann machines at this point. But the idea of the Boltzmann

66:58machine is you take this model, you clamp some of the values to perception, and this forces

67:02the entire machine to go into a state that is compatible with the states that you currently

67:06perceive. And this state is your model of the world. I think it's a very general way of thinking

67:12about models, but we have to use a different approach to make it work. We have to find

67:19different networks that train the Boltzmann machine. So the mechanism that trains the Boltzmann

67:23machine and the mechanism that makes the Boltzmann machine settle into its state

67:28are distinct from the constrained architecture of the Boltzmann machine itself.

67:33The kind of mechanisms that we want to develop, you're saying?

67:36Yes. So the direction in which I think our research is going to go

67:40is going to, for instance, what you notice in perception is our perceptual models of the world

67:45are not probabilistic, but possibilistic, which means you should be able to perceive things that

67:50are improbable, but possible. A perceptual state is valid, not if it's probable, but if it's

67:57possible, if it's coherent. So if you see a tiger coming after you, you should be able to see this

68:02even if it's unlikely. And the probability is necessary for convergence of the model. So

68:09given the state of possibilities that is very, very large and a set of perceptual features,

68:15how should you change the states of the model to get it to converge with your perception?

68:21But the space of ideas that are coherent with the context that you're sensing

68:29is perhaps not as large. I mean, that's perhaps pretty small.

68:34The degree of coherence that you need to achieve depends, of course, how deep your models go.

68:39That is, for instance, politics is very simple when you know very little about game theory and

68:44human nature. So the younger you are, the more obvious it is how politics would work, right?

68:49And because you get a coherent aesthetics from relatively few inputs. And the more layers you

68:55model, the more layers you model reality, the harder it gets to satisfy all the constraints.

69:00So, you know, the current neural networks are fundamentally supervised learning system with

69:07a feed forward neural network is back propagation to learn. What's your intuition about what kind

69:12of mechanisms might we move towards to improve the learning procedure?

69:18I think one big aspect is going to be meta learning and architecture search starts in

69:22this direction. In some sense, the first wave of classical AI work by identifying a problem

69:28and a possible solution and implementing the solution, right? A program that plays chess.

69:32And right now we are in the second wave of AI. So instead of writing the algorithm that

69:37implements the solution, we write an algorithm that automatically searches

69:41for an algorithm that implements the solution. So the learning system in some sense is an

69:46algorithm that itself discovers the algorithm that solves the problem, like Go. Go is too hard

69:51to implement the solution by hand, but we can implement an algorithm that finds the solution.

69:56Yeah. So now let's move to the third stage, right? The third stage would be meta learning.

70:00Find an algorithm that discovers a learning algorithm for the given domain.

70:05Our brain is probably not a learning system, but a meta learning system.

70:08This is one way of looking at what we are doing. There is another way. If you look at the way our

70:13brain is, for instance, implemented, there is no central control that tells all the neurons how

70:18to wire up. Instead, every neuron is an individual reinforcement learning agent. Every neuron is a

70:24single celled organism that is quite complicated and in some sense quite motivated to get fed.

70:28And it gets fed if it fires on average at the right time. And the right time depends on the

70:36context that the neuron exists in, which is the electrical and chemical environment that it has.

70:42So it basically has to learn a function over its environment that tells us when to fire to get fed.

70:48Or if you see it as a reinforcement learning agent, every neuron is in some sense making a

70:52hypothesis when it sends a signal and tries to pipe a signal through the universe and tries to

70:57get positive feedback for it. And the entire thing is set up in such a way that it's robustly

71:02self organizing into a brain, which means you start out with different neuron types

71:07that have different priors on which hypothesis to test and how to get its reward.

71:12And you put them into different concentrations in a certain spatial alignment,

71:16and then you entrain it in a particular order. And as a result, you get a well organized brain.

71:22Yeah, so okay, so the brain is a meta learning system with a bunch of reinforcement learning

71:29agents. And what I think you said, but just to clarify, there's no centralized government that

71:40tells you, here's a loss function, here's a loss function, here's a loss function. Who says what's

71:48the objective? There are also governments which impose loss functions on different parts of the

71:52brain. So we have differential attention. Some areas in your brain get specially rewarded when

71:56you look at faces. If you don't have that, you will get prosopagnosia, which basically

72:01the inability to tell people apart by their faces. And the reason that happens is because

72:07it had an evolutionary advantage. So like evolution comes into play here. But it's basically an

72:12extraordinary attention that we have for faces. I don't think that people with prosopagnosia have a

72:17perceived defective brain, the brain just has an average attention for faces. So people with

§05Transcript · 1:12:22–1:30:28

72:22prosopagnosia don't look at faces more than they look at cups. So the level at which they resolve

72:27the geometry of faces is not higher than for cups. And people that don't have prosopagnosia look

72:34obsessively at faces, right? For you and me, it's impossible to move through a crowd

72:38without scanning the faces. And as a result, we make insanely detailed models of faces that allow

72:43us to discern mental states of people. So obviously, we don't know 99% of the details

72:49of this meta learning system. That's our mind. Okay. But still, we took a leap from something

72:55much dumber to that from through the evolutionary process. Can you first of all, maybe say how hard

73:04the, how big of a leap is that from our brain, from our ancestors to multi cell organisms? And

73:14is there something we can think about? As we start to think about how to engineer intelligence,

73:21is there something we can learn from evolution? In some sense, life exists because of the market

73:28opportunity of controlled chemical reactions. We compete with dump chemical reactions and we win

73:34in some areas against this dump combustion because we can harness those entropy gradients where you

73:40need to add a little bit of energy in a specific way to harvest more energy. So we out competed

73:44combustion. Yes, in many regions we do and we try very hard because when we are in direct

73:49competition, we lose, right? So because the combustion is going to close the entropy

73:55gradients much faster than we can run. So basically we do this because every cell has

74:02a Turing machine built into it. It's like literally a read write head on the tape.

74:09So everything that's more complicated than a molecule that just is a vortex around attractors

74:16that needs a Turing machine for its regulation. And then you bind cells together and you get next

74:21level organizational organism where the cells together implement some kind of software.

74:28For me, a very interesting discovery in the last year was the word spirit because I realized that

74:33what spirit actually means is an operating system for an autonomous robot. And when the word was

74:38invented, people needed this word. But they didn't have robots that they built themselves yet. The

74:43only autonomous robots that were known were people, animals, plants, ecosystems, cities,

74:48and so on. And they all had spirits. And it makes sense to say that the plant has an operating

74:53system, right? If you pinch the plant in one area, then it's going to have repercussions

74:57throughout the plant. Everything in the plant is in some sense connected into some global aesthetics

75:02like in other organisms. An organism is not a collection of cells, it's a function that

75:07tells cells how to behave. And this function is not implemented as some kind of supernatural thing,

75:13like some morphogenetic field. It is an emergent result of the interactions of each cell with each

75:19other cell. Oh my God. So what you're saying is the organism is a function that tells what to do

75:31and the function emerges from the interaction of the cells. Yes. So it's basically a description

75:39of what the plant is doing in terms of microstates. And the microstates, the physical implementation

75:46are too many of them to describe them. So the software that we use to describe what the plant is

75:51doing, the spirit of the plant is the software, the operating system of the plant, right? This is

75:57a way in which we, the observers, make sense of the plant. And the same is true for people. So

76:03people have spirits, which is their operating system in a way, right? And there's aspects of

76:07that operating system that relate to how your body functions and others, how you socially interact,

76:12how you interact with yourself and so on. And we make models of that spirit. And we think it's a

76:18loaded term because it's from a pre scientific age. But it took the scientific age a long time

76:24to rediscover a term that is pretty much the same thing. And I suspect that the differences that we

76:29still see between the old word and the new word are translation errors that have happened over

76:33the centuries. Can you actually linger on that? Why do you say that spirit, just to clarify,

76:39because I'm a little bit confused. So the word spirit is a powerful thing. But why did you say

76:45in the last year or so that you discovered this? Do you mean the same old traditional idea of a

76:50spirit? I try to find out what people mean by spirit. When people say spirituality in the US,

76:56it usually refers to the phantom limb that they develop in the absence of culture.

77:00And a culture is in some sense, you could say the spirit of a society that is long game. This thing

77:06that is become self aware at a level above the individuals where you say, if you don't do the

77:12following things, then the grand, grand, grand grandchildren of our children will have nothing

77:16to eat. So if you take this long scope, where you try to maximize the length of the game that you

77:22are playing as a species, you realize that you're part of a larger thing that you cannot fully

77:27control. You probably need to submit to the ecosphere instead of trying to completely control

77:32it. There needs to be a certain level at which we can exist as a species if you want to endure.

77:39And our culture is not sustaining this anymore. We basically made this bet with the industrial

77:44revolution that we can control everything. And the modernist societies with basically unfettered

77:48growth led to a situation in which we depend on the ability to control the entire planet.

77:54And since we are not able to do that, as it seems, this culture will die. And we realize that it

78:00doesn't have a future, right? We called our children generation Z. That's a very optimistic

78:06thing to do. Yeah. So you can have this kind of intuition that our civilization, you said culture,

78:13but you really mean the spirit of the civilization, the entirety of the civilization may not exist

78:22for long. Yeah. Can you untangle that? What's your intuition behind that? So you kind of offline

78:29mentioned to me that the industrial revolution was kind of the moment we agreed to accept

78:36the offer sign on the paper on the dotted line with the industrial revolution, we doomed ourselves.

78:42Can you elaborate on that? This is a suspicion. I, of course, don't know how it plays out. But

78:47it seems to me that in a society in which you leverage yourself very far over an entropic abyss

78:55without land on the other side, it's relatively clear that your cantilever is at some point

79:00going to break down into this entropic abyss. And you have to pay the bill. Okay. Russia is

79:06my first language. And I'm also an idiot. Me too. This is just two apes.

79:13Instead of playing with a banana, trying to have fun by talking. Okay. Anthropic what? And what's

79:21entropic? Entropic. So entropic in the sense of entropy. Oh, entropic. Got it. And entropic,

79:29what was the other word you used? Abyss. What's that? It's a big gorge. Oh, abyss. Abyss, yes.

79:35Entropic abyss. So many of the things you say are poetic. It's hurting my ears. And this one

79:39is amazing, right? It's mispronounced, which makes you more poetic. Wittgenstein would be proud. So

79:50entropic abyss. Okay. Let's rewind then. The industrial revolution. So how does that get us

79:58into the entropic abyss? So in some sense, we burned a hundred million years worth of trees

80:04to get everybody plumbing. Yes. And the society that we had before that had a very limited number

80:10of people. So basically since zero BC, we hovered between 300 and 400 million people. Yes. And this

80:18only changed with the enlightenment and the subsequent industrial revolution. And in some

80:24sense, the enlightenment freed our rationality and also freed our norms from the preexisting order

80:30gradually. It was a process that basically happened in feedback loops. So it was not that

80:35just one caused the other. It was a dynamic that started. And the dynamic worked by basically

80:41increasing productivity to such a degree that we could feed all our children. And I think the

80:48definition of poverty is that you have as many children as you can feed before they die, which is

80:55in some sense, the state that all animals on earth are in. The definition of poverty is having

81:01enough. So you can have only so many children as you can feed and if you have more, they die. Yes.

81:06And in our societies, you can basically have as many children as you want, they don't die. Right.

81:12So the reason why we don't have as many children as we want is because we also have to pay a price

81:17in terms of we have to insert ourselves in a lower social stratum if we have too many children.

81:22So basically everybody in the under middle and lower upper class has only a limited number of

81:28children because having more of them would mean a big economic hit to the individual families.

81:33Yes. Because children, especially in the US, super expensive to have. And you only are taken out of

81:39this if you are basically super rich or if you are super poor. If you're super poor, it doesn't

81:43matter how many kids you have because your status is not going to change. And these children allow

81:48you not going to die of hunger. So how does this lead to self destruction? So there's a lot of

81:54unpleasant properties about this process. So basically what we try to do is we try to

81:58let our children survive, even if they have diseases. Like I would have died before my

82:06mid twenties without modern medicine. And most of my friends would have as well. And so many of us

82:12wouldn't live without the advantages of modern medicine and modern industrialized society. We

82:18get our protein largely by subduing the entirety of nature. Imagine there would be some very clever

82:25microbe that would live in our organisms and would completely harvest them and change them into a

82:32thing that is necessary to sustain itself. And it would discover that for instance,

82:38brain cells are kind of edible, but they're not quite nice. So you need to have more fat in them

82:43and you turn them into more fat cells. And basically this big organism would become a

82:47vegetable that is barely alive and it's going to be very brittle and not resilient when the

82:52environment changes. Yeah, but some part of that organism, the one that's actually doing all the

82:57using of the, there'll still be somebody thriving. So it relates back to this original question

83:04I suspect that we are not the smartest thing on this planet. I suspect that basically every complex

83:10system has to have some complex regulation if it depends on feedback loops. And so for instance,

83:17it's likely that we should describe a certain degree of intelligence to plants. The problem is

83:24that plants don't have a nervous system. So they don't have a way to telegraph messages over large

83:28distances almost instantly in the plant. And instead, they will rely on chemicals between

83:34adjacent cells, which means the signal processing speed depends on the signal processing with a

83:40rate of a few millimeters per second. And as a result, if the plant is intelligent,

83:46it's not going to be intelligent at similar timescales as this.

83:49Yeah, the time scale is different. So you suspect we might not be the most intelligent

83:55but we're the most intelligent in this spatial scale in our timescale.

84:00So basically, if you would zoom out very far, we might discover that there have been intelligent

84:05ecosystems on the planet that existed for thousands of years in an almost undisturbed state. And it

84:12could be that these ecosystems actively related their environment. So basically change the course

84:16of the evolution vision, this ecosystem to make it more efficient in the future.

84:20So it's possible something like plants is actually a set of living organisms,

84:25an ecosystem of living organisms that are just operating a different timescale and are far

84:30superior in intelligence than human beings. And then human beings will die out and plants will

84:34still be there and they'll be there.

84:36Yeah, there's an evolutionary adaptation playing a role at all of these levels. For instance,

84:41if mice don't get enough food and get stressed, the next step is to

84:45get more sparse and more scrawny. And the reason for this is because they in a natural

84:51environment, the mice have probably hidden a drought or something else. And if they're overgrazed,

84:56then all the things that sustain them might go extinct. And there will be no mice a few

85:01generations from now. So to make sure that there will be mice in five generations from now,

85:05basically the mice scale back. And a similar thing happens with the predators of mice.

85:10They should make sure that the mice don't completely go extinct. So in some sense, if the predators are

85:15smart enough, they will be tasked with shepherding their food supply. Maybe the reason why lions have

85:22much larger brains than antelopes is not so much because it's so hard to catch an antelope as

85:27opposed to run away from the lion. But the lions need to make complex models of their environment,

85:33more complex than the antelopes.

85:35So first of all, just describing that there's a bunch of complex systems and human beings may not

85:40even be the most special or intelligent of those complex systems, even on Earth, makes me feel a

85:45little better about the extinction of human species that we're talking about.

85:48Yes, maybe you're just Guy Astploit to put the carbon back into the atmosphere.

85:52Yeah, this is just a nice, we tried it out.

85:54The big stain on evolution is not us, it was trees. Earth evolved trees before there could be

86:00digested again. There were no insects that could break all of them apart. Cellulose is so robust

86:05that you cannot get all of it with microorganisms. So many of these trees fell into swamps and all

86:11this carbon became inert and could no longer be recycled into organisms. And we are the species

86:16that is destined to take care of that.

86:17So this is kind of...

86:20To get out of the ground, put it back into the atmosphere and the Earth is already greening.

86:24So we have to be careful about that.

86:26To get out of the ground, put it back into the atmosphere and the Earth is already greening.

86:30So within a million years or so when the ecosystems have recovered from the rapid changes,

86:35that they're not compatible with right now, the Earth is going to be awesome again.

86:39And there won't be even a memory of us, of us little apes.

86:42I think there will be memories of us. I suspect we are the first generally intelligent species

86:46in the sense. We are the first species within industrial society because we will leave more

86:51phones than bones in the stratosphere.

86:53Phones than bones. I like it. But then let me push back. You've kind of suggested that

87:01we have a very narrow definition of... I mean, why aren't trees a higher level of general

87:08intelligence?

87:09If trees were intelligent, then they would be at different timescales, which means within

87:13a hundred years, the tree is probably not going to make models that are as complex as

87:17the ones that we make in 10 years.

87:18But maybe the trees are the ones that made the phones, right?

87:25You could say the entirety of life did it. The first cell never died. The first cell

87:31only split, right? And every cell in our body is still an instance of the first cell that

87:36split off from that very first cell. There was only one cell on this planet as far as

87:40we know. And so the cell is not just a building block of life. It's a hyperorganism. And we

87:46are part of this hyperorganism.

87:49So nevertheless, this hyperorganism, no, this little particular branch of it, which is us

87:56humans, because of the industrial revolution and maybe the exponential growth of technology

88:02might somehow destroy ourselves. So what do you think is the most likely way we might

88:07destroy ourselves? So some people worry about genetic manipulation. Some people, as we've

88:13talked about, worry about either dumb artificial intelligence or super intelligent artificial

88:18intelligence destroying us. Some people worry about nuclear weapons and weapons of war in

88:25general. What do you think? If you were a betting man, what would you bet on in terms

88:29of self destruction? And then would it be higher than 50%?

88:34So it's very likely that nothing that we bet on matters after we win our bets. So I

88:40don't think that bets are literally the right way to go about this.

88:44I mean, once you're dead, you won't be there to collect the wings.

88:47So it's also not clear if we as a species go extinct. But I think that our present

88:53civilization is not sustainable. So the thing that will change is there will be probably

88:57fewer people on the planet than there are today. And even if not, then still most of

89:01people that are alive today will not have offspring in 100 years from now because of

89:05the geographic changes and so on and the changes in the food supply. It's quite likely

89:10that many areas of the planet will only be livable with a close cooling chain in 100

89:15years from now. So many of the areas around the equator and in subtropical climates that

89:22are now quite pleasant to live in, will stop to be inhabitable without air conditioning.

89:27So you honestly, wow, cooling chain, close knit cooling chain communities. So you think

89:33you have a strong worry about the effects of global warming?

89:38By itself, it's not a big issue. If you live in Arizona right now, you have basically three

89:42months in the summer in which you cannot be outside. And so you have a close cooling chain.

89:47You have air conditioning in your car and in your home and you're fine. And if the air

89:50conditioning would stop for a few days, then in many areas you would not be able to survive.

89:56Can we just pause for a second? You say so many brilliant, poetic things. Do people use

90:03that term closed cooling chain? I imagine that people use it when they describe how they get

90:08meat into a supermarket, right? If you break the cooling chain and this thing starts to thaw,

90:13you're in trouble and you have to throw it away. That's such a beautiful way to put it. It's like

90:19calling a city a closed social chain or something like that. I mean, that's right. I mean, the

90:25locality of it is really important. It basically means you wake up in a climatized room, you go

§06Transcript · 1:30:28–1:49:46

90:28to work in a climatized car, you work in a climatized office, you shop in a climatized

90:32supermarket and in between you have very short distance in which you run from your car to the

90:37supermarket, but you have to make sure that your temperature does not approach the temperature of

90:42the environment. The crucial thing is the wet barb temperature. The wet barb temperature. It's

90:46what you get when you take a wet cloth and you put it around your thermometer and then you move

90:54it very quickly through the air so you get the evaporation heat. And as soon as you can no longer

91:01cool your body temperature via evaporation to a temperature below something like I think 35

91:08degrees, you die. Which means if the outside world is dry, you can still cool yourself down

91:15by sweating. But if it has a certain degree of humidity or if it goes over a certain temperature,

91:20then sweating will not save you. And this means even if you're a healthy, fit individual within

91:26a few hours, even if you try to be in the shade and so on, you'll die unless you have

91:31some climatizing equipment. And this itself, as long as you maintain civilization and you have

91:37energy supply and you have foot trucks coming to your home that are climatized, everything is fine.

91:41But what if you lose large scale open agriculture at the same time? So basically you run into foot

91:47insecurity because climate becomes very irregular or weather becomes very irregular and you have a

91:52lot of extreme weather events. So you need to roll most of your foot maybe indoor or you need to

91:59import your foot from certain regions. And maybe you're not able to maintain the civilization

92:04throughout the planet to get the infrastructure to get the foot to your home.

92:09Right. But there could be significant impacts in the sense that people begin to suffer.

92:13There could be wars over resources and so on. But ultimately, do you not have a, not a faith, but

92:20what do you make of the capacity of technological innovation to help us prevent some of the worst

92:30damages that this condition can create? So as an example, as an almost out there example,

92:38is the work that SpaceX and Elon Musk is doing of trying to also consider our propagation

92:45throughout the universe in deep space to colonize other planets. That's one technological step.

92:51But of course, what Elon Musk is trying on Mars is not to save us from global warming,

92:56because Mars looks much worse than Earth will look like after the worst outcomes of global warming

93:01imaginable, right? Mars is essentially not habitable.

93:06It's exceptionally harsh environment, yes. But what he is doing, what a lot of people throughout

93:10history since the Industrial Revolution are doing, are just doing a lot of different technological

93:15innovation with some kind of target. And when it ends up happening, it's totally unexpected new

93:20things come up. So trying to terraform or trying to colonize Mars, extremely harsh environment,

93:27might give us totally new ideas of how to expand or increase the power of this closed cooling

93:36circuit that empowers the community. So it seems like there's a little bit of a race between our

93:44open ended technological innovation of this communal operating system that we have and our

93:55general tendency to want to overuse resources and thereby destroy ourselves. You don't think

94:02technology can win that race? I think the probability is relatively low, given that our

94:08technology is, for instance, the US is stagnating since the 1970s roughly, in terms of technology.

94:15Most of the things that we do are the result of incremental processes. What about Intel?

94:19What about Moore's Law? It's basically, it's very incremental. The things that we're doing is,

94:24so the invention of the microprocessor was a major thing, right? The miniaturization

94:31of transistors was really major. But the things that we did afterwards largely were not that

94:38innovative. We had gradual changes of scaling things from CPUs into GPUs and things like that.

94:48But I don't think that there are, basically there are not many things. If you take a person that

94:54died in the 70s and was at the top of their game, they would not need to read that many books

94:59to be current again. But it's all about books. Who cares about books? There might be things that are

95:05beyond books. Or say papers. No, papers. Forget papers. There might be things that are, so papers

95:11and books and knowledge, that's a concept of a time when you were sitting there by candlelight

95:16and individual consumers of knowledge. What about the impact that we're not in the middle of,

95:21might not be understanding of Twitter, of YouTube? The reason you and I are sitting here today

95:27is because of Twitter and YouTube. So the ripple effect, and there's two minds, sort of two dumb

95:35apes coming up with a new, perhaps a new clean insights, and there's 200 other apes listening

95:42right now, 200,000 other apes listening right now. And that effect, it's very difficult to understand

95:48what that effect will have. That might be bigger than any of the advancements of the microprocessor

95:53or any of the industrial revolution, the ability of spread knowledge. And that knowledge,

96:02like it allows good ideas to reach millions much faster. And the effect of that, that might be the

96:09new, that might be the 21st century, is the multiplying of ideas, of good ideas. Because if

96:16you say one good thing today, that will multiply across huge amounts of people, and then they will

96:24say something, and then they will have another podcast, and they'll say something, and then they'll

96:27write a paper. That could be a huge, you don't think that? Yeah, we should have billions for

96:33Neumann's right now in two rings, and we don't for some reason. I suspect the reason is that

96:38we destroy our attention span. Also the incentives, of course, different. Yeah, we have extreme

96:43Kardashians, yeah. So the reason why we're sitting here and doing this as a YouTube video is because

96:48you and me don't have the attention span to write a book together right now. And you guys probably

96:52don't have the attention span to read it. So let me tell you, it's very short. But we're an hour

97:01and 40 minutes in, and I guarantee you that 80% of the people are still listening. So there is an

97:06attention span. It's just the form. Who said that the book is the optimal way to transfer information?

97:13This is still an open question. That's what we're... It's something that social media could be doing

97:17that other forms could not be doing. I think the end game of social media is a global brain.

97:22And Twitter is in some sense a global brain that is completely hooked on dopamine, doesn't have any

97:26kind of inhibition, and as a result is caught in a permanent seizure. It's also in some sense a

97:32multiplayer role playing game. And people use it to play an avatar that is not like them,

97:38as they were in this sane world, and they look through the world through the lens of their phones

97:41and think it's the real world. But it's the Twitter world that is distorted by the popularity

97:45incentives of Twitter. Yeah, the incentives and just our natural biological, the dopamine rush

97:52of a like, no matter how... I try to be very kind of Zen like and minimalist and not be influenced

98:01by likes and so on, but it's probably very difficult to avoid that to some degree.

98:07Speaking at a small tangent of Twitter, how can Twitter be done better?

98:15I think it's an incredible mechanism that has a huge impact on society

98:19by doing exactly what you're doing. Sorry, doing exactly what you described, which is having this...

98:25We're like, is this some kind of game, and we're kind of our individual RL agents in this game,

98:33and it's uncontrollable because there's not really a centralized control. Neither Jack Dorsey nor

98:37the engineers at Twitter seem to be able to control this game. Or can they? That's sort

98:44of a question. Is there any advice you would give on how to control this game?

98:49I wouldn't give advice because I am certainly not an expert, but I can give my thoughts on this.

98:53And our brain has solved this problem to some degree. Our brain has lots of individual agents

99:01that manage to play together in a way. And we have also many contexts in which other organisms

99:06have found ways to solve the problems of cooperation that we don't solve on Twitter.

99:12And maybe the solution is to go for an evolutionary approach. So imagine that you

99:18have something like Reddit or something like Facebook and something like Twitter,

99:23and you think about what they have in common. What they have in common, they are companies

99:27that in some sense own a protocol. And this protocol is imposed on a community, and the

99:32protocol has different components for monetization, for user management, for user display, for rating,

99:39for anonymity, for import of other content, and so on. And now imagine that you take these

99:44components of the protocol apart, and you do it in some sense like communities within this

99:50social network. And these communities are allowed to mix and match their protocols and design new

99:55ones. So for instance, the UI and the UX can be defined by the community. The rules for sharing

100:02content across communities can be defined. The monetization can be redefined. The way you reward

100:07individual users for what can be redefined. The way users can represent themselves and to each

100:13other can redefined. Who could be the redefiner? So can individual human beings build enough

100:18intuition to redefine those things? This itself can become part of the protocol. So for instance,

100:22it could be in some communities, it will be a single person that comes up with these things.

100:27And others, it's a group of friends. Some might implement a voting scheme that has some interesting

100:32weighted voting. Who knows? Who knows what will be the best self organizing principle for this.

100:36But the process can't be automated. I mean, it seems like the brain.

100:39It can be automated so people can write software for this. And eventually the idea is,

100:45let's not make an assumption about this thing if you don't know what the right solution is. In

100:50those areas that we have no idea whether the right solution will be people designing this ad hoc,

100:55or machines doing this. Whether you want to enforce compliance by social norms like Wikipedia,

101:01or with software solutions, or with AI that goes through the posts of people, or with a

101:06legal principle, and so on. This is something maybe you need to find out. And so the idea would

101:12be if you let the communities evolve, and you just control it in such a way that you are

101:17incentivizing the most sentient communities. The ones that produce the most interesting

101:24behaviors that allow you to interact in the most helpful ways to the individuals.

101:29You have a network that gives you information that is relevant to you.

101:32It helps you to maintain relationships to others in healthy ways. It allows you to build teams. It

101:37allows you to basically bring the best of you into this thing and goes into a coupling into

101:42a relationship with others in which you produce things that you would be unable to produce alone.

101:47Yes, beautifully put. But the key process of that with incentives and evolution

101:53is things that don't adopt themselves to effectively get the incentives have to die.

102:02And the thing about social media is communities that are unhealthy or whatever you wanted that

102:07defines the incentives really don't like dying. One of the things that people really get aggressive,

102:13protest aggressively is when they're censored. Especially in America. I don't know much about

102:19the rest of the world, but the idea of freedom of speech, the idea of censorship is really painful

102:24in America. And so what do you think about that? Having grown up in East Germany, do you think

102:38censorship is an important tool in our brain and the intelligence and in social networks?

102:45So basically, if you're not a good member of the entirety of the system, they should be blocked

102:53away. Well, locked away, blocked. An important thing is who decides that you are a good member.

102:59Who? Is it distributed? And what is the outcome of the process that decides it,

103:04both for the individual and for society at large. For instance, if you have a high trust society,

103:09you don't need a lot of surveillance. And the surveillance is even in some sense undermining

103:14trust. Because it's basically punishing people that look suspicious when surveyed,

103:21but do the right thing anyway. And the opposite, if you have a low trust society,

103:26then surveillance can be a better trade off. And the US is currently making a transition from a

103:30relatively high trust or mixed trust society to a low trust society. So surveillance will increase.

103:36Another thing is that beliefs are not just inert representations. There are implementations that

103:40run code on your brain and change your reality and change the way you interact with each other

103:45at some level. And some of the beliefs are just public opinions that we use to display our

103:52alignment. So for instance, people might say, all cultures are the same and equally good,

103:58but still they prefer to live in some cultures over others, very, very strongly so. And it turns

104:03out that the cultures are defined by certain rules of interaction. And these rules of interaction

104:08lead to different results when you implement them. So if you adhere to certain rules,

104:12you get different outcomes in different societies. And this all leads to very tricky

104:18situations when people do not have a commitment to a shared purpose.

104:22And our societies probably need to rediscover what it means to have a shared purpose and how

104:27to make this compatible with a non totalitarian view. So in some sense, the US is caught in a

104:34conundrum between totalitarianism and diversity, and doesn't need to know how to resolve this.

104:42And the solutions that the US has found so far are very crude because it's a very young society

104:47that is also under a lot of tension. It seems to me that the US will have to reinvent itself.

104:52What do you think, just philosophizing, what kind of mechanisms of government do you think

105:01we as a species should be involved with, US or broadly? What do you think will work well

105:07as a system? Of course, we don't know. It all seems to work pretty crappily,

105:11some things worse than others. Some people argue that communism is the best. Others say,

105:16yeah, look at the Soviet Union. Some people argue that anarchy is the best and then completely

105:22discarding the positive effects of government. There's a lot of arguments. US seems to be doing

105:29pretty damn well in the span of history. There's a respect for human rights, which seems to be a

105:36nice feature, not a bug. And economically, a lot of growth, a lot of technological development.

105:42People seem to be relatively kind on the grand scheme of things.

105:47What lessons do you draw from that? What kind of government system do you think is good?

105:52Ideally, a government should not be perceivable. It should be frictionless. The more you notice the

105:58influence of the government, the more friction you experience, the less effective and efficient

106:04the government probably is. A government, game theoretically, is an agent that imposes

106:10an offset on your payout metrics to make your Nash equilibrium compatible with the common good.

106:17You have these situations where people act on local incentives and these local incentives,

106:23everybody does the thing that's locally the best for them, but the global outcome is not good.

106:27And this is even the case when people care about the global outcome, because a regulation mechanism

106:31exists that creates a causal relationship between what I want to have for the global good and what

106:36I do. For instance, if I think that we should fly less and I stay at home, there's not a single plane

106:41that is going to not start because of me, right? It's not going to have an influence, but I don't

106:49get from A to B. So the way to implement this would be to have a government that is sharing

106:55this idea that we should fly less and is then imposing a regulation that, for instance,

106:59makes flying more expensive and gives incentives for inventing other forms of transportation that

107:06are less putting that strain on the environment, for instance. So there's so much optimism and

107:14so many things you describe, and yet there's the pessimism of you think our civilization is going

107:18to come to an end. So that's not a hundred percent probability. Nothing in this world is.

107:23So what's the trajectory out of self destruction, do you think? I suspect that in some sense,

107:30we are both too smart and not smart enough, which means we are very good at solving near

107:35term problems. And at the same time, we are unwilling to submit to the imperatives that

107:43we would have to follow in if you want to stick around. So that makes it difficult. If you were

107:48unable to solve everything technologically, you can probably understand how high the child mortality

107:53needs to be to absorb the mutation rate and how high the mutation rate needs to be to adapt to a

107:59slowly changing ecosystemic environment. So you could in principle compute all these things game

108:04theoretically and adapt to it. But if you cannot do this, because you are like me and you have

108:10children, you don't want them to die, you will use any kind of medical information to keep

108:16mortality low. Even if it means that within a few generations, we have enormous genetic drift,

108:22and most of us have allergies as a result of not being adapted to the changes that we

108:26made to our food supply. That's for now, I say technologically speaking, we're just very young,

108:31300 years industrial revolution, we're very new to this idea. So you're attached to your kids being

108:36alive and not being murdered for the good of society. But that might be a very temporary

108:41moment of time that we might evolve in our thinking. So like you said, we're both smart

108:48and not smart enough. We are probably not the first human civilization that has discovered

108:54technology that allows us to efficiently overgraze our resources. And this overgrazing,

108:59this thing, at some point, we think we can compensate this because if we have eaten all

109:04the grass, we will find a way to grow mushrooms. But it could also be that the ecosystems tip.

109:10And so what really concerns me is not so much the end of the civilization, because we will

109:14invent a new one. But what concerns me is the fact that, for instance, the oceans might tip.

109:21So for instance, maybe the plankton dies because of ocean acidification and cyanobacteria take over,

109:27and as a result, we can no longer breathe the atmosphere. This would be really concerning.

109:32So basically a major reboot of most complex organisms on Earth. And I think this is a

109:37possibility. I don't know what the percentage for this possibility is, but it doesn't seem to be

109:42outlandish to me if you look at the scale of the changes that we've already triggered on this

§07Transcript · 1:49:46–2:08:48

109:46planet. And so Danny Hiller suggests that, for instance, we may be able to put chalk into the

109:51stratosphere to limit solar radiation. Maybe it works. Maybe this is sufficient to counter

109:57the effects of what we've done. Maybe it won't be. Maybe we won't be able to implement it by

110:01the time it's prevalent. I have no idea how the future is going to play out in this regard. It's

110:07just, I think it's quite likely that we cannot continue like this. All our cousin species,

110:12the other hominids are gone. So the right step would be to what? To rewind

110:19and to rewind towards the industrial revolution and slow the, so try to contain the technological

110:28process that leads to the overconsumption of resources? Imagine you get to choose,

110:33you have one lifetime. You get born into a sustainable agricultural civilization,

110:38300, maybe 400 million people on the planet tops. Or before this, some kind of nomadic

110:45species was like a million or 2 million. And so you don't meet new people unless you give birth

110:51to them. You cannot travel to other places in the world. There is no internet. There is no

110:55interesting intellectual tradition that reaches considerably deep. So you would not discover

111:00human completeness probably and so on. We wouldn't exist. And the alternative is you get born into an

111:06insane world. One that is doomed to die because it has just burned a hundred million years worth

111:11of trees in a single century. Which one do you like? I think I like this one. It's a very weird

111:16thing that when you find yourself on a Titanic and you see this iceberg and it looks like we

111:21are not going to miss it. And a lot of people are in denial. And most of the counter arguments

111:25sound like denial to me. They don't seem to be rational arguments. And the other thing is we

111:30are born on this Titanic. Without this Titanic, we wouldn't have been born. We wouldn't be here. We

111:34wouldn't be talking. We wouldn't be on the internet. We wouldn't do all the things that we enjoy.

111:38And we are not responsible for this happening. If we had the choice, we would probably try to

111:45prevent it. But when we were born, we were never asked when we want to be born, in which society

111:51we want to be born, what incentive structures we want to be exposed to. We have relatively

111:55little agency in the entire thing. Humanity has relatively little agency in the whole thing. It's

112:00basically a giant machine that's tumbling down a hill and everybody is frantically trying to push

112:04some buttons. Nobody knows what these buttons are meaning, what they connect to. And most of them

112:09are not stopping this tumbling down the hill. Is it possible that artificial intelligence will give

112:15us an escape latch somehow? So there's a lot of worry about existential threats of artificial

112:25intelligence. But what AI also allows, in general forms of automation, allows the potential of

112:33extreme productivity growth that will also perhaps in a positive way transform society,

112:40that may allow us to inadvertently to return to the more, to the same kind of ideals of closer to

112:52nature that's represented in hunter gatherer societies. That's not destroying the planet,

112:59that's not doing overconsumption and so on. I mean, generally speaking,

113:03do you have hope that AI can help somehow? I think it's not fun to be very close to nature

113:09until you completely subdue nature. So our idea of being close to nature means being close to

113:16agriculture, basically forests that don't have anything in them that eats us.

113:21TITO See, I mean, I want to disagree with that. I think the niceness of being close to nature

113:30is to being fully present and in like, when survival becomes your primary,

113:37not just your goal, but your whole existence. I'm not just romanticizing, I can just speak for

113:47myself. I am self aware enough that that is a fulfilling existence.

113:54I personally prefer to be in nature and not fight for my survival. I think fighting for your survival

114:00while being in the cold and in the rain and being hunted by animals and having open wounds

114:06is very unpleasant.

114:07There's a contradiction in there. Yes, I and you, just as you said, would not choose it.

114:14But if I was forced into it, it would be a fulfilling existence.

114:17Yes, if you are adapted to it, basically, if your brain is wired up in such a way that you

114:23get rewards optimally in such an environment. And there's some evidence for this that for

114:29a certain degree of complexity, basically, people are more happy in such an environment because

114:33it's what you largely have evolved for. In between, we had a few thousand years in which

114:38I think we have evolved for a slightly more comfortable environment. So

114:41there is probably something like an intermediate stage in which people would be more happy than

114:47they would be if they would have to fend for themselves in small groups in the forest and

114:51often die. Versus something like this, where we now have basically a big machine, a big

114:57Mordor in which we run through concrete boxes and press buttons and machines, and largely

115:05don't feel well cared for as the monkeys that we are. So returning briefly to, not briefly,

115:12but returning to AI, what, let me ask a romanticized question, what is the most beautiful

115:19to you, silly ape, the most beautiful or surprising idea in the development of artificial

115:25intelligence, whether in your own life or in the history of artificial intelligence that you've

115:30come across? If you built an AI, it probably can make models at an arbitrary degree of detail,

115:37right, of the world. And then it would try to understand its own nature. It's tempting to think

115:42that at some point when we have general intelligence, we have competitions where we

115:46will let the AIs wake up in different kinds of physical universes, and we measure how many

115:51movements of the Rubik's cube it takes until it's figured out what's going on in its universe and

115:55what it is in its own nature and its own physics and so on, right? So what if we exist in the

116:00memory of an AI that is trying to understand its own nature and remembers its own genesis and

116:05remembers Lex and Joscha sitting in a hotel room, sparking some of the ideas off that led to the

116:11development of general intelligence. So we're a kind of simulation that's running in an AI

116:15system that's trying to understand itself. It's not that I believe that, but I think it's a

116:21beautiful idea. I mean, you kind of returned to this idea with the Turing test of intelligence

116:31being the process of asking and answering what is intelligence. I mean, do you think there is an

116:47answer? Why is there such a search for an answer? So does there have to be like an answer? You just

116:57said an AI system that's trying to understand the why of what, you know, understand itself.

117:04Is that a fundamental process of greater and greater complexity, greater and greater

117:09intelligence is the continuous trying of understanding itself?

117:13No, I think you will find that most people don't care about that because they're well adjusted

117:18enough to not care. And the reason why people like you and me care about it probably has to

117:23do with the need to understand ourselves. It's because we are in fundamental disagreement with

117:28the universe that we wake up in. They look down on me and they see, oh my God, I'm caught in a

117:32monkey. What's that? Some people are unhappy with the government and I'm unhappy with the entire

117:38universe that I find myself in. Oh, so you don't think that's a fundamental aspect of human nature

117:45that some people are just suppressing? That they wake up shocked they're in the body of a monkey?

117:51No, there is a clear adaptive value to not be confused by that and by...

117:56Well, no, that's not what I asked. So you have this clear adaptive value, then there's clear

118:04there's clear adaptive value to while fundamentally your brain is confused by that,

118:09by creating an illusion, another layer of the narrative that says, you know, that tries to

118:16suppress that and instead say that, you know, what's going on with the government right now

118:21is the most important thing. What's going on with my football team is the most important thing.

118:25But it seems to me, like for me, it was a really interesting moment reading Ernest

118:32Becker's Denial of Death. That, you know, this kind of idea that we're all, you know,

118:40the fundamental thing from which most of our human mind springs is this fear of mortality

118:49and being cognizant of your mortality and the fear of that mortality. And then you construct

118:54illusions on top of that. I guess you being just a push on it, you really don't think it's possible

119:03that this worry of the big existential questions is actually fundamental as the existentialist

119:11thought to our existence. I think that the fear of death only plays a role as long as you don't

119:17see the big picture. The thing is that minds are software states, right? Software doesn't have

119:22identity. Software in some sense is a physical law. But it feels like there's an identity. I

119:30thought that was the for this particular piece of software and the narrative it tells, that's

119:35a fundamental property of it. The maintenance of the identity is not terminal. It's instrumental

119:41to something else. You maintain your identity so you can serve your meaning. So you can do the

119:46things that you're supposed to do before you die. And I suspect that for most people the fear of

119:51death is the fear of dying before they are done with the things that they feel they have to do,

119:54even though they cannot quite put their finger on it, what that is.

119:59Right. But in the software world, to return to the question, then what happens after we die?

120:10Why would you care? You will not be longer there. The point of dying is that you are gone.

120:14Well, maybe I'm not. This is what, you know, it seems like there's so much,

120:23in the idea that this is just, the mind is just a simulation that's constructing a narrative around

120:28some particular aspects of the quantum mechanical wave function world that we can't quite get direct

120:37access to. Then like the idea of mortality seems to be a little fuzzy as well. It doesn't, maybe

120:44there's not a clear answer. The fuzzy idea is the one of continuous existence. We don't have

120:49continuous existence. How do you know that? Because it's not computable. Because you're

120:55saying it's going to be directly infinite. There is no continuous process. The only thing that

120:58binds you together with the Lex Friedman from yesterday is the illusion that you have memories

121:02about him. So if you want to upload, it's very easy. You make a machine that thinks it's you.

121:07Because this is the same thing that you are. You are a machine that thinks it's you.

121:10But that's immortality. Yeah, but it's just a belief. You can create this belief very easily

121:15once you realize that the question whether you are immortal or not depends entirely on your beliefs

121:21and your own continuity. But then you can be immortal by the continuity of the belief.

121:28You cannot be immortal, but you can stop being afraid of your mortality because you realize you

121:33were never continuously existing in the first place. Well, I don't know if I'd be more terrified

121:39or less terrified by that. It seems like the fact that I existed.

121:44You don't know this state in which you don't have a self. You can't turn off yourself.

121:49I can't turn off myself.

121:50You can't turn it off. You can't turn it off.

121:52I can.

121:52Yes. And you can basically meditate yourself in a state where you are still conscious,

121:57where still things are happening, where you know everything that you knew before,

122:00but you're no longer identified with changing anything.

122:03And this means that yourself, in a way, dissolves. There is no longer this person. You know that this

122:09person construct exists in other states and it runs on this brain of Lex Friedman, but it's not

122:15a real thing. It's a construct. It's an idea. And you can change that idea. And if you let go of

122:21this idea, if you don't think that you are special, you realize it's just one of many people and it's

122:26not your favorite person even. It's just one of many. And it's the one that you are doomed to

122:31control for the most part. And that is basically informing the actions of this organism as a

122:37control model. And this is all there is. And you are somehow afraid that this control model gets

122:42interrupted or loses the identity of continuity.

122:47Yeah. So I'm attached. I mean, yeah, it's a very popular, it's a somehow compelling notion that

122:52being attached, like there's no need to be attached to this idea of an identity.

122:58But that in itself could be an illusion that you construct. So the process of meditation,

123:03while popular, is thought of as getting under the concept of identity. It could be just putting a

123:08cloak over it, just telling it to be quiet for the moment. I think that meditation is eventually just

123:18a bunch of techniques that let you control attention. And when you can control attention,

123:22you can get access to your own source code, hopefully not before you understand what you're

123:31doing. And then you can change the way it works temporarily or permanently.

123:36So yeah, meditation is to get a glimpse at the source code, get under, so basically control or

123:41turn off the attention.

123:42The entire thing is that you learn to control attention. So everything else is downstream

123:46from controlling attention.

123:47And control the attention that's looking at the attention.

123:50Normally we only get attention in the parts of our mind that create heat, where you have a

123:54mismatch between model and the results that are happening. And so most people are not self aware

124:00because their control is too good. If everything works out roughly the way you want, and the only

124:05things that don't work out is whether your football team wins, then you will mostly have

124:09models about these domains. And it's only when, for instance, your fundamental relationships to

124:15the world around you don't work, because the ideology of your country is insane, and you don't

124:20understand why it's insane, and the other kids are not nerds, and don't understand why you

124:24understand physics, and you don't, why you want to understand physics, and you don't understand

124:29why somebody would not want to understand physics.

124:32So we kind of brought up neurons in the brain as reinforcement learning agents.

124:40And there's been some successes as you brought up with Go, with AlphaGo, AlphaZero, with ideas

124:46which I think are incredibly interesting ideas of systems playing each other in an automated way

124:52to improve by playing other systems in a particular construct of a game that are a little

125:00bit better than itself, and then thereby improving continuously. All the competitors in the game

125:05are improving gradually. So being just challenging enough and from learning from the process of the

125:11competition. Do you have hope for that reinforcement learning process to achieve

125:16greater and greater level of intelligence? So we talked about different ideas in AI that need to

125:21be solved. Is RL a part of that process of trying to create an AGI system? What do you think?

125:28Definitely forms of unsupervised learning, but there are many algorithms that can achieve that.

125:32And I suspect that ultimately the algorithms that work, there will be a class of them or many of

125:38them. And they might have small differences of like a magnitude and efficiency, but eventually

125:45what matters is the type of model that you form and the types of models that we form right now

125:49are not sparse enough. What does it mean to be sparse? It means that ideally every potential

125:59model state should correspond to a potential world state. So basically if you vary states

126:06in your model, you always end up with valid world states and our mind is not quite there.

126:10So an indication is basically what we see in dreams. The older we get, the more boring our

126:14dreams become because we incorporate more and more constraints that we learned about how the

126:19world works. So many of the things that we imagine to be possible as children turn out to be

126:25constrained by physical and social dynamics. And as a result, fewer and fewer things remain

126:31possible. It's not because our imagination scales back, but the constraints under which it operates

126:36become tighter and tighter. And so the constraints under which our neural networks operate are

126:42almost limitless, which means it's very difficult to get a neural network to imagine things that

126:47look real. So I suspect part of what we need to do is we probably need to build dreaming systems.

126:55I suspect that part of the purpose of dreams is similar to a generative adversarial network,

127:01we learn certain constraints and then it produces alternative perspectives on the same set of

127:07constraints. So you can recognize it under different circumstances. Maybe we have flying

127:11dreams as children because we recreate the objects that we know and the maps that we know from

127:16different perspectives, which also means from a bird's eye perspective. So I mean, aren't we

127:21doing that anyway? I mean, not with our eyes closed and when we're sleeping, aren't we just

127:27constantly running dreams and simulations in our mind as we try to interpret the environment?

127:32I mean, sort of considering all the different possibilities, the way we interact with the

127:37environment seems like, essentially, like you said, sort of creating a bunch of simulations

127:46that are consistent with our expectations, with our previous experiences, with the things we just

127:52saw recently. And through that hallucination process, we are able to then somehow stitch

128:02together what actually we see in the world with the simulations that match it well and thereby

128:07interpret it. I suspect that you and my brain are slightly unusual in this regard,

128:13which is probably what got you into MIT. So this obsession of constantly pondering possibilities

128:19and solutions to problems. Oh, stop it. I think I'm not talking about intellectual stuff. I'm

128:27talking about just doing the kind of stuff it takes to walk and not fall. Yes, this is

128:35largely automatic. Yes, but the process is, I mean... It's not complicated. It's relatively

128:43easy to build a neural network that, in some sense, learns the dynamics. The fact that we

§08Transcript · 2:08:48–2:26:59

128:48haven't done it right so far doesn't mean it's hard, because you can see that a biological

128:52organism does it with relatively few neurons. So basically, you build a bunch of neural

128:57oscillators that entrain themselves with the dynamics of your body in such a way that the

129:01regulator becomes isomorphic in its model to the dynamics that it regulates, and then it's

129:06automatic. And it's only interesting in the sense that it captures attention when the system is off.

129:12See, but thinking of the kind of mechanism that's required to do walking as a controller,

129:18as a neural network, I think it's a compelling notion, but it discards quietly,

129:27or at least makes implicit, the fact that you need to have something like common sense reasoning

129:33to walk. It's an open question whether you do or not. But my intuition is to act in this world,

129:40there's a huge knowledge base that's underlying it somehow. There's so much information

129:46of the kind we have never been able to construct in neural networks in an artificial intelligence

129:53systems period, which is like, it's humbling, at least in my imagination, the amount of information

130:00required to act in this world humbles me. And I think saying that neural networks can accomplish

130:07it is missing the fact that we don't have yet a mechanism for constructing something like

130:16common sense reasoning. I mean, what's your sense about to linger on the idea of what kind of

130:28mechanism would be effective at walking? You said just a neural network, not maybe the kind we have,

130:33but something a little bit better, would be able to walk easily. Don't you think it also needs to know

130:42like a huge amount of knowledge that's represented under the flag of common sense reasoning?

130:47How much common sense knowledge do we actually have? Imagine that you are really hardworking

130:51for all your life and you form two new concepts every half hour or so. You end up with something

130:56like a million concepts because you don't get that old. So a million concepts, that's not a lot.

131:02So it's not just a million concepts. I think it would be a lot. I personally think it might be

131:06much more than a million. But if you think just about the numbers, you don't live that long.

131:12If you think about how many cycles do your neurons have in your life, it's quite limited.

131:16You don't get that old. Yeah, but the powerful thing is the number of concepts, and they're

131:23probably deeply hierarchical in nature. The relations, as you described between them,

131:29is the key thing. So it's like, even if it's a million concepts, the graph of relations that's

131:35formed and some kind of, perhaps, some kind of probabilistic relationships, that's what's common

131:42sense reasoning is the relationship between things. Yeah, so in some sense, I think of the concepts as

131:48the address space for our behavior programs. And the behavior programs allow us to recognize objects

131:53and interact with them, also mental objects. And a large part of that is the physical world that we

131:59interact with, which is this RAS extender thing, which is basically navigation of information in

132:04space. And basically, it's similar to a game engine. It's a physics engine that you can use to

132:12describe and predict how things that look in a particular way, that feel when you touch them in

132:18a particular way, that love proprioception, that love auditory, for example. So it's a

132:22lot of auditory perception and so on, how they work out. So basically, the geometry of all these

132:27things. And this is probably 80% of what our brain is doing is dealing with that, with this real time

132:33simulation. And by itself, a game engine is fascinating, but it's not that hard to understand

132:39what it's doing. And our game engines are already, in some sense, approximating the fidelity of what

132:47we can perceive. So if we put on an Oculus Quest, we get something that is still relatively crude

132:54with respect to what we can perceive, but it's also in the same ballpark already. It's just a

132:58couple order of magnitudes away from saturating our perception in terms of the complexity that

133:04it can produce. So in some sense, it's reasonable to say that the computer that you can buy and put

133:10into your home is able to give a perceptual reality that has a detail that is already in

133:15the same ballpark as what your brain can process. And everything else are ideas about the world.

133:22And I suspect that they are relatively sparse and also the intuitive models that we form about

133:27social interaction. Social interaction is not so hard. It's just hard for us nerds because we all

133:32have our wires crossed, so we need to deduce them. But the pyres are present in most social animals.

133:37So it's interesting thing to notice that many domestic social animals, like cats and dogs,

133:44have better social cognition than children. Right. I hope so. I hope it's not that many concepts

133:51fundamentally to do to exist in this world. For me, it's more like I'm afraid so because this

133:57thing that we only appear to be so complex to each other because we are so stupid is a little

134:02bit depressing. Yeah, to me that's inspiring if we're indeed as stupid as it seems. The things

134:11our brains don't scale and the information processing that we build tend to scale very well.

134:16Yeah, but I mean, one of the things that worries me is that the fact that the brain doesn't scale

134:23means that that's actually a fundamental feature of the brain. All the flaws of the brain,

134:30everything we see that we see as limitations, perhaps there's a fundamental, the constraints

134:34on the system could be a requirement of its power, which is different than our current

134:43understanding of intelligent systems where scale, especially with deep learning, especially with

134:48reinforcement learning, the hope behind OpenAI and DeepMind, all the major results really have

134:55to do with huge compute. It could also be that our brains are so small, not just because they

135:01take up so much glucose in our body, like 20% of the glucose, so they don't arbitrarily scale.

135:07There's some animals like elephants which have larger brains than us and they don't seem to be

135:11smarter. Elephants seem to be autistic. They have very, very good motor control and they're really

135:16good with details, but they really struggle to see the big picture. So you can make them

135:21recreate drawings stroke by stroke, they can do that, but they cannot reproduce a still life. So

135:27they cannot make a drawing of a scene that they see. They will always be only able to reproduce

135:31the line drawing, at least as far from what I could see in the experiments. So why is that?

135:37Maybe smarter elephants would meditate themselves out of existence because their brains are too

135:41large. So basically the elephants that were not autistic, they didn't reproduce.

135:46Yeah. So we have to remember that the brain is fundamentally interlinked with the body in our

135:50human and biological system. Do you think that AGI systems that we try to create or greater

135:55intelligent systems would need to have a body? I think they should be able to make use of a body

136:00if you give it to them. But I don't think that they fundamentally need a body. So I suspect if

136:06you can interact with the world by moving your eyes and your head, you can make controlled

136:11experiments. And this allows you to have many magnitudes, fewer observations in order to reduce

136:19the uncertainty in your models. So you can pinpoint the areas in your models where you're

136:24not quite sure and you just move your head and see what's going on over there and you get additional

136:28information. If you just have to use YouTube as an input and you cannot do anything beyond this,

136:33you probably need just much more data. But we have much more data. So if you can build a system that

136:39has enough time and attention to browse all of YouTube and extract all the information that there

136:44is to be found, I don't think there's an obvious limit to what it can do. Yeah, but it seems that

136:50the interactivity is a fundamental thing that the physical body allows you to do. But let me ask on

136:55that topic sort of that that's what a body is, is allowing the brain to like touch things and move

137:00things and interact with the whether the physical world exists or not, whatever, but interact with

137:06some interface to the physical world. What about a virtual world? Do you think we can do the same kind

137:14of reasoning, consciousness, intelligence if we put on a VR headset and move over to that world?

137:23Do you think there's any fundamental difference between the interface to the physical world that

137:28it's here in this hotel and if we were sitting in the same hotel in a virtual world? The question

137:32is, does this nonphysical world or this other environment entice you to solve problems that

137:39require general intelligence? If it doesn't, then you probably will not develop general intelligence

137:44and arguably most people are not generally intelligent because they don't have to solve

137:48problems that make them generally intelligent. And even for us, it's not yet clear if we are smart

137:52enough to build AI and understand our own nature to this degree. So it could be a matter of capacity

137:58and for most people, it's in the first place a matter of interest. They don't see the point

138:02because the benefit of attempting this project are marginal because you're probably not going

138:06to succeed in it and the cost of trying to do it requires complete dedication of your entire life.

138:11Right? But it seems like the possibilities of what you can do in the virtual world,

138:15so imagine that is much greater than you can in the real world. So imagine a situation,

138:21maybe interesting option for me. If somebody came to me and offered what I'll do is,

138:27so from now on, you can only exist in the virtual world. And so you put on this headset and when you

138:34eat, we'll make sure to connect your body up in a way that when you eat in the virtual world,

138:41your body will be nourished in the same way in the virtual world. So the aligning incentives

138:45between our common sort of real world and the virtual world, but then the possibilities become

138:50much bigger. Like I could be other kinds of creatures. I could do, I can break the laws

138:57of physics as we know them. I could do a lot. I mean, the possibilities are endless, right? As far

139:02as we think it's an interesting thought, whether like what existence would be like, what kind of

139:08intelligence would emerge there? What kind of consciousness? What kind of maybe greater

139:13intelligence, even in me, Lex, even at this stage in my life, if I spend the next 20 years in that

139:19world to see how that intelligence emerges. And if that happened at the very beginning,

139:26before I was even cognizant of my existence in this physical world, it's interesting to think

139:31how that child would develop. And the way virtual reality and digitization of everything is moving,

139:37it's not completely out of the realm of possibility that we're all, that some part of our lives will,

139:44if not entirety of it, will live in a virtual world to a greater degree than we currently have

139:51living on Twitter and social media and so on. Do you have, I mean, does something draw you

139:56intellectually or naturally in terms of thinking about AI to this virtual world where more

140:03possibilities are? I think that currently it's a waste of time to deal with the physical world

140:09before we have mechanisms that can automatically learn how to deal with it.

140:13The body gives you second order agency, but what constitutes the body is the things that

140:18you can indirectly control. The third order are tools, and the second order is the things that

140:24are basically always present, but you operate on them with first order things, which are mental

140:29operators. And the zero order is in some sense, the direct sense of what you're deciding. Right.

140:36So you observe yourself initiating an action, there are features that you interpret as the

140:42initiation of an action. Then you perform the operations that you perform to make that happen.

140:47And then you see the movement of your limbs and you learn to associate those and thereby model

140:52your own agency over this feedback, right? But the first feedback that you get is from this first

140:56order thing already. Basically, you decide to think a thought and the thought is being thought.

141:01You decide to change the thought and you observe how the thought is being changed.

141:05And in some sense, this is, you could say, an embodiment already, right? And I suspect it's

141:10sufficient as an embodiment for intelligence. And so it's not that important at least at

141:14this time to consider variations in the second order. Yes. But the thing that you also put

141:20mentioned just now is physics that you could change in any way you want.

141:24So you need an environment that puts up resistance against you. If there's nothing to control,

141:29you cannot make models, right? There needs to be a particular way that resists you.

141:34And by the way, your motivation is usually outside of your mind. It resists you. Motivation

141:38is what gets you up in the morning even though it would be much less work to stay in bed.

141:43So it's basically forcing you to resist the environment and it forces your mind to serve it,

141:51to serve this resistance to the environment. So in some sense, it is also putting up resistance

141:56against the natural tendency of the mind to not do anything. Yeah. So some of that resistance,

142:01just like you described with motivation is like in the first order, it's in the mind.

142:05Some resistance is in the second order, like actual physical objects pushing against you and so on.

142:11It seems that the second order stuff in virtual reality could be recreated.

142:14Of course. But it might be sufficient that you just do mathematics and mathematics is already

142:19putting up enough resistance against you. So basically just with an aesthetic motive,

142:24this could maybe sufficient to form a type of intelligence. It would probably not be a very

142:29human intelligence, but it might be one that is already general. So to mess with this zero order,

142:37maybe first order, what do you think about ideas of brain computer interfaces? So again, returning

142:43to our friend Elon Musk and Neuralink, a company that's trying to, of course, there's a lot of

142:48a trying to cure diseases and so on with a near term, but the longterm vision is to add an extra

142:54layer to basically expand the capacity of the brain connected to the computational world.

143:03Do you think one that's possible too, how does that change the fundamentals of the zeroth order

143:07in the first order? It's technically possible, but I don't see that the FDA would ever allow me to

143:11drill holes in my skull to interface my neocortex the way Elon Musk envisions. So at the moment,

143:16I can do horrible things to mice, but I'm not able to do useful things to people,

143:21except maybe at some point down the line in medical applications. So this thing that we

143:26are envisioning, which means recreational and creational brain computer interfaces

143:33are probably not going to happen in the present legal system.

143:36I love it how I'm asking you out there philosophical and sort of engineering

143:43questions. And for the first time ever, you jumped to the legal FDA.

143:48There would be enough people that would be crazy enough to have holes drilled in their skull to

143:51try a new type of brain computer interface. But also, if it works, FDA will approve it.

143:57I mean, yes, it's like, you know, I work a lot with autonomous vehicles. Yes,

144:02you can say that it's going to be a very difficult regulatory process of approving

144:05autonomous, but it doesn't mean autonomous vehicles are never going to happen.

144:08No, they will totally happen as soon as we create jobs for at least two lawyers

144:14and one regulator per car.

144:17Yes, lawyers, that's actually like lawyers is the fundamental substrate of reality.

144:24In the US, it's a very weird system. It's not universal in the world. The law is a very

144:30interesting software once you realize it, right? These circuits are in some sense streams of

144:34software and this is largely works by exception handling. So you make decisions on the ground

144:39and they get synchronized with the next level structure as soon as an exception is being

144:43thrown. So it escalates the exception handling. The process is very expensive,

144:49especially since it incentivizes the lawyers for producing work for lawyers.

144:54Yes, so the exceptions are actually incentivized for firing often. But to return, outside of

145:02lawyers, is there anything interesting, insightful about the possibility of this extra layer

145:13of intelligence added to the brain?

145:15I do think so, but I don't think that you need technically invasive procedures to do

145:20so. We can already interface with other people by observing them very, very closely and getting

145:25in some kind of empathetic resonance. And I'm not very good at this, but I noticed that

145:31people are able to do this to some degree. And it basically means that we model an interface

145:37layer of the other person in real time. And it works despite our neurons being slow because

145:42most of the things that we do are built on periodic processes. So you just need to entrain

145:46yourself with the oscillation that happens. And if the oscillation itself changes slowly

145:51enough, you can basically follow along.

145:54Right. But the bandwidth of the interaction, it seems like you can do a lot more computation

146:03when there's...

146:04Of course. But the other thing is that the bandwidth that our brain, our own mind is

146:08running on is actually quite slow. So the number of thoughts that I can productively

146:12think in any given day is quite limited. If they had the discipline to write it down

146:18and the speed to write it down, maybe it would be a book every day or so. But if you think

146:22about the computers that we can build, the magnitudes at which they operate, this would

146:28be nothing. It's something that it can put out in a second.

146:30Well, I don't know. So it's possible the number of thoughts you have in your brain is... It

146:37could be several orders of magnitude higher than what you're possibly able to express

146:41through your fingers or through your voice.

146:45Most of them are going to be repetitive because they...

146:47How do you know that?

146:48If they have to control the same problems every day. When I walk, there are going to

146:53be processes in my brain that model my walking pattern and regulate them and so on. But it's

146:58going to be pretty much the same every day.

§09Transcript · 2:26:59–2:44:56

146:59But that could be...

147:00Every step.

147:01But I'm talking about intellectual reasoning, thinking. So the question, what is the best

147:04system of government? So you sit down and start thinking about that. One of the constraints

147:09is that you don't have access to a lot of facts, a lot of studies. You always have to

147:16interface with something else to learn more, to aid in your reasoning process. If you can

147:23directly access all of Wikipedia in trying to understand what is the best form of government,

147:28then every thought won't be stuck in a loop. Every thought that requires some extra piece

147:33of information will be able to grab it really quickly. That's the possibility of if the

147:38bottleneck is literally the information that... The bottleneck of breakthrough ideas is just

147:47being able to quickly access huge amounts of information, then the possibility of connecting

147:51your brain to the computer could lead to totally new breakthroughs. You can think of mathematicians

147:59being able to just up the orders of magnitude of power in their reasoning about

148:08mathematical proofs. What if humanity has already discovered the optimal form of

148:12government through an evolutionary process? There is an evolution going on. So what we

148:17discover is that maybe the problem of government doesn't have stable solutions for us as a species,

148:23because we are not designed in such a way that we can make everybody conform to them.

148:28But there could be solutions that work under given circumstances or that are the best for

148:33certain environment and depends on, for instance, the primary forms of ownership and the means

148:38of production. So if the main means of production is land, then the forms of government will be

148:45regulated by the landowners and you get a monarchy. If you also want to have a form of

148:50government in which you depend on some form of slavery, for instance, where the peasants have

148:56to work very long hours for very little gain, so very few people can have plumbing, then maybe

149:01you need to promise them to get paid in the afterlife, the overtime. So you need a theocracy.

149:08And so for much of human history in the West, we had a combination of monarchy and theocracy

149:14that was our form of governance. At the same time, the Catholic Church implemented game theoretic

149:21principles. I recently reread Thomas Aquinas. It's very interesting to see this because he was not

149:27dualist. He was translating Aristotle in a particular way for designing an operating

149:32system for the Catholic society. And he says that basically people are animals in very much the same

149:39way as Aristotle envisions, which is basically organisms with cybernetic control. And then he

149:44says that there are additional rational principles that humans can discover and everybody can

149:48discover them so they are universal. If you are sane, you should understand, you should submit to

149:53them because you can rationally deduce them. And these principles are roughly you should be willing

150:00to self regulate correctly. You should be willing to do correct social regulation. It's

150:06intraorganismic. You should be willing to act on your models so you have skin in the game.

150:17And you should have goal rationality. You should be choosing the right

150:20goals to work on. So basically these three rational principles, goal rationality he calls

150:26prudence or wisdom, social regulation is justice, the correct social one, and the internal regulation

150:33is temperance. And this willingness to act on your models is courage. And then he says that

150:40there are additionally to these four cardinal virtues, three divine virtues. And these three

150:45divine virtues cannot be rationally deduced, but they reveal themselves by the harmony, which means

150:49if you assume them and you extrapolate what's going to happen, you will see that they make sense.

150:55And it's often been misunderstood as God has to tell you that these are the things. So basically

151:00there's something nefarious going on. The Christian conspiracy forces you to believe

151:05some guy with a long beard that they discovered this. So these principles are relatively simple.

151:11Again, it's for high level organization for the resulting civilization that you form.

151:16A commitment to unity. So basically you serve this higher, larger thing,

151:21this structural principle on the next level. And he calls that faith. Then there needs to be a

151:28commitment to shared purpose. This is basically this global reward that you try to figure out

151:32what that should be and how you can facilitate this. And this is love. The commitment to shared

151:36purpose is the core of love, right? You see the sacred thing that is more important than your own

151:40organismic interests in the other, and you serve this together. And this is how you see the sacred

151:45in the other. And the last one is hope, which means you need to be willing to act on that

151:51principle without getting rewards in the here and now because it doesn't exist yet.

151:55Then you start out building the civilization, right? So you need to be able to do this in the

151:59absence of its actual existence yet. So it can come into being. So the way it comes into being

152:06is by you accepting those notions and then you see these three divine concepts and you see them

152:12realized. Divine is a loaded concept in our world because we are outside of this cult and we are

152:18still scarred from breaking free of it. But the idea is basically we need to have a civilization

152:23that acts as an intentional agent, like an insect state. And we are not actually a tribal species,

152:28we are a state building species. And what enables state building is basically the formation of

152:35religious states and other forms of rule based administration in which the individual doesn't

152:40matter as much as the rule or the higher goal. We got there by the question, what's the optimal

152:45form of governance? So I don't think that Catholicism is the optimal form of governance

152:50because it's obviously on the way out, right? So it is for the present type of society that we are

152:54in. Religious institutions don't seem to be optimal to organize that. So what we discovered right now

153:01that we live in in the West is democracy. And democracy is the rule of oligarchs that are the

153:06people that currently own the means of production that is administered not by the oligarchs

153:11themselves because there's too much disruption. We have so much innovation that we have in every

153:17generation new means of production that we invent. And corporations die usually after 30 years or so

153:23and something other takes a leading role in our societies. So it's administered by institutions

153:29and these institutions themselves are not elected but they provide continuity and they are led by

153:35electable politicians. And this makes it possible that you can adapt to change without having to

153:40kill people, right? So you can, for instance, have a change in governments if people think that the

153:44current government is too corrupt or is not up to date, you can just elect new people. Or if a

153:50journalist finds out something inconvenient about the institution and the institution has no plan B

153:55like in Russia, the journalist has to die. This is when you run society by the deep state. So ideally

154:02you have an administration layer that you can change if something bad happens, right? So you

154:09will have a continuity in the whole thing. And this is the system that we came up in the West.

154:13And the way it's set up in the US is largely a result of low level models. So it's mostly just

154:17second, third order consequences that people are modeling in the design of these institutions. So

154:22it's a relatively young society that doesn't really take care of the downstream effects of

154:27many of the decisions that are being made. And I suspect that AI can help us this in a way if you

154:33can fix the incentives. The society of the US is a society of cheaters. It's basically cheating is

154:39so indistinguishable from innovation and we want to encourage innovation. Can you elaborate on what

154:44you mean by cheating? It's basically people do things that they know are wrong. It's acceptable

154:48to do things that you know are wrong in this society to a certain degree. You can, for instance,

154:52suggest some non sustainable business models and implement them. Right. But you're always pushing

154:57the boundaries. I mean, yes, this is seen as a good thing largely. Yes. And this is different

155:05from other societies. So for instance, social mobility is an aspect of this. Social mobility

155:09is the result of individual innovation that would not be sustainable at scale for everybody else.

155:14Right. Normally you should not go up, you should go deep, right? We need bakers and if we are very

155:18very good bakers, but in a society that innovates, maybe you can replace all the bakers with a really

155:23good machine. Right. And that's not a bad thing. And it's a thing that made the US so successful,

155:29right? But it also means that the US is not optimizing for sustainability, but for innovation.

155:34And so it's not obvious as the evolutionary process is unrolling, it's not obvious that that

155:39long term would be better. It has side effects. So you basically, if you cheat, you will have a

155:45certain layer of toxic sludge that covers everything that is a result of cheating.

155:50And we have to unroll this evolutionary process to figure out if these side effects are so damaging

155:55that the system is horrible, or if the benefits actually outweigh the negative effects.

156:03How do we get to which system of government is best? That was from,

156:07I'm trying to trace back the last like five minutes.

156:10I suspect that we can find a way back to AI by thinking about the way in which our brain has to

156:16organize itself. In some sense, our brain is a society of neurons. And our mind is a society

156:24of behaviors. And they need to be organizing themselves into a structure that implements

156:30regulation and government is social regulation. We often see government as the manifestation of

156:36power or local interests, but it's actually a platform for negotiating the conditions of human

156:40survival. And this platform emerges over the current needs and possibilities and the trajectory

156:46that we have. So given the present state, there are only so many options on how we can move into

156:52the next state without completely disrupting everything. And we mostly agree that it's a

156:56bad idea to disrupt everything because it will endanger our food supply for a while and the entire

157:01infrastructure and fabric of society. So we do try to find natural transitions,

157:06and there are not that many natural transitions available at any given point.

157:10What do you mean by natural transitions?

157:12So we try not to have revolutions if we can have it.

157:14Right. So speaking of revolutions and the connection between government systems and the mind,

157:21you've also said that in some sense, becoming an adult means you take charge of your emotions.

157:29Maybe you never said that. Maybe I just made that up. But in the context of the mind,

157:35what's the role of emotion? And what is it? First of all, what is emotion? What's its role?

157:42It's several things. So psychologists often distinguish between emotion and feeling,

157:46and in common day parlance, we don't. I think that emotion is a configuration of the cognitive

157:52system. And that's especially true for the lowest level for the affective state. So when you have

157:57an affect, it's the configuration of certain modulation parameters like arousal, valence,

158:03your attentional focus, whether it's wide or narrow, inter reception or extra reception,

158:08and so on. And all these parameters together put you in a certain way. You relate to the

158:13environment and to yourself, and this is in some sense an emotional configuration.

158:17In the more narrow sense, an emotion is an affective state. It has an object,

158:22and the relevance of that object is given by motivation. And motivation is a bunch of needs

158:26that are associated with rewards, things that give you pleasure and pain. And you don't actually act

158:31on your needs, you act on models of your needs. Because when the pleasure and pain manifest,

158:35it's too late, you've done everything. So you act on expectations that will give you pleasure and

158:40pain. And these are your purposes. The needs don't form a hierarchy, they just coexist and compete.

158:45And your brain has to find a dynamic homeostasis between them. But the purposes need to be

158:51consistent. So you basically can create a story for your life and make plans. And so we organize

158:57them all into hierarchies. And there is not a unique solution for this. Some people eat to make

159:02art and other people make art to eat. They might end up doing the same things, but they cooperate

159:07in very different ways. Because their ultimate goals are different. And we cooperate based on

159:12shared purpose. Everything else that is not cooperation on shared purpose is transactional.

159:16I don't think I understood that last piece of achieving the homeostasis.

159:26Are you distinguishing between the experience of emotion and the expression of emotion?

159:30Of course. So the experience of emotion is a feeling. And in this sense, what you feel is

159:37an appraisal that your perceptual system has made of the situation at hand. And it makes this based

159:42on your motivation and on your estimates, not your but of the subconscious geometric parts of your

159:50mind that assess the situation in the world with something like a neural network. And this neural

159:56network is making itself known to the symbolic parts of your mind, to your conscious attention

160:02by mapping them as features into a space. So what you will feel about your emotion is a projection

160:08usually into your body map. So you might feel anxiety in your solar plexus, and you might feel

160:12it as a contraction, which is all geometry. Your body map is the space that is always instantiated

160:18and always available. So it's a very obvious cheat if your non symbolic parts of your brain

160:26try to talk to your symbolic parts of your brain to map the feelings into the body map.

160:31And then you perceive them as pleasant and unpleasant, depending on whether the appraisal

160:35has a negative or positive valence. And then you have different features of them that give you

160:40more knowledge about the nature of what you're feeling. So for instance, when you feel

160:44connected to other people, you typically feel this in your chest region around the heart.

160:48And you feel this is an expansive feeling in which you're reaching out, right? And it's

160:53very intuitive to encode it like this. That's why it's encoded like this. It's a code in which the

160:59non symbolic parts of your mind talk to the symbolic ones. And then the expression of emotion

161:04is then the final step that could be sort of gestural or visual and so on. That's part of

161:09the communication. This probably evolved as part of an adversarial communication. So as soon as

161:14you started to observe the facial expression and posture of others to understand what emotional

161:19state they're in, others started to use this as signaling and also to subvert your model of their

161:23emotional state. So we now look at the inflections, at the difference between the standard face that

161:29they're going to make in this situation. When you are at a funeral, everybody expects you to make a

161:33solemn face, but the solemn face doesn't express whether you're sad or not. It just expresses that

161:38you understand what face you have to make at a funeral. Nobody should know that you are triumphant.

161:44So when you try to read the emotion of another person, you try to look at the delta

161:48between a truly sad expression and the things that are animating this face behind the curtain.

161:56So the interesting thing is, so having done this podcast and the video component, one of the things

162:03I've learned is that now I'm Russian and I just don't know how to express emotion on my face.

162:10One, I see that as weakness, but whatever. The people look to me after you say something,

162:16they look to my face to help them see how they should feel about what you said,

162:22which is fascinating because then they'll often comment on why did you look bored or why did you

162:28particularly enjoy that part or why did you whatever. It's a kind of interesting, it makes

162:32me cognizant of I'm part, like you're basically saying a bunch of brilliant things, but I'm

162:38part of the play that you're the key actor in by making my facial expressions and then

162:45therefore telling the narrative of what the big, like the big point is, which is fascinating.

162:51Makes me cognizant that I'm supposed to be making facial expressions. Even this conversation is hard

162:56because my preference would be to wear a mask with sunglasses to where I could just listen.

163:01Yes, I understand this because it's intrusive to interact with others this way. And basically

163:07Eastern European society have a taboo against that and especially Russia,

163:11the further you go to the East and in the US it's the opposite. You're expected to be

163:17hyperanimated in your face and you're also expected to show positive affect.

163:22Yes.

163:22And if you show positive affect without a good reason in Russia,

163:27people will think you are a stupid, unsophisticated person.

163:33Exactly. And here positive affect without reason goes either appreciated or goes unnoticed.

163:40No, it's the default. It's being expected. Everything is amazing. Have you seen these?

163:45Lego movie?

163:47No, there was a diagram where somebody gave the appraisals that exist in the US and Russia,

163:52so you have your bell curve. And the lower 10% in the US, it's a good start. Everything

164:02above the lowest 10%, it's amazing.

164:04It's amazing.

164:06And for Russians, everything below the top 10%, it's terrible. And then everything except the

164:14top percent is, I don't like it. And the top percent is even so.

164:23It's funny, but it's kind of true.

164:27There's a deeper aspect to this. It's also how we construct meaning in the US. Usually you focus on

164:33the positive aspects and you just suppress the negative aspects. And in our Eastern European

164:40traditions, we emphasize the fact that if you hold something above the waterline, you also need to

164:46put something below the waterline because existence by itself is as best neutral.

164:51Right. That's the basic intuition, at best neutral. Or it could be just suffering,

§10Transcript · 2:44:56–3:00:07

164:56the default is suffering.

164:56There are moments of beauty, but these moments of beauty are inextricably linked to the reality

165:02of suffering. And to not acknowledge the reality of suffering means that you are really stupid and

165:07unaware of the fact that basically every conscious being spends most of the time suffering.

165:12Yeah. You just summarized the ethos of the Eastern Europe. Yeah. Most of life is suffering

165:19with an occasional moments of beauty. And if your facial expressions don't acknowledge

165:24the abundance of suffering in the world and in existence itself, then you must be an idiot.

165:30It's an interesting thing when you raise children in the US and you, in some sense,

165:36preserve the identity of the intellectual and cultural traditions that are embedded in your

165:40own families. And your daughter asks you about Ariel the mermaid and asks you,

165:46why is Ariel not allowed to play with the humans? And you tell her the truth. She's a siren. Sirens

165:53eat people. You don't play with your food. It does not end well. And then you tell her the original

165:58story, which is not the one by Anderson, which is the romantic one. And there's a much darker one,

166:02which is Undine's story. What happened? So Undine is a mermaid or a water woman. She lives on the

166:11ground of a river and she meets this prince and they fall in love. And the prince really,

166:15really wants to be with her. And she says, okay, but the deal is you cannot have any other woman.

166:20If you marry somebody else, even though you cannot be with me, because obviously you cannot breathe

166:24underwater and have other things to do than managing your kingdom as you have here, you will

166:29die. And eventually after a few years, he falls in love with some princess and marries her. And

166:35she shows up and quietly goes into his chamber and nobody is able to stop her or willing to do

166:41so because she is fierce. And she comes quietly and sad out of his chamber. And they ask her,

166:47what has happened? What did you do? And she said, I kissed him to death.

166:52All done.

166:53And you know the Anderson story, right? In the Anderson story, the mermaid is playing with

166:59this prince that she saves and she falls in love with him and she cannot live out there. So she is

167:04giving up her voice and her tale for a human like appearance so she can walk among the humans. But

167:11this guy does not recognize that she is the one that you would marry. Instead, he marries somebody

167:16who has a kingdom and economical and political relationships to his own kingdom and so on,

167:22as he should. And she dies.

167:25Yeah. Instead, Disney, the Little Mermaid story has a little bit of a happy ending. That's the

167:35Western, that's the American way.

167:37My own problem is this, of course, that I read Oscar Wilde before I read the other things. So

167:41I'm indoctrinated, inoculated with this romanticism. And I think that the mermaid is right. You

167:46sacrifice your life for romantic love. That's what you do. Because if you are confronted with

167:51either serving the machine and doing the obviously right thing under the economic and social and

167:57other human incentives, that's wrong. You should follow your heart.

168:04So do you think suffering is fundamental to happiness along these lines?

168:09Suffering is the result of caring about things that you cannot change. And if you are able to

168:14change what you care about to those things that you can change, you will not suffer.

168:17But would you then be able to experience happiness?

168:22Yes. But happiness itself is not important. Happiness is like a cookie. When you are a child,

168:27you think cookies are very important and you want to have all the cookies in the world,

168:30you look forward to being an adult because then you have as many cookies as you want.

168:35But as an adult, you realize a cookie is a tool. It's a tool to make you eat vegetables.

168:40And once you eat your vegetables anyway, you stop eating cookies for the most part,

168:43because otherwise you will get diabetes and will not be around for your kids.

168:46Yes, but then the cookie, the scarcity of a cookie, if scarcity is enforced,

168:51nevertheless, so like the pleasure comes from the scarcity.

168:54Yes. But the happiness is a cookie that your brain bakes for itself. It's not made by the

168:59environment. The environment cannot make you happy. It's your appraisal of the environment

169:03that makes you happy. And if you can change the appraisal of the environment, which you can learn

169:07to, then you can create arbitrary states of happiness. And some meditators fall into this

169:11trap. So they discover the womb, this basement womb in their brain where the cookies are made,

169:16and they indulge and stuff themselves. And after a few months, it gets really old and

169:20the big crisis of meaning comes. Because they thought before that their unhappiness was the

169:25result of not being happy enough. So they fixed this, right? They can release the newer

169:29transmitters at will if they train. And then the crisis of meaning pops up in a deeper layer.

169:36And the question is, why do I live? How can I make a sustainable civilization that is meaningful to

169:40me? How can I insert myself into this? And this was the problem that you couldn't solve in the

169:44first place. But at the end of all this, let me then ask that same question. What is the answer

169:53to that? What could the possible answer be of the meaning of life? What could an answer be? What is

169:59it to you? I think that if you look at the meaning of life, you look at what the cell is. Life is the

170:06cell. Or this principle, the cell. It's this self organizing thing that can participate in evolution.

170:14In order to make it work, it's a molecular machine. It needs a self replicator and an

170:18entropy extractor and a Turing machine. If any of these parts is missing, you don't have a cell

170:22and it is not living. And life is basically the emergent complexity over that principle.

170:27Once you have this intelligent super molecule, the cell, there is very little that you cannot

170:32make it do. It's probably the optimal computronium and especially in terms of resilience. It's very

170:37hard to sterilize the planet once it's infected with life. So it's active function of these three

170:45components or the supercell cell is present in the cell, it's present in us, and it's just...

170:51We are just an expression of the cell. It's a certain layer of complexity in the organization

170:55of cells. So in a way, it's tempting to think of the cell as a von Neumann probe. If you want to

171:02build intelligence on other planets, the best way to do this is to infect them with cells

171:07and wait for long enough and there's a reasonable chance the stuff is going to evolve into an

171:11information processing principle that is general enough to become sentient.

171:16That idea is very akin to the same dream and beautiful ideas that are expressed to

171:21cellular automata in their most simple mathematical form. If you just inject the system with some

171:26basic mechanisms of replication and so on, basic rules, amazing things would emerge.

171:32The cell is able to do something that James Trardy calls existential design. He points out

171:38that in technical design, we go from the outside in. We work in a highly controlled environment in

171:42which everything is deterministic, like our computers, our labs, or our engineering workshops.

171:48And then we use this determinism to implement a particular kind of function that we dream up and

171:53that seamlessly interfaces with all the other deterministic functions that we already have in

171:57our world. So it's basically from the outside in. Biological systems designed from the inside out

172:04as seed will become a seedling by taking some of the relatively unorganized matter around it and

172:11turning it into its own structure and thereby subdue the environment. Cells can cooperate if

172:16they can rely on other cells having a similar organization that is already compatible. But

172:21unless that's there, the cell needs to divide to create that structure by itself. So it's a

172:27self organizing principle that works on a somewhat chaotic environment. And the purpose of life in

172:32this sense is to produce complexity. And the complexity allows you to harvest entropy gradients

172:38that you couldn't harvest without the complexity. And in this sense, intelligence and life are very

172:43strongly connected because the purpose of intelligence is to allow control under conditions

172:48and the conditions of complexity. So basically, you shift the boundary between the ordered systems

172:53into the realm of chaos. You build bridge heads into chaos with complexity. And this is what we

173:00are doing. This is not necessarily a deeper meaning. I think the meaning that we have priors

173:05for that we are all for outside of the priors, there is no meaning. Meaning only exists if the

173:09mind projects it. That is probably civilization. I think that what feels most meaningful to me is

173:16to try to build and maintain a sustainable civilization. And taking a slight step outside

173:22of that, we talked about a man with a beard and God, but something, some mechanism, perhaps must

173:34have planted the seed, the initial seed of the cell. Do you think there is a God? What is a God?

173:42And what would that look like? If there was no spontaneous biogenesis, in the sense that the

173:48first cell formed by some happy random accidents where the molecules just happened to be in the

173:54right constellation to each other. But there could also be the mechanism that allows for the random.

173:59I mean, there's like turtles all the way down. There seems to be, there has to be a head turtle

174:04at the bottom. Let's consider something really wild. Imagine, is it possible that a gas giant

174:10could become intelligent? What would that involve? So imagine you have vortices that spontaneously

174:16emerge on the gas giants, like big storm systems that endure for thousands of years.

174:21And some of these storm systems produce electromagnetic fields because some of the

174:24clouds are ferromagnetic or something. And as a result, they can change how certain clouds react

174:30rather than other clouds and thereby produce some self stabilizing patterns that eventually

174:34lead to regulation feedback loops, nested feedback loops and control. So imagine you have such this

174:40thing that basically has emergent self sustaining, self organizing complexity. And at some point,

174:44this breaks up and realizes and basically lam solaris, I am a thinking planet, but I will not

174:50replicate because I can recreate the conditions of my own existence somewhere else. I'm just

174:55basically an intelligence that has spontaneously formed because it could. And now it builds a

175:01von Neumann probe and the best von Neumann probe for such a thing might be the cell.

175:05So maybe it, because it's very, very clever and very enduring, creates cells and sends them out.

175:10And one of them has infected our planet. And I'm not suggesting that this is the case,

175:14but it would be compatible with the Prince Birmingham hypothesis. And it was my intuition

175:19that our biogenesis is very unlikely. It's possible, but you probably need to roll the

175:24cosmic dice very often, maybe more often than there are planetary surfaces. I don't know.

175:28So God is just a large enough, a system that's large enough that allows randomness.

175:37No, I don't think that God has anything to do with creation. I think it's a mistranslation

175:41of the Talmud into the Catholic mythology. I think that Genesis is actually the childhood

175:46memories of a God. So the, when. Sorry, Genesis is the.

175:51The childhood memories of a God. It's basically a mind that is remembering how it came into being.

175:57Wow.

175:57And we typically interpret Genesis as the creation of a physical universe by a supernatural being.

176:03Yes.

176:04And I think when you read it, there is light and darkness that is being created. And then you

176:12discover sky and ground, create them. You construct the plants and the animals and you

176:18give everything their names and so on. That's basically cognitive development. It's a sequence

176:24of steps that every mind has to go through when it makes sense of the world. And when you have

176:28children, you can see how initially they distinguish light and darkness and then they

176:33make out directions in it and they discover sky and ground and they discover the plants and the

176:37animals and they give everything their name. And it's a creative process that happens in every mind

176:41because it's not given. Your mind has to invent these structures to make sense of the patterns

176:46on your retina. Also, if there was some big nerd who set up a server and runs this world on it,

176:52this would not create a special relationship between us and the nerd. This nerd would not

176:57have the magical power to give meaning to our existence. So this equation of a creator god

177:03with the god of meaning is a sleight of hand. You shouldn't do it.

177:07The other one that is done in Catholicism is the equation of the first mover,

177:12the prime mover of Aristotle, which is basically the automaton that runs the universe. Aristotle

177:17says if things are moving and things seem to be moving here, something must move them. If something

177:23moves them, something must move the thing that is moving it. So there must be a prime mover.

177:28This idea to say that this prime mover is a supernatural being is complete nonsense.

177:33It's an automaton in the simplest case. So we have to explain the enormity that this automaton

177:39exists at all. But again, we don't have any possibility to infer anything about its properties

177:45except that it's able to produce change in information. So there needs to be some kind

177:51of computational principle. This is all there is. But to say this automaton is identical again with

177:56the creator of the first cause or with the thing that gives meaning to our life is confusion.

178:02No, I think that what we perceive is the higher being that we are part of. The higher being that

178:08we are part of is the civilization. It's the thing in which we have a similar relationship as the cell

178:13has to our body. And we have this prior because we have evolved to organize in these structures.

178:20So basically, the Christian God in its natural form without the mythology,

178:24if you undress it, is basically the platonic form of the civilization.

178:30Is the ideal?

178:32Yes, it's this ideal that you try to approximate when you interact with others,

178:36not based on your incentives, but on what you think is right.

178:38Wow, we covered a lot of ground. And we're left with one of my favorite lines, and there's many,

178:45which is happiness is a cookie that the brain bakes itself. It's been a huge honor and a

178:54pleasure to talk to you. I'm sure our paths will cross many times again.

178:59Joshua, thank you so much for talking today. I really appreciate it.

179:02Thank you, Lex. It was so much fun. I enjoyed it.

179:05Awesome. Thanks for listening to this conversation with Joshua Bach. And thank you to our sponsors,

179:12ExpressVPN and Cash App. Please consider supporting this podcast by getting ExpressVPN at

179:18expressvpn.com slash lexpod and downloading Cash App and using code lexpodcast. If you enjoy this

179:27thing, subscribe on YouTube, review it with five stars in Apple Podcast, support it on Patreon,

179:33or simply connect with me on Twitter at lexfreedman. And yes, try to figure out how to

179:39spell it without the E. And now let me leave you with some words of wisdom from Joshua Bach.

179:46If you take this as a computer game metaphor, this is the best level for humanity to play.

179:52And this best level happens to be the last level, as it happens against the backdrop of a dying

179:59world. But it's still the best level. Thank you for listening and hope to see you next time.

— A LITTLE MORE TO THINK ABOUT. —