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Robert Crews: Afghanistan, Taliban, Bin Laden, and War in the Middle East

Episode 2442021-11-28English

Guests: Robert Crews

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§01Transcript · 00:00–07:53

00:00The following is a conversation with Robert Cruz,

00:02a historian at Stanford,

00:04specializing in the history of Afghanistan,

00:07Russia, and Islam.

00:09This is the Alex Friedman Podcast.

00:12To support it,

00:12please check out our sponsors in the description.

00:15And now, here's my conversation with Robert Cruz.

00:19Was it a mistake for the United States

00:22to invade Afghanistan in 2001, 20 years ago?

00:25- Yes.

00:27- As simple as yes, why was it a mistake?

00:30- I'm a historian, so I say this with some humility

00:33about what we can know.

00:35I think I'd still like to know much more

00:36about what was going on in the White House,

00:38you know, in the hours, days, weeks, you know, after 9/11.

00:42But I think the George W. Bush administration

00:45acted in a state of panic.

00:47And I think they wanted to show kind of toughness.

00:49They wanted to show some kind of resolve.

00:51You know, this was a horrific act

00:54that played out, you know, on everyone's television screens.

00:57And I think it was really a,

00:59fundamentally a crisis of legitimacy

01:00within the White House, within the Oval Office.

01:02And I think they felt like they had to do

01:04something and something dramatic.

01:06I think they didn't really think through, you know,

01:08who they were fighting, you know, who the enemy was,

01:11what this geography had to do with 9/11.

01:14I think looking back at it, I mean, some of us,

01:17not to say I was, you know, clairvoyant

01:18or could see into the future,

01:19but I think many of us were, you know, from that morning,

01:22skeptical about the connections that people were drawing

01:24between Afghanistan as a state, as a place,

01:27and the actions of Al-Qaeda in Washington

01:30and New York and Pennsylvania.

01:33- So as you watch the events of 9/11,

01:35the things that our leaders were saying

01:40in the minutes, hours, days, weeks that followed,

01:44maybe you can give a little bit of a timeline

01:47of what was being said.

01:49One was the actual invasion of Afghanistan,

01:52and also what were your feelings in the minutes, weeks,

01:57after 9/11?

01:59- I was in DC, I was, you know,

02:02on the way to American University, hearing on NPR

02:05what had happened, and I thought of the

02:08American University logo, which is red, white, and blue.

02:11It's an eagle, and I thought, you know,

02:14Washington is under attack,

02:15and symbols of American power are under attack.

02:18And so, you know, I was quite concerned,

02:20and at the time lived, you know,

02:22just a few miles from the Capitol.

02:24And so, you know, I felt that, you know, it was real.

02:28So I appreciate the, you know,

02:30the sense of anxiety and fear and panic.

02:32And four, two, three years later in DC,

02:35we were constantly getting reports, you know,

02:37mostly rumors and unconfirmed about all kinds of attacks

02:40that would befall the city.

02:41So I definitely appreciate the sense of being under assault.

02:46But in watching television,

02:47including Russian television that day,

02:48'cause I just installed a satellite thing,

02:51so I was trying to watch world news

02:52and get different points of view,

02:53and that was quite useful to have

02:55an alternative, you know, set of eyes.

02:57- In Russian?

02:58- Yeah, in Russian, yeah.

02:59- Okay, so your Russian is good enough

03:01to understand Russian television.

03:03- The news, yeah, the news and the visuals

03:05that were coming that were not shown on American television.

03:07I don't know how they had it, but they had,

03:09they were not filtering anything

03:11in the way that the major networks

03:13and cable televisions were doing here.

03:14So it was a very unvarnished view

03:16of the violence of the moment, you know,

03:18in New York City of people diving from the towers

03:21and being, you know, and it was really,

03:23they didn't hold back on that,

03:24which was quite, you know, fascinating.

03:26Much of the world saw much more

03:27than actually the American public saw.

03:29But to your question, you know,

03:31amid that feeling of imminent doom,

03:33I watched commentators start to talk about Al-Qaeda

03:36and then talk about Afghanistan.

03:39And one of the experts was Barnett Rubin,

03:42who's at NYU, who's a, you know,

03:44kind of long, very learned Afghanistan hand.

03:48And he's brought on Peter Jennings on ABC News

03:50to kind of lay this out for everyone.

03:52And I thought, you know, he did a fine job,

03:55but I think it was formative in cementing the view

03:57that somehow Al-Qaeda was synonymous

04:00with this space, Afghanistan.

04:02And I think, again, I was no Al-Qaeda expert then,

04:06and I'm not now, but I think my immediate thought

04:09went to war, and because my background had been with,

04:13at that point, mostly Afghans who had been displaced

04:15from decades of war, whom I encountered in Uzbekistan,

04:19who were refugees and so on,

04:20I thought immediately, you know, my mind went to

04:22the suffering of Afghan people,

04:25that this war was going to sweep up, of course,

04:28the defenseless people who have nothing

04:30to do with these politics.

04:31- So we should give maybe a little bit of context

04:33that you can speak to.

04:34- Yeah.

04:35- So assume nobody's an expert at anything.

04:38- Yeah.

04:38- So let's just say you and I are not experts in anything.

04:42- Right.

04:43- What, as a historian, were you studying at the time

04:46and thinking about, see,

04:48is it the full global history of Afghanistan?

04:53Is it the region?

04:55Were you thinking about the Mujahideen

04:58and Al-Qaeda and Taliban?

05:01Were you thinking about the Soviet Union,

05:04the proxy war through Afghanistan?

05:06Were you thinking about Iraq and oil?

05:09Like, what's the full space of things in your heart,

05:12in your mind at the time?

05:14- I mean, just at the moment, of course, it was,

05:15you know, there's the sense of, you know,

05:18the suffering and the tragedy of the moment of the deaths.

05:21And that was, I think, I was preoccupied

05:23by the violence of the moment.

05:25But as the conversation turned to Afghanistan

05:28as a kind of theater, to somehow respond to this moment,

05:31I think immediately what came to mind was that

05:33little I knew about Al-Qaeda at the time suggested

05:35that the geography was inaccurate,

05:38that this was a global network, a global threat,

05:41that this was a kind of, you know,

05:43a movement that went beyond borders.

05:45And I think that it felt early on that Afghanistan

05:48was gonna be used as a scapegoat.

05:50And just intellectually at the time, you know,

05:51I was teaching at American University,

05:53my courses, you know, touched on a range of subjects,

05:56but I was trying to complete a book on Islam

05:59and the Russian Empire, actually.

06:01But in doing that research, which took me across Russia

06:04and Central Asia, purely by accident,

06:06I had developed an interest in Afghanistan

06:08because, just again, a series of coincidences,

06:12I found myself in Tashkent, the capital of Uzbekistan,

06:15without housing, through an American friend

06:18who was like the king of the market in Tashkent.

06:20He knew everyone, he ran into some Afghan merchants there.

06:24They found out I didn't have a place to live.

06:26I didn't know where Afghanistan was, honestly.

06:28This was 1997.

06:29I had a vague idea it was next door.

06:30- Well, you lived in Uzbekistan?

06:32- Yeah, in Tashkent, doing dissertation research, yeah.

06:35'Cause it was, you know,

06:35hub of the Russian Empire in Central Asia.

06:37- Yeah.

06:38- So just by accident, I ended up with these young Afghans

06:40who took me in as roommates.

06:42And that, I think, the sense of that community

06:46shaped my idea of what Afghanistan is.

06:48It was my first exposure to them.

06:51They were part of a trading diaspora.

06:53They brought, they had brought matches from Riga, Latvia.

06:57They had somehow brought flour

07:00and some agricultural products from Egypt.

07:02And they were sitting in enclosed containers in Tashkent,

07:06waiting for the Uzbekistani state to permit them to trade.

07:10So these guys are mostly hanging out during the day.

07:11They'll get dressed up.

07:12They put on suits and ties, like you're wearing.

07:15They'd polish their shoes.

07:16And they would sit around offices, drink tea, pistachios.

07:21Then they'd feast at lunch.

07:23And then at night, we would go out.

07:25So part of my research,

07:26'cause I also had a bottleneck in my research.

07:28I was going to the state archives in Tashkent.

07:31And because of the state of Uzbekistan,

07:33you know, that was a very kind of suspicious thing to do.

07:36So it took a while to get in.

07:38So I had downtime in Tashkent, just like these guys.

07:41So I got to know them pretty well.

07:42And it was really just an accidental kind of thing,

07:45but grew quite close to them.

07:47And I developed an appreciation of,

07:49which now I think, again, thinking of the seeds of all this,

07:53these people had already lived,

§02Transcript · 07:55–16:41

07:55young guys, you know, in their 20s,

07:57they'd already lived in 67 countries.

07:59They all spoke half a dozen languages.

08:02One of my best friends there had been a kickboxer

08:06and break dancer, trained in Tehran.

08:08His father was a theater person in Afghanistan.

08:11He told stories of escaping death in Afghanistan

08:14during the civil war,

08:15going to Uzbekistan, escaping death there.

08:18And these were very, you know, real stories.

08:21- Can you also just briefly mention,

08:23geographically speaking, Afghanistan, Uzbekistan,

08:27Tajikistan, you mentioned Iran.

08:29Who are the neighbors of all of this?

08:32What are we supposed to be thinking about for people?

08:35I was always terrible at geography and spatial information.

08:38So can you lay it out?

08:39- Yeah, yeah, sure, sure.

08:41So Tashkent, you know, is the capital of Uzbekistan.

08:44It was a hub of Russian imperial power in the 19th century.

08:49The Russians take the city from a local

08:52kind of Muslim dynasty in 1865.

08:55It becomes the city,

08:56the kind of hub of Soviet power in Central Asia after 1917.

09:01It becomes the center of the Soviet Republic of Uzbekistan,

09:06which becomes independent finally in 1991

09:09when the Soviet Union collapses.

09:10- So these are all like,

09:12these republics are the fingertips of Soviet power

09:17in Central Asia. - That's right.

09:18That's right.

09:19And they've been independent since 1991,

09:22but they have struggled to disentangle themselves

09:25from Moscow, from one another.

09:28And now they face very serious pressure from China

09:31to form a kind of periphery of the great machine

09:34that is the Chinese economy

09:36and its ambitions to stretch across Asia.

09:39For Afghanistan, where my roommates, my friends hailed from,

09:44Afghanistan had fallen into civil war in the late 1970s

09:50when leftists tried to seize power there in 1978.

09:54The Soviet Union then extended from Uzbekistan,

09:58crossing the border with its forces in 1979

10:01to try to shore up this leftist government

10:03that had seized power in 1978.

10:06And so for Central Asians in the wider region,

10:09their fate had for some decades been tied to Afghanistan

10:13in a variety of ways,

10:15but it became much more connected in 1980s

10:18when Soviet Red Army occupied Afghanistan for 10 years.

10:23And here I refer your listeners and viewers to "Rainbow Three"

10:26as the guide to--

10:28- The historically accurate guide.

10:30- The historically accurate, the Bible.

10:32The Bible of Afghan history in "Rainbow Three," yeah.

10:34As a fantastic window onto the American view of the war.

10:38Right?

10:39But for most Afghans,

10:40there are people who fought against the Soviet Army,

10:44but of a certain generation,

10:45the guys I knew, their mission was to survive.

10:50And so they fled in waves by the millions

10:54to Pakistan, to Iran.

10:56Some went north into Soviet Central Asia later in the 1990s

11:00and some were displaced across the planet.

11:02So California, where we're sitting today,

11:03has a large community that came in the '80s and '90s

11:07in the East Bay.

11:09- Can I ask a quick question

11:11that's a little bit of a tangent?

11:12- Yeah.

11:13- What is the correct or the respectful way

11:17to pronounce Afghanistan, Afghanistan, Iran, Iran?

11:25So as a Russian speaker, Afghanistan.

11:28- Yeah.

11:29- Or the an versus the an.

11:32- Yeah.

11:33- Is it a different country by country?

11:34As an English speaker in America,

11:37is it pretentious and disrespectful to say Afghanistan?

11:41Or is it the opposite, respectful to say it that way?

11:44What are your thoughts on this?

11:45- That's a fascinating question.

11:47I defer to the people from those countries

11:50to of course sort out those politics.

11:52I think one of the fascinating things

11:54about the region broadly

11:55is that it is a place of so many cultures

11:57and are really quite cosmopolitan.

12:00So I think people are mostly quite forgiving

12:02about how you say Afghanistan, Afghanistan.

12:04- It's not like Paris.

12:05- Yeah, yeah, right, right.

12:06- The French are not forgiving.

12:07- No, no, yeah, yeah, exactly.

12:09No, I think people are very, very forgiving.

12:10And I think that Iranians are a bit more instructive

12:15in suggesting Iran rather than Iran, right?

12:20Iraq, Iraq.

12:23I think there's come to be a fit

12:25between certain ways of pronouncing these places

12:27and the position that Americans take about them, right?

12:31So it's more jarring when people say Iraq

12:36and it comes with a claim that a certain kind of person

12:41should be the victim of violence or, right?

12:43- It's fascinating.

12:44It's kind of like talking about the Democratic Party

12:47or the Democrat Party.

12:48It's sometimes using certain kind of terminology

12:51to make a little bit of a sort of implied statement

12:56about your beliefs.

12:58It's fascinating.

12:59- Yeah, I mean, I think when I hear Iraq and Iran,

13:02I mean, I think it, yeah, is it intentional

13:04in the case of a Democrat or is it just a,

13:07you know, and it's a whatever.

13:08I think, again, I think most Iranians and Afghans

13:10people I know have been very cool about that.

13:12What annoys Afghans now, I can say,

13:15I think it's fair to say,

13:16I don't mean to speak for millions of people,

13:18for a group of people,

13:20but I can just share with our non-Afghan friends,

13:23the term Afghani is a kind of term of offense

13:28because that's the name of the currency.

13:29And so lots of people ask, you know, why having,

13:34especially, again, it's more directed at Americans

13:36because, you know, we've been so deeply involved

13:38in that country, obviously, for the last 20 years, right?

13:41So Afghans ask why after 20 years

13:43are you still calling us the wrong name?

13:45- What is the right name?

13:46- They prefer Afghans.

13:48- Afghans.

13:49- Yeah, and Afghani is the name of the currency.

13:52And so--

13:53- I just dodged a bullet 'cause I was gonna say--

13:54- That's cool, no, no, yeah, I hear you.

13:56- It's really great to know.

13:57- Yeah, yeah, and it's, again, I think,

13:59but I would emphasize that people are quite open

14:02and, you know, it's a whole region of incredible diversity

14:06and respect for linguistic pluralism, actually.

14:09So I think that, you know, but I also appreciate that

14:12during, in this context, when there's a lot of pain,

14:15you know, in the Afghan diaspora community in particular,

14:18you know, being called the wrong name after 20 years,

14:22when they already feel so betrayed at this moment,

14:24you know, just kind of, if one follows us on social media,

14:28that is one kind of hot wire, right?

14:32- Yeah, so the reason I ask about pronunciation

14:35is because, yes, it is true that there are certain things

14:38when mispronounced kind of reveal

14:41that you don't care enough to pronounce correctly,

14:44you don't know enough to pronounce correctly,

14:47and you dismiss the culture and the people,

14:49which I think, as per your writing,

14:52is something that, if it's okay, I'll go with Afghanistan,

14:57just because I'm used to it.

14:58I say Iraq, Iran, but I say Afghanistan.

15:01- Yeah, yeah, it's great.

15:02- As you do in your writing, Afghanistan suffers

15:06from much misunderstanding from the rest of the world.

15:08But back to our discussion of Uzbekistan, Tajikistan,

15:13the whole region that gives us context

15:17for the events of 9/11.

15:18- Right, right.

15:20So yeah, if we go back to that day and the weeks

15:22that followed, my mind went to the community

15:25I knew in Tashkent, which is interesting.

15:28It was, I mean, they were, so Islam was the focal point

15:31of our conversation in the US about 9/11, right?

15:34Everyone wanted to know what was the relationship

15:36between the Serbic violence and that religious tradition

15:39with its 1 billion plus followers across the globe, right?

15:44That became the issue, of course,

15:47for American security institutions,

15:49for local state and police institutions, right?

15:53I mean, it became the, I think it was the question

15:55that most Americans had on their mind.

15:56So again, I didn't imagine myself as someone

15:59who had all the answers, of course,

16:00but given my background and coming at this

16:03from Russian history, coming at this from studying empire

16:06and trying to think about the region broadly,

16:09you know, I was very alarmed

16:10at the way that the conversation went.

16:12- Can I ask you a question? - Yeah.

16:13- What was your feeling on that morning of 9/11?

16:18Who did this?

16:20Isn't that a natural feeling?

16:22It's coupled with fear of what's next,

16:25especially when you're in DC. - Right, yeah.

16:27- But also, who is this?

16:28Is this an accident? - Yeah.

16:30- Is this a deliberate terrorist attack?

16:32Is this domestic? - Yeah.

16:34- What were your thoughts of the options

16:37and the internal ranking given your expertise?

16:41- I mean, I suppose I was taken by the narrative

§03Transcript · 16:44–24:33

16:44that this was international.

16:46I mean, I'd also lived in New York

16:47during one of the first bombings in '94

16:50of the World Trade Center.

16:52So it was clear to me that a radical community

16:53had really fixed New York as part of their imagination of,

16:58and I immediately thought it was a kind of

17:01blow to American power.

17:04And I was drawn by the symbolism of it.

17:08If you think of it as an act,

17:09it was a kind of an act of speech, if you will,

17:13a kind of a way of speaking to,

17:16from a position of relative weakness,

17:18speaking to an imperial power.

17:21And I saw it as a kind of symbolic speech act of that

17:25with horrific real world consequences

17:29for all the citizens, victims, for the firemen,

17:31the police, and just the horror of the moment.

17:34So I did see it as transcending the United States,

17:39but I did not see it as really having anything necessarily

17:42to do fundamentally about Afghanistan

17:45and the history of the region that I'd been studying

17:48and the community people that I knew

17:49who were not particularly religious, right?

17:51The guys I hung out with actually wore me out

17:54because they wanted to go out every night.

17:56They wanted to party every night.

17:57- Drinking?

17:58- Yep.

17:59We had discussions about alcohol.

18:00I mean, Uzbekistan is famous for its--

18:02- Drinking.

18:03- Its drinking.

18:04You know, it's--

18:05- That's something to look forward to.

18:06So I do wanna travel to that part of the world.

18:08When was the last time you were in that part of the world?

18:11- Early 2000s.

18:12Well, in the mid 2000s, 2010s.

18:14- So wait, so by the way, what drinking?

18:16Vodka?

18:17What's the weapon of choice?

18:20- Uzbekistan has incorporated vodka as the choice.

18:25And it informs, you know, and it's,

18:28but the fascinating thing, you know,

18:29as a student is what you're observing as a non-Muslim,

18:32you know, I'm a non-Russian.

18:34This is all, you know, culturally new to me.

18:38And I'm, you know, a student of all that, right?

18:40As a graduate student, doing my work there.

18:42- So you're like the Jane Goodall of vodka and Russia.

18:45- That's right.

18:46- Just observing.

18:46- That's right.

18:47- And studying.

18:48- Yeah, yeah, yeah.

18:49And then you get the Samogon, the grass vodka.

18:51You get, you know, I have,

18:53I've had some long nights on the Kazakhstan frontier

18:56that I'm not proud of.

18:59(laughing)

18:59You know.

19:00- But you got to know the people

19:01and some of them from Kazakhstan.

19:03- Yeah, yeah, yeah.

19:03But intellectually, so the thing,

19:04I mean, the fascinating thing there was that,

19:06and just as a, I mean, there's a whole,

19:09you know, I'm a historian, right?

19:10But there are great contributions by, you know,

19:14anthropologists and ethnographers

19:15who've gone across the planet

19:16and tried to understand how Muslims

19:18understand the tradition in different contexts.

19:21So many Uzbeks will say, you know,

19:24this is part of our national culture

19:27to drink and eat as we please, right?

19:29And yet I'm a very devout Muslim.

19:31And so, of course, you can encounter

19:33other Muslim communities who won't touch alcohol, right?

19:37But it's become kind of, I think it's very much,

19:40you know, Soviet culture left a deep impression

19:42in each of these places.

19:43And so there are ways of thinking,

19:45ways of performing, ways of, you know,

19:48enjoying oneself that are shared across Soviet

19:52and former Soviet space to this day, right?

19:54- And you've written also about Muslims

19:56in the Soviet Union. - That's right.

19:58- There's an article that, there was a paywall,

20:02so I couldn't read it.

20:03And I really wanna read it.

20:04Is-- - I'll be sure to share

20:05with you, yeah.

20:06- Moscow and the mosque or something like that.

20:10- Right, right.

20:11- By the way, just another tangent on a tangent.

20:14- Yeah.

20:15- So I bought all your books.

20:16I love 'em very much. - Thank you, thank you.

20:18- One of the reasons I bought them

20:20and read many parts is because they're easy to buy.

20:24Unlike articles, every single website has a paywall.

20:27- Yeah, yeah, yeah.

20:28- So it's very-- - I hear you, I'm sorry.

20:30- Very frustrating to read brilliant scholars

20:32such as yourself. - No, no, no.

20:35- I wish there was one fee I could pay everywhere.

20:37I don't care what that fee is.

20:38- Right, right. - Where it gives,

20:40allows me to read some of your brilliant writing.

20:42- No, no, thank you, I hear you.

20:43No, I think moving toward more kind of open source

20:47formatting stuff, I think is what a lot of journals

20:49are thinking about now.

20:50And I think it's definitely for the kind of democratization

20:53of knowledge and scholarship,

20:54that's definitely an important thing

20:55that we should all think about.

20:56And I think we need to exert pressure

21:00on these publishers to do that.

21:02So I appreciate that. - This is what I'm doing here.

21:03- Yeah, yeah, yeah, good, good.

21:04Yeah, no, I appreciate it, appreciate it.

21:06- So your thought was Afghanistan is not going to be

21:11the center, the source of where--

21:14- It's not the center of this,

21:16and invading that country isn't gonna fix the toxic

21:21milestone of politics that produced 9/11, right?

21:25I think I'm just thinking of some of the personalities,

21:26just thinking about going back to the Tajikistan story,

21:28which I'll end with.

21:29I mean, just observing real Muslims doing things,

21:34and then asking questions about it,

21:35and trying to understand through their eyes

21:39what the tradition means to them.

21:40And then we had a very narrow conversation

21:43about what Islam is that generated,

21:46immediately exploded on the day of 9/11, right?

21:50And then, of course, I think the antipathy

21:53toward Islam and Muslims was informed by racism,

21:58informed by xenophobia.

21:59So it became a perfect storm, I think, of demonization

22:03that didn't sit with what I knew about the tradition,

22:06and with the actual people that I had known.

22:08'Cause then going back to, I mean,

22:09there were other friends and encounters and so on,

22:11but just thinking about Afghanistan

22:13and Tajikistan for a moment, I mean,

22:15just thought about my friends who had been,

22:18who had suffered a great deal in their short lives,

22:20who had been cast aside from country to country,

22:24but had found a place in Tajikistan

22:26with some relative stability.

22:28And they wanted to go out every night.

22:31And they explained, one friend,

22:33we talked about it with the alcohol and all that,

22:34and he didn't get crazy, but he was like,

22:37"You can drink, but just don't get drunk.

22:38"That's permissible within Islam," right?

22:41And he was ethnic Pashtun.

22:45Ethnic Uzbeks had a different view.

22:47Often, the more vodka, the better,

22:49and it doesn't violate, as I understand, Islam.

22:51So even, it's kind of a silly example,

22:54but it's just an illustration of the ways

22:55in which different communities, different generations,

22:58different people can come at this very complex,

23:00rich tradition in so many different ways.

23:02So obviously, whatever kind of scholar you are,

23:06any kind of expert, whatever,

23:08it's always disconcerting to see

23:10your field of specialization be flattened, right?

23:13And then be flattened and then be turned to arguments

23:17for violence, right?

23:18- Mixed up with the natural human feelings of hate

23:22and depression. - And hurt, in pain.

23:25So I mean, that day, I vividly remember,

23:28I sat with other PhD historians in different fields.

23:32We, oddly enough, had lunch that day,

23:35and it kind of deserted Washington.

23:37Some place was open, we went.

23:38And we just thought, this is gonna kind of open up

23:42like a great mall of destruction.

23:45And the American state is going to destroy,

23:50and it's gonna destroy in this geography.

23:53And I thought that was misplaced for lots of reasons.

23:56And then I think if one,

23:58you know, I'd been doing some research on Afghanistan then,

24:02I was kind of shifting to the South,

24:03and I'd been looking at the Taliban from afar

24:08for some years.

24:08And I think it's clear now that in retrospect,

24:12there were opportunities for alternative policies

24:15at that moment.

24:16- So what should the conversation have been like?

24:20What should we have done differently?

24:23Because, you know, from a perspective of the time,

24:28the United States was invaded by a foreign force.

24:33What is the proper response,

§04Transcript · 24:35–33:29

24:35or what is the proper conversation

24:36about the proper response at the time, you think?

24:39- You know, I know my colleague at Stanford,

24:41Connally Sirais, would tell me this is above my pay grade.

24:44And, you know, she makes a point in her classes

24:46to talk about how difficult decision-making is

24:50under such intense pressure.

24:52And I appreciate that.

24:53You know, I am an historian who sits safely in my office.

24:57I don't like battlefields.

24:58I don't like taking risks.

25:01So I concede all those limits.

25:02You know, I'm not a military expert.

25:05I've been accused of being a spy wherever I've gone

25:07because of the way I look

25:08and because of my nationality and so on, but not a spy.

25:10So I defer, you know,

25:11I respect the expertise of all those communities.

25:13But I think they acted out of ignorance.

25:16They acted, I think, because, I mean,

25:18if you think of the, in a way,

25:19there was a compensatory aspect of this decision-making.

25:23I mean, the Bush administration failed.

25:27This was an extraordinary failure, right?

25:29So if we start- - In which way?

25:30If we're gonna break down the-

25:31- A failure of intelligence.

25:32I mean, if you follow the story of Richard Clark-

25:35- Who's Richard Clark?

25:37- He was a national security expert

25:40who was tasked with following Al-Qaeda.

25:43Who had produced a dossier

25:46under the Clinton administration

25:47that he passed on to the George W. Bush administration.

25:50And if you look at the work of Connie Lisa Rice,

25:53she wrote a very famous, I think,

25:55unpaywalled foreign affairs article that you can read

25:58announcing the George W. Bush foreign policy kind of outlook.

26:02And it was all about great powers.

26:05It was about the rise of China.

26:06It was about Russia.

26:07I mean, there's definitely a kind of hangover

26:10of those who missed having Russia as the boogeyman

26:15who spoke, the Clinton administration repeated again and again

26:18the idea of making sure the bear stayed in his cage.

26:21Which is why the United States

26:24threw a lifeline to the Central Asian states

26:29hoping to have pipelines,

26:31hoping to shore up their national sovereignty

26:34as a way of containing Russia initially,

26:38but also Iran, which sits to the south and west.

26:42And then peripherally looking down the road

26:43to China to the east.

26:45- So the bear is what, like Russia?

26:50Or is it kind of like some weird combination

26:53of Russia, Iran, and China?

26:55- The bear is Russia.

26:56And Russia is this,

26:59I'm trying to characterize the imagination

27:01of some of these national security figures.

27:03This is an image formed in the Cold War.

27:07I mean, it has deeper seeds in European

27:09and Western intellectual thought that go back

27:12at least to the 1850s in the reign of Czar Nicholas I.

27:17When we first get this language about the Russian Empire

27:21is this kind of evil polity.

27:24Obviously this was a kind of pillar of Reaganism,

27:28but the Clinton folks kept that alive.

27:31They wanted to make sure that American power

27:34would be unmatched.

27:36And they being creatures of the Cold War themselves,

27:39they look to Russia as a resurgent power

27:42well before Putin was even thought of.

27:45- Yeah, I mean, this is, you mentioned one deep,

27:49profound historical piece in Rambo.

27:52It's probably, this conflict has to do

27:55with another Celeste Stallone movie, "Rocky IV,"

27:58which is also historically accurate

28:00and based on, it's basically a documentary.

28:03So there is something about the American power,

28:07even at the level of Condoleezza Rice,

28:10these respected deep kind of leaders and thinkers

28:15about history and the future,

28:17where they like to have competition with other superpowers

28:22and almost conjure up superpowers,

28:26even when those countries don't maybe at the time

28:31at least deserve the label of superpower.

28:33- That's right, great point.

28:34Yeah, they're all excellent points.

28:35So yeah, I mean, Russia was, I think many experts,

28:39I mean, my mentor at Princeton, Stephen Kakin,

28:42was then writing great things about how,

28:45if you look at Russia's economy, the scale of its GDP,

28:49its capacity to actually act globally,

28:52it's all quite limited.

28:54But Condoleezza Rice and the people around her

28:56came into power with George W. Bush,

29:00thinking that the foreign policy challenges of her era

29:03would be those of the past.

29:06Richard Clarke and others within the administration

29:08warned that, in fact, there is this group

29:10that has declared war against the United States

29:12and they are coming for us.

29:14The FBI had been following these people around

29:17for many months.

29:18And so by the time George W. Bush comes to power,

29:21lots of Al-Qaeda activists, well, not lots,

29:23but perhaps a dozen or so,

29:26are already training in the United States.

29:29And what we knew immediately from the biographies

29:31of some of the characters of the attackers of 9/11,

29:34it was a hodgepodge of people from across the planet,

29:37but most of them were Saudi, right?

29:39And that was known very early on,

29:41or presumed very early on.

29:43So again, if we go back to your big question

29:44about the geography, why Afghanistan, it didn't add up.

29:48It seemed to me that Afghanistan was a kind of soft target.

29:51It was a place to have explosions,

29:54to seemingly recapture American supremacy.

29:58And also I think, in many quarters,

30:00there was a deep urge for revenge.

30:02And this was a place to have some casualties,

30:05have some explosions.

30:07And then I think, restore the legitimacy

30:09of the Bush administration

30:11by showing that we're in charge, we'll pay.

30:14I think that was a very old fashioned punitive dimension,

30:17which rests upon the presumption

30:19that if we intimidate these people,

30:21they'll know not to try this again, right?

30:23All these, I would suggest, are all misreadings

30:25of an organization that was always global.

30:28It had no real center.

30:29I mean, it called itself the center,

30:30that's one way to translate Al-Qaeda.

30:32But that center was really in the imagination.

30:35Bin Laden bounced around from country to country.

30:39And crucially, I think a dimension

30:42that I don't claim to know anything new about,

30:45but has endured as a kind of doubt,

30:47is the role of Saudi Arabia,

30:49and the fact that the muscle in that operation of 9/11

30:52was Saudi, right?

30:55I mean, this was a Saudi operation with,

30:57if one thinks again, just on the basis of nationalities,

31:00Saudis, an Egyptian or two, a Lebanese guy,

31:04and the Egyptian guy had been studying in Germany.

31:08He was an urban planner, right?

31:10So if one thinks of the imagination of this,

31:12I mean, and if you look at the kind of typology

31:15of the figures who have led this radical movement,

31:19I mean, if you think of the global jihadists,

31:22they are mostly not religious scholars, right?

31:25Bin Laden was not a religious scholar.

31:27His training was an engineer.

31:29Some biographers claim that he was a playboy

31:31for much of his youth.

31:32But really, these ideas,

31:34I think that's probably why they chose the Twin Towers.

31:37I mean, this is an imagination

31:41fueled by training and engineering.

31:43I mean, a lot of the sociology,

31:46if you do a kind of post-pacography

31:47of a lot of these leading jihadists,

31:50their backgrounds are not in Islamic scholarship,

31:53but actually in engineering

31:54and kind of practical sciences and professions.

31:57Medical doctors are among their ranks.

31:59And so there's long been a tension between Islamic scholars

32:02who devote their whole lives to study of texts

32:05and commentary and interpretation,

32:07and then what some scholars call kind of new intellectuals,

32:10new Muslim authorities,

32:12who actually have secular university educations,

32:16often in the natural sciences or engineering

32:17and technical fields,

32:19who then bring that kind of mindset, if you will,

32:22to what Muslim scholars call the religious sciences,

32:26which are a field of kind of ambiguity and of gradation

32:31and of subtlety and nuance

32:33and really of decades of training

32:36before one becomes authoritative to speak about issues

32:39like whether or not it's legitimate

32:41to take someone else's life.

32:43- With the relation to Afghanistan, who was bin Laden?

32:47- Bin Laden was a visitor.

32:50If you look at his whole life course,

32:52part of it is an enigma still.

32:56He is from a Saudi elite family,

32:59but a family that kind of has a Yemeni,

33:03Arabian Sea kind of genealogy.

33:07So the family has no relationship

33:08to Afghanistan past or present,

33:10except at some point in 1980s,

33:13when he went like thousands of other young Saudis,

33:16first to Pakistan, to places like Peshawar on the border,

33:20where they wanted to aid the jihad in some capacity.

33:24And for the most part, the Arabs who went

33:29opened up hospitals, some opened up schools.

§05Transcript · 33:32–41:58

33:32The bin Laden family had long been

33:35based in engineering construction.

33:37So it's thought that he used some of those skills

33:39and resources and connections to build things.

33:42We have images of him firing a gun for show, right?

33:48It's not clear that he ever actually fired a gun

33:50in what we would call combat.

33:52Again, I could be corrected by this.

33:55And I think there are competing accounts of who he was.

33:58So he's kind of a, I mean,

34:00many of these figures who sit at the pinnacle of this world

34:02are fictive heroes that people map

34:07their aspirations onto, right?

34:08And so people like Mullah Omar,

34:10who was then head of the Taliban,

34:13was rarely seen in public.

34:15The current head of the Taliban

34:17is almost never seen in public.

34:19I mean, there's a kind of studied era of mystery

34:22that they've cultivated to make themselves available

34:25for all kinds of fantasies, right?

34:27- Do you think he believed, so his religious beliefs,

34:32do you think he believed some of the more extreme things

34:38that enable him to commit terrorist acts?

34:42Maybe put another way,

34:44what makes a man want to become a terrorist?

34:46And what aspect of bin Laden

34:48made him want to be a terrorist?

34:50- Right, right.

34:52I mean, let me offer some observations.

34:54I think there are others who know more about bin Laden

34:57and have far more expertise in al-Qaeda.

34:59So I'm coming at this in an adjacent way,

35:04kind of from Afghanistan and from my historical training.

35:06So this is my two cents, so bear with me.

35:10I don't have the authoritative account.

35:12- Which in itself is fascinating

35:14because you're a historian of Afghanistan

35:17and the fact that bin Laden isn't a huge part

35:21of your focus of study just means that bin Laden

35:24is not a key part of the history of Afghanistan,

35:28except that America made him a key part

35:31of the history of Afghanistan.

35:32- I would endorse that, definitely.

35:33That's it, I mean, you put it in a very pity way.

35:36Yeah, so listen, he was, so he was an engineer.

35:40He was said to be a playboy.

35:42He spent a lot of cash from his family.

35:45You know, like many young Saudis

35:46and from some other countries,

35:48he was inspired by this idea

35:50that there was jihad in Afghanistan.

35:52It was gonna take down one of the two superpowers,

35:55the Soviet Union, who, you know,

35:58the Red Army did murder hundreds of thousands,

36:01perhaps as many as 2 million Afghan civilians

36:05during that conflict.

36:06It's very, you know, plausible and very, you know,

36:12completely understandable that many young people

36:14would see that cause as, you know,

36:18the righteous, pious fighters for jihad

36:21who call themselves Mujahideen,

36:23arrayed against this evil empire, right,

36:26of a godless Soviet empire that,

36:30I mean, there's even confusion about what the Soviets wanted.

36:31Right, now we know much more about, like,

36:33what the Kremlin wanted, what Brezhnev wanted,

36:36and how the Soviet elite thought about it

36:37because we have many more of their records.

36:39But from the outside, you know, for Jimmy Carter

36:42and for Reagan, it looked like the Soviets

36:44were making a move on South Asia

36:47because they wanted to get to the warm water ports,

36:50you know, which Russians always want, supposedly, right?

36:52And it was kind of a move to take over our oil

36:56and, you know, to assert world domination, right?

36:58So there are lots of ways in which this looked like

37:01good versus evil.

37:02In Congress, it looked like, you know,

37:05kind of Vietnam again, but this time,

37:07this is our chance to get them.

37:08And there are lots of great quotes.

37:11I mean, disturbing, but really revealing quotes

37:13that American Postal Workers made about

37:16wanting to give the Soviets their Vietnam.

37:19So the CIA funneled, you know,

37:22hundreds of millions of dollars into this project

37:24to back the Mujahideen, you know,

37:25who Reagan called freedom fighters.

37:27And so, Bin Laden was part of that universe.

37:29He's part of that, you know,

37:30he's swimming in the ocean of these Afghan Mujahideen

37:33who out of size, you know, did 95% of the fighting.

37:36They're the ones who died.

37:37They're the ones who defeated the Red Army, right?

37:40The Arabs who were there did a little fighting,

37:43but a lot of it was for, you know, their purposes.

37:45It was to get experience.

37:47It was to kind of create their reputations.

37:50Like Bin Laden began to forge for himself

37:52of being spokesman for a global project.

37:55Because by the late 80s, when Bin Laden,

37:57I think was more active and began conspiring

38:00with people from other Arab countries,

38:02the idea that, you know, Gorbachev came to power in '85.

38:05He's like, let's get out of here.

38:07This is draining the Soviet budget.

38:09It's an embarrassment.

38:10We didn't think about this properly.

38:13Let's focus on restoring the party

38:17and strengthening the Soviet Union.

38:19Let's get out of this costly war.

38:20You know, it's a waste.

38:22It's not worth it.

38:23We don't lose anything by getting out of Afghanistan.

38:26And so their retreat was quite effective and successful

38:31from the Soviet point of view, right?

38:33It's not what we're seeing now.

38:35- What year was the retreat?

38:37- I mean, it began, so Mikhail Gorbachev came to power

38:40in '85, you know, he was a generation younger

38:42than the other guys.

38:44He was a critic of the system.

38:46He didn't wanna abolish it.

38:47He wanted to reform it.

38:48He was a true believer in Soviet socialism

38:51and the party as a monopolist, right?

38:55But he was critical of the old guard

38:58and recognized that the party had to change

39:00and the whole system had to change to continue to compete.

39:04And so Afghanistan was one element of this.

39:07And so he pushed the Afghan elites that Moscow was backing

39:12to basically say, listen, we're gonna share power.

39:16And so a figure named Najibullah,

39:19who was a Soviet trained intelligence specialist

39:23sitting in Kabul, agreed.

39:26And he said, we need to have a more kind of pluralistic

39:30accommodations approach to our enemies

39:33who are backed by the US mainly,

39:36sitting in Pakistan, sitting in Iran,

39:39backed by these Arabs to a degree,

39:40getting money from Saudi.

39:42And he said, let's draw some of them into the government

39:45and basically have a kind of unity government

39:48that would make some space for the opposition.

39:50And for the most part, with US backing,

39:53with Pakistani backing, with Iranian backing,

39:56and with Saudi backing, the opposition said, no,

39:58we're not going to reconcile.

40:00We're gonna push you off the cliff.

40:02And so that story goes on from at least 1987.

40:06The last Soviet Red Army troops leave early 1989.

40:10But the Najibullah government holds on for three more years.

40:15It is the, I mean,

40:17they're still getting some help from the Soviet Union.

40:18Its enemies are still getting help from the US mainly.

40:21And it's not until '92 that they lose.

40:26And then Mujahideen come to power.

40:29They immediately, they're deeply fractured.

40:33- And that's where bin Laden is watching all of this unroll.

40:35- That's right.

40:36And he's part of the mix, but he's also mobile.

40:37So he at one point goes, is in Sudan.

40:42He's moving from place to place.

40:44His people are all over the world.

40:45In fact, they, I mean, if you think of the,

40:48once the Mujahideen take power,

40:50they have difficulties with Arab fighters too.

40:52And they don't want them coming in and messing with,

40:55Mujahideen regard this as like,

40:57this is an Afghan national state that we're gonna build.

40:59It's gonna be Islamic.

41:00It's gonna be an Islamic state,

41:01but you can't interfere with us.

41:03And so there are always tensions.

41:05And so the Arabs are always kind of,

41:07I would say they were,

41:08Arab fighters were always interlopers.

41:10Yes, the Afghans are happy to take their money,

41:13send patients to their hospitals, take their weapons,

41:17but they're never gonna let this be like a Saudi

41:20or Egyptian or whatever project.

41:22But then many of those fighters went home.

41:26They went back to Syria.

41:27They went back to Egypt.

41:29Some wanted to go back to Saudi Arabia,

41:30but the Saudis were very careful.

41:31I mean, the Saudis always used Afghanistan

41:33as a kind of safety valve.

41:34In fact, they had fundraisers on television.

41:37They chartered jets.

41:38They filled them with people to fly to Pakistan,

41:41get out in the shower and say, go fight.

41:44And it was one way that the monarchy,

41:46the Saudi monarchy, very cleverly, I think,

41:50created a kind of escape valve

41:52for would-be dissidents in Saudi Arabia, right?

41:55Just send them abroad.

41:56You wanna fight Jihad?

41:58Go do that somewhere else.

§06Transcript · 41:59–50:26

41:59Don't bother the kingdom.

42:01But all this became dicier in the early '90s

42:04when some of these guys came back home

42:06and some of the scholars around them said,

42:08let's, we've defeated the Soviet Union,

42:10which is a huge, huge boost.

42:11I think part of the dynamic we see today

42:12is that the Taliban victory is a renewed inspiration

42:17for people who think, look, we beat the Soviets.

42:20Now we beat the Americans.

42:22And so already watching the Soviet retreat

42:24across this bridge back into Uzbekistan,

42:26if you see these dramatic images of the tanks moving,

42:30a lot of people interpreted this as like,

42:32we are going to change the world

42:34and now we're turning to the Americans.

42:36And our local national governments

42:38are backed by the Americans.

42:39So let's start with those places.

42:42And then let's go strike the belly of the beast,

42:44which is America, which is New York.

42:47And going back to Bin Laden,

42:48your question about what motivates him, what motivated him,

42:51again, he was not a rigorously trained Islamic scholar.

42:57And that, I think, when this comes up in our classes,

43:00I think, especially young people,

43:01I mean, people who weren't even born in 9/11,

43:03I mean, they're shocked.

43:03They see his appearance.

43:05They see him pictured in front of a giant bookshelf

43:10of Arabic books.

43:11He's got the Kalashnikov.

43:13He's got what looks like a religious scholar's library

43:15behind him, right?

43:16But if you look at his words, I mean,

43:20one fascinating thing about just our politics

43:21and just one thing that kind of sums all this up,

43:22I mean, the fact that on 9/11,

43:25we had to have a few people, a few experts,

43:29people like Bernard Rubin, who was an Afghanistan expert.

43:32So that was one way in which I think,

43:33I'm not faulting him personally,

43:35but it's just one way in which that relationship

43:37appeared to be formed, right,

43:40of linking Afghanistan to that moment.

43:42If one looks actually at what Bin Laden was saying and doing,

43:47people like Richard Clarke were studying this.

43:49There were Arab leaders.

43:50The Arab press was watching this

43:51because he gave some of his first interviews

43:54to a few Arab newspaper outlets.

43:57But speaking of our American kind of monolingualism,

44:01a lot of what he was saying wasn't known.

44:02And so I think for several years,

44:05people weren't reading what Bin Laden said.

44:08I mean, experts are reading it in Arabic,

44:10but there was great anxiety around translating his works.

44:14So we have Mein Kampf, we have all this other stuff.

44:16You can buy the collected works of Lenin, Stalin, Mao,

44:18whatever you want in whatever language you want.

44:21But Bin Laden was taboo for American publishing.

44:23And so it was only Verso in the UK

44:26that published a famous volume called

44:29Messages to the World,

44:31which was the first compendium of Bin Laden's writings.

44:33- So he has a Mein Kampf.

44:36He has a type, does he have a thing where he--

44:38- I mean, it's a kind of collected works.

44:39It's a collected works of his--

44:41- He had like a blog.

44:43It's a collection of articles versus--

44:46- Yeah, these are interviews.

44:47These are his missives, his declarations,

44:52his decrees, right?

44:54But I think just in terms of,

44:57if we zoom out for a second about

44:58American policy choices and so on,

45:00the powers that be didn't trust us

45:02to know what he was really about.

45:04I put it that way.

45:05And I don't say that in a conspiratorial sense.

45:06I just think that it was a taboo.

45:11I think people, there was a kind of consensus that

45:15trust us, we know how to fight Al-Qaeda.

45:20And you don't need to know what they're about

45:21because they're crazy.

45:22They're fanatics, they're fundamentalists.

45:24They hate us, remember that language?

45:26Us versus them.

45:28But if you read Bin Laden, that's when it gets messy.

45:30That's where Bin Laden's argumentation

45:34is not fundamentally about Islam.

45:37And if you're sitting here with an Islamic scholar,

45:39he would say, depending on which Islamic scholar,

45:43they would tend to go through and dissect

45:45and negate 99% of the arguments

45:48that Bin Laden claimed was in Islam, right?

45:51But what strikes me as an historian,

45:52who's again, looking at this adjacently,

45:55if you read Bin Laden, I mean, the arguments that he make

45:58are, first of all, they're sophisticated.

46:01They reflect a mind that is about geopolitics.

46:06He uses terms like imperialism.

46:09He knows something about world history.

46:12He knows something about geography.

46:14- So imperialism is the enemy for him?

46:16Or what's the nature of the enemy?

46:18- It's an amalgam.

46:19And like a good politician, which is what I would call him,

46:23he is adept at speaking in different ways

46:26to different audiences.

46:28So if you look at the context in which he speaks,

46:30if you look at messages to the world,

46:32if you look at his writings, and you can zoom out now,

46:35and we now have compendia of the writings

46:37of Al-Qaeda more broadly.

46:39You can purchase these.

46:40They're basically primary source collections.

46:45We now have that for the Taliban.

46:46I mean, what's fascinating about,

46:49I think, if you'd like this culture,

46:52acknowledging it's very diverse internally,

46:55is that these people are representatives

46:58of political movements who seek followers.

47:01They speak.

47:02They often are very, I'd say, skilled at visual imagery.

47:07And especially now, I mean, what's fascinating is that,

47:10I mean, the Taliban used to shoot televisions.

47:12They used to blow up VCR, videotapes.

47:17They used to string audio and video cassettes from trees

47:23and kind of ceremonial hangings, right?

47:25That were killing this nefarious, infidel technology

47:30that is doing the work of Satan.

47:32And yet today, one of the keys to the Taliban's success

47:35is that they got really good at using media.

47:38I mean, brilliant at using the written word,

47:42the spoken word, music, actually.

47:44And Hollywood, Hollywood is the gold standard.

47:48And these guys have studied how to create drama,

47:52how to speak to modern users.

47:53I mean, Islamic State did this.

47:55I mean, the role of media, new media.

47:57I mean, I follow and I am followed

48:00by senior Taliban leaders, which is bizarre on Twitter.

48:05- On Twitter?

48:07- I don't know why they care about me.

48:08I'm nothing.

48:10- They follow you on Twitter.

48:12- I don't know why.

48:13This is no joke, this is no joke.

48:15They are part of our modern world.

48:17It's how they talk and it's how they recruit.

48:18And this is part of the, this is why they are.

48:20So Bin Laden, if you read Bin Laden,

48:22he speaks multiple languages, I would say.

48:24It's environmentalism.

48:27The West is bad because we destroyed the planet.

48:31The West is bad because we abuse women.

48:34So in class, especially female students

48:38are very surprised to learn,

48:40and actually say, this feminist argument is not,

48:43we start with, this is a murderer.

48:47This is a person who has taken human life,

48:49innocent life over and over again.

48:51And he is aspirationally genocidal.

48:56But let's try to understand what he's about.

48:57So we walk through the texts, read them,

48:59and people are shocked to learn that it's not just about

49:03quotations from the Quran

49:05strung together in some irrational fashion.

49:08He knows, I mean, at the core,

49:10I'd say is the problem of human suffering.

49:12And he has a geography of that that is mostly Muslim,

49:15but he talked about the suffering of Kashmir.

49:17All right, so if you have a student in your class

49:19who's from South Asia, who knows about Kashmir,

49:22he or she will say, that's not entirely inaccurate.

49:25The Indian state commits atrocities in Kashmir.

49:29Pakistanis have done that too.

49:33Palestine is an issue, right?

49:35So you have, in the American university setting,

49:37people across the spectrum who get that,

49:41Palestinians have had a raw deal.

49:43And so it's a, victimhood is essential

49:46and it's Muslim victimhood, which is primary,

49:50but as a number of scholars have written,

49:52and I definitely think this is a framework

49:55for what this useful.

49:56I mean, in this kind of vocabulary,

49:58in this framing, this narrative,

50:00today, in today's world,

50:03if we think of today's world being post-Cold War,

50:0691 to the present, looking at the series of Gulf Wars,

50:11and seeing the visuals of that,

50:12I think that, I think the American public

50:14has been shielded from some of this,

50:15but if you look at just the carnage of the Iraqi army

50:20that George H.W. Bush produced, right?

50:24Or you think of the images of the suffering

50:26of Iraqi children under George H.W. Bush's sanctions,

§07Transcript · 50:31–1:00:07

50:31US-British airstrikes,

50:33then you have Madeleine Albright

50:35answer a question on "60 Minutes" saying,

50:37"Do you think the deaths of half a million Iraqi kids

50:40"is worth it?

50:41"Is that justified to contain Saddam Hussein?"

50:44And she says on camera, "Yes, it's worth it to me."

50:47If you put that all together,

50:49I mean, American kids, and of course the American public,

50:52they're not always aware of those facts of global history,

50:55but these guys are, and they very capably

51:00use these images, use these tropes,

51:03and use facts.

51:03I mean, some of these things are not deniable.

51:05I mean, these estimates about the number

51:08of Iraqi civilian children dead,

51:10that came from, I think, the Lancet,

51:12and it came from, those are estimates.

51:14But looking at this from the point of view of Amman,

51:18of Jaffa, of Nairobi,

51:22just think around the planet,

51:24if you see yourself as the victim

51:26of this great imperial power,

51:28you can see why especially young men would be drawn

51:31to a road of self-sacrifice.

51:36And the idea is that in killing others,

51:41you are making them feel how you feel.

51:46Because they won't listen to your arguments reasonably,

51:49because they won't recognize Palestinian suffering,

51:52Bosnian suffering, Chechen suffering.

51:55You go across the planet, right?

51:57Because they won't recognize our suffering,

52:00we're gonna speak to you in the only language

52:01you understand, and that's violence.

52:04And look at the violence of the post-1991 world,

52:08in which American air power really becomes a global

52:12kind of fact in the lives of so many people.

52:15And then the big mistake after 9/11, among many,

52:19I mean, fundamentally was taking the war on terror

52:22to some 30 or 40 countries,

52:25so that you have more and more of the globe

52:28feel like they're under attack.

52:30And the logic is that essentially,

52:32it's not, it's free bin Laden,

52:33it's not, we're going to convert you

52:36and turn you into Muslims, and that's why we're doing this.

52:38That appears, that claim does appear at times.

52:42But it's, if you look at any given bin Laden text,

52:45I mean, there are 40 claims in each text.

52:47I mean, it's kind of, it's dizzying,

52:48but he's a modern politician,

52:51he knows the language of social equality.

52:54You know, that there's a class dimension to it,

52:56there is an environmental dimension to it,

52:58there's a gender dimension to it.

53:00And yes, there are chronic quotes sprinkled in.

53:04And when he wants to speak that language,

53:06he knew that, you know, he's not a scholar.

53:09So he would often get a few recognized scholars to sign on.

53:13So some of his declarations of jihad had his signature

53:17kind of sprinkled in with like a dozen other signatures

53:20from people who are somewhat known,

53:22or at least, you know, with titles, right?

53:24So as a kind of intellectual exercise,

53:28it's fascinating to see that he is throwing everything

53:31at the wall in one level.

53:33That's one way to see that it's a,

53:35these are kind of testaments toward recruitment

53:39of people who, yes, they're angry, yes, they're unhappy.

53:43And this is what, you know, I think for our broader public,

53:46it's hard to get, you're like, well, bin Laden didn't suffer.

53:49He wasn't poor.

53:51Like, yeah, I mean, Lenin, Pol Pot.

53:54- I mean, they're speaking to,

53:56they're empathetic to the suffering, the landscape,

53:58the full landscape of suffering.

53:59It's interesting to think about suffering, you know,

54:03America, the American public,

54:06American politicians and leaders,

54:08when they see what is good and evil,

54:13they're often not empathetic to the suffering of others.

54:16And what you're saying is bin Laden perhaps accurately

54:21could speak to the ignorance of America,

54:24maybe the Soviet Union, to the suffering of their people.

54:28- That's right.

54:29- And I mean, if you look at the speeches

54:32and the ideas that are public of Hitler in the 1930s,

54:37he spoke quite accurately to the injustice

54:42and maybe the suffering of the German people.

54:46It, I mean, charismatic politicians

54:49are good at telling accurate stories.

54:50It's not all fabricated,

54:53but they emphasize certain aspects.

54:55And then the problem part is the actions

54:58you should take based on that.

55:00So the narratives and the stories

55:03may be grounded in historical accuracy.

55:06The actions then cross the line, the ethical line.

55:11- I thought that too.

55:12I mean, it's a, again, if you pick up just one of these texts,

55:14I mean, it's a kaleidoscope.

55:15So the Hitler analogy is interesting

55:18because it's, you know, Hitler spoke to,

55:21he could speak to things like inflation, right?

55:23Which really existed.

55:24But he also appealed to the irrational emotions

55:28of Germans, right?

55:29He sought out scapegoats, you know, Jews, Roma,

55:34disabled people, homosexuals, and so on, right?

55:38That's also there in bin Laden too.

55:40I mean, the idea of, you know, an anti-Semitism,

55:44the constant flagging of Zionists and crusaders.

55:47It's a kind of shotgun approach to a search for followers.

55:50But I'd also hasten to add that it's,

55:53for all of the things that we could tick off saying,

55:55well, yes, Kashmiris have suffered,

55:58Chechens have suffered, and so on.

56:00Bin Ladenism never became a mass movement.

56:04I mean, it never really, I think the,

56:06I mean, this is the encouraging thing, right?

56:09About ideology.

56:11I mean, I think the blood on his hands

56:14always limited his appeal among Muslims and others.

56:18But bin Laden did have, I mean, he had a,

56:20there's a great book by a great scholar at UC San Diego,

56:24Jeremy Prestholt, who wrote a great book about global icons

56:29in which he has bin Laden, he has Bob Marley,

56:34he has Tupac, you know, he asked why,

56:40you know, when he's doing research in East Africa,

56:42why did he see young kids wearing bin Laden shirts?

56:46They're also wearing like Tupac shirts.

56:48They're wearing bin Bob Marley shirts.

56:50And basically it's a way of looking at

56:52a kind of partial embrace of some aspects

56:57of the rebelliousness of some of these figures,

57:01some of the time by some people under certain conditions.

57:05- Well, the terrifying thing to me,

57:06so yeah, there is a longing in the human heart

57:08to belong to a group and a charismatic leader somehow,

57:13especially when you're young,

57:16just a catalyst for all of that.

57:17And I tend to think that perhaps

57:22it's actually hard to be Hitler.

57:24So a leader so charismatic that he can rile a nation to war.

57:29And bin Laden, perhaps we're lucky,

57:32was not sufficiently charismatic.

57:35I feel like if his writing was better,

57:37if his speeches were better,

57:39if his ideas were stronger,

57:41better, it's like more viral,

57:46and then there would be more people,

57:48kind of young people uniting around him.

57:52So in some sense, it's almost like accidents of history

57:56of just how much charisma,

57:58how much charisma a particular evil person has,

58:01a person like bin Laden.

58:03- I think it's fair, evil works, I think.

58:05- So you think bin Laden is evil?

58:07- Oh yeah, yeah, yeah.

58:08I mean, he was a mass murderer.

58:09I'm just saying that his ideas were,

58:13they're more complex than we've tended to acknowledge.

58:17They have a wider potential resonance

58:22than we would acknowledge.

58:23I mean, and also I guess just one fundamental point

58:27is that thinking about the complexity of bin Laden

58:31is also a way of removing him from Islam.

58:34He is not an Islamic thinker.

58:36He is a cosmopolitan thinker

58:39who plays in all kinds of modern ideologies,

58:43which have proven to mobilize people in the past, right?

58:45So anti-Semitism, populism, environmentalism,

58:50and the urging to do something about humanity,

58:56do something about suffering.

58:57That's why I think the actual,

58:59you ask about what motivates people to do this kind of stuff.

59:01I think that's why if one goes below the level of leadership

59:04and this is being reported,

59:05if you look at the trial ongoing now in Paris

59:09of the Baraklan murders, I think,

59:12the court allowed some discussion

59:15of the backgrounds of the accused.

59:17And they come from different backgrounds,

59:20but if there's any common bond,

59:22it's kind of that they had some background in petty crime.

59:26Famously in the 7/7 bombings in London,

59:28the Metropolitan Police, UK authorities

59:32looked at all those guys

59:34and what people want is this idea

59:36that they must be very pious.

59:39They must be super Islamic to do this kind of stuff.

59:42They must be fanatical true believers.

59:43But what they found with those guys

59:45was that some were nominally Muslim,

59:50some went to mosques, some didn't.

59:51Some were single, young guys with criminal backgrounds.

59:57Some were like, sorry, they were kind of misfits

60:01who never succeeded in anything.

60:04But others had, at least one of them had a wife and family

60:07who he widowed and orphaned.

§08Transcript · 1:00:10–1:08:15

60:10And so there's no, I mean, for policing,

60:12I mean, if you're looking at it through that lens,

60:15there is no kind of typology

60:17that will predict who will become violent.

60:20And that's why I think we have to move beyond

60:22thinking about religious augmentation narrowly or by itself

60:25and think about things like geopolitics,

60:27think about how people respond to inequality,

60:31the existential threat of climate crisis,

60:35of a whole host of matters,

60:38and think about this is a mode of political contestation.

60:42I mean, it's a violent one, it's one I condemn.

60:43It is evil, right?

60:45But these are people that are,

60:46they're trying to be political.

60:47They're trying to change things in some way.

60:49It's not narrowly about like,

60:51I'm gonna impose Sharia law on you.

60:54You must wear a veil.

60:55You must eat this kind of food.

60:57It's not that parochial.

60:59But another quick thought about your interesting claim

61:02about charisma in this,

61:03I think that the one self-limiting feature

61:06of this subculture is that definitely,

61:11I mentioned the enigma of not wanting to be seen

61:13and that the kind of invisibility

61:17is a productive force of a power,

61:19which a colleague of mine who knows ancient history

61:23far better than I,

61:25this is when she looked at Mullah Omar initially,

61:29or we talk about Bin Laden,

61:30I mean, this kind of studied posture

61:33of staying in the shadows,

61:34is also a source of authority potentially,

61:38because it invites the idea,

61:41and it's partly dictatorships do this well.

61:42I mean, it invites the idea that someone's working,

61:45and maybe it's the basis for a lot of QAnon

61:47or other conspiracy today,

61:48that someone's working behind the scenes

61:51and things are gonna go the right way.

61:53You can't see it.

61:54That's almost preferable because you can kind of feel it.

61:57And so not having someone out front

62:00can maybe be more effective

62:02than having someone out in front constantly.

62:04- Maybe, maybe.

62:06- And then the whole Bin Laden,

62:07Mullah Omar thing like you can't see me,

62:09or if you look at Bin Laden's photographs

62:11and his video stuff,

62:13I mean, he's coy.

62:14Some observers have noted that he's kind of effeminate.

62:18He doesn't strike this kind of masculine,

62:21he's not a Mussolini,

62:22he's not a Hitler,

62:24macho, I'm standing,

62:25thumping my chest,

62:26he's not doing the theatrical chin,

62:28the theater people tell us is so aggressive.

62:31- Oh, a chin?

62:33Just what, bringing your chin up?

62:35- I saw a great BBC theater person,

62:38it was kind of a,

62:39it was a makeover show about how to become a better-

62:42- A dictator?

62:43Oh no, a powerful,

62:45yeah, leader, authoritarian figure.

62:47- No, just how to get ahead in life.

62:49And then- - Oh, okay, cool.

62:51- And just about acting,

62:52how you can act differently, right?

62:53So it was a BBC thing.

62:55And this woman claimed that sticking your chin out,

63:00like a wrestler does, right,

63:01is the most male-to-male-

63:03- I love this kind of- - Most aggressive-

63:04- Hilarious analysis that people have about power.

63:08- But watch the chin, watch the chin.

63:09- It's the same as analyzing in wrestling,

63:13styles that win, or fighting, or so on.

63:16There's so many ways to do it.

63:17- Well, the chin, I mean, the chin is a,

63:19could be interesting verbal gesture.

63:21And I've watched enough Mussolini footage from my classes

63:25to try to pick the right moment.

63:27And the chin is, Mussolini's all about the chin, so.

63:29- And I have watched human beings and human nature enough

63:33to know that there's more to a man,

63:36a powerful man, than a chin.

63:38- Yeah, no, no, no, I'm saying it's an act of aggression.

63:40I'm not saying it's-

63:41- It's one of the many tools in the toolkit.

63:43- Yeah, yeah, sure, yeah.

63:44- So she definitely-

63:45- It's not all about the chin, but it's a-

63:47- But that's what I'm trying to tell you about Bin Laden.

63:49I don't think he was deliberate enough

63:52with the way he presents himself.

63:55- What I'm saying about Bin Laden

63:55that makes him different from these other characters

63:57is that because he played it being the scholar,

64:01he played it being a figure of modesty and humility.

64:05And that meant that he was often,

64:07again, if you watch his visuals, I mean, yes,

64:09there's one video of him firing a gun,

64:11but if you watch how he moved,

64:14how he wouldn't look at people directly,

64:16how his face was almost,

64:17I mean, he appears to be incredibly shy.

64:20He's not spoken, his voice was low.

64:23He attempted to be poetic, right?

64:25So it wasn't a warrior kind of image

64:28that he tried to project of like a tough guy.

64:30It was, I'm demure, I'm humble,

64:34I'm offering you this message.

64:37And the appeal that he was going for was to see,

64:43to project himself as a scholar,

64:45his knowledge and humility, the whole package,

64:48carried with it an authenticity and a valor

64:52that would animate,

64:54inspire people to commit acts of violence, right?

64:56So it's a different kind of logic of like go and kill, right?

64:59- So he presented himself in contrast

65:03to the imperialist kind of macho power.

65:07- Bombastic, whatever, yeah.

65:09- So that's just yet another way of,

65:13and you have to have facial hair

65:14or hair of different kinds that's recognized.

65:16We had a very recognizable look too,

65:18or at least later in life.

65:19- So yeah, no, he tried to look the part.

65:22Yeah, yeah.

65:23- But I'm saying we're fortunate

65:25that whatever calculation that he was making,

65:29he was not more effective.

65:32- Yeah.

65:33- I mean, there's,

65:35the world is full of terrorist organizations

65:38and we're fortunate to the degree,

65:41any one of them does not have

65:43an incredibly charismatic leader

65:45that attains the kind of power

65:47that's very difficult to manage at the geopolitical level.

65:52- Yeah, and we credit the publics,

65:55you know, who don't bind to that, right?

65:57Who see through this.

65:57We credit the critics, you know?

66:00Fairly on, going back to 9/11 itself,

66:03one of the problems was that US government officials

66:08kept kind of leaning on Muslims to condemn this

66:12as if all Muslims shared some collective responsibility

66:16or culpability.

66:17And in fact, dozens of scholars

66:22and organizations, hundreds condemned this,

66:25but their condemnations never quite made it out.

66:27But it created a tension where, you know,

66:29if you wore a veil, you must've been one of them

66:32and you must be on team Bin Laden.

66:34And so a lot of the, you know,

66:35I think a lot of the popular violence and discrimination

66:38and profiling came out of that urge to see a oneness,

66:43which, you know, Bin Laden projected, right?

66:45He wanted to say, we are one community, you know,

66:48if you are a Muslim, you must be with me, right?

66:50But I think that's where the diversity

66:53of Muslim communities became important

66:55because outside of small pockets,

66:57I mean, they didn't accept his leadership, right?

67:00People wore t-shirts in some countries.

67:01I mean, non-Muslims wore t-shirts

67:02'cause he was like, he stuck it to the Americans.

67:03So in Latin America, people were like,

67:07yeah, that was sad, but you know, finally,

67:09I mean, there was a kind of schadenfreude

67:10in that moment internationally.

67:11- Yeah, it's like Che Guevara or somebody like that.

67:13- Yeah, Che's the other character in Pesel's book, yeah.

67:16Yeah, that's right, that's right, yeah.

67:17- It's just as simple, it's not exactly what he believed

67:20or the cruelty of actions he took.

67:23It's more like he stood for an idea

67:24of revolution versus authority.

67:28- That's right.

67:29And that's a great way to understand Bin Ladenism

67:32and the whole phenomenon,

67:33but I think looking at the big picture,

67:35it's also, you wonder, will that ever end, right?

67:40I mean, is that, I mean, that's the risk

67:42of being a kind of hyperpower like the US

67:45where you, in insisting on a kind of unipolar world

67:49in 2001, 2002, 2003, I think that created

67:53an almost irresistible target wherever the US

67:58wanted to exert itself militarily.

68:00- Before I go to the history of Afghanistan,

68:04the people, and I just wanna talk to you

68:05about just some fascinating aspect of the culture.

68:10Let's go to the end, withdrawal of US troops

68:15from Afghanistan.

§09Transcript · 1:08:17–1:17:48

68:17What are your thoughts on how that was executed?

68:20How could it have been done better?

68:24- Yeah, an important question.

68:26I mean, I would preface all this by saying,

68:28as I noted, I think the war was a mistake.

68:33I had hoped the war would end sooner.

68:36I think there were different exit routes all along the way.

68:39Again, I think there were lots of policy choices

68:43in September, in October when the war began.

68:45There were choices in December, 2001.

68:50So we could look at almost every six-month stopping point

68:54and say we could have done differently.

68:57As it turns out, though, I mean, the way it played out,

69:00you know, it's been catastrophic.

69:02And I think the Biden administration

69:06has remained unaccountable for the scale

69:10of the strategic and humanitarian and ethical failure

69:14that they're responsible for.

69:16- Well, okay, let's lay out the full.

69:19There's George W. Bush.

69:21There's Barack Obama.

69:24There's Donald Trump.

69:25- That's right. - There's Biden.

69:27So they're all driving this van

69:31and there's these exits and they keep not taking the exits

69:34and they're running out of gas.

69:36I do this all the time thinking,

69:37where am I gonna pull off?

69:38I'll go to the vertilis empty.

69:41How could have it been done better?

69:43And what exactly, how much suffering

69:48have all the decisions along the way caused?

69:52What are the long-term consequences?

69:54What are the biggest things that concern you

69:56about the decisions we've made

69:58in both invading Afghanistan

70:00and staying in Afghanistan as long as we have?

70:03- I mean, if we start at the end, as you proposed,

70:05you know, the horrific scenes of the airport,

70:09you know, that was just one dimension.

70:11I think in the weeks to come,

70:14I mean, we're gonna see Afghanistan implode.

70:18There are lots of signs that malnutrition,

70:22hunger, starvation are going to claim

70:25tens of thousands, maybe hundreds of thousands

70:27of lives this winter.

70:29And I think there is really nothing,

70:33there's no framework in place to foresaw that.

70:38- What is the government,

70:40what is currently the system there?

70:42What's the role of the Taliban?

70:44So there could be tens of thousands,

70:46hundreds of thousands that starve,

70:48either just almost a famine or starve to death.

70:54So this is economic implosion, this is political implosion.

70:58What's the system there like

71:01and what could be the one, you know, some inkling of hope?

71:05- Right, right.

71:05The Taliban sit in control.

71:08That's unique.

71:09When they were in power in the 1990s,

71:11from 1996, 2001, they controlled some 85 to 90%

71:16of the country.

71:18Now they own it all, but they have no budget.

71:22The Afghan banking system is frozen.

71:28- So the financial system's a mess.

71:30- And it's frozen by the US

71:32because the US is trying to use that lever

71:34to exert pressure on the Taliban.

71:36And so the ethical quandaries are, of course,

71:39legion, right?

71:40Do you release that money to allow the Taliban

71:44to shore up their rule, right?

71:46The Biden administration has said no,

71:48but the banks aren't working.

71:51If you're in California,

71:54you wanna send $100 to your cousin,

71:56so she can buy bread.

71:58You can't do that now.

72:00It's almost impossible.

72:01There are some informal networks.

72:02They're moving some stuff, but there are bread lines.

72:06The Taliban government is incapable,

72:09fundamentally, just of ruling.

72:10I mean, they can discipline people on the street.

72:13They can force people into the mosque.

72:15They can shoot people.

72:16They can beat protesters.

72:18They can put out a newspaper.

72:20They can have, they're great at diplomacy, it turns out.

72:23They can't rule this country.

72:24So essentially, the hospitals

72:27and the kind of healthcare infrastructure

72:31is being managed by NGOs that are international.

72:36But most people had to leave,

72:41and the Taliban have impeded some of that work.

72:44They've told adult women, essentially, to stay home, right?

72:48So a big part of the workforce isn't there.

72:51So I mean, the supply chain is kind of crawling to a halt.

72:56Trade with Pakistan and its neighbors,

73:00I mean, it's kind of a transit trade economy.

73:02It exports fruits.

73:05Pakistan has been closing the border

73:07because they're anxious about refugees.

73:09They wanna exert pressure on the international community

73:12to recognize the Taliban,

73:13because the Pakistan want the Taliban to succeed in power,

73:17because they see that in Pakistan's national interest,

73:20especially through the lens of its rivalry with India.

73:24So the Pakistani security institutions

73:27are playing a double game.

73:29Essentially, the Afghan people are being held hostage.

73:31And so the Taliban are also saying,

73:34if you don't recognize us,

73:36you're gonna let tens of millions of Afghans starve.

73:39- So to which degree is Taliban, like, who are the Taliban?

73:44What do they stand for?

73:45What do they want?

73:47Obviously, year by year, this changes.

73:49So what is the nature of this organization?

73:53Can they be a legitimate, peaceful, kind, respectful

73:57government sort of holder of power,

74:02or are they fundamentally not capable of doing so?

74:06- Yeah.

74:08I mean, the briefest answer would be that they are a

74:10clerical/military organization.

74:17They have, this is kind of a imperfect metaphor,

74:22but years ago, a German scholar used the term caravan

74:28to describe them.

74:29And that has some attractive elements,

74:31because different people who joined the Taliban

74:35for different purposes at different times.

74:37But today, and people tell us,

74:40scholars who know more about the movement than I,

74:41have said, "Listen, the Taliban is this kind of hodgepodge

74:45of different actors and people and competing interests."

74:48And I think, so we have a lot of scholars who say,

74:51"Listen, it's polycentric.

74:54It's got people in this city and that city and so on."

74:57I think actually, I was always very skeptical.

75:00How do they know this?

75:00I mean, this is an organization that doesn't want you to know

75:04where their money comes from and so on.

75:06But I would say, now that we have a clearer picture

75:09of what has happened, I'd say they are a astoundingly

75:13well-organized clerical military organization

75:17that has a very cohesive and enduring ideology,

75:22which is quite idiosyncratic if we zoom out

75:27and continue the conversation we're having about Islam

75:29and how we think about radicalism and who's drawn to what.

75:32People throw different terms around to describe the Taliban.

75:38Some use a term that links it to a kind of school of thought

75:43born in the 19th century in India, the Doobandi school.

75:45But if you look at their teachings, it's very clear now,

75:49I think that these labels, it's like saying,

75:53"You're an MIT guy."

75:54Well, what does that mean?

75:54I mean, MIT is home to dozens of different,

75:58potentially, kinds of intellectual orientations, right?

76:02I mean, attaching the name of a school

76:03doesn't quite capture, I mean, university.

76:07- It's complicated.

76:08I mean, actually, MIT is interesting

76:09'cause I would say MIT is different

76:11than Stanford, for example.

76:13I think MIT has a more kind of narrow-

76:16- Yeah, I hear you.

76:18Bad analogy on my part, maybe.

76:19- Well, no, it's interesting because I would argue

76:21that there's some aspect of a brand, like Taliban or MIT,

76:26no relation, that has a kind of interact,

76:32like the brand results in the behavior of the,

76:37like enforces a kind of behavior on the people

76:39and the people feed the brand.

76:40And like, there's a loop.

76:41I think Stanford is a good example

76:43of something that's more distributed.

76:45There's sufficient amount of diversity

76:48in like all kinds of like centers

76:50and all that kind of stuff

76:51that the brand doesn't become one thing.

76:54And MIT is so engineering.

76:57It's so good at that.

76:59- Okay, scratch MIT, scratch Stanford too,

77:01'cause I think Stanford's more like MIT

77:03than you might imagine.

77:05- But isn't Taliban, isn't it pretty,

77:08I don't think there's a diversity.

77:10So yeah, sorry, so just to rephrase.

77:13So people say, oh, the Deobandi school.

77:15I'm like, what is that?

77:16I mean, the Taliban are, they're an ethnic movement.

77:20They represent a vision of Pashtun power, right?

77:25Pashtuns are people who are quite internally diverse,

77:30who actually speak multiple dialects of Pashto,

77:34who reside across the frontier of Pakistan and Afghanistan.

77:40There are Pashtuns who live all over the planet, right?

77:42There's a community in Moscow, California, everywhere, right?

77:45So it's a global diaspora of sorts.

77:48Pashtuns have a kind of genealogical imagination

§10Transcript · 1:17:51–1:26:48

77:51so that lots of Pashtuns can tell you

77:53the names of their grandparents,

77:54great-grandparents and so on.

77:55And that's kind of a, there's a sense of pride in that.

77:58Pashto language is a kind of core element of that identity,

78:03but it's not universal.

78:05So for example, you can meet people who say,

78:07I am Pashtun, but I don't know Pashto.

78:10So as you claw away at this idea, it's amorphous.

78:14It also means different things to different people

78:16at different times.

78:17So saying the Taliban are Pashtun

78:20requires lots of qualifiers

78:21because lots of Pashtuns will say,

78:24no, no, I have nothing to do with the Taliban.

78:26I hate those people.

78:27So the Taliban tried to mobilize other Pashtuns

78:32with limited success,

78:34but their core membership is almost exclusively Pashtun.

78:37And they say, no, no, we represent Afghans.

78:40We represent pious Muslims.

78:42And so in recent two, three years,

78:46they've gone further to say, no, we have other ethnic groups.

78:48We have Uzbeks, we have Tajiks, we have Hazaras.

78:52And in the north of Afghanistan, in recent years,

78:54they did do a bit better at drawing in people

78:57who were very disaffected because of the government

78:59and they were able to diversify their ranks somewhat.

79:02But if you watch, say, August 15 and who they've appointed,

79:06what language they've used, how they've presented themselves,

79:09it's clear that they are Pashtun, they are male,

79:14and they are extremely ideologically cohesive

79:17and disciplined, I'd say.

79:22So I think that a lot of the polycentrism, blah, blah,

79:25some of that stuff was a way to fight a war.

79:28They are fundamentally a guerrilla movement.

79:33They see themselves as kind of pious Robin Hoods.

79:37Their rhetoric is very much about taking from the rich,

79:40taking from the privileged, giving to the poor,

79:43being on the side of the underdog, fighting against evil.

79:47And so, I mean, their bag, if you like, their thing,

79:50their central theme, their brand is about public morality.

79:53And so their origin story, going back to 1994,

79:55is that they interceded, they broke up a gang of criminals

80:00who were trying to rape people.

80:03And so there's a very interesting kind of like,

80:06if it's not like sexuality and on public morality,

80:10and really being the core of like,

80:12we're gonna restore order and public morality,

80:16and how that translates into governance

80:18is something they've never sorted out.

80:19I mean, how do you run a banking system

80:20if your intellectual priorities are really about

80:23the length of a beard?

80:25And then their path to power, in a kind of abstract sense,

80:29I mean, a lot of that was very much driven by,

80:32if you like, propagating the promise of martyrdom.

80:37And that sounds, I don't mean to say that in a way that,

80:39to make it sound ridiculous,

80:40make it sound like it's a moral judgment.

80:44It's simply, I think, a fact.

80:45It's a fact of their appeal that they promised young men

80:49who have known nothing else but studying in certain schools,

80:54if at all, but they've known fighting,

80:57and they've known victimization.

80:59And this isn't, I'm not asking for like sympathy for them,

81:03but I think the reality is that a lot of the,

81:05we know about the kind of foot soldiers is that they,

81:08they lost families in bombings, in airstrikes,

81:12in night raids, you know,

81:15I mean, orphans have always been a stream,

81:17living in all-male society,

81:21not knowing girls, not knowing women,

81:24hearing things from outside about places like Kabul.

81:27And so there's always been this kind of urban,

81:29rural dimension.

81:30It's not just that, but I think there's a whole imagination

81:35that being Taliban captures.

81:39And the whole martyrdom thing is really, it's,

81:41you know, I think to any religious person,

81:45I mean, it's not a bizarre idea.

81:46I mean, it animates, I mean, so many global traditions,

81:50you know, but I think the,

81:52but you try to tell like an army colonel, right?

81:54If you were to have a conversation with, you know,

81:56US Marine about this, I mean,

81:59someone get it from their own religious backgrounds,

82:01but I think the, it's an alien idea,

82:04but I think it is essential to kind of stretch out

82:06my notions of saying that's, that's attractive.

82:08And now one of the dilemmas going forward is that

82:11they've got to pivot from martyrdom.

82:14And some have been, some have told foreign journalists,

82:16I mean, it's good that we're in charge now,

82:19we're going to build a proper state,

82:21but I, it's kind of boring.

82:23I want to keep fighting, I want to,

82:25maybe I'll do it in Pakistan.

82:26- Yeah, I mean, it's nice that they are expressing

82:28that thought, some are not even honest sufficiently

82:32with themselves to express that kind of thought.

82:34If you're a fighter,

82:36you see that with a bunch of fighters

82:40or professional athletes, once they retire,

82:43they don't know, it's very, it's boring.

82:47- Yeah, yeah.

82:48- And so like, if the spirit of the Taliban,

82:51even the best version of the Taliban is to fight,

82:55is to be martyrs, is to,

82:56and paint the world as good and evil

83:00and you're fighting evil and all that kind of stuff

83:02that's difficult to imagine how they can run

83:04an education system, a banking system,

83:07respect all kinds of citizens with different backgrounds

83:12and religious beliefs and women

83:14and all that kind of stuff, so.

83:16- Yeah, and they've walked into Kabul

83:18and other major cities, some are young,

83:21they didn't know those places,

83:22but also the very important obstacle for them

83:27is that Afghan society has changed.

83:28I mean, it's not what, even for the older guys,

83:31it's not what they knew in the 1990s.

83:33Some always had some ambivalence about the capital,

83:37but now it's totally different.

83:38I mean, they've been shocked to see,

83:39I think to me, one of the most striking features

83:42of the last few weeks has been that,

83:44women have come out on the streets

83:47and have stood in their faces and said,

83:50we demand rights, we demand education,

83:52we demand employment, and these foot soldiers are paralyzed.

83:57They're not sure.

83:57- They don't know what to do with women, period.

83:59- Yeah, yeah, and they don't know what to do

84:01with being yelled at and having someone

84:03stick their fingers in their faces.

84:04I mean, this is not what they've imagined.

84:07And so I think, and at this juncture,

84:10there are still foreign cameras around.

84:12So they have committed acts of violence against women,

84:16against journalists, they've beaten people,

84:18they've disappeared people.

84:19- Even with cameras around, even in this tense period.

84:22- Yeah, but I think that when the cameras retreat

84:24and that's like it happened,

84:26it's gonna get much worse, I think.

84:28So the challenge now is, can the Taliban rule?

84:31And then this is where the diplomacy is so important

84:35because the Taliban can't rule in isolation.

84:38And they know that.

84:39And part of the success is due to the fact

84:41that they became very good at talking to other people

84:45in the last, I mean, it's been building for the last decade,

84:48but that's the last five years.

84:50And they always have Pakistan's backing.

84:52And so the Taliban are, we noted their military force,

84:55very effective guerrilla force.

84:57They beat NATO.

84:58I mean, this is, still hasn't sunk in.

85:00I mean, the fact that they, with light arms,

85:04using suicide attacks, using mines,

85:08improvised explosive devices, machine guns.

85:13In some, in recent years, they got sniper rifles.

85:17And from the summer,

85:19they got American equipment on a broad scale.

85:22They have airplanes.

85:23They have a lot that they will be able to use eventually.

85:25But still, basically it's a story of AK-47s,

85:30some American small arms and mines.

85:33So it's very Ho Chi Minh,

85:36very old school guerrilla fighting.

85:38And they defeated the most powerful military alliance

85:40in world history, probably.

85:41So that has not yet sunk in.

85:43What that means for American and global politics.

85:45And now they're trying to rule, right?

85:49They know they need international support.

85:52And their most consistent backer has been Pakistan,

85:56who sees them as an extension of Pakistani power.

85:59Yeah, and this is very important for a Pakistani elite

86:02that of course is looking toward India.

86:05They wanna have their rear covered, right?

86:08They wanna make sure that these postures

86:10don't cause trouble for Pakistan.

86:13And they like, I mean, for some of the security forces,

86:15they like this vision of the Islamic State

86:17that the Taliban are building there

86:19because those are not citizen from their views

86:22of what Pakistan should be.

86:24But the Taliban have been smart enough

86:27to kind of diversify their potential international allies.

86:30So everyone in the neighborhood

86:32has wanted the US to leave, right?

86:34If we go back to 2001,

86:36there were Iranian and American special forces in the North

86:39working together against the Taliban to displace them

86:41using Iranian, American,

86:45and then Afghan resistance forces against the Taliban.

86:48And that was a real moment of Rav Pashmallah,

§11Transcript · 1:26:50–1:35:50

86:50if we go back to the missed exits.

86:52The relation with Iran could have been different

86:55at that moment, but the US under George W. Bush,

87:00devised this axis of evil language,

87:03put them together with their enemy Iraq and the North Korea,

87:08all that went South.

87:10That was the most opportunity.

87:12But in recent years, the Taliban in Iran

87:14have kind of papered over the differences.

87:19They allowed the Taliban to open some offices

87:22on Iranian territory,

87:24likely shared some resources, some intelligence,

87:26some sophisticated weaponry.

87:28And then the Taliban went to Moscow.

87:30And for the Putin administration,

87:32they've long been worried that,

87:34they see the Taliban as a kind of disease

87:38that will potentially move North,

87:40in fact Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan,

87:43Turkmenistan, Kazakhstan,

87:44and maybe creep into Russia's sphere of influence.

87:47Maybe that's why they have

87:49a bunch of troops sitting in Tajikistan.

87:52I mean, the one forward base that Russia still has

87:56in Central Asia is in Tajikistan.

87:58And so the Taliban were always a worrying point,

88:01but also useful because they could say,

88:04well, in case the Taliban get out of control,

88:08we need to be here.

88:09And so Tajikistan said, okay,

88:12you're helping secure us.

88:14And yes, it impinges upon our sovereignty, but it's okay.

88:17So Putin said, let's give another black eye

88:22to the Americans and let's treat the Taliban

88:25as if they're the kind of government in waiting.

88:27Let's have them come to Moscow multiple times.

88:30This summer, for the last year or two,

88:32they've been talking to China.

88:34So the photographs of senior Taliban figures

88:39going from their office in Qatar,

88:40which was a major blow to the US-backed government,

88:43the fact that they were able to open up an office in Qatar,

88:46that at one point began to fly a flag

88:48of the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan,

88:51that basically said we're a state in the waiting.

88:54And as the US-backed Afghan government

88:56failed and failed and failed at ruling too,

89:00as they showed how corrupt they were,

89:02and as they really alienated more and more Afghans

89:04by committing acts of violence against them,

89:07by stealing from them,

89:09by basically creating a kind of kleptocracy,

89:14the Taliban said, we are pure, we are not corrupt.

89:20And look at us, we're winning on the battlefield.

89:22And internationally, look, we're talking to China.

89:25- We're talking to Putin, we're talking to China.

89:27We're a legitimate, powerful center of Central Asia.

89:31And also kind of hinting that we have a website.

89:34I mean, the whole digital angle is amazing

89:36because they began to, and this is important actually,

89:39they had a website which grew more and more sophisticated.

89:43Again, after having shot televisions

89:45and these kind of ceremonial killings

89:47of these infidel devices, right?

89:49They said, we have a government, we have commissions,

89:53we have a complaint line.

89:55They lifted all this technocratic language

89:58that you get from any UN document

90:00about good governance and all that kind of,

90:02generic language that the NGO world has produced for us,

90:05right, in English.

90:06They reproduced that in five languages

90:08on their Taliban website.

90:10And of course, I'm not saying anyone believed this,

90:12but it was like, just put me in coach.

90:16I know the playbook, I know how to run a government.

90:18And look, we have an agricultural commission.

90:20We have a taxation system.

90:24And again, this idea, and then on the ground,

90:26they had their own law courts

90:28and they would creep into a district,

90:30assassinate some people, the local authority figures,

90:32men of influence, talk to local clerics,

90:36either get them on board or kill them,

90:38and say, this state is corrupt,

90:41but we're bringing you justice.

90:42This is our calling card.

90:43We're bringing public morality and justice.

90:45And then to a broader world, they said,

90:49yeah, things didn't go perfectly,

90:50a whole Al Qaeda thing,

90:51we should be kind of do over on that.

90:56We're not gonna let anyone hurt you from our territory.

90:58We just wanna rule and people like us and look.

91:03And so if we look at the neighborhood, Iran,

91:05even Central Asian states after a while,

91:08recognizing they could make some money.

91:09I mean, one thing that Uzbekistan likes

91:11about the current arrangement,

91:13or they're not hostile to is that

91:16they have all these contracts.

91:17They can potentially make some money from,

91:19the pipeline dream remains alive,

91:23running natural gas, oil, to,

91:26it was to the Indian Ocean,

91:28to markets beyond Central Asia.

91:31It's sitting on a couple trillion dollars

91:32probably in mineral resources

91:34that China would love to have, of course.

91:36And so people are looking at Afghanistan now,

91:38after 20 years saying,

91:40under American rule, it was a basket case, right?

91:42There was immense human suffering, incredibly violent.

91:46The world did not start counting civilian casualties

91:49in Afghanistan until 2009.

91:51I mean, think about that.

91:51It went on for eight years.

91:53The Taliban were never really defeated.

91:54They just went to Pakistan.

91:56They went to the mountains, they went to the woods.

91:59And so all these different American operations,

92:01as you noted, under Bush, Obama, Trump, and so on,

92:05killed countless civilians.

92:09The US never accounted for that.

92:10We never even counted.

92:12Trump escalated the civilian casualties

92:15by escalating the air war.

92:17But a lot of this was like very ugly, on the ground,

92:20night raid stuff, where you drop into a Hamlet

92:22and massacre people.

92:25And then you're not honest about what happened, right?

92:27So that dynamic continued to fuel the growth

92:31of the Taliban from below.

92:32So the foot soldiers, they never ran out of foot soldiers.

92:35I mean, the US and its allies killed tens of thousands,

92:39maybe hundreds of thousands of Taliban fighters

92:41over the last 20 years.

92:42But they just sprouted up again.

92:44And part of that was the kind of solidarity culture,

92:46the male bonding of martyrology, of martyrdom,

92:51and of revenge, and a sense of the foreign invader.

92:56And I haven't taught a ton of US military people,

93:01but through the Hoover, they put officers

93:04in our classes sometimes, and met a few wonderful

93:07Army and Marine officers who I really enjoyed.

93:10We came from the South like me,

93:13always had great rapport with them.

93:15And they expressed a range of opinions about this.

93:16I think that I learned a lot from someone who said,

93:19yeah, I mean, I get why they hate us.

93:21I get why they're still fighting because last week,

93:25we just killed 14 of their fellow villagers.

93:30So the officers, the guys on the ground fighting this war,

93:36we're not stupid about that.

93:37I mean, they got the human dimension of that,

93:39and yet no one got off the exit, as you said.

93:41People kept driving.

93:44But going forward now, internationally,

93:46it's critical that they have,

93:49and they've had meetings.

93:50I mean, what the Taliban have done since August 15th

93:52is a lot of diplomacy.

93:54They've had meetings, they've had people,

93:55they've had Tashkent come, they've had Beijing come,

93:58they've had Moscow come.

94:00I mean, they've had major visits from Islamabad,

94:04from security people, from diplomatic circles.

94:09And they're counting on things being different this time.

94:12I mean, the first time around,

94:13the only people who backed the Taliban by recognition,

94:15giving them diplomatic recognition

94:17were the Saudis, Pakistanis, and the UAE.

94:20And because of Al-Qaeda, because of opium,

94:23because of some of the human rights stuff,

94:27the US pushed everyone to like,

94:28let's not recognize this state, even though the US did.

94:31I mean, Colin Powell famously, in the summer of 2001,

94:35we did give a few grants and aid to the Taliban

94:41as kind of like massaging negotiations.

94:44They kept talking about Bin Laden,

94:46but they also wanted them to stop opium production.

94:49I mean, Afghanistan throughout all this period

94:50we've talked about is the global center

94:52of opium production.

94:54I mean, over the years, more and more of the Afghan economy

94:57continued to today is devoted to the opium trade.

95:00- Opium, which is the thing that leads to heroin,

95:05some of the painkillers.

95:09- And even if Afghan poppies don't make it to Hoboken,

95:12they are not the source of American deaths.

95:17They are part of a universal market, a global market,

95:22which I think any economist would tell you

95:25is part of the story of our opium problem.

95:29- Something I read maybe a decade ago now,

95:34and I just kind of looked it up again

95:36to bring it up to see your opinion on this,

95:38is a 2010 report by the International Council

95:43on Security and Development that showed

95:45that 92% of Afghans in Helmand and Kandahar province

95:50know nothing of the 9/11 attacks on US in 2001.

§12Transcript · 1:35:56–1:44:30

95:56Is this at all representative of what you know?

96:00Is this possible?

96:01So basically, put another way,

96:05is it possible that a lot of Afghans don't even know

96:10the reason why there may be troops

96:13or the sort of American provided narrative

96:17for why there's troops, American soldiers

96:21and American drones overhead in Afghanistan?

96:25- Right.

96:26I mean, my gut response,

96:28not knowing the details of this actual poll,

96:30is that that's a very unhelpful way to think

96:35about how Afghans relate to the world.

96:39And I think it could be,

96:42if you go to my hometown in North Carolina,

96:46if you knock on some doors,

96:48you may meet people who don't know all kinds of things.

96:50I could probably walk around this neighborhood

96:52here in California and there'd be all kinds of people

96:54who don't know all kinds of things.

96:58Kyrie Irving apparently thinks the earth is flat.

97:01I mean, so we could make a lot of certain kinds

97:06of ignorance, I think.

97:08But I think what I would say,

97:09and then there's also a companion point maybe

97:12that in thinking about the withdrawal, the collapse,

97:15the return of the Taliban,

97:17there's been a big conversation about

97:19what Afghans think of us really.

97:21And this famous piece in "The New Yorker"

97:24was about how many people liked the Taliban,

97:28that many women interviewed supposedly in this piece,

97:33were sympathetic 'cause they'd lost family members

97:37and all the violence.

97:38And the idea kind of was that,

97:40we haven't thought about that at all.

97:42When in fact, of course we have and lots of people have,

97:45but I think if you're just dropping into the conversation,

97:48if you look at like an immediate arc of coverage

97:49of Afghanistan and the United States,

97:50I mean, the arc went from lots of coverage during,

97:55of course, 9/11 and its aftermath,

97:57lots of coverage during Obama's surge,

98:00and then quickly dropped down the last decade

98:03has been almost nothing.

98:05So if you ask the same question about Americans

98:07or other Americans, I'm not sure what they would say to you,

98:09what percentage would actually know

98:11why the US is in X, Y, or Z either, right?

98:14But again, the Afghan side,

98:15just to return to that for a moment,

98:16I think that we can fetishize these provinces.

98:19They are a kind of a place where Taliban support

98:22has been greatest.

98:24Also where there's been the most violence,

98:25where the Americans have been most committed

98:27to trying to root out the Taliban movement.

98:30- This is Helmand and Kana.

98:31- Exactly, in the South.

98:32- What are the other parts?

98:33It's in the South of Afghanistan.

98:34- Yeah, and it's mostly Pashtun, not exclusively,

98:36but mostly Pashtun, mostly rural.

98:39- What is Pashtun?

98:40- That's the ethnic group

98:41that the Taliban claim to represent, right?

98:44So they are this group.

98:45- What other groups are there?

98:46- Okay, sorry, yeah, sorry.

98:48So in cities, you'll find everything, right?

98:50That is in Afghanistan.

98:51You'll find Uzbeks, Tajiks, Hazaras.

98:54These are people who, Uzbek is a Turkic language, right?

99:00Most Uzbeks live in what is now Uzbekistan,

99:03but they form majorities in some northern parts of the city.

99:06I'm sorry, of the country of Afghanistan.

99:08But what I emphasize is that,

99:10and you can find online an ethnographic map of Afghanistan,

99:14and you'll see green where Pashtuns live,

99:16red where Hazaras live, orange where Uzbeks live,

99:20purple where Tajiks live.

99:22Then there are a bunch of other smaller groups

99:23of different kinds.

99:25There are Noristani, there are Baluch,

99:30there are different religious communities.

99:32There are Sunni, Shia, different kinds of Shia.

99:34- What are the key differences between them?

99:36Is it religious basis from the origins

99:39of where they immigrated from, and how different are they?

99:43- So they're all, I mean, they're all indigenous, I think.

99:46I mean, there's a kind of mythology

99:47that some groups have been there longer, right?

99:49So they have a greater claim to power, but historically,

99:52I mean, it's like, you know, ethnic groups anywhere,

99:55people have different narratives about themselves.

99:58But many Pashtuns would tell you, not all,

100:01but many would say, we are the kind of state builders

100:04of Afghanistan, the dynasty that ruled much of the space,

100:09that was born in the mid 18th century,

100:12that ruled until 1973, more or less,

100:15generalizing, you know, it was a Pashtun dynasty.

100:18The Taliban have definitely said, to some audiences,

100:21we are the rightful rulers because we are Pashtun.

100:24The trick though is, I don't mean to be evasive,

100:28but just to convey some of the complexity,

100:30one quick answer as well, they're majorities and minorities.

100:34I mean, one finds that a lot along with those maps.

100:37But I would say, suspend any firm belief in that,

100:40because that could be entirely wrong.

100:43In fact, there's never been a modern census of Afghanistan.

100:47So when journalists say, Pashtuns are the majority,

100:50they're the biggest group, I would say not so fast.

100:53I would say not so fast because of migration

100:55is one major issue, no major modern census.

101:00Actually, the Soviets got pretty close,

101:01but didn't quite, you know, find something comprehensive

101:04and didn't publicize it, knowing that it was,

101:06you know, modern times, ethnicity can be the source

101:09of political mobilization.

101:11It's not innately so, but it's been part of the story.

101:14But then you have mixed families, right?

101:16So a lot of people you'll meet,

101:17you'll encounter in the diaspora and around.

101:19I mean, well, I am, you know, my one parent is Tajik,

101:24one is Pashtun, right?

101:26Or I'm Pashtun, as I mentioned before,

101:28but I don't speak Pashto, right?

101:30Or I am Hazara, but you read about us as Shi'i Hazaras.

101:35In fact, I'm a Sunni Hazara, or I'm a secular Hazara,

101:38or I'm an atheist Hazara.

101:39I mean, everything's possible, right?

101:41One of my friends, if he were here,

101:46he'd say, "I'm Kabuli, I'm from Kabul."

101:49So if you think about it in Russian terms,

101:51you know, it means a lot if you're a Muscovite,

101:53you know, if you're from Pisa or Moscow,

101:56I mean, you know.

101:57- Yeah, well, even here, there's Bostonians,

102:00Texans, Californians.

102:04- Yeah, yeah, East Coast, West Coast, all that stuff.

102:07Those are all part of the mix here.

102:08So you asked about Kandahar and Helmand,

102:10then I would say, yeah, if you go out to,

102:14you know, a pomegranate field,

102:17you'll meet a guy who may reckon time differently

102:20from you and me, who may not be literate,

102:24he may not have ever had a geography lesson,

102:27but if you go one door over, you may meet a guy

102:30who, you know, whose life path has taken him

102:36to live in, you know, six countries.

102:38He may speak five languages.

102:40And these are all things I'm not saying,

102:41they're all, these are just because people,

102:42you know, have money, can go fly around.

102:44I mean, they're people who were displaced by war

102:46from late 1970s, right?

102:48Even already in the early '70s,

102:50people were traveling by the tens of thousands to Iran,

102:53you know, as labor migrants.

102:55And once you get to Iran, once you get to Pakistan,

102:56once you get to Uzbekistan,

102:59you then connect to all kinds of cosmopolitan cultures.

103:02In fact, I think one of the themes of the book,

103:04you know, that you may or may not have read,

103:06it may put you to sleep, you know,

103:07Afghan Modern was about, you know,

103:09conceptualizing Afghanistan as a cosmopolitan place

103:11where for centuries, people went on the move

103:14and trade in this area.

103:15You think of, you know, I think this mischaracterization

103:17of places like Helmand and Kandahar, you know,

103:20you fly in or you're part of a Marine battalion

103:24and you see people there and they look different.

103:26And I think in our imagination, if I can generalize,

103:30you know, they look like they've been there for millennia,

103:33right, the dress, the whatever, right?

103:35You think of technology,

103:36you think of the mud compounds and so on,

103:38you think of, you know, animal drawn transportation,

103:42that kind of stuff, right?

103:43Or the motorbike, right, at most is what they have.

103:46But in fact, if you follow those families,

103:49their trade has taken them to Northern India

103:51for centuries, right?

103:53The trade has connected them to cosmopolitan centers.

103:56You know, say they have a scholar in the family,

103:58that scholar may have studied all over the Middle East,

104:00South Asia, right?

104:02You know, their ancestors may have been horse traders

104:03who went all the way to Moscow, right?

104:05I mean, we have a sort of records of all these people

104:07traveling across Eurasia, pursuing all kinds of livelihoods.

104:12And so Afghanistan is this paradox

104:14of visually looking remote

104:17and looking like it's kind of stuck in time,

104:20but the family trajectories and the current trajectories

104:23are astoundingly cosmopolitan and mobile.

104:26And so, and a conception of being a world center

104:29is also quite strong.

104:30So, you know, another way to frame that question

§13Transcript · 1:44:33–1:53:06

104:33about like, do they know about 9/11 would be like,

104:36why should we know about 9/11?

104:37Because we are at the center of something important, right?

104:39We are the center of Asia.

104:41We are the heart of Asia.

104:42We have a kind of historic greatness.

104:44We are, you know, a proud culture of our own achievements.

104:48Right, so we're not worried about that, right?

104:51That said, I mean, sure, there are different narratives

104:54about why Americans are there,

104:56why people are being killed.

104:57You know, of course you'd find, you know,

105:00they want to convert us, you know, they want our gold,

105:03they want our opium, they want X, Y, and Z, right?

105:06There was a recent story about a Taliban official

105:10sitting in an office in Kabul and a journalist asked him,

105:12can you find in this rotating globe, find your country,

105:15find where we're sitting right now.

105:17And he was filmed not being able to do it.

105:21And so a lot of, you know,

105:22race-fiscated Afghans in the diaspora were saying,

105:24you know, ha ha, look at this.

105:25And that exists.

105:27I mean, I think I could go to my Stanford classroom

105:29and there'd be a lot of kids who wouldn't know

105:31where Afghanistan is too, right?

105:32But I guess I wouldn't use those metrics

105:35to suggest that this is a place

105:38that doesn't have a sense of its place in the world

105:40and of geopolitics.

105:42I think if anything, being a relatively small country

105:44in a very complicated neighborhood,

105:46I mean, everybody, every cab driver,

105:48I mean, people have a, I mean,

105:50you know, this is where America is different

105:52because I don't think Americans have this sense.

105:54You know, we're talking about Moscow and stuff.

105:55I think, you know, Moscow cab drivers,

105:59I think a lot of them are gonna tell you, like,

106:02what's happening in the world and why, right?

106:04And it's just part of their thing, right?

106:07You can find that in Ghana.

106:07You can find that in Mexico City, right?

106:09You find that lots of places.

106:10So I think Afghans are part of a very sophisticated

106:13kind of mapping of the world and where they fit in.

106:17And a lot of them remarkably had done it firsthand,

106:20which is what struck me so much.

106:21And, you know, relating my experiences

106:22from the 1990s in touch camp places

106:24that these guys had already lived

106:26in more countries than I'd ever been.

106:28They already knew half those languages.

106:30I mean, this one friend's Russian was impeccable.

106:33And of course it helped.

106:34They had Russian girlfriends.

106:36They had, you know, they mixed with the police.

106:38They had run-ins.

106:39I mean, this wasn't something you got from a book, right?

106:42This was like hard knock life.

106:44I mean, one friend was from a wealthy family

106:47in this trading diaspora and he was imprisoned.

106:51I mean, they sent him to prison in Pakistan

106:54and he talks about how he started like running,

106:57running the jail, you know, taking cigarettes to people,

106:59doing little things and kind of, you know,

107:02these are not stories of like, oh, I went to Harvard

107:05and so I'm so learned because of this.

107:06I mean, it's a whole range of experiences.

107:08- The interesting thing is the survey is a survey

107:10and it doesn't reflect ignorance, as you're saying perhaps,

107:15but it may reflect a different geopolitical view

107:22of the world than the West has.

107:25So if, you know, for a lot of the world,

107:299/11 was one of the most important moments

107:33of recent human history.

107:35And for Afghanistan to not to know that,

107:38especially when they're part of that story,

107:41means they have a very different,

107:43like there could be a lot of things said.

107:46One is the spread of information is different.

107:49The channels of the way information is spread

107:52and two, the things they care about.

107:54Maybe they see themselves as part of a longer arc

107:59of history where the bickering of these superpowers

108:03that seem to want to go to the moon are not as important

108:07as the big sort of arc that's been the story of Afghanistan.

108:11That's an interesting idea, but it's still a bit,

108:17if at all representative of the truth.

108:20It's heartbreaking that they're not,

108:23do not see themselves as active player

108:28in this game between the United States and Central Asia,

108:33because there's such a critical player.

108:37And I feel, and obviously in many ways,

108:41get the short end of the stick in this whole interaction

108:44with the, you know, invasion of Afghanistan for many years.

108:50And then this rushed withdrawal of troops

108:54and now the economic collapse and it's,

108:59it's sad in some ways.

109:04- No, it's very, I mean, you know,

109:05another way to put it is this.

109:06I mean, yeah, there's a range of knowledge

109:08and you're right, the information flows

109:10are peculiar to particular geographies

109:14and histories and stuff.

109:15I think that, you know, plucking out one sample

109:17from some fairly remote area,

109:20from one like follow the agricultural products.

109:22I mean, and this is where, you know,

109:24I think urban rural divides used to mean a lot more

109:29in the 19th century, right?

109:30So a lot of like nuts and bolts of history

109:32is about conceiving of these kinds of distinctions,

109:35you know, but I think that if one has the privilege

109:37of traveling a bit, you see that like urban areas

109:40are fed by rural hinterlands.

109:43And if you look, think of who actually, you know,

109:46brings the bread, the milk, you know,

109:48pomegranates and so on, it creates these networks

109:50and then, you know, mobility channels,

109:53information and so on.

109:54But yeah, but your broader point

109:57about like the tragedy of this,

109:58I mean, I guess if I can quote a brilliant student of mine,

110:01an Afghan American woman who just received her PhD,

110:04who's now, you know, doctor, he's a great scholar.

110:07You know, we've done several events now

110:10trying to just think through what's happened

110:11and of course she's very emotionally affected by it

110:14and she continues to ask a really great question.

110:17If I can get her phrasing right, you know,

110:19if you think of the cycle of like

110:21the Taliban being in power in 2001

110:23and the way in which that affected women in particular,

110:25you know, half Afghan, half of society, right?

110:28Then you think of this 20 year period of violence

110:31and, you know, missed exits, right?

110:34And repeated tragedy, but also it created a space.

110:38I mean, it created a space for a whole,

110:40I'd say generationally, it created a sense,

110:41a space for people to realize something new.

110:44And I think, so we have to attend to the dynamism

110:47of the society, right?

110:47So yeah, this happened mostly in Kabul,

110:51other big cities, Mazar-e-Sharif, Herat, Kandahar,

110:53but you can't limit your analysis to that

110:56because things like radio, television,

111:00everyone got a TV channel.

111:02There's a wonderful documentary called Afghan Star

111:05that I recommend to your listeners and viewers

111:07that it's about a singing show, a singing contest show,

111:10but you see just for some of these things

111:12about like connections, I mean,

111:14it's a show by an independent television network

111:17that did drama, it did kind of infomercials

111:21for the government and huge American investment in it.

111:24So it wasn't politically neutral,

111:25but it did talk shows, did all this kind of stuff.

111:27But it did a singing show that became incredibly popular,

111:31modeled upon the British American,

111:33American Idol kind of stuff, and you can vote.

111:36So it had a kind of democratic practice element,

111:39but it's fascinating to see that, you know,

111:41people hooked up generators to televisions and watch this.

111:44You know, you think of like literacy rates.

111:47Literacy rates are imperfect and, you know,

111:48people who study, you know, medieval or modern Europe

111:51talk about how, yeah, no one could read

111:54and there weren't many books,

111:56but if someone had a book, it'd be read aloud

111:58to a whole village potentially or a gathering.

112:00So there was much, you know,

112:01some of these metrics don't get

112:02what people actually perceive as information or exposure

112:05because there's a magnifying power of open spaces

112:08and hearing radio in group settings,

112:11seeing television group settings,

112:13having telephone, you know, cheap telephones,

112:16which then become an access point to the world

112:19and social media, right?

112:20So all this stuff swept across Afghan society

112:23as it did elsewhere, you know, in the last decade or more.

112:28So Afghan society became, you know, in important ways,

112:31really connected to everything going on.

112:33And so you see that reflected politically

112:34in what people wanted.

112:35So you had some people, obviously,

112:37back to return to the Taliban.

112:39Some people wanted the status quo,

112:41but increasingly many more people wanted something else.

112:44And one of the great failures was

112:45to expose people to democracy,

112:48but only give them the rigged version.

112:50And so the US, you know, the State Department in particular,

112:52continued to double down on faked elections

112:55for the parliament and for the presidency in Afghanistan.

112:57- What kind of elections?

112:59- Faked, fraudulent elections for parliament

113:02and for president in Afghanistan again and again

113:06from the very beginning.

§14Transcript · 1:53:08–2:00:59

113:08And those elections were partly theater for the US,

113:12like for remaining on the road that you're describing,

113:14right, for not deviating, for not exiting,

113:15because we were building democracy there.

113:18In reality, the US government knew

113:19it was never really building democracy there.

113:22It was establishing control.

113:24And elections were one means to gather control, right?

113:27But then you had on the ground,

113:28especially among young people,

113:30going to university, you know,

113:32having experiences that were denied to them before,

113:36you know, they took these problems so seriously.

113:37So part of the disillusionment that we see today

113:40is that, you know, they believe what the US told them,

113:43that they're constructing democracy.

113:45And of course, you know, setting a psychos,

113:46maybe thinking, well, you know,

113:48you're not really doing that, you're backing fraud.

113:50- They believed it when they were younger

113:52and now they're actually smart enough

113:54to understand that it's a farce.

113:55- Yeah.

113:56- But in so indirectly had the consequence

113:59of actually working.

114:00(laughing)

114:01- Yeah.

114:01- And that it taught the young,

114:03well, over a period of 20 years,

114:05young folks to believe that democracy is possible

114:08and then to realize what democracy is not.

114:10- Exactly.

114:11- Just the current system.

114:12- Beautifully said, beautifully said.

114:13And so, but now look at us,

114:14now it's, you know, it's now November.

114:17And so this whole period,

114:21and I wouldn't say like, you know,

114:23I wouldn't cast the last 20 years

114:25if we're looking at all the achievements, you know,

114:27I wouldn't put them in an American tally sheet,

114:30like, oh, this is something

114:31we should pat ourselves on the back for.

114:32I think that much has happened actually

114:34against what the Americans wanted.

114:36I mean, that the kind of free thinking, democracy wanting,

114:41I mean, even like, yeah, we could point out on the religious

114:43go back to the religious sphere.

114:44I mean, the African religious landscape

114:47became very pluralistic.

114:49Lots of young people wanted

114:51a different kind of secular politics.

114:53But the old guard who wanted the status quo

114:57and wanted something that they'd fought for in 1980s

115:00tended to still get American backing as the political elites

115:04who still tended to monopolize political power.

115:06So all stuff was happening in different ways.

115:09I mean, the Americans established this

115:11American University of Afghanistan,

115:12which was I think one of the best things the US did there.

115:14And I regret that the US didn't fund 20 more,

115:18you know, strengthen them across the country,

115:20make them accessible people.

115:20Because it was, you know, again,

115:23it wasn't an engine of Americanization.

115:26It was just opportunity.

115:27And so the thirst for higher education

115:28is really extraordinary there.

115:29It was never really met.

115:31The US tended to put money in primary education,

115:34which much of that too was fraudulent.

115:37But so you have all this interesting dynamism.

115:38You have, you know, the arts, you have a critical space.

115:42I mean, I call it a public sphere

115:43in the classic European sense.

115:45You know, the Afghans made of their own.

115:46And again, it wasn't Americanization.

115:49It wasn't imposed.

115:51It was something that Afghans built across generations,

115:54but really with a firm foundation among youth

115:58who wanted importantly, a multi-ethnic Afghan society.

116:01You asked about postings and that kind of stuff.

116:03And a lot of that language in recent years

116:06was they were aware that the US-backed government

116:09was playing ethnic politics

116:11and trying to kind of put people in the blocks

116:14and mobilize people based on their ethnic identity.

116:17And there was a younger cohort of people who said,

116:19you know, we are Afghan.

116:21And it's interesting social media stuff

116:23where people would say, I am Hazara,

116:25but I'm also Tajik, I'm also Uzbek.

116:28I mean, it was a way of creating

116:30a multi-ethnic Afghan national identity

116:33that embraced everything.

116:35I mean, very utopian, you know, super utopian, right?

116:37But symbolically it was very important

116:39that they rejected being mobilized politically,

116:42you know, voting as a Hazara or voting as whatever.

116:45And of course there were communities

116:46who wanted to vote as that ethnic community.

116:50But there were also people who said, you know,

116:52let's put a kind of civic nationalism first,

116:55one that accommodates ethnic pluralism

116:57in a way that rejected a kind of majoritarian politics

117:00of one ethnic group dominating the thing.

117:03So all this stuff was quite interesting.

117:04I mean, women were asserting themselves

117:07in across multiple spheres.

117:09Of course it remained patriarchal.

117:10Of course there were struggles.

117:11Of course there was violence.

117:12Of course, you know, there's no utopia.

117:14But the door on all that shut on August 15.

117:18So to go back to the quote that I wanted to offer

117:22from the student, now professor,

117:25was it, you know, in trying to make sense of this,

117:28and you mentioned the tragic arc here,

117:30you think of the 20 years, like she asked, you know,

117:35why did you go to war in our country?

117:37Basically, why did you do this to us for 20 years

117:39when this was never about us?

117:41You know, you never asked us if you wanted to come.

117:43You never asked us what you wanted to build here.

117:46You didn't ask us when you were coming

117:47and you didn't ask us when you were leaving.

117:49You just did this all on your own.

117:51And we tried to make the most of it.

117:53And then you pulled the rug out from under us,

117:55you know, at the 11th hour and returned to power,

118:00partly by diplomacy.

118:02It wasn't at the end, just a military loss.

118:04I mean, it was a series of diplomatic decisions.

118:07I mean, the idea, you asked about alternatives.

118:08I mean, giving up Bagram, I mean, holding to the timeline.

118:12I mean, the Biden people did not need to hold

118:14to the Doha agreement that Trump had signed.

118:17I mean, every American president

118:19writes his or her own foreign policy, right?

118:21So the Biden administration acted as if,

118:24and they tried to convince us that their hands were tied

118:27and that it was either this or 20 more years of war

118:31or some absurd kind of false alternative.

118:36And so, but I think that's important

118:38for American audiences to hear that, you know,

118:40they're like, you came to here to experiment.

118:42You came here to punish.

118:44You came here to kind of reassert, you know,

118:47your dominance at the world stage,

118:49you know, to work out the fear and hurt of 9/11

118:53that we talked about, which was so real, you know,

118:55and palpable and so important for American politics

118:58since then.

118:59Like you worked out your problems, you know,

119:01on us, on our territory, and now what do we have for it?

119:06You know, and then the people who had a stake

119:08in that system, imperfect as it was,

119:12have been desperate to leave.

119:13And so this, I don't know how much people are aware of this,

119:15but, you know, I'm a scholar.

119:18I work in California, you know, I have friends.

119:21I edited a journal on Afghanistan and, you know,

119:24but I'm not a politician, I'm not a soldier,

119:26but people assume that, you know,

119:28Afghans have been desperately trying to reach me

119:31and anyone who is kind of on the radar as an American

119:34to help get them out.

119:36You know, that's the kind of like, you know,

119:39the symbol of voting with your feet, you know,

119:42is quite powerful.

119:43I mean, there's a huge swath of society

119:46that doesn't want the system and is literally

119:49living in terror about it.

119:50Naturally, women, you know, I mean,

119:51especially women of a certain age, I mean,

119:53they feel like their lives are over.

119:54I mean, there is an epidemic of suicide.

119:56They feel betrayed and some people have done

120:02some good things in getting people out.

120:03You know, I mean, some, you know,

120:05the US military vets have been, you know,

120:08at the forefront of working to get out people,

120:11you know, that they know they owe.

120:14But the US government doesn't want these people.

120:17I mean, they have created all these obstacles

120:19to allowing a safety valve for people to leave.

120:24- Looking forward from a perspective of leadership,

120:27how do we avoid these kinds of mistakes?

120:31So obviously some interests, some aspects of human nature

120:35led to this war.

120:36- Yeah.

120:37- How do we resist that in the future?

120:41- I guess beyond my moral and intellectual capacity,

120:44I'll just say this.

120:45I mean, looking at it, again, looking at it from,

120:46you know, my home ground is the university

120:48and I think of the intellectual, you know,

120:53ways of thinking that I think students

120:55should develop for themselves as citizens, right?

120:59Maybe that's where to start is like historical thinking.

§15Transcript · 2:01:02–2:09:37

121:02I mean, these are all, you know,

121:03I try to tell people, you know,

121:04if you want to do robotics, computer science,

121:07you'd be a doctor or whatever.

121:08- You should study history.

121:10- Yeah, I mean, you don't have to be an historian like me

121:11and it's, you know, my job isn't perfect.

121:13My profession is deeply flawed, right?

121:15But as I get older, I'm like,

121:17there are fewer and fewer historians actually like,

121:19you know, I want to hang out with and stuff.

121:20So it's like, I'm not offering myself

121:22as like a model for anything, but you know,

121:24whether you're a, you know, you carry the mail

121:26or you're a brain surgeon, whatever.

121:27I mean, I think it's a way of civic engagement

121:30and a way of like, you know, ethical being in the world

121:32that we need to familiarize ourselves with.

121:34Because if you're an American

121:36or if you're from a rich country, you know,

121:38you need to be aware of your effect

121:40on an interesting world.

121:42You can't say anymore that you don't know or care

121:45what's happening in Afghanistan

121:46or really circle the globe and point to a place.

121:49I mean, we're all connected and we're all,

121:52we have ethical obligations.

121:53That's one place to start, but I would just say this,

121:55and this is a, I'll offer a self critique,

121:57and that is so much of my teaching

122:01and like the themes of my research have been about empire.

122:03You know, how big states work,

122:05not only on big territories like the Russian empire

122:07and Soviet Union and stuff,

122:08but the way in which power often, you know,

122:11is projected beyond those boundaries

122:13in ways that we don't see.

122:14So this is where things like neoliberalism

122:16or just, you know, if you want to take capitalism

122:18or just things that, you know,

122:20the idea of humanity or of liberalism or of humanitarianism,

122:24ideas that move beyond state boundaries

122:26are all things that we think about

122:29as affecting power in some ways

122:30that often harm people, right?

122:33So I think part of, as I've seen my job so far

122:36is to think about, you know,

122:37building upon the work of my people in grad school

122:39and, you know, scholars that have affected me.

122:42I mean, you know, we're all concerned with how power works

122:44and its effects and trying to be attuned to

122:48understanding things that aren't visible, right?

122:51That we should be thinking about,

122:51that should be known to us.

122:52And as scholars, we can hopefully play some useful role

122:55in showing effects that aren't, you know, obvious initially.

123:00So empire is a framework to think about this.

123:03And so you think about evading foreign countries,

123:05obviously, if you're a scholar of empire,

123:07you've seen what that looks like,

123:09and that's horrific, right?

123:11You look at things like racism

123:13as one of the ideological pillars of empire,

123:16you know, that's horrific, it must be critiqued,

123:18it must be, you know, we must be educated against.

123:20Some of the, you know, gender exploitation of empire

123:24is also something to highlight, you know,

123:25to rectify and so on.

123:26You know, to be moral beings,

123:28we need to think about past inequality

123:31and the legacies of violence and destruction that live on.

123:35I mean, living in the Americas, I mean, look at, you know,

123:37we're all on stolen land, we're all in the sense,

123:41living with the fruits of genocide and slavery

123:43and all those things that are hard

123:44to come to terms with, right?

123:46But the last few months in Afghanistan,

123:49and thinking about empire, I think made me more humble

123:53when I read people who say, to put it simply,

123:58have taken some joy in this moment, saying like,

124:00well, the Americans got kicked out of Afghanistan.

124:03You know, if you're against empire, this is a good thing.

124:07This is a kind of victory of anti-colonial.

124:09- You could see from the perspective of Afghanistan

124:14that America is not some kind of place

124:16that has an ideal of freedom and all the kind of things

124:19that we American tell ourselves,

124:21but it's more America has the ideal of empire,

124:25that there's one place that has the truth

124:28and everybody else must follow this truth.

124:31And so from a perspective of Afghanistan,

124:34it could be a victory against this idea

124:36of centralized truth of empire.

124:38That's another way to tell this story.

124:41And then in that sense, it's a victory.

124:43And in that sense also, I mean,

124:46you push back against this somewhat,

124:49this idea of Afghanistan as the graveyard of empire.

124:54- Right, right.

124:56And I'll say this, I'd say, you know, I mean,

124:58I'm a critic of empire.

124:59I mean, you know, colonialism is a political phenomenon

125:04that stays with us.

125:05And I think, you know, we need scholars to point to the way

125:07in which it still works and still does harm.

125:10But it's part of being an empire

125:12that you can just get up and leave a place, right?

125:15That you can remake its politics on one day

125:19and then because it fails to advance your agenda

125:22at one moment, you simply walk away.

125:26I mean, you know, we can point to other moments.

125:27I mean, 1947 on the subcontinent, you know,

125:30the way that the British withdrew

125:32played a significant role in mass violence,

125:37you know, that accompanied partition.

125:40It wasn't all the actions of the British that, you know,

125:43dictated that, right?

125:44There were lots of actors who chose to pick up, you know,

125:47the knife to kill their neighbor and so on.

125:49I mean, there's lots of agency in that moment

125:52as there is now in what's happening in Afghanistan.

125:54But I think the capriciousness, I mean,

125:57the ability to act as if your political decisions

126:02about other people's lives, you know,

126:06or something that can be made, you know, in secret,

126:09that can be made willy-nilly,

126:11that really are beyond the accountability, you know,

126:14of those who are actually going to live with

126:17the consequences of shifting the cards on a deck

126:20in a way that decides who rules and who doesn't.

126:23- I would love to hear your conversation

126:25with somebody I just talked to, which is Neil Ferguson,

126:28who argues on the topic of empire,

126:30that you can also zoom out even further

126:34and say, weigh the good and the bad of empire.

126:38And he argues, I think he gets a lot of flack for this

126:41from other historians, that like the British empire

126:45did more good than bad in certain moments of history.

126:50And that's an uncomfortable truth.

126:52There's like levels, it's a cake

126:55with layers of uncomfortable truths.

126:57And it's not a cake at all because none of it tastes good.

127:00- Right.

127:01I mean, I would continue to disagree with Neil Ferguson.

127:04So I'm still working out where I am

127:06and what this moment does to kind of, I think,

127:08qualify my understanding of the past

127:12into, I think, in a moment of humility, you know, I do,

127:15and I'm probably reacting to the kind of, you know,

127:18as you put it, I mean, the idea that this is like

127:20a good thing that American power has been defeated here.

127:23I mean, I do think American power should contract.

127:25And I don't think, and again, if I had to create

127:29a tally sheet of what the Americans did in the US,

127:32I mean, I mentioned the American University of Afghanistan.

127:34Right?

127:35It could have done that without invading the country

127:37and killing people.

127:38You know, I've not now become an apologist for empire.

127:41I'm not now a mini Neil Ferguson,

127:44but, you know, ending empire is, I mean,

127:48those decisions you make are in some ways

127:53a continuation of imperial hubris, right?

127:56So you're not really out of empire yet.

127:59You're not really contracting empire

128:01for those who are living it, you know?

128:03But I think it's also, I mean, maybe I put it this way,

128:05it's be careful what you ask for.

128:08You know, I mean, I wanted the US out of Afghanistan,

128:11but I wanted there to be a political settlement.

128:14I wanted, you know, I wanted my cake

128:16and I wanted to eat it too, right?

128:18I wanted all kinds of things to be different, right?

128:20- But why is going to Afghanistan even needed for that?

128:22You can play all of those games of geopolitics

128:26without ever invading and taking ownership of the place.

128:30It feels like the war.

128:31- Yeah.

128:32- It feels like, I mean, I'm not exactly sure

128:35what military force is necessary for,

128:38except for targeted intense attacks.

128:41It feels like to me, the right thing to do after 9/11

128:46was to show what was a display of force

128:49unlike anything the world has ever seen

128:52for a very short amount of time,

128:54targeted at, sure, a terrorist,

128:57at certain strongholds and so on.

128:59- Yeah.

129:00- And then in and out, and then focus on education,

129:03on empowering women into the education system,

129:08all those kinds of things that have to do

129:10with supporting the culture, the education,

129:13the flourishing of the place.

129:16It has nothing to do with military policing, essentially.

129:21- Right.

129:22I mean, I think, yeah, if you look at it through that lens,

129:25I mean, invading Afghanistan and then invading Iraq

129:28didn't end Al-Qaeda, it didn't end terrorism, right?

129:33It didn't really deflate these ideologies entirely.

129:37If you like, you could say there were some

§16Transcript · 2:09:42–2:18:36

129:42limited discrediting of certain kinds of ideas.

129:47But in fact, I mean, look at the phenomenon

129:48of suicide bombing.

129:50I mean, it spread.

129:51I mean, it was never an Islamic thing.

129:53It was never a Muslim thing.

129:55Some Muslims adopted it in some places,

129:58but the circuits of knowledge about how to do

130:00these kind of things only expanded

130:02with the insurgencies that emerged in Afghanistan and Iraq,

130:05and then they kind of became connected,

130:06and then they became to the present.

130:08I mean, the Islamic State is,

130:10it's the best thing that happened to the Taliban ever,

130:12because it's on the basis of its supposed new stance

130:17as a counter-terrorism outfit,

130:20that it will get recognition from all its neighbors.

130:22It will get recognition in Russia.

130:24I mean, already with the evacuation of the airport,

130:26the United States was collaborating with the Taliban

130:29against the Islamic State and openly talking

130:33about the Taliban as if they were partners

130:34in this great operation.

130:35So, and then Al-Qaeda remains present in Afghanistan.

130:39- So, trillions of dollars spent.

130:42- Yeah.

130:43- The drones up above bombing places

130:48that result in civilian death, the death of children,

130:51the death of fathers and mothers,

130:53and those stories, even at the individual level,

130:56propagate virally across the land,

130:58creating potentially more terrorists.

131:01And a cynical view of the trillions of dollars

131:04is the military-industrial complex,

131:08where there's just a momentum,

131:10where after 9/11, the feeling like we should do something

131:15led to us doing something,

131:18and then a lot of people realizing they can make money

131:21from doing more of that something.

131:23And then it's just the momentum,

131:25where no one person is sitting there petting a cat

131:29in an evil way, saying, "We're going to spend

131:32"all of this money and create more suffering

131:34"and create more terrorism."

131:36But it's just something about that momentum

131:37that leads to that.

131:39And to me, honestly, I'm still a sucker.

131:42I believe in leadership.

131:43I believe in great charismatic leaders

131:47and the power of that one to do evil and to do good.

131:51And it felt like, I honestly put the blame

131:56on George Bush, Obama, Trump, and Biden

132:01for the lack of leadership in this.

132:03- Yeah, definitely, definitely.

132:05I agree, yeah, there is the military-industrial complex

132:07component, which is huge.

132:09And there's also, I mean, speaking of government leadership,

132:11it's also, I'd say, the imbalance of power

132:14within Washington.

132:15I mean, the Pentagon used this moment,

132:18well, beginning in 2001, I think, to assert its authority

132:24at the expense of other institutions of national government.

132:27I mean, the State Department diplomacy

132:31has become a shadow of what it was once capable of doing.

132:35And of course, I mean, other historians, US historians,

132:38which I'm not, formally a historian of the United States,

132:39but we can go back to talk about Vietnam.

132:42We talk about lots of Cold War

132:44and post-Cold War engagements.

132:46And I think we need a reckoning

132:49about how the United States uses military power,

132:51why we devote so much to our military budget

132:55and what could be available to us

132:56if we had a more sensible view

132:59of the value of military power, of its effectiveness.

133:03And I think we're willing to hammer home

133:04that this was a defeat.

133:05I mean, I think there should be accountability.

133:07And if you, and this could be a kind of opening

133:09for a kind of bipartisan conversation,

133:11because if you are a kind of American militarist,

133:16I mean, you have to look at the leadership

133:18that got you to a place where you were defeated

133:20by men wearing sandals, firing AK-47s, right?

133:25- Yeah, there should be a humility with that.

133:27- Yeah.

133:29- I mean, we should actually say that,

133:31like literally the--

133:34- Oh, we lost, you should say we lost.

133:35It wasn't just, you know--

133:37- The American military lost.

133:40- Yeah, and I feel, I have very mixed feelings

133:43and it's, I don't know, a ton of veterans,

133:46but Mitch and I have topped my share

133:48and have a student now, and they are suffering

133:52because they look at the sacrifices that they made

133:54that I didn't make.

133:55I mean, American society didn't make the sacrifices.

133:57I mean, men and women lost limbs,

133:59they lost eyes, they lost lives.

134:01There's been this, of course,

134:03quiet epidemic of suicide among veterans.

134:08And I've heard some stories,

134:10the fact that the State Department

134:12is seeing a similar surge of suicides

134:14'cause they see their adult life's work collapse.

134:19They've seen their relationships.

134:20I mean, they've seen, they've received phone calls

134:22in the middle of the night from people

134:24who they entrusted with their lives,

134:26who they know are gonna be targeted.

134:28I mean, some have already been killed.

134:30They've seen the, I mean, I think just,

134:32I'd imagine just ideologically and professionally

134:35what they believed in and what they sacrificed for

134:39has vanished.

134:41And I think that's bad.

134:44I mean, historically, thinking of some of the precedents

134:46you were thinking of, I mean, if you think of,

134:49first of all, at a human level,

134:51I feel horrible for those people who,

134:53I may not have agreed with everything they had done

134:55and their choices in life,

134:56but I respect the fact that many good people

134:59went out of the best intentions as young people

135:03to do the right thing and make things right.

135:05And I respect that.

135:07And I've met enough to know that there were people

135:10who saw the gray in complexity

135:12and that's all you can hope for.

135:14But we don't want a generation of disillusioned veterans.

135:19If we look at the other post-war moments,

135:23and this is kind of a post-war moment where,

135:25I think we need a conversation with American veterans

135:27about what they've gone through and what they're feeling.

135:31And they still have skin in the game,

135:33because their personal connections

135:33and of their histories-

135:35- And also gonna be future leaders.

135:37I mean, veterans- - Already, yeah.

135:40- People who have served are often great men and women.

135:43That's- - That's true.

135:45- And throughout history,

135:50whether you sacrifice, you served in fighting World War II,

135:54in fighting Vietnam,

135:55that's going to mold you in different ways.

135:58That's going to mold how you are as a leader

136:02that leads this country forward.

136:04And so you have to have an honest conversation

136:07about what was the role of the war in Afghanistan,

136:12the war in the Middle East,

136:14the war on terror in the history of America.

136:18If we just look at the full context

136:20at the end of this 21st century,

136:22how are we going to remember this?

136:24And how that's going to result in our future interactions

136:27with small and large countries,

136:30with China or some proxy war with China,

136:32with Russia or some proxy war with Russia.

136:36What's the role of oil and natural resources

136:38and opium and all those kinds of things?

136:40What's the role of military power in the world?

136:45And now with COVID, it's almost like,

136:52because of the many failures of the US government

136:57and many leaders in science and politics

137:02to respond effectively and quickly to COVID,

137:07we kind of forget that we fumbled this other thing too.

137:12And it's hard to know which is going to be more expensive.

137:15They seem to be symptoms of something,

137:21of a same kind of source problem of leadership,

137:26of bureaucracy, of the way information

137:31and intelligence flows throughout the US government,

137:34all those kinds of things.

137:35And that hopefully motivates young leaders to fix things.

137:39- Definitely.

137:40I mean, I think if there's one theme

137:41that jumps out to me in thinking about this moment,

137:43I mean, if we recognize that we live

137:45in a kind of crisis of democracy in the United States

137:48and in other countries that have long been proud

137:50of their democratic traditions,

137:51if we see them be under assault from certain quarters,

137:54I think military defeat is yet another addition

137:57to all the aspects of this that you mentioned.

138:00I mean, the fact that military defeat is a giant match

138:04that you're throwing on this fire,

138:05potentially if we think of its legacies

138:07and other post-war environments,

138:09when the veteran angle is one,

138:12when you have people who feel betrayed.

138:15I mean, they have been fodder for the far right

138:17in other settings.

138:18Interwar Europe is very much

138:19about mobilizing disillusioned veterans

138:23in the name of right-wing fascist politics.

138:25If one thing's too at this moment

138:28of really increasing xenophobia,

138:32our immigration debate is now talking

138:33about whether or not Afghans should be permitted at all

138:36in the United States after 20 years.

§17Transcript · 2:18:39–2:28:00

138:39And I think immediately the response in Europe,

138:41which I follow to some extent,

138:43focusing on Germany,

138:45because it was really ramping up deportations of Afghans

138:49leading up to this collapse.

138:50And now they have been,

138:52a lot of right-wing center-right politicians in Germany

138:57have been watching all this with an eye to,

139:01I think using it to their advantage

139:02for a domestic German audience to say,

139:06in the context of recent elections,

139:07that we are the party who will defend you

139:09against these Afghans who are gonna be coming from this.

139:11So, what I've tried to emphasize

139:13in talking to different groups about this moment

139:15is that it won't be confined to Afghanistan

139:17or even the region.

139:18I mean, obviously malnutrition, hunger,

139:20will send Afghans to neighboring states,

139:23but where the European right is resurgent,

139:27this has been a gift, right?

139:28To say that the Afghans are coming,

139:30they're brown-skinned, they're Muslim,

139:32they're uneducated, they're gonna want your women.

139:35And they will take the odd sexual assault case

139:37or the odd whatever dramatic act of violence

139:41that happens numerically in any population,

139:45and they'll magnify that to say that

139:47our far-right group is gonna save the nation.

139:51And sorry, the main point I wanted to speak of leadership

139:54was that I think the serial,

139:56well, there are many, many carnal sins, if you like,

140:00but if you go back to our analogy of all the exits,

140:02I mean, what blocked some of those exits

140:04was an absence of truth and transparency and the lying.

140:09And so, I mean, this is no secret anyone has followed this,

140:12but we've allowed,

140:15and you think of the general mistrust of government,

140:17mistrust of authority across the board,

140:21of professors, of economists, of--

140:24- Scientists. - Scientists, doctors, right?

140:26- Well, I actually think,

140:27that's the hopeful thing to me about the internet

140:30is the internet hates inauthenticity.

140:34They can smell bullshit much better,

140:36and I think that motivates young leaders

140:38to be transparent and authentic.

140:40So like-- - I hope so.

140:42- The very problems we've been seeing,

140:45this kind of attitude of authority where,

140:49oh, the populace, they're too busy with their own lies,

140:53they're not smart enough to understand the full complexities

140:56of the things we're dealing with,

140:57so we're not going to even communicate to them

140:59the full complexities, we're just going to decide

141:02and then tell them what we decided

141:05and conceive some kind of narrative

141:08that makes it easy for them to consume this decision.

141:12- Right, right.

141:13- As opposed to that, I really believe,

141:16I see there's a hunger for authenticity

141:18of when you're making decisions,

141:21when you're looking at the rest of the world

141:23and trying to decide, untangle this complexity,

141:27the internet, the public,

141:30the world wants to see you as a leader struggle

141:33with the tension of these ideas,

141:35to change your mind, to see,

141:38to recognize your own flaws in your own thinking

141:41from a month ago, all that, the full complexity of it,

141:44also acknowledge the uncertainty as with COVID,

141:47also with the wars, I think there's a hunger for that

141:51and I think that's just going to change

141:53the nature of leadership in the 21st century.

141:56- I hope so, I think all the things you've highlighted,

141:58I mean, accountability is part of that, right?

142:00I mean, we need honesty, openness,

142:04and then acknowledgement of mistakes,

142:06I mean, humility is the key to all learning, right?

142:08But also, I mean, you think just the headline

142:10from yesterday, the horrible drone strike,

142:14which was really the last kind of American military action

142:18on the day that the US was, I think,

142:20mostly departing from Kabul,

142:22wiped out an entire family, mostly children,

142:25the US acknowledged that, yes,

142:27this was not the ISIS bombing outfit

142:29that they thought it was,

142:31but yesterday they did a quick review

142:34and I'm not an expert on drone strikes in the aftermath,

142:36but as he was looking more closely,

142:38he said it was basically whole cloth taken

142:41from what the US government has been saying

142:44after all these strikes,

142:46you know, reproducing the same language

142:48and basically pointing to technical errors,

142:51but denying that there were any procedural mistakes

142:56or flaws or it was just kind of,

142:59they found little ways of acknowledging things

143:01that goes plan, but we follow the policies essentially

143:06and that's it, it's not a crime,

143:09it's a way of not even saying, you know, we screwed up

143:13and it's kind of the legalese

143:15that suddenly makes a war crime, not a war crime,

143:19you know, and that is, I feel like,

143:22are feasible to take accountability.

143:24- I think people are really sick of that

143:26in a way where the opposite is true,

143:29which is they get excited for people who are not,

143:33for leaders who are not that,

143:35and so they're not going to punish you

143:37for saying I made a mistake.

143:40So I just had a conversation with Francis Collins,

143:44the director of NIH,

143:46and part of my criticism towards Anthony Fauci

143:49has been that it's like such subtle,

143:54but such crucial communication of mistakes made.

143:58If you make a small mistake,

144:00it is so powerful to communicate, I think we messed up,

144:05we thought this was true and it wasn't.

144:08So the obvious thing there was with masks

144:11early in the pandemic, there's so much uncertainty,

144:14it's so understandable to make mistakes

144:17or to also be concerned about what kind of hysteria

144:21different statements you make lead to,

144:23just being transparent about that and saying,

144:25we were not correct in saying the thing we said before,

144:28that's so powerful to communicate, to gain trust.

144:33And the opposite is true.

144:35When you do this legalese type of talk, it destroys trust.

144:40And again, I really think the lessons of recent history

144:45teach us how to be a leader

144:51and teach young leaders how to be leaders.

144:53And so I have a lot of hope.

144:56- Yeah, good.

144:57Actually, thanks for the internet.

144:58- Yeah, yeah, that's great.

145:00Oh, humility, I mean, we need humility,

145:02accountability, honesty.

145:03And yes, studying the past is an important way to do that.

145:07I mean, to learn from past mistakes

145:09and obviously there's always inspiration and courage

145:11and we can take some kind of assistance from that too,

145:14but also learning how not to do things, right?

145:19And then analogies are never like one-to-one.

145:23I mean, we talk about Vietnam.

145:24I think many Vietnam veterans would say,

145:27this is like deja vu.

145:28I mean, the story, the visuals of the Kabul airport

145:31and of the Saigon embassy were not the same,

145:35but close enough that people would juxtapose them.

145:38All of us right now, but I would just ask people

145:39that over-analogizing is also a kind of path down

145:44making errors of judgment and comparison and then sameness.

145:49But it's stretched, I mean, like 9/11 itself.

145:52I think the idea that people lack the imagination

145:56within our security apparatus

145:58to think this was even possible, right?

146:00And you think of the simplicity of having a $10 lock

146:03on a cockpit door, could have blunted all this.

146:06And again, I'm not saying either the time or hindsight

146:10that I am omniscient about all this,

146:11but I had just been living in Germany the year before

146:15and there was a plot there that this guy was hatching

146:18from Germany to blow up the mausoleum of Ataturk in Ankara

146:22with an airplane.

146:23And so if you kind of dig, it wasn't unimaginable

146:27that you would use an airplane as a weapon.

146:29And the Bush administration kept saying,

146:31no one had ever heard of this, who would do this?

146:33I'm like, well, not a lot of people do this.

146:35And then at that very moment,

146:37my wife was teaching the Joseph Conrad novel, "Secret Agent,"

146:41which was about a conspiratorial organization

146:44that wanted to bomb, actually in retrospect,

146:47it was kind of suicide bombing

146:49'cause I think they tricked this guy into doing it,

146:50but they wanted to bomb the Greenwich Observatory

146:53for some obscure political purpose.

146:55So that's an instance in which the novel,

147:00to go back to our kind of humanities pitch,

147:02that I guess my point was that, as you mentioned,

147:06we need humanity, transparency, but also imagination.

147:09And I think part of expanding our imagination is by,

147:14I mean, obviously delving into your fields of engineering

147:17and the sciences and robotics and artificial intelligence

147:19and all that rich landscape.

147:20And then, but also we find this in film, poetry, literature,

147:24I mean, just the kind of stretching that we need to do

147:28to really educate ourselves more fully

147:31across the spectrum of everything humans need

147:34to reimagine security.

147:37So much of what we talked about today,

147:38I mean, so much of our security is affected

147:42by others' perception of their insecurity, right?

147:45Which unleashes a whole web of emotions.

147:49- Can you tell me about the Afghan people,

147:53what they love, what they fear,

147:57what they dream of for themselves and for their nation?

148:00Is there something to say, to speak to,

§18Transcript · 2:28:02–2:36:43

148:02to the spirit of the people that may humanize them

148:07and maybe speak to the concerns and the hopes they have?

148:10- Yeah, I think I, as an outsider,

148:13I hesitate to make any grand statement,

148:16but I would say, listen, I mean,

148:19there are a number of documentary films

148:21that are incredibly rich,

148:23that will offer your listeners and viewers a snapshot.

148:26So there is "Afghan Star,"

148:29which really brings you into the homes of a set of people

148:32who, they want stardom,

148:34they're artists, they want to express themselves.

148:36Some wanna push political boundaries, cultural boundaries.

148:39There's a woman who gets into hot water for dancing.

148:42But you realize that, I mean, people,

148:46I mean, they love art, they love music,

148:48they love poetry, they love expression.

148:50You know, people want to care for their children,

148:52they want safety of their families,

148:54they want to enjoy what everyone enjoys, you know?

148:57I think it's a very humanizing portrait.

149:00There's another great documentary film called

149:02"Love Crimes of Kabul,"

149:06which is a great snapshot of the post-2000 world

149:10that the Americans shaped a lot of ways.

149:11And it's about a women's prison.

149:13And it's incredibly revealing

149:15'cause it's about young girls and what they want.

149:19Well, not just young, but young, teenage,

149:22and then some middle-aged people

149:23who are accused of moral crimes,

149:26ranging from homicide, which one woman admits to,

149:29to having sexual relations outside of marriage.

149:33And so it shows, in a way,

149:35continuity with the previous Taliban regime

149:38in that women are imprisoned for things

149:41that you wouldn't be in prison for elsewhere,

149:42and that Islamo-claw operates as the kind of judicial logic

149:46for these punishments.

149:50But in letting these women kind of speak for themselves,

149:52I mean, it's fascinating.

149:53I mean, I don't want to give too much away,

149:55but women make very interesting choices in this film

149:58that land them in this predicament.

150:00So they don't all profess innocence.

150:04Some are like, "I'm guilty,"

150:05but they're guilty for reasons.

150:07In one case, one woman is guilty.

150:08She's in prison because it's a way to exert pressure

150:11on her fiance to finally marry her.

150:13So you get ethnicity, you get kind of Romeo and Juliet things

150:18where their families don't like each other necessarily,

150:20but they find each other.

150:22You have questions of love, money, clothing, furniture.

150:26It's beautiful.

150:28I mean, the parts with it, I remember showing it in class.

150:31There was a wonderful Afghan student who was,

150:33I think, a Fulbright at the ed school at Stanford,

150:35and she's a genius.

150:36She's amazing.

150:37It was awkward for her because,

150:40talking about young women having sex and stuff,

150:42and it wasn't the snapshot of Afghanistan that she wanted.

150:46And obviously, there's so much more.

150:47They're great writers and musicians.

150:50And I mean, music is a huge thing.

150:52I mean, poetry, all those things are great.

150:54So she found it, I hear you.

150:57I mean, it's kind of a taboo subject,

150:59but I thought the American students seeing it

151:02really identified with these women

151:04because they're just so real.

151:05And so young people trying to find,

151:08I mean, relationships that are universal

151:10in circumstances that are very difficult.

151:14Love, love is universal.

151:16Yeah, yeah, yeah.

151:17So it's, I mean, we do have resources to humanize.

151:18I mean, some of your people will know Khaled Huseini.

151:21You know, he's an Afghan-American.

151:23He's done his stuff, but there are a number

151:26of novelists and short story writers who do cool things.

151:30I think that another tragic aspect of this moment

151:33is that those people have now pretty much

151:35had to leave the country.

151:36So there's a visual artist I would highlight for you

151:40named Khadam Ali, who's a Hazara based in Australia.

151:45He does extraordinary work in blending

151:49a tradition of Persian miniatures

151:51with contemporary political commentary.

151:53His work is between Australia and Afghanistan,

151:57but he also, he had to flee.

151:58I mean, he was doing some work in Kabul,

152:00but it's an extraordinary kind of visual language

152:05that he's adapted that has been shown

152:06all over the planet now.

152:07He's got some of his work is in New York galleries,

152:09is in Europe.

152:10He's been shown in Australia,

152:12but he talks about migration in a way that puts Afghans

152:15and Hazaras at the center, but it's totally universal

152:18about our modern crisis of all the millions of people

152:23who are displaced across our planet.

152:25And he attempts to kind of speak for some size of them

152:29in a way that like, I think everyone can get.

152:32I mean, the visual imagery experts will know

152:33that it's from like the Shahnameh,

152:36like an ancient Persian epic that Iranians were attached to,

152:39that Afghans are attached to,

152:41that people can quote at length.

152:44That has mythical figures of good and evil

152:45that kids grew up embodying.

152:47They're named the names of the characters that are,

152:50it's called the Book of Kings.

152:53The heroes and villains are the staple

152:54of conversation and poetry.

152:56And like Russians, I mean, the kind of,

153:01the resort to literary references and speak

153:03is something that Americans don't do,

153:05most West European countries don't do,

153:08but the fact that everyone's gotta know this character,

153:10everyone knows this reference, the wordplay,

153:12the linguistic finesse in multiple languages

153:16is a major value of Afghan storytelling.

153:20As an outsider, I'm scratching at the surface of the surface.

153:25- Yeah, but there's a depth to it.

153:26It's just like, it is fascinating.

153:28- With the layers, yeah.

153:29- With the layers of Russian language

153:30that's the culture. - Exactly.

153:33- I've been struggling, and this is kind of the journey

153:37embarking on to convey to an American audience

153:43what is lost in translation between Russian and English.

153:48It's very challenging, and some of the great translators

153:51of Dostoevsky, of Tolstoy, of Russian literature

153:55struggle with this deeply.

153:59It's an art form just to convey that.

154:02It's amazing to hear that Afghanistan,

154:03with a full mix of cultures that are there,

154:06have the same kind of wit and humor and depth of intellect.

154:11- I mean, the humor thing is,

154:13so much of our visual imagery is about this sad place

154:15in Daur or whatever, but the, I mean, socially, again,

154:18I'm gonna engage in some stereotypes

154:19about generalization stuff, but just the,

154:21you know, the Afghan friends that I've come to be close

154:25with and really love, I mean, the humor,

154:28there's so much there, I have common stuff of like,

154:31when I go to Ireland, it's one of my favorite places,

154:33and just like the, I feel a sense of pressure,

154:36like the humor all around me all the time,

154:38and I feel like there's something between Ireland and Russia

154:41with the humor stuff, where it's like,

154:43you've gotta be on your game if you wanna be, you know,

154:46so it's, it's not, you know what I mean?

154:49- The intensity of conversation in terms of,

154:52yeah, you have to be on your game

154:54in terms of wit and so on.

154:56I mean, you have to, there's certain people

154:58I have, like, when I talk on this podcast,

154:59they're like that, certain people

155:01from the Jewish tradition have that,

155:03like where the wit is just like, okay, I have to,

155:06oh yeah, I really have to pay attention,

155:09it's a game, it's like, you know what it feels like?

155:12It feels like speed chess or something like that,

155:14and you really have to focus and play,

155:17and at the same time, there's body language,

155:19and then there's a melancholy nature to it,

155:22at least on the Russian side,

155:23and the whole thing is just a beautiful mess.

155:25- Yeah, I mean, there's a funny TikTok video

155:27that went around that I got from some Afghan acquaintances

155:30that was, he's an Irish comedian,

155:33kind of highlighting Irish and German

155:37national stereotypes around hospitality,

155:39and this Afghan woman said, "I didn't know

155:41"that the Irish were just white Afghans,"

155:45because the whole hospitality, politics of refusal,

155:48you don't take something that's offered to you

155:51the first time, you don't, I mean,

155:52it's the culture of receiving a guest,

155:57that's, Americans aren't, I mean, that's not always,

156:01I mean, the regional culture is, that's a thing,

156:03there's whatever, but it's, I mean,

156:05the kind of generosity and the kind of,

156:08that's real, I mean, and that's a cool thing,

156:11and that's amazing, that's, you know,

156:13the food, I mean, going off just the superficial things,

156:14but all of that, the warmth of hospitality

156:19and of wit and humanity, I mean, it's,

156:23that's what we don't see viewing the place

156:25just through war and geopolitics

156:27and the moving pieces of the map and stuff,

156:29and that's hard to see when there are gaps in language

156:33and religious tradition and all that stuff,

156:35and then, you know, being open to the fact

156:38that people do things differently, you know,

156:41and it's, and the gender dimension there is important,

156:43right, that they're kind of, you know,

§19Transcript · 2:36:46–2:42:41

156:46arguably each culture has a kind of gender dynamic

156:48that's different, and so I think it's helpful

156:50to have humility in thinking that some Afghans

156:53will do some things differently, you know,

156:55but then you'll also have Afghans who say,

156:57every woman should be educated,

156:59every woman should work, and so on and so on,

157:01so there's no single way of, yeah, yeah.

157:03- And there is a gender dynamic in Russia, too,

157:05that we need to be respectful of that, like--

157:07- And that's not always what it looks like at first.

157:10- Yeah, exactly, there's layers.

157:11- Like where power is, I mean, that's definitely,

157:13I don't know, yeah.

157:14- Yeah, that's a whole 'nother conversation

157:16of where the power is.

157:17- Yeah.

157:18- Rumi, the 13th century Persian poet

157:20who was born on a land that is now Afghanistan,

157:24is there something in his words that speaks to you

157:26about the spirit of the Afghan people?

157:29- I mean, everyone owns Rumi, I guess that's,

157:33I mean, that's gonna get me in trouble

157:34with certain Afghan fans of Rumi

157:36who wanna see him as an Afghan, I would say.

157:39- Are they proud of Rumi?

157:42- Yeah, yeah, yeah.

157:42- Do they see him as an Afghan, do they--

157:44- Yeah, I mean, again, it depends.

157:46I mean, some people will be militant and say,

157:49you know, the Iranians can have him, he's ours.

157:52But they also say, you know, he's,

157:55I mean, you can say, again, he's like Rorschach blot.

157:58I mean, he's a Sufi, he's a Muslim, he's a Central Asian,

158:02he's Iranian, he's Afghan, he's a Turk.

158:05I'm trying to think of the analogy,

158:06but he's something special to everyone.

158:08So I guess I would not walk into that conversation

158:11and claim that he's one or another,

158:12but it's a cool thing.

158:13It's the, but I'm glad you brought that up

158:15'cause that's a good way of seeing something that Afghans,

158:20I mean, we live in our country, Afghanistan,

158:22and say, okay, Rumi's everyone, you know,

158:24Madonna helped make him famous in the United States,

158:26you know, for better, for worse.

158:27They used to sell stuff at Starbucks

158:29and that's all complicated and embarrassing.

158:32And his translations are very much disputed

158:35where you have people be like,

158:36there's some awful Rumi translations and there are,

158:38there are also a lot of, speaking of the internet,

158:40there are lots of fake Rumi quotes.

158:42- Yes.

158:43- You know, like Rumi said, always be your best.

158:46Like, Rumi didn't say that.

158:47You know, that was, you know,

158:48I mean, that's kind of silly stuff,

158:49but then the cool thing is like the,

158:52I mean, I think you can read Rumi as a religious thinker,

158:56but you can also, you know, read Rumi as a,

158:59you know, in an Islamic sense,

159:01but you can also read him as a kind of spiritualist,

159:03right, as someone who, or an ethicist or moralist.

159:05And so I think that's,

159:07I like the lens of Rumi as a gateway to Afghan ecumenicism

159:12and cosmopolitanism.

159:14You know, the theme I keep emphasizing

159:15of meeting actual Afghans who were actually,

159:19you know, fluent in Russian, fluent in German,

159:22fluent in Turkish.

159:24They know Dari, they know Pashto.

159:25They've gone to university or sometimes they haven't.

159:29And yet, I mean, they're,

159:31I like the category of the popular intellectual.

159:35You know, the intellectual who isn't,

159:37isn't formally educated necessarily.

159:38Although of course that's represented too,

159:40especially increasingly now with this generation

159:42of going to university all over the world,

159:43you know, Stanford, MIT, everywhere.

159:45Afghans are well represented there.

159:48But just being, I don't have any kind of worldly knowledge

159:51that is not limited to a province,

159:54to a village, to a hamlet, but sometimes it is,

159:57but sometimes it's not because of,

159:59again, not because of some fairytale story of curiosity,

160:04wandering the globe out of, you know,

160:07some sense of privilege, but out of necessity,

160:11out of survival, of having to adapt.

160:12And it's really extraordinary that,

160:15I mean, also we think about like professions,

160:16like, you know, ask an Afghan, you know,

160:20what does he or she do for a living?

160:22And what have they done in the past?

160:23I mean, the answer is one gets,

160:25shoe salesman, tax cop drivers, surgeons, all in one guy.

160:30- Yeah.

160:32- I mean, that's not just Afghan,

160:34but that's, you know, that's very common.

160:35- But it's also Russia is the same.

160:37- That's right.

160:38- I think it's whenever there's complexities

160:40to the economic system and the short-term

160:43and the long-term history of how the country develops.

160:46It's basically the people figuring out their way

160:50around a mess of a country politically,

160:54but a beautiful flourishing culture and humanity.

160:59And that creates super interesting people.

161:01- Yeah.

161:02- So we can often see, okay, there's Taliban, there's war,

161:05there's economic malfunction,

161:09there's harboring of terrorists, there's opium trade,

161:11all that kind of stuff.

161:12But there's humans there with deep intellectual lies.

161:16And like, I love the movie "Love Crimes"

161:21and the same kind of hopes, fears, and desire to love

161:25the old Romeo and Juliet story.

161:27And I think Rumi to me represents that.

161:30The wit, the intelligence, but also the just eloquent

161:37and just beautiful representation of humanity, of love.

161:40Some of the best quotes about love are from him.

161:44Half of them fake, half of them real.

161:48- The best ones are real.

161:49- The best ones are real.

161:50The best ones are real.

161:52Robert, this was an incredible conversation.

161:53- Oh, thank you for having me.

161:54- Thank you for the tour of Afghanistan

161:59and making me, making us realize that there's much more

162:04to this country than what we may think.

162:09It's a beautiful country and it's full of beautiful people.

162:13- You made me think about a lot of new things too,

162:15so it was definitely great on my end too.

162:17So thank you so much.

162:19- Thanks for listening to this conversation

162:20with Robert Cruz.

162:21To support this podcast,

162:23please check out our sponsors in the description.

162:26And now let me leave you with some words

162:27from Winston Churchill.

162:29History will be kind to me, for I intend to write it.

162:35Thank you for listening and hope to see you next time.

162:38(upbeat music)

162:41(upbeat music)

— A LITTLE MORE TO THINK ABOUT. —